یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Aaj weekend par, main phir se EURUSD currency pair ka D1 period chart dekhne ka tajwez deta hoon. Is hafte, price pehle se guzre hue hafte ke low ko update kar chuki hai aur expected target - support level 1.1015 tak pohanch gayi hai. Is higher period par wave structure filhal ascending order mein hai. MACD indicator, jo ke overbought zone mein hai, phir bhi bullish momentum dikhata hai. Nearest aur main target, horizontal support level 1.1015 jo candle closing prices par based hai, yeh target poora ho gaya hai, aur is wajah se strong uptrend ban gaya hai. Kal, CCI indicator oversold zone mein tha aur upward movement ke liye ready tha, jo ke ab hone laga hai. Ab hum ek crossroads par hain, ya to hume achha rebound dekne ko milega jiske baad downtrend continue hoga, ya uptrend dobara shuru hoga jo pichle August ke high ko retest kar sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke rapid rise ke baad ek pullback hoga, jo breach level 1.1047 ki taraf decline ko indicate karta hai. Yeh level chhoti four-hour chart par zyada clear hoga. General view yeh hai ke decline ne zyada important level 1.0955 ko nahi touch kiya hai, jo ke daily aur weekly dono mein important hai aur ideally yeh test hona chahiye. 1.0955 ke level ko test karne ki ummeed achi hai, magar yeh zaroori hai ke assess kiya jaye ke downward direction mein trading karna worth hai ya nahi. Agar 1.1047 ka level downwards break ho jata hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke price downtrend continue karegi. Hum September ke darmiyan hain, magar price zyada move nahi hui hai, aur almost wahi jagah par hai jahan se mahina start hua tha. Filhal, mujhe lagta hai ke downtrend ka resume hona zyada probable hai. Mere hisaab se, jab tak price 1.0955 ko test nahi karti, tab tak upar move karna mushkil lagta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt kafi mushkil surat-e-haal se guzar raha hai, jo kai factors se mutasir hai. Sab se bara asar jo is pair par hai wo ye hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rates kam karne ki umeed barh rahi hai. Yeh elaan jald kiya ja sakta hai. Sarmayakaar is rate cut ka ghoor se dekh rahe hain kyun ke kam interest rates aik currency ko kamzor karte hain. Euro pehle hi dosray major currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor hai, aur agar ECB rate cut karti hai to yeh trend barqaraar reh sakta hai. Rate cut ka sabab Eurozone mein inflation ka ahista honay ka process hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) se inflation ka aindah bhi kam honay ka imkaan hai. HICP ke mutabiq August ka headline inflation 2.3% tak ghir sakta hai, jabke core inflation (jo ziada volatile components ko nikal kar dekha jata hai) 2.8% rehne ka andaza hai. Yeh inflation ke figures dikhate hain ke ECB ko aane wale waqt mein aur bhi rate cut karne par majboor ho sakta hai taake economy ko support mil sake.
Eurozone ka wasee economic outlook bhi abhi tak ghair yaqiniyat ka shikar hai, jo Euro ke liye aur zyada challenges peda karta hai. Haal hi ke data mein economic activity mein halka behtri ka asar dekha gaya, khaaskar France mein Paris Olympics ke sabab, magar yeh behtri mukhtasir arsa ke liye hai. Eurozone ki economic surat-e-haal abhi bhi kamzor hai, aur slow growth prospects currency par dabao daal rahe hain. ECB ke aham afraad ne bhi is baat par chinta ka izhaar kiya hai ke inflation control karne ki jo koshishain ho rahi hain wo kab tak kamyab rahengi. Iss ghair yaqiniyat ke hote huay, traders apne faislay in concerns ko madde nazar rakh kar kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, European Union ka Main Refinancing Rate jo Thursday ko release hoga, market mein mazeed volatility la sakta hai, kyun ke yeh rate ECB ke future monetary policies par roshni daalega.

EUR/USD

Euro, jo ke abhi major currencies ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai, ne Wednesday ki New York trading session ke dauran apne recent highs 1.1055 se significant decline dekha. Market sentiment abhi zyada ter ECB ke September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed ke asar mein hai. Is move ke anticipation ne intensity gain ki hai jab inflation rates gir rahe hain, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh rate-cutting cycle September ke baad bhi barh sakta hai. Abhi spot price 1.1016 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

ECB ke potential interest rate decisions ka andaza lagane ke liye investors German aur Eurozone HICP data ka closely jaiza lenge jo Thursday aur Friday ko release honge. Analysts expect karte hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo ke overall inflation ko measure karta hai, 2.3% tak decelerate karega, jab ke core HICP, jo ke volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hoga.

**EUR/USD ke fundamentals:**ECB ke aur zyada interest rate cuts ki umeed badh gayi hai Eurozone ke economic outlook aur wage growth slowdown ke hawale se barhati hui uncertainties ki wajah se. Hiraan kun baat yeh hai ke Eurozone ki economic activity August mein unexpected upar gayi, flash HCOB PMI report ke mutabiq. Magar yeh uptick ziada ter France mein Olympic Games ki wajah se aayi demand ki wajah se hua. Economists isay temporary boost samajhte hain, naa ke kisi fundamental economic change ko.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium ke dauran Saturday ko yeh kaha ke restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat hai. Lane ne inflation ke khilaf ladai mein ki gayi taraqqi ko acknowledge kiya, magar yeh bhi kaha ke lambi muddat tak success ka koi yaqeen nahi hai. Unki baat ne ECB ke inflationary pressures ko manage karne aur market expectations ko guide karne ke challenges ko ujagar kiya.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko pair 1.1010 level ke neeche slip kar gaya jab buyers ko upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil hui. Pair abhi 50-day EMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0962 par hai, magar agar decline jari rehta hai to price 20-day EMA ke paas wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance 14-day SMA par 1.1026 ke aas-paas dekhi ja sakti hai.

Pair ko 1.1000 ke crucial psychological level ke breach hone ka khatra hai. Technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur RSI bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar downward momentum barqarar rehti hai, to traders ko apni positions ka jaiza lena hoga aur potential reversals ke liye hoshiyaar rehna hoga.

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. European currency ke interest rate cut ke baad jo limited decline dekha gaya, usse yeh sabit hota hai ke market ne is event ka pehle se hi andaza lagaya tha. Is anticipation ne rate cut ke impact ko kam kar diya. Agle kuch dinon mein jo news US se aayegi, woh market ko zyada significant tareeqe se influence kar sakti hai. Agar koi bade surprises nahi hue, toh EUR/USD pair naye highs tak pahunch sakta hai.

Maine dekha hai ke aap optimistic lag rahe hain potential decline ke baare mein, lekin technical indicators filhal EUR/USD ke liye growth ko support kar rahe hain. Recent aur older data ke beech koi significant discrepancies nahi hain jo kisi aur scenario ka indication de rahi ho. Main 1.1060 ke support level ke aas-paas buying opportunity dekh raha hoon. Price abhi bhi strong aur bullish nazar aa rahi hai.

EUR/USD ka situation abhi bhi complex hai, aur immediate targets abhi clear nahi hain. Hum 1.10 ke neeche nahi gir paaye, lekin pair ne 1.11 ke upar chadhne ke baad us level ko maintain karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai. Recent market action, jismein pin bar formation bhi shamil hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke aage further declines ho sakte hain. Dollar ki direction agle hafte, khaaskar Fed ke decisions ke saath, bahut crucial hogi. Main abhi sell karne ka soch nahi raha, lekin agar pair 1.1025 ke neeche girta hai toh buying ke liye open hoon.

Main specific support aur resistance levels pe itna rely nahi karta, balki broader support aur resistance zones pe focus karta hoon jo trend changes par base hote hain. EUR/USD pair ke liye, agar December daily resistance zone se rebound hota hai, toh yeh sell opportunity ka signal ban sakta hai. Mera perspective chart mein illustrate kiya gaya hai, jahan bearish pattern indicate karta hai potential selling points.

Is complex situation ko samajhne ke liye humein technical indicators aur market trends ko closely monitor karna hoga. Yeh zaroori hai ke hum upcoming news aur data releases ka bhi dhyan rakhein jo market ki direction ko significantly influence kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Main mid-to-long term mein US dollar ke khasa kamzor hone ki umeed karta hoon; lekin mujhe lagta hai ke woh girne se pehle aik aakhri surge kar sakta hai. Kya aapne yeh socha hai ke agar price 1.1025 pe release ki jaye, toh aik unstoppable bear run shuru ho sakta hai? Hafte ke pehle hissa mein, ECB meeting ke waja se euro par pressure aane ke imkaan hain, utasalar jab ke interest rate cut abhi tak expect ki ja rahi hai, magar price ne abhi response nahi diya. Bohat kuch US inflation data par bhi munhasir hoga. Shayad aap fundamentals par tawajjo na dete ho, lekin yeh analysis aglay 1.4 haftay mein, September 17 se shuru, bohat ahm hoga. Hamesha soch samajh kar trade karein, lekin Fed aur ECB policies mein tabdeeliyan bhi barabar zaroori hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke is pair ki price gir kar kam az kam mere target 1.0859 tak pohanchay gi. Mid-term outlook ko dekhte hue abhi khareedna sirf us surat mein moazoon lagta hai, jab potential 8th figure ke aas paas ho. Yeh baat bilkul theek hai ke intraday kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Agar aap European market trends se hum aahang hain, toh sham ka range 1.1069-1.1089 thoda raahnuma sabit ho sakta hai. Yeh range shayad itni oonchi na ho, lekin news ke baad isko zaroor madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Is range ke ooper buying theek hai; Neechay selling behtar rahegi. EUR/USD pair ke liye mujhe bhi lagta hai ke selling zaida moazoon hai, kyun ke technical indicators H1 aur H4 charts par bearish hain, aur Friday se baqi rehne wali movement ko bhi zahir kar rahe hain. Monday ko koi solid foundation nahi hai jo price ko achanak upar karay, toh technical analysis dominate kar sakti hai. Opening par, main 1.0165 ke aas paas level ko dekh raha hoon, aur short-term target 1.1024 feasible lag raha hai, jo k jaldi poora ho sakta hai. Yeh haqeeqat mein mumkin hai ke hum technically level 10 ke qareeb pohanch jaayein

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue. Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.

EUR/ USD

Euro, jo kay abhi major currencies kay muqable mein underperform kar raha hai, ne Wednesday ke New York trading session ke doran 1.1055 ke recent highs se kaafi decline dekha. Market sentiment mein ek bara asar is baat ka hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein ek aur interest rate cut karay ga. Yeh intezar tab aur ziada barh gaya jab inflation rates girnay lage, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke rate-cutting cycle is month se aagay tak jaari reh sakta hai. Abhi spot price lagbhag 1.1016 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai.

ECB ke aglay interest rate decisions ke hawalay se mazeed insights karnay ke liye, investors ghore se German aur Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ka data dekhen ge jo Thursday aur Friday ko release ho ga. Analysts anticipate kar rahe hain ke Eurozone ka annual headline HICP, jo overall inflation ko measure karta hai, 2.3% tak decelerate karay ga, jab ke core HICP, jo volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% tak moderate hoga.

**Fundamentals of the EUR/USD:**

ECB ke mazeed interest rate cuts ke liye market ki expectations mein izafa ho gaya hai Eurozone ke economic outlook aur wage growth ke slowdown ke hawalay se barhti hui uncertainties ki wajah se. Hairat angaiz tor pe, Eurozone ki economic activity August mein unexpected tor pe barhi, jaisay ke flash HCOB PMI report mein dikhaya gaya hai. Lekin yeh uptick ziada tar France mein demand ki wajah se aaya, jo ke Paris Olympics se fueled thi. Economists isay ek temporary boost samajhte hain na ke kisi badi economic tabdeeli ka nishan.

ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ne JH Symposium mein Saturday ko iss baat par zord diya ke restrictive monetary policy ki zarurat abhi bhi hai. Lane ne inflation ke khilaaf ab tak ke progress ko acknowledge kiya lekin saath hi yeh bhi kaha ke long-term kamyabi ko hasil karna abhi bhi uncertain hai. Unke comments se yeh wazeh hota hai ke ECB ko inflationary pressures ko manage karte huay market expectations ko guide karna abhi bhi ek challenging task hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko, EUR/USD pair 1.1010 level ke neeche slip kar gaya, jaisay buyers ko upward momentum maintain karne mein mushkilat hui. Pair is waqt 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo 1.0962 par hai, lekin agar decline jaari raha toh price 20-day EMA ke paas, jo ke 1.1050 ke kareeb hai, wapas gir sakta hai. EUR/USD buyers ke liye resistance 14-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo 1.1026 par hai, wahan par aa sakta hai.

Pair ko 1.1000 ke crucial psychological level ke breach karne ka khatra hai. Technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur RSI ek bearish outlook ko point kar rahe hain. Agar downward momentum jaari rehta hai, toh traders ko apni positions ko dobara evaluate karna par sakta hai aur potential downside risks ke liye hoshiyar rehna hoga.

Aaj, 16 September ko EURUSD ke currency pair ka chand maamooli tajziya hai. Din ki shuruat upar ki taraf ke aik correction se hui aur ab price 1.1100 ke qareeb hai. Ijmali taur par dekha jaye to downward movement ka general picture ab bhi barqarar hai, jo 26 August se shuru hui thi aur 1.12011 ke level se chal rahi hai. Daily chart pe dekha jaye to sab se qareeb aur behtareen target jo downward movement ke liye hai, wo 38.2% Fibonacci level pe hai jo ke 1.0980 ke qareeb hai. Yeh price is level ko torne ki koshish kar sakti hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke downward movement ke silsile ko aage barhawa milega aur 1.0980 ke level ko torne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Lekin is se pehle, ek aur upward correction bhi ho sakti hai. Yeh correction 1.1100 ke level ko tor kar 1.1200 ke qareeb bhi ja sakti hai.

Upward correction ke baad agar price 1.1200 tak pohnchti hai, to yeh downward trend ko aur zyada taqat de sakti hai jab ke price wapas neeche aayegi. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke upward correction ke doran 1.1100 ka level torh kar price thodi dair ke liye 1.1200 tak bhi chale. Magar, overall trend ab bhi downward hi dikhayi de raha hai.

Is waqt sab se aham cheez yeh hai ke trader ko market ke movement ko dheere dheere samajhna hoga aur har ek price movement ko monitor karna hoga. Agar price upward correction ke doran 1.1200 tak pohnchti hai, to wahan se phir downward movement shuru ho sakti hai aur target 1.0980 ke level tak pohochne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke traders ko in sab potential movements ko madde nazar rakhtay hue apne trading decisions lein.

Halaanki, aaj ki date ke hisaab se, downward movement ka trend sab se dominant hai aur agar upward correction ke bawajood bhi price 1.1200 tak nahi pohnchti, to downward trend ka continue hona ziada mumkin hai. Is liye, sab se behtareen strategy yeh hai ke downward movement ko follow karte hue 1.0980 ke target ki taraf dekha jaye, lekin upward correction ka bhi khayal rakha jaye jo ke 1.1100 aur 1.1200 ke darmiyan ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD Price Activity

Aaj ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ko analyze karne par hai. European currency ka interest rate cut ke baad limited decline yeh suggest karta hai ke market ne is event ko achi tarah anticipate kiya tha. Yeh anticipation shayad rate cut ke impact ko kam kar diya. Is ke ilawa, US se aane wale news market ko zyada significant taur par influence kar sakti hain. Agar koi significant surprises nahi hote, to EUR/USD pair naye highs tak pohnch sakti hai.

Maine aapke screenshots dekhe, aur jab aap decline ke potential ko lekar kafi optimistic lag rahe hain, abhi ke technical indicators EUR/USD ke growth ko favor karte hain. Recent aur older data ke beech koi significant discrepancies nahi hain jo kuch aur suggest karein. Main 1.1060 ke support level ke aas-paas buying opportunity dekh raha hoon. Price abhi solid aur bullish nature ki hai.

EUR/USD ki situation abhi bhi complex hai, aur koi zahir immediate targets nazar nahi aate. Hum 1.10 ke niche break nahi kar paye, lekin pair 1.11 ke upar chadh gayi hai magar us level ko maintain karne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Recent market action, jismein pin bar formation shamil hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke further declines possible hain. Dollar ka direction agle haftay, khas taur par Fed ke decisions ke sath, crucial hoga.

Main abhi sell karne ka soch nahi raha hoon lekin agar pair 1.1025 ke niche girti hai to main buying ke liye open hoon. Main specific support aur resistance levels par rely nahi karta, balki trend changes ke basis par broader support aur resistance zones ko prefer karta hoon. EUR/USD pair ke liye, agar December daily resistance zone se rebound hota hai to yeh sell opportunity signal kar sakta hai. Mera perspective accompanying chart mein dikhaya gaya hai, jahan bearish pattern potential selling points ko indicate karta hai.

EUR/USD H-1

Yeh lagbhag 1.1110 level ko chhoo gaya tha. Friday ka resistance 1.1095 update karna mere liye important hoga. Asians ne der na lagate hue plane board kar liya. Jaise ke hourly chart par dikhai de raha hai, bulls ne is level ko break kiya, jo ke pehle half ka northward move darshata hai. EURUSD kitna upar jaa sakta hai? Maine itna door tak nahi socha. 1.1122 pichle hafte ka local peak tha. Mujhe nahi lagta ke isse asaani se accept kiya jayega. Maine wahan ek pending sale order bhi place kiya hai. Agar hum Fed ke paas waapas gaye, to mujhe dar nahi hoga. Din ke dauran winds bhi madad kar sakte hain, kyunke yeh rates ko July se upar push kar rahe hain.

Hum Fed ko upar ya neeche adjust kar sakte hain. Kai log already interest rates ke girne ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Sirf ek sawal hai ke kitna girenge: 25 points ya 50 points. Zyada tar lagta hai ke yeh 25th ko hoga. U.S. election ke liye preparations currency volatility ko badhane ki sambhavana nahi hai. Yeh mera opinion hai. Iski bajaye, hume inke baad ek certain impulse aur important direction milegi.

EUR/USD H-4

Hello sabko!

Asian session ke doran, EURUSD currency pair thoda upar chala gaya. Yeh pair phir se last weekend ke highs par aa gaya hai. Volatility abhi bhi low hai. Investors Federal Reserve ke mid-week announcement ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo monetary policy ko ease karne ki umeed hai. Zyada tar log jaante hain ke crucial rate cuts shuru hone wale hain. Aaj ka economic calendar halka hai. China aur Japan dono ki chhutti hai. Secondary data United States aur Europe se aayega. Pehle half of the day mein pair thodi correction dekh sakta hai, lekin overall, filhal ke liye priority upar ki taraf hi hai. Reversal point 1.1045 hai, iske upar main buy karunga targets ke sath 1.1145 aur 1.1195. Agar pair decline karti hai, 1.1045 ke niche break karti hai aur merge karti hai, to yeh 1.1025 aur 1.099 tak ka channel open kar sakti hai.

Technical analysis of the EURUSD pair

Lekin 143.01 ka level lagta hai ke kaafi nahi hai. Price tezhi se 145.01 ya even 147.01 tak barh sakti hai. Halankeh US dollar ki broad weakness ke bawajood, Japanese yen mazbooti gain kar raha hai, magar shayad ismein thodi dheemapan bhi aayegi. Agar price barhti hai, to ye ek potential upward move generate kar sakti hai, jo sahi shoulder pattern ko draw kar sakti hai. Main in continuation aur reversal patterns par skeptical hoon. Hal hi mein, USD/JPY pair ne December pichle saal mein ek significant support zone ko reach kiya tha lekin previous highs ko surpass nahi kar paya. Hum is zone ko phir se test kar rahe hain August mein thodi recovery ke baad. Yeh dekhna hoga ke yeh zone hold karega ya break hoga, jo hamare agle steps ko determine karega. Agar yeh break hota hai, to shayad hum 138.51 ke niche further decline dekh sakte hain. USD/JPY ka current steep downtrend baqi major pairs ke muqablay mein notable hai.Hal hi mein, USD/JPY pair ne December pichle saal mein ek significant support zone ko reach kiya tha lekin previous highs ko surpass nahi kar paya. Hum is zone ko phir se test kar rahe hain August mein thodi recovery ke baad
Support zone se indirect signals potential upward shift ko suggest karte hain,USD/JPY pair ne December pichle saal mein ek significant support zone ko reach kiya tha lekin previous highs ko surpass nahi kar paya.
aur yeh resistance zone mere buying strategy ke sath align karta hai.

Spot price ne ek choti si chadhai ke baad girawat dekhte hue hafte ka aakhir 1.1120 par band kiya. Is girawat ke bawajood, yeh pair jaldi hi 1.1200 level ko paar karne ki potential rakhta hai. Yeh shift EU ke unimpressive inflation figures aur US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index report ke baad hua hai, jo market forecasts ko zyada nahi badal paya aur prevailing expectations ko barqarar rakha.

Is pair ko aane wale economic data releases, central bank decisions, aur broader market trends se influence milega. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke actions ke darmiyan ka interplay euro ki trajectory ko determine karne mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Traders aur investors ko in developments se agah rehna chahiye taake forex market ki potential volatility ko handle kiya ja sake.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

PCE report, jo consumer prices mein tabdeeli ko track karti hai, ne 2.6% ki steady year-over-year core inflation rate dikhayi, jo forecasted 2.7% se thodi kam hai. Month-on-month inflation bhi estimates ke mutabiq 0.2% ka izafa dikhaayi. Ye figures suggest karti hain ke inflation abhi bhi mojood hai, lekin expectations se zyada tezi se barh nahi rahi. Isliye, Federal Reserve ki umeed hai ke wo apni September ki meeting mein interest rates kam karna shuru kar dega. Lekin, persistent inflation data market ki rapid policy normalization ki expectations ko temper kar sakti hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein 50-basis point (bps) rate cut ki probability 30.5% tak gir gayi hai, jo pichle hafte ke 36% se kam hai. Rate cuts ke is reduction se cautious market sentiment ka pata chalta hai, jo mixed inflation signals ke asar se hai. Is environment mein, European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential interest rate cuts ki speculation barh sakti hai aur saal ke aakhri tak policy easing ke broader market expectations ko affect kar sakti hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Euro ne Friday ko significant ground gain kiya, aur 1.1131 ka high touch kiya. Halanki, yeh briefly ‘strong resistance’ level ko paar kar gaya, lekin upward momentum kam ho gaya hai. Abhi, price ka trade hone ka expect kiya ja raha hai 1.1040 se 1.1200 ke range mein. Ek zyada bullish scenario ke liye, euro ko 1.1240 ke upar clear break karna padega. Agar yeh breach successful hota hai, to yeh 1.1276 tak ke further rise ki stage set kar sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka high hai. Neeche, support 1.1000 ke psychological level ke aas-paas expect kiya ja raha hai.

Daily momentum thoda bearish ho gaya hai, jahan Relative Strength Index (RSI) decline dikhata hai. Key support levels 1.1041, 1.10, aur 1.0931 hain, jo 2024 high se low tak ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke mutabiq hai. Resistance levels 1.1200 aur 1.1281 hain. Ye technical indicators suggest karte hain ke EUR/USD ko kuch downward pressure ka samna hai, lekin significant support levels sharp decline ko rokne mein madadgar honge.

Spot price ne ek downtrend liya aur haftay ke akhri din 1.1120 par band hua, ek chhoti si chadhaai ke baad. Is girawat ke bawajood, pair ke 1.1200 level se aagey nikalne ke imkaanaat hain. Yeh tabadla EU ke unimpressive inflation figures aur US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index report ke baad hua, jo market forecasts ko zyada badalne mein kamiyaab nahi hui aur pehle se chalti hui umeedain barqarar rahi.

Pair par kai factors asar dalenge, jisme aanewali economic data releases, central bank decisions, aur broader market trends shamil hain. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur European Central Bank ke qadam Euro ke trajectory ka taayun karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge. Traders aur investors ko in developments par nazar rakhni hogi taake forex market ke potential volatility se bach sakein.

**Fundamentals of the EUR/USD:**

PCE report, jo ke consumer prices mein tabadlon ko track karti hai, ne steady year-over-year core inflation rate ko 2.6% pe zahir kiya, jo ke forecasted 2.7% se thoda kam tha. Month-on-month inflation estimates ke mutabiq tha, jo ke 0.2% ka izafa darj kiya gaya. Yeh figures yeh darshaate hain ke inflation toh maujood hai, lekin yeh umeedon se zyada nahi barh raha. Is wajah se, Federal Reserve ka agle September meeting mein interest rates kam karna umeed kiya ja raha hai. Magar persistent inflation data market expectations ko temper kar sakta hai taake policy normalization ka tez pivot naa ho.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein 50-basis point (bps) rate cut ki probability 30.5% tak gir gayi hai, jo pichle haftay ke 36% se kam hai. Yeh expected rate cuts ka kam hona ek cautious market sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jo mixed inflation signals se mutasir hai. Is mahaul mein, European Central Bank ke potential interest rate cuts par speculation barh rahi hai, jo broader market expectations par bhi asar dal sakti hai, khas tor par year ke aakhri tak policy easing ke hawalay se.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Euro ne Friday ko kafi acha momentum gain kiya aur 1.1131 ka high choo liya. Halanke, woh briefly strong resistance level se zyada upar gaya, lekin upward momentum thoda kamzor ho gaya hai. Is waqt umeed hai ke price 1.1040 se le kar 1.1200 ke range mein trade karega. Agar euro ek bullish scenario mein jana chahta hai, toh usay 1.1240 ke upar clearly break karna hoga. Agar yeh break hota hai, toh agay ka rasta 1.1276 tak khul sakta hai, jo ke July 2023 ka high hai. Neeche ki taraf, psychological level 1.1000 ke qareeb support expect ki ja rahi hai.

Daily momentum ab thoda bearish ho gaya hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi decline ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Key support levels 1.1041, 1.10, aur 1.0931 par hain, jo ke 2024 high se low tak 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke barabar hain. Resistance levels 1.1200 aur 1.1281 par dekhi ja sakti hain. Yeh technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke EUR/USD ko kuch downward pressure ka samna hai, magar significant support levels sharp decline ko roknay mein madad karenge.

EUR/USD Price Interpretation

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kiya gaya hai. Forex neural network ke technical algorithm ke mutabiq, resistance level 1.1140 ki taraf ek upward movement ke potential ka signal hai. Bulls itne strong lag rahe hain ke upward movement continue ho sakti hai, jo is scenario ko plausible banata hai. Agar buyers current resistance range ke upar position secure kar lete hain, to upward movement sustained ho sakti hai aur buying forecast solidify ho sakti hai. Lekin agar bulls upward momentum maintain nahi kar pate, to sellers control le sakte hain. False breakout ka possibility bhi note karna zaroori hai, jo in scenarios mein aam hota hai. Jab tak buyers fail nahi hote, primary outlook upward move ki taraf hai, lekin agar buyers fail hote hain to sellers price ko significant support level tak neeche le ja sakte hain aur phir se upward move shuru kar sakte hain.

Agar ek sale breakeven par khatam hoti hai to yeh acceptable hai. Kal maine EUR-USD ko 1.1108 par becha, aur bahut se trades bhi breakeven par khatam hue. CME ne Friday, September 6 ke liye Volatility Range ko extend kiya hai, jo non-farm payrolls aur unemployment data ke liye tayyar hai. Technical indicators suggest karte hain ke pair significant move ke qareeb hai. 4-hour chart major support aur resistance levels ke beech fluctuations dikhata hai, aur pair various liquidity zones aur fair value gaps (FVGs) ke through navigate kar raha hai. Key levels jaise 1.1050 ke aas-paas multiple FVGs market ke recent changes ko adjust karne aur directional shift ke liye setup hone ka signal dete hain.

Fundamental factors bhi EUR/USD ke trajectory ko shape karte hain. Eurozone aur U.S. ke recent developments ne market sentiment ko impact kiya hai. European Central Bank (ECB) cautious approach maintain kar raha hai, jabki Federal Reserve zyada dovish stance le raha hai. Monetary policy expectations ki yeh divergence market dynamics ko influence kar rahi hai, euro ko strong banate hue amid a more accommodating Fed stance. Aage chal kar, EUR/USD pair ka direction upcoming economic data aur geopolitical events se influence hoga. Agar key resistance level 1.1100 ke upar breakout hota hai to higher levels jese 1.1200 tak rise dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Wahi agar support levels, particularly 1.1000 ke aas-paas, maintain nahi hote, to deeper retracement ka signal mil sakta hai, jo lower levels jaise 1.0900 ko revisit kar sakta hai.

**EUR/USD Price Interpretation**

EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis ek important topic hai. Forex neural network ke technical algorithm ke mutabiq, is waqt upward movement ka potential hai jo 1.1140 ke resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Bulls kaafi strong lag rahe hain jo upward push ko continue kar sakte hain, is scenario ko plausible banate hain. Yeh forecast clear upward trajectory ko darshata hai, aur agar buyers current resistance range ke upar position secure kar lete hain, to sustained upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo instrument ko buy karne ka forecast ko solidify karega. Lekin agar bulls is upward momentum ko maintain nahi kar paaye, to sellers control grab kar sakte hain. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke false breakout ki possibility ko dhyan mein rakha jaye, jo aise scenarios mein aam hota hai. Jab ke primary outlook successful upward move ke liye lean karta hai, ek alternative scenario bhi hona chahiye. Agar buyers fail hote hain, to sellers price ko ek significant support level tak neeche le ja sakte hain, jahan se price phir se upar move kar sakti hai.

**Trading Experiences aur Technical Indicators**

Agar ek sale breakeven par khatam hoti hai to yeh acceptable hai. Maine kal EUR-USD ko 1.1108 par sell kiya, aur in trades kaafi breakeven par khatam hui. CME ne Friday, September 6 ke liye Volatility Range ko extend kar diya hai, jo non-farm payrolls aur unemployment data ke liye tayyari hai. Technical indicators yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke pair significant move ke qareeb hai. 4-hour chart major support aur resistance levels ke beech fluctuations ko dikhata hai, jahan pair various liquidity zones aur fair value gaps (FVGs) ke through navigate kar raha hai. Key levels jaise 1.1050 ke aas paas multiple FVGs indicate karte hain ke market abhi bhi recent changes ko adjust kar raha hai aur shayad ek pronounced directional shift ke liye setup ho raha hai.

**Fundamental Factors aur Economic Data**

Fundamental factors bhi EUR/USD ki trajectory ko shape karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Eurozone aur U.S. mein recent developments ne market sentiment ko impact kiya hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne cautious approach maintain kiya hai jab ke Federal Reserve ka stance more dovish hai. Yeh divergence in monetary policy expectations current market dynamics ko influence kar raha hai, euro ko strengthen karte hue amid a more accommodating Fed stance. Agle dinon mein, EUR/USD pair ki direction upcoming economic data aur geopolitical events ke influence mein rahegi. Agar key resistance 1.1100 ke upar breakout hota hai to yeh higher levels, jaise 1.1200 ya us se bhi aage ki taraf indication de sakta hai. Conversely, agar support levels, khaaskar 1.1000 ke aas paas, ko maintain nahi kiya jaata, to deeper retracement ka signal mil sakta hai, jo lower levels jaise 1.0900 ko revisit kar sakta hai.