eur/usd

EURUSD Currency Pair Mein Substantial Decline
EURUSD currency pair mein substantial decline ne crucial support levels ko break kar diya, jo ke current bearish sentiment ko market mein indicate karta hai. 100-SMA aur 20% retracement midline ke cross hone se bears ko control mil gaya hai, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke volatility lower convergence range 1.0843 ke aas paas constrained rahegi. 200-day SMA 1.0820 par aur 38.8% Fibonacci retracement crucial support levels honge jo pair ke agle move ko determine karenge.
H4 Chart Analysis
H4 chart par, inverted head and shoulders pattern ne potential reversal ka ishara diya hai agar conditions meet hoti hain. Descending triangle structure 1.0865 par ek crucial level hoga jise dekhna zaroori hai, aur psychological resistance 1.0860 par breakthrough further gains ka raasta khol sakta hai. Buyers jo 1.0855 ka target kar rahe hain, unhe resistance face karna parega, aur monthly swing zone 1.0895 aur 1.0810 ke darmiyan reversal ka risk hoga. Despite different factors, upcoming US index news expected hai ke initially pair ko monthly low tak push karegi, jis se sellers 1.0715 ko target kar sakte hain. Agle hafte unemployment data baqi hurdles ko 1.0684 par overcome kar sakti hai. Forthcoming US index aur unemployment data market dynamics ko bohot ziada influence karegi.
Trading Environment
Trading environment increasingly complex hoti ja rahi hai, aur traders ko vigilant rehna hoga aur potential changes ke liye tayyar rehna hoga. EURUSD pair currently strong bearish momentum exhibit kar raha hai, aur crucial support aur resistance overall outlook ko shape kar rahe hain. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye 100-SMA, 150-day SMA, aur Fibonacci retracement levels valuable insights ke liye. H4 timeframe mein inverted head and shoulders pattern aur descending triangle structure 1.0875 par crucial technical indicators hain jinhe closely dekhna zaroori hai. Upcoming economic data, khaaskar US se, significantly pair ki direction ko influence karegi. Informed reh kar aur flexible approach maintain kar ke, traders effectively current trading landscape ko navigate kar sakte hain, feeling empowered aur in control of their decisions.
Conclusion
EURUSD pair mein bearish sentiment ke bawajood, market dynamics bohot ziada dependent hain upcoming US economic data par. Technical indicators jese ke SMA aur Fibonacci retracement levels ko closely monitor karna bohot zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. H4 chart ke patterns aur structures ko dekh kar potential reversals aur breakouts identify kiye ja sakte hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna hoga aur market ki volatility aur news events ke mutabiq apni strategies adjust karni hongi taake maximum profitability achieve ki ja sake aur potential losses minimize ho sakeinClick image for larger version

EUR/USD
Yeh hafta ke aakhir mein euro zyada ter baland raha, ek ahem nafsiyati satah 1.09 ke kareeb. Yeh maqam ahem hai, kyun ke kai bazari mushahideen is par ghoor karte hain. Abadi ki ghanat bazar mein himayat aur muzahamat ka aik bara rukawat bani hui hai. Agar euro 1.0920 satah se upar nikalne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh 1.10 satah ki taraf rasta bana sakta hai. Ulta, agar yeh mojooda rujhan ke saath neeche jata hai, to 1.08 satah par aham himayat milaygi.

Yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh bazar aksar bara catalysts ke darmiyan uljha rehta hai. To agar euro 1.10 ko pohanch jaye, to hairat ki baat nahi hogi. Lekin yeh abhi tak waeza nahi ke yeh buland satah barqarar rakh sakta hai ya nahi. Pichle kuch saalon se yeh bazar neutral raha hai, jo aage peechay hota rehta hai. Yeh pattern shayad barqarar rahega, jo arzi tajiron ke liye dilchasp bana raha hai. Lambi muddat ke lehaz se, euro aur amriki dollar ke darmiyan koi ahem tabdeeliyan intezar mein nahi hain. Agar Federal Reserve shuru karti hai rates kam karna, to yeh mumkin hai ke European Central Bank ke iqdamat ko follow karega, aur dono currencies ke darmiyan status quo barqarar rahega.

Nateejatan, hal hi mein euro ki bulandi ne isay 1.09 satah par buland risk mein daal diya hai. Is dauran bazar ka radd-e-amal dekhne laayak hoga. Agar 1.0920 satah se upar break hota hai, to mazeed faide ho sakte hain jo 1.10 ki taraf le jayenge. Lekin agar yeh fail hota hai, to 1.08 par himayat milaygi. Pichle do saalon ka bazari amal yeh darshata hai ke bunyadi soorat-e-haal ke darmiyan lagataar swings rehte hain, jo ke chhoti muddat ki trading strategies ke liye mauka fraham karte hain lekin lambi muddat ka nashaib o faraz madham rahega, kyun ke dono taraf ke central banks ka nizaam barqarar hai ke mojooda sorat-e-haal ko na badla jaye.

UR/USD, H4 Euro subha mein thoda sa upar tha Wednesday ko. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke aane wale dinon mein markets thoda weak rahenge kuch reasons ki wajah se. Sabse bada reason hai US mein Independence Day celebrations Thursday ko. Phir Wednesday ko UK parliamentary elections aur Friday ko upcoming jobs report bhi cautious atmosphere bana rahe hain kyunki traders euro ka next move assess karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.
Broader perspective se dekha jaye toh euro major points ke beech oscillate kar raha tha: 1.07, 1.08 aur 1.09. Ye points hot spots ban gaye hain aur recent market actions ka major part hain. Agar recent swing low ke neeche break ho jaye toh 1.06 level tak return ho sakta hai. Lekin abhi ke liye, traders short-term back-and-forth trading mein busy lag rahe hain.

European Central Bank ke recent rate cuts ne already speculation ko badhawa diya hai ke Federal Reserve bhi aisa hi kuch karega. Upcoming jobs report market ke liye ek key indicator hogi, jo decide karegi ke Federal Reserve apni policy adjust kar sakta hai ya nahi. In key issues par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki inka Euro ki movement par significant impact hota hai. Current scenario ko dekhte hue, trading short-term options tak limited rehne wali hai, jo ke summer trading plans ka typical feature hota hai.

Summary mein, Euro relatively volatile hai, aur important events in US aur UK market ko calm kar sakte hain aane wale dinon mein. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par focus karna chahiye, aur short-term momentum par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur action report ke naye guidance ke liye caution aur strategy ko exploit karna chahiye, jo ke summer shopping season ka characteristic hota hai. 4o

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. H4 chart par EUR/USD pair ke liye, aik technical correction Fibonacci levels tak neeche ideal hoga kyunki peak par khareedna mashwara nahin hai. Do hafton se zyada ke EUR/USD ke barhne ke doran, humne aik bhi H4 technical correction nahi dekha hai. Sawal yeh hai ke yeh correction ab hali levels se shuru hoga ya hum agle daily resistance zone tak oonchay jaenge. Theory ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai, lekin hamare pass agle haftay ke peer ko Powell ka taqreer hai aur unke comments ka pesh-e-nazar karna mushkil hai. Unki taqreer se pehle, humein market ke reaction ko nazdeek se dekhna hoga, aur yeh mumkin hai ke market flat rahe. Yeh meri raay hai; yeh 50-50 chance rehta hai. Pichle haftay mein euro ne khareedne walon ko mazeed barhne se khush kiya. U.S. mein jari shuda data tawakalzah se bura tha, jis ne keemat ko barhaya—na sirf euro ke khilaf balkay amm tor par market mein, jahan Canadian dollar numaya istisna tha.



Wave structure yeh ishara deta hai ke upri momentum hai, jahan MACD indicator upper buy zone mein barh raha hai aur apne signal line se ooper hai. Barhne ke structure mein paanch waves nazar aate hain, aur hum ab paanchve wave mein hain, haftay ko update kiya gaya hai aur pichle mahine se bhi ooper gaye hain, ek potential sell zone banate hue. Paanch waves aik cycle complete karte hain, jis mein MACD indicator par bearish divergence bana hai. Dusra CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche utarne ke liye tayyar hai, minor bearish divergence dikhate hue. Target Fibonacci grid ko pehle wave par lagane se pata chalta hai ke 161.9 aur 201 target levels ko poora kiya gaya hai. Har level neeche correction dekha, jis se khareedne ke positions ki wazahat nazar aati hai. Keemat ab horizontal resistance level 1.0914 tak pahunch chuki hai. Yeh level todne ki koshish kar sakti hai ya baghair tootay hi gir sakti hai.

EURUSD:
Technical perspective se dekhte huye, hum wedge pattern ke andar move kar rahe hain. Jaise ke pehle bataya gaya tha, wedge ke lower boundary se bounce karne ke baad, buyers ne apni success ko develop kiya aur quotes impulsively rise hone lage, upper boundary ki taraf jaate hue, price ko squeeze karte hue. Lekin, hafte ke shuru mein buyers ka start utna successful nahi tha. Bulls clearly north ki taraf price ko push karte karte thak gaye, isliye hum ek corrective movement dekh rahe hain. Mujhe northern trend ki recovery aur nearest target, jo upper boundary of the wedge hai, ka retest expected hai. Technically, yeh bohot khoobsurat lag raha hai, hum wedge pattern ko perfectly work kar rahe hain. Filhaal, medium-term perspective mein mujhe northern direction dikhai deta hai, halan ke kuch arsa pehle main fully bears ke favor mein tha, expecting lower boundary of the wedge ka breakthrough. Lekin, sellers ne apni positions hold ki, jo market ko uski unpredictability ke saath interesting banata hai.
Record highs, rising 0.1% each, jab ke Dow Jones 52 points up close hua, baad mein Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Senate mein ek statement diya. Points red mein hain. Unhone ishara diya ke Fed jald hi rate cut consider karega aur inflation ke easing signs par optimism dikhaya. Unhone kaha ke "further good data will increase our confidence that inflation is continuing to move toward 2%." Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data bhi is hafte expected hain jab ke earnings season shuru hone wala hai.

Daily chart ke development se judge karte huye, EUR/USD exchange rate ka development neutrality ki taraf wapas aa gaya hai aur bulls ke trend par control ko strengthen nahi karega jab tak resistance levels 1.0880 aur 1.0940 ki taraf moves na ho, jo EUR/USD pair ke trend ko support karte hain. Psychological resistance level 1.1000 ki taraf move overall upward trend ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Dusri taraf, isi period ke dauran, 1.0720 support level bears ke liye overall trend ko dominate karne ke liye important rehta hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke Eurodollar price sahi track par rahegi, Thursday ko release hone wale US inflation data ki reaction ka intezar karte hue.

EUR/ USD

EUR/USD currency pair 1.0800 level ke aas paas sideway trade kar raha hai, jabke investors US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke liye intezaar kar rahe hain jo Thursday ko release hoga. Economists core inflation (khoraak aur energy ko chhor kar) ke liye June mein 0.2% ki halki badhoti ki umeed kar rahe hain, jabke overall annual rate 3.3% se 3.1% tak kam hone ki sochi ja rahi hai. Monthly inflation rate mein bhi sirf 0.1% ki badhoti ka andaza hai. Market CPI data par nazar rakh raha hai, kyunki yeh Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke rukh ke baare mein clues de sakta hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne central bank ke 2% inflation target ko achieve karne ki commitment dohraayi hai aur jaldi interest rate cuts se savdhani baratne ko kaha hai, lekin unhone labor market mein thodi kami aur mumkin economic kamzori ko bhi maana.

CPI data aur Fed ke stance ke chakkar mein, EUR/USD pair 1.0800 support level ke upar ek chhoti trading range mein confined hai. CPI release se pehle market mein volatility rehne ki umeed hai, kyunki investors apne positions ko incoming data ke mutabiq adjust kar rahe hain. EUR/USD 4-ghante ke timeframe par bullish signals de raha hai. Ek key support zone 1.0785 par hai, jo 200-period SMA ke saath supported hai. Yeh level price decline ko reverse karne mein madadgar raha hai jab price 1.0670 tak gir gaya tha. Positive momentum ab bhi bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator bullish case ko support karta hai kyunki yeh apne signal line aur zero ke upar hai. Halankeh RSI thoda overbought market darshata hai, lekin yeh 70 se kafi neeche hai, jo yeh batata hai ke uptrend abhi tak intact hai. Ek potential pause ya consolidation aas paas ho sakti hai kyunki RSI flatten ho raha hai, lekin ek breakout bhi ho sakta hai. Agar buying pressure jaari raha, toh EUR/USD pehle ke high 1.0817 ko revisit kar sakta hai aur shayad 1.0850 ke aas paas settle ho. Agar 1.0900 ke psychological barrier ke upar decisive push hota hai, toh bullish outlook ko kaafi mazbooti milegi.

EUR/USD currency pair 1.0800 level ke qareeb sideways trade kar raha hai, jabke investors crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release se pehle wait-and-see approach apna rahe hain jo Thursday ko release hone wala hai. Economists anticipate kar rahe hain ke core inflation (food aur energy ke bagair) June ke liye modest 0.2% increase hogi, aur overall annual rate 3.3% se decelerate ho kar 3.1% hone ki umeed hai. Monthly inflation rate marginal 0.1% barhne ka prediction hai. Market keenly focus kar raha hai ke kya CPI data Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke rasta ke bare mein clues provide karega. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne central bank ki commitment ko reiterate kiya hai ke woh 2% inflation target achieve karne ke liye committed hain aur premature interest rate cuts ke khilaf caution diya hai, lekin unhone cooling labor market aur potential economic weakness ko bhi acknowledge kiya hai.

CPI data aur Fed ki stance ke hawale se uncertainty ke madde nazar, EUR/USD pair narrow trading range ke andar confined hai 1.0800 support level ke upar. Market CPI release ke lead-up mein volatile rehne ka imkaan hai jab investors apni positions ko incoming data ke basis par adjust karte hain. EURUSD 4-hour timeframe par bullish signals flash kar raha hai. Ek key support zone 1.0785 par hai, jo significant 200-period SMA se underpinned hai. Ye level price decline ko reverse karne mein madadgar sabit hua tha jab price 1.0670 tak dip ho gayi thi. Positive momentum ne persistence dikhayi hai, aur MACD indicator bullish case ko weight deta hai jabke woh apni signal line aur zero ke upar hai. Jabke RSI slightly overbought market ko suggest karta hai short-term mein, yeh 70 ke niche comfortably hai, jo ke uptrend ko intact hone ki indication deta hai. Flattening RSI ke karan potential pause ya consolidation ho sakta hai, lekin breakout follow kar sakta hai. Agar buying pressure continue karta hai, to EURUSD pehle ke high 1.0817 ko revisit kar sakta hai aur potentially 1.0850 ke aas-paas settle ho sakta hai. Ek decisive push above psychological barrier of 1.0900 bullish outlook ko significantly strengthen karega.

Market ko CPI release se pehle aur uske baad closely monitor karna hoga. Fed ki monetary policy aur economic data, dono ko traders ko dekhna hoga taake unko samajh aaye ke future movements kya ho sakti hain. Key support aur resistance levels ko dekhna aur unka breakout ya hold hona market ke sentiment ko strongly influence karega. Economic data aur Fed ke policies ko madde nazar rakhte hue trading strategies ko adjust karna zaroori hoga.

CPI data ke release se pehle, volatility ka high hone ka imkaan hai, aur investors apni positions ko adjust karte rahenge data ke basis par. Is dynamic environment mein informed decisions lena aur market ke developments par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga. Market sentiment, economic indicators aur Fed ki statements, sab ka role important hoga future movements ko shape karne mein. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko timely adjust karte rehna chahiye taake wo market ke fluctuations ka faida utha saken aur risks ko mitigate kar saken

Roznama "US Economic Data ka razeeb hone" se euro ke khilaaf US dollar ke khilaf aa gya hai. Yeh badalav America ki arzi maeeshat ke sehat se mutaliq afraat ko jhalkata hai aur Federal Reserve ke qarz ki dfa'at ko tezi se khatre mein dalta hai. Ahem nishanein ne ek pareshan kun tasveer pesh ki. June mein rozgar ki bunyadi muddaton ki tawajjo se dor reh gayi, jis mein ADP data ne zyada ter kamai kam darjno jaise dastiyab sektaron mein nuqsanat zahir kiye. Ibtidai jobless claim bhi barh gaya, aur ISM ki Khidmat PMI ne apni do saal ki kamzor tareen satah tak girne ki khabar di. Yeh data America ki arzi maeeshat mein rukawat ka ishara karta hai, jis ne dollar ki akhrajat ko kamzor kar diya. Jab US dollar kamzor hota hai, to euro ne mauqa pakar liya, jald hi 1.0800 ke level ko guzar gaya. Is manfi sentiment ko Eurozone ke milay julate data ne mazboot kiya. June ke liye pan-EU HCOB PMI ummed se zyada nikla, jis ne tijarat ke fa'al hone ki jari rakha. Lekin Eurozone mein May mein utpadak ke muqarrar prices se zyada tanaffus ho gaya. Anay wale US Independence Day holiday aur Jerman factory order data aane wale dinon mein currency pair par asar andaz hone wale hain. US markets band honge, jo patli trading gatividhi ko le kar chal sakte hain. Ummed hai ke Jerman factory orders May mein dubara tajdeed paa sakte hain, jo euro ke performance ko mazeed mutasir kar sakta hai.

Technical challenges aur mazeed faiday ke imkanat. Euro 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical rukawaton ka samna hai. Is zone ke ufaq par saaf tor par guzar jana ek tez izafa ki raah ban sakta hai, October 2023 ke uptrend line ke qareeb 1.0955 tak. Ikhtitam mein, euro ek sehat mand America ki arzi maeeshat aur Federal Reserve ki arzi maali policy ke imkanat se faida utha raha hai. Lekin technical resistance levels aur anay wale maali ijaadat dono America aur Europe mein euro ke faiday ko qaim rehne mein ahem honge.

**GBP/USD aur EUR/USD Paaron ki Technical Analysis**

**GBP/USD:**
Subah bakhair. Pound ka upward movement jaari hai aur ab yeh 1.27 mark ke upar consolidate ho chuka hai. Agay barhne ke liye, buyers ko 1.27765 level ke upar breakout aur consolidation karna hoga. Agar woh ismein kamiyab ho gaye, toh phir hum 1.28599 level ki taraf movement ki umeed kar sakte hain. Filhal sales ke liye kuch kehne ka nahi hai kyonki yeh upward trend hai bina rollbacks ke, aur sales ke liye kuch bhi nahi hai jise tie kiya ja sake.

**EUR/USD D1:**
1- Kal buyers ne Euro ko poori tarah se apne qaboo mein le liya tha aur aaj subah woh price ko aur bhi upward le ja rahe hain. Dekhna yeh hai ke woh kitna upar ja sakte hain. Bands ko dekhte huye, price upper band ke qareeb pohchi aur usay touch kiya, aur dono bands bahar ki taraf open ho rahi hain, jo ke price growth ke continuation ka signal deti hain. Is situation mein hum bas dekh sakte hain ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi. Fractals ko dekhte huye, price growth ka target nearest fractal upwards hai, uska breakout aur consolidation price ko June 4 ke fractal level 1.09149 ki taraf le jayega. Neeche ki taraf koi naya fractal nahi bana, aur price fall direction ke liye koi reliance karne ke liye, naya fractal ka intezar karna hoga.

2- AO indicator zero mark ke qareeb hai negative zone mein fade hone ke baad. Agar agle 2-3 trading dinon mein zero ke through transition dekhte hain, toh Euro ke growth ke liye ek stronger signal milega. Negative zone mein naya increase price fall ka signal dega.

**Updated Image**:
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**Conclusions:**
GBP/USD ka upward trend mazid barhne ke liye buyers ko 1.27765 level ke upar breakout karna hoga. EUR/USD mein Euro ke buyers price ko upward le ja rahe hain aur agar AO indicator zero ko cross karta hai, toh growth ke liye mazid strong signal milega.

Yeh analysis dono pairs ke movements aur indicators par mabni hai aur trade decisions ke liye helpful ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD H4

Hamari guftagu mein, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price changes ka tajziya karenge. Powell ne ECB forum par baat ki aur apni purani riwayat ke mutabiq US dollar ko "drop" kar diya, halaanki Lagarde ne us se pehle bolkar euro ko thoda support kiya tha. Powell ne kuch naya nahi kaha, lekin EUR/USD ne 1.0739 ka level break kar diya aur ab resistance 1.0749 ke qareeb hai. Critical resistance level, jo EMA-200 ke sath mark hai, 1.0759 par hai. Yeh wazeh nahi hai ke market ne Powell par aise kyun react kiya jab ke uski remarks groundbreaking nahi the. Usne kaha ke labor market mazboot hai, inflation 2% ke qareeb nahi hai, aur disinflation ke asaar hain. Lagarde ne bhi kaha ke inflation sahi direction mein move kar raha hai lekin yeh kahna ke yeh waise hi rahega, abhi jaldi hai. Powell ne zor diya ke Fed apne faislay lene mein jaldbazi nahi karega aur US aur Europe ki inflation mukhtalif masail hain jo mukhtalif approaches talab karte hain. Uske bawajood, market hesitant hai US dollar ko buy karne mein.



Europe mein siyasi developments ne market sentiment ko kaafi influence kiya hai, khaaskar European parliamentary elections ne jo ke Euro par confidence ko dent kar chuki hain. France ke faislay ke baad ke apni parliament ko dissolve kare aur snap elections karwaye, jaisa ke President Emmanuel Macron ne EU parliament elections mein substantial defeat ke baad kaha, ne market uncertainty ko barhawa diya. Marine Le Pen, jo ke National Rally se ek right-leaning conservative politician hain, ke Macron ko replace karne ke prospect ne financial markets ko stir kiya hai. Le Pen ke platform mein steep tax cuts, retirement age ko kam karna, aur stringent immigration controls shamil hain, jo ke France mein kaafi maqbooliyat hasil kar chuki hain.

Le Pen ki jeet ka potential European financial markets mein apprehension paida kar raha hai. Unki policies significant fiscal challenges impose kar sakti hain jab European economic indicators pehle hi underperform kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ko rate cuts implement karne mein constraints hain persistent inflation issues ki wajah se jo ke Eurozone mein hain.

Jumme ke trading session mein, currency pair ne notable movement dikhayi, teen hafton ka peak 1.0844 ko choo liya. Market close tak, price thori se retreat hui aur 1.0840 par band hui, jo ek bullish tendency ko signal kar rahi hai jis par investors ghore se nazar rakhe hue hain.

**Economic Data Aur Technical Resistance Ka EUR/USD Outlook Par Asar:**

Lower gasoline prices, building materials ki subdued demand, aur food services aur drinking places par sales ki decline significant drags rahe. In challenges ke bawajood, retail sales May mein slightly grow hui, April ke 0.2% contraction ko reverse karti hui (jo pehle stagnant performance thi). Lekin, growth rate modest thi 0.1%, jo 0.2% forecast se kam thi.

Koi bhi positive movement attempts EUR/USD pair mein fresh sellers ko attract karne ki umeed hai. Ye resistance gains ko 1.0850 confluence ke qareeb cap kar sakti hai, jo ek critical support-turned-resistance level hai. Agar ye pivotal point decisively clear hota hai, to ek short-covering rally ho sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko 1.0870 supply zone aur potentially 1.0900 mark tak propel kar sakti hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche dip hui hai, aur filhal 1.0793 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai. Ye shift bearish sentiment ko suggest karti hai aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karne ki importance ko underscore karti hai. EUR/USD ke liye support anticipate ki jati hai ke around 1.0731 hoga. Ye support levels potential downside risks ko assess karne ke liye critical hain.


Ye support level chart pattern ke upward-sloping order ke sath align karta hai, jo October 3, 2023, ke low 1.0447 se plot kiya gaya hai aur April 16 ke low ke horizontal cushion near 1.0600 se. Bearish outlook ko aur mazboot banate hue, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 se neeche gir gaya hai. Agar RSI is level se neeche sustain karta hai, to ye further bearish momentum ko signal kar sakta hai, jo traders ke liye cautious positioning ko prompt karega.

EUR/USD currency pair. Guzishta trading saptah mein qeemat kuch neechay ooper ho gai, jese keh ek aam chal rahi ho, bina kahin jaaye. Aur is hafte ne khareedaron ke liye musbat tareeqe se shuru hua, jisne ek qeemat ka farq paida kiya aur agay badha. Yeh maloom hota hai ke France ke chunav is par kuch asar andaz hotay hain. Tezi ke doran qeemat ne peechle aur peechle se pehle ki aala qeemat ko update kiya, lekin wahan qeemat tik nahin saki aur jaldi se neeche utri, ek jhooti tor par tootne ka signal mila - giravat ki taraf. Kyun ke yeh jhooti tor thi, is se aglay barhne ke wave ko nahin samjha jata. Hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke wave structure neechay ki taraf thi aur aisa lagta hai ke MACD indicator ne bhi is giravat ki taraf se pabandi na rakhi, woh upper purchase zone mein hi reh gaya.
Jaise keh maine umeed kiya tha, kal ek horizontal support level 1.0721 par giravat hui, jis se qeemat ne market ke khulne ke waqt ki qeemat ka farq hissa se cover kiya. Is level se shayad thora sa ooper ki taraf chalak aaya, lekin phir bhi mujhe yeh ummeed hai ke yeh neechay toot jaye ga. Abhi to hum sirf is level par khare hain, jo zyada khareedne wale ke liye maujood hai jo is level ko dekh rahe hain ke unko pani mein le jaaye. Neeche humare paas koi mazboot concrete support level 1.0666 hai. Teen hafton se qeemat ek hi jagah ko chunte hue nahin ja saki, maine ummeed ki thi ke kam az kam yeh update hoga, khareedne wale ke stops ko knock karne ke liye jo shayad wahan khare hain. Hum ooper gaye, ab hum neeche ja sakte hain, main yeh nahin maanta ke qeemat bas aise hi ooper jaayegi bina is 1.0666 level ko chuye.

Mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat wahan ki taraf tawajjo dikhayegi aur mein abhi sirf neechay kaam karne ka intikhab karta hoon. Aaj ke news mein se kuch cheezein note kar sakte hain: 12-00 Moscow time - Consumer price index (CPI) in the eurozone. 16-30 - Speech by the head of the US Federal Reserve System Jerome Powell. 17-00 - The number of open vacancies in the US labor market.

EUR/USD ne 1.0740 level ko toor diya hai aur ab 1.0750 tak resistance ke qareeb hai. EMA200 ke roop mein aik ahem resistance level 1.0760 par hai. Mujhe samajh nahin aata ke market Powell ke bayan par aisa kyun react kar raha hai, kyunki asal mein unhone kuch naya nahin kaha. Unhone September ke bare mein bhi khamoshi istemal ki aur kaha ke abhi bhi sudhar ki gunjaish hai aur mazdoor market ka haalat kaafi mazboot hai, aur mahangai 2% tak nahin pohanchi hai, walaqin yeh dikha rahi hai ke mahangai kam ho rahi hai. Lagarde bhi kehti hain ke mahangai sahi raaste par hai, lekin abhi kehna jaldi hai ke yeh barh nahin sakti. Powell kehta hai ke Fed apne faislay mein jaldi nahin kare ga aur keh raha hai ke US aur Europe ke mahangai mein farq hai, inko mukhtalif tareeqon se dekha jana chahiye. Unhone abhi bahut kuch kaha hai, lekin market US dollar ko is par bechnay mein jaldi nahin kar hota hai

Haal mein EUR/USD pair light holiday market ke doran consolidation phase se guzar raha hai, jo ke trading volumes aur market activity ke kam hone ka asar hai. Yeh sideways movement narrow range mein is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke traders naye saal se pehle significant positions lene se katra rahe hain. 18-day moving average jo 1.0840 par hai, ek central pivot point ke tor par kam kar raha hai, jo price ko apni taraf khench raha hai aur pair ko tight range mein rakh raha hai. Higher resistance levels, jaise ke 1.0882 aur 1.0874 ko test na kar paana yeh zahir karta hai ke market mein momentum ke kami hai jo breakout ko support kar sake
Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke policy announcements ka asar market ne absorb kar liya hai, jiska nateeja trading volumes mein kami ki surat mein nikla hai. Yeh kami market ko range-bound rakhne mein madadgar sabit ho rahi hai, aur yeh trend lag bhag early January tak barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Aise mein traders ko low volatility aur limited price movements ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Established range ke andar critical support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna intehai ahem hoga. Agar early January mein trading activity mein koi rebound hoti hai toh yeh breakout ka sabab ban sakti hai, lekin tab tak yeh pair apni maujooda boundaries mein hi hover karta rahega
EUR/USD pair is waqt consolidation phase mein hai aur narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke light holiday trading aur market activity ke kam hone ka nateeja hai. 50-day moving average jo 1.0886 par hai, ek central pivot ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jo ke pair ko 1.0856 aur 1.0824 ke darmiyan range-bound rakhta hai. Recent policy announcements ke baad transaction volumes mein kami ayi hai, aur yeh trend early January tak barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Traders ko critical support aur resistance levels par focus karna chahiye aur naye saal mein market activity mein potential rebound ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.



Holiday season ke doran, EUR/USD pair ka narrow range mein trade karna aur market activity ka kam hona yeh sab indicate karta hai ke traders naye saal se pehle bade positions lene se katra rahe hain. 18-day moving average jo 1.0840 par hai, yeh ek central pivot point ke tor par kaam kar raha hai jo price ko tight range mein rakhta hai. Higher resistance levels jaise ke 1.0882 aur 1.0874 ko test na kar pana yeh zahir karta hai ke market mein momentum ki kami hai jo breakout ko support kar sake. Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke policy announcements ka asar market ne absorb kar liya hai, jiska nateeja trading volumes mein kami ki surat mein nikla hai
Yeh kami market ko range-bound rakhne mein madadgar sabit ho rahi hai aur yeh trend early January tak barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Aise mein traders ko low volatility aur limited price movements ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Established range ke andar critical support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna intehai ahem hoga. Agar early January mein trading activity mein koi rebound hoti hai toh yeh breakout ka sabab ban sakti hai, lekin tab tak yeh pair apni maujooda boundaries mein hi hover karta rahega.

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, Euro (EUR) US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf ek neutral stance mein wapas aa gaya hai. Maujooda price action yeh sugaata hai ke na toh bulls aur na hi bears trend par control rakhte hain. Bulls ko control dobara hasil karne aur ek mazboot upward trend ki taraf ishara karne ke liye, EUR/USD pair ko resistance levels 1.0880 aur 1.0940 ki taraf move karna zaroori hai. Yeh levels ahmiyat rakhte hain kyun ke yeh ek psychological resistance level 1.1000 ki taraf mazeed move ko support karte hain. Is psychological barrier tak pohanch jana aur usse paar kar dena overall upward trend ki mazbooti ko tasdeeq karega
Aksar, agar bears control dobara hasil karne aur trend ko neeche le jaane ki koshish karen, to EUR/USD pair ko support level 1.0720 ko breach karna zaroori hai. Yeh level ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh pehle se hi ek strong support point ka kaam karta hai, jo further declines ko rokta hai. Agar price is level se neeche gir jaaye, to yeh indicate karega ke control bears ki taraf shift ho gayi hai, jo ke downward trend ki continuation ko bhi le ja sakta hai
Maujooda halat ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ki expected hai ke woh apne maujooda raste par jaari rahega jab tak agli US inflation numbers ke reaction na mile, jo ke kal, Thursday ko announce hone waale hain. Inflation data pair ke direction ko influence karne mein ahmiyat rakhega. Agar expectations se zyada inflation figures aayein, toh US Dollar ko mazbooti milti hai, jisse ke EUR/USD pair girne ki taraf ja sakta hai kyun ke market Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate hikes ki ummeed rakhta hai. Dusri taraf, expectations se kam inflation figures US Dollar ko kamzor kar sakte hain, jo Euro ko support de kar pair ko ooncha le ja sakta hai
Traders aur investors US inflation announcement ko nazdeek se monitor karenge, kyun ke yeh Federal Reserve ki future monetary policy direction ke liye critical insights provide karega. Is data release ki ummeed hai ke EUR/USD pair mein significant volatility ko induce karega, jo maujooda neutrality ko break karke trend ke liye ek saaf direction set kar sakta hai
Mukhtasar mein, EUR/USD pair ki immediate future US inflation numbers par depend karta hai. Is takraar tak, yeh neutral rehne ki ummeed hai, jahan tak ke 1.0880 aur 1.0940 resistance levels bulls ke liye key targets hain aur 1.0720 support level bears ke liye crucial hai. Inflation data ke reaction se pair ke next significant move ka faisla hoga.

EUR/USD W1 Analysis

Hello. Main EUR/USD pair ko weekly chart par dekh raha hoon. Main bhi decline expect kar raha hoon, lekin range ke andar. Main nahi samajhta ke previous lows update honge, aur maximum pair 1.05588 support tak jaayega sirf is liye kyunki inflation stabilize ho gaya hai. Main nahi samajhta ke pair is se aage jayega, bas agar inflation barhta hai toh pair neeche ja sakta hai.

Jab pair support 0.97008 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, European Central Bank ne monetary policy ko tighten karna shuru kiya. Aur jab pair resistance 1.11810 par tha, maine socha ke growth continue hogi lower border of the trend channel ko touch karne ke baad, lekin lower borders break ho gayi. Ab yeh pata chal gaya hai ke European Central Bank monetary policy tighten karna khatam kar raha hai. Uske baad, pair support 1.05588 tak pahunch gaya aur baad mein yeh pata chala ke Federal Reserve System monetary policy tighten karna khatam kar raha hai. Usne announce kiya ke woh monetary policy ko ease kar raha hai. Pair upar gaya, lekin phir pata chala ke inflation barh gaya aur pair un points par girna shuru ho gaya jahaan pata chala ke Federal Reserve System tightening cycle ko khatam kar raha hai, aur phir pata chala ke inflation stabilize ho gaya aur pair range mein move kar raha hai. Main samajhta hoon ke yeh range continue karega jab tak aise data release nahi hota jo dikhaye ke inflation stagnation se bahar aa raha hai. Aur latest inflation data ne 0.1% ka decrease dikhaya hai. Yeh choti si amount hai aur main nahi samajhta ke aise indicators stagnation se bahar aane ko dikhate hain, agar aise hi chalta raha toh iska koi sense nahi banega aur pair bhi range mein hi move karega. Further growth ke liye inflation mein achi kami chahiye.