eur/usd

EUR/USD
EUR/USD ka Tajziya (Analysis)
EUR/USD duniya ke sab se zyada trade hone wale currency pairs mein se ek hai. Yeh pair European Union ki currency Euro aur US Dollar ko represent karta hai. Forex market mein traders is pair ki demand aur supply ke mutabiq short-term aur long-term trades karte hain. Ab hum dekhte hain ke EUR/USD ka current analysis kya hai.

Economic Indicators ka Asar

Economic indicators ka EUR/USD par seedha asar hota hai. Eurozone aur US ke GDP growth, inflation rate, aur interest rates ke data ko closely dekhna zaroori hota hai. Agar Eurozone ki economy mazid strong hoti hai aur US economy me weakness hoti hai, toh yeh EUR/USD ke liye bullish signal hota hai, yaani Euro mazid strong ho sakta hai.

US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policy bhi EUR/USD par bohot asar dalti hai. Agar Fed interest rates ko barhata hai, toh US Dollar ko strength milti hai, jiski wajah se EUR/USD neeche ja sakta hai. Eurozone ki European Central Bank (ECB) ki policies bhi market sentiment par asar dalti hain.

Technical Indicators

EUR/USD ke charts par technical indicators ko dekhna zaroori hota hai. Abhi ke liye 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko dekhte hain. Agar price in averages ke upar ho, toh yeh bullish signal hota hai. Lekin agar price averages ke neeche jaye, toh market mein bearish sentiment ho sakta hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi ek strong tool hai. Agar RSI 70 se upar ho, toh yeh overbought market ka indication hai, aur yeh bearish reversal ka sign ho sakta hai. Agar RSI 30 se neeche ho, toh yeh oversold market ka signal hota hai, jo ke bullish reversal ka chance de sakta hai.

Geo-Political Asar

Geo-political tensions, jaise ke US-China trade war ya Eurozone ke member countries mein economic instability bhi EUR/USD par asar dal sakti hain. Is liye traders ko hamesha in international events ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

Conclusion

EUR/USD trading ke liye ek favorite pair hai forex traders ka, lekin isko trade karte waqt economic data, technical analysis aur geo-political factors ko zaroor dekhna chahiye. Short-term traders ke liye volatility ka faida uthana mumkin hai, jabke long-term traders ke liye market trends ko samajhna zaroori hota hai.

EURUSD currency pair par baat karunga. Guzishta haftay ke market trading ke dauran, pehle lagta tha ke sellers ka downward pressure hai jisse candlestick 1.1087 area tak gir gayi. Lekin, bearish situation last week ke aakhir tak nahi rahi kyun ke buying volume kaafi barh gaya, jisse price dobara shuruati haftay ke opening zone mein wapas aa gayi. Is upward trend ke aage barhne ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo weekly low area se door hoti ja rahi hai. Ye is baat ki tasdeeq karti hai ke buyers market ko apne qabze mein le rahe hain jabke sellers pehle price ko neeche dhakelne mein nakam rahe. Ab inka target qareebi support level tak pahunchna hai. Lekin agar ye support level tor diya gaya, toh ho sakta hai ke price aur neeche jaaye, mazid strong support level tak. Aakhir mein trading ke dauran, price ne apna dynamic barhaya aur qareebi resistance level 1.1182 ko cross kar liya, jisse 1.1246 area mein naya resistance level bana. Ye ek mazboot evidence hai ke buyers abhi market ko fully control kar rahe hain. H4 time frame chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke pehle ka price increase pichlay haftay ke high area ko cross kar chuka hai, aur buyers ne is momentum ka faida uthaya hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator abhi bhi price increase ka signal de raha hai. Abhi price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakti hai, aur candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur bohot zyada chances hain ke price resistance level ko break karke aur upar jaye, jo ke bullish trend ke mustaqbil ka taayun karegi. Agar ye level successfully break ho jata hai, toh price ke aur upar bullish target level tak jaane ke chances hain. Is technical analysis ki base par, EURUSD currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko follow karna ek achha option ho sakta hai.

Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone mein 90-80 ke levels tak pahunch gaye hain, yeh signal dete hain ke buying saturation point jaldi hit ho sakta hai. Agar price consistently 2 Moving Average lines aur 1.1100 ke psychological level se ooper rehta hai, toh rally bullish trend direction mein continue kar sakti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) ka histogram jo level 0 ya negative area mein hai, yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend momentum weak ho raha hai, kyun ke histogram volume abhi tak widen nahi ho pa raha aur positive area ko cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Substantial decline ka imkaan kam hai, lekin pehle jo momentum tha woh fade ho gaya hai. Price ko aaj ke opening level ke neeche consolidate karna padega. Oscillators ne bearish turn le liya hai, aur histogram pe local bearish divergence bhi dikhai de rahi hai. Aaj ke price increase ne histogram bars ko zero line ke ooper move nahi karwaya, jo weak upward momentum ko dikhata hai. Hamein dekhna padega ke aaj ka session kaise close hota hai before making further decisions. Channels abhi bhi upward trend kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary movement abhi bhi bullish hai aur koi breakdown nahi hua. Agar junior channel ka mid line senior channel ke mid line se neeche pull ho jata hai ya koi clear downtrend signal milta hai, toh selling opportunity ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is situation mein target weekly opening level ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.1076 ke aas paas marked hai. Lekin jab tak koi clear shift in direction ka indication nahi milta, caution zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.10 level tak girta hai aur yeh level hold karta hai, toh pair 1.0961 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh decline recent gains ko erase kar sakta hai jo Fed rate expectations ke wajah se aaye the. ECB bhi further rate cuts karne wala hai, lekin decline Fed ke sharp movements ke mukable surprisingly gradual hai. Agar bullish outlook ko dekhain, toh EUR/USD ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nah hai

EUR/USD H1 time frame chart par, abhi exchange rate 1.1150 ke aas paas hai, aur market mein clear bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh downtrend Euro ki U.S. Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori ko dikhata hai, jo kai factors ki wajah se hai, jaise ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur overall market sentiment. Traders ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market ki current momentum ko samajhne mein madadgar hain. Technical indicators, jaise Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce kar rahe hain. Yeh pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke qareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term bounce ho sakta hai, magar overall trend tab tak bearish rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na ho.

Is waqt EUR/USD pair bearish phase mein hai H1 time frame par, aur kai factors euro ki weakness ka sabab ban rahe hain U.S. dollar ke muqable mein. Traders ko aanay wali economic data releases aur geopolitical developments par ghore se nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko aur bhi mutasir kar sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, long positions mein ehtiyaat karni chahiye, jab ke market ko short karne wale traders key technical levels par nazar rakh kar behtar entry points ko dekhen. Candle analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD mein girawat hai aur trend analysis bhi bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke sirf gold hi nahi, balki yen aur franc jesi currencies bhi dollar ke muqable mein gain kar rahi hain. Yeh broader market mein risk aversion ko darshata hai. Mujhe lagta hai yeh Middle East mein barhti hui tensions ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jahan Iran ke involvement ka khatra hai.
Oil prices mein izafa hua hai is rumor ki wajah se ke Iran Israel par missile strike kar sakta hai, aur Israel ne bhi retaliation ka wada kiya hai. Is uncertainty ne market mein declines ko trigger kiya hai. Agar ye tensions raat tak kam ho jati hain, toh kal tak EUR/USD phir se 1.1099 level par aa sakta hai. Aksar aise geopolitical risks jaldi reverse ho jate hain agar situation de-escalate ho jaye. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh euro ne ek ascending wedge se breakout kiya hai aur 1.1049 tak pura retrace kar chuka hai. Agar Iran aur Israel ka conflict aur barhta hai, toh yeh pair 1.0999 level tak gir sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair H1 time frame chart par is waqt 1.1150 level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur market mein ek wazeh bearish trend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh downtrend euro ke U.S. dollar ke muqable mein kamzori ko dikhata hai, jo kai factors ki wajah se hai, jaise ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur overall market sentiment. Traders ko in asraat ka khayal rakhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh market ki current momentum ko samajhne ke liye zaroori hain. Technical indicators, jaise ke Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce kar rahe hain.Pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo continued downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke aas paas hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke ek short-term bounce ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hi rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na ho. EUR/USD pair is waqt H1 time frame par bearish phase mein hai, aur is ke piche kai factors hain jo euro ki weakness ko U.S. dollar ke muqable mein barhawa de rahe hain.
Traders ko upcoming economic data releases aur geopolitical developments ko ghor se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ke direction ko aur bhi influence kar sakti hain. Filhal, long positions ke liye ehtiyaat baratna chahiye, jab ke short positions ke liye technical levels ko ghor se dekhna chahiye taake behtareen entry points mil sakein.European Central Bank (ECB) ke officials ab interest rate cuts ki taraf jhuk rahe hain, kyun ke Eurozone ke economic growth ko le kar chinta barh rahi hai. ECB ke Executive Board member Piero Cipollone ne aik interview mein kaha ke agar rates adjust nahi kiye gaye, to central bank ka stance bohot zyada restrictive ho sakta hai. Reuters ke aik poll ke mutabiq, 85% economists yeh expect kar rahe hain ke ECB agle haftay rates cut karega, aur December mein ek aur cut ki umeed hai.
Wahi, Federal Reserve bhi apni policy ko adjust karne ki taraf ja raha hai. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke Fed officials market expectations ke saath ab rate cut ki taraf ja rahe hain. CNBC ke mutabiq, yeh shift economic indicators aur evolving market conditions ka jawab hai. FXStreet ke FedTracker ne Goolsbee ke comments ko dovish score kiya hai, jiska scale 3.2 out of 10 tha.

On the EUR/USD H1 time frame chart, the pair currently reflects a well-structured market, providing traders with critical technical levels for analysis. The price action suggests the potential for both short- and medium-term trades based on evolving market conditions. Over the past week, the EUR/USD has been trading within a defined range, with 1.1100 acting as significant support and resistance around 1.1200.Despite the overall range-bound movement, a bullish bias has started to emerge, particularly as the euro attempts to strengthen against the U.S. dollar. A key level to watch is the 1.1100 resistance, as a breakout above this level could signal a further bullish push toward 1.1250, indicating a shift in market momentum.At the start of the week, EUR/USD found itself in a strong support zone, aligning with the weekly pivot level at 1.1153. The pair initially reached a weekly high of 1.1223 before facing strong resistance and rebounding downward. The bearish wave broke through both the price channels and the weekly support level at 1.1091, which now serves as an important level to monitor.As long as the price remains below 1.1091, the next downside target is the weekly support at 1.1023. Price behavior around this level will be crucial for determining whether the pair will resume an upward trend or continue its downward trajectory by breaking further support.

On the fundamental side, economic data from the Eurozone is likely to influence the pair's movements this week. Preliminary inflation figures are expected to show a drop toward the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 2% target, the lowest since June 2021. German inflation is forecasted to fall to 1.7%, and Italian inflation to 0.8%. Weakness is expected in PMI data as well, with Spain’s manufacturing sector in recession and sharper declines in Italy and Switzerland.ECB President Christine Lagarde's upcoming address to the European Parliament could also be a pivotal moment, especially in light of recent speculation that the ECB may accelerate its rate-cutting cycle. With inflation in France and Spain dropping more than expected last week, financial markets are already pricing in the possibility of a rate cut on October 17. Traders should monitor both technical and fundamental developments closely as these factors could significantly affect the direction of the EUR/USD in the coming sessions.

Pair cautiously trade kar rahi hai kyunki Euro (EUR) ne Monday ko subdued performance dikhayi, jabke investors ka dhyaan upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision par tha. ECB ka rate decision Thursday ko scheduled hai, jisme 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut expect kiya ja raha hai, jo ke ECB ki ongoing policy-easing cycle ka hissa hai. Yeh ECB ka dusra rate cut hoga, June mein cycle ke shuru hone ke baad, jab July mein rates unchanged rakhe gaye the.

Haal ke neutral trend ke bawajood, pair ke ird gird ka market sentiment ab bhi cautious hai, kyunki traders ECB ke rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical indicators momentum ki kami ka ishara kar rahe hain, isliye investors ke liye central bank ke policy direction ke clear hone tak side-line par rehna zyada behtar lag raha hai. Agar ECB 25 bps cut ke expected scenario se hat kar koi aur stance leta hai, khaaskar agar ECB zyada dovish approach adopt karta hai, toh market mein iske significant asraat hosakte hain.

**Economists ka Eurozone Recovery Par Outlook**

Bank of America (BofA) ke economists ne Eurozone ke economic recovery par ek cautious outlook diya hai. Unka forecast hai ke 2025 aur 2026 mein additional rate cuts dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jisse deposit rate 2025 ke third quarter tak 2% tak aa sakta hai aur 2026 mein 1.5% tak ho sakta hai. BofA ke mutabiq Eurozone ki recovery fragile hai aur various economic aur political pressures ke wajah se shallow rehne ka imkaan hai, jisme China mein slowing growth bhi shaamil hai. Yeh outlook Euro ki performance par uncertainty barhata hai, jab market participants currency par long-term asraat ko assess kar rahe hain.

**ECB Policy Speculation Jaari Hai**

Consensus yeh hai ke ECB September mein ek aur rate cut implement karega. Magar traders ab bhi divided hain ke kya ECB November ya December meetings mein additional cuts implement karega ya nahi, ya shayad dono mein. ECB ka yeh cautious approach complex economic landscape ko reflect karta hai, jisme inflation aur global economic headwinds jese ongoing challenges shaamil hain. Aane wali yeh policy decisions Euro ke short-term direction ko shape karne mein bohot crucial role play karenge.

**EUR/USD Ke Key Technical Levels**

Pair abhi neutral se upward bias mein hai, lekin agar key support level 1.1126 break hota hai, toh downward trend trigger hosakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ka agla target psychologically significant 1.1100 level hoga, uske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.1162 par. Agar pair yeh levels breach karta hai, toh yeh 100-DMA confluence ko 1.1155 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai, aur further downside pair ko swing low 1.0777 ki taraf le ja sakti hai.

Hello dosto,

Aaj hum EUR/USD ke baare mein baat karte hain. Kal daily chart par buying orders nazar aaye the. Filhal hum downtrend mein hain, lekin dekhna yeh hai ke yeh pair aage kis taraf jaata hai. Kya yeh downtrend jaari rahegi ya phir koi tabdeeliyan aane wali hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ko dekhen aur dekhein ke baqi trading time ke liye kya recommendations di ja sakti hain.

Sab se pehle, moving averages buy signal de rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi actively buying ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Overall analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair upar ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, kuch aham khabrein bhi hain jo is pair ko affect kar sakti hain. ECB President ka speech hua, jo market sentiment par asar daal sakta hai. Ek aur important news release net speculative positions ka data hoga jo euro ke liye hai, aur iska forecast neutral hai. USA se bhi kuch aham khabrein aane wali hain jo filhal neutral nazar aa rahi hain.

In sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mera khayal hai ke hum sideways movement dekh sakte hain. Buying orders se pair shayad resistance level 1.1180 tak pahunche. Dusri taraf, agar selling pressure barhta hai, toh main support level 1.1140 tak girne ki soch raha hoon. Yeh ek rough trading plan hai: dekhte hain ke market kaise react karta hai.

Toh, khulasa yeh hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ke liye sideways movement ki umeed hai. Resistance aur support levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, aur kisi bhi news par bhi dhyan dena hoga jo market ko hila sakti hai. Har kisi ko trading mein achi kismat mile!
Hello dosto,
Aaj hum EUR/USD ke baare mein baat karte hain. Kal daily chart par buying orders nazar aaye the. Filhal hum downtrend mein hain, lekin dekhna yeh hai ke yeh pair aage kis taraf jaata hai. Kya yeh downtrend jaari rahegi ya phir koi tabdeeliyan aane wali hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ko dekhen aur dekhein ke baqi trading time ke liye kya recommendations di ja sakti hain.

Sab se pehle, moving averages buy signal de rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi actively buying ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Overall analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair upar ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, kuch aham khabrein bhi hain jo is pair ko affect kar sakti hain. ECB President ka speech hua, jo market sentiment par asar daal sakta hai. Ek aur important news release net speculative positions ka data hoga jo euro ke liye hai, aur iska forecast neutral hai. USA se bhi kuch aham khabrein aane wali hain jo filhal neutral nazar aa rahi hain.

In sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mera khayal hai ke hum sideways movement dekh sakte hain. Buying orders se pair shayad resistance level 1.1180 tak pahunche. Dusri taraf, agar selling pressure barhta hai, toh main support level 1.1140 tak girne ki soch raha hoon. Yeh ek rough trading plan hai: dekhte hain ke market kaise react karta hai.

Toh, khulasa yeh hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ke liye sideways movement ki umeed hai. Resistance aur support levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, aur kisi bhi news par bhi dhyan dena hoga jo market ko hila sakti hai. Har kisi ko trading mein achi kismat mile!

1.1150 ka level cross kar liya hai jab US dollar weak hua, specially Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke baad. Market mein expectation hai ke agay aur bhi easing measures ho sakti hain, jo euro ko mazeed strength de rahi hai against the dollar. Is waqt jo major resistance level hai wo 1.12 par hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to hum aur bhi gains dekh sakte hain. Support zone abhi 1.1075 aur 1.1125 ke darmiyan hai. Agar aap trading karna chahtay hain to yeh level bohot important hain. DXY USD Index, jo US dollar ko track karta hai, wo 100.70 ke neeche aa gaya hai jab wo apnay weekly high 101.50 ko hold nahi kar saka. Federal Reserve ne apni lending rate ko 50 basis points se cut kar diya hai, jo ab 4.75%-5.00% range mein aa gayi hai. Yeh decision dikhata hai ke policymakers labor market ko support karna chahte hain aur unko inflation ke 2% target ke baray mein confidence hai. Euro zone se aane walay inflation data ne European Central Bank ko



bhi support diya hai ke wo apni rate-cutting cycle ko dheere dheere continue kar sakein, jo EUR/USD ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. EUR/USD ke overall trend main abhi tak koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. Upward movement abhi bhi dominant hai, aur mazeed growth ka potential hai jab tak 1.1151 ka critical level breach nahi hota. Is waqt pair narrow range main 1.1100 ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin kuch pressure ki wajah se price bearish ho sakti hai. Yeh development achi hai, kyun ke ek significant pullback hamesha trading ke liye acha hota hai. Lekin dollar ka impact aaj bohot aham rahega, khas tor par Federal Reserve ke actions ke baad. Market kisi bhi direction main move kar sakta hai, aur yeh narrow range shaayad upcoming news ka pehla signal ho. Powell ki remarks bhi next move par important asar dalenge. Despite is uncertainty ke, mera outlook bullish hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price upar jaayegi. Lekin agar price 1.111 ke neeche girti hai, khaaskar 1.1051 region tak, to main buying ka sochunga un levels par
Tuesday ko U.S. retail sales release hongi, magar substantial volatility ki umeed tab tak nahi hai jab tak data expectations se bohat zyada different na ho. August ke liye U.S. retail sales growth slow hone ki umeed hai 0.2%, jab ke July mai yeh 1.0% thi. Core retail sales, jo autos ko exclude karti hain, 0.3% tak gir sakti hain, jo pehle 0.4% thi. Investors yakin rakhte hain ke Fed Wednesday ko ek naya rate

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halanki

NZD/USD ka market kamiyabi se 0.6243 zone tak pohoncha. Yeh dikhata hai ke buyers mazboot hain aur is market mein survive kar sakte hain. Iske ilawa, US dollar mazid kamzor ho gaya policy shift ke response mein. FOMC Press Conference, jo ke Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ne ki thi, ne investors ko zyada tasalli nahi di. Investors clear guidance ki umeed kar rahe thay financial policy ke aane wale direction par, lekin Powell ke bayanat ne changing economic conditions ke response mein flexibility aur adaptability ki zarurat ko emphasize kiya. Yeh approach uncertainty ke samnay samajhdari ho sakti hai, magar isne market concerns ko kam nahi kiya, aur bohot se market participants ko is baat ka yaqeen nahi ho raha ke aane wale mahinon mein kya tawaqo ki ja sakti hai. Clear direction ki kami ne US dollar mein barqarar uncertainty ko mazeed barhawa diya, jisme currency ka pressure kaafi fronts se aaya.

Tawaqo hai ke NZD/USD ka market agle hafte 0.6275 zone ko cross kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, in bara elaano ka negative impact kuch positive developments se halka ho gaya. Ek aisi hi positive development Philly Fed Manufacturing Index se aayi. Yeh indicator Philadelphia region mein manufacturing sector ki health ko napta hai, aur iske results umeed se zyada achay aaye. Manufacturing indicator par strong reading ko aksar broader economy mein growth aur expansion ka nishan samjha jata hai. Manufacturing sector mein kaarobaron ne izafa shuda production aur orders report kiye, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke kuch areas mein economic activity barh rahi hai. Lekin yeh positive data broader negative sentiment ko neutralize karne ke liye kaafi nahi tha, aur US dollar poore hafte pressure mein raha.
EUR/USD mein izafa dekha gaya, lekin jaldi hi reversal aaya jab yeh wazeh hua ke U.S. mein inflation abhi bhi zyada hai, aur Fed ke rates cut na karne ki baat hui. Jab U.S. inflation stagnant hone laga, toh pair ne pehle ke lows ko dubara dekha aur range bound trade karna shuru kiya, aur phir 1.11810 resistance level ka samna kiya.Haalat yeh hain ke Federal Reserve interest rates cut kar raha hai, lekin inflation abhi bhi 3.2% pe hai, jo ke is growth ko sustainable nahi banata. Aapko shak hai ke yeh growth mazid barqarar reh payegi, aur aap expect kar rahe hain ke pair wapas move karega, shayad 1.07684 mark ko cancel karte hue. Jab unemployment data announce hoga, aap anticipate kar rahe hain ke selling pressure wapas aaye aur pair mein decline ho. aglay hafte ke liye expect karte hain ke pair kam az kam 1.11450 tak decline karega, aur agay chal kar 1.11183 ka test hoga. Yeh levels technical tor par bohat important hain kyun ke 1.11450 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level ke qareeb hai, aur 1.11183 FE61.8 level hai, jo ke ek aham decision making zone hai.Agar price in levels ke neeche break karta hai, toh aap expect karte hain ke decline 1.10050 tak jaa sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair H1 time frame chart par is waqt 1.1150 level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur market mein ek wazeh bearish trend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh downtrend euro ke U.S. dollar ke muqable mein kamzori ko dikhata hai, jo kai factors ki wajah se hai, jaise ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur overall market sentiment. Traders ko in asraat ka khayal rakhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh market ki current momentum ko samajhne ke liye zaroori hain. Technical indicators, jaise ke Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce kar rahe hain.Pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo continued downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke aas paas hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke ek short-term bounce ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hi rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na ho. EUR/USD pair is waqt H1 time frame par bearish phase mein hai, aur is ke piche kai factors hain jo euro ki weakness ko U.S. dollar ke muqable mein barhawa de rahe hain. Traders ko upcoming economic data releases aur geopolitical developments ko ghor se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ke direction ko aur bhi influence kar sakti hain. Filhal, long positions ke liye ehtiyaat baratna chahiye, jab ke short positions ke liye technical levels ko ghor se dekhna chahiye taake behtareen entry points mil sakein.European Central Bank (ECB) ke officials ab interest rate cuts ki taraf jhuk rahe hain, kyun ke Eurozone ke economic growth ko le kar chinta barh rahi hai. ECB ke Executive Board member Piero Cipollone ne aik interview mein kaha ke agar rates adjust nahi kiye gaye, to central bank ka stance bohot zyada restrictive ho sakta hai. Reuters ke aik poll ke mutabiq, 85% economists yeh expect kar rahe hain ke ECB agle haftay rates cut karega, aur December mein ek aur cut ki umeed hai.
Wahi, Federal Reserve bhi apni policy ko adjust karne ki taraf ja raha hai. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke Fed officials market expectations ke saath ab rate cut ki taraf ja rahe hain. CNBC ke mutabiq, yeh shift economic indicators aur evolving market conditions ka jawab hai. FXStreet ke FedTracker ne Goolsbee ke comments ko dovish score kiya hai, jiska scale 3.2 out of 10 tha.

, jo ke ek achi tareekay se established range mein fluctuating tha aur aakhir mein 1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, pair upper limit par naye ground ko break karne mein nakam raha. European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne ehtiyaat barathtay huay kaha ke European Union mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapis barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU mein inflation data ke release honay se pehlay diya gaya, jo ke Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha. Halanki overall inflation ne moderation dikhayi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunke central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts ke bare mein hain. United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka ghor se intezaar kar rahi hai, jo ke September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur zyada ho sakte hain. Bostic ne kaha ke agar non-farm payrolls number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh yeh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai. Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho. Is elan ke baad US dollar barh gaya aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara sochna shuru kar diya. Powell ne ishara diya ke September mein ek sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein kami aayi

EUR/USD pair ne hafta ke aakhir mein apni upar ki lehr mein rukawat dekhi, aur Wednesday ko pohanchay gaye pehle se high ko nahi touch kar paya. Halankeh recent sell-off ke bawajood US dollar (USD) ke, spot price 1.1125 level se upar hai. Euro ko support milne ka ek aham wajah US labor market ka kamzor hona hai. Wednesday ko release hui data se pata chala ke March mein US employment growth kafi kam thi jo pehle estimate se bahut kam thi. Is ke ilawa, unemployed logon ki bharat se labor market ke thanda hone ka imkaan hai, jo economic slowdown ki chinta ko barhata hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai, jo Euro ko madad de raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar EUR/USD ko kuch madad de raha hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data bullish sentiment ko kuch had tak dheela kar raha hai. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se niche aaya, lekin 50 level se upar raha, jo expansion ko darshata hai. Lekin, Germany jo Eurozone ka sabse bara economy hai, dusre maheenay ke liye contraction ka shikaar raha. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ke barhne ki sambhavnayein kam kar sakta hai. ECB ka July policy meeting bhi is ka izhaar karta hai. Recent data se ye bhi samne aaya hai ke US job growth March tak kafi kamzor thi. US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke barhne se labor market ke thanda hone ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. US Manufacturing PMI ke girne se bhi economic slowdown ke imkaan barh gaye hain. Ye factors mil kar market mein speculation barhati hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September se rate-cutting cycle shuru kar de. Jabke USD ne apne saal ke low se kuch recovery dekhi hai, ye recovery broader economic concerns se dhaki hui hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko mixed Eurozone PMI data ke bawajood support deti hai. ECB ke July ki policy meeting minutes ke mutabiq, September ka meeting monetary policy restriction ko dobara assess karne ka sahi waqt maana ja raha hai. ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks ne 2% inflation target ko achieve karne par confidence zahir kiya aur economic uncertainties ko bhi maangliya. Unhone September mein ek aur interest rate cut ke liye tayyari ka bhi izhaar kiya. Is liye, agar EUR/USD mein koi upar ka movement hota hai, toh wo resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin Greenback ke bearish sentiment Euro ko madad de sakta hai.