یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

**EUR/USD Pehla Monday Asian Trading Mein 1.0860 Ke Aas-Paas Mazbooti Dikhata Hai:**
Pehle Monday Asian trading mein, EUR/USD jor ne 1.0860 ke aas-paas kafi mazbooti dikhayi. Yeh harkat Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein positive outlook ko reflect karti hai, jo mukhtalif ma’ashi factors aur market expectations se mutasir hai. Federal Reserve ka key inflation measure, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, June mein pichle saal ke muqablay mein 2.5% barh gaya. Yeh izafa Fed ke liye bohot important hai, kyunki yeh unki aane wali monetary policy decisions, including interest rate changes, ko affect karta hai. Inflation measure ka barhna ongoing inflationary pressures ko suggest karta hai, jo Fed ko interest rates ko barhane ya barqarar rakhne par majboor kar sakta hai. Halanki Euro abhi mazboot hai, lekin European Central Bank (ECB) ke rate cut ke mumkinah khayalon se concerns hain. Agar ECB dovish stance apnati hai ya mazeed rate cuts ka ishara karti hai, to Euro ke muqable mein pressure barh sakta hai. ECB ki monetary policy decisions Euro ke value ko directly influence karti hain. Agar ECB rate cuts ki taraf jati hai, to Euro kamzor ho sakta hai, jo Forex market mein uski performance ko impact karega.

**Economic Data Releases:** Eurozone se recent data mixed performance ko show karti hai, kuch sectors mein growth hai aur kuch mein challenges hain, khaaskar manufacturing mein. Us ke muqablay, US economy ne resilience dikhayi hai with steady job growth aur consumer spending, jo US Dollar ko support karti hai.

**Geopolitical Events:** Chal rahe geopolitical tensions, khaaskar trade relations aur international conflicts, currency movements ko significantly impact karti hain. Eurozone ki stability dusre regions ki uncertainty ke muqablay mein Euro ko investors ke liye attractive banati hai.

**Central Bank Policies:** ECB aur Fed ke darmiyan monetary policies ka farq kafi critical factor hai. Fed ka inflation ko control karne ke liye higher interest rates ki taraf jana ECB ke possible rate cuts se contrast karta hai jo economy ko stimulate karte hain. Yeh divergence aksar EUR/USD exchange rate mein fluctuations ka sabab banta hai.

**Market Sentiment:** Investor sentiment aur risk appetite bhi important role play karti hai. Uncertain times mein, investors safe-haven currencies jaise US Dollar ki taraf move karte hain, jo Euro par pressure daal sakta hai.

**Technical Analysis of EUR/USD:**
Technical nazariye se, EUR/USD pair 1.0900 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jabke 1.0800 ke aas-paas support hai. Technical indicators, jaise moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), short term mein cautiously bullish trend ko suggest karte hain. Lekin, major economic announcements ya central bank policies mein changes significant volatility la sakte hain.

**Future Outlook and Predictions:**
Aage dekhte hue, EUR/USD pair ma’ashi data releases aur central bank communications ke liye sensitive rahega. Traders aur investors upcoming Eurozone inflation data, US employment reports, aur ECB aur Fed ke statements ko closely monitor karenge. In events ka market interpretation short-term direction of EUR/USD pair ko determine karega.

Agar hum EUR/USD ka weekly chart kholain, to dekhenge ke ek resistance line pehle ban chuki thi, jiske neeche major pair 2021 ke shuru se le kar 2024 ke summer tak trade karta raha. Ab price is resistance line ko break karke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, aur isse upar se niche test kar rahi hai. Agar yeh test successful raha, to long-term trading perspective mein EUR/USD ko buy karna acha ho sakta hai, jiska goal 1.1000 tak growth dekhna hoga, aur phir full-fledged upward trend ke liye move karna hoga, jahan bulls ka target pehle ke local maximum 1.1270 tak ho sakta hai.
Agar EUR/USD aur GBP ka downward movement continue hota hai, to aapko lagta hai ke uptrend ka potential abhi tak nahi tuta aur technical perspective se upward trend ke continue hone ki probability kaafi zyada hai?

EUR/USD ka daily chart khol kar dekhein, to pichle summer se banne wale sideways price channel ke upper limit tak nahi pahuncha, isliye northward price movement ki probability bahut zyada hai. Daily chart par ek upward price channel bhi ban raha hai aur main ab repeat test ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jaise pichli baar hua tha.pehle ban chuki thi, jiske neeche major pair 2021 ke shuru se le kar 2024 ke summer tak trade karta raha. Ab price is resistance line ko break karke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, aur isse upar se niche test kar rahi hai. Agar yeh test successful raha, to long-term trading perspective mein EUR/USD ko buy karna acha ho sakta hai, jiska goal 1.1000 tak growth dekhna hoga, aur phir full-fledged upward trend ke liye move karna hoga, jahan bulls ka target pehle ke local maximum 1.1270 tak ho sakta hai.
Agar EUR/USD aur GBP ka downward movement continue hota hai, to

EUR/USD pair abhi prevailing bullish sentiment experience kar raha hai, aur future gains ki potential abhi poori tarah realize nahi hui. Aaj kai key drivers hain jo pair ke movement ko influence kar sakte hain, khaaskar European Central Bank (ECB) ka monetary policy decision jo 15:15 GMT par announce hoga, followed by a press conference.

Investors aur traders dono hi ECB meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke aise events aksar significant market catalysts hote hain. Potential policy shifts ya clarifications from ECB officials ke expectation se hi market volatility badh sakti hai aur trading strategies ko influence kar sakti hai. Typically, market participants aise events se pehle apne exposure ko adjust karte hain ya speculative positions lete hain based on anticipated outcomes.

Is waqt, pair ke price mein downside ki taraf ek minor retracement nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh temporary pullback kuch market participants ke nazdeek ek opportunity hai bullish positions enter ya add karne ka potentially more favorable prices par. Retracement ki shallow nature yeh suggest karti hai ke underlying bullish momentum robust hai, despite short-term fluctuations.

ECB ke monetary policy decisions aur accompanying statements ko market participants closely scrutinize karte hain for insights into future economic conditions aur policy directions within the Eurozone. Factors jaise interest rate decisions, changes in quantitative easing programs, aur forward guidance jo ECB officials provide karte hain, significantly impact karte hain currency valuations, including the EUR/USD pair.

Technical analysis perspective se, traders key support levels aur resistance zones ko monitor kar rahe hain in anticipation of potential breakout ya reversal patterns following the ECB's announcements. Technical indicators aur chart patterns ki effectiveness depend karti hai on how market participants interpret aur react karte hain to fundamental news aur events jaise central bank meetings.

Broader economic context mein, developments jaise inflation data, employment reports, aur geopolitical tensions bhi EUR/USD pair ki trajectory ko influence kar sakti hain. Yeh external factors overall market sentiment aur risk appetite ko contribute karte hain, jo currency flows aur exchange rates ko affect karte hain.

Traders jo short-term opportunities pe focus karte hain, unke liye ECB press conference ke dauran volatility actionable insights provide kar sakti hai into market sentiment shifts aur trading opportunities. Strategies include kar sakti hain leveraging volatility through options, scalping on intraday price movements, ya positioning for longer-term trends based on fundamental developments.

Overall, jabke EUR/USD pair ECB meeting ke lead-up mein bullish bias exhibit kar raha hai, market participants ko potential surprises ya sentiment shifts ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye jo current trajectory ko alter kar sakte hain. Jaise hamesha, prudent risk management aur economic indicators aur central bank policies ke bare mein informed rehna currency markets ko effectively navigate karne ke liye crucial hai.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Filhal, is hafte tejarati sargarmi ke bare me koi yaqini nahin hai. Euro/dollar ka joda 1.09120-1.09270-1.07860-1.07710 ki haftawar range me karobar karna jari rakh sakta hai. Bahut se long hafte ke wast ka intezar kar rahe hain, jis se qimaton me mazbut utar-chadhaw ki ummid hai. Haftawar trading range ki bialndi, 1.09120 aur 1.09270 ki satahon se short positions par gaur kiya ja sakta hai. Aaj ki 1.08490 ki nichli satah, 1.08240 ki satah aur 1.07860 aur 1.07710 par range ki nichli hadd se long jana relevant hoga. Wazeh signal ki surat me, haftawar range ki taraf badhne ki tawaqqo me 1.08490 ke nishan par long ya short positions kholna mumkin hoga. Yah is hafte ka behtarin option hoga. Market me utar-chadhaw me izafe ki wajah se is hafte range ke kinaron se karobar karna kafi khatarnak hai.

EUR/USD ek descending triangle mein trade kar raha tha pehle ke rising dikhaye, jo ke is chart pattern ke height ke barabar ek rise dikhata hai. Price pichle resistance level par gir gayi, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Fibonacci Extension tool ke mutabiq following upside targets hain, aur pair ne 38.2% stretch ka tajurba kiya second psychological level 1.0750 par. Mazid bullish momentum ise 50% Fibonacci level 1.0762 tak ya 61.8% Fibonacci level tak push kar sakta hai, jo swing high 1.0775 ke saath coincide karta hai. 76.4% level 1.0790 par hai, aur full extension 1.0815 par hai. Overall, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke oopar cross hua hai, jo confirm karta hai ke rally strengthened hai na ke falling. Moving averages bhi triangle ke broken tip ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko mazid taqat deta hai. Magar, Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neechay move kar raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur possible selling pressure return ko dikhata hai. Oscillator ke paas abhi bhi neechay move karne ki kafi gunjaish hai seller fatigue reflect karne se pehle. Dusri taraf, RSI ke paas abhi bhi upar move karne ki gunjaish hai overbought region tak pohanchne se pehle, jo buyer fatigue ko dikhata hai aur rally ko jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai.
Is haftay ke aakhir mein, US non-farm payrolls report release hogi, jo June mein weak employment show karne ki tawakku hai. Agar aisa hota hai, tou dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai jab traders dobara federal government se monetary policy ko ease karne ki demand karte hain. Weak fundamental data, jaise ke labor force participation rate aur average hourly earnings bhi dollar ki direction ko affect kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD Ke Keemat Ka Jaiza

Humari guftagu mein hum EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ke rawaiye ko tajzi kar rahe hain. H4 chart par EUR/USD currency pair ka tajarba ye hai ke isne apni flat correction phase mukammal kar li hai, jo ke connecting wave "X" ke tor par pehchana gaya hai. Is phase ne mukammal taur par local oversold situation ko hal kar diya hai. Aane wale haftay mein, main EUR/USD mein mazeed girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo ke established downward channel ke andar doosre descending zigzag "Y" ko shakal de sakta hai. Is potential bearish correction ke target zone ka daura 1.0774 se lekar 1.0799 tak hai, jo ke pichli impulse ki price range se 50-62% Fibonacci retracement zone ke saath mutabiq hai. EUR/USD ke growth potential mein wazeh izafa hai, jo ke is waqt ki rok tham ko samjhata hai. Market ke shirkat daron ko maaloom hai ke Non-farm Payrolls report ka intezar hai.




Federal Reserve ki meeting bhi sirf isi pair par asar andaz ho sakti hai jab data jumeraat ko aayega. Agar data tawaqo se zyada ho jaye, masalan 184 ke bajaay 229, to ye Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein girawat ka ishara hoga aane wale haftay mein. Is natijay mein market agle Federal Reserve meeting par rate cut ki tawaqo rakh sakti hai. Ye manazir Federal Reserve committee members ke typical strategy ko aksar dikhate hain, jo ke wazeh aur seedhe tareeqe se kaam karte hain. EUR/USD ke mamlay mein bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ki irada hai, lekin fundamental factors mein tabdeeli bearish trend ka sabab bhi hosakti hai. Lekin aisi tabdeeli zyada tar ek correction hogi, aik mukammal u-turn nahi. Hal hi mein shuru shuda movement ne is disha mein izafa kiya hai aur mujhe is rukh ki mazbooti ka imkan hai. Jab hum mazeed aasan trading levels ke qareeb aate hain, to humne kai koshishon ki koshish ki hai ke rukh palat jaye, jisey kai pairs ne nazar andaz kiya. Aaj, market ko fundamental factors ke saath milna chahiye jo ane wale market dynamics ko bayan karenge.

EUR/USD Ka 1.0860 Ke Qareeb Mazbooti Dikhana

Pehle Monday Asian trading mein, EUR/USD pair ne khaas mazbooti dikhayi aur 1.0860 ke aas-paas bana raha. Ye harkat Euro ke US Dollar ke muqablay mein positive outlook ko zahir karti hai, jo mukhtalif economic factors aur market ki tawaqoat se mutasir hai. Federal Reserve ka key inflation measure, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, June mein pichle saal ke muqablay mein 2.5% barh gaya. Ye izafa Fed ke liye ahm hai kyun ke ye aane wale monetary policy decisions, including interest rate changes, ko asar andaz karta hai. Inflation measure ka izafa ongoing inflationary pressures ko zahir karta hai, jo Fed ko interest rates barqarar rakhne ya barhane ka raasta de sakta hai taake inflation ko control kiya ja sake. Halankeh Euro ki mojooda mazbooti ke bawajood, European Central Bank (ECB) ke dobaara rate cut ka khauf hai. Ye mumkin hai ke Euro par niche ki taraf pressure daal sakti hai. ECB ki monetary policy decisions Euro ki value ko doosri currencies ke muqablay mein seedha asar andaz karti hain. Agar ECB dovish stance apnata hai ya additional rate cuts ka ishara deta hai, to ye Euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo Forex market mein uski performance ko mutasir karega.

Economic Data Releases: Eurozone se haali mein aayi data mixed economic performance ko dikhati hai, kuch sectors mein growth aur kuch mein challenges, khaaskar manufacturing mein. Us ke muqablay mein, US economy ne steady job growth aur consumer spending ke sath resilience dikhayi hai, jo US Dollar ko support karti hai.

Geopolitical Events:Jari geopolitical tensions, khaaskar trade relations aur international conflicts, currency movements par aham asar daalti hain. Eurozone mein stability aur doosri regions mein uncertainty Euro ko investors ke liye attractive bana sakti hai.

Central Bank Policies: ECB aur Fed ke darmiyan monetary policies ka farq ek critical factor hai. Fed ka inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rates barhane ka rujhan ECB ke economy ko stimulate karne ke liye rate cuts ke potential se mukhtalif hai. Ye farq aksar EUR/USD exchange rate mein fluctuations ka sabab banta hai.

Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment aur risk appetite bhi ek aham role ada karte hain. Uncertainty ke doran, investors safe-haven currencies, jaise ke US Dollar, ki taraf move karte hain, jo Euro par pressure daal sakta hai.

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD:Technical taur par, EUR/USD pair 1.0900 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jabke support 1.0800 ke qareeb hai. Technical indicators jaise moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) short term mein cautiously bullish trend ko suggest karte hain. Lekin major economic announcements ya central bank policies mein tabdeeliyan significant volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain.

Future Outlook and Predictions:Aane wale waqt mein, EUR/USD pair economic data releases aur central bank communications ke liye sensitive rahega. Traders aur investors Eurozone ke inflation data, US employment reports, aur ECB aur Fed ke statements ko closely monitor karenge. In events ki market interpretation short-term mein EUR/USD pair ka direction determine karegi.

Currency pair ne Friday ki New York session ke doran noticeable recovery dekhi, jo recent decline se tezi se wapas aya jo ek din pehle 1.0870 ke qareeb seven-week high ko choo gaya tha. Yeh pair support dhoond raha tha jab US Dollar (USD) mein corrections aayi thi, jo ke upcoming US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for June ke hawale se uncertainty ke asar se thi. Yeh data release inflation trends pe roshni daal sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ki future policy decisions ko influence karega.

**EUR/USD ke fundamentals:**

Critical resistance level of 106.10 ko breach karne ki koshishen market hesitancy ke wajah se resist hui hain, jo ke key economic data releases ke hawale se thi. Agar inflation figures softer-than-expected hui toh yeh expectations ko sway kar sakti hain towards earlier Fed rate cuts, jo typically USD pe downward pressure dalti hain. Waisa hi, agar economic indicators robust hue toh yeh more restrained Fed stance ko reinforce kar sakte hain.

Market consensus abhi Fed ke September se interest rate reductions commence karne ke hawale se lean kar raha hai, aur further cuts later in the year anticipate ki ja rahi hain. Yeh cautious optimism broader concerns ko underscore kar raha hai over potential policy divergences between Fed aur European Central Bank (ECB). Aise divergences ko investors closely monitor karte hain, jo major currency pairs jaise EUR/USD ki relative strengths ko impact karte hain.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair ko immediate technical challenges ka saamna hai. Key resistance levels mein 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0855 aur recent range ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.0870 shamil hain. Agar yeh levels ko decisively breakout kar leta hai toh yeh further upside ke liye raah bana sakta hai towards the upper boundary of a descending channel around 1.0880, jo potentially psychological barrier at 1.0900 ko target kar sakta hai.



Technically, EUR/USD consolidation phase navigate kar raha hai, jo ke daily candlestick patterns mein evident hai. Pair ek descending channel ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, with underlying support near the bearish side of the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at approximately 1.0816.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Main hourly chart par EUR/USD currency pair ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Jab 1.09052 ka resistance break hua, mujhe ummed thi ke pair maximum 1.09833 ke resistance tak ja sakta hai. Aam taur par, main is resistance tak barhne ki tawaqo kar raha tha, lekin is se pehle hi seller ne volume ko barhaya aur mujhe laga ke shayad pair pehle hi reverse ho sakta hai. 1.09052 ka support toot gaya, aur is range mein ek range form hui, seller ne phir se volume ko barhaya aur mujhe laga ke pair 1.08216 ke support tak ja sakta hai. Ye support tak pohnch gaya, seller volume ko barhata raha, lekin recently buyer ke volume mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Aapko lagta hai ke resistance 1.09052 tak barhna mumkin hai.

1.0835 ka false breakout hua aur is ke baad growth continue honi chahiye. Ye dekhte hue ke 1.0870 ka range break nahi hua, is se girawat continue hogi. Jab hum 1.0870 ka range break karenge, tab growth aage barhegi. Shayd buyers rate ko mazboot karne mein kamiyab hon aur 1.0870 ko break kar sakein, to uske baad growth continue hogi. Agar hum 1.0870 ka range break karne aur uspe consolidate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to ye buy signal hoga. Shayd buyers 1.0895 ka range break karne aur uspe rehne mein kamiyab hon, to ye bhi buy signal banega.

Overall, agar 1.0870 ka range break hota hai aur uspe stability aati hai, to isse pair ki growth ko support milega. Lekin agar market is range ko break karne mein na kamiyab rahe, to girawat continue ho sakti hai. Toh, buyers ko dekhna hoga ke kya wo 1.0895 aur 1.09052 ke resistance levels ko break karne mein kamiyab hote hain ya nahi, kyun ke ye factors future growth ke liye key honge.

General Points

Jumeraat ko EUR/USD market mein akhir ke waqt aik significant girawat dekhi gayi, jiska matlab hai ke market 1.0860 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai. Ye ek support level hai kyunki 1.0875 level se bullish move ki ummeed hai. Is liye, main EUR/USD market mein buy entry lene ka mashwara deta hoon aur apna target 1.0882 set karne ki salahiyat rakhta hoon. Lekin, humein USA aur Washington trading sessions ke doran apni trading strategy ko adjust karna hoga kyunki EUR/USD market 1.0835 level tak gir sakti hai.



Technical Overviews with the Daily Time Frame Pattern

Daily chart se aaj market ka sideways trend zahir ho raha hai. Aam taur par, market 1.0860 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai. Ye ek support level hai kyunki 1.0875 level se bullish move ki ummeed hai. Is liye, ye specific level aik pivot point ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo market sentiment ka bearish se bullish shift ko darshata hai. Isliye, main EUR/USD market mein buy entry lene ka mashwara deta hoon aur apna target 1.0882 rakhta hoon. Ye target strategically rakha gaya hai taake anticipated bullish momentum se faida uthaya ja sake jab 1.0875 ka resistance break hoga. Lekin, humein USA aur Washington trading sessions ke doran apni trading strategy ko adjust karna hoga kyunki EUR/USD market 1.0835 level tak gir sakti hai. In sessions ke doran market aksar mukhtalif economic data releases aur geopolitical factors ke asar se tabdeel hoti hai. Traders ko increased volatility aur potential reversals ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Market indicators ko monitor karna aur in sessions ke doran news se updated rehna waqt par adjustments ke liye insights faraham kar sakta hai.

Hello, EUR/USD ne teesre din ke liye bhi izafa dekha aur Monday ko Asian session ke doran 1.0860 ke qareeb trade kiya. Daily chart ka tajziya karne se pata chalta hai ke pair ek descending channel ke andar positioned hai, jo ke bearish bias ko darshata hai. EUR/USD ne Thursday ko do din se 100-period simple moving average ko dobara hasil karne mein nakami dekhi aur Relative Strength Index 4-hour chart par 50 se neeche chala gaya, jisne buyers ki interest ko barhaya.

Niche ki taraf, 100-day aur 200-day SMAs ek mazboot support area banate hain jo 1.0740 ke paar 1.0800-1.0790 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement of the latest uptrend) aur 1.0700 (psychological level, static level) tak extend karta hai. Resistance 1.0860 (100 period SMA), 1.0880 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.0900 (psychological level, static level) par dekha ja sakta hai. Thursday ko 1.0870 tak recover karne ke baad, EUR/USD ne apni momentum kho di aur din ke aakhri mein unusually low band hua. 1.0850 ke neeche, US Dollar ko ache data releases ka faida hua. Friday ke shuruat mein risk sentiment behtar nazar aa raha tha, lekin euro buyers ko attract karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha tha. U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis ne Thursday ko report kiya ke United States ka gross domestic product second quarter mein 2.8 percent ke annual rate se barh gaya, jo ke pehli estimate ke sath mail khata hai.



Ye print pehle quarter ke 1.4% growth ke baad aaya aur market forecasts of 2% se kaafi zyada tha. GDP reading jo expected se zyada mazboot thi aur Wall Street par mixed action ne USD ko major rivals ke against resilient banaye rakha. US trading hours ke doran EUR/USD ke izafe ko limit kiya. Baad mein din ko, BEA June ke personal consumption expenditures price index data release karega. GDP report ne dikhaya ke core personal consumption expenditures ka price index quarterly basis par 2.9 percent barha, jo pehle quarter ke 3.7 percent ke izafe se kam hai lekin analysts ke 2.7 percent ke andazay se zyada hai. Quarterly PCE inflation data June ke PCE price index ko dhyan mein rakhta hai, isliye monthly reading par market ka reaction shayad muted hoga.

EUR/USD chart ke tajziye mein kuch key support aur resistance levels hain jin par traders ko dhyan dena chahiye. Pehla aham support level 1.0937 ke qareeb hai, jo 1.0916 ke low se 1.0972 ke high tak ke upward move ka 50% Fibonacci retracement hai. Ye level is liye important hai kyunki Fibonacci retracement levels aksar strong support ya resistance ka kaam dete hain market psychology ke wajah se. Agar price 1.0937 ke niche girti hai, to ye bearish move ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke further decline ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Ek aur aham support area pivot point range ke 1.0880 se 1.0926 ke aas-paas hai. Pivot points traders ke liye zaroori hain kyunki ye market ke potential turning points ko darshate hain. Agar price is pivot range ke niche girti hai, to short-term move ke liye 1.0873 level tak ki door khul sakti hai.

Filhal, EUR/USD 1.0860 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo is baat ka izhaar karta hai ke pair par khaas taur par selling pressure hai, zyada tar US Dollar ki Euro ke muqable mein strength ki wajah se. Agar Dollar apni strength barhata raha, to EUR/USD pair further decline dekh sakta hai critical support levels ki taraf.

Overall, trend bearish nazar aata hai, khas taur par agar prices significant support levels ke upar rehne mein nakam rahti hain. Dollar ki strength ek key factor hai, aur Euro ki weakness bearish sentiment ko barhawa deti hai. Traders ko economic indicators aur news ko closely monitor karna chahiye jo US Dollar aur Euro ko influence kar sakti hain, jaise interest rate decisions, economic data releases, aur geopolitical events.

Agar hum potential targets ki baat karein, to 1.0860 ke niche break hone par agla level 1.0800 ke aas-paas dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ek psychological barrier hai aur iski round number nature ki wajah se kuch support provide kar sakta hai. Agar ye breach ho jaye, to further declines 1.0750 ya even 1.0700 tak extend ho sakti hain.

Currency pair Friday ko familiar boundaries ke andar raha, Euro tight range mein 1.0850 mark ke upar trade kar raha tha. Jaise hi traders aham economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, market ka momentum subdued rehne ki umeed hai. Is level ke aas-paas consolidation ek anticipation period ko darshata hai, kyunki market participants upcoming releases ke liye tayar ho rahe hain jo currency flows ko influence kar sakti hain.

Fed Governor's Stance aur Key Data Release:

Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ne pichle hafte ke trading session mein Federal Reserve ki stance par roshni daali. Bowman ne aakhri saal ke liye kisi bhi interest rate cut ki ummeed ko rad kar diya. Unhone kaha ke is waqt rate cuts nafrat ke laayak hain. Unhone ye bhi zikar kiya ke agar disinflationary process ruk jaye ya ulta ho, to additional rate hikes bhi consider kiye ja sakte hain.

Aage dekhte hain, sabki nazar US core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index release par hogi. Ye index, jo Federal Reserve ka preferred inflation gauge hai, central bank ke future monetary policy par critical insights provide karne ki umeed hai. Core PCE data is saal ke interest rate adjustments ke timing aur magnitude ko determine karne mein pivotal hoga.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD ke Key Support aur Resistance Levels

Pair immediate support 1.0800 ke psychological level par dekh sakta hai. Agar is point se decline hota hai to bearish pressure barh sakta hai, jo pair ko agle support level 1.0770 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar downward trend continue hota hai, to currency pair descending channel ke lower boundary ke 1.0740 ke aas-paas aa sakta hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karega.




Technical Analysis Chart

Uske muqable, pair ko 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par resistance ka samna hai jo 1.0858 par hai. Agar is level ke upar breakthrough hota hai to pair 1.0900 mark ko test kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, successful breach se pair descending channel ke upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 1.0910 level ko reach kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair abhi bhi bullish trend mein hai kyun ke hum dekh sakte hain ke EMA 50 abhi bhi SMA 200 ke upar hai. Magar, yeh mumkin hai ke downward correction phase trend direction ko bearish mein badal de. Kyun ke jo price support (2) 1.0824 ke rejection ke baad upar bounce hui thi, woh wapas EMA 50 ke upar nahi ja sakti. Is ke bajaye, price neeche giri aur support (S1) 1.0854 ke aas-paas close hui, jo ke shayad support (2) 1.0824 ko test karne ke liye guzar jaye. Price pattern structure abhi bhi higher high - higher low dikhata hai kyun ke low prices 1.0806 mein structure break nahi hui hai.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram volume jo ke negative area mein level 0 ke qareeb hai, EUR/USD pair price ko neeche correct hone ke liye zyada support nahi kar raha. Magar, agar histogram phir se red ho jaye aur volume negative area mein widen ho jaye, to downward price correction jari reh sakti hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke levels 50 aur 80 ke darmiyan hain, abhi koi pakka indication nahi dete. Kyun ke pehle ke parameters cross hue hain magar abhi bhi level 50 aur level 80 ke darmiyan hain, yeh price movement ke saturation point ka indication nahi dete.

Trading options bullish trend direction ko follow kar sakti hain kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan distance abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai, death cross signal aane ka imkaan kam hai. Yani ke price movement ki tendency increase hone ki taraf hai, to BUY entry position place karein jab price support (2) 1.0824 par wapas aaye. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameters ka cross hona level 50 aur level 20 ke darmiyan dekhna hoga. AO indicator ka histogram kam az kam level 0 ko cross karke positive area mein jaaye to uptrend momentum indicate kare. Qareebi take profit support (S1) 1.0854 ya EMA 50 par place karein aur door se door take profit pivot point (PP) 1.0901 par rakhain. SMA 200 jo ke is waqt dynamic support hai, use stop loss place karne ke liye istemal karein.

Friday ko American trading session ke doran, EUR/USD pair US core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data release ke baad 1.0870 tak barh gaya. Is report ne dikhaya ke June mein inflation pressures expected se zyada kam ho gayi thi, core PCE monthly basis par sirf 0.1% barha aur annual basis par 2.6% barha. Inflation mein is moderation se yeh lagta hai ke underlying price pressures kam ho rahe hain, jo Federal Reserve ke future monetary policy par significant impact daal sakta hai.




Core PCE Price Index Fed ke liye ek key inflation measure hai kyunki ye volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, jo long-term inflation trends ko clearer picture deta hai. Core PCE ka lower-than-anticipated rise dikhata hai ke pichle saal Fed ke aggressive rate hikes ab inflation ko control karne mein asar dikhane lagi hain. Yeh data investors aur analysts ke beech speculation ko barha sakta hai ke Fed shayad apni rate-hiking cycle ko pehle khatam karne ya rate cuts consider karne ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Fed ke interest rate cuts aam tor par US dollar ki depreciation ko lead karte hain kyunki lower rates investments ke returns ko kam kar dete hain, jis se doosri currencies relatively zyada attractive ho jati hain. Is potential monetary policy shift ka currency markets par broad implications ho sakta hai, aur EUR/USD pair aise changes ke market sentiment ke saath react karega. Recent data ne euro ko dollar ke muqable mein majboot kiya hai, jo investors ki expectations ko reflect karta hai ke Fed aage chal kar zyada dovish stance le sakta hai.

Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke ek mahine ke data jo inflation slowdown ko show karta hai, usse ek sustained trend dekhna hoga before any significant policy shifts. Agle economic reports aur data releases ko closely monitor kiya jayega yeh jaanne ke liye ke yeh inflation moderation temporary hai ya ek persistent trend ka shuruat. Fed ka decision-making process data-dependent rahega, jo inflation control karne aur economic growth ko support karne ki zaroorat ko balance karega.

Summary mein, US core PCE Price Index data for June ne inflation slowdown ko reveal kiya, jisse EUR/USD pair ne climb kiya kyunki market participants Fed ke potential interest rate cuts ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh development inflation trends, monetary policy, aur currency movements ke interconnectedness ko highlight karti hai. Evolving economic landscape investors ke liye ek focal point rahega jab wo Fed ke future actions aur US dollar aur doosri currencies par unke implications ko assess karenge.