یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, euro/dollar ki jodi ko bhari nuqsan uthana pada, jo 90 pips gir kar 1.1100 ki support satah par aa gayi. Asian session me, qimat me kuch hadd tak ucchal aaya.
Filhal, European currency 1.1135 ke nishan par trade kar rahi hai, jis ne kal support ke taur par kam kiya tha lekin ab muzahmat ka kam kar sakta hai. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda apni girawat ko dobara shuru kar dega. Mutabadil taur par, jodi mazbut niche ki raftar hasil karne aur niche ki taraf jane se pahle 1.1167-1.1175 ke ilaqe tak badh sakti hai.
Ab aham bat yah hai keh jodi 1.1100 ki support satah ko tod de, jo tezi se mandi ke rujhan ki tabdili ki nishandahi karega. Yah farokht ke aignal ko mutaharik karega jo market ke mukammal reversal ka bayas ban sakta hai.
Aaj aur kal ki trading mumkena taur par faisla kun kirdar ada karegi, khas taur par chunkeh mahana candlestick ka ikhtetam hone wala hai.
Is dauran, mai long positions kholne par gaur nahin kar raha hun.

ke bets ko support karti hai.
US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.

US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Mujhe lagta hai keh mandi ki taraf rukh karna abhi jaldbazi hogi. Halankeh farokht karne market par control hasil karne aur qimat ko 1.10400 ki satah tak niche le jane ke liye har mumkin koshish kar rahe hain, fir bhi mujhe ummid hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi 1.12400 area tak badh jayegi, jo ek hafte ki nayi buland satah hogi. Yahan tak keh qimat maujudah satahon se gir jaye, lekin is girawat ke bad sab se zyada imkan hai keh yah ek nayi bulandi par wapas aa jayegi. Agar qimat maujudah satahon se ooper jati hai to, 1.10400 ki satah par girawat ki tawaqqo me short positions kholne par gaur karne ka mauqa hoga, jo bears ka asal hadaf hai. Zahir hai, yah ek din ka mansubah nahin hai, aur shayad ek hafte ka bhi nahin, lekin is par gaur karna qabile qadar hai. September ka quarterly option contract agle hafte khatam hone wala hai. Is se utar-chadhaw me izafa ho sakta hai aur market me halchal ho sakti hai, lehaza stop-loss order ke beghair trading ki sifarish nahin ki jati hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya kehta hai ke kal US GDP aur benefits data ka release hone wala hai. Agar US GDP figures strong aate hain, toh dollar ki current technical correction ko dekhte hue EUR/USD pair 1.1029 tak gir sakta hai. Lekin analyst ka target 1.1079 ka hai, jahan do trend lines intersect karti hain, aur ye ek possible rebound aur local reversal point ho sakta hai. H4 chart par MACD indicator near kar raha hai ek reversal ko, aur agar 1.1079 tak pohonchta hai, toh medium-term trend reverse ho sakta hai, jo shayad price ko ek higher level par wapas le aayega. Lekin khabrein dono taraf ja sakti hain, jo pair ko phir se ek lower level par push kar sakti hain. Is waqt ziada focus European economy par nahi hai, balki dollar aur Federal Reserve par hai, jo akhir kar EUR/USD ki direction ko tay karega.

Zigzag pattern ke tajziye ke liye D1 chart ka rukh kiya gaya hai, jo kehta hai ke 1.1147 ko break karna pehla ishara tha ke bullish trend weaken ho raha hai, magar ab critical zone 1.1097 par hai. Is provided text ke mutabiq, ek correction ki umeed hai, jo current market trend ke extension ko allow kar sakti hai. Aam tor par pehli wave ke baad ek doosri wave follow karti hai, is liye agar price 1.1097 tak aati hai, toh hume ek pullback ki umeed karni chahiye pehle ke phir aur decline ho. Focus ab 1.1097 level ke behavior par hai. Ye expect karna reasonable hai ke price 1.1086 tak gir sakta hai, jahan FE 200 located hai. Agar bearish pattern confirm hota hai, toh aur selling pressure aasakta hai pullback ke baad, halan ke ek sharp drop ke chances kam hain. Is light mein, plan ye hai ke buying continue rahegi, magar stop-loss orders set karte hue ziada ehtiyaat barhte jayegi, khaas tor par jab ek pehle trade open kiya gaya tha us waqt stop-loss set nahi kiya gaya tha.

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein ek nayi upar ki taraf ka trend bana liya hai, jo hourly time frame par ek trend line se zahir ho raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke euro ne U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein kuch taqat hasil kar li hai, jis se higher lows aur higher highs ka silsila shuru hua hai, jo aam taur par short term mein bullish market sentiment ko darshata hai.
Lekin, is upward movement ke bawajood, broader context ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Lagta hai ke euro ne apne recent gains ke liye jo bhi bullish factors hain, unhein already price mein shamil kar liya hai. Yeh factors Eurozone se positive economic data, European financial markets ki stability, ya U.S. economy ka weak performance ho sakte hain. Jab yeh factors price mein already shamil hain, to euro ke liye aage bhi upar ki taraf badhne ka potential limited ho sakta hai bina kisi naye aur significant catalysts ke.

Is situation mein, EUR/USD pair ka trend line ke upar sustained upward movement hone ki ummeed kam hai. Current upward momentum short-lived ho sakta hai, aur pair shayad key psychological ya technical levels ke paas resistance ka samna kar sakta hai. Agar Eurozone se additional positive developments ya U.S. dollar ka further weakening nahi hota, to euro higher resistance levels ko convincingly break karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar sakta hai.

Aur jab hum broader 24-hour time frame ko dekhen, to EUR/USD pair abhi bhi ek flat phase mein hai, jo 1.06 aur 1.10 ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai. Yeh ek consolidation period ko darshata hai, jahan na to bulls ne strong upper hand hasil kiya hai aur na hi bears. Euro ka previous bullish momentum lagta hai ke ruk gaya hai, aur market shayad naye data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar kar raha hai direction dene ke liye. Is wajah se, traders ko is range ke andar choppy trading ki ummeed rakhni chahiye, jahan short-term spikes shayad upper ya lower boundaries ko test karenge, lekin aakhirat mean ki taraf wapas aa jayenge.

Summary yeh hai ke jab EUR/USD ne hourly time frame par kuch bullish signs dikhaye hain, lekin broader picture suggest karti hai ke sustained upward movement ka lack hai. Currency pair 1.06-1.10 range ke andar rehne ke

اگست 29 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

بدھ کے روز، امریکی کاروباری میڈیا کے مطابق، ایک پرسکون بیرونی ماحول میں جزوی منافع لینے کی وجہ سے مارکیٹ میں ایک وسیع تصحیح تھی — کوئی اہم اقتصادی ریلیز یا سیاسی واقعات نہیں تھے۔ ہم اس تشخیص سے اتفاق کرتے ہیں، اور یہ ہمارے مفروضے کی تائید کرتا ہے کہ یورو یورپی مرکزی بینک کے اجلاس سے پہلے استحکام کے لیے ایک آسان حد کی تلاش کر رہا ہے۔ اب تک، یورو 1.1085-1.1140 رینج کے اندر مضبوط ہو رہا ہے۔ اوپری باؤنڈری کو 1.1151 میں ایڈجسٹ کیا جا سکتا ہے، جو 26 اور 27 اگست کی نیچوں کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔

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مارلن آسیلیٹر قیمت سے پہلے کم ہو رہا ہے، جس کا مقصد یورو مارکیٹ میں توازن قائم کرنے کے لیے تیزی سے غیر جانبدار صفر کی سطح تک پہنچنا ہے۔ بصری طور پر، توقعات کا توازن 1.1085 کی سطح کے ساتھ مطابقت رکھتا ہے، جو کہ حد کی نچلی حد ہے۔ اس سطح سے نیچے قیمت کا استحکام 1.1070 کے ہدف کو کھولتا ہے۔ اگر سرمایہ کار q2 کے لیے امریکی جی ڈی پی کے مضبوط اعداد و شمار پر ردعمل ظاہر کرنے کا فیصلہ کرتے ہیں تو آج ایک ابتدائی کوشش ہو سکتی ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں قیمت دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے نیچے سمٹی ہوئی ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر مضبوطی سے نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں ہے۔ 1.1085-1.1140/51 رینج کی نچلی حد تک قیمت میں کمی کا امکان بڑھ گیا ہے۔

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.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

**EUR/USD 1.1100 Se Neeche Girta Hai Regional German Inflation Data Ke Baad**

EUR/USD Wednesday ko European session mein bearish pressure ke neeche raha aur pehli baar ek haftay se zyada ke baad 1.1100 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. German states se soft inflation reading ne Euro par wazan daala, aur market ka focus ab US data releases par shift ho gaya hai.

**Technical Overview:**

Aage chal kar, EUR/USD ko 2024 (26 August) ke level ko challenge karna expect kiya ja raha hai, jo 2023 ke peak of 1.1275 (18 July) aur 1.1300 ke round level se pehle aata hai. Pairs ka agla downside target weekly low of 1.0881 (8 August) hai, jo crucial 200-day SMA at 1.0851 aur weekly low of 1.077 (1 August) ke pehle hai. Yahan se, 1.0666 (26 June) ke low ko May low of 1.0649 (1 May) se pehle dekhna hoga. Larger picture mein, pair ki upward trend tab tak continue honi chahiye jab tak yeh important 200-day SMA ke upar rehti hai. Ab tak, four-hour chart mein sideways theme dikhai de rahi hai, jo present range ke higher end ke aas-paas hai. Initial resistance 1.1201 hai, jo 1.1275 ke pehle aata hai. Immediate support 1.1098 par hai, uske baad 100-SMA at 1.1035 aur 200-day SMA at 1.0953 hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab tak 40 ke aas-paas hai.

**Fundamental Overview EUR/USD:**

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko marked downward pressure face kiya, 1.1100 ke aas-paas retest kiya, jo US Dollar (USD) ke robust U-turn ke wajah se tha. Greenback ne Tuesday ke decline ke baad balance regain kiya, jab US Dollar Index (DXY) ne 2024 ke lows ke nazdeek 100.50 ko track kiya. US Dollar ki firm performance mixed US yields aur German 10-year bund yields ke drop ke bawajood hui. Is dauran, investors September mein Fed ke interest rate cut ki possibility par attentive rahe. Chair Jerome Powell ne suggest kiya ke monetary policy adjust karna ka waqt aa gaya hai. Powell ne yeh bhi note kiya ke labour market jaldi inflationary pressures mein contribute nahi karega aur emphasized ki Fed further cooling in labour market condition nahi chahti.

EUR/USD ke liye outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Euro/dollar ka joda ab bhi 1.11 ke ird-gird kuch durusti dikha sakta hai, jiske bad 1.13 ke qarib dhakka laga sakta hai aur fir ek lambi girawat ho sakti hai. Halankeh, yah scenario bahut hi mushkil hai aur abhi ke liye sirf ek khakah hai, kiyunkeh kal hamein koi wazeh jawab nahin mila. Halankeh bade khiladi ahistah-ahistah farokht ki positions jama kar rahe hain, mai abhi bhi euro/dollar ki jodi par farokht ki positions kholne se pahle ab bhi unchai ka intezar kar raha hun. Maujudah kami ka kam az kam hadaf 1.1130 ke qarib hai. Mai 1.1128-1.1131 ki hadd ke andar pahle kharidari ke orders par gaur karne ki mansubah bandi kar raha hun. Kisi bhi surat me, chunkeh koi reports nahin hain, lehaza mujhe lagta hai keh ise farokht karna bahut jaldi hai, jabkeh kharidne ke mauqe abhi bhi nahin hain.

ke bets ko support karti hai. US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.

US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

EURUSD Quotes to Cool Down

Ye wazeh hai ke global economy aapas mein judi hui hai. Isliye, agar leader economy slow ho jaye, toh iska asar duniya ki economy par bhi hoga. Ye baat khaas taur par Germany aur China mein maujooda buhran ke hawale se ahmiyat rakhti hai.

Key Points

• - US economy ka slowdown global GDP ko mutasir karega.
• - Procyclical currencies mein optimism kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai.
• - Germany aur China fiqar ka sabab ban rahe hain.
• - Agar EURUSD pair 1.1115 se neeche girta hai, toh pullback ke risks barh jate hain.

Euro ka weekly fundamental forecast

US economy dheemi par rahi hai, aur markets umeed kar rahe hain ke Fed monetary expansion ke aaghaz ke baad September mein interest rates kam karega. Iske ilawa, global risk appetite barhne se safe-haven assets par dabao pad raha hai. Ye factors USD index ko uske lowest point par le aaye hain jab se monetary tightening cycle 2022 mein shuru hui thi. Lekin ye kehna abhi jaldi hoga ke EURUSD bears mein optimism ki kami hai.

Major currency pair ka rally greenback ke aik key advantage ko khatam karne par mabni hai: American exceptionalism. Kaafi arsay tak US economy front-runner thi, lekin labor market ke cooling se recession ka moamla discuss karna mumkin ho gaya. Natija ye nikla ke foreign exchange market mein economic growth ke faaslay mein kami par guftagu shuru hui, aur is se procyclical currencies jaise pound aur euro ko faida mila.

US economy vacuum mein nahi chalti, aur na hi Fed ki monetary policy. Agar US regulator significant tor par interest rates kam karta hai, toh doosre central banks bhi aisa hi karenge. Lekin jab kisi bade strategy mein tabdeeli ki jaye, woh bhi kisi market disruption ke baghair, toh ehtiyaat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Jaise ke expect kiya ja sakta hai, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic aise scenario se bachna chahte hain jahan easing ke baad monetary policy ko phir se tighten karna pare. Unka khayal hai ke gradual approach behtareen hai.

Markets ko lagta hai ke Fed ki monetary expansion ki speed overestimate ki ja rahi hai aur ECB ki resolve ko underestimate. Agar German aur European inflation ka girna jaari rehta hai, toh nayi deposit rate cuts ka raasta khul jaye ga.

Germany se aane wale soft regional inflation readings European trading hours mein Euro par bojh dal rahe hain. North Rhine Westphalia aur Bavaria mein Consumer Price Index (CPI) August mein 0.1% gir gaya, jab ke Brandenburg aur Saxony mein 0.2% ka girawat dekha gaya. In figures ko dekhne ke baad, investors ke liye ye mumkin nahi ke woh Germany se aane wale country-wide CPI data par kisi khas tor se react karein.

US Bureau of Economic Analysis second estimate release karega annualized Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth ka doosray quarter ke liye, jo ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke pehle estimate ko match karega jo 2.8% par tha. Agar ismein koi noticeable revision nahi hoti, toh market participants is data ko ignore kar sakte hain aur weekly Initial Jobless Claims ke reading par react karein.

Investors ye forecast kar rahe hain ke unemployment benefits ke liye pehli dafa applications ki tadaad 232,000 par stable rahegi week ending August 26 mein. Agar ye data significantly kam hota hai, jese ke 220,000 ya us se kam, toh ye US Dollar (USD) ko early American session mein mazeed boost de sakta hai. Wagarna, agar unexpected tor par ye 250,000 ke qareeb barh jata hai, toh ye labor market mein loosening conditions ke hawale se concerns ko barhawa de sakta hai aur USD ko nuksan pohchata hai, jisse EUR/USD rebound kar sakta hai.

EURUSD ke liye weekly trading plan

EURUSD bulls ke liye yeh time hai ke woh cool down ho jayein. Agar pair 1.1115 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh ek acha waqt hoga ke mazeed short trades open ki jayein, jo ke pehle discuss kiya gaya tha.



EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko 0.5% se zyada nuksan uthaya aur Thursday ko bhi neeche ki taraf move karta raha. Is waqt, pair apne lowest level par trade kar raha tha ek haftay se neeche 1.1100 par.

EUR/USD ne ascending regression channel ke lower limit ko break kiya aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 4-hour chart par 40 se neeche gir gaya, jo bearish momentum ke buildup ko reflect kar raha hai. 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur latest uptrend ka Fibonacci 38.2% retracement pehla support banate hain 1.1050 par, is se pehle ke 1.1000 (Fibonacci 50% retracement, psychological level) aur 1.0960 (200-period SMA) aata hai.

Upside par, 1.1100 (lower limit of ascending channel, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) pehli resistance ke taur par align hoti hai. Agar pair is level se upar stabilize hota hai aur ascending channel mein wapas aata hai, toh 1.1160 (static level) ko next resistance ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai pehle 1.1200 (psychological level, static level) ke.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Lekin, momentum indicator overbought zone mein hai, corrective downturn ki probability zyada hai.

Bulls euro mein round-level resistance ko retake karne ki koshish kar rahe hain 1.1200 par, clear break ke baad December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 se. Round-level number 1.1100 significant support zone ko serve karega downside par

Monthly trading period ke liye market conditions ko bullish monitor kiya gaya hai. Yeh analysis 4-hour timeframe par moving average indicator ko refer karta hai, jahan trend abhi bhi bullish hai, aur indicator ka slope upar ki taraf point karna shuru ho gaya hai. Price ke paas dobara rise karne ka moka hai aur Uptrend ko continue karne ka bhi. Buyers ke paas upward momentum ko maintain karne ya market ko kal tak dominate karne ka moka hai. EurUsd chart par, ek bullish travel pattern ko monitor kiya gaya hai jo pichlay hafte ke trading period se shuru hua tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke buyer shayad 100 period ki simple moving average line ke upar price ko maintain karne mein kamyab ho sakta hai. Pichlay hafte ka market trend abhi bhi bullish tha, aur is haftay bhi lagta hai ke buyers apni koshish mein kamyab rahe hain aur market ko control kar rahe hain.

Pichlay hafte ke bullish market situation se li gayi technical analysis ke mutabiq, is haftay ka izafa bhi aglay dino mein trend par asar daal sakta hai, is liye meri rai mein shayad bullish trend is haftay ke akhir tak continue rahe. Lekin agar price ko aur upar jana hai, to buyers ko 1.1202 ke price zone ko break karne ke liye struggle karna hoga. Technically, trading plans ke liye market mein Buy position open karna behtar lagta hai jab tak price 100 period ki simple moving average line ke upar chal rahi hai.

Kyunkay buyer sellers ki koshish ko nakaam bana sakte hain jo price ko lower zone mein le jana chahte hain, aisa lagta hai ke candlestick ko higher price zone par le jane ki koshish ho rahi hai. Candlestick ka position pichlay haftay ke highest area ke kareeb hai, meri rai mein yeh indication hai ke market ke paas izafa continue karne ka moka hai. Shakhsan, main umeed kar raha hoon ke market dobara upar jaye aur apna bullish safar jari rakhe. Aise mauqe par, technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq Buy position par focus karna comfortable lagta hai.

Forex price movement ka tajziya karte hue EUR/USD ke aaj ke liye jo candlestick shape dekha gaya hai, usse yeh lagta hai ke price ke barhne ki probability ab bhi zyada hai. Yeh nishkarsh is baat par hai ke aakhri EUR/USD trade ek bullish candlestick bana. Jaise ke aakhri daily trade mein dikhaya gaya, closing price trade ke opening price se upar thi.
Bullish candlestick ke formation ka matlab hai ke buyers ne market ko pichli trade mein control mein rakha. Isliye aaj ke EUR/USD price movement analysis ke mutabiq, price barhne ke taraf hi rahegi. Is hisaab se, sabse relevant transaction option buy hai. Pichle EUR/USD price movement ko dekhte hue, jab currency pair 1.1130 par open hua tha, usne lowest trading price 1.1100 par banayi. Is lowest price level par, EUR/USD ko buyers ka support mila aur phir yeh barh gaya. Barhne ka silsila tab tak chala jab tak price ne highest trading price 1.1175 ko touch kiya. Is highest price level par, EUR/USD sirf sideways move karta raha aur finally trading 1.1150 par band hui.

EUR/USD market conditions ko dekhte hue, ajeng4x ka nazariya yeh hai ke EUR/USD abhi bhi bullish hone ke liye inclined hai, isliye buy transaction option aaj ke trading mein sabse behtar hai. Lekin transaction execute karne ke liye, behtar hoga ke sahi momentum ka intezaar kiya jaye, jaise ke smaller time frame par bullish candlestick pattern ka ubharna.

Isse yeh hoga ke jo transactions kiye jayenge, unmein quality open positions milengi, ideal risk-reward calculations ke saath aur achhi winning rate probabilities ke sath. Transaction decisions lene mein sabse nazdeek ke support resistance levels ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh support resistance levels Bollinger Bands indicator, Moving Average, Horizontal Line ke zariye ya Psychological prices ka istemal karke dekha ja sakta hai:

Agar price support area mein reject hoti hai, to buy transaction instantly ki ja sakti hai. Lekin agar support ka breakout hota hai, to buy transaction option ko dobara dekhna chahiye. Forex market ke price movements bohot dynamic hain aur market ko bearish condition mein bhi le ja sakti hain. Buy option tab bhi kiya ja sakta hai agar EUR/USD price pehla resistance breakout kar jaye, lekin open position ke liye behtar hoga ke price correction ke baad resistance area tak wapas aaye, isse Resistance Become Support (RBS) kehte hain. Isliye, abhi se risk calculations ka intezam karna zaroori hai, taake jo actions lene hain, woh trading plan ke mutabiq ho. Agar market unpredictable move karti hai, to losses measured aur risk limits ke andar honge jo

ke bets ko support karti hai.
US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.

US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed

**Umeed Hai Aap Khair Maqdam Hain**

Aaj dopahar ko, main EURUSD bazar ki price movements ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Filhaal, EURUSD mein mazboot upar ki taraf ka trend nazar aa raha hai, jo aage bhi barhne ki ummeed de raha hai. Abhi ke liye, mera plan sirf buying opportunities par focus karna hai. Monday ke din shuru hone par, turant positions mein na jayein. Aam tor par, market ek choti si correction dekhti hai phir apne primary trend ko resume karti hai. Baad mein, main mukhtalif timeframes ka tajziya karunga. EURUSD ka current upward trend dekhte hue, lagta hai ke mazeed faida hone ki achi umeed hai, isliye buying opportunities par dhyan dena acha hai. Lekin, ehtiyaat zaroori hai taake early entry se bacha ja sake, kyunki ek downward correction aa sakti hai uske baad upward trend resume ho sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, main wait-and-see approach apnaunga aur baad mein dopahar ko market signals ke buniyad par dobara tajziya karunga.

**July Ka Inflation Data Aur Economic Outlook**

July ka inflation data economic outlook ko mushkil bana raha hai. Eurostat ke mutabiq, July mein preliminary Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) 2.6% barh gaya hai, jo June mein 2.5% tha aur 2.4% ke tajziya shuda figure se zyada hai. Ye izafa European Central Bank (ECB) ke September meeting mein interest rates kam karne ke mumkinat par sawaal uthata hai. Is wajah se, Euro ko kuch buying interest mila hai kyunki traders ECB ke rate cut ke chances ko dobara dekh rahe hain. Market sentiment filhaal naazuk hai, aur economic data rate cuts ke expectations ko bohot zyada influence kar raha hai.

**Fed Rate Cuts Aur Market Sentiment**

CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders 18 September ko Fed se quarter-point rate cut ki umeed rakhte hain, aur 50-basis-point cut ki 20% chance hai. Lekin, agar economic data bohot zyada kamzor hota hai, to market sentiment kam ho sakta hai aur rate cuts ka maqsad kam lag sakta hai agar economic downturn severe ho. Isliye, investors mushkil position mein hain, soft data ki umeed kar rahe hain jo rate cuts ko support kare bina kisi bade economic crisis ke indications ke.