eur/usd

USD/JPY ka haal hi ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price 144.40 tak gir gaya hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 146.50 se neeche nahi jaayega. US dollar index ki tezi geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY is supply zone 145.50 ke paar phir se recover karega.
Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels par meri nazar hai: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai. 30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11. 1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai.
Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega. Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai. Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing PMI mazeed 44.8 par aa gaya, jo ke pehle 45.8 tha. Germany, jo ke region ki sabse bari economy hai, khaas challenges face kar raha hai, jahan economy second quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui, aur third quarter mein bhi further decline ke asar hain. Yeh economic trends Eurozone ke liye badhne wali uncertainty ko dikhate hain, jo market movements ko bhi influence kar sakti hain

USD/JPY ka haal hi ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price 144.40 tak gir gaya hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 146.50 se neeche nahi jaayega. US dollar index ki tezi geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY is supply zone 145.50 ke paar phir se recover karega.
Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels par meri nazar hai: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai. 30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11. 1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai.
Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega. Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai. Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing PMI mazeed 44.8 par aa gaya, jo ke pehle 45.8 tha. Germany, jo ke region ki sabse bari economy hai, khaas challenges face kar raha hai, jahan economy second quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui, aur third quarter mein bhi further decline ke asar hain. Yeh economic trends Eurozone ke liye badhne wali uncertainty ko dikhate hain, jo market movements ko bhi influence kar sakti hain


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EUR/USD 1-ghante ke chart par bohot hi technical aur structured price movement nazar aata hai, jo supply aur demand zones, liquidity pools, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ke darmiyan complex interplay dikhata hai. Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.

1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt hua.

Is setup mein ek critical point fair value gap (FVG) ka formation hai jo 1.11250 ke aas-paas hai. Fair value gaps aksar traders dwara istemal kiye jate hain taake wo market mein inefficiency ke areas ko identify kar saken jahan price gap ko "fill" karne ke liye wapas aa sakti hai, jo rebalancing mechanism ke tor par kaam karta hai. 1.11250 ka gap jaldi fill ho gaya jab market ne apne pehle ke range se breakout karne ki koshish ki, jo yeh darshata hai ke market ab bhi balanced range mein kaam kar raha tha aur yeh breakout short term mein sustainable nahi tha. FVG ka fill hona yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke market participants cautious the, kyunke ek true breakout ke liye demand ya supply se stronger impulse ki zaroorat hoti hai.

EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai

Profit Potential in EUR/USD ke Qeemat

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke maujooda qeemat ke behaviyo ka jaiza hai. Kal, pullback ke doran, pair ne 1.0995 par ek naya resistance level tayyar kiya, jahan se qeemat ne apni bearish trajectory ko dobara shuru kiya. Ye wazeh hai ke August 14 ka local low, jo pichle Jumme se focus mein tha, aakhirkar bechne walon ke liye gira gaya. Halankeh, quotes ko is point ke andar rehna chahiye tha. Aham baat ye hai ke breakdown ye confirm karta hai ke H1 chart par downward trend abhi bhi active hai.

Conversely, pair bohot zyada oversold nazar aa raha hai, jo har din upar ki taraf mazid mazboot rebound ki mumkinat ko barhata hai. Lekin, kisi bhi significant movement se pehle, 1.0949 level par ikattha kiye gaye volumes ko clear karna zaroori hai aur 1.0959 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga. Daily EUR/USD chart par target abhi bhi 1.089 hai, jo EMA200 ke sath milta hai. Qeemat ko is support level ko puri tarah se todna hoga taake giraawat ko aage barha sake. Agar ye kamiyab hota hai, to hum ek complete reversal dekh sakte hain, jo "Double Top" pattern ko confirm karega aur pair ko 1.079 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke lower 7th figure tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai.

Agar inflation umeedon se milti hai ya isay paar karti hai, to giraawat aur tez ho sakti hai. Inflation ki growth hone par kharidari ke mauqe bhi mumkin hain. Lekin filhal, sab ki nazrein Fed minutes aur Biden aur Netanyahu ke beech Iran ke bare mein kisi bhi mumkinah faisle par hain, kyunki aaj ke liye scheduled discussion market sentiment ko asar de sakta hai. Hum is volume ka pehla absorption dekh rahe hain pulse mein. Mujhe umeed hai ke pair aaj Fed minutes ke release ke sath 1.089 ke kareeb giraega.

Profit Potential in EUR/USD ke Qeemat

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke maujooda qeemat ke behaviyo ka jaiza hai. Kal, pullback ke doran, pair ne 1.0995 par ek naya resistance level tayyar kiya, jahan se qeemat ne apni bearish trajectory ko dobara shuru kiya. Ye wazeh hai ke August 14 ka local low, jo pichle Jumme se focus mein tha, aakhirkar bechne walon ke liye gira gaya. Halankeh, quotes ko is point ke andar rehna chahiye tha. Aham baat ye hai ke breakdown ye confirm karta hai ke H1 chart par downward trend abhi bhi active hai.

Conversely, pair bohot zyada oversold nazar aa raha hai, jo har din upar ki taraf mazid mazboot rebound ki mumkinat ko barhata hai. Kisi bhi significant movement se pehle, 1.0949 level par ikattha kiye gaye volumes ko clear karna zaroori hai aur 1.0959 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga. Daily EUR/USD chart par target abhi bhi 1.089 hai, jo EMA200 ke sath milta hai.

Qeemat ko is support level ko puri tarah se todna hoga taake giraawat ko aage barha sake. Agar ye kamiyab hota hai, to hum ek complete reversal dekh sakte hain, jo "Double Top" pattern ko confirm karega aur pair ko 1.079 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke lower 7th figure tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai.

Agar inflation umeedon se milti hai ya isay paar karti hai, to giraawat aur tez ho sakti hai. Inflation ki growth hone par kharidari ke mauqe bhi mumkin hain. Lekin filhal, sab ki nazrein Fed minutes aur Biden aur Netanyahu ke beech Iran ke bare mein kisi bhi mumkinah faisle par hain, kyunki aaj ke liye scheduled discussion market sentiment ko asar de sakta hai. Hum is volume ka pehla absorption dekh rahe hain pulse mein. Mujhe umeed hai ke pair aaj Fed minutes ke release ke sath 1.089 ke kareeb giraega.

Technical analysis of the EURUSD pair


Ab tak aur hafte ke shuru hone se lekar, jori ki price mein zyada harkat nahi hui hai.

Jab trading shuru hui, toh chart par dikhaye gaye safed triangle ke andar thi, lekin triangle toot gaya aur sideways harkat ki taraf nikal gaya, jo kuch had tak liquidity ki kami se bhara tha.

Ab hum dekhte hain ke kai pichhli candles mein price ne neela channel ki beech wali line se resistance ka samna kiya, jo ab price ke girne ka sabab ban rahi hai, kyunki sabse nazdeek ka support level tootay hue triangle ki line hai.

Ab tak, chhote waqt mein price ke liye koi wazeh direction nahi hai, aur sirf tab bechne ka mauqa hoga jab price triangle ko neeche ki taraf tor kar is ke neeche ek ghanta trade ke liye mustahkam ho jaye.

Ma'ashi pehlu se, price ki girawat US Federal Reserve ke akhri meeting ki minutes ki announcement ki intezar mein ho rahi hai, uske baad US ke inflation figures aane wale hain.

Saath hi, European Central Bank par bhi Eurozone ki ma'ashi slowdown ke madde nazar pressure hai, jahan agle haftay ki meeting mein interest rates ka lagataar kaatne ka imkaan hai. Aam tor par, interest rates ke raahein ke liye umeedon mein tafreeq EUR/USD ko dobara pressure mein daalti hai.

Stock exchanges ke pehlu se… US futures market mein rebound ke baad flat hain. US stock futures ne Wednesday ko thoda badlaav dekha, jab pichle session mein Wall Street par tech-led rally hui. Regular trading mein Tuesday ko S&P 500 aur Nasdaq Composite ne ba-qarar taur par 0.97% aur 1.45% ka izafa kiya, jabke Dow Jones ne 0.3% ka izafa kiya. S&P ke 11 sectors mein se nau sectors ne upar ki taraf khatam kiya, jahan technology, telecommunications, aur consumer discretionary stocks ne lead kiya. Tech giants jaise Nvidia (4.1%), Apple (1.8%), aur Meta Platforms (1.4%) ne bhi khaas kirdar ada kiya.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
Euro pichlay trading week ki main resistance ko break nahi kar saka, wapas se bounce back kar gaya aur apni kuch hafton ki tamam gains kho di. Price 1.1198 tak phir se pohnchi magar foran hi rollback kar gayi, jiska natija ek sharp decline mein nikla. Price signal zone se breakout to kar gayi, magar usay hold nahi kar saki. Iss wajah se jo sustainable development ka scenario tha, wo pura nahi ho saka aur cancel ho gaya. Iske ilawa, price chart super trendy red zone mein chali gayi, jo yeh show karta hai ke sellers ne control apne haath mein le liya hai.

Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, to pair 1.1200 ke psychological resistance barrier ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka, jo ke ek temporary barrier tha. 240-minute chart pe closer look lene se pata chalta hai ke Stochastic negative signals ko overcome karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur pair 50-day SMA se positive impulse lenay ki koshish kar raha hai. Uptrend abhi tak active hai aur sahi direction mein hai, jab tak intraday trading strong support 1.1100 ke upar hai. Agar price resistance 1.1200 ko break kar leti hai, to uptrend ki strength aur ziada accelerate hogi, aur pehla target 1.1250 consider kiya ja sakta hai, jabke agla expected target 1.1300 ho ga. Agar price 1.1100 ke neeche break hoti hai, khaaskar 1.1095, to bullish scenario ruk jayega aur pair negative pressure mein aa jayega, jahan pe target ho ga 1.1065 aur 1.1030 ka retest.



Iss waqt pair bullish levels pe trade kar raha hai, apne weekly lows ke qareeb. Main support area jo ke quotes ko hold nahi kar raha, aur confidence se bahar exit ka matlab hai ke preferred vector ko neeche shift karna zaroori hai. Is baat ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 1.1033 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jo ke current resistance area ki border hai. Iss area ka retest aur subsequent rebound allow karega ek nayi move neeche ki taraf, jiska target ho sakta hai 1.0837 aur 1.0763 areas.

Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 1.1121 ke reversal level ke upar chali jati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

**EUR/USD Tajziya**

Yeh mumkin hai ke price hafte ke shuru mein barh jaye aur neela channel line ya monthly pivot level tak pahunche, phir dobara girne se pehle. Isliye, is pair mein trader agle hafte bechne ke mauqay par dhyan nahi de sakta, jo do pehluon par munasib hai. Jab price 1.0950 ke neeche chaar trading ghanton tak mustahkam ho jaye, toh bechne ka mauqa is level ke neeche mil sakta hai. Agar price monthly pivot level tak barhta hai aur 4-hour chart par bearish price action banta hai, toh bechne ke liye entry kar sakte hain.

Agle hafte price movement ke liye do mumkinat hain. Pehla, price shuruat se 1.0945 ke level ke neeche mustahkam hona chahiye aur phir 1.0910 ke support level tak girna chahiye. Pair ke 4-hour chart par price ek naya upar ka target de raha hai, jo weekly resistance level 1.0955 hai, lekin traders un levels ka intezar kar rahe hain jahan yen pairs is upar ki lehar se neeche ki taraf bounce kar sakti hain.

Is hafte, pair ne upar ki taraf price channels mein trading ki, jo price ke barhne ko support kar raha tha. Jab price upper channels tak pahuncha, neeche ki taraf bounce hua aur price peak banaya, toh price ko neeche ki taraf correction shuru karni thi. Phir se support milne ke baad, price ne price channels ko upar ki taraf tod diya, aur ab yeh 1.0970 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai, jo price ke liye sabse kareeb ka resistance level hai. Is level ke neeche kharidari karna mumkin hai aur apna target is level ke neeche rakhna chahiye.