یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein aik nayi upward trend establish ki hai, jo hourly timeframe par ek trendline ke zariye clearly support hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh trendline aik key support level ka kaam kar rahi hai, jo pair ki movement ko guide kar rahi hai aur short-term mein bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein madadgar hai. Lekin is current upward trend ke bawajood, kuch aise reasons hain jo yeh batate hain ke euro ne apne recent gains ko drive karne wale zyadatar bullish factors ko shayad pehle hi price mein shaamil kar liya hai.

Aik ahem consideration yeh hai ke market ne euro ke bullish potential ko shayad exhaust kar diya hai, jis ki wajah se mazeed upward movement kam mumkin hai. Positive news aur economic data pehle hi price mein reflect ho chuki hai, aur euro ke liye apne recent gains ko sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, market ka current behavior yeh suggest karta hai ke economic reports, khaaskar wo jo US dollar ko affect karti hain, par market bohot zyada sensitive hai. Aise reports jo US economy ke hawale se uncertainty ya concerns ko janam deti hain, dollar ki panic selling ko induce karti hain, jo ke euro ko mazeed boost deti hai. Lekin agar koi significant events na hoon, toh market ka rujhan dollar ko sell karne ka nazar aata hai, jo ke euro ki strength ko support kar raha hai.

In sab factors ke bawajood, hourly chart par technical picture ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Upward trendline aik critical indicator hai pair ke current momentum ka, aur agar yeh trendline breach hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift ka signal de sakti hai. Agar EUR/USD pair consolidate kar ke trendline ke neechay break karta hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke bullish phase apna momentum kho raha hai, aur pair mein decline aa sakta hai. Yeh potential decline profit-taking ya investor sentiment mein shift se drive ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar yeh perception ho ke euro overbought hai ya dollar rebound ke liye tayar hai.

In conclusion, jabke EUR/USD upward trendline se supported hai hourly chart par, jo continued bullish momentum ka ishara karti hai, mazeed gains ki potential limited ho sakti hai. Market bohot reactive hai news par, khaaskar wo jo dollar ko negatively impact karti hain, lekin euro ki upside shayad constrained hai kyunke zyadatar bullish factors pehle hi price mein shaamil hain. Traders ko trendline ke neechay consolidation par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo ke reversal ko trigger kar sakti hai aur pair mein decline le kar aa sakti hai, jo broader technical outlook ke saath align karegi.

EUR/USD 1.1130 ke qareeb taqat dikha raha hai FOMC minutes ke announcement se pehle July ki monetary policy meeting ka. Fed ne July mein interest rates ko steady rakha eighth time in a row, lekin Jerome Powell ne cuts ke discussions ko acknowledge kiya. ECB September mein policy-easing cycle ko resume karne ki expectation hai.

EUR/USD 1.1130 ke qareeb hovers kar raha hai Wednesday ki European session mein, jo is saal ka highest level hai. Major currency pair 2024 ke highs 1.1140 ko revisit karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jabki US Dollar (USD) growing optimism ke beech mein pressure mein hai Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts ke September mein.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, fresh seven-month low ke qareeb 101.30 par hovers kar raha hai. Consistently easing United States (US) inflationary pressures aur cooling labor market conditions ne investors ko convince kiya hai ki Fed September mein interest rates ko reduce karega. Lekin traders split hain ki yeh first interest rate reduction jumbo ya gradual hoga.

CME FedWatch tool shows ki 50-basis-point (bps) interest-rate cut ki likelihood 30.5% hai. Rest expects more nuanced 25-basis-point cut. Wednesday ki session mein, investors FOMC minutes ke July policy meeting par focus karenge, jo 18:00 GMT par publish honge. July meeting mein, Fed ne key borrowing rates ko unchanged chhoda range 5.25%-5.50% mein eighth straight time. Fed ne acknowledge kiya ki scope of risks ne widened hai dual mandate (inflation aur employment) ke dono aspects mein.

Is week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki speech Friday ko Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein - jo Thursday se Saturday tak hold hogi - major event hogi, jo fresh cues provide karegi rate cuts ke September mein. July ki monetary policy announcement ke baad press conference mein, Jerome Powell ne kaha: "Agar hum inflation ko moving down more or less in line with expectations, growth remains reasonably strong, aur labor market remains consistent with current conditions, to main think ki rate cut September meeting mein table par ho sakta hai.”




EUR/USD saal ki high 1.1140 ko approach kar raha hai FOMC minutes ke release se pehle. Major currency pair ne daily time frame par channel formation ka breakout ke baad strengthen kiya. Upward-sloping 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 1.0970 aur 1.0900 par, respectively, suggest ki broad trend bullish hai

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko apne haaliye izafat ko trim kiya, aur saal ke naye highs par pohanchne ke baad neeche ki taraf aaya hai. Yeh broad-market ki tawajjo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut ke imkaan par hai, jis ne market ke risk appetite ko upar tak pohanchaye rakha hai.

Trading week ke darmiyani hisson mein maashi calendar mein kuch khaas nahi hai, lekin Thursday ko Amreeki GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ke figures ka update aayega, jis par sab ki nazar rahegi. Yahan bhi kuch zyada harkat ki tawaqqo nahi hai kyun ke markets ne aam tor par Q2 ke annualized GDP growth ko lagbhag 2.8% par stable hone ke liye price-in kiya hua hai.

Friday ka data docket bhi markets ke liye boredom ki soorat-e-haal paida kar sakta hai, jab ke Europe mein subah subah pan-EU Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation ke naye figures aayenge. Tawakkho hai ke core EU HICP inflation har maidan mein girawat dekha rahi hai, aur August mein YoY 2.8% par chaapne ki umeed hai, jab ke pichlay chaapne mein yeh 2.9% tha.

EUR/USD ne 1.1107 par maujood aham Fibo support se wapas uthaan li hai, jaisay ke US Dollar ke bechne mein nayi lehar dekhi ja rahi hai. Risk aversion aur German inflation aur US GDP se pehle ki pareshani is pair ke izafa ko mahdoob kar sakti hai.

Rozana technical setup nazdeek mustaqbil ke liye EUR/USD ke liye mazboot nazar aata hai. EUR/USD ne Thursday ki subah wapas green zone mein dastak di hai, Wednesday ki sakht sell-off ka kuch hissa reverse karte hue. Lekin aagay ki taraf izafa mushkil nazar aata hai agar risk aversion barhta hai aur US Dollar (USD) ki safe-haven demand ko dobara zinda karta hai.

Markets ehtiyaat ke saath trade kar rahe hain, Nvidia, jo ke ek Amreeki AI giant hai, ke disappointing sales forecast ke baad aur is haftay ke top-tier economic data ke jaari honay ki pareshani ke darmiyan.

Germany apne ibtedai inflation data ko publish karne ke liye tayyar hai jab ke Amreeki calendar mein Thursday ko GDP ka dusra estimate bhi shaamil hoga.

Short-term technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, EUR/USD ka uptrend tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak 1.1107 ka support mazbooti se thaamta rahega. Yeh level August rally ke 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement (Fibo) level ke barabar hai jo 1.0775 se 1.1202 tak hui thi, jo ke 13 saal ka high hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se upar mazbooti se qaim hai, abhi 63 ke qareeb hai, jo major ki bullish potential ko darshaata hai.

1.1150 ke psychological level se upar ki taraf rozana close hone ki zaroorat hai taake saal ke top ko jo ke 1.1200 se thoda upar hai, usay dobara test kiya ja sake. Isse pehle, Wednesday ka high 1.1186 bearish commitments ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar 23.6% Fibo support 1.1107 se neeche ka sustainable break hota hai, toh girawat ka rukh 38.2% Fibo level ki taraf khul sakta hai, jo ke 1.1045 par aligned hai.

time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.
Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Leki momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki probability zyada hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein aik nayi upward trend establish ki hai, jo hourly timeframe par ek trendline ke zariye clearly support hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh trendline aik key support level ka kaam kar rahi hai, jo pair ki movement ko guide kar rahi hai aur short-term mein bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein madadgar hai. Lekin is current upward trend ke bawajood, kuch aise reasons hain jo yeh batate hain ke euro ne apne recent gains ko drive karne wale zyadatar bullish factors ko shayad pehle hi price mein shaamil kar liya hai.
Aik ahem consideration yeh hai ke market ne euro ke bullish potential ko shayad exhaust kar diya hai, jis ki wajah se mazeed upward movement kam mumkin hai. Positive news aur economic data pehle hi price mein reflect ho chuki hai, aur euro ke liye apne recent gains ko sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, market ka current behavior yeh suggest karta hai ke economic reports, khaaskar wo jo US dollar ko affect karti hain, par market bohot zyada sensitive hai. Aise reports jo US economy ke hawale se uncertainty ya concerns ko janam deti hain, dollar ki panic selling ko induce karti hain, jo ke euro ko mazeed boost deti hai. Lekin agar koi significant events na hoon, toh market ka rujhan dollar ko sell karne ka nazar aata hai, jo ke euro ki strength ko support kar raha hai.

In sab factors ke bawajood, hourly chart par technical picture ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Upward trendline aik critical indicator hai pair ke current momentum ka, aur agar yeh trendline breach hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift ka signal de sakti hai. Agar EUR/USD pair consolidate kar ke trendline ke neechay break karta hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke bullish phase apna momentum kho raha hai, aur pair mein decline aa sakta hai. Yeh potential decline profit-taking ya investor sentiment mein shift se drive ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar yeh perception ho ke euro overbought hai ya dollar rebound ke liye tayar hai.

In conclusion, jabke EUR/USD upward trendline se supported hai hourly chart par, jo continued bullish momentum ka ishara karti hai, mazeed gains ki potential limited ho sakti hai. Market bohot reactive hai news par, khaaskar wo jo dollar ko negatively impact karti hain, lekin euro ki upside shayad constrained hai kyunke zyadatar bullish factors pehle hi price mein shaamil hain. Traders ko trendline ke neechay consolidation par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo ke reversal ko trigger kar sakti hai aur pair mein decline le kar aa sakti hai, jo broader technical outlook ke saath align karegi.

EUR/USD Pair Technical Analysis

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Kal, EUR/USD ke liye doosre quarter ka ek key indicator aur benefits ke data release hone wale hain. Aaj dollar ki market mein technical correction ko dekhte hue, agar EUR/USD figures strong hain to EUR/USD pair 1.1029 tak gir sakta hai. Lekin, meri nazar 1.1079 par hai, jahan do trend lines intersect hoti hain, jo rebound aur local reversal provide kar sakti hain. H4 chart par MACD indicator reversal ke qareeb hai, aur agar 1.1079 par pohnchta hai, to medium-term trend reverse ho sakta hai, jo shayad 9th floor tak wapas le ja sakta hai. Lekin, abhi definitive predictions karna mushkil hai, kyunki news kisi bhi direction mein ja sakti hai, aur shayad pair ko 12th figure tak wapas push kar sakti hai. European economy ko aajkal itna dhyan nahi mil raha, aur focus zyada tar dollar aur Fed par hai, jo aakhir kar EUR/USD ke directiDirection ko tay karega.

Saturday's European Session EUR/USD Analysis

Jumeraat ki European session mein, EUR/USD mein ek aham sell-off dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan yeh round-level support 1.100 ke neeche gir sakta hai. Yeh currency pair gir raha hai kyunki European Central Bank (ECB) se interest rate cut ki umeed barh gayi hai, jab ke Germany ke chhay bade riyasaton aur Spain ke preliminary inflation data ne yeh darshaya ke price pressures August mein aasan ho gaye hain.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko chhay bade currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, 101.30 ke aas-paas barh gaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke US dollar Wednesday ke peak se zyada majboot ho gaya hai. US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) ke July ke data ki release ke qareeb, US dollar value ka achanak rebound yeh indicate karta hai ke investors risk lene mein kam interested ho sakte hain.

PCE inflation statistics market conjecture par asar daal sakti hain, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September ke interest-rate cuts ke probable magnitude ko affect karegi. PCE inflation data ke mutabiq, July mein annual core inflation rate 2.7% tak barh gaya, jo June ke 2.6% se tez hai. Core PCE ka ek mahine mein 0.2% ke hisaab se barhne ka tajwez hai.

Friday ko spot price mein minimal movement dekhi gayi, jab price ne 1.1200 level ko test kiya aur din ke shuruati point ke aas-paas close kiya. Pair ne is hafte ke shuru mein 1.1200 ki taraf move karne ki koshish ki, lekin momentum khatam hone ke wajah se wo fail ho gaya. US data release ke baad investor enthusiasm kam ho gayi hai, jiski wajah se ab consolidation ka dor hai.

EUR/USD aur Rate Cut Speculation: ECB aur Fed Outlook

Euro ki direction largely market sentiment aur European Central Bank (ECB) aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke potential rate cuts ke hawale se speculation par depend karegi. Eurozone se high-impact economic data ki kami ke saath, nazar ECB policies par hai. Market expectations kehti hain ke ECB shayad is saal do aur rate cuts implement kare. ECB ne June mein easing cycle shuru kiya tha, 2025 tak 2% inflation target ke liye, lekin uske baad cautious stance adopt kiya, aur July mein rates ko unchanged rakha.

Rate traders filhal Fed ke 18 September ko 50-basis-point rate cut ki ummeed laga rahe hain, aur baaki 2024 ke doran aur reductions ki bhi ummeed hai. CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, December ke end tak Fed’s benchmark rate 425-450 basis points tak pahunchne ke 83% probability hai.

D1 Chart Key Levels aur Potential Breakouts:

Technical analysis ke hawale se, EUR/USD daily chart par apni channel formation ke upper boundary ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Agar is pattern se breakout hota hai to increased volatility aur higher trading volumes ka potential ho sakta hai. 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke 1.0848 ke aas-paas hai, euro bulls ke liye ek aham support level raha hai.

Agar pair August 2 ka low 1.0927 ke neeche girti hai, to ye February ka low 1.0900 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar aur decline hoti hai to pair June 14 ka low 1.0666 tak bhi gir sakti hai. Doosri taraf, resistance levels kaafi mazboot hain, jahan August 23, 2024 ka high 1.1201 aur 1.1250 ka crucial barrier euro bulls ke liye bade hurdles hain.

time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake. Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte hue

Currency pair ne 1.1150 tak kuch waqt ke liye bulandiyon ka saamna kiya, lekin phir se apne aam range 1.1204 ke aas-paas wapas aa gaya, aur 2024 ka naya high set karne ka mauka chhod diya. Market ki ummeedein bharak gayi thi, investors ko lag raha tha ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts jaldi implement kar sakta hai. Sab se zyada speculation is baat ke aas-paas hai ke shayad September mein double rate cut ho sakta hai, jo currency fluctuations ko heavily influence kar raha hai.
Eurozone ki Economic Data ne Aage ke Rate Cuts ki Umeedein Kam Kar Di:

Eurozone ke economic indicators ne is saal additional interest rate cuts ke liye umeedein kam kar di hain. Inflation data expected se zyada aaya hai, jahan Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) July mein 2.6% saal-on-saal badh gaya, jabke consensus estimate 2.4% tha. Core HICP, jo food aur energy jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.9% tak barh gaya, jabke expected 2.8% tha. Ye figures Eurozone ke mazboot economic conditions ko highlight karti hain aur further rate reductions ki ummeedon ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor karti hain.

EUR/USD ki Correction Limited Hai Jabke Mazboot German Data Euro ko Support De Raha Hai:

EUR/USD mein recent correction itni substantial ya tez nahi dikhayi gayi. German economic data, khaaskar June ke Factory Orders, ne Euro ko support diya hai. Jabke June mein 0.8% month-over-month increase ki expectations thi, jo May mein 1.6% ki kami ke baad thi, actual data ne forecasts ko piche chhod diya aur 3.9% ka izafa dikhaya. Ye strong performance Eurozone economy ki resilience ko dikhata hai aur Euro ki position ko support karta hai.

D1 Chart ke Key Technical Levels aur Resistance Points ko Dekhein:

1.1203 ka mark ek significant resistance point raha hai jahan buyers ne pehle step in kiya hai. Agar is level se upar successful rally hoti hai, to December ki peak 1.1139 par dhyan jaa sakta hai. Agar Fed koi achanak emergency rate cut implement karta hai, to market conditions volatile ho sakti hain aur 1.1277 tak ka move bhi mumkin ho sakta hai.

Lekin, pair ne kuch resistance ka saamna kiya hai, khaaskar Monday ko 1.10 ke upar thodi der ke liye spike ke baad. Is level ne strong selling pressure dekha, jo ek critical descending trend line ke neeche retreat kar gaya. Pair ko agle bullish leg ke liye strength build karni hai, ise solid support milna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought territory ke qareeb hai, jo suggest karta hai ke ek pullback zaroori ho sakta hai pehle ke kisi potential rally ke momentum gain karne se pehle

Euro ne August main apni doosri sabse unchi satah hasil ki hai, jise sarmaayakaro ke darmiyan aam taur par optimistic jazbaat ka asar hai. Federal Reserve ka qareebi rujhan, jo zyada supportive lagta hai, ne yeh umeed barha di hai ke interest rates mein izafa ab khatam honay wala hai. Is badalte huye rujhan ne bazaar ka risk appetite kaafi barha diya hai. Zhishang Institute ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko rate cut ke chances qareeban teen mein se ek hain. Federal Reserve ke afsaraan ne khud bhi is baat ka izhar kiya hai ke 25 basis point tak ki rate reduction ho sakti hai. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium main Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne tasleem kiya ke central bank ab apne benchmark interest rate ko kam karne par ghor kar raha hai. Agle hafte ke economic data mein ziada ahmiyat nahi hogi, magar European Union aur United States ke inflation data ko qareebi se dekha jaye ga. US GDP growth ka data jo ke Thursday ko anay wala hai, bazaar ke jazbaat ko hilaa sakta hai, magar traders ki tawajju Friday ko aane wale dual inflation reports par hi rahe gi.

European Union ka preliminary inflation data (HICP) agle Jumme ko expected hai. United States main personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation index ke Fed ke target level par qaim rehne ki umeed hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke inflation pressures kam ho rahe hain. Kuch challenges ke bawajood, Euro ne Friday ko naya high hasil kiya, aur 1.1300 ke area ko test kiya. Trading sentiment mein kuch ikhtilaf ke bawajood, overall price trend upward hai, jo darshata hai ke Euro mazid taqat pakar raha hai. US dollar ka recent rebound apni 200-day moving average low se Euro ko mazeed support de raha hai. Euro-to-dollar exchange rate barh rahi hai, aur agar price 1.1300 ke upar convincing break kar leti hai, to bullish sentiment mazeed barh sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko maintain karne mein nakam hoti hai, to

Price Action Insights: EUR/USD

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par ghaur karenge. ECB kal apne Monetary Policy Meeting ka report release karega. ECB aur Fed ne interest rates ko simultaneously lower karne ka faisla kiya hai taaki market disruptions ko minimize kiya ja sake. Volatility ke liye, impact 9 points se lekar 101 points tak ho sakta hai, lekin recent market reactions ke hisab se, volatility upward trend kar raha hai. Pehle meeting mein specifics ki kami thi, lekin is meeting mein zyada clarity provide ki jayegi. Humne do din ke notable intraday movements dekhe hain, jo ki volatility ko dono directions mein dikha raha hai, ultimately growth ko lead karta hai. Sellers likely pair ko current ascending channel ke upper boundary par pahunchne ka wait kar rahe hain taaki favourable price par sell kar sakein. Critical sawal ye hai, purpose kya hai, aur kaun benefit uthayega? Dollar ko bearish pressure ka samna hoga aur U.S. market open hone par weaken ho jayega.

Lekin, ye meri perspective hai, jaise ki niche chart mein dikha hai, jahan long-term sideways movement significant attention kheench raha hai. Hum euro/USD pair ki market situation analyze karte rahe hain. Daily chart ko review karne ke baad, maine ab hourly chart par focus kiya hai. Yahan, humne already sell signal receive kiya hai ascending price channel ke lower boundary 1.1119 par breakdown ke baad. Isne corrective decline ko lead kiya, aur analysis ke hisab se, euro/dollar pair 1.1114 par trading kar raha hai. Technically, pair ko further decline ho sakta hai bearish is level se, potentially 1.1079 par fall kar sakta hai, daily chart ke hisab se. Lekin, main sell karne se hesitant hoon market sentiment chart ke wajah se, jo strong bias towards selling dikha raha hai. Aisi imbalance ke sath, significant player likely price ko upward push karta rahega, corrective declines ya pullbacks ko buy karke

EUR/USD currency pair ne ek consistent upward trend show kiya hai, jo Monday ko observe kiya gaya tha. Tuesday ko, pair ne apne ascent ko continue kiya, sustained aur robust buying pressure ke saath. Euro ki demand US dollar ke khilaf ne pair ki value mein notable increase ki hai, market ko open karte hue. Yeh ongoing bullish momentum ko several factors se attribute kiya ja sakta hai jo currency markets ko influence karte hain.
Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments sab trader sentiment ko shape karne mein significant roles play karte hain. Recent days mein, Eurozone se positive economic indicators aa sakte hain, ya perhaps market participants European Central Bank (ECB) ke future moves ko anticipate kar rahe hain jo euro ko strengthen kar sakte hain. US dollar ko economic growth, inflationary pressures, ya Federal Reserve ke policy stance ke concerns ke saath headwinds ka samna ho sakta hai.

Strong buyer pressure suggest karta hai ki investors euro ke prospects mein confidence rakhte hain ya dollar se diversify karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo recent weeks mein volatile raha hai. Yeh buying activity EUR/USD ke higher opening price mein reflect hoti hai, jo traders ko expect karti hai ki currency pair apne upward trajectory ko continue karegi.

Technical factors ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Key resistance levels test ho sakte hain jab pair rise karegi, aur agar yeh levels break ho jaye, to further gains ka signal mil sakta hai. Conversely, traders ko potential retracement ya correction ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jo market conditions shift ya profit-taking set ho jaye recent rally ke baad.

Overall, EUR/USD ki performance today euro ki strength ko current market environment mein show karti hai, strong buying interest ke saath. Traders aur investors likely situation ko closely monitor karenge, watching for any developments jo upward trend ko sustain ya reverse kar sakte hain near future mein

Monday ko, GBP/USD currency pair ne resistance ko 1.3218 par successfully break kiya, aur iske baad price 1.3261 tak barh gayi. Lekin, Tuesday ko GBP/USD ki movement mein kaafi gehri girawat dekhne ko mili, jahan GBP/USD lagbhag 80 pips gir gaya. Agar hum h1 timeframe ko dekhen, toh dekhne ko milta hai ke candle ne h1 support ko 1.3181 par break kar diya hai. Candle ki position jo ab resistance ke upar nahi hai, se yeh lagta hai ke GBP/USD ka upar ki taraf barhna phir se mushkil ho sakta hai.
H1 timeframe se analysis se pata chalta hai ke GBP/USD ki girawat ka ek sabab yeh hai ke candle supply area ko 1.3255 par penetrate nahi kar paayi. Jab tak yeh area penetrate nahi hota, lagta hai ke GBP/USD ko phir se barhne mein mushkil hogi. H1 support ke 1.3181 par break hone se yeh lagta hai ke girawat ke chances aur barh gaye hain. Aam taur par is support break ke baad, rate ki movement pehle correction ke liye upar hoti hai. Mera aaj ka scenario yeh hai ke GBP/USD pehle 1.3245 tak upar jayega, aur phir movement phir se neeche aayegi.

Ichimoku indicator ki madad se technical analysis se, abhi ki candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh tab se hua hai jab se GBP/USD girna shuru hua. Is recent intersection ke sath, GBP/USD ka trend bullish se bearish ho gaya hai. Jab tak yeh position line ke upar nahi aati, main predict karta hoon ke GBP/USD ki movement girawat ki taraf hi rahegi.

Stochastic indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/USD abhi oversold condition mein hai. Yeh decline kal ke GBP/USD girawat ke wajah se hai. Jaise maine upar kaha, support break ke baad GBP/USD pehle 1.3245 tak upar jaane ki sambhavana hai correction ke liye. Main sochta hoon ke yeh increase apnea nearest resistance ko penetrate nahi kar payega. Toh aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, halanki ab thoda stronger nazar aa raha hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke candle supply area ko 1.3255 par penetrate nahi kar paayi. Iske alawa, Ichimoku indicator se bhi candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai, jo trend ko bearish banata hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, wo sirf sell positions par focus karein. Aap take profit target ko nearest support 1.3070 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko nearest resistance 1.3268 par rakh sakte hain