یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein aik nayi upward trend establish ki hai, jo hourly timeframe par ek trendline ke zariye clearly support hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh trendline aik key support level ka kaam kar rahi hai, jo pair ki movement ko guide kar rahi hai aur short-term mein bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein madadgar hai. Lekin is current upward trend ke bawajood, kuch aise reasons hain jo yeh batate hain ke euro ne apne recent gains ko drive karne wale zyadatar bullish factors ko shayad pehle hi price mein shaamil kar liya hai.
Aik ahem consideration yeh hai ke market ne euro ke bullish potential ko shayad exhaust kar diya hai, jis ki wajah se mazeed upward movement kam mumkin hai. Positive news aur economic data pehle hi price mein reflect ho chuki hai, aur euro ke liye apne recent gains ko sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, market ka current behavior yeh suggest karta hai ke economic reports, utsalar wo jo US dollar ko affect karti hain, par market bohot zyada sensitive hai. Aise reports jo US economy ke hawale se uncertainty ya concerns ko janam deti hain, dollar ki panic selling ko induce karti hain, jo ke euro ko mazeed boost deti hai. Lekin agar koi significant events na hoon, toh market ka rujhan dollar ko sell karne ka nazar aata hai, jo ke euro ki strength ko support kar raha hai.

In sab factors ke bawajood, hourly chart par technical picture ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Upward trendline aik critical indicator hai pair ke current momentum ka, aur agar yeh trendline breach hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift ka signal de sakti hai. Agar EUR/USD pair consolidate kar ke trendline ke neechay break karta hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke bullish phase apna momentum kho raha hai, aur pair mein decline aa sakta hai. Yeh potential decline profit-taking ya investor sentiment mein shift se drive ho sakta hai, saktalar agar yeh perception ho ke euro overbought hai ya dollar rebound ke liye tayar

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko apne haaliye izafat ko trim kiya, aur saal ke naye highs par pohanchne ke baad neeche ki taraf aaya hai. Yeh broad-market ki tawajjo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut ke imkaan par hai, jis ne market ke risk appetite ko upar tak pohanchaye rakha hai.
Trading week ke darmiyani hisson mein maashi calendar mein kuch khaas nahi hai, lekin Thursday ko Amreeki GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ke figures ka update aayega, jis par sab ki nazar rahegi. Yahan bhi kuch zyada harkat ki tawaqqo nahi hai kyun ke markets ne aam tor par Q2 ke annualized GDP growth ko lagbhag 2.8% par stable hone ke liye price-in kiya hua hai.

Friday ka data docket bhi markets ke liye boredom ki soorat-e-haal paida kar sakta hai, jab ke Europe mein subah subah pan-EU Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation ke naye figures aayenge. Tawakkho hai ke core EU HICP inflation har maidan mein girawat dekha rahi hai, aur August mein YoY 2.8% par chaapne ki umeed hai, jab ke pichlay chaapne mein yeh 2.9% tha.

EUR/USD ne 1.1107 par maujood aham Fibo support se wapas uthaan li hai, jaisay ke US Dollar ke bechne mein nayi lehar dekhi ja rahi hai. Risk aversion aur German inflation aur US GDP se pehle ki pareshani is pair ke izafa ko mahdoob kar sakti hai.

Rozana technical setup nazdeek mustaqbil ke liye EUR/USD ke liye mazboot nazar aata hai. EUR/USD ne Thursday ki subah wapas green zone mein dastak di hai, Wednesday ki sakht sell-off ka kuch hissa reverse karte hue. Lekin aagay ki taraf izafa mushkil nazar aata hai agar risk aversion barhta hai aur US Dollar (USD) ki safe-haven demand ko dobara zinda karta hai.

Markets ehtiyaat ke saath trade kar rahe hain, Nvidia, jo ke ek Amreeki AI giant hai, ke disappointing sales forecast ke baad aur is haftay ke top-tier economic data ke jaari honay ki

EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.
US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain

USD Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!
Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum ko 102.14 tak update kar sakta hai

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Leki momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki probability zyada

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein aik nayi upward trend establish ki hai, jo hourly timeframe par ek trendline ke zariye clearly support hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh trendline aik key support level ka kaam kar rahi hai, jo pair ki movement ko guide kar rahi hai aur short-term mein bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein madadgar hai. Lekin is current upward trend ke bawajood, kuch aise reasons hain jo yeh batate hain ke euro ne apne recent gains ko drive karne wale zyadatar bullish factors ko shayad pehle hi price mein shaamil kar liya hai.
Aik ahem consideration yeh hai ke market ne euro ke bullish potential ko shayad exhaust kar diya hai, jis ki wajah se mazeed upward movement kam mumkin hai. Positive news aur economic data pehle hi price mein reflect ho chuki hai, aur euro ke liye apne recent gains ko sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, market ka current behavior yeh suggest karta hai ke economic reports, utsalar wo jo US dollar ko affect karti hain, par market bohot zyada sensitive hai. Aise reports jo US economy ke hawale se uncertainty ya concerns ko janam deti hain, dollar ki panic selling ko induce karti hain, jo ke euro ko mazeed boost deti hai. Lekin agar koi significant events na hoon, toh market ka rujhan dollar ko sell karne ka nazar aata hai, jo ke euro ki strength ko support kar raha hai.

In sab factors ke bawajood, hourly chart par technical picture ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Upward trendline aik critical indicator hai pair ke current momentum ka, aur agar yeh trendline breach hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift ka signal de sakti hai. Agar EUR/USD pair consolidate kar ke trendline ke neechay break karta hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke bullish phase apna momentum kho raha hai, aur pair mein decline aa sakta hai. Yeh potential decline profit-taking ya investor sentiment mein shift se drive ho sakta hai, saktalar agar yeh perception ho ke euro overbought hai ya dollar rebound ke liye tayar hai

EUR/USD D1 chart

Is uptick ke bawajood, Euro ne apni recovery efforts mein challenges ka samna kiya hai. Yeh surprising hai, kyunke haal hi mein July ke liye Eurozone ka preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data ne 2.6% ka unexpected rise dikhaya. Economists ne 2.4% ki kami ki ummeed ki thi, jo June ke 2.5% se kam hoti. Core HICP, jo ke food aur energy jaise volatile items ko exclude karta hai, bhi expectations se zyada badha, 2.9% se jab ke forecast 2.8% tha.

Is waqt, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo USD ko chhe major currencies ke muqablay mein gauge karta hai, apne recent gains se wapas aa gaya hai aur 101.70 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. US Treasury yields ki kami, jo ke filhal 4.01% aur 3.97% hain, ne Greenback par aur pressure daala hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ke is saal do baar interest rates ko kam karne ki ummeed hai. Yeh adjustment Eurozone ke economic challenges ko address karne aur inflation ko 2% ke target rate par wapas lane ke liye hai. Lekin, ECB officials cautious hain aur kisi specific rate-cut path par commitment se bacha raha hai, jab tak Eurozone ke economic trajectory par zyada conclusive data nahi milta. Recent Eurostat data ne Eurozone retail sales ke June ke liye 0.3% ka unexpected drop dikhaya, jab ke pehle 0.5% ka increase aur market expectation 0.1% ki rise thi.

Daily time frame par switch karte hue, EUR/USD ka setup interesting hai, lekin hamesha ki tarah isse interpret karna thoda complex hai. Ek zigzag pattern upar ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo apni Fibonacci expansion target 1.1124 tak pahunch gaya hai. Ek notable attempt upar break karne ki thi, aur yeh briefly successful bhi raha. Lekin, price wapas 1.1124 par aayi aur Friday ko 1.10 range ke midpoint par, precisely moving average ke paas khatam hui. Yeh average further declines ke liye pehli barrier ki tarah kaam karti hai; yahan se growth ka resume hona mumkin hai.

Agar targets niche set kiye jaayein, to 1.0946 ka level consider karna chahiye—jo July ke zigzag ka peak hai. Isse thoda upar, 1.0984 par ek significant horizontal level hai. Agar northern retracement nahi hota, to selling options kam viable ho jaati hain. Main plan kar raha hoon ke kharidari sirf un areas se karun jo mere landmarks ke nazdeek hain.

Winning Trades with EUR/USD Prices

Hamari discussion mein, EUR/USD currency pair ke price changes ko analyze karenge. H4 time frame par EUR/USD pair ne kal dono directions mein significant activity dikhayi, aur U.S. session ke nazdeek notable downward move bhi dekha gaya. H4 par weekly pivot levels ke mutabiq, ek critical development hui—hum weekly pivot line 1.10753 ke neeche break ho gaye, jo bearish stance ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is wajah se, yeh setup H4 par pair ko sell karne ke mauke ko open karta hai, aur Ichimoku indicator bhi bearish "Dead Cross" ko confirm karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke sales tab tak open rahengi jab tak weekly pivot levels kal H4 ke liye recalculated nahi hote. Ek strategic approach yeh hogi ke is pivot ke neeche se retest par sell kiya jaye. Filhaal, pehla sales target 61.8% Fibonacci level par 1.10937 hai, aur jab weekly pivot levels adjust honge, downside target ko further refine kiya ja sakta hai.

Daily time frame ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD ek intriguing setup dikhata hai, lekin isse interpret karna hamesha thoda complex hota hai. Ek upward pointing zigzag pattern hai, jo Fibonacci expansion target 1.1124 ko hit karta hai. Ek notable attempt higher break karne ka tha, aur yeh briefly successful bhi hua. Lekin, price wapas 1.1124 par aa gayi aur Friday ko 1.10 range ke midpoint ke nazdeek close hui, bilkul moving average par. Yeh average further declines ke liye initial barrier ka kaam karti hai; yahan se growth resume hona possible hai. Agar lower targets set kiye jaye, toh 1.0946 level ko consider karna chahiye—jo July zigzag ka peak hai. Iske thoda upar, 1.0984 par ek significant horizontal level bhi hai. Agar northern retracement nahi hoti, toh selling options kam viable ho jati hain. Main sirf apne landmarks ke nazdeek areas se buying consider karunga.

Navigating the Waves: EUR/USD Prices

EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis ek discussion ka topic hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair abhi downward trend mein hai, aur price ne haftay ke aakhir mein apne lowest point par end kiya hai. Yeh price is point ki taraf move karegi, jahan abhi tak around 69 points aur baki hain further testing ke liye. Yeh mumkin hai ke iss line par reversal ho, lekin yeh abhi tak yaqeen nahi hai. Lekin chances significant hain ke pair aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, kyun ke recent highs se iska considerable distance dikha raha hai ke market mein bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai. Overall, price mein aur zyada decline ki umeed hai. Aane wale haftay ke liye, mujhe ek possible attempt of growth ki umeed hai, magar market ki direction abhi bhi uncertain hai. Yeh behtar hoga ke kuch din intazaar karein aur Wednesday tak dekhain ke halat kis tarah unfold hoti hain. Aane wale maheene mein bahut saari economic data releases expected hain, is liye market Monday ko sideways trade kar sakti hai anticipation mein.



Haal hi ki daily sessions mein, chaar consecutive candles jo 1.1188 level ke neeche trade hui hain, unhone euro ke liye ek strong sell indication di hai, jis ne bearish pressure push kiya aur teen seedhe declines ka sabab bana. Friday ko, bearish daily stochastic ne oversold territory mein enter kiya, aur price Bollinger Band ke midpoint ko chhoya. Yeh potential bullish correction ki taraf ishara karta hai, is liye abhi mazeed sales ko pause karna prudent hoga. Weekly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi form hua hai. Kuch log yeh argue karenge ke yeh poora engulfing pattern nahi hai, lekin kuch choti discrepancies, jaise ke kuch points, iss context mein negligible hain—khusoosan 129-point ke decline ko dekhte hue, jo ke mein traditionally fourth decimal place use karke calculate karta hoon. Yeh significant drop is point ko signal karta hai jahan se reversal unlikely hai, aur agla target level around 1.1008 ho sakta hai ya shayad us se bhi neeche, jahan minor corrections expect kiye jaa sakte hain 1.1029 area ke paas, jahan ek support zone mukhtasar thaherav ka sabab ban sakta hai.

EUR/USD ki price patterns par behas Is waqt hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price behaviour ka analysis kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 time frame par market mein buy intentions ke saath enter hona munasib lagta hai. Price abhi bhi 200 moving average ke upar hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Guzishta din ke akhri hissay mein, pair consistent tor par din ke opening level se upar trade karta raha aur trading session bhi higher close kiya. Din ke dauran, price quotes ne neeche se upper Bollinger Band ko cross kiya, jo bullish sentiment aur aage bhi upward movement ke imkaan ko mazboot banata hai. Yeh tamam technical indicators mixed outlook zahir karte hain, jis mein bullish momentum ke barqarar rehne ya kisi corrective pause ke imkaanat hain, jo aane wale sessions mein critical levels aur market behaviour par depend karega. In thresholds ki monitoring trading decisions ke liye zaroori hogi.

Is waqt, RSI favorable reading de raha hai jo potential buy actions ko support karta hai, kyunke uske values buying ke liye valid range se mutabiq hain. EUR/USD pair ke hawale se, 4-hour time frame ke graphical analysis ki buniyad par ek trading signal saamne aaya hai, jo Head and Shoulders reversal pattern dikha raha hai. Yeh setup British pound ke saath bhi dekha gaya tha. Euro ke liye, sellers ne trading close par price ko support level 1.1047 tak neeche push kiya. Quotes Monday raat trading resume hone par is horizontal line ke aas paas hover karte rahenge. Is liye, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke breakdown hoga ya nahi. Corrective decline mumkin hai ke barqarar rahe, lekin range ab zyada constrained lagti hai. Primary support level 1.0989 aik critical target hai. Is point se, main buy positions open karne par ghour karunga. Dusri taraf, agar support level 1.1047 par barqarar rehta hai aur break nahi hota, toh downward correction khatam ho sakta hai aur upward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, is baat ka bhi imkaan hai ke price 1.1047 se 1.1105 ke trading range mein sideways move kare.

Euro ne August main apni doosri sabse unchi satah hasil ki hai, jise sarmaayakaro ke darmiyan aam taur par optimistic jazbaat ka asar hai. Federal Reserve ka qareebi rujhan, jo zyada supportive lagta hai, ne yeh umeed barha di hai ke interest rates mein izafa ab khatam honay wala hai. Is badalte huye rujhan ne bazaar ka risk appetite kaafi barha diya hai. Zhishang Institute ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko rate cut ke chances qareeban teen mein se ek hain. Federal Reserve ke afsaraan ne khud bhi is baat ka izhar kiya hai ke 25 basis point tak ki rate reduction ho sakti hai. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium main Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne tasleem kiya ke central bank ab apne benchmark interest rate ko kam karne par ghor kar raha hai. Agle hafte ke economic data mein ziada ahmiyat nahi hogi, magar European Union aur United States ke inflation data ko qareebi se dekha jaye ga. US GDP growth ka data jo ke Thursday ko anay wala hai, bazaar ke jazbaat ko hilaa sakta hai, magar traders ki tawajju Friday ko aane wale dual inflation reports par hi rahe gi. European Union ka preliminary inflation data (HICP) agle Jumme ko expected hai. United States main personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation index ke Fed ke target level par qaim rehne ki umeed hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke inflation pressures kam ho rahe hain. Kuch challenges ke bawajood, Euro ne Friday ko naya high hasil kiya, aur 1.1300 ke area ko test kiya. Trading sentiment mein kuch ikhtilaf ke bawajood, overall price trend upward hai, jo darshata hai ke Euro mazid taqat pakar raha hai. US dollar ka recent rebound apni 200-day moving average low se Euro ko mazeed support de raha hai. Euro-to-dollar exchange rate barh rahi hai, aur agar price 1.1300 ke upar convincing break kar leti hai, to bullish sentiment mazeed barh sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko maintain karne mein nakam hoti hai, to

r raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.
Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakt

Time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake. Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar rahe hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh

Currency pair ne 1.1150 tak kuch waqt ke liye bulandiyon ka saamna kiya, lekin phir se apne aam range 1.1204 ke aas-paas wapas aa gaya, aur 2024 ka naya high set karne ka mauka chhod diya. Market ki ummeedein bharak gayi thi, investors ko lag raha tha ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts jaldi implement kar sakta hai. Sab se zyada speculation is baat ke aas-paas hai ke shayad September mein double rate cut ho sakta hai, jo currency fluctuations ko heavily influence kar raha hai. Eurozone ki Economic Data ne Aage ke Rate Cuts ki Umeedein Kam Kar Di:

Eurozone ke economic indicators ne is saal additional interest rate cuts ke liye umeedein kam kar di hain. Inflation data expected se zyada aaya hai, jahan Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) July mein 2.6% saal-on-saal badh gaya, jabke consensus estimate 2.4% tha. Core HICP, jo food aur energy jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.9% tak barh gaya, jabke expected 2.8% tha. Ye figures Eurozone ke mazboot economic conditions ko highlight karti hain aur further rate reductions ki ummeedon ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor karti hain.

EUR/USD ki Correction Limited Hai Jabke Mazboot German Data Euro ko Support De Raha Hai:

EUR/USD mein recent correction itni substantial ya tez nahi dikhayi gayi. German economic data, khaaskar June ke Factory Orders, ne Euro ko support diya hai. Jabke June mein 0.8% month-over-month increase ki expectations thi, jo May mein 1.6% ki kami ke baad thi, actual data ne forecasts ko piche chhod diya aur 3.9% ka izafa dikhaya. Ye strong performance Eurozone economy ki resilience ko dikhata hai aur Euro ki position ko support karta hai.

D1 Chart ke Key Technical Levels aur Resistance Points ko Dekhein:

1.1203 ka mark ek significant resistance point raha hai jahan buyers ne pehle step in kiya hai. Agar is level se upar successful rally hoti hai, to December ki peak 1.1139 par dhyan jaa sakta hai. Agar Fed koi achanak emergency rate cut implement karta hai, to market conditions volatile ho sakti hain aur 1.1277 tak ka move bhi mumkin ho sakta hai.

Lekin, pair ne kuch resistance ka saamna kiya hai, khaaskar Monday ko 1.10 ke upar thodi der ke liye spike ke baad. Is level ne strong selling pressure dekha, jo ek critical descending trend line ke neeche retreat kar gaya. Pair ko agle bullish leg ke liye strength build karni hai, ise solid support milna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought territory ke qareeb hai, jo suggest karta hai ke ek pullback zaroori ho sakta hai pehle ke kisi potential rally ke momentum gain karne se pehle