eur/usd

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kaafi volatility dekhi, pehle to yeh 1.1143 ke nazdeek chala gaya EU session ke doran, magar baad mein apni kuch gains chhod di. Euro ki recent performance mixed economic signals aur ECB ki future policy actions ke uncertainty aur Germany ki economic health ke concerns se mutasir hui hai.

**Germany Ki Economic Struggles: GDP Contraction Aur Inflation Ki Barhawa**

Ek bara concern yeh hai ke Germany ke preliminary Q2 GDP ne ghaflati contraction dikhayi, jo 0.1% gir gayi, jabke growth ki umeed thi. Yeh decline pehle quarter ke 0.2% ke modest expansion ke baad aayi hai. Year-on-year, Germany ki GDP bhi 0.1% gir gayi, jo forecasted stability ke khilaf hai. In pareshaniyon aur kam demand environment ke response mein, German Finance Minister Christian Lindner ne tax relief measures announce kiye hain jo corporate aur household spending ko boost karne ki koshish hain.

Economic uncertainty ko barhate hue, Germany ke preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for July ne garmi se bhari hui inflation ki taraf ishara kiya. Monthly HICP 0.5% barh gayi, jo pehle ke estimates aur 0.2% ke previous release se zyada hai. Saalana base par, HICP 2.6% tak barh gaya, jo pehle ke 2.5% se zyada hai, aur economists ke expectation of slowdown to 2.4% ke khilaf hai.

**Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Channel Breakout Aur Key Resistance Levels**

Spot price filhal chaar ghante ke chart par channel formation ke lower boundary ke nazdeek trade kar rahi hai. Agar yeh pattern se breakout hota hai, to significant upward movement aur trading volume ka izafa ho sakta hai. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke 1.1120 ke aas-paas hai, Euro ke liye ek crucial support level raha hai. Agar pair Monday ke high 1.1204 ko surpass karta hai, to agle resistance levels ki taraf further gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jo 1.1185 aur psychological mark 1.1200 tak ho sakte hain.

US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.
US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European

USD Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!

Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further

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Fundamental Analysis

Friday ke European session mein, EUR/USD pair thoda sa rebound kiya 1.1120 ke qareeb, Thursday ko 1.1174 ke new high se decline karne ke baad. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein address se pehle caution ke karan, main currency pair higher move kiya jab US Dollar (USD) ne apni recent weakness ko continue kiya, respectable recovery move ke baad.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke khilaf measure karta hai, Thursday ko 101.00 se 101.60 par rise karne ke baad, Friday ko 101.30 par drop kiya. Flash US S&P Global PMI data ke August ne dikhaya ki Composite PMI stronger-than-expected 54.1 par aaya, jisne US dollar ko sharply rebound karne ke liye majbur kiya. Study ne dikhaya ki services sector ki strong growth ne economic activity ko spur kiya, jabke manufacturing sector ne faster-than-expected pace se shrink kiya.

Investors US economy ko "soft landing" achieve karne ki possibility ko bhi consider kar rahe hain, kyunki price pressures 2% ke targeted rate par return karne ki ummeed hai. July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ne labour demand mein dramatic slowdown aur unemployment rate 4.3% par rise ko dikhaya, jo November 2021 ke baad highest level hai, US recession ki fears ko intensify karne ke liye.

Analysts ki ummeed nahi hai ki Jerome Powell interest rates ke predetermined trajectory ko provide karega. Lekin, dangers ab dual mandate ke employment aur inflation components ko extend kar rahe hain, woh September mein rate cuts ko advocate kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ke JH Symposium mein address par focused hai, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1100 ke round-level support ko maintain karne mein kamyab raha. Daily time frame mein channel formation ke breakout ke baad, common currency pair ke prognosis positive raha. Short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ki increased slope se significant upswing hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai, lekin overbought levels ko cross karta hai. Yeh positive region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate karta hai.

Euro ke bulls 1.1200 ke round-level resistance ko retake kar sakte hain agar December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 se clear break hota hai. Downside par 1.1100 ke round-level number par

USD Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!

Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum ko 102.14 tak update kar sakta hai

EUR/USD pair ne apne haal hi ke neechey ki taraf ke rujhan se thodi si rahat li aur Friday ki shuruati Asian trading mein taqriban 1.1080 tak barh gaya. Lekin pair ki upside potential abhi bhi limited hai kyunke saarmayakar Germany aur America ke aham maeeshati data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. US GDP report jo ke second quarter mein tawakku se ziyada growth zahir kar rahi thi, uss ne US dollar ko support diya hai. Isse Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein aggressive rate cut ke chances kam ho gaye hain, aur ab market ka focus ziyada graduaal approach par hai. Financial markets ne 66% ehtemal price kiya hai ke September mein 25 basis point rate cut ho sakta hai, lekin mazeed cuts ke chances thode se kam ho gaye hain. Iska matlab hai ke US maeeshat pehle se sochi hui se ziyada mazboot ho sakti hai.
Dosri taraf, Germany aur Spain ke inflation data ne August mein moderation zahir ki hai, jiss se European Central Bank (ECB) se rate cut ke chances barh gaye hain, jo euro par neechey ka dabao dal sakta hai. ING kay global head of macroeconomics Carsten Brzeski ECB kay prospects ke baray mein optimism zahir karte hue kehte hain ke dheemi hoti hui maeeshat aur inflation rate cut kay liye mawaafiq mahaul paida karte hain. Lekin unhon ne yeh bhi kaha ke services inflation abhi bhi tashweesh ka sabab hai.

EUR/USD pair ne August mein remarkable performance dikhai, jiss mein yeh 1.0776 se barh kar taqriban 1.1200 tak pohanch gaya. Is mazboot performance ne euro ki recovery mein sarmayakaron ka confidence bhi barhaya hai. Lekin ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai kyunke RSI aur Stochastics indicators overbought conditions zahir kar rahe hain, jo yeh imkaan paida karte hain ke ab correction aanay wala hai. 1.1240-1.1274 ka ilaqa, jiss mein 2021-2022 downtrend ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement aur 2022 ke low ki trendline shamil hai, aagay barhane mein resistance paida kar sakta hai. Pair ko 1.1340-1.1370 ke qareeb resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jahan 1.1480 ka ilaqa aik aham hurdle ke taur par kaam karega.

Majmooi taur par, EUR/USD pair is waqt aik temporary pause ka samna kar raha hai apni strong August performance kay baad. Halanki US aur Eurozone ke haal hi ke maeeshati data ne mixed signals diye hain, pair ki overall outlook positive nazar aa rahi hai. Lekin sarmayakaron ko technical indicators ki overbought conditions ko madde nazar rakhte hue correction ke ehtemaal se hoshiyar rehna chahiye.

Wednesday ko, spot price 1.1100 level ke qareeb mandla rahi, recent volatility ke baad ek pause lete hue jo US mein data misprint ki wajah se hui thi. Yeh currency pair 1.1051 ke bearish push ko maintain nahi kar saka, jiss ki wajah se market participants ki bids adhoori reh gayi. Yeh consolidation ka period tab aya hai jab traders Euro aur US Dollar par recent developments ke asraat ko dobara assess kar rahe hain.
Koi bara maeeshati data nazar mein nahi hai, lekin abhi ke market conditions yeh suggest karte hain ke pair ke near-term peak ko confirm karne se pehle strong follow-through ka intezaar karna zyada behtar hoga. Rate markets mein 18 September ko Federal Reserve ke taraf se 50-basis-point rate cut ka significant chance price ho raha hai, aur 2024 ke dauran mazeed cuts ki bhi tawakku hai. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq December ke aakhir tak Fed ke benchmark rate ke 425-450 basis points tak girne ke 83% ehtemaal hai.

Haal hi ke weaker US employment report ne July ke liye Federal Reserve ke taraf se mazeed deeper interest rate cuts ki speculation ko barha diya hai, jiss se Greenback par mazeed dabao par raha hai. Financial markets ab ziyada confident hain ke Fed September meeting mein 50 basis point cut ko opt karega na ke 25 basis point reduction ko, aur yeh FedWatch ke mutabiq takriban 83% ehtemaal ko reflect kar raha hai.

Is waqt, spot price abhi bhi guzishta haftay ke peak ke neeche hai, jo 1.1201 se zara upar tha. Bullish momentum intraday prices ko upar le jaane ka imkaan rakhta hai, lekin technical weaknesses bhi risk paida kar rahi hain. Peer ke liye mushkil ho raha hai ke woh long-term gains ko 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke qareeb 1.0846 par hai, uss ke upar sustain kar sake. Agar price recent low 1.1041 ke neeche chali jati hai, toh pair ko 1.0980 tak drag hone ka imkaan hai, aur mazeed girawat usse 14 June ke low 1.0666 ko expose kar sakti hai.

Daily chart ke mutabiq, pair ka bullish outlook barqarar hai kyunke yeh abhi bhi key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kaafi upar trade kar raha hai. Is kay ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish territory mein hai, takriban 58.60 par, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke near term mein pair ke liye upside potential barqarar reh sakta hai.

Trading 1.11559 ke level par ho rahi hai, jahan sellers ka interest zone short position lene ka ek mauka provide karta hai. Abhi market par bearish forces dominate kar rahi hain aur bulls ki taraf se zyada resistance nazar nahi aa rahi, jo ke short positions ko advantageous banaati hai. Maine decide kiya hai ke closest 1.11385 support level par profit stop kar dunga, taake future gains ko jeopardize na karoon. 1.11888 ka level thoda zyada stop loss level se upar hoga. Sellers ka momentum abhi bhi barh raha hai aur 1.11385 ka level break ho gaya hai, jo ke situation ko indicate karta hai ke abhi ke liye EUR-USD ke growth ka trend hai. Rule phir se lagu hota hai: Rumors par buy karo, facts par sell karo. September mein rate cut hone ke pura yaqeen hai, sawal yeh hai ke kitna? Zyada chances hain 25 points ke. Long-term inflation forecasts bhi 2% tak girne ka show karti hain. Aakhri baat, pichle haftay revised NFP ki statistics thi, jisme 800K jobs ka reduction dekhne ko mila jo published data se kam tha, yani labor market mein sab kuch badh raha hai. Filhal correction ke nate girawat ho rahi hai, jo ke bahut gradual hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke hum jaldi ek naye growth phase mein enter karenge aur 12th figure mein poori tarah se uthete. Main 1.1230 ke aas paas selling try karne ke liye prepared rahunga.
EUR/USD market position apne upward trend ko maintain kar rahi hai, utsalar jab 4-hour aur daily time frames ko analyze kiya jaye. Main weekly chart ko examine karne ka plan kar raha hoon taake ascending channel ki lower boundary ka pata chal sake. Yeh boundary 1.0999 ke support level ke aas paas ho sakti hai, jahan ek notable bearish correction ho sakti hai, jo ke upward movement ko capitalize karne ke liye potential entry points offer karegi. Pair aggressively upward trend mein hai bina kisi significant correction ke, jo ke bullish direction ko clear karta hai, lekin ek deep bearish correction jo ke 169 points tak ho sakti hai, kabhi bhi ho sakti hai, jo kuch traders ko shake out kar sakta hai . Buying ab bhi preferred strategy hai, pair ke chart ko price aur Distances indicator ke sath analyze karte hue. Price upward trend ko confirm karti hai, jo ke bulls ki advantage ko highlight karta hai bears ke muqablay mein. Zigzag line bhi upward point kar rahi hai, jo ke buy positions ke case ko reinforce karti

M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!
Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar rahe hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai

Time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake. Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar rahe hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de

Fundamental Analysis

Friday ke European session mein, EUR/USD pair thoda sa rebound kiya 1.1120 ke qareeb, Thursday ko 1.1174 ke new high se decline karne ke baad. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein address se pehle caution ke karan, main currency pair higher move kiya jab US Dollar (USD) ne apni recent weakness ko continue kiya, respectable recovery move ke baad.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke khilaf measure karta hai, Thursday ko 101.00 se 101.60 par rise karne ke baad, Friday ko 101.30 par drop kiya. Flash US S&P Global PMI data ke August ne dikhaya ki Composite PMI stronger-than-expected 54.1 par aaya, jisne US dollar ko sharply rebound karne ke liye majbur kiya. Study ne dikhaya ki services sector ki strong growth ne economic activity ko spur kiya, jabke manufacturing sector ne faster-than-expected pace se shrink kiya.

Investors US economy ko "soft landing" achieve karne ki possibility ko bhi consider kar rahe hain, kyunki price pressures 2% ke targeted rate par return karne ki ummeed hai. July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ne labour demand mein dramatic slowdown aur unemployment rate 4.3% par rise ko dikhaya, jo November 2021 ke baad highest level hai, US recession ki fears ko intensify karne ke liye.

Analysts ki ummeed nahi hai ki Jerome Powell interest rates ke predetermined trajectory ko provide karega. Lekin, dangers ab dual mandate ke employment aur inflation components ko extend kar rahe hain, woh September mein rate cuts ko advocate kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ke JH Symposium mein address par focused hai, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1100 ke round-level support ko maintain karne mein kamyab raha. Daily time frame mein channel formation ke breakout ke baad, common currency pair ke prognosis positive raha. Short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ki increased slope se significant upswing hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai, lekin overbought levels ko cross karta hai. Yeh positive region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate karta hai.

Euro ke bulls 1.1200 ke round-level resistance ko retake kar sakte hain agar December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 se clear break hota hai. Downside par 1.1100 ke round-level number par

time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.
Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de

EUR/USD Currency Pair Mein Mazboot Rebound EUR/USD currency pair ne aik mazboot rebound dikhaya hai, jo 1.1000 se neeche ke levels se upar utha hai. 1.0950 ke upar briefly test karne ke baad, is pair ne apni resilience aur strength ko dikhaya hai apni recovery mein. Ye upward movement significant hai kyunke ye dikhata hai ke market ke dabao ke bawajood ye pair upar jane ki salahiyat rakhta hai **Technical Indicators aur Market Sentiment** EUR/USD pair ke recent movement ka aik ahem technical indicator iska 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar position hai, jo ke is waqt 1.0826 par hai. 200-day EMA traders aur analysts ke liye aik important benchmark hai, jo long-term bullish aur bearish rends ke darmiyan aik dividing line ka kaam karta hai. Is level ko paar karna aik strong bullish signal hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD pair aik powerful short-term upward momentum mein dakhil ho raha hai. 200-day EMA ke upar movement market sentiment mein shift ko reflect karta hai, aur traders ko bullish trend ke saath engage hone par majboor karta ha **Relative Strength Index (RSI) Ke Saath Momentum Evaluate Karna* Relative Strength Index (RSI) EUR/USD pair ke momentum ko evaluate karne ke liye aik zaroori tool hai. Filhal, RSI 60 ke aas-paas hai, jo dikhata hai ke pair abhi overbought territory mein nahi hai. Ye suggest karta hai ke bullish trend abhi extend hone ki potential rakhta hai baghair kisi foran reversal ke risk ke. RSI ka 60 ke qareeb hona strong buying momentum ko signify karta hai, jo traders mein upward trend ke continuation ke liye confidence paida karta hai **Volume Analysis Jo Bullish Outlook Ko Support Karta Hai* Volume analysis bhi EUR/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko support karta hai. Recent trading volumes mein upward movement ke dauran izafa dekha gaya hai, jo strong market participation aur current trend ke liye backing ka signal hai. Higher trading volumes aksar significant price movements se pehle hoti hain, jo overall bullish trend ko credibility deti hain. Market participation ki ye solid foundation bullish signals ki reliability ko enhance karti hai **Possible Correction

aur Agle Support Levels* Aisa lagta hai ke aik bearish correction movement koshish karega ke 1.0892 RBS (Resistance-turned-Breakout-Support) area ko retest kare aur phir next RBS level 1.0869 tak pohanchay. RBS levels 1.0862 se 1.0892 tak bullish price action ke liye aik acha foothold provide kar sakte hain taake bullish trend continue kar sake. Pending buy limit orders ko is price level range ke aas-paas rakha ja sakta hai, target ke sath ke supply area 1.0950 par TP1 (Take Profit 1) ke liye pohanchay, aur weekly highest price limit 1.1008 par TP2 ke liye test kare **Risk Management aur Selling Plans* Buying plan ke liye, risk loss limit ko 200-day MA (Moving Average) ke thoda neeche 1.0820 ke qareeb rakha ja sakta hai. Selling ke liye do options hain: - **Short-Term Sell Entry:** Ye strategy supply area 1.0950 par bearish rejection ka intezar karegi bearish correction movement ke continuation ke sath. - **Long-Term Sales Plan:** Ye tab consider kiya ja sakta hai agar trend bearish phase mein dakhil ho, ideally 1.0777 tak girawat ke sath jo ke 200-day MA ke neeche

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Fundamental Analysis

Friday ke European session mein, EUR/USD pair thoda sa rebound kiya 1.1120 ke qareeb, Thursday ko 1.1174 ke new high se decline karne ke baad. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein address se pehle caution ke karan, main currency pair higher move kiya jab US Dollar (USD) ne apni recent weakness ko continue kiya, respectable recovery move ke baad.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke khilaf measure karta hai, Thursday ko 101.00 se 101.60 par rise karne ke baad, Friday ko 101.30 par drop kiya. Flash US S&P Global PMI data ke August ne dikhaya ki Composite PMI stronger-than-expected 54.1 par aaya, jisne US dollar ko sharply rebound karne ke liye majbur kiya. Study ne dikhaya ki services sector ki strong growth ne economic activity ko spur kiya, jabke manufacturing sector ne faster-than-expected pace se shrink kiya.

Investors US economy ko "soft landing" achieve karne ki possibility ko bhi consider kar rahe hain, kyunki price pressures 2% ke targeted rate par return karne ki ummeed hai. July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ne labour demand mein dramatic slowdown aur unemployment rate 4.3% par rise ko dikhaya, jo November 2021 ke baad highest level hai, US recession ki fears ko intensify karne ke liye.

Analysts ki ummeed nahi hai ki Jerome Powell interest rates ke predetermined trajectory ko provide karega. Lekin, dangers ab dual mandate ke employment aur inflation components ko extend kar rahe hain, woh September mein rate cuts ko advocate kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ke JH Symposium mein address par focused hai, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1100 ke round-level support ko maintain karne mein kamyab raha. Daily time frame mein channel formation ke breakout ke baad, common currency pair ke prognosis positive raha. Short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ki increased slope se significant upswing hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai, lekin overbought levels ko cross karta hai. Yeh positive region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate karta hai.

Euro ke bulls 1.1200 ke round-level resistance ko retake kar sakte hain agar December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 se clear break hota hai. Downside par 1.1100 ke round-level number

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Lekin, momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki probability zyada hai.

Bulls euro mein round-level resistance ko retake karne ki koshish kar rahe hain 1.1200 par, clear break ke baad December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 se. Round-level number 1.1100 significant support zone ko serve karega downside par