eur/usd

EUR/USD currency pair is iss waqt 1.0944 ke aas paas hai, aur is mein ek noticeable bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara karta hai ke Euro kamzor ho raha hai U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein, jo kay mukhtalif economic factors ka natija ho sakta hai. In mein se ek reason European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ke be-darmiyan farq barhati hui monetary policies hain. Fed ka lagataar uchai par interest rates barqarar rakhne ka rujhan inflation se larne ke liye, U.S. dollar ko kafi mazbooti de raha hai, jis se Euro ki qeemat recent hafton mein neeche ja rahi hai.
Halaanki abhi market dheemi raftaar se chal raha hai, lekin kuch aise asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain ke aanay walay dinon mein qeematon mein badi tabdeeli ho sakti hai. Ek confluence of factors yahaan kaam kar sakta hai. Pehla, economic data releases, jese inflation rates, employment figures, ya central bank statements, jo ke market sentiment ko drastic taur par badal sakti hain. Agar unexpected figures, khaaskar U.S. economy se, jo ke ab tak resilient hai, saamne aayein, toh EUR/USD pair mazeed neeche ja sakta hai, ya agar Europe se achi ya stable data aaye, toh reversal bhi ho sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical events, khaaskar Europe ke hawalay se, Euro ke performance par kaafi asar daal sakti hain. Maslan, energy prices ke baray mein developments, Europe mein chal rahi supply chain disruptions, ya siyasi instability, economic outlook ko affect karti hain, aur yeh investor sentiment aur EUR/USD exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakti hain.

Technical taur par, EUR/USD pair consolidation ke asaar dikha raha hai, jo recent sessions mein narrow trading range se zahir ho raha hai. Agar key support levels ke neeche break hoti hai, toh downward momentum barh sakti hai aur qeemat mein mazeed tez girawat aa sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar market iss waqt ke levels se upar hold kar leti hai aur resistance break hota hai, toh ek bullish reversal ho sakta hai. Yeh Federal Reserve ke kisi dovish signal ya Eurozone economic performance mein behtri ki surat mein support ho sakta hai.

Akhir mein, jab ke EUR/USD ka current trend bearish hai aur market dheemi raftaar se chal raha hai, traders ko tayar rehna chahiye ke kisi bhi waqt ek potential breakout ya significant movement ho sakta hai. Yeh upside ya downside, donon taraf ho sakta hai, aur yeh upcoming economic data, central bank policies, aur market sentiment par depend karega. In developments par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh sharp movements ko trigger kar sakti hain aur trading opportunities faraham kar sakti hain.

Aaj ke bazaar ke manzar mein euro ek numaya neeche ki janib rujhan ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke tajiron ko dakhil aur nikalne ke maqamat ka ghore se jaiza lene par majboor kar raha hai. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, euro ke 1.0949 support level ke neeche tootne ke mazid imkaniyat ka imkaan hai, jo ke guzishta kuch dino se currency pair ke liye ek ahem hadef raha hai. Is tasur ke zariye maine sell positions establish ki hain, ye tawaqo rakhte hue ke momentum qeemat ko neeche le jayega.

Haalan ke neeche ki taraf ka rujhan mukhtalif indicators se madad yafta hai, jo yeh zahir kartay hain ke sellers bazaar mein ab bhi qaabil-e-qaboo hain. Agar 1.0949 ke neeche break hota hai, to hum kafi neeche ka dakhal dekh sakte hain, jahan doosray support levels target kiye ja sakte hain. Yeh manzar wussat tar market sentiment se mutabiq hai, jahan beyaqeeni aur economic data releases euro par bearish pressure dal rahe hain.

Lekin, dusri surat-e-haal ko bhi mad-e-nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar euro 1.1000 ke psychological level ke upar break kar leta hai, to yeh momentum mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakta hai. Din ke aglay hisay mein is level par confirmed demand ka hona bearish outlook ko ghalat sabit kar sakta hai aur yeh zahir kar sakta hai ke buyers bazaar mein mazeed waqaar hasil kar rahe hain. Aisi reversal qeemat mein ahmiyat ki hamil ho sakti hai, khaaskar agar is se ek mustaqil upward movement ka aghaz hota hai. Is context mein, bazaar ke dynamics nihayat ahmiyat ikhtiyar kar lete hain, kyun ke yeh decide karenge ke euro neeche ki taraf jaari rahega ya ek corrective rally ka aghaz karega.

Mukhtasir time frames, khaaskar 5-minute chart par, euro ke upward movement ke imkani signs dekhe gaye hain, chaahe ke broad bearish context ke andar hi. Aaj subha ke signals ne ek possible rebound ka ishara diya, jo ke price action ko higher levels test karne ke liye agah kar raha hai pehle ke price neeche ki janib wapas jaye. Agar yeh rebound kafi taqatwar hota hai, to yeh ek mazid clear upward move ka raasta khol sakta hai jo ke mojooda channel ko challenge karega.

Agar euro sloping downward channel ke upar breach karta hai, to yeh aik ahm intehai taraqqi hogi. Agar euro is channel ke upar wali had se guzar jata hai, to hum aglay resistance zone tak push dekh sakte hain, jo ke 1.1034 aur 1.1064 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh ilaka sellers ke liye nihayat ahem hai, kyun ke yeh ek maidan-e-jang hai jahan bazaar ka sentiment shift ho sakta hai. Agar euro is resistance zone ke upar sustain karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to yeh mazid buying interest ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke higher levels ka dobara test karne ki imkaniyat badhata hai.

, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha jaari rahi toh dono targets achieve ho sakte hain. Chaliye ab hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain.Dusri chart par H4 timeframe hai, lekin targets dekhne ke liye hum hourly buy signal par discussion karenge. Signal level 1.11446 par consider kiya ja raha hai. Is signal level se neeche aur stop-loss level se ooper jo bhi buy entries hoti hain, wo advantageous aur sahi buying points hain. Stop-loss level ko 1.10677 ke neeche consider kiya gaya hai. Target jo mention kiya gaya hai, wo 1.12209 hai. Agar hum signal level se ooper buying karte hain, toh risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 1 se kam ho jata hai, jo ke long-term mein profitable nahi hoga. Dosre lafzon mein, buying entry point aise select karna chahiye ke wo 1 to 1 ratio se neeche na ho. Agar 1 to 2 ratio achieve karna hai, toh buy entries 1.11187 se start karni chahiye. Aur agar 1 to 3 ratio achieve karna hai, toh entries 1.11038 se start karni hongi. Maine chart par grid aise set kiya hai ke wo ek ruler ki tarah lagta hai. Yani, 0.0% stop hai, 100% profit hai, aur 50% level signal level hai. Currency pair EUR/USD ne Thursday ke din low level 1.10680 se reversal le kar northwards move kiya. Abhi pair Bollinger Bands ke bullish zone mein 1.11625 ke level par hai. MACD histogram zero mark se ooper hai, aur RSI midline ke ooper hai. Agle hafte price ka mazid strong hona aur 261.8% level (1.13133) tak pohanchna expect kiya ja raha hai. EUR/USD apni taraf se barhkar saal ki unchi simat 1.1200 ke nazdeek pahuncha hai, jab ke US Dollar (USD) ko pressure ka saamna hai kyun ke China ke taraf se bada stimulus plans ka elan hua hai jo unki ma'ashi slowdown ke khataron se nikalne ke liye hai. Aam tor par, khushgawar market sentiment ke doran US Dollar mein investment flows kam hote hain. China ke is bade stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se November mein bade rate cuts ki umeedon mein izafa ne bhi