یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD currency pair par tha, jisme maine 1.0701 ke level par tawajjo ki aur is par trading faislay ke baray mein socha. Chaliye 5-minute chart par dekhte hain aur dekhte hain ke wahan kya hua. 1.0701 par uthaal aur jhooti breakout formation ne sell signal diya, jiske natije mein pair mein sirf 10 points ki giravat hui, jiska baad euro par dabao kam hua. Lekin kharidar bhi zahir nahi hue. Technical picture din ke doosre hisse ke liye thoda sa taqreeban jaancha gaya
Eurozone se data mostly economists ke expectations ke mutabiq tha, jis ne market volatility ko mutasir kiya. Risk assets ke liye koi numayan darkwast nahi hai aur na koi wajah hai. Din ke doosre hisse mein, pehle maheene ke GDP volume aur initial jobless claims ke number ke data, sath hi durable goods orders aur trade balance ke figures, taqat ka balance tabdeel kar sakte hain. Lekin mujhe giravaton par amal karne ki pasand hai aur 1.0669 ke aas paas jhooti breakout ke baad – jo ke kal ke nateejon ne form kiya tha – support banega. Yeh long positions ke liye mozu munasib dakhilat point ban jaye ga takay 1.0704 ko update kiya ja sake – jo ke is subah ne acha kaam kiya tha. Is level se thoda ooper moving averages hain, jo ke sellers ke favor mein hain, is liye is range ke upar se breakout aur update se pair ko mazeed mazbooti mile gi jis se wo 1.0733 ki taraf uthne ki sambhavna se jurrat hasil kar sake ga. Sab se dooor ka maqsad 1.0761 par maximum hoga, jahan se main munafa hasil karunga. Is level ko test karna kharidar ko fawaid de ga. Agar EUR/USD mein giravat ho aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0669 ke aas paas koi sakhti na ho, to sellers market par qabza kar lenge aur sideways channel se bahar nikal jayenge. Is surat-e-haal mein, mein sirf tab dakhil ho ga jab 1.0642 ke aglay support ke aas paas jhooti breakout banega. Mein foran long positions kholne ka irada rakhta hun jo 1.0601 se wapis chalkar, din ke andar 30-35 points ki taraf upri sudhar ki taraf maqsad rakhte hain Sellers ne khud ko zahir kiya aur kaafi acha perform kiya hai aur ab yeh zaroori hai ke 1.0704 ke neechay rehna. Agar US data ke bullish market reaction ke mukhtalif maqasid hai, to 1.0704 par mudafat ka istemal aur wahan jhooti breakout ek munasib dakhilat point dega short positions ke liye, jis ka maqsad mazeed giravat ki taraf 1.0669 ke support par hoga, jo ke sideways channel ke Neechay ki had ka hissa ban raha hai. Is range ke neechay breakout aur is per jame hone ke baad, sath hi se barh kar bechnay ka aur naye nichay level par aik mazeed nuqta bechne ke liye dobara tayyar hoga, 1.0642 ke pass, jahan par main mazeed active buying ki ummid rakhta hun. Sab se dooor ka maqsad 1.0601 par minimum
EUR/USD ne is subah gap up ke sath opening ki aur Monday (1/7/2024) ko European trading session tak accelerate kiya. Gap up ke baad sharp increase strong momentum ka indication hai. Yeh 1-hour chart par MACD indicator se bhi dekha ja sakta hai jo signal line ke sath histogram mein upar ki taraf move kar raha hai.
EUR/USD Moving Average 20 (MA20, red line) aur Moving Average 50 (MA50, blue line) ke upar bhi move kar raha hai. Pehle, MA20 ne MA50 ko bottom se top tak cut kiya tha jo traders ke liye ek buy signal hota hai.

Mein EUR/USD currency pair ki mojooda keemat ke movement ka live analysis kar raha hun. Mein umeed kar raha hun ke EURUSD currency pair 1.0801 tak giray ga. Agar ghari kay chart mein ek rebound hoti hai, to mein kharidnay ka mashwara doon ga ek maqsood tak jaise ke 1.0845 ya shayad 1.0901 tak. Char ghanton ke chart par, kharidnay ke maqasid hal hain. Pehla maqsad, 161.8 Fibonacci level par hota hai, jo ke 1.0795 par hai, jo ke pehle se mumkin hai. Dusra maqsad, 261.8 Fibonacci level par hai, jo 1.0875 par hai. Teesra maqsad, 423.6 Fibonacci level par hai, jo 1.1005 ke mutabiq hai. Abhi saman 1.0821 par trade ho raha hai, sthanik uptrend rekha ke oopar, kharidnay ko pehla darja diya gaya hai. Lekin agar keemat sthanik uptrend rekha ko toor deti hai, to meri tawaju ko bechnay ki taraf munh kar doon ga.

Mein abhi EURUSD pair ki ultaan ka intezam nahi dekh raha, halan ke keemat jitna zyada resistance ko tornay mein larti hai, local ultaan hone ke zyada imkaanat hote hain. Lekin, ek zaroori cheez yeh hai ke market ke shirakeen Thursday ko US ke mahangai ke data ke tabadlay ka intezaar kar rahe hain, toh yeh ahem khabar jab baazi se EURUSD ke tehseel ko munjam hote hain. Agar Powell aaj koi ahem bayan karta hai, to kisi bhi barhti hui ya girti keemat asani se mumkin hai. Aaj, pair 1.0851 ya 1.0801 ka imtehan le sakta hai. Isliye, agle do ya teen din ke dauran pair ka harkat seemit nazar aata hai 1.0851-1.0801 ke darjo tak. Kisi anjaan waqiye ke ho jane tak, market Thursday tak rukhi rehne ki sambhavna hai, khas kar ke jab bohot saare traders chehre hai.

EUR/USD pair aaj ke opening level 1.0835 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur daily pivot level 1.0822 ke upar hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein bullish trend hai. Price 72-period Moving Average trend line ke upar hai, jahan aksar volume distribution hoti hai. Agar price 1.0840 ke upar jati hai, toh yeh north ki taraf move karega aur levels 1.0855 aur mumkin hai 1.0900 ko target karega. Key indicators bhi yeh dikhate hain ke market bullish trend mein hai. Yeh bhi dekhne ko milta hai ke agar price 1.0822 ke level se neeche jati hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke pair decline karte huye levels 1.0805 aur mumkin hai 1.0796 tak jaye. Yeh pivot level significant hai aur market ki movement ke liye ek critical point ban gaya hai.

Price ka 72-period Moving Average trend line ke upar hona bullish momentum ko support karta hai. Market mein volume distribution bhi indicate karti hai ke upward move ka potential strong hai. Yeh levels support aur resistance ke tor par kaam karte hain jo market ki direction ko influence karte hain.

Agar price 1.0840 ke level ko break karti hai, toh next target 1.0855 aur uske baad 1.0900 tak ho sakta hai. Yeh levels technical analysis mein important hain aur market participants ke liye decision making mein help karte hain.

Agar price 1.0822 ke neeche jati hai, toh market mein selling pressure barh sakta hai jo price ko neeche la sakta hai. Iss scenario mein, 1.0805 aur 1.0796 ke levels support ke tor par kaam kar sakte hain. Yeh levels potential buying interest generate kar sakte hain jo market ko stabilize kar sakte hain.

Daily pivot level 1.0822 ka hona ek crucial point hai jo market ki short-term direction ko define kar raha hai. Price movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake timely trading decisions liye ja sakein. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke risk management tools jaise ke stop-loss orders ko implement kiya jaye taake unexpected price moves se bacha ja sake.

72-period Moving Average ke upar price ka hona market sentiment ko bullish direction mein guide kar raha hai. Volume distribution bhi upward move ko support kar rahi hai, jo market mein buying interest ko highlight kar rahi hai.

Agar price 1.0840 ko break karti hai, toh market mein bullish continuation dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo 1.0855 aur 1.0900 ke targets ko achieve kar sakta hai. Agar price 1.0822 se neeche jati hai, toh market mein downward pressure barh sakta hai jo 1.0805 aur 1.0796 ke levels ko test kar sakta hai.

Filhal, chaar-ghantay ke chart par ye nazar aata hai ke pichle hafte EURUSD currency pair mein mazboot upar ki taraf harkat hui thi. Magar is hafte aisa lagta hai ke sab log chhutti par hain ya idhar udhar bikhar gaye hain, samundar ke kinaare aaram kar rahe hain, kyunki koi khaas harkat nahi hai aur pichle teen kaam ke dino mein sirf 30 points ka price range raha hai. Wave structure apna upar ka pattern bana raha hai aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai. Pehli wave par Fibonacci target grid lagane se target 161.8 level par dikhayi deta hai, jo ke pehle hi pohocha ja chuka hai. Is level ke qareeb profit-taking hui, jo ke pullback le kar horizontal support level 1.1800 ke ilaqe mein aa gaya. Price ko jaldi se is level se neeche uthaya gaya aur phir se upar dhakel diya gaya. Phir price ko phir se 1.0800 tak neeche le jaya gaya, dheere dheere, lekin yaqeenan, is level par pohochne se pehle phir se upar dhakel diya gaya. Is level ki ahmiyat isliye bhi zyada ho jati hai kyunki ye ek poora number hai. Growth structure ko chaar waves mein dekha ja sakta hai, ho sakta hai ke chouthi wave kal mukammal hui ho aur paanchvi wave ka aghaz is hafte ke naye high ke sath aur resistance area 1.0845 aur 1.0859 ke darmiyan move kar raha ho. CCI indicator ke mutabiq ek potential decline nazar aata hai, jo ke oversold zone se upar move karne ke liye tayar hai. MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence tab banegi jab ye peak ko tor kar, poori five waves ka cycle mukammal karte hue ek reversal aur decline ki taraf le jayegi. Aaj ke hawale se kuch ahmiyat rakhne wale events mein shamil hain: 13:00 Moscow time - Eurogroup Meeting. Phir, 15:30 Moscow time par kuch aur news: Amreeka mein unemployment benefits hasil karne walon ki kul tadaad, Core Consumer Price Index US mein, Consumer Price Index US mein, aur Amreeka mein initial jobless claims ki tadaad

EUR-USD

Woh currency pair jo 1.0831 ke price par khula tha, us waqt 1.0826 ke lowest trading price level ko barqarar rakh saka. Is lowest price level par, EUR-USD ko buyer camp se support mila jise yeh foran strong ho gaya. Yeh strengthening movement barqarar rahi jab tak ke is ne highest trading price level 1.0900 ko touch nahi kiya. Is highest price level par, EUR-USD pressure mein aaya aur aakhir kar trading 1.0868 par close hui.

Eurusd Forex Analysis Transaction Recommendations Today

Overall EUR/USD market conditions ko dekhte hue, ajeng4x ka nazariya yeh hai ke EUR/USD currency pair ab bhi bullish direction mein move karne ki tendency rakhta hai, isliye buy transaction option aaj ke trading ke liye main choice ho sakta hai. Lekin, transaction ko execute karne ke liye behtar hai ke sahi momentum ka intezar kiya jaye jaise ke smaller timeframes par bullish candlestick pattern ka zahoor ho.

Yeh isliye ke transactions jo kiye jayenge, wo baad mein quality open positions paida kar sakein, ideal risk reward calculations aur relatively achi winning rate probabilities ke sath.
Transaction decisions lene ke liye, nearest support resistance level par tawajjo dena zaruri hai. Yeh support resistance Bollinger Bands indicator, Moving Average, Horizontal Line ke zariye ya phir Psychological prices ka istemal kar ke hasil kiya ja sakta hai. Jo ke kuch is tarah hain:

• Resistance 2 = 1.0910
• Resistance 1 = 1.0890
• Support 1 = 1.0850
• Support 2 = 1.0830

Agar price support area mein rejection ka samna karta hai, to buy transaction option foran kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar support ka breakout hota hai, to buy transaction option ko dobara sochna chahiye. Kyunki forex market mein price movements bohot dynamic hoti hain, jo ke market ko bearish condition mein reverse direction mein daal sakti hain.
Buy option tab bhi kiya ja sakta hai agar EUR/USD price first resistance ko breakout karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, lekin transaction ke open position ko place karne ke liye, behtar hai ke price ke resistance area ko break karne ke baad correction ka intezar kiya jaye, is term ko Resistance Become Support (RBS) kehte hain.
Isliye, apne aap ko risk calculations ke hawale se abhi se tayar karein, taake trading plan ke mutabiq jo actions lene hain woh liye ja sakein. Taake agar market unpredictable move kare, to losses jo aayengi woh measurable hon aur un risk limits ke mutabiq hon jo pehle se tayar ki gayi hain.

EUR/USD ne ground gain kiya hai jab traders U.S. inflation data par focus kar rahe hain. EU mein, traders ne Germany ke inflation reports ko dekha. Germany ka Inflation Rate May ke 2.4% se ghat kar June mein 2.2% ho gaya, jo analyst estimates ke mutabiq hai. Agar U.S. Dollar Index support level 104.40 – 104.60 ke neeche settle hota hai, toh yeh agle support level ki taraf move karega jo 103.50 – 103.75 range mein located hai. EUR/USD ka resistance level 1.0900 – 1.0915 ke upar move karna agle resistance level 1.1000 – 1.1015 ko test karne ka rasta khol dega.
Germany ke inflation rate ka decline hona, jo May mein 2.4% tha aur June mein 2.2% ho gaya, analysts ki expectations ke mutabiq hai. Yeh data EU ke market sentiment ko affect kar raha hai, aur is se EUR/USD ne strength gain ki hai. Is dauran, U.S. inflation data bhi traders ki nazar mein hai, aur yeh data market movements ko significant tareeke se influence kar sakta hai.

Agar U.S. Dollar Index 104.40 – 104.60 ke support level ke neeche settle ho jata hai, toh yeh indicate karega ke U.S. Dollar ne apni strength kho di hai aur yeh agle support level jo 103.50 – 103.75 range mein located hai, ki taraf move karega. Yeh decline U.S. Dollar ke liye bearish signal hoga aur EUR/USD ko upward movement ka mauka dega.

EUR/USD ka 1.0900 – 1.0915 ke resistance level ke upar move karna ek important development hoga. Agar yeh pair is level ko breach karta hai, toh yeh agle resistance level 1.1000 – 1.1015 ko test karne ka rasta khol dega. Yeh bullish movement indicate karegi ke market mein EUR/USD ne positive sentiment hasil kiya hai.

Germany ke inflation data ka decline EU market sentiment ko support kar raha hai aur EUR/USD ko upward push de raha hai. U.S. inflation data ka impact bhi significant hoga, aur traders is data par closely nazar rakhenge. Agar U.S. Dollar Index support level ke neeche settle hota hai, toh yeh EUR/USD ke liye bullish signal hoga.

Overall, EUR/USD ka ground gain karna aur U.S. inflation data par traders ka focus market dynamics ko influence kar raha hai. Germany ke inflation rate ka decline aur U.S. Dollar Index ka support level ke neeche settle hone ka potential EUR/USD ko upward movement ka mauka dega. Traders ko is situation ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

Agar EUR/USD 1.0900 – 1.0915 ke resistance level ko breach karta hai, toh yeh agle resistance level 1.1000 – 1.1015 ko test karne ka rasta khol dega. Yeh bullish movement market ke positive sentiment ko indicate karegi aur EUR/USD ko further strength de sakti hai. U.S. inflation data aur U.S. Dollar Index ke movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga taake market dynamics ko samjha ja sake aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust kiya ja sake.

Yeh current market situation traders ke liye important hai aur is par closely nazar rakhi jani chahiye taake trading opportunities ko effectively exploit kiya ja sake. EUR/USD ke upward movement aur U.S. Dollar Index ke potential decline ko dekhte huye, market mein trading decisions ko timely aur informed banana zaroori hai.

EUR/USD ka rise 1.0865 se resume hua hai aur yeh 1.0844 temporary top ko break karte hue upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Intraday bias phir se upside par hai aur ab yeh 1.0815 resistance ko target kar raha hai. Agar yeh wahan se firmly break karta hai, toh yeh poori rally ko 1.0601 se resume kar dega aur agle target 1.07919 ke 100% projection tak le jaega. Abhi ke liye, risk upside par rahega jab tak 1.0905 support hold karta hai, retreat ki surat mein.

EUR/USD ke price actions 1.0874 se ek corrective pattern ko dikhate hain jo abhi bhi progress mein ho sakta hai. Agar 1.0901 break hota hai, toh yeh 1.00867 support ko target karega aur shayad us se neeche bhi ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 1.0815 resistance ko firmly break karta hai, toh yeh phir se upar ki taraf 1.8338 resistance ko target karte hue ek aur rising leg start karega.

Market dynamics ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD ka movement 1.0865 se kaafi significant hai. Temporary top 1.0844 ko break karte hue, intraday bias wapas upside par aa gaya hai aur 1.0815 resistance ab agla target hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh poori rally 1.0601 se resume hogi aur 1.0835 se 100% projection ka target 1.07919 par hoga. Retreat ki surat mein, jab tak 1.0905 support hold karta hai, risk upside par hi rahega.

Corrective pattern jo 1.0874 se start hua, abhi bhi progress mein ho sakta hai. Agar 1.0901 ka break hota hai, toh agla target 1.00867 support hoga aur shayad yeh is se neeche bhi ja sakta hai. Agar 1.0815 resistance ko firmly break kiya jata hai, toh yeh ek aur rising leg ko start karega jo 1.8338 resistance ko target karegi.

EUR/USD ke price actions aur current movements ko dekh kar yeh lagta hai ke market mein bulls abhi bhi control mein hain. Temporary top 1.0844 ka break hona aur intraday bias ka upside par shift hona is baat ko support karta hai. Agar 1.0815 resistance break hota hai, toh rally 1.0601 se resume hogi aur agla target 1.07919 par hoga. Risk abhi bhi upside par rahega jab tak 1.0905 support hold karta hai.

Corrective pattern jo 1.0874 se start hua, abhi bhi complete nahi hua hai. Agar 1.0901 break hota hai, toh agla target 1.00867 support hoga aur shayad yeh is se neeche bhi ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 1.0815 resistance break hota hai, toh ek aur rising leg start hogi jo 1.8338 resistance ko target karegi.

Market ki current situation aur EUR/USD ke movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Yeh dynamics indicate karte hain ke market mein bulls ka upper hand hai aur abhi bhi upside potential hai. Corrective patterns aur key support/resistance levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake market movements ka faida uthaya ja sake.

EUR/USD ka movement 1.0865 se significant hai aur temporary top 1.0844 ka break hona is baat ko highlight karta hai. Intraday bias ab upside par hai aur 1.0815 resistance ko target kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh rally 1.0601 se resume hogi aur target 1.07919 par hoga. Risk upside par rahega jab tak 1.0905 support hold karta hai, retreat ki surat mein. Corrective pattern jo 1.0874 se start hua, abhi bhi progress mein ho sakta hai aur key levels par closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD:

EUR/USD ne mukhtalif tajiraan ke tawajju se U.S. tawanai ke data par tawajju di hai. EU mein, tajiraan ne Germany ki tawanai ke reports par nazar daali. Germany ki tawanai ka dar May mein 2.4% se June mein 2.2% tak gir gaya, jo ke analyst ke tajziyat ke mutabiq hai. Agar U.S. Dollar Index 104.40 - 104.60 ke support ke neeche stabil ho jata hai, to ye agle support level ki taraf jaega jo ke 103.50 - 103.75 range mein hai. Agar EUR/USD resistance level 1.0900 - 1.0915 ke upar chala jata hai, to rasta khulti hai agle resistance level ki taraf test karne ke liye jo ke 1.1000 - 1.1015 mein hai.

Germany ki tawanai ka dar girne se, jo May mein 2.4% se June mein 2.2% tak gir gaya, kisi bhi khush-fehmi ka shikaar hota hai. Ye data EU market sentiment par asar dal raha hai aur EUR/USD ko mazbooti deta hai. Isi dauran, U.S. tawanai ke data bhi tajiraan ke radar par hai aur bazaar ki harekatiyon par bade asar daal sakta hai.

Agar U.S. Dollar Index 104.40 - 104.60 ke support level ke neeche stabilize ho jata hai, to ye darshata hai ke U.S. Dollar ne apni mazbooti kho di hai aur agle support level ki taraf jaega jo 103.50 - 103.75 range mein hai. Ye kamzor signal hoga U.S. Dollar ke liye aur EUR/USD ke liye upar ki taraf jane ka mauqa dega.

EUR/USD ka 1.0900 - 1.0915 ke resistance level ke upar jane se koitna ehem hoga. Agar ye pair is level ko paar kare, to ye rasta kholega agle resistance level ko test karne ke liye jo ke 1.1000 - 1.1015 mein hai. Ye bullish movement darshayega ke EUR/USD ne market mein mazbooti hasil ki hai.

Germany ki tawanai ke data ka kam hona EU market sentiment ko support kar raha hai aur EUR/USD ko uppar ki taraf dhakka de raha hai. U.S. tawanai ke data bhi bade asar daal sakta hai aur tajiraan is data ko tawiit kar rahenge. Agar U.S. Dollar Index support level ke neeche settle ho jata hai, to ye bullish signal hoga EUR/USD ke liye.

Sarasar, EUR/USD zameen hasil kar raha hai aur tajiraan U.S. tawanai ke data par tawajju de rahe hain jo market dynamics par asar dalta hai. Germany ki tawanai dar ka girna aur U.S. Dollar Index ke support level ke neeche settle hone ki possibility EUR/USD ke liye ek mauqa pesh karega. Tajiraan ko is surat-e-haal ko tawiit karne ke liye mutasir sekhna chahiye.

Agar EUR/USD 1.0900 - 1.0915 ke resistance level ko paar karta hai, to ye rasta kholega agle resistance level ko test karne ke liye jo ke 1.1000 - 1.1015 mein hai. Ye bullish movement market mein khush-gawar mahsoos karane ka ishara dega aur EUR/USD ko mazeed mazbooti de sakta hai. Market dynamics samajhne ke liye U.S. tawanai ke data aur U.S. Dollar Index ke mahsoosiyat ko mutasir sekhna zaroori hai aur trading strategies ko is ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

Is maujooda market situation ka tajiraan ke liye bohot ahem hai aur ise karib se watch karna chahiye taake trading opportunities ko mufeedi tarikay se istemal kiya ja sake. EUR/USD ke uppar ki harkat aur U.S. Dollar Index ke potensial girne ka tawaju dekho, barrahiyat awar tajiraana faislay lene ke liye waqt se waqt par jana zaroori hai.

USD currency pair par baat karte hain. Seedha chart pe chalte hain, aur daily time frame se shuru karte hain taake market ka ek broader view mil sake. Chart dikha raha hai ke pehle price girawat mein ek double bottom chart pattern bana tha, jaisa ke neeche wali image mein dikhaya gaya hai. Yeh decline aage nahi barha aur support level 1.0710 ko tor diya. Isi liye, Thursday ko price lagbhag 225 pips ka bara izafa dikhaya. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, agle price movement mein mazeed izafa hone ka imkaan hai, aur price ke mazboot hone ke sath 1.0760 ka resistance level test karne ka imkaan hai.

H4 time frame par, aik trend reversal pattern dikhayi de raha hai, jo ke pehle bearish position se current bullish position mein aa gaya hai. Bollinger band indicator yeh signal de raha hai ke current price situation mid-BB area ke upar hai, jo ke buyers ki dominance ko zahir karta hai. Agar market barhta rehta hai, to agle hafte price mein mazeed izafa hone ke chances hain. Is waqt, mein andaza lagata hoon ke price 1.0765 ke resistance ko test karega, jo ke current price se lagbhag 230 pips door hai, taake qareebi mustaqbil mein price ko mazid mazboot kiya ja sake.

Is pair mein buying option bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke is pair pe weightage kaafi zyada hai. Agle hafte ke trading plan ke mutabiq, meri tarjeeh buying ki taraf rahegi na ke selling ki taraf. Area mein dakhil hone ke liye, mein pehle price ko qareebi support level tak girne dekhna pasand karunga taake wahan ek correction ho sake. Stop loss qareebi gain ke sath 30 pips pe rakha jayega aur kam az kam reward 30 se 40 pips ka hoga. Lambi duration ke liye position ko rakhne ke liye, ise qareebi resistance level pe rakha ja sakta hai. Mere trading scheme mein selling option na hone ke bawajood, meri top priority buying option hi rahegi jab tak price EUR/USD currency pair support ko asar andaz karta hai.

Eurozone aur USA ke economic data releases, jaise ke GDP growth rates, unemployment data, inflation reports, aur central bank policies, currency pair ki movements pe significant asar dalti hain. Eurozone ke positive economic data Euro ki strength ko support karega aur price ko resistance level breach karne mein madad karega. Isi tarah, USA ke strong economic data USD ki strength ko barhata hai aur Euro ki value pe pressure dalta hai.

Resistance area mein trading ke liye mukhtalif strategies adopt ki ja sakti hain. Aam strategy yeh hai ke resistance area ke qareeb short positions li jayein kyunke yeh umeed hoti hai ke price is level se niche girega. Magar agar strong bullish signals milte hain, to breakout trading strategy ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai, jahan resistance level breach hone par buying positions suitable hoti hain. Stop loss aur take profit levels ko carefully set karna bhi zaroori hai taake risk ko manage kiya ja sake.

**EUR/USD Currency Pair: Bearish Trend Analysis**

EUR/USD currency pair forex market mein sab se zyada dekha jaane wala exchange rate hai, jo euro ki keemat ko US dollar ke khilaaf darshata hai. Haal hi mein, yeh jora kareeban 1.0692 ke aaspaas trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Ek bearish trend yeh batata hai ke euro dollar ke khilaaf kamzor ho raha hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye ahem asaraat rakh sakta hai.

Kai wajohaat is bearish trend mein hissa le rahi hain EUR/USD pair ki. Pehle toh, Eurozone se aane wale maaliyat ke data United States ke muqablay kamzor rahe hain. Eurozone ke bade economies jaise Germany aur France mein GDP ki kami aur industry production mein girawat jaise kamzor maaliyat ke indicators ne euro ko nicha daba diya hai. Is maaliyat ki rukawat ne Eurozone ki maaliyat ki nazar mein mushkilat paida ki hain, jo investors ko US dollar ke relative aman ke raaste dhoondne par majboor kar raha hai.

Dusra, European Central Bank (ECB) Federal Reserve ke muqablay zyada cautious qadam utha rahi hai. Jab ke Fed mehengai ke mukablay larne ke liye interest rates ko barha raha hai, ECB ne maaliyat ki nazar mein zyada ihtiyati qadam uthaye hain, jisse economic growth ko support ke liye interest rates ko kam rakha gaya hai. Is monetary policy ke farq ne US dollar ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana diya hai, kyun ke zyada interest rates amooman USD mein denominated investments mein zyada wapisat dete hain.

Is ke ilawa, siyasi hawaale se mutaliq uncertainties jaise Ukraine mein ongoing conflict aur Russia par economic sanctions ne bhi euro ke liye investor sentiment ko kamzor kiya hai. Yeh siyasi risks ne euro mein izafa hone wali mushtailiyat ko barhaya hai, jisse investors ko US dollar ke istehqaq aur stability ki taraf rujhan dilaya gaya hai.

EUR/USD pair ke bearish trend ke kai asaraat ho sakte hain. Euro ke exporters ke liye ek kamzor euro faida mand ho sakta hai, kyun ke yeh unke products ko international market mein sasta aur mukhlis banata hai. Lekin consumers aur businesses ke liye jo imported goods par rely karte hain, ek kamzor euro unke liye mehengai aur dabao ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Traders ke liye, bearish trend euro ko dollar ke khilaaf short-selling opportunities paish karta hai. Lekin yeh bhi zaroorat hai ke maaliyat ke indicators aur central bank policies ko mehnat se nazar andaaz kiya jaye, kyun ke maaliyat ki halaat ya monetary policy stance mein kisi bhi badlaav ka asar EUR/USD pair ki taraf asar andaaz ho sakta hai.

Mukhtasar mein, EUR/USD currency pair abhi ek bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai Eurozone se kamzor maaliyat ke data, ECB ke Fed ke muqablay zyada cautious qadam aur siyasi uncertainties ke baje se. Yeh trend traders aur investors ke liye ahem asaraat rakhta hai, jo market analysis aur strategy mein tezi se kaam karne ki zaroorat ko zahir karta hai.

4-hour map par Euro upper band ke sath move karne ki koshish ke baad ab bands ke central area ki taraf wapas aanay laga hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, price growth ke liye ek naya high-quality signal tabhi milega jab upper band ke beyond active rout ho aur phir dekha jaye ke bands outward expand hote hain ya nahi. Fractals ki baat karein to, price ne neerest fractal ko downside ki taraf break kiya aur June 13 ke fractal ke level par pehla target hasil kar liya. Filhaal, ek naya near fractal downside par form ho gaya hai, is ka rout aur connection upar price ko June 12 ke fractal ke level 1.08517 ki taraf move karne dega. Nearest fractal strike se kaafi door hai, to price decline ke liye kuch direction dene ke liye, naya near fractal ka appearance intezar karna munasib hoga.

EURUSD currency pair correction kar raha hai. Iska support level 1.0780 par bohot acha hai, jo ke is Monday ka high hai aur 100th Fibonacci level bhi. Agar price is level tak pullback karti hai, to yahan se bohot ache buy positions kholi ja sakti hain jo phir 161st level tak, jo 1.0840 ke ird gird hai, hold ki ja sakti hain. Lekin, mujhe ye bhi mumkin lagta hai ke kal price bina pullback ke apne northern targets ki taraf move karna shuru kar de, is surat mein hum naye trading opportunities dekhenge.

Stupendous Oscillator index positive zone mein active hai aur naya outside form ho gaya hai. Abhi tak yeh wazeh nahi ke pehla peak kab form hoga, jo yeh dikhayega ke price growth mazeed barh sakti hai. Price decline ka high-quality signal hasil karne ke liye, zero level ke active fading ka intezar karna munasib hoga. Numerical mark 1.0812 hai, jahan se mere khayal mein hum support area 1.0760-1.0740 tak gir sakte hain. Mujhe yeh pasand nahi ke price itni dair se yahan stuck hai, kyunke agar bulls mein north ki taraf move karne ki taqat hai, to hum jaldi withdrawal ki umeed nahi rakh sakte. Khair, kal weekend se pehle ka akhri din hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh correction hoga aur bears current price position se kam az kam 70 points south ki taraf move karenge.

ya hai. Is tezi ke baad, ek ahem technical indicator, jo ke financial markets mein trends ki taqat aur raftar ka paigham dene ke liye aam tor par istemal hota hai, 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar se guzar gaya hai. Is waqayi mein, 100 SMA ke upar se guzar jaana ek mogheesi trend ki alamat hai jo ke bullish trend ki tashkeel ki alamat hai.
Bazaar ke hawale se tafseeli mawad ke manitoring karne wale traders MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator se bhi is bullish rawaiye ke liye support dhoondh sakte hain, jo ke aik khareedne ki alamat pesh karta hai. MACD apne momentum aur trend ki raftar mein tabdeeliyon ko highlight karne ke liye wasee maqbool hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair mein mazeed urooj ki surat haal ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai.

Agay dekhte hue, agle ahem resistens darja chart par 1.0918 par mojood hai. Is darje ko traders ki tawajjo par hasab karte huye yakeenan tawajjo ko mojoda karne wale ahem maqam ki taraf khench sakta hai, kyun ke safal guzar jaane se agay ke mazeed faiday ke raste khul sakte hain. Agar bullish momentum 1.0918 ke par qaim rahe, to traders apne nishane ko 1.1028 ke pehle se upar rakh sakte hain, jo ke EUR/USD pair ke liye ek ahem resistens point hai jo ke tareekhi hawale se ahem maqam rakhta hai.

Mukhtasir taur par, 100 SMA ke upar se guzarne aur MACD se aane wali khareedne ki alamat ne qareebi daur ke liye EUR/USD currency pair ke liye ek bullish nazarie ko pesh kiya hai. Traders ko mashwarah diya jata hai ke wo tafseeli tor par tawajjo dekar mustaqbil ki surat haal ko dekhen, khaas taur par 1.0918 resistens level par ek maqsood ko. Tahum yad rakhna zaroori hai ke kisi bhi maali ilanat ya geo-political waqiyat ke asar ke liye market sentiment aur currency pair ki manzil ko tabdeel karne ki mumkinat ko barqarar rakhna. Is tarah ke factors se mutasir hone ki sahi malumat aur jawabi istedlal, foren exchange trading ke dinamik manzar mein asar andaz hote hain.

rakhein ke European Central Bank ne daro mein kami shuru kar di hai (bilkul Federal Reserve ke mukhalif, jis se sab logon ne March mein ek dar kam ki ummed ki thi), is wajah se euro request dabao mein mubtila hai. Jaisa ke pehle zikr kiya gaya, is ka matlab yeh nahi ke kuch hafton mein brace foran brabar price par gir jaye ga. Capital ka dakhil hona nisbatan dheema hai aur EUR/USD brace ki riyayati dar mein kam inteshar hota hai. Mutaalati tajziya ke mutabiq, EUR/USD brace ki aam inteshar dar pichle paanch dinon ke liye June 25 ke roop mein 48 pips hai, jo ek kam qeemat samjha jata hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke Tuesday ko brace 1.0680 aur 1.0776 ke darmiyan harkat kare ga. Taraqi shuda direct retrogression channel ooper mud gya hai, lekin global downtrend mukammal hai. CCI index oversold ilaqa mein dakhil hua, lekin is waqt hume taqatwar barguzida ka intezar nahi hai. EUR/USD brace global downtrend ko qaim rakhta hai aur 4 ghante ke timeframe mein moving normal ke qareeb hai. Pehle taqreer mein humne bataya ke hum lambi positions ko nahi samajhte hain aur hume downtrend ki qowat ka daam rakhna chahiye. Is waqt, 1.0681 aur 1.0620 ke targets ke saath short positions ab bhi maqbool hain. 1.0681 se jawab, ek aur round of upward correction ko trigger kiya gaya. Hum euro ki khareed ko tajweez nahi karte, kyun ke hume yakeen hai ke global downtrend jari hai aur single currency ke liye barhne ki koi buniyadi waja nahi hai. Lekin price barhne ke dauran kuch arsa ke liye izafe ke liye hosakta hai. EUR/USD ke aadharik map par, hafta peer se aam taqreeban muqami harkat ke saath shuru hua, jahan keemat maqami position ke qareeb trading kar rahi thi. Keemat ne Tuesday, Wednesday aur Thursday ko trading position se neeche girayi, jo 1.0647 tak support ke taraf ek sell signal paida karta hai. Keemat ne is rut ko tasdiq kiya aur isey mazboot sell signal banaya, aur Jumma ko, sell signal ada ho gaya; jab keemat is position ke adhe se zyada aur is support ke qareeb maqami ho rahi thi, doosra sell signal paida kiya. Maqami harkat ke saath range se shuru hua, Monday ko growt hua aur 1.0747 tak resistance tak aaya. Is waqt, if the price through the resistance at 1.0747 is doubtful and the price rolls back, selling will be applicable

EUR/USD


Chalo USD currency pair ke bare mein baat karte hain. Chart par chalte hain aur daily time frame se shuru karte hain taake market ka broader view mil sake. Chart dikhata hai ke previous price decline mein ek double bottom chart pattern form hua tha, jese neeche di gayi image mein dikhaya gaya hai. Decline continue nahi hui, aur 1.0710 par support level break ho gaya. Isi wajah se Thursday ko price mein lagbhag 225 pips ka increase dekhne ko mila. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, agle price movement mein mazeed increase ki possibility hai, aur price ki strength ke sath, 1.0760 ka resistance level test kiya ja sakta hai.

H4 time frame par ek trend reversal pattern nazar aa raha hai, jo previous bearish position se current bullish position mein transition kar chuka hai. Bollinger band indicator signal de raha hai ke current price situation mid-BB area ke upar hai, jo buyers ki dominance ko dikhata hai. Agar market rise continue karti hai, to agle hafte price mein mazeed increase ka chance hai. Is point par, main estimate karta hoon ke price 1.0765 ke resistance ko test karegi, jo current price se lagbhag 230 pips door hai, taake near future mein price ko strengthen kiya ja sake.

Is pair mein buying option crucial hai kyun ke is pair par significant weightage hai. Agle hafte ke trading plan ke mutabiq, meri preference buying side ki taraf rahegi rather than selling side. Area mein enter karne ke liye, main prefer karta hoon ke price pehle nearest support level tak fall kare correction ke liye. Stop loss nearest gain se 30 pips upar rakha jayega, aur minimum reward 30 se 40 pips tak hoga. Longer duration ke liye position hold karne ke liye, yeh near resistance level par place ki ja sakti hai. Selling option ki kami ke bawajood, meri top priority buying option hi rahegi jab tak EUR/USD currency pair support ko respond karta rahega.

Eurozone aur USA ke economic data releases, jese ke GDP growth rates, unemployment data, inflation reports, aur central bank policies, currency pair movements par significant impact dalte hain. Eurozone se positive economic data Euro ki strength ko support karega aur price ko resistance level breach karne mein madad dega. Isi tarah, USA se strong economic data USD ki strength ko boost karega aur Euro ke value par pressure dalega.

Resistance area mein trading ke liye mukhtalif strategies adopt ki ja sakti hain. Common strategy yeh hai ke resistance area ke kareeb short positions li jayein kyun ke expected hota hai ke price is level se fall karegi. Lekin agar strong bullish signals receive hote hain, to breakout trading strategy use ki ja sakti hai, jahan resistance level breach hone par buying positions suitable hoti hain. Stop loss aur take profit levels ko carefully set karna bhi zaroori hai taake risk ko manage kiya ja sake.

جولائی 12 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل کے امریکی افراط زر کے اعداد و شمار سب سے زیادہ امید افزا توقعات سے بھی تجاوز کر گئے: صارفین کی قیمت کا اشاریہ متوقع 3.1% YoY کے مقابلے میں 3.3% YoY سے گر کر 3.0% YoY پر آ گیا، اور بنیادی سی. پی. آئی. نے پیش گوئی کی گئی 3.4% YoY کے مقابلے میں 3.3% YoY دکھایا۔ تاجر اب ستمبر کی شرح میں 86.7 فیصد کمی کے امکان میں قیمت لگاتے ہیں، اور 5 سالہ امریکی سرکاری بانڈز کی پیداوار 4.23 فیصد سے کم ہو کر 4.14 فیصد ہو گئی ہے۔ سٹاک مارکیٹ (ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500) میں 0.88% کی کمی ہوئی، حالانکہ، منصفانہ طور پر، انڈیکس مخلوط بند ہوئے - ڈاؤ جونز +0.08%، رسل 2000 +3.77%، نیس ڈیک -1.92%۔ فی الحال، سرمایہ کاروں کے جذبات خطرے سے بچنے کی طرف جھکتے ہیں، اور جب کہ یورو نے ترقی کے ساتھ ایک قلیل مدتی متبادل منظر نامے کا انتخاب کیا ہے، اس کے اب بھی الٹ جانے کا بہت زیادہ امکان ہے۔



ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر، قیمت نزولی قیمت کے چینل کی بالائی حد تک پہنچ گئی ہے۔ اگر قیمت پیر کو اس حد تک پہنچ جاتی ہے، تو یہ 1.0905 کے نشان کو ٹھیک سے مارے گی۔ اگر یہ آج ہے، تو یہ 1.0905 کے ہدف کی سطح پر ہو گا، کیونکہ چینل ہر ہفتے کم ہو جاتا ہے۔ اس چینل کے اوپر ٹوٹنے کا امکان تقریباً 40% ہے، اور اگر ایسا ہوتا ہے، تو نمو کافی ہو سکتی ہے، جو 1.11 سے تجاوز کر سکتی ہے (28 دسمبر 2023 کو چوٹی سے بنچ مارک)۔

ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ 1.0964 کی سطح (13 مارچ اور 21 نومبر 2023 کی چوٹیوں) سے اس کا الٹ پھیر پہلے ہو جائے گا، کیونکہ مارلن اب بھی یومیہ چارٹ پر قیمت کے ساتھ فرق پیدا کرنے کے قابل ہے۔ موجودہ صورتحال میں بہترین حکمت عملی انتظار کرنا ہے، کیونکہ قیمت موجودہ سطح سے نہیں گر رہی ہے اور 1.0905 سے اوپر مستحکم نہیں ہوئی ہے۔ کل کا تجارتی حجم تقریباً 3 مہینوں میں سب سے زیادہ تھا – اضافہ یقینی طور پر قریبی سٹاپ لاس آرڈرز کی بندش کی وجہ سے ہوا، کیونکہ بہت سے کھلاڑی یورو کے گرنے کی توقع کر رہے تھے۔ جب تک (اور اگر) کھلاڑی یورو کی نمو کی توقع کی طرف منتقل نہیں ہوتے ہیں، تب تک کمی کا خطرہ زیادہ رہتا ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت اور آسکیلیٹر نے مکمل ڈائیورژن بنایا ہے۔ یہ یورو کو 1.0905 کی سطح تک پہنچنے سے نہیں روکتا، اس لیے اس بات کا بہت کم امکان ہے کہ قیمت 1.0905 کی قریب ترین مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر نہ چڑھ جائے۔ ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر، یہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے غلط بریک آؤٹ کے طور پر ظاہر ہوگا۔ بلاشبہ، یہ بیئرز کے لیے ایک بہت ہی پر امید منظر ہے، لیکن جب تک کہ 1.0905 سے اوپر ایک مضبوطی نہ ہو،یہ فرض کرنا کہ بصورت دیگر بیلز کے لیے حد سے زیادہ پر امید ہوں گے۔



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