یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

dikhayi, jabke investors ka dhyaan upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision par tha. ECB ka rate decision Thursday ko scheduled hai, jisme 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut expect kiya ja raha hai, jo ke ECB ki ongoing policy-easing cycle ka hissa hai. Yeh ECB ka dusra rate cut hoga, June mein cycle ke shuru hone ke baad, jab July mein rates unchanged rakhe gaye the.
Haal ke neutral trend ke bawajood, pair ke ird gird ka market sentiment ab bhi cautious hai, kyunki traders ECB ke rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical indicators momentum ki kami ka ishara kar rahe hain, isliye investors ke liye central bank ke policy direction ke clear hone tak side-line par rehna zyada behtar lag raha hai. Agar ECB 25 bps cut ke expected scenario se hat kar koi aur stance leta hai, khaaskar agar ECB zyada dovish approach adopt karta hai, toh market mein iske significant asraat hosakte hain.

**Economists ka Eurozone Recovery Par Outlook**

Bank of America (BofA) ke economists ne Eurozone ke economic recovery par ek cautious outlook diya hai. Unka forecast hai ke 2025 aur 2026 mein additional rate cuts dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jisse deposit rate 2025 ke third quarter tak 2% tak aa sakta hai aur 2026 mein 1.5% tak ho sakta hai. BofA ke mutabiq Eurozone ki recovery fragile hai aur various economic aur political pressures ke wajah se shallow rehne ka imkaan hai, jisme China mein slowing growth bhi shaamil hai. Yeh outlook Euro ki performance par uncertainty barhata hai, jab market participants currency par long-term asraat ko assess kar rahe hain.

**ECB Policy Speculation Jaari Hai**

Consensus yeh hai ke ECB September mein ek aur rate cut implement karega. Magar traders ab bhi divided hain ke kya ECB November ya December meetings mein additional cuts implement karega ya nahi, ya shayad dono mein. ECB ka yeh cautious approach complex economic landscape ko reflect karta hai, jisme inflation aur global economic headwinds jese ongoing challenges shaamil hain. Aane wali yeh policy decisions Euro ke short-term direction ko shape karne mein bohot crucial role play karenge.

**EUR/USD Ke Key Technical Levels**

Pair abhi neutral se upward bias mein hai, lekin agar key support level 1.1126 break hota hai, toh downward trend trigger hosakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ka agla target psychologically significant 1.1100 level hoga, uske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.1162 par. Agar pair yeh levels breach karta hai, toh yeh 100-DMA confluence ko 1.1155 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai, aur further downside pair ko swing low 1.0777 ki taraf

EUR USD ANALYSIS UPDATES

EUR/USD H4 time frame par dekha jaye to EUR/USD pair pichlay chand sessions se ek barabar ooper ki taraf chal raha hai, lekin mid-term outlook abhi tak unclear hai. Ye kehna k trend mein koi tabdeeli anay wali hai abhi thora jaldi hai, kyun ke pair abhi tak daily uptrend ke andar mazbooti se qaim hai. Filhaal EUR/USD takreeban 1.1013 ya us se thora neeche ke level par hai, jo ek ahem support zone hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Ye area ek bara threshold hai jis ne ab tak ooper ki momentum ko barqarar rakha hai, aur kisi bara girawat ko roka hai. Jab tak pair is trend line se upar hai, ye umeed hai ke bullish movement agle sessions mein bhi barqarar reh sakti hai.


Technical front par dekha jaye to pair H4 chart par ahem moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish momentum ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi neutral range mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pair ke paas mazeed ooper janay ki jagah hai overbought conditions tak pohanchne se pehle. Is waqt price 1.1013 ke qareeb consolidate kar rahi hai, jo ke bulls aur bears donon ke liye ek important area hai.



Agar pair is key level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh 1.1060 ke agle resistance ki taraf chalta reh sakta hai. Ye bullish trend ka continuation hoga, aur agar koi positive factors samnay aaye to mazeed faida ho sakta hai. Lekin agar EUR/USD pair 1.1013 ke neeche toot jata hai, to ek bara correction shuru ho sakta hai, aur agla support level takreeban 1.0950 par hoga. Halankeh pair ki recent strength ko dekh kar ye bhi zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat barhti jaye, kyun ke market volatility technical outlook ko jald tabdeel kar sakti hai, khaaskar jab bara economic data samnay aane wala ho. Traders ko key levels aur un news events par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle dinon mein market ko asar kar sakti hain.

Agar current uptrend line ke neeche break hota hai, to ye mid-term trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai, lekin jab tak aisa nahi hota, ooper janay ki momentum barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 time frame par EUR/USD pair mazboot uptrend mein hai, aur 1.1013 ka support level is momentum ko sustain karne mein crucial role ada kar raha hai. Abhi trend mein koi tabdeeli ka kehna jaldi hoga, lekin traders ko is level par khabar dar rehna chahiye, kyun ke ye pair ke aglay direction ka taayun kar sakta hai. फिलहाल uptrend intact lagta hai, aur jab tak market mein koi bara change nahi aata, bulls ka ghalba barqarar reh sakta hai.

EUR/USD mazeed neeche jaaye jab tak ke supply area 1.1187 ko upar se break nahi kiya jata. Mere khayal mein agar koi rise hoti hai tou woh sirf ek correction ho sakti hai. Resistance ka sabse mota layer abhi torhna mushkil lagta hai. Candle ko mazeed girne ke liye H1 support 1.1088 ke price ko break karna hoga. Abhi ke liye, candle SBR region 1.1132 ko cross karne mein naakaam rahi hai, aur EUR/USD ke decline ki tayari lag rahi hai. Shayad retracement ya price bounce ho sakta hai is se pehle ke EUR/USD phir se giray. Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar analysis kiya jaye, tou tenkan aur kijun sen lines intersect kar chuki hain, jo ke yeh signal de rahi hain ke EUR/USD ka downtrend shuru ho chuka hai. Candle ki position ab line ke neeche move kar gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka ishara hai. Is waqt, ichimoku signal kehti hai ke euro jaldi kamzor ho sakta hai, aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi ke liye almost oversold state mein hai kyun ke candle apne lowest level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 20 hai. Jab tak stochastic line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai, EUR/USD ka movement decline karta rahega, lekin aapko hoshiyaar rehna hoga kyun ke yeh kabhi bhi upar ja sakti hai. EUR/USD pair par downward pressure aata hai. German ZEW Economic Sentiment euro ko boost de sakti hai, lekin US dollar ki strength ke chances bhi hain, is liye trading ko ehtiyat se handle karna chahiye. Ek fundamental strategy adopt karna better hoga, khaaskar UK session ke dauran jab market movements zyada hoti hain. Is period mein significant price changes market direction ka clear signal de sakti hain. Fundamental analysis ko apne strategy mein shaamil karke informed trading decisions liye ja sakte hain, economic data releases aur unke implications ko samajh kar. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj ka market condition buyers ke haq mein hoga, aur EUR/USD pair aage upar move kare ga. Agar positive momentum barqarar raha, toh market 1.1166 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh target ek important resistance point hai, aur agar price yeh level touch kar hai

EUR/USD currency pair abhi apni recent kamyabi ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Do din tak positive movement ke baad, yeh pair US session ke dauran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye spot prices 1.1180 ke critical level ke thoda upar hain aur lagbhag unchanged hain jabke dealers US ki ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD takriban 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Aage dekhte hue, Euro ke bulls ka focus kuch ahem resistance levels par hai, jisme 1.1200 ka recent high aur July 2023 ka 1.1276 peak shamil hain. Doosri taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level neeche ki taraf movement ke khilaf ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance aur support levels ka balance near-term mein pair ki performance ke liye ihtiyat pasand optimism ko zahir karta hai.

### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals
Haal hi mein aaye data ne Eurozone ki economic challenges ko ujagar kiya hai, khaaskar uski do bari economies mein. Germany ki industrial production mein July mein 2.4% ki significant girawat aayi, jo expected sirf 0.3% decline ke muqable mein thi. France ne bhi ek downtrend report kiya, jisme industrial output 0.5% se kam hui. Yeh disappointing numbers bearish outlook ko faroogh dete hain, jaise ke Reuters ke ek survey mein dikhaya gaya jo August 30 se September 5 tak conduct hua, jisme 85% economists ne anticipate kiya ke European Central Bank (ECB) aane wale meetings mein interest rate cuts apply karegi.

In economic challenges ko madde nazar rakhte hue, kai ECB officials market ke potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se comfortable nazar aa rahe hain. ECB Executive Board ke member Piero Cipollone ne ek interview mein is khauf ka izhar kiya ke "ECB ka stance bohat zyada restrictive ho sakta hai." Yeh jazba Eurozone ki economic situation par badhne wali fikr ko zahir karta hai aur monetary policy mein ek shift ke imkaan ko faroogh deta hai.

### Continual Time Frame Technical Outlook
1.1150 level ke upar earnings ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka near-term outlook ihtiyaat ke saath optimistic lag raha hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas support establish kiya hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.1157 par hai. Iske ilawa, longer-term indicators jaise 50-day aur 100-day EMAs, jo 1.1144 aur 1.1135 par hain, upward trend dikhate hain, jo future growth ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, currency pair hourly chart par Rising Channel mein apni position barqarar rakhti hai, jo positive momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Technical indicators EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai

Mujhe bhi 1.09150 par rollback ki umeed thi, yahan resistance hai jise pair ke liye mazbooti se paar karna mushkil hai. Kuch dafa isay paar karne ki koshish ho sakti hai, jaise ke pair abhi kar raha hai, lekin consolidation karna mushkil hoga. Agar consolidation hota hai, to growth 1.09250 ki resistance ki taraf barh sakti hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke aisa is girawat ke baad mumkin nahi hai jo EUR /USD pair ne haal hi mein dikhayi hai. Is liye, main aapki tarah intezar kar raha hoon, aaj khabron ke dauran pair neeche ki taraf reverse hoga lekin 1.10500 ka mark nahi paar kar paayega. Aaj unke paas isay karne ka waqt nahi hoga; wo iske kareeb aayenge, aur shayad agle hafte isay paar kar sakein.

Yeh current price se bohot door hai, aur aakhri hafte tak pair ke liye itni doori paar karna mushkil hai. Isliye, hum 1.3065 tak pahunch sakte hain aur wahan ruk sakte hain, aur naye hafte mein wo 1.07650 ke neeche aane ki koshish karenge aur


Asal mein, pound ke liye kuch nahi badla hai, kyunki kal yeh girta raha, aur hum ne sirf 1.093110 ke area mein targets nahi hataaye, balki 31st figure ke neeche bhi chale gaye hain, lekin abhi tak wahan consolidate nahi hua hai, aur ab hum phir se upar ya rollback karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh koi hairani ki baat nahi hai, kyunki yeh ghoshna hui hai ke Bank of England bhi rates kam karne ka iraada rakhta hai, aur kal dollar bhi bada hai.

Lekin yeh ab bhi zaroori hai ke dollar aaj kaise trade karega, kyunki sirf hafte ka aakhri nahi hai, balki labor market ke data bhi aane wale hain. Isliye main in prices se bechne ka nahi soch raha. Lekin agar hum 1.098731 area mein wapas aate hain, to main wahan buy karne ki koshish karunga, khaaskar kyunki stop acceptable hoga.

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halankiClick image for larger version
hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziyata active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi

Abhi ke liye, price EMA 50 se ooper move kar gaya hai aur 1.1189 ke high ko test karne ka mauqa hai takay psychological level 1.1200 ko touch kar sake. Lekin Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone mein 90-80 ke levels tak pahunch gaye hain, yeh signal dete hain ke buying saturation point jaldi hit ho sakta hai. Agar price consistently 2 Moving Average lines aur 1.1100 ke psychological level se ooper rehta hai, toh rally bullish trend direction mein continue kar sakti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) ka histogram jo level 0 ya negative area mein hai, yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend momentum weak ho raha hai, kyun ke histogram volume abhi tak widen nahi ho pa raha aur positive area ko cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Substantial decline ka imkaan kam hai, lekin pehle jo momentum tha woh fade ho gaya hai. Price ko aaj ke opening level ke neeche consolidate karna padega. Oscillators ne bearish turn le liya hai, aur histogram pe local bearish divergence bhi dikhai de rahi hai. Aaj ke price increase ne histogram bars ko zero line ke ooper move nahi karwaya, jo weak upward momentum ko dikhata hai. Hamein dekhna padega ke aaj ka session kaise close hota hai before making further decisions. Channels abhi bhi upward trend kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary movement abhi bhi bullish hai aur koi breakdown nahi hua. Agar junior channel ka mid line senior channel ke mid line se neeche pull ho jata hai ya koi clear downtrend signal milta hai, toh selling opportunity ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is situation mein target weekly opening level ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1076 ke aas paas marked hai. Lekin jab tak koi clear shift in direction ka indication nahi milta, caution zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.10 level tak girta hai aur yeh level hold karta hai, toh pair 1.0961 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh decline recent gains ko erase kar sakta hai jo Fed rate expectations ke wajah se aaye the. ECB bhi further rate cuts karne wala hai, lekin decline Fed ke sharp movements ke mukable surprisingly gradual hai. Agar bullish outlook ko dekhain, toh EUR/USD ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai. Price bullish weakness show kar raha hai aur intraday local bearish trend ko follow kar raha hai.

EUR/USD market ki halat ko dekhte huye aglay hafte ke liye sell ka option ab bhi ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Bas yehi hai ke trade execute karne se pehle sahi waqt ka intezar karna behtar rahega, jaise ke choti time frame par koi valid bearish candlestick pattern ka zahoor ho. Umeed yeh hai ke is waqt ka intezar karne se achi quality ki trades ki ja sakein gi, jisme ideal risk-reward calculations aur achi winning rate probability ho. Trade decisions lene mein, sab se qareebi support aur resistance level par tawajjo dena zaroori hai. Ye support aur resistance level ka andaza lagane ke liye aap Bollinger Bands, Moving Average, Horizontal Line ya Psychological price level ka istemal kar sakte hain. Yeh sab trader ke technical analysis ke andaz par mabni hota hai, jo ke samajhne mein asaan hota hai. Agar price qareebi support area mein kisi rejection pattern ka zahoor karti hai, to buy trade ka option foran le sakte hain. Lekin agar support area se breakout hota hai, to buy trade ka plan dobara sochna parega, kyun ke forex market mein price movements dynamic hoti hain, aur kisi bhi waqt rukh badal sakti hain. Is liye, risk calculations ko abhi se tayar karna zaroori hai, taake hum trading plan ke mutabiq amal kar sakein. Is tarah agar market achanak ulta chaley, to jo losses honge woh pehle se tay kiye gaye risk limits ke mutabiq honge. Agar hum weekly timeframe par eurusd chart ko dekhein, to guzishta hafte mein price ne nichey ki taraf move kiya. Is se yeh sabit hota hai ke pichle hafte ka EUR/USD trading seller camp ke qabzay mein tha. Yeh kamzori aglay hafte ke trading par bhi asar dalay gi, is liye is currency pair mein trade karte waqt ehtiyat baratna hoga. Agar aap pichlay hafte ki eurusd price movement ko dekhein, to yeh currency pair jis ne 1.0849 ke price par open kiya tha, 1.0917 ke level par apni highest trading price ko barqarar nahi rakh saka. Jab price apne highest level ko chhua, to eurusd par seller camp ka pressure aya aur price nichey girne lagi. Ye downward movement tab tak jaari rahi jab tak lowest trading level 1.0800 ko chhu nahi liya. Is ke baad eurusd ne sideways move kiya aur trading ka ikhtitam 1.0801 ke price par hua.

Abhi ke liye, price EMA 50 se ooper move kar gaya hai aur 1.1189 ke high ko test karne ka mauqa hai takay psychological level 1.1200 ko touch kar sake. Lekin Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone mein 90-80 ke levels tak pahunch gaye hain, yeh signal dete hain ke buying saturation point jaldi hit ho sakta hai. Agar price consistently 2 Moving Average lines aur 1.1100 ke psychological level se ooper rehta hai, toh rally bullish trend direction mein continue kar sakti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) ka histogram jo level 0 ya negative area mein hai, yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend momentum weak ho raha hai, kyun ke histogram volume abhi tak widen nahi ho pa raha aur positive area ko cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Substantial decline ka imkaan kam hai, lekin pehle jo momentum tha woh fade ho gaya hai. Price ko aaj ke opening level ke neeche consolidate karna padega. Oscillators ne bearish turn le liya hai, aur histogram pe local bearish divergence bhi dikhai de rahi hai. Aaj ke price increase ne histogram bars ko zero line ke ooper move nahi karwaya, jo weak upward momentum ko dikhata hai. Hamein dekhna padega ke aaj ka session kaise close hota hai before making further decisions. Channels abhi bhi upward trend kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary movement abhi bhi bullish hai aur koi breakdown nahi hua. Agar junior channel ka mid line senior channel ke mid line se neeche pull ho jata hai ya koi clear downtrend signal milta hai, toh selling opportunity ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is situation mein target weekly opening level ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1076 ke aas paas marked hai. Lekin jab tak koi clear shift in direction ka indication nahi milta, caution zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.10 level tak girta hai aur yeh level hold karta hai, toh pair 1.0961 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh decline recent gains ko erase kar sakta hai jo Fed rate expectations ke wajah se aaye the. ECB bhi further rate cuts karne wala hai, lekin decline Fed ke sharp movements ke mukable surprisingly gradual hai. Agar bullish outlook ko dekhain, toh EUR/USD ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai. Price bullish weakness show kar raha hai aur intraday local bearish trend ko follow kar raha hai.

Eur/Usd Bulish signal ke bawajood, kuch asaraat hain jo yeh dikhate hain ke ek pullback ho sakta hai is se pehle ke price apni upward move ko jari rakhe. Short positions, yaani "shorts," shayad 1.0931 ke qareeb profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un logon ke liye ek point of interest hai jo currency pair mein temporary decline ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ke liye aik consolidation period faraham kar sakta hai, jo isay mazeed taqat deinay ke liye zaroori hai is se pehle ke price higher levels ki taraf dobara barh sake.
Eur/Usd currency pair is waqt stability ke dor se guzar raha hai aur Friday ke Asian session mein narrow range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Abhi yeh 1.0988 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke July 2023 se iska sabse ucha level hai, jab ke peechle din yeh 1.0999 tak bhi gaya. Traders ab UK aur US se flash Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, aur market short-term trading opportunities ke liye tayyar hai.

Agar 1.3080 ka pehla level break hota hai, toh downward trend ki continuity ka imkaan barh jata hai, magar 1.0890 ka level tab bhi ek aham deewar ka kaam karega. Is wajah se, agle kuch hafton ke liye yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke market ka reaction is key level pe kaisa rehta hai.Bohat se traders is situation mein cautious rehte hain, kyunki medium-term levels pe trends dekhte huay short-term fluctuations ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Jo log fundamental analysis pe kam rely karte hain, unke liye is tarah ke technical analysis tools ka istemal zaroori hota hai, taake market ke trends ka behtar andaaza lagaya ja sake.

Yeh analysis currency pair ke real-time price action par mabni hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam yeh hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair abhi apni recent kamyabi ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Do din tak positive movement ke baad, yeh pair US session ke dauran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye spot prices 1.1180 ke critical level ke thoda upar hain aur lagbhag unchanged hain jabke dealers US ki ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD takriban 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai.
Aage dekhte hue, Euro ke bulls ka focus kuch ahem resistance levels par hai, jisme 1.1200 ka recent high aur July 2023 ka 1.1276 peak shamil hain. Doosri taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level neeche ki taraf movement ke khilaf ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance aur support levels ka balance near-term mein pair ki performance ke liye ihtiyat pasand optimism ko zahir karta hai.

### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals
Haal hi mein aaye data ne Eurozone ki economic challenges ko ujagar kiya hai, khaaskar uski do bari economies mein. Germany ki industrial production mein July mein 2.4% ki significant girawat aayi, jo expected sirf 0.3% decline ke muqable mein thi. France ne bhi ek downtrend report kiya, jisme industrial output 0.5% se kam hui. Yeh disappointing numbers bearish outlook ko faroogh dete hain, jaise ke Reuters ke ek survey mein dikhaya gaya jo August 30 se September 5 tak conduct hua, jisme 85% economists ne anticipate kiya ke European Central Bank (ECB) aane wale meetings mein interest rate cuts apply karegi.

In economic challenges ko madde nazar rakhte hue, kai ECB officials market ke potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se comfortable nazar aa rahe hain. ECB Executive Board ke member Piero Cipollone ne ek interview mein is khauf ka izhar kiya ke "ECB ka stance bohat zyada restrictive ho sakta hai." Yeh jazba Eurozone ki economic situation par badhne wali fikr ko zahir karta hai aur monetary policy mein ek shift ke imkaan ko faroogh deta hai.

### Continual Time Frame Technical Outlook
1.1150 level ke upar earnings ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka near-term outlook ihtiyaat ke saath optimistic lag raha hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas support establish kiya hai, jo ke lagbhag 1.1157 par hai. Iske ilawa, longer-term indicators jaise 50-day aur 100-day EMAs, jo 1.1144 aur 1.1135 par hain, upward trend dikhate hain, jo future growth ka imkaan zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, currency pair hourly chart par Rising Channel mein apni position barqarar rakhti hai, jo positive momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Technical indicators EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai

Hum filhal EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb resistance area ka ek "false" breakout dekha gaya. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai. Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai.
EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain.

Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.

Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain.

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S** **E U R / U S D**

Subah bakhair fellow traders. Aaj hum EUR/USD market ka tajzia karenge jo ke is haftay ke liye trading mein bohat faidamand sabit ho sakta hai. Ab baat karte hain aaj ke chart ki jo ke D1 time frame mein tayar kiya gaya hai. Iss waqt EUR/USD 1.0975 par trade kar raha hai. Raat ko EUR/USD pair ki harkat kaafi bearish rahi aur gehri girawat hui, jo is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke EUR/USD pair abhi bhi sellers ke qaboo mein hai jo isay bearish trend mein le ja rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator buy ya sell signals aur market trend ki maloomat faraham karta hai. RSI indicator iss waqt 38.4660 par hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ki downward movement bhi ek baar phir downward movement ke aaghaz ka ishara degi. Agar EUR/USD twenty periods exponential moving average aur 50 periods exponential moving average se break karta hai, tou EUR/USD ke qeemat mein mazeed girawat aayegi. Agar aisa hota hai, tou aap sell trade khol kar profit hasil kar sakte hain.

Jo market price hai, wo resistance 1.1107 ki taraf ja rahi hai jo pehla resistance level hai. Agar market price 1.1107 resistance zone ko break karti hai, tou market mazeed higher levels 1.1276 tak ja sakti hai. Uske baad, market price 1.1543 ke aglay resistance level tak bhi move kar sakti hai jo teesra resistance level hai. Dosri taraf, qareebi support 1.0842 ke aas paas hai. Agar market price yahi trend follow karti hai aur aur girti hai, tou market price aane wale dinon mein doosra support level create kar sakti hai. Uske baad, agar sellers 1.0611 se neeche girane mein kamiyab hote hain, tou agla focus sellers ka 1.0452 barrier par hoga jo teesra support level hai. Agar aisa hota hai, tou mujhe lagta hai ke aap EUR/USD mein sell trade karne ki koshish kar sakte hain.


**Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:**
- **MACD indicator:**
- **RSI indicator period 14:**
- **50-day exponential moving average rang Orange:**
- **20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:**

Euro Thursday ko apne buland tareen satah par pohch gaya, jab ke US dollar ki wide-scale sell-off ne euro ko support diya. Positive US economic data ne US economy ke slow down kay khauf ko kam kar diya, lekin kuch risks ab bhi mojood hain. US economy ne filhal recession se bach liya hai, lekin key activity data ab bhi slowdown ke isharaat de raha hai. Federal Reserve ke recent faislay ne, jisme unhon ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se cut kiya, global markets mein kuch khauf paida kiya hai. Baaz investors recession ke baray mein fears ka izhar kar rahe hain.Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne wazahat ki ke ye rate cut ek proactive measure hai taake US labor market ko support mil sake, na ke recession ke signs ko respond karne ka ikdam. Positive data jisme US durable goods orders aur weekly jobless claims shamil hain, ne Fed ke stance ko aur mazid barhawa diya aur economy ke liye ek soft landing ka tasavvur mazid mazboot kiya. Friday ka Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data bohot important hoga taake Fed ke recent rate cuts ka asar dekh sake.August mein US durable goods orders 0.0% rahe month-over-month, jo ke expectations ke 2.6% contraction se kaafi behtar hai. Iske ilawa, initial jobless claims 218,000 tak gir gaye September 20 ko khatam hone wale haftay mein, jo ke estimates ke 225,000 se behtar hain aur peechlay haftay ke revised 222,000 se bhi kam hain.Thursday ke bullish rally ke bawajood, euro ab tak 1.1200 level se neeche hi rahega. Buyers actively koshish kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD ko upper limit tak push kar sakein, lekin sellers ke pass momentum ke kami se downside move ke options mehdoood ho rahe hain. Pair ab tak 50-day EMA ke upar 1.1040 par acha khaasa stable hai, aur price action ke liye ab bhi kafi room hai taake wo 1.1200 se upar ja sake.H4 timeframe par dekha jaye to hume nazar aata hai ke takreeban 75% girawat jo hum Wednesday ko dekh rahe thay, wo Thursday ko euro/dollar par recover ho gayi. Aaj Friday hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke upward movement jari rahegi aur pichla local maximum update hoga. H4 chart par southern channel pehle broken tha, aur ek ascending channel form ho gaya hai. Technically, lower border se rebound ke baad ek nai wave of growth shuru hui, aur buyers ka goal upper border tak pohchna hoga, jo takreeban 1.1220 ke level par intersect karega.Hum wahan ki taraf confident pace ke sath barh rahe hain, aur aap euro/dollar ko current levels 1.1176 se buy kar sakte hain. Mera bhi purchase open hai, lekin abhi tak slight drawdown ka samna hai. Agar pair Asia mein aur zyada north extend nahi hota, to hum Europe mein growth ko jari rakhein ge, bilkul kal ke example
Hum is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior analysis ke hawalay se ek dilchasp behas mein mashghool hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb ek "false" breakout ka dekhne ko mila hai. Aise false breakouts ke baad aksar price ulat direction mein chalna shuru karti hai, jo agle chand sessions mein neechey ki janib ja sakti hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab baday market players aur sellers ke paas consequential orders ke liye kaafi counter-liquidity nahi hoti. Jab price is zone se breakout karti hai toh us jagah par lagaye gaye orders—zyadatar buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hote hain. Is liye, jab ek "false" breakout ka pata chale, toh ye prudent hota hai ke ek reversal ka intezar kiya jaye. Agar aaj ka low breach hota hai, toh rasta 1.1096 level tak khul jaye ga aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Magar yeh is baat par mabni hai ke aaj ka low breach hota hai ya nahi. Abhi pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur phir se is moving average ke oopar trade karne ka irada rakhta hai.
Agar hum EURUSD ka chart dekhein, toh aaj ek bullish scenario dekhne ko mil raha hai. Is waqt price 1.1113 par hai, aur bullish momentum zor pakar raha hai kyun ke buyers market mein apni hukoomat ko barhawa de rahe hain. Bulls apni taqat ko achi tareh se barhawa de rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ki nishani hai. Yeh surge yeh batata hai ke aglay chand ghantay EURUSD pair ke liye bohot aham ho sakte hain. Agar yeh bullish trend barqarar rehta hai, toh intehai imkaan hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 ke resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek aham marhala hai, jo agar paar ho gaya, toh bullish outlook ko mazeed validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka rasta khol sakta hai.

**EUR/USD Price Analysis:**
Bohat se traders ke liye EUR/USD aik pasandeeda currency pair hai, kyun ke yeh liquidity aur fundamental aur technical factors ke liye sensitive hai. Filhal, price action short-term aur medium-term trades ke liye mauqe faraham karta hai, depending on market conditions kaise evolve hoti hain. H4 time frame par, hum aik well-defined market structure dekh sakte hain, jahan EUR/USD pair ne halia market developments ke asar se mustaqil harkat dikhayi hai. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq daily chart par yeh pair ke behavior ko samajhna asan hai, khaaskar jab key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanna ho. Yeh levels traders ke liye bohat ahem hain, kyun ke yeh potential entry aur exit points ka pata dete hain, aur market ka rujhan bhi samajhne mein madadgar hote hain.

Is waqt EUR/USD ek defined range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan 1.1100 ka level significant support ka kaam kar raha hai, jabke resistance 1.1200 ke qareeb hai. Guzishta haftay mein price in levels ke darmiyan oscillate kar rahi thi, aur ab bullish bias nikal kar saamne aa raha hai. Jese jese EUR apni position USD ke muqable mein mazid mazboot karne ki koshish kar raha hai, traders ko potential breakouts ka intezar karna chahiye, khaaskar agar 1.1100 resistance ke upar breakout hota hai. Agar aisa hota hai, tou hum further bullish movement dekh sakte hain jo 1.1250 level tak ja sakti hai, jo momentum mein tabdeeli ka ishara hoga.

**EUR/USD Currency Pair Fluctuations:**

EUR/USD currency pair kaafi gir gaya hai, jahan 1.1141 se 1.1084 tak lagbhag 60 pips ki girawat hui. Yeh girawat Core CPI Flash ke data ke baad hui, jo 2.7% tak gir gaya, aur CPI Flash Estimate bhi 1.8% se neeche chala gaya. Iske ilawa, Chicago CPI data ke zariye U.S. dollar exchange rate mazid mazboot hota nazar aya, jo kal 46.6 tak barh gaya. Yeh sab wajahain banin ke EUR/USD aaj mazeed gir kar 1.1060 tak pohanch gaya. Mein apni fundamental research ki buniyad par EUR/USD ko 1.1060 tak SELL karne ka faisla karta hoon, jo ke aaj raat EUR/USD currency pair ke movement par mabni hai.