eur/usd

EUR/USD

Euro, jo ke abhi major currencies ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai, ne Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran apne recent highs 1.1055 se significant decline dekha. Market sentiment abhi zyada ter ECB ke September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke asar mein hai. Is move ke anticipation ne intensity gain ki hai jab inflation rates gir rahe hain, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh rate-cutting cycle September ke baad bhi barh sakta hai. Abhi spot price 1.1016 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke potential interest rate decisions ka andaza lagane ke liye investors German aur Eurozone HICP data ka closely jaiza lenge jo Thursday aur Friday ko release honge. Analysts expect karte hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko measure karta hai, 2.3% tak decelerate karega, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hoga.

**EUR/USD ke fundamentals:**ECB ke aur zyada interest rate cuts ki umeed badh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook aur wage growth slowdown ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties ki wajah se. Hiraan kun baat yeh hai ke Eurozone ki economic activity August mein unexpected upar gayi, flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq. Magar yeh uptick ziada ter France mein Olympic Games ki wajah se aayi demand ki wajah se hua. Economists isay temporary boost samajhte hain, naa ke kisi fundamental economic change ko.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium ke dauran Saturday ko yeh kaha ke restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat hai. Lane ne inflation ke khilaf ladai mein ki gayi taraqqi ko acknowledge kiya, magar yeh bhi kaha ke lambi muddat tak success ka koi yaqeen nahi hai. Unki baat ne ECB ke inflationary pressures ko manage karne aur market expectations ko guide karne ke challenges ko ujagar kiya.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko pair 1.1010 level ke neeche slip kar gaya jab buyers ko upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day EMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0962 par hai, magar agar decline jari rehta hai to price 20-day EMA ke paas wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance 14-day SMA par 1.1026 ke aas-paas dekhi ja sakti hai.

Pair ko 1.1000 ke crucial psychological level ke breach hone ka khatra hai. Technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur RSI bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar downward momentum barqarar rehti hai, to traders ko apni positions ka jaiza lena hoga aur potential reversals ke liye hoshiyaar rehna hoga

Currency pair kuch chhoti fluctuations ka samna kar raha hai, aur yeh 1.1115 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai jaise ke yeh teen din ke losing streak se recovery shuru karta hai, Tuesday ke early European session mein. Filhal, pair 1.1125 ke level ke aas-paas positioned hai. Yeh recent shift US Federal Reserve ke dovish stance ki wajah se hai, jisne Greenback ko kamzor kar diya aur Euro ko kuch support diya.

European Central Bank (ECB) ke Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau ne recently suggest kiya hai ke ECB ko September mein rate cut par ghor karna chahiye. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Villeroy de Galhau ka kehna hai ke naye rate cut ka faisla agle meeting 12 September ko kiya jana chahiye. Unka kehna hai ke yeh action current economic climate ko dekhte hue fair aur prudent hoga.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

CME FedWatch tool market expectations ke valuable insights provide karta hai. Iske latest data ke mutabiq, September mein Federal Reserve ke 50-basis points interest rate cut ki probability 30.5% hai. Yeh pichle hafte ke 36% probability se kam hai. Yeh adjustment future monetary policy ke baare mein market sentiment mein shift ko reflect karta hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke movements ko influence karta hai.

Eurozone se recent inflation data mixed signals de raha hai. Preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) report ke mutabiq, headline inflation 2.2% tak slow ho gayi hai, jo July mein 2.6% thi, mainly reduced energy prices ki wajah se. Lekin, core HICP, jo ke food, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco jaise volatile categories ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak barh gaya hai, jo ke pehle 2.9% tha. Yeh inflation figures important hain kyunki yeh European Central Bank (ECB) ki policy decisions ko impact karti hain.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technically, EUR/USD pair ek downward trajectory par hai, jab se yeh August 26 ko 1.1202 par peak kiya. Declining peaks aur troughs ki sequence short-term downtrend suggest karti hai. Principle "the trend is your friend" ke mutabiq, lower prices near term mein continue hone ki umeed hai. Lekin, agar pair 1.1150 ke upar close karta hai, toh yeh current downtrend ko challenge kar sakta hai aur reversal ka potential signal kar sakta hai.

Hourly chart se yeh pata chal raha hai ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ne apni signal line ko neeche cross kar diya hai. Yeh development is baat ka ishara hai ke ek naya downward movement shuru ho sakta hai. Traders aur analysts ko is indicator ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh potential future price actions ke baare mein insights provide karta hai.

EURUSD Price Assessment

Aaj hum H1 period ka chart dekhain ge - EURUSD trading instrument ka. EURUSD currency pair ab uptrend mein hai, kyunki aaj ki trading mein ye daily pivot point level ke upar open hua hai. Is wajah se, buy option is waqt trading activities ke liye behtareen options mein se ek hai. Exponential strategy ab bhi EURUSD currency pair ko H1 timeframe trading chart par 50-period moving average indicator ke upar trade karne ke liye istemal kiya ja raha hai, lekin trading instrument abhi tak 1.1130 price par resistance area level ko poori tarah se break nahi kar paya hai. Aage chalne ke liye risk assessments ko tayyar rakhna zaroori hai taake hum trading plan ke mutabiq zaroori steps utha saken. Jo losses unpredictable market movements ke nateeje mein hon, unko quantifiable aur pehle se defined risk limitations ke mutabiq hona chahiye.

Hourly chart par, EURUSD ne apni lowest price point par buyer side se support hasil kiya, jo ke turant usko mazbooti dene laga. Yeh strengthening trend tab tak chalti rahi jab tak price 1.1140 ke level tak nahi pahunche. Peak price level par euro pressure mein tha jab tak trading 1.1130 par band nahi hui. Bullish candlestick pattern se ye nikalta hai ke buying side ne pehle ke trade ke doran market par control banaye rakha. Is liye, aaj EURUSD price movement analysis ki prediction hai ke trend upar ki taraf hi rahega. Is nazar se, buy karna sabse sensible course of action hai. Jab price MA line period 50 ke upar ho, tab currency pair ka trend bullish hai, yeh nazar aata hai.

EUR/USD Analysis

Monday ke din kaafi zyada izafa dekha gaya aur ek baar phir EUR/USD currency pair par nazar rakhna zaroori hai - H4 period chart ko dekhte hue. Abhi price descending channel ke uper border par move kar rahi hai, aur wave structure abhi bhi niche ki taraf ban raha hai. MACD indicator abhi upper purchase zone mein barh raha hai aur signal line ke upar hai. Price ne descending channel ke top ko reach kar liya hai, jabke indicators strong signals de rahe hain ke yahan se niche ki taraf rebound ho sakta hai. CCI indicator par classic bearish divergence nazar aa rahi hai. Dusre MACD indicator par bearish convergence bhi dekhne ko mil raha hai - jo ek sell signal hai. Yeh sab factors indicate karte hain ke shayad yahan se niche ki taraf rebound hoga, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh Friday ke din ke low tak pahunchega, shayad horizontal support level 1.1047 tak bhi jaa sakta hai, jo ek mirror level hai aur yahan se phir growth resume ho sakti hai.

Ab, chhoti time frames M5-M15 par sale ke formation ko dekhna chahiye, wahi mirror level jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho sakta hai aur niche ki taraf kaam kiya jaa sakta hai. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi aham economic news nahi hai, isliye technical rebound ko channel ke top se bina kisi surprise ke araam se kaam kiya jaa sakta hai. Waise, chhoti time frame, hourly par bhi bearish divergence nazar aa rahi hai, lekin MACD indicator aur CCI par bhi. Yeh sab kuch line par base hai, aur plus resistance zone bhi nazar aa raha hai jo level 1.1122 ke qareeb bana hua hai, jo closing prices par build kiya gaya hai. Halankeh ab yeh area ko break karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh attempt ultimately false ho sakta hai aur price correction ke liye niche jaa sakti hai.

EUR/USD Analysis

Monday ko kaafi intensive growth dekhi gayi aur ek baar phir EUR/USD currency pair ko dekhne ka tajwez diya jata hai - H4 period chart ko. Abhi price descending channel ke upper border ke andar move kar rahi hai, aur wave structure ab bhi neeche ki taraf build ho raha hai. MACD indicator filhaal upper purchase zone mein grow kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Price descending channel ke top tak pahunch gayi hai, jabke indicators neeche ke rebound ke liye strong signals de rahe hain. CCI indicator par classic bearish divergence dikhayi de rahi hai. Dusre MACD indicator par bhi bearish convergence dikhayi de rahi hai - ek sell signal. Ye factors indicate karte hain ke yahan se neeche ki taraf rebound hone ke chances hain, aur main expect karta hoon ke yeh Friday ka low tak pahunch sakti hai, shayad horizontal support level 1.1047 tak bhi. Yeh ek mirror level hai aur is se growth dobara shuru ho sakti hai.

Ab, chhoti periods M5-M15 par sale ke formation ko dekh sakte hain, same mirror level jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho sakta hai aur neeche kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Aaj economic calendar mein koi ahm economic news nahi hai, isliye aap channel ke top se technical rebound ko bina kisi surprise ke shaanti se kaam kar sakte hain. Waise bhi, chhoti period hourly par bhi bearish divergence hai, lekin MACD indicator aur CCI par. Ye sab line ke aadhar par hai, aur level 1.1122 ke nazdeek resistance zone bhi bana hua hai closing prices ke aadhar par. Halankeh abhi is area ko break karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh attempt false hoga aur aakhir mein price neeche correction ke liye chalegi.

EUR/USD Price Activity Ka Tafteeshi Jaiza

EUR/USD currency pair ki price activity hamari tafteesh aur guftagu ka mozu hoga. Price haal hil hi mein ghantay wale chart par ek ulta tircha se bahar nikla, ek urooj shuru karte hue. Magar, kal ki price activity ne is trend ko palat diya, jis se ek giravat aayi. Monday se shuru hokar, mein ek giravat ka imkan samjhta hoon inverted triangle ke upper darja par, taqreeban 1.1057 par, phir ek potenshal rally 1.1154 tak. Pichle trading hafte ke ikhtitam par, currency pair ne H4 chart par ek bullish signal paida kiya, lekin yeh poori tarah asar nahi daali, ek bechnay ka potenshal di. Agar kharidari karna ho, to behtareen dakhilka 1.1049 ke qareeb hai, ek mawafiq 1:2 risk-to-reward nisbat ke sath. Barhavani ka maqam 1.1144 hai, aur stop-loss 1.1001 ke neeche hona chahiye. Up ya down ka mawafiq imkan, 50-50 ke barabar hai. Agar aap trad karte hain, to kam se kam 1:2 risk-to-reward nisbat ka dhyan rakhe, behtar hai agar zyada ho.

Aaj hum phir se hafta ke ikhtitam par D1 muddat chart par EUR/USD currency pair par ghor karenge. Is hafte price ne pehle hafte ke minimum ko update karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki aur maqsood target tak pohanch gayi - 1.1015 ke support level tak. Is bar senior muddat par wave structure phir se ek chadhne ke tarteeb mein hai. MACD indicator, haala ke ooper kharidaar zone mein. Najdik aur mukhtasar maqsood 1.1015 ka horizontal support level, candles ke band hone ke dafeet par banaya gaya hai, yeh takmeel ho chuka hai aur wazeh hai ke is leval se kaafi mazboot izaafa shuru hua hai. CCI indicator kal niche ki overheat zone mein tha aur yeh upar ki taraf jane ke liye taiyyar tha, yeh ishara kar raha tha ke wahan se barhne ke zyada imkan hain, jo haqeeqat mein ho gaya. Aur ab hum ikhtiyar ke janib hain, kya sab kuch acha rebound tak mehdood hoga phir phir se giravat ka aghaz, ya bas chadhne ki rukawat ke sath umeedwar trend ka jari rahne. Khas tor par, mein tezi se barhine ke baad kuch rollback ki tawakul rakhta hoon jo pehle thi, ek giravat 1.1047 ke tor tarike tak, choti chaar ghante ki chart par yeh leval behtar tor par dekha jayega.






Aam tor par, giravat zyadah ahem leval 1.0955 tak nahi pohanchti, yeh rozana aur haftawarana hai, nazri mein wahan jana chahiye. Theek hai, aam tor par wahan jane ki umeed achi nahi hai, lekin tafree ke liye yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke giravat mein kam karna kya laayak hai. Agar 1.1047 ka leval neeche se toota, to mein umeed karta hoon ke price neeche se aram se agey barhega. September ka adha hissa guzar chuka hai, lekin price aam tor par kahin nahi gayi hai, woh lagbhag wahan hai jahan mahina shuru hua tha.

EUR/USD Tafteesh

H4 Time Period Chart
EUR/USD currency pair ki - H4 time period chart. Monday ko kaafi tezi se izafa hua, aaj ham practically wahi par hain. Price descending channel mein ab apni upper border par move kar rahi hai, wave structure ne apne order ko neeche ki taraf banane ka shuru kar diya hai. MACD indicator ab upper purchase zone mein badh raha hai aur apne signal line ke upar hai. Price ne descending channel ka top tak pahunch gaya hai, jabki indicators ne strong signals diye hain ke is descending line se neeche ki taraf ek rebound hoga. CCI indicator par aap ek classic bearish divergence dekh sakte hain. Dusra use kiya gaya MACD indicator par aap ek bearish convergence dekh sakte hain - yani ek sell signal. Ye factors ishara dete hain ke zyada tar neeche ki taraf ek rebound hoga, main yeh ummeed rakhta hoon ke yeh Friday ke low tak pahunchega, shayad 1.1047 ka horizontal support level tak pahuncha jaa sake, yeh ek mirror level hai aur isse se growth dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Ab, chhoti time periods M5-M15 par aap sale ke formation ko dekh sakte hain, wahi mirror level taaki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur neeche kaam shuru ho. Aaj economic calendar mein koi important news nahi hai, isliye aap technical rebound ko surprise ke bina top of the channel se work out kar sakte hain. Aur aaj jo important news tha woh toh pehle hi ho chuka hai. Ek aur cheez, chhoti time period mein, hourly ek, jise yahan dekhne ka koi khaas faida nahi hai, wahan bhi ek bearish divergence hai, lekin MACD indicator par, yahan CCI par. Sab kuch line par mabni hai aur iske alawa, kareeb level 1.1122 ke closing prices par banaya gaya kuch resistance zone bhi hai. Halanki ab woh is area ko toorna chah rahe hain, main yeh maan raha hoon ke yeh koshish nakami ki taraf jayegi aur asal mein price neeche ke liye correction ke liye jayegi.

Haan, log bohot dair se bharti ho rahi hain, lekin kisi tarah se ye euro aur dollar par asar nahin dikh rahi. Kehte hain ke Iran, aur ab Lebanon, may halaat kharab hain. Lekin haqeeqat mein, ye log larai karne wale hain, baatein karenge, chup ho jayenge lekin faisle nahin lenge.

Beshak, is mahine ya shayad quarter kei koi bhi ahem khabrein EUR/USD aur kal ke interest rates par farq dalengi. Unhone kaha ke ye dilchasp hoga kyunki woh 0.5 tak kam kar sakte hain, lekin ye hone ke chances kam hain, lekin 5% bhi nahin hoga. Is se bazaar mein bohot se chakkar aur intehai ubharne mein izafa huwa. Agar ho saka to aapko trading se bahar nikalna chahiye taake aur risk na ho. Agar yahan ek comrade hai jo apni trading ahem khabron par base karta hai aur khabar ke baad market mein dakhil hota hai, to waise log kam hain aur zyadatar log dar ke mare apni surat chhupate hain.

Aam tor par, humne peechle extreme se saaf taur pe safar nahin dekha, lekin moving averages ke upar bhi humne ubharne ka koi mazeed scenario nahin dekha, isliye bears ko thoda time rehna bhi baqi hai. Agar gir gaya to man liya jayega ke 1.1070 ka neeche wala had tod jaayega, jiske base par kharidi karna samajhdari hogi.

Hello dosto! Ye depend karta hai ke aapka EUR/USD kharid ho kaha par hai. Agar, jaise kuch log keh rahe hain, aapka nishchit laksh dwadahva aur uchit ke upar hai, to ye ek lamba samay ka mudda hai. Mai bechkar raha hoon, kal maine average kiya aur apni sari funds ko zero par band kar diya. Ab ise upkar ke liye kuch rochak nahi hai.

Isliye, wave takneek par adhaarit, yeh hamare asset ki pratiti daily chart par aise dikhegi:

- MA100 ek halki trend ke 5 degree ke kinare ke liye mishrit sthiti hai. Pair par ab bull market kaafi zyada hai.






- MA18 ne neeche ki had kaapeyi hai jo neeche ki had ke saath ek saman vichar ka suchak hai is week mein EUR/USD ke upar.

- Ichimoku badal mein raha hai aur kaafi maitri dikhta hai. Pumping nahi. Lekin ek purvaank ke drishti se, uski baqshi badh gayi hai. Iska matlab hai ke bears ke paas bachne ke liye kahin bhi nahi hoga.

Dono asas ke aakraman solid overbought shart darshane mein hain, lekin koi bechna wala suchak nahi hai. Sab kuch pass mein hai. Kinare ke kinaare. Lekin sabse ahem baat ye hai ke hume ab bhi bull market hai.

Mere liye, kuch badal gaya hai kisi cheez ko track karne mein: agar price pehli hisab se support ke level 1.1085 ke neeche consolidate hoti hai.

EUR/USD

Euro, jo ke abhi major currencies ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai, ne Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran apne recent highs 1.1055 se significant decline dekha. Market sentiment abhi zyada ter ECB ke September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke asar mein hai. Is move ke anticipation ne intensity gain ki hai jab inflation rates gir rahe hain, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh rate-cutting cycle September ke baad bhi barh sakta hai. Abhi spot price 1.1016 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke potential interest rate decisions ka andaza lagane ke liye investors German aur Eurozone HICP data ka closely jaiza lenge jo Thursday aur Friday ko release honge. Analysts expect karte hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko measure karta hai, 2.3% tak decelerate karega, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hoga.

**EUR/USD ke fundamentals:**ECB ke aur zyada interest rate cuts ki umeed badh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook aur wage growth slowdown ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties ki wajah se. Hiraan kun baat yeh hai ke Eurozone ki economic activity August mein unexpected upar gayi, flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq. Magar yeh uptick ziada ter France mein Olympic Games ki wajah se aayi demand ki wajah se hua. Economists isay temporary boost samajhte hain, naa ke kisi fundamental economic change ko.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium ke dauran Saturday ko yeh kaha ke restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat hai. Lane ne inflation ke khilaf ladai mein ki gayi taraqqi ko acknowledge kiya, magar yeh bhi kaha ke lambi muddat tak success ka koi yaqeen nahi hai. Unki baat ne ECB ke inflationary pressures ko manage karne aur market expectations ko guide karne ke challenges ko ujagar kiya.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko pair 1.1010 level ke neeche slip kar gaya jab buyers ko upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day EMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0962 par hai, magar agar decline jari rehta hai to price 20-day EMA ke paas wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance 14-day SMA par 1.1026 ke aas-paas dekhi ja sakti hai.

Pair ko 1.1000 ke crucial psychological level ke breach hone ka khatra hai. Technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur RSI bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar downward momentum barqarar rehti hai, to traders ko apni positions ka jaiza lena hoga aur potential reversals ke liye hoshiyaar rehna hoga

EUR/USD ka outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Chahe ham andazah lagayen ya nahin, Federal Reserve ko kaledi sherah me 25 basis points kam karna chahiye. Warna, ham kuch ghair mutawaqqe harkatein dekhenge. Halankeh, 25-basis-point ki kami ke bawajud, market ki mustaqbil ki simt ka inhesar press conference me Powell ki bayan bazi par hoga.
Aaj, sherah ke faisle ke sath-sath, Fed peshan goi bhi jari karega. Lehaza, sherah ke ailan ke dauran, sherah me kami ke takhmiyon par nazar rakhna aham hoga, jiska maine kal zikar kiya tha. Lehaza hamein pahle minton me qimat ki naqal o harkat ki nishandahi karne ke liye taiyar rahna chahiye. Majmui taur par, mujhe lagta hai keh euro/dollar ka joda pahle 1.1180–1.1185 ki hadd ka test karna chahta hai. Lehaza mai abhi farokht karne ke liye bechain nahin hun.

EUR/USD Ki Qeemat Ka Tajziya

Hum iss waqt EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. 4-hour chart par dekhain to bears apni position mazid qaim rakhtay huay dikhai dete hain, aur lagta hai ke wo filhal wapas hatnay ko tayar nahi. Price 1.1068 par mojood 25% support ko tor chuki hai aur ab 1/1 angle ke upar hai. Mere khayal mein bears ab yeh level target kar saktay hain. Mein ek temporary upward correction ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kar raha. EMA (13/5) aur MACD indicators sell ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke consolidation ke baad bearish move ka imkaan hai. Indicators yeh baat bhi zahir karte hain ke exchange rate mein girawat aasakti hai, jo recent breakdown ke baad 1.0999 level tak jaa sakti hai. Koi khaas tabdeeli nazar nahi aayi; euro abhi bhi sideways trade kar raha hai, jo ek choti si red body ke candle mein zahir hai.



Aik Nazar Mein: EUR/USD Pair Ka Aaj Ka Din

Budh ke din EUR/USD pair ne kaafi pur sukoon trading ki, halaan ke "bohot ahem aur bohot resonant" U.S. inflation report bhi aayi thi. Weekend ke dauran humne iss report ko "haftay ka sabse bara waqia" kaha tha, magar kuch traders ka reaction kaafi hairat angez tha. Sadaf mein dollar ka rate upar gaya, halaan ke inflation gir kar 2.5% par aa gayi. Yaad rahein ke hal hi ke tamam U.S. inflation reports ne sirf aik hi outcome diya hai—dollar ki qeemat ka girna. Yeh baat yahan tak pahunch gayi ke choti choti deviations ya bilkul bhi deviations na honay ke bawajood U.S. currency gir jati thi. Seedha matlab yeh hai ke jab bhi U.S. mein inflation girti hai, dollar bhi girta hai. Lekin kal aik aur ahem waqia hua, jo dollar ki do saal ki girawat ke khatam honay ka ishara de sakta hai. Bazar ne U.S. currency ko khareedna shuru kiya, halaan ke U.S. inflation 2.5% par aayi thi.

Humne kai martaba yeh kaha hai ke jab inflation target level ke qareeb aa jaye to Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ko easing karna chahiye. Yeh baat August ke akhir mein hui thi, lekin yeh paradox hai ke market ne Fed ki easing ko pehle hi do saal se price kar rakha hai. Agar hum 2022 ya 2023 ki baat na bhi karein, to iss saal market ne Fed ke maximum rate cuts ko anticipate kar liya tha. Naturally, market ne yeh sab pehle se price kar liya tha, jaisa ke aksar hota hai. Ab jab ke inflation target ke qareeb hai aur Fed ke pass har wajah hai ke wo sirf ek dafa nahi, balkay poora monetary policy easing ka cycle shuru karay, bazar ab mazeed iss factor ko price nahi kar sakta—kyun ke yeh pehle hi price kiya ja chuka hai.

EUR/USD Ki Qeemat Ka Tajziya

Aaj hum EUR/USD trading instrument ka H1 period chart dekhain ge. EUR/USD currency pair iss waqt ek uptrend mein hai, kyun ke aaj ke trading din mein yeh daily pivot point level ke upar open hui hai. Is wajah se buy ka option iss waqt trading activities ke liye sab se behtareen options mein se ek hai. H1 timeframe ke trading chart par abhi bhi exponential strategy ka istemal ho raha hai, aur EUR/USD ko 50-period moving average indicator ke upar trade karte huay dekha ja sakta hai. Magar ab tak yeh trading instrument 1.1130 ki resistance area level ko tor nahi saka. Aage chal kar risk assessments ke hawale se tayar rahna chahiye taa ke hum trading plan ke mutabiq zaroori qadam utha sakein. Achanak market movements ki surat mein jo nuqsan uthaya ja sakta hai, wo quantifiable hona chahiye aur pehle se tay shuda risk limitations ke mutabiq ho.







Hourly chart par dekha gaya ke EUR/USD ko iske sab se neechey price point par buyers ki support mili, jis ki wajah se price mein foran mazid taqat aayi. Yeh taqat barhhti rahi jab tak ke trading price 1.1140 ke sab se unchey level tak nahi pohnch gayi. Euro ko is peak price level par pressure ka samna raha, jab tak ke trading band nahi ho gayi aur price 1.1130 par close hui. Bullish candlestick pattern se yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke pichli trade ke doran buyers market par qaboo rakhne mein kamiyab rahe. Is liye, aaj ke EUR/USD price movement ka tajziya yeh suggest karta hai ke trend agay barh sakta hai. Is hawale se, buy ka option sab se munasib qadam hai. Yeh bhi wazeh hai ke jab price MA line period 50 ke upar hoti hai to currency pair ka trend bullish hota hai.

EUR/USD Pair Tahlil

ECB ke September 2024 ke meeting mein interest rates ko 25 basis points kam karne ka intizaar hai, jo yeh saal doosri baar hoga pehle June ke mukablay mein. Ye sb main interest rate ko funding operations ke liye 4% tak, deposit facility rate ko 3.5% tak aur marginal lending rate ko 4.25% tak le jaayega. Is kadam ke peechay Eurozone mein inflation ko 2.2% tak ghata dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo July 2021 se lowest level hai, core inflation bhi 2.8% tak halki ho gayi hai. Wage growth tezi se kam hoti ja rahi hai aur Q2 ke GDP growth ko bhi 0.2% tak ghata diya gaya hai. Investors future ECB action aur mazeed interest rate cuts par clues ki talash kar rahe hain, bohot saare log samajhte hain ke har quarter tak main deposit rate ko 25 basis point tak cut kiya jaayega jab tak September agle saal na aajaye. Iske ilawa, naye economic forecasts bhi release kiye jayenge.







EUR/USD currency pair ki price action hamari tahlil aur guftagu ka maqsad banegi. Price haal hi mein hourly chart par invert triangle se break nikal gayi, ek oopri move shuru hui. Lekin, kal ki price action ne is trend ko ulta kar diya, jiski wajah se ek giravat hui. Monday se shuruat karte hue, mein ek giravat ka intizaar kar raha hoon upri boundary tak inverted triangle yani 1.1057 tak, phir 1.1154 tak ek potential rally ka intizaar hai. Pichle trading week ke ant mein, currency pair ne H4 chart par bullish signal generate kiya tha, lekin puri tarah se materialize nahi hua, ek selling potential signal kar raha tha. Agar buying karna hai, to behtar entry 1.1049 karein, ek similar 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio ke saath. Upto 1.1144 ka growth target hai aur stop-loss 1.1001 se neeche hona chahiye. Har direction—up ya down ka—lagbhag barabar hai, 50-50. Agar aap trade karte hain, to kam se kam 1:2, behtar hai agar zyada ho risk-to-reward ratio ka istemal karein. Halan ke EUR/USD ke liye maujooda trend bearish hai, pair 1.1010 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aane waale dino mein ek bada movement hone ki sambhavna hai. Market flux mein hai, kai maamooli factors hain jo pair ko neeche daba sakte hain ya ek temporary rebound la sakte hain. Traders ko ECB meeting, U.S. economic data releases aur market sentiment indicators par nazdeek se nazar rakhni chahiye. Chhoti muddat mein, agar EUR/USD 1.1010 ke neeche trade karta rahe, to hum 1.0999 support zone ki taraf aur giravat dekh sakte hain. Lekin, aik potential upward correction bhi sambhav hai, khas taur par agar ECB ya U.S. data market ko surprise kare. Maujooda market conditions mein, traders ko aik muntazim approach apnana zaroori hai aur potential opportunities ka faida uthane ke liye risk management strategies istemal karna chahiye, nuqsanaat ke khilaf.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.

EUR/USD karansi jori is waqt aik mushkil soorat-e-haal se guzar rahi hai, jo kay kai factors se mutasir hai. Aik bara element jo iss jori ko asar andaz kar raha hai woh European Central Bank (ECB) ki sood ki sharah kam karne ki bartan hoti ummeed hai, jiska jaldi hi elaan kiya ja sakta hai. Sarmayakaaran is mumkin sood ki sharah mein kami par baray ghore se nazar rakhay hue hain kyun ke sood ki sharah mein kami aik karansi ko kamzor kar deti hai. Euro pehle se hi dusri bari karansiyon ke muqablay mein mushkil ka shikar hai, aur yeh rujhaan jari reh sakta hai agar ECB sood ki sharah mein kami ka faisla karta hai. Sood ki sharah mein kami ka sabab Eurozone mein afraat-e-zar mein ahista rone ki wajah se hai. Tajaazya garon ka andaza hai ke afraat-e-zar, jo ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) se naapta jata hai, mazeed thanda hota rahega. August ke liye HICP ki mukammal sharah 2.3% tak girne ki tawaqo hai, jab ke core inflation jo zyada utar chadhaw walay components ko nikaal kar nape jati hai, uske 2.8% tak girne ki paishgoi hai. Yeh afraat-e-zar ki adad o shumaar yeh izhar karti hain ke ECB ko sood ki sharah ko mazeed kam karna par sakta hai taake maeeshat ko sahara diya ja sake Eurozone ki bari maeeshati soorat-e-haal ab bhi ghair yaqiniyat se do-chaar hai, jo Euro ke liye mazeed mushkilat paida kar rahi hai. Hal hi mein aye maeeshati data ne maeeshati sar-garmi mein maamooli behtari ka izhaar kiya, khas tor par France mein Paris Olympics ki wajah se, magar yeh izafa mawamlaat waqt tak mehdood samjha jata hai.