eur/usd

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko asani se rukh liya jab yeh briefly Monday ko 1.10 ke upar peak kar gaya tha. Markets Monday ke market rout ko digest kar rahe hain jo Japanese indices meltdown ke baad hua. Germany ke monthly Factory Orders unexpectedly 3.9% surge hue June mein.

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko 1.0950 ke neeche rukh liya jab isne hafte ke shuruat mein aur gains add kar liye apne stellar move ke sath jo Friday ke poor US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report ke baad aya. Markets ko recession fears ne spook kar diya, jisne ek equity crisis ko Asia mein spark kar diya jahan do major Japanese indices, Nikkei aur Topix, ne ek hi trading din mein apni value ka 10% se zyada kho diya. Markets Tuesday ko recover kar rahe hain, US Dollar (USD) apne peers ke against gain kar raha hai aur Monday ke incurred losses ka zyada hissa recover kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ka Tuesday ka correction zyada bada ya tezi se nahi lag raha. Germany ke June Factory Orders data ne Euro (EUR) ko support diya hai uski stellar performance ke baad. Expectations thi ke June mein month-over-month increase bohot mild 0.8% hoga May ke 1.6% decline ke baad. Data expectations se zyada exceed kar gaya jab positive 3.9% aya.

Overnight, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee aur San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly ne market mein traders ke nerves ko calm kiya. Dono US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ne kaha ke kuch softer numbers ko concern ki wajah nahi samajhna chahiye aur job market ab bhi strong hold kar raha hai, koi substantial aur widespread permanent layoffs nahi ho rahe. Recession fears shayad filhal ease ho gaye hain, magar markets ab dar rahe hain ke Fed ne rate cuts par zyada promise kar diya hai aur jab act karne ka waqt ayega tab woh underdeliver kar sakte hain. EUR/USD retreat kar raha hai jab sellers ne Monday ko hard entry ki jab pair briefly 1.10 ke upar pop kar gaya. Us psychological level par firm rejection ke sath aur price action ab us red descending trend line ke neeche fall ho gaya, lagta hai ke EUR/USD ko support dhoondne ki zarurat hai taake agle leg higher ke liye strength regain kar sake. Jaisa ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator nearly overbought hai, yeh samajhna logical hai ke pehle ise ease back karne dena chahiye before possible next rally spark kar sake.

Upside par, teen stages ko pehchana ja sakta hai. Sabse pehla 1.1017 area, jahan Monday ko sellers ne hard entry ki. Agar EUR/USD yahan se rally karne mein kamiyab ho jaye, December ke peak 1.1139 par agla leg higher focus mein ayega. Ek surprise move towards 1.1275 unfold ho sakta hai agar Fed ek surprise emergency rate cut karne par majboor ho jaye agar markets phir se control se bahar ho jayein kuch din ke liye.

Support dhoondte hue, round level 1.09 ek ideal candidate hai. Agar US Dollar momentum gain karta hai, moving averages ka belt 1.08 region mein agla area dekhne laayak hai. Zaroori tor par, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.0830 par bohot appealing lag raha hai, given its importance in previous periods.

Technical analysis of the EURUSD pair

Aaj ke 1-ghante ke chart par, price aaj se chalte hue ascending price channels mein trading kar rahi hai, jo ke pichle do trading dinon ke dauran price movement ki direction ko darshati hai. Kal, price ne weekly level 1.0964 ko tod diya, lekin price is level ke upar stability nahi bana paayi aur wapas niche chali gayi.

Sideways trading is resistance ke neeche chalti rahi aur iske baad price channels ko bhi tod diya, jo ke ek downward wave ko janam diya jo aage chal kar weekly pivot level 1.0871 tak ja sakti hai.

Isliye, trading advice yeh hai ke current level se weekly pivot level tak bechne ki soch rakhein, aur jab weekly pivot level tak pohnch jaayein, to dekhte rahen aur ek naye trading opportunity ka intezaar karein, chahe wo buying ho ya selling.

Economic side par, pair ke faayde ka sabab mainly US dollar ki kamzori thi, jisme investors ne disappointing US labor data par react kiya, jisne recession ke dar aur Federal Reserve ke dasti mein interest rates mein significant reduction ke expectations ko barhawa diya. US economy ke bare mein concerns ne is saal Federal Reserve ke teen baar interest rate cut ke expectations ko barha diya, do ki jagah teen cuts. Iske ilawa, traders ko European Central Bank se is saal do interest rate cuts ki ummeed hai, agla cut September mein hone ki umeed hai. ECB ke Stournaras ne eurozone mein economic challenges ke chalte inflation struggles ke potential ka warning diya. July mein annual inflation ka achanak 2.6% tak barh gaya, lekin services inflation teen mahine ke baad pehli baar gira. Preliminary estimates ne bhi dikhaya ke eurozone economy ne dusre quarter mein 0.3% growth ke sath expectations ko beat kiya, jisme France, Italy, aur Spain ne lead kiya, jabke Germany ne achanak contraction dekha.

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko kuch ease kiya hai, jab yeh Monday ko 1.10 se upar briefly peak ho gaya tha. Markets Monday ke market rout ko digest kar rahe hain, jab Japanese indices mein meltdown hua.

Germany ke Monthly Factory Orders June mein achanak 3.9% surge hue hain.

EUR/USD Tuesday ko 1.0950 ke neeche ease kar raha hai, jab isne shuruat mein aur gains add kiye the week ke shuruat mein, jo Friday ke poor US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report ke baad stellar move tha. Recession ke fears ne markets ko dara diya, jisse Asia mein equity crisis shuru ho gaya, jahan do major Japanese indices, Nikkei aur Topix, ek hi trading day mein 10% se zyada value lose kar gaye. Tuesday ko markets recover ho rahe hain, jahan US Dollar (USD) apne peers ke muqablay mein gain kar raha hai aur Monday ke incurred losses ko recover kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ki correction Tuesday ko zyada badi ya tez nahi lagti. Germany ke June ke Factory Orders data ne Euro (EUR) ko support diya hai ek stellar performance ke baad. Expectations thi ke June mein sirf 0.8% month-over-month increase hoga, May mein 1.6% ki decline ke baad. Data ne expectations ko exceed karte hue 3.9% ka positive result diya.

Overnight, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee aur San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly ne traders ke nerves ko calm kiya. Dono US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ne kaha ke kuch softer numbers kisi chinta ka reason nahi hain aur job market abhi bhi strong hai, jahan substantial aur widespread permanent layoffs nahi ho rahe hain. Recession fears shayad abhi ke liye ease ho gayi hain, lekin markets ab dar rahe hain ke Fed ne rate cuts par zyada promises kiye hain aur jab moment aayega, to shayad underdeliver karenge. EUR/USD Monday ko sellers ke hard entry ke baad retreat kar raha hai jab pair briefly 1.10 se upar gaya tha. Psychological level par firm rejection ke sath aur price action ab red descending trend line ke neeche gir raha hai, lagta hai ke EUR/USD ko agle leg ke liye support dhoondhna padega. Jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator nearly overbought hai, pehle ise thoda ease hone dena sensible hai, phir possible next rally shuru ho sakti hai.

Upside par, teen stages ko recognize kiya ja sakta hai. Pehla 1.1017 area hai, jahan sellers Monday ko hard aaye the. Agar EUR/USD wahan se rally kar sake, to agle leg ka focus December ke peak 1.1139 par hoga. Agar Fed ko surprise emergency rate cut karna pada, to 1.1275 ki taraf ek surprise move unfold ho sakta hai agar markets phir se kuch din ke liye out of control ho jayein.

Support dhoondte hue, round level 1.09 ek ideal candidate hai. Agar US Dollar ko momentum milta hai, to 1.08 region mein moving averages ka belt next area hai jo dekhna hai. Definitely, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.0830 par previous periods mein apni importance ke wajah se kaafi appealing lagti hai.

**Subah bakhair. Mujhe laga ke aaj hum Euro se ek aur wave dekh sakte hain jo kal ke maximum 1.10081 ki taraf ho sakti hai, magar Euro ne European session ke dauran barhne ke bajaye girna shuru kar diya. Aam taur par, sellers abhi tak kuch important downwards break nahi kar paye hain aur abhi bhi growth ka chance hai. Sellers ka sabse nazdeek target ab 1.08919 hai, aur agar wo is level ko todne aur iske peeche consolidate karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, to seedha raasta 1.07764 ki taraf khul jayega. Buyers ko agar ek aur growth wave form karni hai, to unhe ab 1.09621 ko break karna aur uske peeche consolidate karna hoga.**

**EURUSD M30:**

1- Kal Euro ne purchases ke liye entry point 1.09576 se forecast kiya tha, price ne is level ko dobarah active tor par break kiya aur pehla target 1.09917 tak pahunch gaya.

2- Current situation ke baare mein, price actively lower band ke saath move kar rahi hai, jabke dono bands outward open hain. Ye price ke girne ke liye ek possible continuation ka signal deta hai, aur hum sirf dekh sakte hain ke ye signal develop hota hai ya nahi.

3- AO indicator ne negative area mein izafa shuru kiya hai, agar hum near future mein isme zyada active acceleration dekhen, to price ke girne ke liye ek strong signal mil sakta hai. Zero ko cross karna aur positive zone mein izafa hona price ke barhne ka signal dega.

4- Is situation mein sales level 1.08963 par place ki ja sakti hain, breakout aur consolidation ke doran price girne ki umeed 1.08706 aur 1.08328 tak ki ja sakti hai.

5- Purchases level 1.09576 par place ki ja sakti hain, breakout aur consolidation ke doran price ke barhne ki umeed 1.09917 aur 1.10350 tak ki ja sakti hai.

Aaj ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya karna hai. Tuesday ki US session ke doran euro ya dollar ko koi significant news affect nahi hui. Kal market ne Friday se apni rally continue rakhi, lekin aaj ek correction ke liye pause hua. Growth wave conclude ho gayi aur correction phase mein transition kar gayi. Ab Fibonacci retracement grid relevant hai, kyun ke yeh 38th level tak drop hui, jo 1.0919 aur uske thoda niche hai. Yeh area new buy trades consider karne ka mauka deta hai jab corrective drop stabilize hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh lagta hai ke Federal Reserve System extraordinary meeting nahi bulayega, halanke kuch experts ne iska mashwara diya hai. Kuch comments mein emergency meeting ke liye rate ko 75 basis points kam karne ka kaha gaya, aur phir September meeting mein 75 basis points aur reduction ka kaha. Aaj, EUR/USD quotes thoda retreat karte hue kuch dozen points downward reclaim kar gaye hain Friday ke rapid increase ke baad.
Four-hour chart par, quotes 1.0926 se niche gir gaye hain. Bulls ne kai koshish ki quotes ko is resistance level ke upar push karne ki, lekin ab tak kamiyab nahi hue. Yeh suggest karta hai ke downward trend ka probable continuation ho sakta hai, jo blue moving average ko break karke 1.0876 level ko target kar sakta hai. Is beech, indicators oversold conditions dikhate hain, jo bearish trend-based direction mein substantial pullback ko unlikely banate hain. Dono technical aur fundamental factors is movement ko rok rahe hain. Is liye, medium term mein hum 1.0926 level ka potential breakout anticipate karte hain, jahan bulls current local maximum 1.1007 ko surpass karne ki doosri koshish kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

EUR/USD ki H1 timeframe par guzishta chand dino mein kafi dilchasp movement dekhi gayi hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke intersect hone ke baad, yeh pair resistance level 1.08457 ko tor kar nikal gaya. Yeh aik mazboot ishara hai ke bullish trend ban raha hai. Dono EMAs ka intersection aksar aik early signal hota hai trend reversal ka, aur is case mein yeh confirmation deta hai ke bullish forces market par qaboo pa rahi hain.

Resistance tor kar nikalne ke baad, price barh kar swing high 1.10070 par pohnch gayi. Yeh izafa market mein EUR/USD ke liye mazboot positive sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Magar forex market mein har bara movement ke baad aik correction hoti hai. Abhi hum is swing high se aik downward correction dekh rahe hain.

Jab se price naye high se girna shuru hui hai, hamari tawajju area 1.09036 ke aas-paas hai. Yahan aik base nazar aa raha hai jo ke strong support area ban sakta hai. Yeh base, ya consolidation area, aksar aik important level hota hai jahan price support dhoondh sakti hai agay barhne se pehle. Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, hamein confirmation ka intezar karna hoga pehle ke long position lein.

Kal subha se EUR/USD mein izafa kafi shandar raha hai, magar traders ko ainda izafon ke liye zyada optimistic hone ki zarurat nahi, kyunki weekly chart par price pehle hi red EMA200 zone mein hai, jahan price aksar girti hai jab is area se strong rejection hota hai. Is liye buy trading option ke liye behtar hai ke logical distance par profit lena rakhein, jo ke pehle resistance 1.1000 - 1.1025 ke aas-paas ho, kyunki is level ko touch karne ke baad price aksar zyada pips girti hai, aur decline ka target kam az kam Middle Bollingerbands weekly ki taraf hota hai.

Magar bearish trend reversal ke signs H4 par nazar nahi aaye hain, jahan current correction aik daily reentry buy setup hai, is liye traders abhi bhi buy trading option open kar sakte hain discussed profit limit ke saath. Agar resistance 1.1025 par strong rejection hota hai, aur price blue support 1.0932 ko tor kar girti hai, to phir yeh zaroori hai ke reversal trend shuru ho gaya hai, aur phir agar hum sell trading option choose karte hain, to hum profit target kar sakte hain red EMA200 H4 timeframe par, jo ke price range 1.0830 - 1.0800 mein hai.

Good morning fellow traders. Aaj hum EUR/USD market ke baare mein baat karenge jo is haftay trading ke liye bohat faidemand ho sakti hai. Ab hum aaj ke chart ke baare mein baat karte hain, jo time frame D1 mein tayar kiya gaya hai. EUR/USD is waqt 1.0909 par trade kar raha hai. Kal raat EUR/USD pair ka movement kaafi bullish aur kaafi gehra tha jo ye confirm karta hai ke EUR/USD market pair ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai jo EUR/USD pair ko bullish trend mein guide karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator buy ya sell signals aur market trend ki information provide karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator abhi 59.9902 par hold kar raha hai. Sath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ka upward movement upward movement ki resumption ko dikhata hai. Agar EUR/USD twenty periods of exponential moving average aur 50 periods of exponential moving average ko tor deta hai, to EUR/USD decline karega. Agar aisa hota hai, to aap EUR/USD par sell trade khol sakte hain taake kuch profit hasil kar sakein. Resistance ke taraf 1.0947 jo ke pehla resistance level hai. Agar market price 1.0947 resistance zone ko tor deta hai, to market upper levels tak pohoch sakta hai 1.1105 tak. Uske baad, market price next resistance ki taraf move kar sakta hai 1.1272 jo ke 3rd resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, near-term support 1.0740 ke aas paas hai. Agar market p


rice isi trend ko follow karta hai aur aur neeche girta hai, to market price aane wale dinon mein ek naya second support level create kar sakta hai. Uske baad, agar sellers 1.0605 se neeche girane mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to agla focus sellers ka 1.0453 barrier ki taraf hoga jo ke 3rd support level hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to mera khayal hai ke aap EUR/USD par sell trade karne ki koshish kar sakte hain.
Click image for larger ver

. Kal hafta shuru hua aur hum yahan phans gaye jaise hum so gaye hain, aaj hum H4 muddat ke chart ko ek baar phir dekhenge - EURUSD currency pair. Yahan par wave structure ne apna order neeche banane ka aghaz kiya hai, MACD indicator ab nichle bechne wale zone mein hai aur apne signal line ke neeche hai. Pehle, do ya teen wave structures ke growth cycle ne upar ki taraf banaya gaya tha. Yeh pura cycle unchaiyon ke bahar nikal kar khatam ho gaya tha aur MACD indicator par standard parameters ke saath ek aur triple bearish divergence tha. Is divergence ne apna asar dikhaya aur price pehle dheere dheere niche gaya, phir horizontal support level 1.0907 ko tor diya, aur saath hi saath upar jaane wale channel ko bhi neeche tor diya gaya, jismein price haal hi mein upar gaya tha. Iske baad, ab girawat ke zyada chances hain. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke girawat jari rahegi, kal raat jab market khula toh woh thoda sa badh gaya tha aur almost 1.0907 ke horizontal resistance level ko test kar liya, jo ki ek growth ke kinaare par ek darpan level ban gaya tha. Is muddat par yeh extreme hai, zaroor younger muddaton par growth ke kinaare par ek zyada extreme level hai. Price ne bhi 1.0875 ke support level par girne ko rok diya hai. Ek accumulation zone ban gaya hai, meri raay mein aur bhi zyada girawat hone ki kafi possibility hai. Agar aap daily chart dekhte hain, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke ek candlestick pattern ban chuka hai - bearish engulfing, jo mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Main khareedari ko nahi consider karta, shayad kuchh growth ho sakti hai, lekin woh clear taur par woh nahi hai jis par aap paisa kama sakte hain, shayad pehle woh price accumulation zone ke thoda upar daal de takay buyers ko action mein lana ho. Aap 1.0844 ke level par khareedari ko consider kar sakte hain. Aaj arthik calendar mein sirf aik important news item hai - USA mein secondary housing market ke sales. hai. Higher-than-expected payroll numbers ne softening labor demand ke hawalay se pareshaniyon ko kam kar diya hai, jo ke recent employment indicators se paida hui thi. April ke liye JOLTS Job Openings data aur May ke liye ADP Employment Change dono ne expectations se kum perform kiya, jabke 31 May tak ke week ke Initial Jobless Claims ne estimates ko exceed kar diya, jo ke labor market mein thodi cooling dikhata hai.
Is labor data ne investors ko apni expectations reconsider karne par majboor kar diya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein rate cut karega. Iske natije mein US Treasury bond yields elevated rahein. Persistent high yields aur equity markets mein cautious sentiment ne safe-haven US Dollar (USD) ko mazid support diya, jo ke EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dal raha hai.
EUR/USD ek descending triangle mein trade kar raha tha pehle ke rising dikhaye, jo ke is chart pattern ke height ke barabar ek rise dikhata hai. Price pichle resistance level par gir gayi, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Fibonacci Extension tool ke mutabiq following upside targets

hain, aur pair ne 38.2% stretch ka tajurba kiya second psychological level 1.0750 par. Mazid bullish momentum ise 50% Fibonacci level 1.0762 tak ya 61.8% Fibonacci level tak push kar sakta hai, jo swing high 1.0775 ke saath coincide karta hai. 76.4% level 1.0790 par hai, aur full extension 1.0815 par hai.
Overall, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke oopar cross hua hai, jo confirm karta hai ke rally strengthened hai na ke falling. Moving averages bhi triangle ke broken tip ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko mazid taqat deta hai. Magar, Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neechay move kar raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur possible selling pressure return ko dikhata hai. Oscillator ke paas abhi bhi neechay move karne ki kafi gunjaish hai seller fatigue reflect karne se pehle. Dusri taraf, RSI ke paas abhi bhi upar move karne ki gunjaish hai overbought region tak pohanchne se pehle, jo buye

EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dal raha hai. EUR/USD ek descending triangle mein trade kar raha tha pehle ke rising dikhaye, jo ke is chart pattern ke height ke barabar ek rise dikhata hai. Price pichle resistance level par gir gayi, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Fibonacci Extension tool ke mutabiq following upside targets hain, aur pair ne 38.2% stretch ka tajurba kiya second psychological level 1.0750 par. Mazid bullish momentum ise 50% Fibonacci level 1.0762 tak ya 61.8% Fibonacci level tak push kar sakta hai, jo swing high 1.0775 ke saath coincide karta hai. 76.4% level 1.0790 par hai, aur full extension 1.0815 par hai.
Overall, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke oopar cross hua hai, jo confirm karta hai ke rally strengthened hai na ke falling. Moving averages bhi triangle ke broken tip ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko mazid taqat deta hai. Magar, Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neechay move kar raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur possible selling pressure return ko dikhata hai. Oscillator ke paas abhi bhi neechay move karne ki kafi gunjaish hai seller fatigue reflect karne se pehle. Dusri taraf, RSI ke paas abhi bhi upar move karne ki gunjaish hai overbought region tak pohanchne se pehle, jo buyer fatigue ko dikhata hai aur rally ko jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai.
Is haftay ke aakhir mein, US non-farm payrolls report release hogi, jo June mein weak employment show karne ki tawakku hai. Agar aisa hota hai, tou dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai jab traders dobara federal government se monetary policy ko ease karne ki demand karte hain. Weak fundamental data, jaise ke labor force participation rate aur average hourly earnings bhi dollar ki direction ko affect kar sakte hain.
EUR/USD pair ke liye mufeed outlook ko tasdeeq karega aur pair ko agle relevant resistance tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0960-1.0965 area ke qareeb hai. Momentum March peak, yani 1.0880 area ke paar ja sakta hai, jisse spot prices ko pehli baar January se pehle 1.1000 psychological mark tak pohnchne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, European Central Bank (ECB) meeting ke qareeb jaate hue.
Dusra mudda ye hai ke kisi bhi maayne dar dip ke doran zahir ho sakta hai ke neeche ki taraf naye buyers attract ho jayenge, jo ke descending trend-line resistance breakpoint ke qareeb, 1.0870-1.0865 area mein honge. Yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye downside ko qareeb 1.0800 confluence support tak seemit karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Is ke baad, support 1.0755-1.0750 horizontal zone ke qareeb hai, jise agar toota jaaye to spot prices ko 1.0700 mark se neeche le ja sakta hai, June swing low, yani 1.0665 area ke taraf.
EUR/USD currency pair ki real-time dynamics ka jaiza lena ek complex process hai jo market sentiment, technical indicators, aur fundamental factors ka comprehensive analysis demand karta hai. April ka sales zone ya resistance area traders ke liye aik crucial point hai jahan pe price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Effective trading ke liye analysis ko continuously update karna aur market conditions ke mutabiq strategies ko adjust karna zaroori hai

chart ko ek baar phir dekhenge - EURUSD currency pair. Yahan par wave structure ne apna order neeche banane ka aghaz kiya hai, MACD indicator ab nichle bechne wale zone mein hai aur apne signal line ke neeche hai. Pehle, do ya teen wave structures ke growth cycle ne upar ki taraf banaya gaya tha. Yeh pura cycle unchaiyon ke bahar nikal kar khatam ho gaya tha aur MACD indicator par standard parameters ke saath ek aur triple bearish divergence tha. Is divergence ne apna asar dikhaya aur price pehle dheere dheere niche gaya, phir horizontal support level 1.0907 ko tor diya, aur saath hi saath upar jaane wale channel ko bhi neeche tor diya gaya, jismein price haal hi mein upar gaya tha. Iske baad, ab girawat ke zyada chances hain. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke girawat jari rahegi, kal raat jab market khula toh woh thoda sa badh gaya tha aur almost 1.0907 ke horizontal resistance level ko test kar liya, jo ki ek growth ke kinaare par ek darpan level ban gaya tha. Is muddat par yeh extreme hai, zaroor younger muddaton par growth ke kinaare par ek zyada extreme level hai. Price ne bhi 1.0875 ke support level par girne ko rok diya hai. Ek accumulation zone ban gaya hai, meri raay mein aur bhi zyada girawat hone ki kafi possibility hai. Agar aap daily chart dekhte hain, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke ek candlestick pattern ban chuka hai - bearish engulfing, jo mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Main khareedari ko nahi consider karta, shayad kuchh growth ho sakti hai, lekin woh clear taur par woh nahi hai jis par aap paisa kama sakte hain, shayad pehle woh price accumulation zone ke thoda upar daal de takay buyers ko action mein lana ho. Aap 1.0844 ke level par khareedari ko consider kar sakte hain. Aaj arthik calendar mein sirf aik important news item hai - USA mein secondary housing market ke sales. hai. Higher-than-expected payroll numbers ne softening labor demand ke hawalay se pareshaniyon ko kam kar diya hai, jo ke recent employment indicators se paida hui thi. April ke liye JOLTS Job Openings data aur May ke liye ADP Employment Change dono ne expectations se kum perform kiya, jabke 31 May tak ke week ke Initial Jobless Claims ne estimates ko exceed kar diya, jo ke labor market mein thodi cooling dikhata hai. Is labor data ne investors ko apni expectations reconsider karne par majboor kar diya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein rate cut karega. Iske natije mein US Treasury bond yields elevated rahein. Persistent high yields aur equity markets mein cautious sentiment ne safe-haven US Dollar

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

EUR/USD ne H1 timeframe par kuch interesting movement dikhayi hai pichle kuch dinon mein. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke intersect hone ke baad, pair ne resistance level 1.08457 ko tod diya. Ye ek strong indication hai ke bullish trend form ho rahi hai. Do EMAs ka intersection aksar ek early signal hota hai trend reversal ka, aur is case mein, ye confirmation deta hai ke bullish forces market par control le rahi hain.

Resistance ko todne ke baad, price barh gayi aur swing high 1.10070 tak pohanch gayi. Ye increase market mein EUR/USD ke liye strong positive sentiment reflect karta hai. Lekin, forex market mein har major movement ke baad aksar ek correction aata hai. Ab hum swing high se downward correction dekh rahe hain.

Jab price naye high se gir rahi hai, humari tawajjo 1.09036 ke area par hai. Yahan ek base lagta hai jo ek strong support area ban sakta hai. Ye base, ya consolidation area, aksar ek important level hota hai jahan price support pa sakti hai pehle ke barh jaye. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai, hume confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye pehle ke long position lein.

EUR/USD mein kal subah se jo increase dekhne ko mili hai woh kaafi extraordinary hai, lekin traders ko ziada optimistic hone ki zaroorat nahi hai future increases ke liye, kyunki weekly chart par price red EMA200 zone mein hai, jahan price aksar girti hai jab is area se strong rejection hoti hai. To buy trading option ke liye, profit taking logical distance par rakhna behtar hoga around pehle ke resistance 1.1000 - 1.1025, kyunki is level ko touch karne ke baad, price aksar bohot ziada pips girti hai, aur decline ka target kam az kam Middle Bollingerbands weekly ki taraf hai.

Halaanki, bearish trend reversal ke signs H4 par nazar nahi aa rahe hain, jahan current correction ek daily reentry buy setup hai, to traders ab bhi buy trading option khol sakte hain profit limit ke saath jo upar discussed ki gayi hai. Kyunki agar 1.1025 resistance se strong rejection hoti hai aur price 1.0932 blue support se girti hai, to ye confirm hota hai ke reversal trend shuru ho chuka hai, to agar hum sell trading option choose karein, to hum profit target kar sakte hain around red EMA200 on H4 timeframe, jo ke price range 1.0830 - 1.0800 hai.

EUR/JPY currency pair ka analysis: Kal EUR/JPY currency pair mein ek significant decline dekha gaya, jismein yeh 174.20 mark se neeche gir gaya. Yeh harkat is cheez ki nishandahi karti hai ke pair ek corrective phase mein chala gaya hai, jo ke recent trading pattern mein ek aham tabdeeli ka ishara hai. Pair ne kafi nuqsan uthaya, aur takreeban 170.383 tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat currency pair ke liye ek critical juncture hai, kyun ke yeh ek pivotal support level ke kareeb hai jo ke filhal 173.90-173.73 ke aas-paas stable hai.

Yeh support zone EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ka taayun karne ke liye intehai ahem hai. Traders aur analysts pair ke behaviour ko is barrier ke saath interact karte waqt ghor se dekh rahe hain. Is support level ki ahemiyat ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta, kyun ke yeh overall trend ke liye ek critical indicator hai. Agar pair is support ko successfully test karta hai aur iske oopar hold karta hai, to yeh ek potential rebound ya value mein stabilization ka ishara ho sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar pair is level se neeche chala jata hai, to yeh mazeed declines aur corrective trend ke jari rehne ka signal de sakta hai.

EUR/JPY pair ki recent decline kai factors ki wajah se hui hai. Market sentiment ko mukhtalif economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations mein tabdeeli ne mutasir kiya hai. Euro aur yen, jo ke major currencies hain, aise developments ke liye sensitive hain, aur unka exchange rate broader economic landscape ko reflect karta hai.

Haal hi ke hafton mein, forex market mein volatility barh gayi hai, jo ke Eurozone aur Japan dono mein interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth ke mutaliq mukhtalif expectations ki wajah se hui hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne mukhtalif monetary policy stances apnaye hain, jahan ECB badhne wali inflation ka jawab dene ke liye apni policy ko gradual tighten kar raha hai, wahin BoJ zyada accommodative approach rakh raha hai taake economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake. In divergent policies ne EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations create ki hain, jo ke iski recent downward movement ka sabab bani hain.

Jese ke traders aglay qadam ka taayun kar rahe hain, EUR/JPY pair ka 173.90-173.73 support level ke aas-paas behaviour intehai ahem hoga. Agar pair is level ko successfully test karta hai aur rebound karta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke pair ek floor find kar raha hai, aur potential recovery ki taraf ja sakta hai. Yeh scenario suggest karta hai ke corrective phase apne end ke kareeb hai, aur pair apni upward trajectory ko resume kar sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, agar pair is support ke oopar hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh mazeed declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke market mein bearish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Aise mein, traders additional support levels ko dekh sakte hain aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakte hain.

EUR/JPY currency pair forex trading mein key support levels ki ahemiyat ko highlight karta hai. Pair ka 173.90-173.73 support zone ke aas-paas ka behaviour uski future direction ke bare mein qeemti insights faraham karega. Traders ko technical indicators aur broader economic factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, is dynamic market environment mein informed decisions lene chahiye.

SD karansee peir is waqt aik afqi range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0853 aur 1.0839 ke darmiyan hai. Ye range-bound rawaiya ek marahil-e-ijma ka izhar hai, jahan na bulls na bears ne final qabuliyat hasil ki hai. Traders ke liye, ye range ek ahem zone ban sakti hai, jahan potential breakouts ya breakdowns ke imkaanat nazar rakhe ja sakte hain. Jab tak pivot point 1.0783 par barqarar hai, hamara outlook bearish scenario ki taraf jhukta hai. Ye pivot point aik ahem support level ke tor par kaam karta hai, aur iski position ye izhar karti hai ke downward pressure zyada dominate karne ka imkaan hai. Agar price 1.0839 ke lower end se neechay girti hai aur pivot 1.0783 ko cross kar jati hai, tou mazeed declines ki tawaqo hai. Khaaskar, agar 1.0783 level break hota hai tou pair 1.0793 levels tak ja sakta hai. Iske baad agar ye level bhi toot jata hai tou naya lower base banne ka signal mil sakta hai, jo ke bearish trend ke agay barhne ka izhar karta hai aglay marahil mein.
Doosri taraf, agar EUR/USD pair 1.0863 ke upper boundary se ooper break kar jata hai, tou mukhtalif scenario samnay aata hai. Ye level aik significant resistance point sabit hua hai, kyun ke teen qoshishon ke bawajood isay penetrate nahi kiya ja saka. Agar pair 1.0863 se ooper nikalta hai tou ye market dynamics ko badal sakta hai. Agar pair 1.0863 se ooper jata hai tou yeh 1.0850 levels tak push karega, jo momentum ke potential shift ko suggest karta hai.

Agar pair 1.0850 level ko breach karta hai tou ye bullish move ko mazeed validate karega, aur pair 1.0835 levels ko aim kar sakta hai. Ye upward movement ye izhar kar sakti hai ke consolidation phase khatam ho gaya hai, aur naya upward trend shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye, kyun ke ye resistance levels pehle mushkil sabit huye hain.

حالیہ اضافے میں یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی جوڑی غالباً ایک عارضی اقدام ہے، جو ایک اہم بریک آؤٹ کے لئے راستہ ہموار کر رہا ہے۔ ہم نے 1.0914 سے 1.09314 تک اور 1.0944 تک کے درمیان ایک مضبوط سپورٹ رینج کی نشاندہی کی ہے۔ یہ لیولز ایک بُلش رجحان کی سمت کو مضبوط کر رہے ہیں، اس بات کا اشارہ دیتے ہوئے کہ ہماری حکمت عملی مارکیٹ کی حرکات کے مطابق چل رہی ہے۔ پہلے کے غیر یقینی سمت اب شکل اختیار کر رہی ہے، یہ ظاہر کرتی ہے کہ ہماری اسٹریٹیجک اپروچ ایک اہم مرحلے پر پہنچ گئی ہے۔ موجودہ تجزیے کی بنیاد پر، میں پیش گوئی کرتا ہوں کہ یورو/امریکی ڈالر 1.0896-1.0938 کی رینج تک بڑھے گا۔ یہ توقعات 1.09266-1.0942 سپورٹ زون سے کامیاب بریک آؤٹ کے تحت ہیں، جو ایک ممکنہ ریلی کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ یہ حرکت جاری رجحان کی ساختی سالمیت کے مطابق ہے، اگرچہ صحیح اختتامی نقطہ کا تعین کرنا چیلنجنگ ہے۔ رجحان 1.0972-1.0950 کے نشان کے ارد گرد اپنے اختتام کو پہنچ سکتا ہے۔

سپورٹ لیولز 1.0914، 1.09314، اور 1.0944 بُلش مومینٹم کو برقرار رکھنے میں اہم کردار ادا کرتے ہیں۔ یہ لیولز مارکیٹ کے جذبات کے اہم اشارے ہیں اور حالیہ قیمت کی حرکات کے ذریعے تصدیق شدہ ہیں۔ جیسے جیسے ہم ان سپورٹ پوائنٹس کا مشاہدہ کرتے ہیں، مجموعی مارکیٹ کا ڈھانچہ اوپر کے رجحان کے تسلسل کی تجویز دیتا ہے، اگرچہ کچھ عدم استحکام کے ساتھ۔ ہماری حکمت عملی، جو ان اہم سپورٹ زونز پر مرکوز ہے، نے مارکیٹ کی غیر یقینی صورتحال کو نیویگیٹ کرنے میں مؤثر ثابت ہوئی ہے۔ 1.09266-1.0942 کی رینج کے اوپر بریک آؤٹ ایک اہم سنگ میل کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے، جو مزید فوائد کی توقع کے لئے ایک مضبوط بنیاد فراہم کرتا ہے۔

یہ موجودہ حرکت محض ایک ردعملی اضافہ نہیں ہے بلکہ ایک اچھی طرح سے متعین رجحان کے فریم ورک کے اندر ایک حساب شدہ پیشرفت ہے۔ اگرچہ اس ریلی کا اختتامی نقطہ ابھی غیر یقینی ہے، لیکن رجحان کی ساختی حرکیات اشارہ دیتی ہیں کہ 1.0972-1.0950 کی رینج ایک ممکنہ ہدف ہے۔ یہ ممکنہ اختتام تاریخی مزاحمت کے لیولز کے ساتھ موافقت رکھتا ہے، جو یہ تجویز دیتا ہے کہ مارکیٹ ان اعداد کے ارد گرد کچھ مزاحمت کا سامنا کر سکتی ہے۔ بہر حال، مجموعی بُلش جذبات صحیح سالم نظر آتے ہیں، جو کلیدی لیولز پر دیکھی جانے والی سپورٹ کی قیمت کی حرکات سے تقویت حاصل کر رہے ہیں۔ یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی جوڑی بُلش مومینٹم پر ہے، جسے 1.0914 سے 1.0944 تک کے اہم لیولز سپورٹ کر رہے ہیں۔ 1.09266-1.0942 سپورٹ زون سے حالیہ بریک آؤٹ مزید اوپر کی حرکت کے لئے آمادگی کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے، جس کا ہدف 1.0896-1.0938 کی رینج ہے۔ اگرچہ عین نقطہ اختتام کا تعین کرنا مشکل ہے، رجحان 1.0972-1.0950 کے نشان کے ارد گرد اختتام پذیر ہو سکتا ہے۔ ہماری حکمت عملی ان سپورٹ زونز پر مرکوز رہتی ہے، مارکیٹ کی ساختی سالمیت اور ممکنہ نقل و حرکت کو مدنظر رکھتے ہوئے۔

EURUSD based on technical analysis
Hello everyone! Kuch arsa se euro aur US dollar ka pair key support level 1.08 ke upar trade kar raha tha, aur lag raha tha ke ek reversal aur overall uptrend ka continuation expect kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin aaj price ne key level ko break kar ke decent decline show kiya. Is waqt hum downtrend ka continuation dekh rahe hain, jo na sirf hourly charts par visible hai balki higher timeframes par bhi. Ab key level 1.08 ek significant resistance level ke tor par act kar sakta hai, jahan se short positions consider ki ja sakti hain. Ab sab se bara sawal yeh hai ke EURUSD pair kitna zyada decline kar sakta hai, jab hum broad ascending channel ko dekhte hain jiska lower line is waqt 1.07 ke level ke aas paas hai. Yeh assume kiya ja sakta hai ke agar iss hafte nahi to agle hafte euro is level ki taraf move karega.
Is waqt technical indicators bhi bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne oversold territory mein entry ki hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke selling pressure abhi bhi present hai. Moving averages bhi downward slope dikhate hain, jo bearish momentum ko confirm karte hain. Trendline analysis ke hisaab se, agla support level 1.07 par hoga, jo ascending channel ka lower boundary hai. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai to euro aur downward momentum gain kar sakta hai.
Fundamental factors bhi euro ke liye favorable nahi lag rahe. Eurozone ki economy slow recovery process mein hai, jab ke US economy ke indicators relatively strong hain. US Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance aur interest rates ka increase bhi dollar ko support kar raha hai, jo euro ke against negative impact dal raha hai.
Agar hum trading strategy ki baat karein, to short positions key level 1.08 ke resistance par consider ki ja sakti hain. Stop loss 1.0820 par place karna safe hoga, jab ke profit target 1.07 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh cautious approach zaroori hai, kyunke market volatility unexpected price movements cause kar sakti hai.
Summary mein, EURUSD pair downtrend continuation dikhata hai, aur short-term mein 1.07 ke level ki taraf move karne ka potential rakhta hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis, dono hi bearish outlook ko support karte hain.