eur/usd

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon.
EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ke price movement ka tajziya karne par hai. Jumma ko US session mein, euro ya dollar par koi ahem khabar nahi thi jo asar dalti thi. Kal, market ne apna jumma se rally jari rakhi, lekin aaj ek correction ke liye ruk gaya. Teh growth wave khatam hogaya aur ek correction phase mein dakhil hogaya. Fibonacci retracement grid ab maqbool ho gaya hai, jab wo 38th level pe gir gaya, 1.0919 tak pohanch kar, thoda neeche. Ye area naye buy trades ko mashwara dene ka moqa pesh karta hai jabke corrective drop stabilize karne ki koshish karta hai. Lagta hai ke Federal Reserve System ek emergency meeting nahi rakhayga bhi kuch experts is par shiddat se boht ki rahe hain. Kuch tajziyati nigraniyon ne ye bhi kaha ke ek emergency meeting 75 basis points rate ko kam kare, jo ke September ki meeting mein phir se 75 basis points reduction ho.
EUR/USD jo dusre din bhi bechne ke pressure mein hai, lekin European session ke shuruat mein 1.0900 ke mark ke upar bana hua hai. Yeh kam honay ka sabab USD ki kharidari hai, lekin buniyadi pehluon ki wajah se ehtiyaat zaroori hai, khaskar is hafte ke 1.1000 ke psychological mark se girawat ko dekhte hue.
US Treasury bond yields ka izafa hua hai, jo unka sabse bara izafa hai June ke shuruat se, aur USD ko apne sabse kam level se recover karne mein madad de raha hai. Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ke Eurozone ke economic prospects ke bare mein naysh apna nazariya bhi EUR ko kamzor kar raha hai aur EUR/USD par niche ki taraf pressure daal raha hai. Lekin, Germany ke ache macro data kuch madad faraham karte hain aur nuqsan ko rokne mein madad karte hain.
Destatis ke zariye aakhri data ne dikhaya ke Germany ka industrial sector June mein phir se expansion ki taraf wapas aaya aur Eurozone ke top economy ka output 1.4% MoM barh gaya, jab ke expect 1.0% ka izafa aur May mein 2.5% ka girawat dekha gaya. Is ke ilawa, global equity markets mein positive risk tone aur dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) ke expectations bhi safe-haven buck ke upside ko rok rahe hain. Yeh EUR/USD ko kuch madad faraham karta hai aur aggressive bearish traders ke liye ehtiyaat zaroori hai.
Agar kisi relevant economic data ki kami hai, toh yeh buniyadi pehluon ke madde nazar, yeh ehtiyaat karna zaroori hai ke strong follow-through selling ka intezar karen, taake confirm kiya ja sake ke spot prices ne near term mein top out kar liya hai. Technical nazariye se, agar 1.0900 mark ke neeche sustained break aur acceptance hoti hai, toh yeh bearish traders ke liye ek key trigger ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ke liye kuch meaningful downside ka rasta khol sakta hai. Bulls is ke bawajood mid-1.0900s ke aage move ka intezar kar sakte hain, taake naye bets lagaye ja sakein.

EUR/USD currency pair abhi bhi downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai aur 1.0950 ka threshold cross karna mushkil ho raha hai, jab ke investors dono, United States aur Eurozone, se aane wale aham economic reports ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh pair aik narrow range mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo market ki apprehension ko zahir karta hai, is haftay release hone wale crucial US inflation data aur Eurozone ke GDP growth statistics se pehle.

Eurozone mein, aane wale GDP growth aur inflation figures par gahri nazar rakhi jayegi, kyunke yeh European Central Bank (ECB) ki future monetary policy decisions par asar dal sakti hain. Halanki ECB ne ek ehtiyati approach ikhtiyar kiya hai, magar softer inflation aur sluggish economic expansion ka prospect mazeed rate hikes mein rukawat ban sakta hai. Aisi development euro par pressure dal sakti hai, jise US dollar ke muqable mein subdued rakh sakti hai.

Doosri taraf, Atlantic ke us paar tawajjo US inflation data par hai, khaaskar Consumer Price Index (CPI) par, jo midweek mein release hone wala hai. Agar inflation reading expectations se ziada hui, toh Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko sustain ya raise karne ki umeedon ko mazid mazbooti mil sakti hai, jo US dollar ko support karegi. Iske bar'aks, agar reading expectations se kam hui, toh rate cut ke hawale se speculation phir se shuru ho sakti hai, jo dollar ko kamzor aur EUR/USD pair ko upar jane ka moka de sakti hai.



Technical standpoint se dekha jaye toh, EUR/USD pair significant resistance levels ke neechay trade kar raha hai, jahan 1.0950 level aik critical barrier ka kaam kar raha hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages short term mein bearish outlook zahir karte hain, jo suggest karta hai ke agar pair resistance breach karne mein nakam hota hai toh yeh lower levels test kar sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi is bearish perspective ko support karta hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair ko upward traction hasil karne mein difficulties ka samna ho sakta hai, jab tak ke market sentiment mein koi notable shift na aaye, jo ke aane wale data releases se ho sakti hai

EUR/USD ka tajziyah
Kal, thodi si sargarmi thi, lekin koi badi tabdili nahin hui. Halankeh, euro/dollar muqami bulandi ko update karte hue thoda badhne me kamyab raha.
Aaj, mai 1.0962 tak izafe ki tawaqqo karta hun. Is satah se, joda ya to niche ucchal sakta hai ya is satah ko tod sakta hai aur 1.1000 ki taraf badhna jari rakh sakta hai. Food aut energy ko chod kar, producer price index data aaj jari kiya jayega, jo aham utar-chadhaw ka sabab ban sakta hai. Mai filhal market se bahar hun, lekin mai is satah par ek sell position khol sakta hun.



Mere pas sirf 1.0850 se kharidari ke orders hain, lekin qimat ab bhi us muqam tak girni chahiye. Bulls ne kal ek sazgar taswwer pesh karna shuru kar diya, lehaza mujhe aaj 1.0962 tak mazid taraqqi ki tawaqqo hai, aur fir faisla karunga keh kya karna hai. Suratehal develop ho rahi hai, aur America se aham shumariyati aidad o shumar ki wajah se aaj ya kal numaya tabdili ho sakti hai.

Subah, EURUSD ka jor 1.0917 par reh raha hai, jo ke support samjha ja sakta hai. Yeh yahan se turnaround ki shaan hai aur phir se barhne ki umeed hai. Filhal, yeh jor lagbhag be parivartan hai, kyunki Jumme ko yeh 1.0917 par tha, isliye aaj subah yeh is support level par hai. Weekend se jo maine ummeed rakhi thi, wo aaj somwaar ko ab bhi kaam kar sakti hai.
M15 par koi wazeh signal nahi hai. Averages merge ho gaye hain aur khul nahi pa rahe. Agar yeh jor 1.0917 ke support se neeche jaata hai, toh main M15 par neeche jaane ka signal nahi samjhta, lekin yeh 1.0870 tak neeche aane mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur shayad 1.0840 tak bhi, lekin iss subah ke liye yeh pehle se kam umeed hai jo aaj market ke khulne par thi. Mere khayal se, 1.0870 ko todna mushkil hoga aur wahan se phir se barhne ki umeed hai 1.0965 aur 1.1020 tak. Agar yeh jor 1.0917 ka support todne mein nakam rahta hai, aur support se upar dekhne ka mauka milta hai, toh main 1.0965 ki resistance ki breakout ki umeed rakhta hoon aur aaj 1.1020 tak barhne ki tawaqqo karta hoon. Lekin aaj, inki 1.0965 ki resistance ke upar kaumeed se zyada kuch nahi hoga, lekin isse M15 par upar jane ka signal milne ki sambhavna hai.

Hourly chart par upar jane ka signal hai, aur purane charts par bhi, jisme daily bhi shamil hai, isliye mere khayal se barhne ki sambhavnayein zyada hain. Main M15 par upar jane ka khayal rakhta hoon, jis mein 1.0965 ka breakout honi chahiye. Lekin agar yeh 1.0870 tak neeche aate hain, toh hourly reversal ka koi khatra nahi hoga, lekin agar yeh 1.0870 ko todte hain toh 1.0840 tak aur shayad 1.0804 ke support point tak neeche ja sakte hain, jahan 4-hour ka support hai. Wahan hum hourly ke liye south ki taraf ek tod ka kaisa dekh sakte hain, aur yeh 4-hour ka khatra ban sakta hai. Isliye main 1.0870 ko todne ka sochta nahi hoon aur wahan se barhne ki umeed rakhta hoon, ya 1.0917 ke maujooda support level se barhne ki umeed rakhta hoon, 1.09645 aur 1.1020 tak agle 24 ghanton mein, kal tak, aur main aashirvaad doondta hoon ki week ke end tak 1.1149 ka support point dekhu, jahan main abhi ke liye week ka end samajhta hoon.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.

**EUR/USD Market Analysis**
EUR/USD pair doosre din ke liye downward trade kar rahi hai aur four-hour chart par blue moving average ke neeche aa gayi hai, jo ek potential continued decline ko indicate karta hai. Support 1.0877 ke level par mil raha hai. Lekin, is measure ko seedha nahi lena chahiye. Indicators strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko ignore nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rahati hain, toh main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed rakhta hoon. Agar quotes 1.0927 resistance se upar chali jati hain, toh main long-term upward movement aur ek aur rally ki ummeed karta hoon.

**Current Bullish Trends**

EUR/USD pair strong bullish trends dikhati hai, jo 1.1000 levels se significantly upar aur 1.0950 ke upar kuch periods ke liye cross kar chuki hai. Pair ne 200-day EMA ko 1.0826 par surpass kar diya hai, jo strong short-term bullish sentiment ko signal karta hai. Yeh technical breakthrough suggest karta hai ke upward trend continue ho sakta hai, traders closely resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko monitor karenge.

**Influencing Factors**

Summary ke taur par, Euro ki US Dollar ke muqablay strength ko weak US economic indicators aur European markets mein stable sentiment ki combination ke saath explain kiya ja sakta hai. Jaise EUR/USD pair significant resistance levels ke qareeb pohnchti hai, market participants upcoming economic data aur geopolitical developments ko closely dekhengi, kyunki yeh factors is currency pair ke future movements ko influence karenge.

**Technical Analysis Attracting New Participants**

Technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ki confirmation ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh technical indicators ka alignment confirmation data ke taur par kaam karta hai, jo uptrend ke sustainable hone ka zyada conviction deta hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko aur bhi fuel kar sakti hai, jaise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.

**Summary**



Summary ke taur par, weekly chart par 100-period SMA ke upar price ko maintain karna, saath hi positive oscillator readings, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Yeh technical setup ek well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai jo likely continue hoga, jaise yeh price action aur momentum indicators ke saath resonate karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke taur par dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation suggest karta hai.

**EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis aur Forecast**
Sab ko acha din! Monday ko euro aur US dollar ke beech koi bade upheavals nahi aaye. Hum abhi bhi support level 1.09 ke upar trade kar rahe hain, aur aaj price thodi upar ja rahi hai, jo humein ummeed de sakti hai ke activity barh sakti hai aur EUR/USD currency pair apne targets ki taraf upar ki taraf move kar sakti hai. General taur par, agar kisi ne long positions kholni thi, to pichle trading week aur is week mein iske liye kaafi opportunities thi, isliye agar ab price upar jaati hai to mujhe hairani nahi hogi. Agar humare saath thodi si lucky raha, to shayad thoda sa pullback bhi dekhne ko mile, jahan buy positions kholna bhi mumkin ho. To ab hum round resistance level 1.10 ki taraf movement ki intezar karenge, aur shayad aur bhi current highs update ho. Selling consider karna tabhi samajh aayega agar currency pair support level 1.09 ke neeche girti hai.
**Current Bullish Trends**

EUR/USD pair abhi strong bullish trends dikha rahi hai, jo ke 1.1000 levels ke upar tezi se chadh rahi hai aur kuch periods ke liye 1.0950 ke upar bhi ja rahi hai. Yeh pair 200-day EMA ko bhi 1.0826 ke upar se paar kar chuki hai, jo ke short-term bullish sentiment ko signal deta hai. Yeh technical breakthrough yeh suggest karta hai ke upward trend continue ho sakti hai, aur traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points par nazar rakhenge.

**Influencing Factors**

Summary yeh hai ke Euro ki strength US Dollar ke muqablay mein weak US economic indicators aur European markets mein stable sentiment ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi EUR/USD pair significant resistance levels ke qareeb pohanchti hai, market participants aane wale economic data aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhenge, kyunki yeh factors future movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

**Technical Analysis Attracting New Participants**

Technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh technical indicators ka alignment confirmation data ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko aur fuel kar sakti hai, jab naye buyers existing upward pressure ko badhate hain.


**Summary**
Summary yeh hai ke price ko 100-period SMA ke upar rakhna weekly chart par aur positive oscillator readings, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Yeh technical setup ek well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai jo ke continue hone ki ummeed hai, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators ke sath resonate karta hai. Traders aur investors isay bullish signal ke tor par dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein potential further price appreciation suggest karta hai.

**EUR/USD Price Movement Analysis**
**Recent Market Dynamics**

Friday ke din US session ke doran, euro aur dollar ke liye koi significant news events nahi hui. Iske bawajood, market ne rally continue ki, magar aaj thoda correction ka phase hai. Price 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0919 tak gir gayi hai, jo naye buy trades ke liye ek mauka hai jab corrective drop stabilize hoti hai.

**Expert Opinions and Federal Reserve Speculation**

Kuch indications hain ke Federal Reserve emergency meeting nahi bula sakta, halanke kuch experts ne aisa potential highlight kiya hai. Analytical observations suggest karte hain ke agar emergency meeting hoti hai to 75 basis points ki reduction ho sakti hai, September ki meeting ke similar decrease ke baad.

**Current Trading Pressure**

EUR/USD pair selling pressure ke neeche hai European session ke shuru hone par, 1.0900 mark ke upar gir raha hai. Yeh decline USD ki buying strength ki wajah se hai. Lekin, caution zaroori hai, khaaskar jab price psychological mark 1.1000 se niche gir gayi hai.

**Impact of US Treasury Yields**

US Treasury bond yields ne increase kiya hai, jo ke June ke shuru se sabse bara rise hai, aur USD ki recovery mein madad di hai. ECB ka pessimistic outlook Eurozone ke economic prospects par euro ko kamzor kar raha hai, jo EUR/USD pair par downward pressure daal raha hai. Phir bhi, Germany se positive macro data kuch support provide kar raha hai aur losses ko mitigate kar raha hai.

**Positive Data from Germany**

Destatis se recent data ne bataya ke Germany ka industrial sector June mein expansion mein wapas aagaya hai, Eurozone ke top economy ki output 1.4% month-on-month badhi hai, jo ke 1.0% rise ki expectations se zyada hai aur May ke 2.5% decline se recovery hai.

**Global Market Conditions**

Global equity markets mein positive risk tone aur Federal Reserve ke dovish expectations safe-haven dollar ke upside potential ko restrain kar rahe hain. Yeh scenario EUR/USD pair ke liye kuch support provide karta hai, aur aggressive bearish traders ke liye caution zaroori hai.

**Moving Forward**

Significant economic data ke bina, fundamental aspects par caution zaroori hai. Traders ko strong follow-through selling ke liye wait karna chahiye taake confirm ho sake ke spot prices near term mein peak ho gayi hain.

**Technical Perspective**


Technical standpoint se, agar 1.0900 mark ke neeche sustained break aur acceptance hoti hai, to yeh bearish traders ke liye ek key trigger ban sakta hai, jo EUR/USD pair mein meaningful downside ki potential ko open kar sakta hai. Bulls 1.0900 ke mid-levels ke upar movement ka intezar kar sakte hain taake naye positions establish ki ja sakein.

EUR/USD Market Analysis: Range-Bound Trading aur Central Bank Policies** EUR/USD currency pair ne early 2024 mein range-bound behavior dikhaya hai, consistently 1.05 aur 1.10 ke beech trading kartay hue. Ye constrained movement us ongoing tug-of-war ko reflect karta hai jo US Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke monetary policies ke darmiyan ho raha hai, jahan market sentiment central banks ki potential rate cuts ke expectations se heavily influenced hai.

#### **Central Bank Policies aur Market Sentiment:**

- **Federal Reserve ka Stance:** 2024 mein Fed ka approach ek caution par mabni raha hai, jahan signals suggest karte hain ke interest rate hikes mein ek potential pause ya gradual easing ho sakta hai jab ke inflation pressures moderate ho rahe hain. Pehle ke aggressive tightening ke bawajood, ab market anticipate kar raha hai ke Fed later in the year rate cuts initiate kar sakta hai, halan ke ECB ke muqable mein slower pace par. Is policy shift ke potential ne U.S. dollar ke momentum ko weaken kar diya hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko 1.05 level se niche break hone se rokh raha hai.

- **European Central Bank ka Approach:** Dosri taraf, ECB se bhi rates cut ki umeed hai, lekin market yeh perceive kar raha hai ke ye cuts zyada aggressive ho sakte hain Eurozone ke weaker economic outlook ke wajah se. Eurozone ki economic growth sluggish rahi hai, aur jab ke inflation risks kam ho rahe hain, ECB economy ko stimulate karne ke liye zyada substantial rate cuts ka rukh apna sakta hai. Ye expectation euro par downward pressure create kar rahi hai, jo ke iski ability ko 1.10 resistance level se upar break karne se rokh rahi hai.

#### **Range-Bound Behavior:**

- **Support aur Resistance Levels:** EUR/USD pair ka 1.05 aur 1.10 levels ke beech behavior ek market ko indicate karta hai jo wait-and-see mode mein hai. Lower boundary 1.05 ek critical support level serve karti hai, jo Fed ke cautious stance se bolster hoti hai. Wahan 1.10 level ek formidable resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jo market ke concern ko reflect karta hai ECB ke potentially aggressive rate cuts par.

- **Market Outlook:** Jab tak ye central bank policies uncertain rahengi, EUR/USD pair apna range-bound behavior continue karne ka imkaan hai. Traders ko kisi bhi clear signal par nazar rakhni chahiye jo is equilibrium ko break kar sakta hai, jo ke kisi bhi direction mein ek zyada decisive move ka sabab ban sakta hai.

EUR/USD par discussion ke hawale se, sab ko Sunday greetings! Jaise ke hamesha hota hai, week bina kisi notice ke guzar gaya. Aur aaj, weekend par, main leading currency pair ka current situation global timeframe par discuss karna chahta hoon. Ab tak, EUR/USD ka price daily chart par ek wide price channel ke andar kaafi smooth growth dekh raha hai, aur iske andar ek internal upward impulse bhi develop ho raha hai. Yeh apne aap mein bulls ke strong long-term global dominance ka indication hai.
EUR/USD price wide price channel ke upper resistance boundary ke kareeb aa chuka hai, aur even is week ke second half mein wahan se thoda rollback bhi kiya. Lekin price is upper resistance boundary se zyada significant rollback nahi kiya, aur trading is waqt freeze ho chuki hai iski upper half mein, kareeb 1.0915 price mark par. Global daily charts par, lagta hai ek price triangle form ho raha hai, jisme EUR/USD ka price agle trading week mein, aur shayad kayi weeks tak hold ho sakta hai.

Mujhe laga ke shayad koi aur unexpected movement aa rahi hai, isliye Friday ko price zyada move nahi kiya. Chalo, ab market opening ka wait karte hain, aur shayad agle hafte finally is narrowing zone se exit mile. Theoretically, yeh start ho raha hai manifest hone. Lekin yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh northern direction mein ek false exit ho, aur break down ho jaye. Lekin jab tak break nahi hota, pair apna growth continue kar sakta hai. Flat zone se nikalna hamesha mushkil hota hai, aur yeh kaafi protracted bhi ho chuka hai. Is waqt bears aur bulls ke beech struggle hai 1.0920 level ke liye. Agar price is level se neeche consolidate hota hai, to decline continue ho sakti hai. Agar price upar break karta hai aur 1.0945 se cross karta hai, to northern movement ka resumption ho sakta hai.

Clearly visible hai ke pair ek ascending price channel ke andar move kar raha hai. Is waqt yeh inner channel mein stuck hai, jo resistance aur support lines se form hua hai. Jab tak price is channel se break nahi karta, upward trend iske framework ke andar continue hone ki expectation hai. Agar support breach hota hai, to price main channel ke lower boundary ki taraf move karega; agar resistance break hota hai, to yeh upper boundary ki taraf move karega. Market mein enter karna best hai jab inner channel breakout hota hai. Is waqt key levels hain (1.08812) aur (1.0957). Jab price in levels ke paas aayega, to entry points in areas mein dhundni chahiye, depending on the situation. Abhi ke liye, hum market opening ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Price ab resistance zone mein trade kar rahi hai, jahan price upper triangle line aur weekly pivot level ka samna kar rahi hai.
Price ne is hafte ki trading triangle ke andar shuru ki, jo 4-hour chart par white color mein mark kiya gaya hai. Yeh triangle do price channels ke overlap se bana hai: ek bearish red mein, jo pichle hafte ki price movement ko represent karta hai, aur doosra blue mein, jo pichle do hafton ki price movement ko upward direction mein represent karta hai.

Isliye, price ki ummeed hai ke yeh triangle ke andar sideways movement karegi, isse pehle ke triangle ko break karke nayi direction decide ho.

Pair ke trading ke liye, hamare paas current level se achi selling opportunity hai, jisme stop loss level price triangle ke upar set karna hai aur target level ko lower triangle line ke upar set karna hai.

Buying opportunity tab milegi jab triangle ko upar ki taraf break kiya jaye aur price triangle ke upar 4 trading hours ke liye stable rahe.

Economic side par, Euro Dollar ka performance narrow range mein aur zyada tar downside tendency ke saath rehne ka imkaan hai, jab tak financial markets is hafte US inflation figures aur US Federal Reserve officials ke statements ka react nahi karte.


US interest rate policy ke future ke liye, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne kaha ke unhein ab bhi inflation risks positive nazar aa rahe hain aur woh rate cuts ko support karne ke liye cautious hain. Bowman ne kaha ke inflation May aur June mein kam hui hai, lekin yeh ab bhi committee ke 2% goal se upar hai. Unhone Kansas Bankers Association ke Colorado Springs mein speech ke doran kaha, “Mai apni approach ko current policy stance ko adjust karne mein cautious rakhungi.”

**EUR/USD**
Good Monday!

Aaj ke din euro/dollar pair ki situation kuch is tarah hai ke trading bilkul calmness ke saath shuru hui hai aur quotes 1.0915 ke support ke upar consolidation kar rahi hain, bilkul fundamentals se additional drivers ka intezar kar rahi hain.

Isliye, aaj EUR/USD neutral position mein hai, dono directions mein move karne mein hesitant hai, jaisa ke four-hour chart par Bollinger Bands indicator ke bands ka narrow hona aur price ka middle boundary par rehna indicate kar raha hai.

Yeh bhi dekha gaya hai ke EUR/USD ki price ab bhi 55-period moving average ke upar hai aur Stochastic upwards turn kar raha hai, isse yeh assumption lagayi ja sakti hai ke nearest movement mid 1.09 level ki taraf expect ki ja rahi hai, jo ke July 17th ko resistance level bana tha aur August 8th ko confirm hua tha. Additional drivers ke bina, bulls ke liye is level ko break karna mushkil lagta hai.

Fundamental side par, aaj ke liye koi strong news expect nahi ki ja rahi, isliye humein approximate range-bound movement hi dekhne ko milega, aur U.S. Producer Price Index data for July tak Tuesday tak intezar karna hoga.



Buying opportunity tab milegi jab triangle ko upar ki taraf break kiya jaye aur price triangle ke upar 4 trading hours ke liye stable rahe.

Economic side par, Euro Dollar ka performance narrow range mein aur zyada tar downside tendency ke saath rehne ka imkaan hai, jab tak financial markets is hafte US inflation figures aur US Federal Reserve officials ke statements ka react nahi karte.

US interest rate policy ke future ke liye, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne kaha ke unhein ab bhi inflation risks positive nazar aa rahe hain aur woh rate cuts ko support

**Well done, aur markets par nazar banaye rakhte hain!**

**Current Market Conditions Analysis**
**Linear Regression Channel aur Seller Strength**

Linear regression channel filhal neeche ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo sellers ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Profit ka target southward 148.746 ki taraf directed hai. Main 150.204 level par sales consider kar raha hoon, jo bulls ke liye ek buffer provide karni chahiye; warna, ek deeper correction ki potential hai jo 150.912 level tak increase ka lead kar sakti hai.

**Sales Timing aur Market Conditions**

Target reach karne ke baad selling ko pause karna aur consider karna behtar hoga. Yeh isliye hai kyunki M15 timeframe par movement ki volatility kam hone ki umeed hai, jo ek reverse upward movement generate kar sakti hai. Is scenario mein, ehtiyaat se kaam karna behtar hai, lekin upper border of the channel par rollback ka intezar karna bhi wise hoga taake market mein strategic entry ensure ho aur false signals se associated costs ko minimize kiya ja sake.

**Higher Timeframes ke Observations**

Main H1 timeframe ko closely monitor kar raha hoon, jahan linear regression channel din ke doran asset ke movement ko primarily determine karta hai. M15 situation H1 analysis ko clarify, correct, aur supplement karti hai. Market evaluation dono channels ke through ki jati hai.

**Current Market Position**

Filhal market 149.502 par trade kar raha hai, H1 upper edge aur M15 se bhi neeche. Main is situation ko bearish interpret karta hoon. Dono channels ke complex ne sales ki potential ko indicate kiya hai, jo knives ki tarah lagta hai jo trade mein "stuck" hone par losses ka sabab ban sakti hai.

**Possible Scenarios**

Agar bulls 150.204 level ke upar consolidate kar lete hain, to sales ko contemplate ya H1 ke upper part se target 150.912 level se supplement kiya ja sakta hai. Is waqt ke bearish target ke liye alternative 147.226 hai.

**Bearish Movement ka Continuation**

Indications hain ke USD/JPY pair mein sellers ki movement continue kar sakti hai jab tak fundamental factors events ke course ko change nahi karte. Price increase ka chance bhi hai; lekin iske liye necessary correction ki zaroorat hogi taake reversal ho sake.

**Market Evolution**
frame se dekha jaye to weekly trend ab bhi Uptrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Current market situation consolidation zone mein chal rahi hai jo aaj subah se shuru hui thi. Pichle hafte ki trading mein buyers ne price ko upar le jane ki koshish ki thi. Last night tak results se lagta hai ke buyer power ab bhi market mein aa rahi hai aur buying transaction volume kaafi volatile hai, jo price trend ko Uptrend ki taraf le jaa raha hai.

Trading Recommendations: BUY (M15 Chart)

Position Opening Strategy:



Yeh wave market ko continued movement ke liye prepare kar rahi hai, kyunki yeh naye version ke transition ke liye positioned hai, jahan pichle version mein aksar overlook kiye gaye opportunities signal kiye gaye the.

Currency pair EUR/USD - H4 period chart. Ab tak is hafta hum araam se so rahe hain, price kahin nahi ja rahi, lekin pichle trading hafta kaafi acha tha. Koi unpredictable movements nahi thi, lekin kuch achi trading opportunities mili aur woh clearly work out hui. General tor par, is pair ke liye hafta mein do ya teen achi opportunities hoti hain. Yeh sab kuch main horizontal level 1.0942 se connected hai. Pehli opportunity tab mili jab yeh level upwards break hua aur hour chart par wapas aakar rebound kiya, market ne apne points diye. Phir yeh level neeche break hua aur breakout ke waqt neeche jaana possible tha, market ne small descent mein bhi points diye.



Teesri opportunity tab mili jab price neeche stuck ho gaya aur phir se level 1.0942 ke qareeb aane laga. Breakout ke baad, yeh level mirror level ban gaya growth ke edge par, aur yeh sales zone thi. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, yeh wahaan se neeche bounce hui aur sab kuch theek se work out hua. Phir se ek upward correction hui aur hafta ke aakhir tak price stuck reh kar fences draw karte rahi. Observations ke mutabiq, 80-90 percent waqt market delirious hota hai aur sirf kabhi kabhi ek portal open hota hai, ek trading opportunity milti hai taake small points, 20-30, le sakein.

Mujhe lagta hai ke jo log bade passages ka wait karte hain, woh masochism mein engaged hain, aapko jo market de woh lena chahiye, aur market do ya teen trading opportunities per week deta hai, bas itna hi. Ab hum middle mein stuck hain, jaise na yeh, na woh, chances dono taraf jaane ke barabar hain. Buyers ke haq mein, wave structure ascending hai, is four-hour chart par bhi aur older daily chart par bhi. Aur MACD indicator do older periods par upper purchase zone mein hai. Lekin sales ke haq mein bhi kuch arguments hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke sellers ke liye main cheez MACD ke daily period par bearish divergence ka hona hai. Aaj economic calendar mein koi important news nahi hai