یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Yeh chart dikhata hai ke peechli keemat mein kami ek double bottom chart pattern ban gaya hai, jaisa ke neechay tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai. Yeh girawat na hui aur 1.0710 ke support level ko tod diya, isliye Thursday ko keemat kaafi had tak 225 pips ke qareeb upar chali gayi. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq is pair mein aglay keemat ke movement mein, keemat zyada buland hone ka imkan hai aur 1.0760 ke resistance level ko test karne ka imkan hai, keemat ko taqwiyat ke saath. H4 time frame par, aik trend reversal pattern aya hai jo pehle ke bearish position se abhi ke bullish position tak aya hai, aur Bollinger band indicator ne ishara diya hai ke mojooda keemat ka halat mid-BB area ke upar hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke ab kharidardar kaafi dominant hain. Agar market mazeed buland rehti hai to aglay haftay ke doran keemat phir se buland hone ka zyada imkan hai. Abhi, main andaza lagata hoon ke keemat ko 1.0765 ke resistance ko test karna hoga, jo ke mojooda keemat se lagbhag 230 pips door hai takay woh mazeed taqwiyat hasil kar sake qareeb bhavishya mein. Is pair mein, kharidne ki option ka bohot zyada ahmiyat hai kyunke is par bohot zyada wazan hai. Aglay haftay ke trading ke liye manzoori. Hum pehle diye gaye technical analysis se ye nateeja nikal sakte hain ke EUR/USD pair pehle se hi ek bullish trend mein hai, isliye aglay haftay ke trading plan ke mutabiq, main bechna ke bajaye kharidne ki taraf rujhan deta hoon is pair par. Area mein dakhil hone ke liye, main pehle keemat ko girte hue dekhna pasand karonga takay woh nazdeeki support level tak correction kare, jis par ek SL lagayi jayegi jiska qareebi faida 30 pips hai aur kam se kam inaam 30 se 40 pips hai. Position ko lambay arsey tak rakhne ke liye, aap use najdeeki resistance level par rakh sakte hain. Mere trading scheme mein bechnay ki option shamil na hone ke bawajood, mera sab se zyada priority kharidne ki option par bani rahti hai jab tak keemat support EUR/USD currency pair ko influence karte hain. Eurozone aur USA ke economic data releases, jese ke GDP growth rates, unemployment data, inflation reports, aur central bank policies, currency pair ke movements ko significantly affect karte hain. Eurozone ka positive economic data Euro ki strength ko support karega aur price ko resistance level breach karne mein madadgar hoga. Wahi pe, USA ka strong economic data USD ki strength ko barhata hai aur Euro ki value ko pressurize karta hai. Resistance area mein trading ke liye mukhtalif strategies adopt ki ja sakti hain. Ek common strategy yeh hai ke resistance area ke qareeb short positions lena, kyunke expectation hoti hai ke price is level se gir jayegi. Lekin agar strong bullish signals mil rahe hain, to breakout trading strategy use ki ja sakti hai, jahan pe resistance level breach hone pe buy positions lena suitable hota hai. Stop loss aur take profit levels ko carefully set karna bhi zaroori hai taake risk ko manage kiya ja sake.
EUR/USD currency pair ki real-time dynamics ka jaiza lena ek complex process hai jo market sentiment, technical indicators, aur fundamental factors ka comprehensive analysis demand karta hai. April ka sales zone ya resistance area traders ke liye aik crucial point hai jahan pe price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Effective trading ke liye analysis ko continuously
Pair ke liye fori technical challenge hain. Ahem resistance levels mein shaamil hain 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0855 par hai aur haal hi ki range ke upper boundary 1.0870 ke qareeb. In levels ke decisive breakout se agle taraf ki raftar ko madad mil sakti hai jo aik descending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.0880 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jis se hosheyari bunyadi manfi had ko 1.0900 tak pahunchne ka rasta saaf ho sakta hai.
Technically, EUR/USD daily candlestick patterns mein ek consolidation phase ko sail karte hue hain. Pair aik descending channel ke andar manzar e aam par hai, jahan par 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke bearish side ke nazdeek sahara mojood hai, jo taqreeban 1.0816 ke qareeb hai.

Analysis and forecast for the currency pair EURUSD based on technical analysis
Hello everyone! Kuch arsa se euro aur US dollar ka pair key support level 1.08 ke upar trade kar raha tha, aur lag raha tha ke ek reversal aur overall uptrend ka continuation expect kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin aaj price ne key level ko break kar ke decent decline show kiya. Is waqt hum downtrend ka continuation dekh rahe hain, jo na sirf hourly charts par visible hai balki higher timeframes par bhi. Ab key level 1.08 ek significant resistance level ke tor par act kar sakta hai, jahan se short positions consider ki ja sakti hain. Ab sab se bara sawal yeh hai ke EURUSD pair kitna zyada decline kar sakta hai, jab hum broad ascending channel ko dekhte hain jiska lower line is waqt 1.07 ke level ke aas paas hai. Yeh assume kiya ja sakta hai ke agar iss hafte nahi to agle hafte euro is level ki taraf move karega.

Is waqt technical indicators bhi bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne oversold territory mein entry ki hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke selling pressure abhi bhi present hai. Moving averages bhi downward slope dikhate hain, jo bearish momentum ko confirm karte hain. Trendline analysis ke hisaab se, agla support level 1.07 par hoga, jo ascending channel ka lower boundary hai. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai to euro aur downward momentum gain kar sakta hai.

Fundamental factors bhi euro ke liye favorable nahi lag rahe. Eurozone ki economy slow recovery process mein hai, jab ke US economy ke indicators relatively strong hain. US Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance aur interest rates ka increase bhi dollar ko support kar raha hai, jo euro ke against negative impact dal raha hai.

Agar hum trading strategy ki baat karein, to short positions key level 1.08 ke resistance par consider ki ja sakti hain. Stop loss 1.0820 par place karna safe hoga, jab ke profit target 1.07 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh cautious approach zaroori hai, kyunke market volatility unexpected price movements cause kar sakti hai.

Summary mein, EURUSD pair downtrend continuation dikhata hai, aur short-term mein 1.07 ke level ki taraf move karne ka potential rakhta hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis, dono hi bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Traders ko cautious aur informed decisions lene chahiye, aur market dynamics ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

EURUSD pair ka potential rebound ho sakta hai kyunke yeh already wave four ke end par hai, lekin decline ke liye abhi bhi bohot jagah khuli hai, bro, lekin yeh ongoing bearish trend ko affect nahi karta. Agar aisa hota hai, to traders ko price ke wave five tak rise hone ka intezar karna chahiye aur phir wahan se sell entry open karni chahiye, kyunke entry position trend conditions ke sath line mein hai, jo bearish hain, is tarah loss ka risk kam ho jata hai.
Iss waqt, price bullish return karne ki koshish kar raha hai jab ke demand area jo wave three mein wave four ke end ka support hai, wahan se hold ho gaya hai. Agar average move ki position dekhi jaye, to price abhi bhi strong hai aur bearish hi rahega. Agar thoda increase hota bhi hai to range zyada high nahi hogi, uske baad price wapas bearish ho jayega aur ek correction wave form karega. Meri rai mein, current increase mein price wave five mein pehla wave form karega aur potential increase MA 200 ke final resistance par ya sirf MA 100 tak ho sakta hai.

Aap H1 chart use karke ek simple Fibo draw karein, to aap dekhenge ke subah ka price quote blue pivot zone 1.0829 - 1.0845 ke neeche open hua. Yeh zone asal mein 38.2% aur 61.8% ka golden ratio hai, agar price iske neeche open hota hai aur fail hota hai breakthrough mein, to decline ka potential 161.8% - 188% price range 1.0762 - 1.0745 tak bohot wide open hai, jo yellow support ke aas paas hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke yeh condition aapke analysis se milti hai, bro, ke EURUSD wave five tak rise karne ka potential rakhta hai aur phir apne bearish trend ko continue karta hai, aur wave five ki position daily support area mein blue rectangle ke andar hai. Lekin, doosra scenario bhi ho sakta hai, yani ke price high pullback nahi banata, lekin seedha drop karta hai agar seller 1.0888 level ko penetrate karne mein kamyab hota hai.

EUR/USD pair ke hawale se baat karen, to yeh pair din ke opening level 1.0825 ke neeche aur daily Pivot level 1.0825 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Key indicators bearish signals show kar rahe hain aur price 72-period Moving Average trend line ke neeche hai, jahan volume usually unload hota hai.
Agar price 1.0803 ke level ke upar move karta hai, to yeh north ki taraf 1.0825 aur mumkin hai 1.0840 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price 1.0800 ke level ke neeche drop karta hai, to mujhe expect hai ke pair levels 1.0777 aur mumkin hai 1.0765 tak decline karega. Yeh indicators aur levels is waqt kaafi important hain kyunke yeh pair ke future movement ko define kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD pair monthly Pivot level 1.0827 (previous 1.0764) ke neeche, weekly Pivot level 1.0860 (previous 1.0899) ke neeche, aur daily Pivot level 1.0825 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke pair mein bearish sentiment prevail kar raha hai. Monthly Pivot level 1.0827 ke upar, pair north move karega, lekin agar yeh monthly Pivot level 1.0827 ke neeche rahta hai, to pair south shift ho gaya hai aur decline ka chance barh gaya hai.

Agar hum thoda aur detail mein dekhein to 72-period Moving Average trend line ka neeche hona bearish trend ko aur confirm karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke sellers ka control hai aur buyers ke liye price ko upar push karna mushkil hoga. Price agar 1.0803 ke upar jata hai, to buyers thoda momentum gain kar sakte hain aur 1.0825 aur 1.0840 tak pohanch sakte hain. Lekin agar price 1.0800 ke neeche jata hai, to sellers ke liye aur opportunities milengi aur price 1.0777 aur 1.0765 tak gir sakta hai.

Is current scenario mein traders ko cautious approach rakhni chahiye aur important levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Market mein volatility ho sakti hai, aur unexpected price movements ho sakte hain. Apni trading strategy ko is tarah se adjust karein ke aapke risk ko minimize kar sakein aur profitable trades kar sakein. Is waqt ka market sentiment aur technical indicators dono hi bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain, is liye sell positions zyada favorable ho sakti hain jab tak koi significant reversal signals nahi milte.

Main abhi EUR/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko dissect kar raha hoon. Mujhe kal ke trading session mein pound ke sath bohat profit mila tha, kyun ke uski intraday volatility trading ko kafi mazedar banati hai. Agar aaj bhi movements statistics, khas tor par state data aur individual European country reports se drive hoti hain, to market mein bohat excitement hogi. EUR/USD chart pe ek persistent downward trend nazar aa raha hai. Kal ek potential rebound model promising lag raha tha, lekin shaam tak price flat ho gayi aur sideways movement me chali gayi. Yeh sideways movement pair ko kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakti hai. Upwards, impulse resistance bullish path ko limit karti hai, jo sirf significant statistics ke zariye breach ho sakti hai; downwards, kal ka minimum ek barrier hai jo shayad breach ho ya na ho. Iss trading week mein, euro ne US dollar ke against decline shuru kiya, aur takriban 1.087 ke round support level ko reach kiya. Meri reduction targets complete hone ke baad, maine zyada extended periods ko review kiya.


Price ek broad ascending channel ke andar move kar rahi hai, jo further decline ka potential suggest karta hai, lekin lagta nahi ke euro apni lowest limit tak drop karega. Main sales opportunities pe focus karunga, lekin agar price 1.088 resistance level ko break kar ke consolidate kar gayi to yeh bullish traders ke liye strong signal hoga. Short-term trend EUR/USD ke liye downward hai, lekin mujhe abhi tak clear selling signals nazar nahi aa rahe. EUR/USD upward adjust ho rahi hai taake upper limit 1.0910 ko target kar sake, jo price movement debt indicate karti hai. Agar yeh upward wave materialize ho gayi, to market apni bullish movement ko is level pe reach kar ke reverse kar sakta hai. Lekin yeh zaroori nahi ke 1.0910 pe sudden bearish turn le; iske bajaye, hum ek brief pause dekh sakte hain. Jab yeh challenging section paar ho jayegi, to shayad hum kuch waqt ke liye bearish direction ko abandon kar dein.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko ek significant decline experience kiya, aur crucial 1.0800 level ko breach kiya. Yeh downward movement primarily stronger-than-expected US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke release ki wajah se hua, jisne US economy ke potential hard landing ke concerns ko ignite kiya. Jab ke European economic indicators week ke baqi hisse ke liye relatively quiet hain, investor attention firmly upcoming US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report par focused hai jo Friday ko aayegi. Market participants US labor market ki trajectory aur consequently Federal Reserve ke monetary policy stance ke baare mein clues dhoondh rahe hain. Agar NFP figure higher-than-expected hoti hai, to yeh imminent interest rate cut ke expectations ko temper kar sakti hai, US dollar ko bolster kar sakti hai aur EUR/USD par downward pressure daal sakti hai. Conversely, agar reading weaker-than-expected hoti hai, to yeh recession fears ko fuel kar sakti hai, jo dollar mein decline aur euro mein rebound lead kar sakti hai.

Market is waqt conflicting economic signals se grapple kar raha hai. Ek taraf economic slowdown ke growing evidence hai, jo interest rate cuts ke case ko support karta hai. Doosri taraf, persistent inflationary pressures policymaking landscape ko complicate karte hain. Yeh uncertainty currency traders ke liye ek volatile environment create kar chuki hai.

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD ne apni recent rally se retrace kiya hai aur key support levels ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh 1.0793 level ke neeche breakdown hoti hai, to decline accelerate ho kar 1.0711 support area tak pahunch sakti hai. Magar, agar pair manage kar ke reverse course kar le aur 1.0874 resistance level ko reclaim kar le, to yeh potential short-term bullish reversal ko signal kar sakti hai.

Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair significant headwinds face kar rahi hai economic uncertainties aur conflicting market signals ki wajah se. Upcoming NFP report pair ke short-term direction ko determine karne ke liye ek crucial catalyst hogi. Traders ko caution exercise karna chahiye aur key technical levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

EUR/USD jodi H4 chart par 1.0894 par trade kar rahi hai, jabke haal ki qeemat ke amal se market sentiment mein aik mumkin tezad nazar arahi hai. 1.0915 par mukhalifat ka samna karne ke baad, jori ek girawat dekhi jaye, jo aik tasdeeq mombatti ki saath sath girawat ka bias short term mein darust karti hai. Is ke bawajood, MACD indicator ne mustaqil signal dikhaya hai, jo be tarteebi se market activity ki numaya darust hai bila ikhtiyar tezi ke palat nazar aane se.
Se bari mansuba ka tajzia karte hue, H4 chart 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar price ka dabao dikhata hai, jo aik sahara satah ke tor par kaam karta hai, ye tasawar ko mazid mazboot karta hai ke haal hi mein rukawaton ke bawajood tezi ka dabao abhi tak barqarar hai.
Aage dekhte hue, agar bechnay ka dabao barqarar rahe to agla ahem sahara satah 1.0844 par hai. Ye satah ahmiyat rakhti hai aik potential girawat ke khilaf rukawat ka imkan, jahan buyers market mein dobarah shamil ho saktay hain, qeemat ke amal ko mustahik karne mein madad faraham karte hue.
EUR/USD 1.0900 ke upar chadhte hue aur ise support ke tor par tasdiq karte, to phir 1.0950 (static level) next resistance ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai phir 1.1000 (psychological level, static level). Thursday ke US session mein pair ne aapna sarvottam star ko choo liya tha, jise 1.0900 tak pahunchate hue dekha gaya tha. Ek neeche ki correction ke baad pair ne European session mein Friday ko aaram se 1.0850 ke upar daka laga rakha.
US dollar ko zor ka samna tha soft US inflation data ki wajah se. Mahine ke hisab se, Consumer Price Index me 0.1 percent ki kami dikhai di, jabki core CPI sirf 0.1 percent barha over the same period. Dono hi readings market ke expectations se kam thi aur investors ko September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed jaari rakhi. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ko policy rates ko September mein be change rakna ke chances 10 ke nichhe they. PICH day main, Producer Price Index data for June US economic docket mein shamil hai. Mahine ke hisab se, PPI ka 0.1 percent barhne ka tajaawur hai. Ek negative reading USD par aur dabaw dal sakti hai aur EUR/USD ko oopar le jane mein madad kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, ek mazboot tajaawur maazbot dollar ke rivayton ke khilaf madadgar ho sakti hai, magar market ke reaction mein had maayat ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD jodi H4 chart par 1.0894 par trade kar rahi hai, jabke haal ki qeemat ke amal se market sentiment mein aik mumkin tezad nazar arahi hai. 1.0915 par mukhalifat ka samna karne ke baad, jori ek girawat dekhi jaye, jo aik tasdeeq mombatti ki saath sath girawat ka bias short term mein darust karti hai. Is ke bawajood, MACD indicator ne mustaqil signal dikhaya hai, jo be tarteebi se market activity ki numaya darust hai bila ikhtiyar tezi ke palat nazar aane se.
Se bari mansuba ka tajzia karte hue, H4 chart 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar price ka dabao dikhata hai, jo aik sahara satah ke tor par kaam karta hai, ye tasawar ko mazid mazboot karta hai ke haal hi mein rukawaton ke bawajood tezi ka dabao abhi tak barqarar hai.
Aage dekhte hue, agar bechnay ka dabao barqarar rahe to agla ahem sahara satah 1.0844 par hai. Ye satah ahmiyat rakhti hai aik potential girawat ke khilaf rukawat ka imkan, jahan buyers market mein dobarah shamil ho saktay hain, qeemat ke amal ko mustahik karne mein madad faraham karte hue.
EUR/USD 1.0900 ke upar chadhte hue aur ise support ke tor par tasdiq karte, to phir 1.0950 (static level) next resistance ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai phir 1.1000 (psychological level, static level). Thursday ke US session mein pair ne aapna sarvottam star ko choo liya tha, jise 1.0900 tak pahunchate hue dekha gaya tha. Ek neeche ki correction ke baad pair ne European session mein Friday ko aaram se 1.0850 ke upar daka laga rakha.
US dollar ko zor ka samna tha soft US inflation data ki wajah se. Mahine ke hisab se, Consumer Price Index me 0.1 percent ki kami dikhai di, jabki core CPI sirf 0.1 percent barha over the same period. Dono hi readings market ke expectations se kam thi aur investors ko September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed jaari rakhi. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ko policy rates ko September mein be change rakna ke chances 10 ke nichhe they. PICH day main, Producer Price Index data for June US economic docket mein shamil hai. Mahine ke hisab se, PPI ka 0.1 percent barhne ka tajaawur hai. Ek negative reading USD par aur dabaw dal sakti hai aur EUR/USD ko oopar le jane mein madad kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, ek mazboot tajaawur maazbot dollar ke rivayton ke khilaf madadgar ho sakti hai, magar market ke reaction mein had maayat ho sakti hai.

Pehle Monday Asian trading mein, EUR/USD pair ne khaas mazbooti dikhayi aur 1.0860 ke aas-paas bana raha. Ye harkat Euro ke US Dollar ke muqablay mein positive outlook ko zahir karti hai, jo mukhtalif economic factors aur market ki tawaqoat se mutasir hai. Federal Reserve ka key inflation measure, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, June mein pichle saal ke muqablay mein 2.5% barh gaya. Ye izafa Fed ke liye ahm hai kyun ke ye aane wale monetary policy decisions, including interest rate changes, ko asar andaz karta hai. Inflation measure ka izafa ongoing inflationary pressures ko zahir karta hai, jo Fed ko interest rates barqarar rakhne ya barhane ka raasta de sakta hai taake inflation ko control kiya ja sake. Halankeh Euro ki mojooda mazbooti ke bawajood, European Central Bank (ECB) ke dobaara rate cut ka khauf hai. Ye mumkin hai ke Euro par niche ki taraf pressure daal sakti hai. ECB ki monetary policy decisions Euro ki value ko doosri currencies ke muqablay mein seedha asar andaz karti hain. Agar ECB dovish stance apnata hai ya additional rate cuts ka ishara deta hai, to ye Euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo Forex market mein uski performance ko mutasir karega.
Economic Data Releases: Eurozone se haali mein aayi data mixed economic performance ko dikhati hai, kuch sectors mein growth aur kuch mein challenges, khaaskar manufacturing mein. Us ke muqablay mein, US economy ne steady job growth aur consumer spending ke sath resilience dikhayi hai, jo US Dollar ko support karti hai.

Geopolitical Events:Jari geopolitical tensions, khaaskar trade relations aur international conflicts, currency movements par aham asar daalti hain. Eurozone mein stability aur doosri regions mein uncertainty Euro ko investors ke liye attractive bana sakti hai.

Central Bank Policies: ECB aur Fed ke darmiyan monetary policies ka farq ek critical factor hai. Fed ka inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rates barhane ka rujhan ECB ke economy ko stimulate karne ke liye rate cuts ke potential se mukhtalif hai. Ye farq aksar EUR/USD exchange rate mein fluctuations ka sabab banta hai.

اگست 2 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی معیشت کی لچک کو گھیرے ہوئے میڈیا سے چلنے والے کہرے کے باوجود، ہم خطرے سے دور ہونے کے دو ہفتوں کے مستقل رجحان کا مشاہدہ کر رہے ہیں۔ کل، ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں 1.37% کی کمی ہوئی، تیل کی قیمت میں 1.41% کی کمی، ڈالر میں 0.26% کا اضافہ ہوا، اور 5 سالہ امریکی سرکاری بانڈز پر پیداوار 3.92% سے کم ہو کر 3.83% ہو گئی۔ آج صبح تک، یہ تمام آلات کلیدی سپورٹ لیول تک پہنچ چکے تھے، خاص طور پر بانڈز، جو پہلے جنوری میں ریکارڈ کیے گئے سالانہ کم (جیسا کہ پیداوار چارٹ پر دکھایا گیا ہے) کو پہنچ چکے تھے۔

کل، امریکہ میں بے روزگاری کے فوائد کی فائلنگز کی کل تعداد غیر متوقع طور پر 1.877 ملین ہو گئی، جو کہ 1.860 ملین کی پیشن گوئی کو پیچھے چھوڑ گئی۔ جولائی کے لیے آئی. ایس. ایم. مینوفیکچرنگ ایمپلائمنٹ انڈیکس 49.0 کی پیشن گوئی کے مقابلے میں 49.3 سے 43.4 تک گر گیا۔ اس لیے، آج کے نان فارم پے رولز، جون میں 206,000 کے مقابلے میں 176,000 پر پیشین گوئی کی گئی تھی، کمزور ہو سکتی ہے۔ خطرے سے دور منتقلی جاری رہے گی۔



یومیہ چارٹ پر، یورو نے کل 1.0788 کی سپورٹ لیول کو توڑا۔ قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک پہنچنے میں صرف 1-2 pips کی کمی تھی، لیکن یہ موجودہ صورتحال میں اہم نہیں ہے- کل کی کم سے نیچے کے وقفے کا مطلب خود بخود ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے جانا ہوگا۔ یہ 1.0724 کے ہدف کو کھولتا ہے—جو دسمبر 2023 کے بعد سے پانچ کم کی واضح کم ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0788 کی سپورٹ لائن پر مستحکم ہو رہی ہے۔ دونوں اشارے لائنوں کے نیچے پیش رفت ہو رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر میں قدرے نرمی آئی ہے اور وہ اپنی کمی کو جاری رکھنے کے لیے تیار ہے۔ ہم آج کے یو ایس ایمپلائمنٹ ڈیٹا کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Euro $1.082 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, jo ke July 17 ko touch ki gayi four-month high $1.094 se neeche hai, kyun ke traders key economic data ko digest kar rahe hain aur European Central Bank ke agle move ko assess kar rahe hain. Eurozone ki annual inflation unexpected tor pe July mein 2.6% tak accelerate hui, jo ke higher energy prices ki wajah se hui hai, lekin services inflation pehli martaba three months mein slow hui. Mukhtalif mulkon mein mixed scenario tha, Germany, France aur Italy mein prices tez hui hain lekin Spain mein slow hui hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, preliminary estimates dikhate hain ke eurozone economy second quarter mein faster-than-expected 0.3% expand hui, jo France, Italy aur Spain ki growth se lead hui. Germany, doosri taraf, unexpected contraction face kiya. European Central Bank ne July mein interest rates ko hold par rakha, aur President Lagarde ne kaha ke September ka decision "wide open" hai. Iske natije mein, investors European Central Bank ke do rate cuts price kar rahe hain is saal, agla cut September mein expect ho raha hai.

Ek aur note jo EUR/USD pair aur general markets ko affect karta hai, US Federal Reserve ne July 2024 mein federal funds rate ko 23 saal ki high 5.25%-5.50% par rakha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha. Policymakers ne note kiya ke 2% inflation target ki taraf kuch further progress hui hai, halaanke yeh abhi bhi thoda elevated hai. Recent indicators bhi yeh suggest karte hain ke economic activity solid pace par expand hui hai. Job gains slow hui hain, aur unemployment rate rise hui lekin abhi bhi low hai.

US central bank judge karta hai ke employment aur inflation goals achieve karne ke risks better balance ki taraf move karte hain. Halaanke, Fed expect nahi karta ke rates cut karna appropriate hoga jab tak ke inflation sustainably 2% ki taraf move karna clear na ho. Regular press conference mein, Fed Chairman Powell ne kaha ke September rate cut table par ho sakta hai agar inflation expectations ke mutabiq fall hoti hai aur woh scenarios imagine kar sakte hain jahan Fed is saal multiple times rate cut kar sakta hai ya bilkul cut nahi kar sakta.

Daily chart ke performance ke base par, EUR/USD price ka general trend abhi bhi bearish hai aur jaisa ke pehle mention kiya tha, 1.08 support ka break hona bears ke liye strong downward move ke liye important rahega aur accordingly next strongest support levels 1.0720 aur 1.0600 honge aur latter level se technical indicators strong oversold levels ki taraf move karenge. Doosri taraf, same time frame ke liye, 1.1000 ka psychological resistance bulls ke liye trend ko regain karne ke liye sabse important rahega. Federal Reserve Bank ke announcement aur Eurozone ke inflation figures ke effect ke baad, next major interest US jobs figures ki announcement par hoga kal, jo EUR/USD price ke direction mein role play karega aur closing price ko downside ke kareeb karega.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/US dollar ka joda filhal 1.0795 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, jodi utarte hue channel ke andar musalsal gir rahi hai. Aaj ka sab se zyada imkani scenario channel ke andar musalsal niche ki taraf movement ki tajwiz karta hai. RSI indicator chart ke darmiyan me hai, accumulation territory me tair raha hai aur farokht karne walon ya kharidaron ko koi support nahin de raha hai.



Ek-ghante ke chart par, euro/dollar moving average se niche khula. Yah din ke dauran mumkena kami ki nishandahi karta hai. Mutabadail taur par, qimat kamzori ko badhane se pahle moving average tak pahunch sakti hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko aik significant decline dekha, jo crucial 1.0800 level ko breach kar gaya. Yeh downward movement ziada tar strong US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data release hone ki wajah se tha, jo US economy ke hard landing ke concerns ko ignite kar gaya. Jab ke European economic indicators is haftay ke remainder ke liye relatively quiet hain, investor attention firmly upcoming US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report par focused hai jo Friday ko aani hai. Market participants US labor market ke trajectory aur consequently, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance ke clues dhoondh rahe hain.

Agar NFP figure higher-than-expected hota hai to yeh imminent interest rate cut ke expectations ko temper kar sakta hai, US dollar ko bolster kar sakta hai aur EUR/USD par downward pressure exert kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar reading weaker-than-expected hoti hai to yeh recession fears ko fuel kar sakti hai, jisse dollar decline ho sakta hai aur euro rebound kar sakta hai. Market is waqt conflicting economic signals se grapple kar raha hai. Aik taraf, economic slowdown ka growing evidence hai jo interest rate cuts ke case ko support karta hai. Doosri taraf, persistent inflationary pressures policymaking landscape ko complicate kar rahi hain. Yeh uncertainty currency traders ke liye aik volatile environment create kar rahi hai.

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD ne recent rally se retrace kar ke key support levels ki taraf approach kiya hai. Agar pair 1.0793 level ke niche breakdown kar leta hai to yeh decline ko accelerate kar ke 1.0711 support area ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair manage karta hai aur 1.0874 resistance level ko reclaim kar leta hai to yeh aik potential short-term bullish reversal ko signal kar sakta hai. Summary yeh hai ke EUR/USD currency pair significant headwinds face kar raha hai due to economic uncertainties aur conflicting market signals. Upcoming NFP report pair ke short-term direction ko determine karne ke liye aik crucial catalyst hoga. Traders ko caution exercise karni chahiye aur key technical levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

EUR/USD pair pehle se hi ek bullish trend mein hai, isliye aglay haftay ke trading plan ke mutabiq, main bechna ke bajaye kharidne ki taraf rujhan deta hoon is pair par. Area mein dakhil hone ke liye, main pehle keemat ko girte hue dekhna pasand karonga takay woh nazdeeki support level tak correction kare, jis par ek SL lagayi jayegi jiska qareebi faida 30 pips hai aur kam se kam inaam 30 se 40 pips hai. Position ko lambay arsey tak rakhne ke liye, aap use najdeeki resistance level par rakh sakte hain. Mere trading scheme mein bechnay ki option shamil na hone ke bawajood, mera sab se zyada priority kharidne ki option par bani rahti hai jab tak keemat support EUR/USD currency pair ko influence karte hain. Eurozone aur USA ke economic data releases, jese ke GDP growth rates, unemployment data, inflation reports, aur central bank policies, currency pair ke movements ko significantly affect karte hain. Eurozone ka positive economic data Euro ki strength ko support karega aur price ko resistance level breach karne mein madadgar hoga. Wahi pe, USA ka strong economic data USD ki strength ko barhata hai aur Euro ki value ko pressurize karta hai. Resistance area mein trading ke liye mukhtalif strategies adopt ki ja sakti hain. Ek common strategy yeh hai ke resistance area ke qareeb short positions lena, kyunke expectation hoti hai ke price is level se gir jayegi. Lekin agar strong bullish signals mil rahe hain, to breakout trading strategy use ki ja sakti hai, jahan pe resistance level breach hone pe buy positions lena suitable hota hai. Stop loss aur take profit levels ko carefully set karna bhi zaroori hai taake risk ko manage kiya ja sake.
EUR/USD currency pair ki real-time dynamics ka jaiza lena ek complex process hai jo market sentiment, technical indicators, aur fundamental factors ka comprehensive analysis demand karta hai. April ka sales zone ya resistance area traders ke liye aik crucial point hai jahan pe price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Effective trading ke liye analysis ko continuously
Pair ke liye fori technical challenge hain. Ahem resistance levels mein shaamil hain 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0855 par hai aur haal hi ki range ke upper boundary 1.0870 ke qareeb. In levels ke decisive breakout se agle taraf ki raftar ko madad mil sakti hai jo aik descending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.0880 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jis se hosheyari bunyadi manfi had ko 1.0900 tak pahunchne ka rasta saaf ho sakta hai.
Technically, EUR/USD daily candlestick patterns mein ek consolidation phase ko sail karte hue hain. Pair aik descending channel ke andar manzar e aam par hai, jahan par 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke bearish side ke nazdeek sahara mojood hai, jo taqreeban 1.0816 ke qareeb hai.
EUR/USD pair monthly Pivot level 1.0827 (previous 1.0764) ke neeche, weekly Pivot level 1.0860 (previous 1.0899) ke neeche, aur daily Pivot level 1.0825 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke pair mein bearish sentiment prevail kar raha hai. Monthly Pivot level 1.0827 ke upar, pair north move karega, lekin agar yeh monthly Pivot level 1.0827 ke neeche rahta hai, to pair south shift ho gaya hai aur decline ka chance barh gaya hai.

Agar hum thoda aur detail mein dekhein to 72-period Moving Average trend line ka neeche hona bearish trend ko aur confirm karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke sellers ka control hai aur buyers ke liye price ko upar push karna mushkil hoga. Price agar 1.0803 ke upar jata hai, to buyers thoda momentum gain kar sakte hain aur 1.0825 aur 1.0840 tak pohanch sakte hain. Lekin agar price 1.0800 ke neeche jata hai, to sellers ke liye aur opportunities milengi aur price 1.0777 aur 1.0765 tak gir sakta hai.

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**EUR-USD H4 Analysis Chart**

Hello, Alexander. Tum itne khush kis baat se ho? Waise, mere tamaam purchasing aur selling experiences mein mujhe profit hua. Aaj maine koi deal nahi ki, thoda araam karne ka socha. Aur, chahe mein situation ko kahin se bhi dekho ya kaunsi bhi trading techniques use karoon, sab kuch ajeeb lagta hai, jaise initial moves khatam ho chuke hain aur ab reversal ka intezaar hai. Daily chart pe Ichimoku indicator ke traditional interpretation ke mutabiq:

- Cloud ab mukhtalif rangon mein dikhai de raha hai aur takreeban pandrah degree ke moderate ascending angle ko maintain kar raha hai. Forecast ke point of view se, yeh ab tak bulls ke saath hai aur ab tak unke saath bana hua hai.
- Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen ne apna golden cross complete kar liya hai aur ab bears ki taraf shift hone ka soch rahe hain: dono bands ab takreeban ek jagah par converged ho chuke hain. Matlab, sell signal banne ka imkaan qareebi hai.
- Chikou-Span ne apni slide tez kar di hai aur ab candles ke peaks tak pohnch chuka hai. Matlab, is layout ke mutabiq, ab climb ka intezaar kar sakte hain aur phir decline ko pakar sakte hain.

Four-hour chart ke mutabiq, ek drop poori tarah se nazar aa raha hai: yahaan hamare paas Ichimoku Cloud sell hues mein dikh raha hai, jo ke trend angle ke 40 degrees pe decrease ke liye kheench raha hai, aur Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen ne hal hi mein ek aur Dead cross join kiya hai. To, filhaal, ek decrease behtar lagta hai. Woh pehle hi ek doosre ko attract kar rahe hain.



Feel free to ask if you have any more questions or need further assistance!