یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Spot Price ki Halat:

Spot price ne ek reversal dekha, apne intraday gains ko chhodte hue 1.1180 ke mark se upar settle hua, jab yeh Jumme ke North American session mein naya weekly high 1.1190 tak pahuncha. Shared currency ka yeh recent izafa tab khatam ho gaya jab US Dollar (USD) ne mazboot recovery dikhayi. Market ke band hone par, EUR/USD lagbhag 1.163 par trading kar raha tha, jo dono currencies ke darmiyan ongoing tug-of-war ko darust karta hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels:

Pair ko 1.1100 ke psychological level ke nazdeek support milne ki umeed hai. Upar ki taraf, pichle hafte ka high 1.1192 aur significant round-number resistance 1.1200, euro bulls ke liye bade rukawat banenge. Market ka in levels ko todhne ka amal, currency pair ke agle rukh ka tayun karne mein ahmiyat rakhta hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Price mein kami ka ek sabab Greenback ki kamzori hai, khaaskar July ke JOLTS Job Openings data ke release ke baad. Is report ne job openings ko 7.673 million tak gira diya, jo June ke 7.910 million se kam hai. Yeh figure, January 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai, aur market ki tawaqqo 8.10 million se kam hai, jo labor market mein potential slowdown ka ishara hai. Aise developments investor sentiment aur currency ki taqat ko mutasir karte hain.

Agla Deekhne Wala Data:

Jab traders agay dekhte hain, to unki nazar Eurozone Retail Sales data par hai jo July ke liye aane wala hai. Economists 0.1% ki modest growth ki tawaqqo rakhte hain, jabke June mein yeh 0.3% ki contraction dekhi gayi thi. Har positive movement retail sales mein welcome hogi, lekin yeh shayad is speculation ko khatam nahi karega ke European Central Bank (ECB) is mahine apne policy-easing cycle ko dobara shuru karega, jo July mein pause par tha. Yeh uncertainty euro ke liye market dynamics ko tay karne mein crucial role ada karti hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Jumme ke European trading hours ke doran, spot price 1.1190 ke around dip hua jab yeh 1.1200 ke critical resistance level par momentum barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ka near-term outlook ab ziyada uncertain ho gaya hai, khaaskar jab yeh 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar chala gaya hai, jo 1.1160 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke traders further signals ka ghor se intezar kar rahe hain jo pair ke rukh ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

14-Din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI):

14-din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) haal hi mein neutral level 50.00 par aagaya hai, jo euro ke liye bullish momentum ki kami ko darust karta hai. Yeh indicator bazaar mein mojooda indecision ko zahir karta hai, jiska matlab hai ke traders ko bade faisle karne se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye.

Is trading hafte mein Euro 1.12 level tak barh gaya, jo ek ahm psychological rukawat hai aur is par khaas tawajjo di ja rahi hai. Ye level is liye ahm hai kyunke traders Federal Reserve ke haal ke rate cuts ke asraat ko nazar rakh rahe hain. Halankeh US dollar 50 basis points gir gaya hai, lekin isne mazbooti dikhayi hai, jo iski mustaqbil ki taraf ko le kar sawaal uthata hai. Tareekhi tor par, itne bade rate cut ka matlab gehri maashi pareshaniyaan ho sakti hain, is liye bohot se log dekh rahe hain ke ye agle hafton mein kaise samne aata hai.

Agar US ma’ashiyat ko bohot si masail ka samna hai, to Euro ek mehfooz mauqa nahi ban sakta. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum Euro mein ek choti muddat ki barhoti dekhein, sirf ye phir se palat kar kamzor ho jaye. Pichle tajurbe, jaise ke 2007 ka market crash jo 2006 ke rate cut ke baad aaya, yeh darshata hai ke hum abhi itne intehai halat mein nahi hain, lekin kuch parallels hain jo dekhne layak hain.

Is waqt, US Treasuries aur bond market ko dekhna zaroori hai, khaaskar German aur US Treasuries ke darmiyan yield spread. Agar 1.12 ke upar break hota hai, to Euro ko 1.15 ke ird-gird dusri ahm rukawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan mazboot rukawat samne aa sakti hai. Agar Euro kamzor hota hai aur 1.11 ya 1.10 ke neeche girta hai, to ye areas mazboot support ka kaam karna chahiye.

Aakhir mein, Euro ki haal ki mazbooti ek temporary haalat ho sakti hai, jo ke broader maashi surat-e-haal par mabni hai. Federal Reserve ki karwaiyan aur global bond market ka reaction ye tay karega ke kya Euro barhata rahega, ya phir ye peechay hatega aur rukawat ka samna karega.

Is trading haftay mein Euro ne 1.12 level par rally ki, jo ke ek aham psychological barrier hai aur bohot zyada tawajjo ko kheenchtay hai. Yeh level is liye ahem hai kyunke traders Federal Reserve ke haal hi mein rate cuts ke asraat ko nazar rakhte hain. Halankeh US dollar 50 basis points gir gaya hai, lekin phir bhi yeh mazbooti dikhata hai, jo iski mustaqbil ki direction ke bare mein sawaal uthata hai. Tareekhi tor par, itni badi rate cut gehri maashi fikr ka ishara de sakti hai, is liye bohot se log dekh rahe hain ke aane wale hafton mein yeh kis tarah se evolve hota hai.

Agar US ma'ashi masail ka samna kar raha hai, to euro safe haven ke tor par kaam nahi kar sakta. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum euro mein ek choti muddat ki rally dekhein, sirf yeh ke baad mein yeh palat kar kamzor ho jaye. Guzishta tajurbe ke buniyad par, jaise ke 2007 ka market crash jo 2006 ki rate cut ke baad aaya, hum ab tak itni intehai halat mein nahi hain, lekin kuch mawaqe hain jo nazar rakhne layak hain.

Filhal, yeh ahem hai ke US Treasuries aur bond market par nazar rakhein, khaaskar German aur US Treasuries ke beech ka yield spread. Agar 1.12 ke upar break hota hai to yeh euro ko 1.15 ke aas-paas dusre key resistance zone ki taraf le ja sakta hai jahan mazboot resistance aa sakta hai. Agar, doosri taraf, euro kamzor hota hai aur 1.11 ya 1.10 ke level se neeche girta hai, to yeh areas mazboot support ka kaam karna chahiye.

Aakhir mein, euro ki haal ki mazbooti temporary ho sakti hai, yeh is par depend karega ke broader economic situation kis tarah se unfold hoti hai. Federal Reserve ke amal aur global bond market ka reaction yeh faisla karega ke euro aage barhta rahega ya phir peeche hat kar resistance ka samna karega.

EUR/USD ka girna ab ruk sakta hai aaj ke US CPI inflation data aur Thursday ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke rate faislay se pehle, chahe is ne haal hi mein mushkilat ka samna kiya ho aur Eurozone ke itnay achay data nahi aaye. US dollar CPI report se pehle thora kamzor ho gaya jab polls ne dikhaya ke Harris ne pehle presidential debate mein Trump ko outperform kiya. EUR/USD ne wapis bounce back kiya jabke usne hafte ka aghaz kamzor surat mein kiya, jab Friday ka dip dekha gaya, lekin US jobs ke kamzor news bhi US dollar ko aur zyada girane ke liye kaafi nahi the.
Haal hi mein EUR/USD kyun mushkilat ka shikar raha?

Is hafte ke economic calendar ke shuruat mein aram ne dollar ko takreeban tamam badi currencies ke khilaf kuch support dila diya, siwaye yen ke, jisne EUR/USD par niche ka dabao dala. Ye Friday ke girawat ke baad hua jab latest US employment data ne Fed ke employment mein kamzori ke khauf ko tasdeeq kiya.

Fed ke chairman ne pehle hi August mein yeh confirm kar diya tha ke September se interest rates mein kami aayegi, is liye jobs report itni kamzor nahi thi ke investors ko 50 basis point cut ka andaza ho. Is wajah se dollar mein halki recovery hui. Friday ki soft jobs report ne rate markets mein pehle to halchal machai, lekin phir sentiment aur ehtiyat par shift ho gaya, aur aglay FOMC meeting ke liye 25 basis point cut ki umeed barh gayi.

Lekin ab umeedain barh rahi hain ke is saal ke baad aur aglay saal ke shuruat mein aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ho sakte hain, khaaskar ek Fed official ne “frontloading” ko kam karne ka mashwara diya hai. Lekin US ke kamzor data, girti hui oil prices, aur dovish Fed turn ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka forecast abhi bhi thora bullish hai jab tak ke is hafte ke aane wale macro events mein koi bara surprise na ho. Hum baat kar rahe hain aaj ke latest US inflation report aur kal ke ECB ke rate faislay ki. Pichlay hafte ke jobs data ke baad, mein abhi bhi CPI release se pehle dollar ke bare mein bearish hun. Market rate cut ki size par tafreeq mein hai, aur koi clear consensus nahi hai. Fed, jo aglay hafte apni meeting mein dollar ko ziada hilne se rokna chahta hai, umeed kar raha hoga ke is hafte ka inflation data market uncertainty ko settle karne mein madadgar hoga.

Jabke US CPI Fed ke target ke qareeb aa raha hai, Powell pehle hi is baat ka ishara de chuke hain ke September 18 FOMC meeting mein rate cuts ka tasdeeq karenge. Ye CPI report is meeting se pehle aakhri bara data point hoga jo policymakers ko guide karega ke 50 basis point cut karna hai ya aam 25 basis point ke sath rehna hai.

Is liye, yeh report kafi tawajju hasil kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar numbers expectations se kaafi alag niklay. Inflation chaar mahine tak silsilewar slow hui hai, aur July mein 2.9% year-on-year tak pohanch gayi, jo March 2021 ke baad sab se kam hai. Umeed ki ja rahi hai ke August mein yeh mazeed kam hoke 2.6% ho jayegi, jabke core CPI ko 3.2% par stable rehne ki umeed hai year-on-year comparison mein.

ECB ka rate faisla kafi bara hoga. Ab tak, analysts is baat par mutafiq lag rahe hain ke ECB eurozone ki kamzor economy ke jawab mein rate cuts mein taizi nahi karega. June mein 25 basis points cut ke baad, umeed hai ke ECB Thursday ko ek aur aisi cut announce karega.

Hello dosto,

EUR/USD ke baare mein baat karte hain. Kal daily chart par buying orders dekhi gayi thi. Filhal hum downtrend mein hain, lekin dekhna yeh hai ke pair aage kis taraf jaata hai. Kya yeh downtrend jari rahegi ya phir koi tabdeeliyan dekhne ko milengi? Aayiye, technical analysis ko dekhen aur baqi trading time ke liye kya recommendations di ja sakti hain.

Sab se pehle, moving averages buy signal de rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi actively buying ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Overall, analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair upar ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, kuch aham khabrein bhi hain jo pair ko affect kar sakti hain. ECB President ka speech hua, jo market sentiment par asar daal sakta hai. Ek aur important news release net speculative positions ka data hoga jo euro ke liye hai, aur iska forecast neutral hai. USA se bhi kuch aham khabrein aane wali hain jo filhal neutral nazar aa rahi hain.

Is sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mera khayal hai ke hum sideways movement dekh sakte hain. Buying orders se pair shayad resistance level 1.1180 tak pahunche. Dusri taraf, agar selling pressure barhta hai, toh main support level 1.1140 tak girne ki soch raha hoon. Yeh ek rough trading plan hai: dekhte hain ke market kaise react karta hai.

Toh, khulasa yeh hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ke liye sideways movement ki umeed hai. Resistance aur support levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, aur kisi bhi news par bhi dhyan dena hoga jo market ko hila sakti hai. Har kisi ko trading mein achi kismat mile!

Hello dosto,

EUR/USD ke baare mein baat karte hain. Kal daily chart par buying orders dekhi gayi thi. Filhal hum downtrend mein hain, lekin dekhna yeh hai ke pair aage kis taraf jaata hai. Kya yeh downtrend jari rahegi ya phir koi tabdeeliyan dekhne ko milengi? Aayiye, technical analysis ko dekhen aur baqi trading time ke liye kya recommendations di ja sakti hain.

Sab se pehle, moving averages buy signal de rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi actively buying ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Overall, analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair upar ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, kuch aham khabrein bhi hain jo pair ko affect kar sakti hain. ECB President ka speech hua, jo market sentiment par asar daal sakta hai. Ek aur important news release net speculative positions ka data hoga jo euro ke liye hai, aur iska forecast neutral hai. USA se bhi kuch aham khabrein aane wali hain jo filhal neutral nazar aa rahi hain.

Is sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mera khayal hai ke hum sideways movement dekh sakte hain. Buying orders se pair shayad resistance level 1.1180 tak pahunche. Dusri taraf, agar selling pressure barhta hai, toh main support level 1.1140 tak girne ki soch raha hoon. Yeh ek rough trading plan hai: dekhte hain ke market kaise react karta hai.

Toh, khulasa yeh hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ke liye sideways movement ki umeed hai. Resistance aur support levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, aur kisi bhi news par bhi dhyan dena hoga jo market ko hila sakti hai. Har kisi ko trading mein achi kismat mile!

/USD 1.1150 se upar qaim hai, jab ke Thursday ko yeh positive territory mein band hua. Qareeb ke doran ke technical nazariyat yeh darust karte hain ke bullish potential ab bhi barqarar hai. Agar kisi aala darja ka data nahi aata, to investors risk perception mein tabdeeli par react kar sakte hain. EUR/USD gained bullish momentum, but Thursday was down 0.4%. Yeh jo Friday subah kuch zyada upar trading kar raha hai, 1.1150 ke upar. US dollar (USD) ne Thursday ko US session ke shuruat par thoda jump kiya jab US Labor Department ki taraf se data release hua.

Is data ne dikhaya ke weekly Initial Jobless Claims 231,000 se gir kar 219,000 ho gaye. Lekin jab risk flows ne financial market ki harkaat ko dominate kiya, to dollar dobara bearish pressure mein aa gaya, jo EUR/USD ko upar jane ka mauqa diya.

Aaj, US economic calendar par kisi aala darja ka data nahi hai. Baad mein, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President Patrick Harker, jo FOMC ke non-voting member hain, ek taqreer dene wale hain.

Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ki President Christine Lagarde 2024 mein Michel Camdessus Lecture on Central Banking mein bolne wali hain. Kai ECB policymakers ne kaha hai ke woh December tak intezar karna chahte hain taake mazeed data hasil kar sakein, phir key interest rate ko phir se kam karne ka faisla karein.

Halankeh yeh bohot naummeed nahi hai, agar Lagarde October mein rate cut ka darwaza khula chhodti hain to euro apne rivals ke muqablay mein kamzor ho sakta hai. Is dauran, US stock index futures aaj thode se neeche trade kar rahe hain jab ke Wall Street ke major indexes ne Thursday ko behtareen izafa kiya.

Agar din ke dusre hisson mein continued upside risk dekha gaya to yeh USD ko aur neecha kheench sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko weekend tak aur upar le ja sakta hai

Euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan pressure 1.1150 ke upar North American trading session ke dauran Jumma ke din mehsoos kiya gaya. Jab US dollar (USD) rebound hua, toh major currency neeche gir gayi. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke US dollar ki value ko 6 major currencies ke against measure karta hai, 101.00 ke qareeb barh gaya. Magar, interest rates ko aggressively cut karne ke faislay aur market ke aggressive rehne ke chalte overall US dollar ka outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai. Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko 50 basis points (bps) cut kiya, kyun ke policy makers ka focus labor market ki strength par hai, jab ke inflation rate bank ke 2% target tak gir gaya hai.

Interest rate guidance ke hawalay se, latest inscription charts ke mutabiq Fed policy makers expect karte hain ke federal funds rate is saal ke aakhir tak 4.4% tak barh jaye. Lekin CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq traders expect karte hain ke rate 75 bps tak barh ke 4.00%-4.25% tak pohanch jaye.

Eurozone mein consumer confidence ke hawalay se preliminary data 14:00 GMT par release kiya jaye ga. Index ki slight improvement expected hai jo ke August ke -13.5 se September mein -13 tak ho sakti hai. New York session ke dauran American investors Patrick Harker, jo ke Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke President hain, ke speeches par focus karenge 18:00 par interest rates par naye guidance ke liye.

North American session ke dauran euro ne 1.1150 ke upar apni position barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki. Kyun ke 20-day moving average (EMA) 1.1088 ke qareeb hai, currency pair ke final prospects optimistic lag rahe hain. Major currency strong hai, kyun ke daily frame par retesting ke baad confidently recover hui hai (psychological support position 1.1000 ke qareeb). Relatively weak indicator (RSI) 60.00 ke upar barh gaya hai. Agar yeh level barqarar rehta hai, toh momentum mein izafa hoga. Upar dekhte hue, 1.1200 ki integer resistance Euro Multi-Bheaded ke liye main obstacle hogi. Agar yeh level decisively break hoti hai, toh yeh asset ko July 2023 ke 1.1276 tak pohanchane mein madad dega. Agle steps ke hawalay se, 1.1000 ka psychological price aur July 17 ka High Point main support area honge.

Spot price ne ek reversal dekha hai, intraday gains ko chhod kar 1.1180 ke mark ke upar settle ho gaya hai, jab yeh Friday ke North American session mein naya weekly high 1.1190 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh recent uptick shared currency ka kamzor ho gaya hai jab US Dollar (USD) ne mazboot recovery dikhayi. Market close par, EUR/USD takreeban 1.163 par trade ho raha tha, jo ke dono currencies ke darmiyan ongoing tug-of-war ko darshata hai.

Yeh pair 1.1100 ke psychological level ke qareeb support pa sakta hai. Upside par, pichle hafte ka high 1.1192 aur significant round-number resistance 1.1200 euro bulls ke liye major hurdles banenge. Market ka in levels ko break karna currency pair ke future trajectory ko tay karne mein pivotal hoga.

**Fundamentals of the EUR/USD:**

Price ki girawat ka kuch hissa Greenback ke kamzori se jura hua hai, khaaskar July ke JOLTS Job Openings data ke release ke baad. Is report ne job openings mein 7.673 million ka drop dikhaya, jo June mein 7.910 million tha. Yeh figure January 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai aur market expectations 8.10 million se kam hai, jo labor market mein potential slowdown ka ishara hai. Aise developments aam tor par investor sentiment aur currency strength ko asar dalte hain.

Traders jab aage dekhenge, toh unki nazar aane wale Eurozone Retail Sales data par hogi, jo July ke liye hai. Economists modest growth ki umeed kar rahe hain, 0.1%, jo June mein 0.3% ki contraction ke baad hai. Halankeh retail sales mein koi bhi positive movement khushgawar hoga, lekin yeh is baat ko khatm nahi karega ke European Central Bank (ECB) is mahine apne policy-easing cycle ko dobara shuru karega, jo July mein pause par tha. Yeh uncertainty market dynamics ko shape karne mein ahm kirdar ada karti hai.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Friday ke European trading hours ke doran, spot price 1.1190 ke qareeb gira jab yeh critical resistance level 1.1200 par momentum barqarar nahi rakh paya. Currency pair ka near-term outlook ab increasingly uncertain ho gaya hai, khaaskar jab yeh 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar aa gaya hai, jo 1.1160 ke aas paas hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke traders pair ki direction par asar dalne wale further signals ko nazar rakh rahe hain.



14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi haal hi mein neutral level 50.00 tak gira hai, jo euro ke liye bullish momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Yeh indicator market mein maujooda indecision ko darshata hai, jo traders ko suggest karta hai ke unhein significant moves karne se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge. Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. 4-hour chart par dekhain to bears apni positions mazbooti se barqarar rakhe hue hain, aur lagta hai ke filhaal wapas janay ka koi iraada nahi. Price 1.1068 par 25% support ko break kar chuki hai aur ab 1/1 angle ke upar hai. Mera khayal hai ke bears is level ko target karenge. Main yeh bhi maan raha hoon ke ek temporary upward correction ho sakta hai. EMA (13/5) aur MACD indicators sell ka ishara de rahe hain, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke consolidation ke baad ek bearish move ho sakta hai. Indicators yeh batate hain ke exchange rate ghat kar 1.0999 tak ja sakta hai recent breakdown ke baad. Koi significant tabdeeli nazar nahi aa rahi; euro abhi bhi sideways trade kar raha hai, jo ek choti red body wali candle se zahir hai. Wednesday ko EUR/USD pair mein kaafi calm trading thi, halanke U.S. inflation report ko "super-important" samjha ja raha tha. Humne weekend par is report ko "event of the week" kaha tha, magar kuch traders ka reaction hairan kun tha. Mukhtasir mein, dollar bara halanke inflation 2.5% tak gir gayi thi. Pehle har dafa U.S. inflation ke reports se dollar girta tha, chahe report forecast ke baraks hoti ya na hoti, bas inflation girne se dollar bhi girta. Magar kal ek naya waqia dekhne ko mila jo shayad dollar ke do saal ke decline ka end ho sakta hai. Market ne U.S. currency ko kharidna shuru kar diya, halanke inflation 2.5% par aa gayi thi. Pehle se hum yeh keh rahe the ke

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. 4-hour chart par dekhain to bears apni positions mazbooti se barqarar rakhe hue hain, aur lagta hai ke filhaal wapas janay ka koi iraada nahi. Price 1.1068 par 25% support ko break kar chuki hai aur ab 1/1 angle ke upar hai. Mera khayal hai ke bears is level ko target karenge. Main yeh bhi maan raha hoon ke ek temporary upward correction ho sakta hai. EMA (13/5) aur MACD indicators sell ka ishara de rahe hain, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke consolidation ke baad ek bearish move ho sakta hai. Indicators yeh batate hain ke exchange rate ghat kar 1.0999 tak ja sakta hai recent breakdown ke baad. Koi significant tabdeeli nazar nahi aa rahi; euro abhi bhi sideways trade kar raha hai, jo ek choti red body wali candle se zahir hai. Wednesday ko EUR/USD pair mein kaafi calm trading thi, halanke U.S. inflation report ko "super-important" samjha ja raha tha. Humne weekend par is report ko "event of the week" kaha tha, magar kuch traders ka reaction hairan kun tha. Mukhtasir mein, dollar bara halanke inflation 2.5% tak gir gayi thi. Pehle har dafa U.S. inflation ke reports se dollar girta tha, chahe report forecast ke baraks hoti ya na hoti, bas inflation girne se dollar bhi girta. Magar kal ek naya waqia dekhne ko mila jo shayad dollar ke do saal ke decline ka end ho sakta hai. Market ne U.S. currency ko kharidna shuru kar diya, halanke inflation 2.5% par aa gayi thi. Pehle se hum yeh keh rahe the ke

USD pair ne Tuesday ko sirf bohot kamzor volatility dikhayi, aur kuch khaas nahi hua. Ye itna surprising nahi hai kyun ke Eurozone ya U.S. mein koi macroeconomic ya fundamental factors nahi the kal. Sirf Germany ka August ke liye Consumer Price Index ka doosra estimate publish hua. Jis tarah expected tha, doosra estimate pehle waale se mukhtalif nahi tha.
Aaj ka sab se important U.S. inflation report release hoga, aur kal European Central Bank ki meeting hai. Ye samajhna aasan hai ke market trading decisions lene mein jaldi nahi kar raha. Downward trend barkarar hai lekin bohot unstable hai, jaise ke hum pehle bhi mention kar chuke hain. Agar U.S. inflation forecast se kam value dikhata hai, to dollar asani se aur jaldi se gir sakta hai. Hum believe karte hain ke euro ko significant tor pe lambi muddat tak girna chahiye, lekin abhi tak hum puri tarah sure nahi hain ke market ne Federal Reserve ke agli do saal ke liye planned rate cuts ko fully price-in kiya hai ya nahi.

Tuesday ko sirf ek trading signal generate hua 5-minute time frame mein. European trading session ke start mein, price ne 1.1048 level se rebound kiya, us ke baad price ne 15-20 pips ka downward move kiya. Volatility bohot kamzor thi. Phir bhi, novice traders ne is trade se thoda profit bana liya hoga, aur 35-pip total volatility ke sath 15-pip ka profit banana ek bohot acha result hai.

wapas janay ka koi iraada nahi. Price 1.1068 par 25% support ko break kar chuki hai aur ab 1/1 angle ke upar hai. Mera khayal hai ke bears is level ko target karenge. Main yeh bhi maan raha hoon ke ek temporary upward correction ho sakta hai. EMA (13/5) aur MACD indicators sell ka ishara de rahe hain, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke consolidation ke baad ek bearish move ho sakta hai. Indicators yeh batate hain ke exchange rate ghat kar 1.0999 tak ja sakta hai recent breakdown ke baad. Koi significant tabdeeli nazar nahi aa rahi; euro abhi bhi sideways trade kar raha hai, jo ek choti red body wali candle se zahir hai. Wednesday ko EUR/USD pair mein kaafi calm trading thi, halanke U.S. inflation report ko "super-important" samjha ja raha tha. Humne weekend par is report ko "event of the week" kaha tha, magar kuch traders ka reaction hairan kun tha. Mukhtasir mein, dollar bara halanke inflation 2.5% tak gir gayi thi. Pehle har dafa U.S. inflation ke reports se dollar girta tha, chahe report forecast ke baraks hoti ya na hoti, bas inflation girne se dollar bhi girta. Magar kal ek naya waqia dekhne ko mila jo shayad dollar ke do saal ke decline ka end ho sakta hai. Market ne U.S. currency ko kharidna shuru kar diya, halanke inflation 2.5% par aa gayi thi. Pehle se hum yeh keh rahe the ke

### EUR/USD Pair Ka Jaiza: Halat aur Ainda Ka Manzar

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt 1.1290 ke as-pass trade ho raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko darshata hai. Is pair ki dynamics ko samajhna forex market mein informed decisions lene ke liye traders aur investors ke liye bohot ahem hai.

#### Current Market Context

Is waqt, EUR/USD par neeche ki taraf pressure hai. Is bearish sentiment ke peeche kuch aham wajahain hain:

1. **Economic Data Releases**: Eurozone aur United States se aane wale economic indicators mein farq hai. Maslan, U.S. ke employment figures aur consumer spending data kaafi behtar rahe hain, jo dollar ki position ko mazid mazboot kar rahe hain aur euro ki value ko ghatane ka sabab ban rahe hain.

2. **Monetary Policy Divergence**: European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki interest rates par alag alag approaches hain. Jabke Fed inflation se nipatne ke liye apni monetary policy ko tighten kar raha hai, ECB zyada cautious hai, jo interest rate differential ko barha sakta hai. Yeh scenario aam tor par dollar ko faida deta hai aur euro par aur pressure daalta hai.

3. **Geopolitical Factors**: Eastern Europe mein chal rahe geopolitical tensions aur energy supplies par potential impacts bhi currency movements ko influence karte hain. Agar situation badh jati hai, to EUR/USD pair mein volatility barh sakti hai.

#### Technical Analysis

Technical indicators ko dekhte hue, bearish trend saaf hai. Key resistance levels identify kiye gaye hain, aur price action lower highs aur lower lows dikhata hai. Traders aksar technical tools ke zariye confirmation ki talash karte hain:

- **Moving Averages**: Short-term moving averages abhi long-term averages ke neeche hain, jo bearish crossover ko darshata hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai ke bearish trend aane wale waqt mein jaari reh sakta hai.

- **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: Agar RSI 30 ke neeche rahta hai, to yeh yeh darshata hai ke euro oversold hai, jo potential correction ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar yeh 50 ki taraf wapas aata hai, to yeh trend reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

#### Movement Ki Potential

Halankeh abhi bearish trend hai, lekin kuch wajahain hain jo yeh darshati hain ke EUR/USD pair aane wale dinon mein significant movement dekh sakta hai:

1. **Upcoming Economic Releases**: Aham economic reports jese ke inflation data aur employment figures Eurozone se aane wale hain. Yeh reports market ko surprise de sakti hain aur currency pair mein sharp movements la sakti hain.

2. **Central Bank Announcements**: ECB aur Fed se aane wale future announcements regarding interest rates bhi volatility ko trigger kar sakte hain. Agar ECB interest rates par zyada aggressive stance ka ishara karta hai, to yeh euro ko dollar ke muqablay mein taqat de sakta hai.

3. **Market Sentiment**: Global risk sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai. Agar investors geopolitical events ya U.S. mein economic concerns ki wajah se euro ki taraf suraksha ke liye rujhan karte hain, to is se current trend ka reversal ho sakta hai.

#### Conclusion

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt 1.1290 par bearish phase mein hai, jo ke ma’ashi factors, monetary policy divergence, aur geopolitical tensions ka nateeja hai. Lekin, aane wale dinon mein significant movement ki potential abhi bhi hai, jo upcoming economic data aur central bank decisions se mutasir ho sakti hai.

Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur fundamental aur technical indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye. Market sentiment ya economic reports mein kisi bhi surprise se EUR/USD pair mein rapid shift aa sakta hai, jo un traders ke liye trading opportunities faraham kar sakta hai jo taiyar hain.