eur/usd

dikhayi, jabke investors ka dhyaan upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision par tha. ECB ka rate decision Thursday ko scheduled hai, jisme 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut expect kiya ja raha hai, jo ke ECB ki ongoing policy-easing cycle ka hissa hai. Yeh ECB ka dusra rate cut hoga, June mein cycle ke shuru hone ke baad, jab July mein rates unchanged rakhe gaye the.
Haal ke neutral trend ke bawajood, pair ke ird gird ka market sentiment ab bhi cautious hai, kyunki traders ECB ke rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical indicators momentum ki kami ka ishara kar rahe hain, isliye investors ke liye central bank ke policy direction ke clear hone tak side-line par rehna zyada behtar lag raha hai. Agar ECB 25 bps cut ke expected scenario se hat kar koi aur stance leta hai, khaaskar agar ECB zyada dovish approach adopt karta hai, toh market mein iske significant asraat hosakte hain.

**Economists ka Eurozone Recovery Par Outlook**

Bank of America (BofA) ke economists ne Eurozone ke economic recovery par ek cautious outlook diya hai. Unka forecast hai ke 2025 aur 2026 mein additional rate cuts dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jisse deposit rate 2025 ke third quarter tak 2% tak aa sakta hai aur 2026 mein 1.5% tak ho sakta hai. BofA ke mutabiq Eurozone ki recovery fragile hai aur various economic aur political pressures ke wajah se shallow rehne ka imkaan hai, jisme China mein slowing growth bhi shaamil hai. Yeh outlook Euro ki performance par uncertainty barhata hai, jab market participants currency par long-term asraat ko assess kar rahe hain.

**ECB Policy Speculation Jaari Hai**

Consensus yeh hai ke ECB September mein ek aur rate cut implement karega. Magar traders ab bhi divided hain ke kya ECB November ya December meetings mein additional cuts implement karega ya nahi, ya shayad dono mein. ECB ka yeh cautious approach complex economic landscape ko reflect karta hai, jisme inflation aur global economic headwinds jese ongoing challenges shaamil hain. Aane wali yeh policy decisions Euro ke short-term direction ko shape karne mein bohot crucial role play karenge.

**EUR/USD Ke Key Technical Levels**

Pair abhi neutral se upward bias mein hai, lekin agar key support level 1.1126 break hota hai, toh downward trend trigger hosakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ka agla target psychologically significant 1.1100 level hoga, uske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.1162 par. Agar pair yeh levels breach karta hai, toh yeh 100-DMA confluence ko 1.1155 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai, aur further downside pair ko swing low 1.0777 ki taraf

EUR USD ANALYSIS UPDATES

EUR/USD H4 time frame par dekha jaye to EUR/USD pair pichlay chand sessions se ek barabar ooper ki taraf chal raha hai, lekin mid-term outlook abhi tak unclear hai. Ye kehna k trend mein koi tabdeeli anay wali hai abhi thora jaldi hai, kyun ke pair abhi tak daily uptrend ke andar mazbooti se qaim hai. Filhaal EUR/USD takreeban 1.1013 ya us se thora neeche ke level par hai, jo ek ahem support zone hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Ye area ek bara threshold hai jis ne ab tak ooper ki momentum ko barqarar rakha hai, aur kisi bara girawat ko roka hai. Jab tak pair is trend line se upar hai, ye umeed hai ke bullish movement agle sessions mein bhi barqarar reh sakti hai.


Technical front par dekha jaye to pair H4 chart par ahem moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish momentum ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi neutral range mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pair ke paas mazeed ooper janay ki jagah hai overbought conditions tak pohanchne se pehle. Is waqt price 1.1013 ke qareeb consolidate kar rahi hai, jo ke bulls aur bears donon ke liye ek important area hai.



Agar pair is key level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh 1.1060 ke agle resistance ki taraf chalta reh sakta hai. Ye bullish trend ka continuation hoga, aur agar koi positive factors samnay aaye to mazeed faida ho sakta hai. Lekin agar EUR/USD pair 1.1013 ke neeche toot jata hai, to ek bara correction shuru ho sakta hai, aur agla support level takreeban 1.0950 par hoga. Halankeh pair ki recent strength ko dekh kar ye bhi zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat barhti jaye, kyun ke market volatility technical outlook ko jald tabdeel kar sakti hai, khaaskar jab bara economic data samnay aane wala ho. Traders ko key levels aur un news events par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle dinon mein market ko asar kar sakti hain.

Agar current uptrend line ke neeche break hota hai, to ye mid-term trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai, lekin jab tak aisa nahi hota, ooper janay ki momentum barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 time frame par EUR/USD pair mazboot uptrend mein hai, aur 1.1013 ka support level is momentum ko sustain karne mein crucial role ada kar raha hai. Abhi trend mein koi tabdeeli ka kehna jaldi hoga, lekin traders ko is level par khabar dar rehna chahiye, kyun ke ye pair ke aglay direction ka taayun kar sakta hai. फिलहाल uptrend intact lagta hai, aur jab tak market mein koi bara change nahi aata, bulls ka ghalba barqarar reh sakta hai.