یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay haftay Sterling limited range mein trade kar raha tha. Level 1.2667 ko break karne ki koshish na kamyab rahi aur price rollback karke 1.2612 par aa gayi, lekin yahan support milne par price rebound hui aur phir se 1.2667 ke neeche gir gayi, jahan ab trading ho rahi hai. Chart dekh kar lagta hai ke price super-trending red zone mein hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke sellers control mein hain.

Technical taur par dekha jaye to pair 1.2700 psychological resistance ke neeche settle ho gayi hai, aur simple moving average ka negative pressure price par effect kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator bhi negative turn le raha hai. Aaj ke trading session mein expected trend negative hai, aur pehla target 1.2630 hai. Agar price in levels ko break kar leti hai to strong downward pressure ka imkan hai jo pair ko 1.2580 tak le ja sakta hai. Upper side par, hourly chart par close agar pehle broken support levels 1.2700 aur 1.2720 ke upar hoti hai to downside delay ho sakti hai aur pair recovery ki taraf move kar sakti hai jiska target 1.2750 aur 1.2790 ho ga.



Abhi ke liye, pair different directions mein trade kar rahi hai aur weekly basis par neutral hai. Major resistance areas test ho rahe hain aur growth restart karne ki koshish ko scale back kiya ja raha hai, jo decline ko fresh rakhta hai. Confirm karne ke liye, 1.2667 level ke neeche confident consolidation zaroori hai. Agar yeh area repeatedly test hota hai aur wahan se pullback hoti hai to yeh decline ko continue karne ka moka dega jo target area 1.2524 aur 1.2401 ke beech ho sakta hai.

Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 1.2739 reversal level ko break kar leti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD:

EUR/USD currency pair is ab ek selling zone mein hai jab se yeh weekly pivot level aur key price channels ke neeche break kar chuka hai D1 chart par. Yeh price dynamics ka shift recent bullish trend ke potential reversal ko signal karta hai. Week ke start mein, pair ne ek buying pattern exhibit kiya tha, jo price channels ke confines mein tha jo pichle do hafton ke trends ko mirror kar rahe the, aur overall upward trajectory thi. Iske ilawa, price ne W1 pivot level of 1.0738 ke aas paas support paaya, jo bullish sentiment ko mazid reinforce karta tha.
Click image for larger version


Magar, recent breach of weekly pivot level aur price channels market sentiment mein ek shift ko towards bearish bias suggest karta hai. Ab traders potential selling opportunities ko dekh rahe hain jab ke pair is naye trading environment ko navigate kar raha hai. Breakdown below key support levels increased selling pressure aur trend direction mein possible reversal ko indicate karta hai. Is liye, traders closely price action ko monitor kar rahe hain aur ek sustained downtrend ki confirmation ke liye dekh rahe hain pehle ke naye positions initiate karein.

Selling zone mein move changing market dynamics aur evolving investor sentiment ke amid aata hai. Factors jaise economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies sab EUR/USD pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adapt karna chahiye taake emerging opportunities ko capitalize aur is volatile market environment mein risks ko mitigate kar sakein.

Recent shift in price momentum ke bawajood, traders mindful hain ke potential support levels further downside movement ko limit kar sakte hain. W1 pivot level of 1.0738, jo pehle support zone ke taur par act karta tha, ab further price declines ke liye barrier ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, traders bullish reversal patterns ya oversold conditions ke signs ko dekh rahe hain jo current downtrend mein temporary pause ya reversal ko signal kar sakte hain.

Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair ne ek selling zone enter kar liya hai jab se key support levels aur price channels on the D1 chart ke neeche breach hua hai. Week ke start mein, pair ne ek buying pattern exhibit kiya tha supported by W1 pivot level, magar recent shift in market sentiment ek potential reversal in bullish trend suggest karta hai. Traders ab selling opportunities par focus kar rahe hain aur sustained downtrend ki confirmation ke liye price action ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Bearish bias ke bawajood, traders potential support levels aur reversal signals ke cautious hain jo future price movements ko impact kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis

Pichlay haftay ke doran trading mein euro 1.0694 aur 1.0763 ke darmiyan trade karta raha. Jab sellers ne support level 1.0694 ko todnay ki koshish ki, to price 1.0763 tak pohanchi, jahan usay mazeed faida rok dia gaya. Is ke ilawa, price chart ek trend area se doosray trend area ki taraf move karti rahi, jo ziada uncertainty ka izhar karti hai.

Aaj ke technical analysis ke perspective se, agar hum 240-minute chart ko qareebi tor pe dekhen, to yeh a temporary tor pe 1.0690 ke uper stabilize hota hua nazar aata hai aur aam tor pe 1.0675 ke key support level ke uper hai. Jaise ke technical signals aiz baraabar contradict karte ja rahe hain, hum price action ko monitor karna prefer karte hain aise scenarios ke liye jo humay doosray trading din ke doran bhi mil rahe hain. Ek uptrend hasil karne ke liye, humein 1.0720 par ek clear aur strong resistance break dekhni padegi, jahan pehla target 1.0760 ya 50.0% retracement hoga. Is level ke uper ka break catalyst ka kirdar ada karega, aur 1.0800/1.0795 tak pohanchnay ke chances barhengi, mazeed faida 1.0840 tak extend ho sakta hai. Aagey ka rasta aikhtiar karne ke liye, humein support levels 1.0690 aur sab se zaroori 1.0675 ke clear break ka intezar hai, jo 1.0630 aur 1.0600 tak pohanchne ko asaan bana dega.

Filhal, yeh pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar raha hai, hafte ke aghaz ke muqable mein thoda sa izafa dikhai deta hai. Key resistance areas qawi tor pe test ho rahi hain lekin abi tak prices ko barhawa nahi de rahi, jis se decline ko contain karna ahem hai. Price ko 1.0763 level ke niches consolidate karna hoga, jo filhal main resistance zone ke border ko cross kar raha hai. Is area se aakhri bounce neya downward move ka mauka faraham karega jiska target 1.0627 aur 1.0578 ke darmiyan hoga.

Agar resistance break ho jati hai aur price 1.0837 pivot level ke uper move karti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

EUR/USD ke 4-hour chart par wave structure mein koi tabdeeli nazar nahi aa rahi. Filhaal, hum wave 3 ka formation dekh rahe hain jo ke downward trend segment ke wave 3 ya c ke andar hai. Agar yeh theek hai, to quotes mein kami ka silsila kafi arsey tak jari rahega, kyunki is segment ki pehli wave around 1.0450 mark par mukammal hui thi. Isliye, is trend segment ka third wave is level ke niche conclude hona chahiye, chahe yeh impulsive form na le.

1.0450 mark sirf third wave ka target hai. Agar current downward trend segment impulsive form le leta hai, to humaray paas paanch waves honge, aur euro 1.0000 mark se niche gir sakta hai. Yaqeenan, abhi aise development ka andaza lagana mushkil hai, lekin pichlay chand salon mein currency market mein kafi surprises dekhnay ko mile hain.

Ek alternate scenario jo mai dekh raha hoon wo yeh hai ke wave 3 ya c corrective form mein tabdeel ho jaye, jismein paanch waves a-b-c-d-e type ke hon. Har surat mein, wave 3 ya c ka low, wave 1 ya a ke low se niche hona chahiye. Isliye agar wave e ka formation 3 ya c mein shuru ho gaya hai, 3 mein 3 ya c ke bajaye, to instrument ki kami abhi bhi jari rehni chahiye.

Eurozone mein inflation ahista ahista apne minimum par wapas aa rahi hai.

EUR/USD exchange rate mein Tuesday ko 10 basis points ki kami dekhi gayi, aur hum rozana aesay movements dekh rahe hain jo dekhne mein kuch khas mazeedaar nahi. Monday ko total amplitude of movements kam az kam 30 points thi, aaj – 15. Yaqeenan, American session abhi shuru hui hai, to market abhi bhi "heat up" ho sakti hai, lekin pichlay chand hafton mein, mujhe koi behtareen movements nazar nahi aayi. Yeh surat-e-haal guzishta hafte ya uss se pehle samajh aati thi jab lagbhag koi news background nahi thi. Christine Lagarde aur Jerome Powell is hafte bol chuke hain aur aaj phir se bolenge. Germany aur Eurozone ki inflation ke reports release ho chuki hain, ek important ISM index publish hua, aur JOLTS report bhi aa rahi hai. Koi nahi keh sakta ke economic statistics ki kami hai, isliye market break le raha hai.

Germany mein inflation reduce hui hai, aur Eurozone mein inflation reduce hui hai. Dono inflation rates sirf thodi si kam hui hain June mein, lekin yeh yaad rakha jaye ke ECB ne monetary policy ko ease karna shuru kiya hai, isliye consumer prices par pressure ab pehle se kam hoga. Phir bhi, inflation kam ho rahi hai, jo ECB ko easing ke second round ke qareeb le aati hai. Market isko European currency ke liye theek samajh raha hai. Instrument ka decline phir se ruka hua hai. Humein kuch aur haftay intezar karna hoga, taake market euro ko kam az kam 100 points aur niche push kar sake. Latest wave 3 ya C pichle chay mahine se form ho rahi hai; is doran, European currency ne 400 points kho diye hain.

General conclusions.

EUR/USD ka analysis karnay ke baad, main yeh natija nikal raha hoon ke downward wave set ka construction jari hai. Kareebi mustaqbil mein, main expect karta hoon ke descending wave 3 ya C ka formation significant decline ke sath continue karega. Main sirf sales ko consider karta hoon with targets around 1.0462 ke estimated mark par. Wave 3 ya C ki internal wave structure paanch-wave corrective form le sakti hai, lekin har surat mein, quotes 4-5 figures ke area tak girne chahiye.

Higher wave scale par, yeh evident hai ke supposed wave 2 ya B jo ke phy length mein 76.4% se ziada Fibonacci retracement of first wave ho sakti hai, mukammal ho sakti hai. Agar yeh waqi mein theek hai, to scenario of forming wave 3 ya C aur instrument ka 4th figure se niche girna jari hai.

Mere analysis ke bunyadi usool:

Wave structures simple aur understandable honi chahiye. Complex structures play karnay mein mushkil hoti hain aur aksar tabdeeli mangti hain.
Agar aap market ke conditions ke bare mein confident nahi hain, to enter na karen.
Movement ke direction mein 100% certainty kabhi nahi ho sakti. Protective Stop-Loss orders ko yaad rakhna zaroori hai.
Wave analysis ko dosray types of analysis aur trading strategies ke sath combine kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD: Profit Potential

EUR/USD currency pair ki price action hamari analysis aur discussion ka mawzu hoga. Mujhe lagta hai raat ke bullish spike ek speculative move tha, jahan euro-dollar 1.0774 tak pohonch gaya tha pehlay ke H-4 chart par current downward trend confirm ho. EUR/USD ke liye qareebi significant support 1.0732 par hai. Agar ek pullback ke baad, quotes is level se niche girti hain, to euro-dollar apni girawat ko 1.0663 ke bearish start line tak jari rakh sakta hai. Yeh abhi bhi mumkin hai ke bears yeh level turant current position se hi pohonch jayein, kyunki short-term opportunities kaafi likely hain support 1.0689 par, jahan se ek aur pullback mumkin hai. Euro-dollar ka future mumkin hai agle teen din ke US labor market statistics ka asar ho, isliye EUR/USD par uncertainty Friday tak barqarar reh sakti hai. Lekin abhi tak euro-dollar ne apni bearish pullback mukammal nahi ki.




Bearish daily Pin bar H-4 time frame tak technical correction ke end ko suggest kar raha hai. Isliye, agle chand dinon me hum EUR/USD pair ke liye ek aur downward move dekh sakte hain, jo mumkina tor par April daily resistance zone tak pohnch sakti hai. Aaj, pair mukhtalif directions me trade kiya. Powell ke speech ke start par, dollar mein weakness nazar aayi. Yeh ya to ek temporary lure (jaal) ho sakti hai ya phir ek genuine signal ho sakta hai bullish move ka, jo bearish reversal pattern invalidate kar sakta hai. Lekin yeh sirf meri rai hai. Jaisa ke US market react karegi, hum dekhenge ke yeh situation ko kaise evaluate karti hai. Current session ek reverse bullish Pin bar draw kar rahi hai, lekin yeh abhi bhi unsure hai ke yeh din ke end tak hold karegi ya nahi. Yeh analysis bazaar ke speculative behavior aur aanay wale economic data ke anticipated reactions ko reflect karti hai. Traders ko dono directions me potential movements dekhni chahiye, halan ke bearish trend zyada likely nazar aa raha hai based on current indicators.

EUR/USD: Munafa Ki Imkanat

EUR/USD currency pair ki price action hamari analysis aur behas ka mawzu hogi. Mere khayal mein raat ka bullish spike ek speculative move tha, jahan euro-dollar 1.0774 ka high touch karke H-4 chart par current downward trend ko confirm karta hai. EUR/USD ke liye qareebi aham support 1.0732 par hai. Agar pullback ke baad, quotes is level ke neeche girti hain, to euro-dollar apni girawat ko 1.0663 ke bearish start line tak jari rakh sakta hai. Yeh abhi bhi mumkin hai ke bears turant hi is level tak pohonch jayein, kyunki short-term opportunities 1.0689 par support se likely hain, jahan se ek aur pullback mumkin ho sakta hai. Euro-dollar ka mustaqbil agle teen din ke US labor market statistics se mutasir ho sakta hai, isliye EUR/USD par uncertainty Friday tak barqarar reh sakti hai. Lekin abhi tak euro-dollar ne apni bearish pullback mukammal nahi ki.



Bearish daily Pin bar yeh suggest karti hai ke H-4 time frame tak technical correction ka end ho gaya hai. Isliye, agle chand dinon mein hum EUR/USD pair ke liye ek aur downward move dekh sakte hain, jo mumkin hai ke April daily resistance zone ko touch kare. Aaj, pair mukhtalif directions mein trade karta raha. Powell ke speech ke start par, dollar mein weakness dekhi gayi. Yeh ek temporary lure ya ek genuine signal ho sakti hai bullish move ki, jo bearish reversal pattern ko invalidate kar sakti hai. Lekin yeh sirf meri rai hai. Jaisa US market react karega, hum dekhenge ke yeh situation ko kaise evaluate karti hai. Current session ek reverse bullish Pin bar draw kar raha hai, lekin yeh abhi tak unsure hai ke yeh din ke end tak hold karega ya nahi. Yeh analysis market ke speculative behavior aur aanewale economic data ke anticipated reactions ko reflect karti hai. Traders ko dono directions mein potential movements dekhni chahiye, halan ke bearish trend zyada likely nazar aa raha hai based on current indicators.

H4 timeframe ke hawale se, humne dekha ke raat ko price mein izafa hua aur phir foran hi girawat shuru hui. Natijatan, price sideways trend mein chal rahi hai; raat ko opening price aur subah ke aram se thodi different hai. Mazeed, in fluctuations ke dauran, price ne MA50 aur MA200 lines ko tor diya. Price ne MA line ko downward tor ke ek bearish pattern banaya. Price agay chalkar lower BB H4 ki taraf girawat jari rakh sakti hai. TOP BB line jo narrowing shuru hui hai jab Bollinger Band curve ho raha hai, Bollinger Band abhi narrow hone ki koshish kar raha hai.

H4 timeframe mein, sirf do bohot lambay bearish candles observe huye jo gradual upward movement ka response the. Is dafa seller ka pressure zabardast hai, jo price ko phir se girane ki koshish kar raha hai. Girawat ke bawajood, price mid-BB area ko penetrate karne mein kamyaab hui hai, jo MA200 aur MA100 ke saath coinciding hai. Isliye, yeh valid ho sakta hai agar price apni downward journey ko aglay support area ki taraf jari rakhti hai. Bollinger Band ka shape ab kaafi tilted upwards hai, BB ke taraf se koshishein hain ke level off ho. Pehle sideways movement ho sakti hai. Isliye, dono H4 aur H1 timeframes ke mad e nazar, price ka downward movement jari rehna expected hai.



Daily chart ke mutabiq EURUSD pair ki price kuch dinon se sideways channel mein move kar rahi hai. Haal ki surat-e-haal clear nahi hai kyunki flat movement yeh dikhati hai ke prices kisi bhi direction mein move kar sakti hain. Lekin agar hum chart ko dekhen to decline ka moka nazar ata hai. Agar aaj ka pair resistance level 1.0754 ko break nahi kar sakta, to phir uska decline hona expected hai. Isliye, aaj ki trading strategy short jana betar hoga.

Hello, global trend downward hai; maine hamesha isko tasleem kiya hai. Mere screenshots mein, sab moving averages (MAs) sellers ke trend ke sath aligned hain, jo ke zarur dekhne mein aa raha hoga. Iske bawajood, mein foren deals karne ka intezar nahi karunga. Mujhe 30-minute timeframe ki maloomat ka shukriya, magar mujhe daily (h1) timeframe par kaam karna pasand hai, jahan signals zyada reliable hote hain lambe arse ke liye. Abhi market sideways move kar rahi hai. Mujhe yakeen nahi ke aaj koi significant movement 1.0700 ki taraf hogi, lekin mein 1.0745 ke support level par nazar rakha hua hoon. Agar price is level tak nahi pohnchti aaj, to kal ka signal mazid strong hoga, jo ke purchase level mein disruption aur breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai.





Hum ek range mein phanse hue hain jahan na north aur na hi south clear direction le sakte hain. Yeh tempt kar sakta hai ke overall southern course ke continuation ko anticipate karein. Filhal, feasible strategy yeh hai ke is range mein modest profits se mutmaeen rahna trading ke doran. Technical standpoint se, four-hour chart par, bulls ko upper border of the Ichimoku Cloud, jo ke 1.0590 level par hai, pe resistance ka samna hai. Price is level se bounce karti rahi hai. Daily pivot level thoda sa above 1.0845 hai, aur further resistance around 1.0715 par hai. Quote local upward trend ke bawajood flat hai in the EURUSD pair. Abhi tak koi technical signal nahi mila showing ke side channel formation between 1.0685 aur 1.0710 complete hui hai, zyada tar isliye ke price ne four-hour chart par control value 1.0765 exceed nahi kiya.

H4 timeframe chart analysis ke mutabiq, bears 1.0745 ke support ko torhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Bears lagta hai ke move kar rahe hain, lekin ab tak koi significant result hasil nahi hua. Dollar ki current situation clear nahi hai; yeh conversions se driven hai na ke euros ki kisi substantial buying se. Lekin, currencies jaise ke franc aur yen zyada attention attract nahi kar rahe, isliye dollar ko doosre reasons ke liye move kiya ja raha hai. US economy se expected hai ke improvement karegi, pichle momentum ke inertia se driven hokar. Unemployment shayad decline hogi, aur inflation decrease hogi jab goods ki demand normalize hogi. Pandemic ke doran allocated payments ke muqable mein kam sick leave aur unemployment benefit payments bhi is normalization mein contribute karenge. Natije mein, dollar mazid strong hoga.



Short term mein, EUR/USD pair ke bearish move ka potential ab bhi hai. Eurozone data ki kami pair ke upside potential ko limit kar rahi hai. Agar 1.0750 se upar ka failed rally hota hai, to yeh sell scenario ko justify kar sakta hai, jo ke move ko channel ke middle tak 1.0590 ke aas-paas le jayega. Agar range ka breakout aur reverse test hota hai, to yeh euro par additional pressure dal sakta hai, ek aur sell signal create karte hue. Bears shayad 1.0635 par pullback karne ke baad retreat karen, lekin agar yeh range ke niche fix ho jaye, to further downside 1.0675 area tak lead kar sakti hai. Ultimate bearish target 1.0690 area hoga, jahan profit lena advisable hoga.

Akhir mein, jabke long-term outlook dollar ke liye positive hai US economy ke expected improvement ki wajah se, short-term technical analysis suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD pair mein potential bearish movements ho sakti hain. Market ko closely monitor karna aur informed trading decisions lene ke liye best opportunities ka intezar karna zaroori hai.



H4 timeframe chart analysis ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh waazeh hai ke bears 1.0745 ke significant support level ko challenge kar rahe hain. Halanki ab tak koi noteworthy breakthrough nahi aa saka, current forex market conditions mein dollar conversions ka asar dekhne ko mil raha hai. Dollar ki movement ko franc aur yen jaise currencies ke against measure karne ke bajaye, doosre economic factors influence kar rahe hain. Yeh expected hai ke US economy sustain aur grow karegi, inertia ke madad se jo pehle se economy mein momentum tha. Yahan unemployment rate giregi aur inflation kam ho gi jab demand normalize ho gi. Pandemic ke doran jo zyada sick leave aur unemployment benefits the, woh kam hone se bhi economic normalization mein madad mil rahi hai, jisse dollar mazid stable aur strong ho sakta hai.

Short-term scenarios ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD pair mein bearish movement ke chances hain. Eurozone se related significant data ki non-availability, pair ke upside potential ko constrain kar rahi hai. Jee agar 1.0750 ke ooper koi rally success nahi hoti, to sell scenario banta hai jo ke pair ko channel ke beech 1.0590 ke level tak le ja sakta hai. Range breakout ke test aur reverse moves jo hain, woh euro ke against additional pressure create kar sakte hain, jo ek aur selling signal banega. Bears ke possible pullback ke chances hain 1.0635 ke around, lekin agar yeh range ke niche settle hota hai, to yeh 1.0675 area tak aur niche ke movement ka intezar rahay ga. Bears ka ultimate target area 1.0690 hoga, jahan profitable exits consider karna best option ho ga.

In conclusion, jabke long-term mein dollar strong lag raha hai US economy ke growth prospects key wajah se, short-term mein EUR/USD pair bearish moves ke potential ko show kar raha hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke market movements ko closely dekhte rahein aur informed trading decisions ke liye appropriate opportunities ke liye intezar karein.

USD apni taqat dikhata hua, mangal ke din 1.0917 ka chhe hafton ka bulandai tak pohanch gaya hai, kamzor hotay hue US dollar aur European Central Bank ke monetary policy plans ke hawale se goonghi chal ke beech. ECB ne mukarrar course of action par committment se parheiz kiya hai, aur data-driven approach ko apnaya hai, jo market ki umeedon ko aggressive easing ke liye 2024 mein kam kar rahi hai. Ibtida mein, investors ne is saal teen rate cuts ki tawakku ki thi, magar June ke meeting ke baad ye paish-goi aik rate cut tak gir gayi hai, jo kuch ECB officials ke is hidayat ke mutabiq hai ke bohat zyada dovish policies se inflationary pressures dobara barh sakte hain. Doosri taraf, USD ko support mil rahi hai kamzori ke aik muddat ke baad, US Dollar Index 104.30 tak barh gaya hai, jo risk appetite mein kami ke wajah se hai. Investors zyada ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain, kyunki September rate cut ke hawale se Federal Reserve ke bets thande pad gaye hain. Fed officials ne apne irade ka izhar kiya hai ke wo mojooda interest rates ko qaim rakhna chahte hain jab tak ke wo mehngai ko kam karne mein khaas taraqqi na dekhein, aur ab market umeed kar raha hai ke Fed sirf 2024 ke akhri quarter mein rates ko kam karna shuru karega. Euro currency mazboot kadam utha rahi hai, apni pehli do mahine ki bulandai 1.0917 ko dobara hasil karte hue. Agar ye level faisla kun torh le, to ye ise aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai, mumkin hai ke March 21 ka peak 1.0951 ko ya phir 1.1000 ke nafsiati had ko bhi torh de. Magar, agar exchange rate 200-day Exponential Moving Average 1.0803 se neeche gir jaye, to ye aik downward correction ko trigger kar sakta hai. Anay wale dinon mein Eurozone aur US se ane wale aham economic data is currency pair ke performance par khaas asar dal sakte hain. Euro ki mojooda mazbooti, jo ke Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern se breakout se barhayi gayi hai, iska mazeed gains ka ishara deti hai. Is ke bawajood, Relative Strength Index indicator is upward momentum mein ek mumkinah arzi waqfa ka ishara kar raha hai.EUR/USD apni taqat dikhata hua, mangal ke din 1.0917 ka chhe hafton ka bulandai tak pohanch gaya hai, kamzor hotay hue US dollar aur European Central Bank ke monetary policy plans ke hawale se goonghi chal ke beech. ECB ne mukarrar course of action par committment se parheiz kiya hai, aur data-driven approach ko apnaya hai, jo market ki umeedon ko aggressive easing ke liye 2024 mein kam kar rahi hai. Ibtida mein, investors ne is saal teen rate cuts ki tawakku ki thi, magar June ke meeting ke baad ye paish-goi aik rate cut tak gir gayi hai, jo kuch ECB officials ke is hidayat ke mutabiq hai ke bohat zyada dovish policies se inflationary pressures dobara barh sakte hain. Doosri taraf, USD ko support mil rahi hai kamzori ke aik muddat ke baad, US Dollar Index 104.30 tak barh gaya hai, jo risk appetite mein kami ke wajah se hai. Investors zyada ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain, kyunki September rate cut ke hawale se Federal Reserve ke bets thande pad gaye hain. Fed officials ne apne irade ka izhar kiya hai ke wo mojooda interest rates ko qaim rakhna chahte hain jab tak ke wo mehngai ko kam karne mein khaas taraqqi na dekhein, aur ab market umeed kar raha hai ke Fed sirf 2024 ke akhri quarter mein rates ko kam karna shuru karega.

Trading Wisdom: EUR/USD Prices

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ki ongoing price assessment ka study kar rahe hain. Main ne kal ek short position initiate ki thi, lekin ab tak EUR/USD pair mein yeh bearish momentum significant tor par southward progress nahi kar saka. Shayad yeh pair dobara resistance level 1.0759 ke kareeb approach kare, uske baad hum ek strong downward move dekhen jo ke support level 1.0529 ko target karega. Iske bawajood, main apni short position close nahi karunga kyunke main ab bhi bearish outlook mein believe karta hoon. H4 timeframe par, ya to current candle sharply bearish turn karegi, ya hum upar 1.0799 ke taraf break karenge, jo ek renewed bearish direction push ko zaroori banayegi ya weak bullish candles ka aana.



Critical session yeh hai ke hum growth momentum ko avoid karein jo bearish trend ko disrupt kar sakta hai. Hum ab bhi selling aur 1.0664 ke neeche levels ko test karte rehna chaahte hain. Charts indicate karte hain ke pair gradually upward shift kar raha hai. Aaj subah open ki gayi orders mein se zyada close ho chuki hain, siwaye ek ke. Dono charts dikhate hain ke trend moving average line ke neeche hai, aur indicators bullish movement ka suggest kar rahe hain. Dollar ke liye aaj kuch significant news releases expected hain. In announcements ke baad, pair around 1.0739 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo bearish trend ko complete karega. Abhi ke liye, pair pull back kar raha hai bearish direction mein, lekin main yeh expect karta hoon ke yeh minimal hoga. Isliye, main further bullish movement ka intezaar kar raha hoon.

EUR/USD pair ne resistance aur potential pullbacks ke signs dikhaye hain, lekin overall market indicators aur upcoming US fundamentals cautious lekin continued focus bearish positions par recommend karte hain. Traders ko key resistance aur support levels ko monitor karna chahiye aur economic data ko analyze karna chahiye taake yeh evolving trend ko navigate kar sakein.





Key Points of Analysis:

1. Current Position: Halaat ab bhi bearish hain, lekin significant southward movement ab tak nahi hua. Main apni short position close nahi karunga kyunke mera outlook ab bhi bearish hai.

2. H4 Timeframe Outlook: Ya to current candle sharply bearish turn karegi ya hum 1.0799 ke upar break karenge jo renewed bearish push ya weak bullish candles ko zaroori banayegi.

3. US Market Fundamentals: US market fundamentals jaldi release honge, aur main expect karta hoon ke sales increase hogi, similar to European session opening.

4. Risk Management: Yeh critical hai ke hum growth momentum ko avoid karein jo bearish trend ko disrupt kar sakta hai. Still looking to test and sell levels below 1.0664.

5. Market Indicators: Charts indicate gradual upward shift, lekin moving average line ke neeche trend aur bullish movement ke indicators hain.

6. Significant News: Dollar ke liye aaj kuch significant news releases expected hain. Announcements ke baad, pair around 1.0739 tak pohanch sakta hai.

7. Bearish Pullback: Pair abhi bearish direction mein pull back kar raha hai, lekin yeh minimal ho sakta hai, aur further bullish movement ka intezaar hai.

In sab baaton ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko chahiye ke market ko closely observe karein, key resistance/support levels aur economic data ko monitor karte hue informed trading decisions lein. Overall evolution ke bawajood, cautious bearish positions maintain karna abhi bhi strategy mein align hota hai.

### EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

EUR/USD currency pair jo ke is waqt 1.0696 par trade kar raha hai, ek bearish trend dekh raha hai. Bhalay hi market ka movement slow hai, kayi factors suggest karte hain ke kareeb future mein ek significant shift ho sakti hai. In factors ko samajhna traders aur investors ko aane wali volatility ke liye tayar karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

### Macroeconomic Environment

Pehle, Eurozone aur United States ki macroeconomic environment bohot important role play karti hain. Euro pressure mein hai due to economic challenges in the Eurozone, jaise ke sluggish growth, inflationary pressures, aur political uncertainties, Italy aur Spain jaise mulkon mein. European Central Bank (ECB) ne ek dovish stance rakha hai with low interest rates aur quantitative easing measures economy ko stimulate karne ke liye. Magar agar inflation barh gayi, toh ECB might be forced to adopt ek zyada hawkish stance, jo ke euro ko strengthen kar sakta hai.

Iske baraks, U.S. dollar relatively strong raha hai, supported by Federal Reserve ki tighter monetary policy. Fed ne interest rates ko barhaya hai inflation ko combat karne ke liye, jo dollar ko bolster karta hai. Agar Fed ki policy mein koi changes aayein, jaise ek pause in rate hikes ya indications of future cuts, toh dollar weak ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair mein significant movement aasakti hai. Strong economic data from the U.S., jaise ke employment figures aur GDP growth, dollar ko support karte hain. Magar agar economic slowdown ke koi signs aaye, toh market sentiment shift ho sakti hai.

### Geopolitical Events

Geopolitical events bhi ek critical factor hain jo EUR/USD pair mein significant movements drive kar sakte hain. Jaise ongoing trade negotiations, political developments, ya economic sanctions heightened volatility la sakte hain. Positive developments, jaise trade disputes ke resolutions ya Eurozone mein increased political stability, investor confidence ko boost kar sakte hain euro mein. Conversely, geopolitical tensions ya sanctions jo Eurozone ya U.S. ko affect karte hain, safe-haven assets ki demand ko increase kar sakte hain, jo EUR/USD pair ko impact karte hain.

### Market Sentiment and Speculative Activities

Market sentiment aur speculative activities bhi currency pair ko influence karte hain. Traders aur investors closely monitor karte hain economic indicators ko, including GDP growth, employment rates, aur manufacturing output, Eurozone aur U.S. economies ki health ko gauge karne ke liye. Strong economic data from the Eurozone euro mein confidence instill kar sakti hai, jo potentially bearish trend ko reverse kar sakti hai. On the other hand, disappointing data current bearish sentiment ko exacerbate kar sakti hai. Speculative activities, driven by market expectations aur reactions to news, in movements ko amplify kar sakti hain.

### Technical Analysis

Technical analysis additional insights provide karta hai potential future movements of the EUR/USD pair ke liye. Filhal, pair ek critical support level ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh level ke neeche break ho gaya, toh yeh ek bearish trend ke continuation ko signal kar sakta hai, jo further declines ko lead kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar pair is support par hold karta hai aur rebound hota hai, toh yeh ek reversal aur significant upward movement ko indicate kar sakta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) useful tools hain trend reversals ya continuations ko identify karne ke liye.

### Conclusion

Akhir mein, jabke EUR/USD pair filhal ek bearish trend aur slow market movements dekh raha hai, kayi factors significant changes ke potential ko suggest karte hain. Economic policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sab possible volatility ko point out karte hain aane wale dino mein. Yeh pair apni bearish trajectory ko continue karega ya bullish reversal dekhega yeh depend karega in factors par. Is liye, yeh crucial hai ke traders aur investors informed rahein aur naye developments par ready rahein jo EUR/USD currency pair ko impact kar sakte hain. Ek well-informed aur strategic approach essential hogi is currency pair ke potential shifts ko navigate karne ke liye, jo market participants ko emerging opportunities ko capitalize karne ka mauka degi.

Naye Hafte Ki Ibtida aur EUR/USD Ki Halat:

Yeh jodi naye hafte ka aghaz ikkamiliyati andaz me kar rahi hai, apne recent heavy nuqsanat ko consolidate kar rahi hai. Guzishta Jumeraat ko, yeh jodi apne sabse neechay level par thi jo ke early June ke aas paas, 1.0667 ke regions mein tha. Abhi spot prices 1.0745 mark ke aas paas hain, jo ke extended downward trajectory ko suggest karte hain jo ke guzishta do hafton se dekhi gayi hai.

European Central Bank (ECB) Ki Tashwish:

ECB ke officials actively market ko reassure karne mein masroof hain jab Euro is hafta doosri major currencies ke muqablay mein underperform kar raha hai. Siyasi manzar nama bhi pur-raah hai, jabke French President Emmanuel Macron ne government ko dissol kar diya aur snap election ka elan kiya. Yeh qadam right-wing contender Marine Le Pen ke uthanay ko counter karne ke liye uthaya gaya hai, jo recent European parliamentary elections mein achanak jeet gayi thi.

Federal Reserve Ke Projections Aur Market Sentiment Par Asar:

Market sentiment ko is hafta nuksan uthana para Federal Reserve ke latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) ke baad. SEP ne yeh reveal kiya ke market expectations multiple rate cuts ki hain jo ke Fed anticipate karta hai. Khaas tor par, Fed ke median interest rate expectations, jo "dot plot" mein depict ki gayi hain, sirf ek rate cut include karti hain 2024 mein, jo ke March mein projected teen rate cuts se neeche hai.





Technical Analysis Aur Mustaqbil Ka Outlook:

Pichli Jumeraat ko, EUR/USD pair do hafton ki nayaab neechey level par tha 1.0667. Magar, US market session ke doran ek mild recovery dekhne ko mili, jahan yeh jodi wapas 1.0700 ke aas paas aa gayi trading week ke khatam hone tak. Yeh pair near-term choppy trading experience kar rahi hai, jo ke June ke doran 1.0900 se neeche aayi hai.

Technical Analysis Ka Ghoor:

Rozana candlesticks 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche gir chuki hain jo ke 1.0788 par hai. Yeh movement yeh clear karti hai ke yeh jodi potentially ek extended slide kar sakti hai April’s swing low ke kareeb 1.0600 mark. Waqti technical setup suggest karta hai ke yeh jodi mazeed declines ke liye vulnerable hai.

H4 Trading Chat on EUR/USD:

Pehle trading din guzar chuka hai aur aaj hum phir se H4 period chart par EUR/USD currency pair ko dekhenge. Guzishta trading haftay mein, price ne sideways movement ki, kehna kafi hai ke kisi bhi direction mein nahi gayi. Aur is hafta ka aghaz buyers ke liye achha raha, price gap ke saath uthi aur aage chal padi. Lagta hai France ke elections ne kisi tarah asar kiya hai. Tezi ke doran, price ne guzishta do hafton ke highs ko update kar diya. Magar price wahan tik nahi pai aur jaldi se neeche gir gayi, jisse ek false breakout bana - yeh decline ka signal tha.

Jab false breakout hota hai, to guzishta growth wave ka renewal count nahi hota. Hum yeh maan sakte hain ke wave structure descending tha aur ab bhi hai. MACD indicator downward sentiment ko support nahi kar raha, yeh ab bhi upper purchase zone mein hai. Jaise ke mujhe umeed thi, kal horizontal support level 1.0721 tak descent dekhne ko mili, jahan price ne market opening ke price gap ko partial cover kar liya. Is level se kuch upward rebound tha, lekin mujhe ab bhi ummed hai ke yeh neechay break hoga. Abhi hum isi level par khare hain, aur zyada buyers accumulate karne ka mauka de rahe hain jo is level ko dekh rahe hain, taake unhein neeche le jaa sakein.



Neeche humare paas 1.0666 ka reinforced concrete support level hai. Teen hafton se lagatar, price isi jagah par poke kar rahi hai aur neeche nahi jaa pai; mujhe umeed thi ke yeh kam az kam update hoga, thoda bohot hi sahi, buyers ke stops ko knock down karne ke liye jo wahan par hain. Hum upar gaye, ab hum neeche ja sakte hain, mujhe yaqeen nahi ke price bina is level 1.0666 ko pierce kiye upar chali jayegi. Main yeh maan raha hoon ke price issi taraf jaane ki koshish kar rahi hai aur mein abhi sirf neeche ki taraf kaam karne ka intekhab karta hoon.

Aaj Ki Khabrein:

Aaj ki news par note karne wala hai:

- 12:00 Moscow time - Eurozone ka Consumer Price Index (CPI).
- 16:30 - US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech.
- 17:00 - US labor market mein open vacancies ki tadaad.

Is news ka asar market par zaroor ho sakta hai, lekin current technical setup aur previous price action ko dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke price 1.0666 ke support level ki taraf aur neeche jaane ki koshish karegi.

EUR/USD Market Ki Tajziya:

EUR/USD pair ki market abhi bhi Monday ki overnight market trading mein upar chadhne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Aaj price increase ka silsila jaari nahi raha kyunki sellers ka selling pressure further increases ko roknay mein laga hua hai. Agar hum guzishta kuch din ki market situation ka jaiza lein tou yeh lagta hai ke buyers ki strength wapas aa gayi hai, jo ke week's start mein bullish candlestick ke formation se zahir hoti hai.

Pichle hafte ki market journey bearish side par 1.0667 ki position tak gayi thi. Uske baad, jab forex market ne is hafte ke trading period mein daakhil hui, tou price yahaan se rise karte hue lowest zone se door gayi hai. Hafte ke aghaz mein price increase itni strong nahi thi kyunki price phir se neeche gir gayi. Shaayad beech hafte mein aur bhi zyada volatility dekhne ko milay.

Bari time frame mein, EUR/USD market ki situation bullish side par dikhayi deti hai. Main is situation ko daily aur 4-hour time frames ke charts se monitor kar raha hoon. Magar, pichle hafte ke akhri dinon mein, sellers ki taraf se price ko neeche lanay ki koshish ziada strong thi. Magar yeh bearish price sirf ek ya do din tak hi chalti rahi, baaqi waqt market upar hi chal rahi hai.

Agar is hafte market increase karne ki koshish karti hai, tou lagta hai ke yeh bullish trend ko continue kar sakti hai. Main dekh raha hoon ke aksar beech hafte mein high volatility movements hoti hain aur market mein price increase continue hone ka mauka hota hai. Kyunki short-term sentiment EUR/USD pair mein upward hai, isliye behtar hai ke humble Uptrend par focus karein. Shayad buyers candlestick ko 1.0788 zone tak test karne ke liye upar lena chahtay hain.





Important Trading Points:

- EUR/USD pair market ka Monday ki overnight trading mein upar chadhne ka irada.
- Selling pressure se further increases nahi ho paa rahi.
- Guzaashta kuch dinon mein buyers ki strength wapas aati dikhayi de rahi hai.
- Pichle hafte bearish journey aur is hafte bullish start observe hui hai.
- Market ki larger time frame par bullish trend hoti dikhayi de rahi hai.
- Short-term sentiment upward hai, lehaza Uptrend par focus karein aur 1.0788 zone tak rise ho sakta hai.

Aaj Ki Trading Khabrein:

- Sellers ka strong effort price ko neeche lanay ka, magar bearish price sirf ek ya do din tak hi rahi.
- Market beech hafte ke doran zyada volatile ho sakti hai.
- Daily aur 4-hour time frames bullish sentiment ko support kar rahe hain.
- Buyers candlestick ko 1.0788 zone tak uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Is tamam tajziya se humari trading strategy mein stability aur foresight aa sakti hai, especially agar hum market trends aur volatile movements ko dhyaan mein rakhein.