eur/usd

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Aaj kal EUR/USD currency pair par ghour kiya ja raha hai uski ongoing price action ki wajah se, jo notable pullback dikhata hai. Iss waqt pair 1.0769 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh movement traders aur analysts ki tawajjo ko attract kar rahi hai jo pair ke behavior ko closely dekh rahe hain taake iske future trajectory ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Key level jo dekhne wala hai woh primary resistance level hai, jo 1.0779 par hai. Yeh resistance level significant hai kyunki yeh woh price point hai jahan selling pressure zyada hota hai buying pressure ke muqable mein, jisse price stall ya reverse ho jati hai. Agar EUR/USD is resistance level ko break kar le, toh yeh market sentiment mein change ka signal ho sakta hai aur bullish trend ko lead kar sakta hai. Magar, current sentiment market mein kuch aur hi suggest kar raha hai. EUR/USD pair ka prevailing outlook bearish hai.

Kayi factors is bearish sentiment mein contribute kar rahe hain. Ek toh broader economic indicators aur monetary policies Eurozone aur United States mein aisi hain jahan Euro Dollar ke muqable mein underperform kar raha hai. Eurozone economic challenges se joojh raha hai, jaise slower growth aur inflationary pressures, jo Euro par bura asar daal rahe hain. Dusri taraf, U.S. economy relatively strong hai, supported by robust economic data aur Federal Reserve ki aggressive monetary policy stance se. Yeh economic health aur policy direction ka divergence crucial role play kar raha hai current bearish sentiment mein towards EUR/USD pair.

Technical analysis bhi is bearish outlook ko support karti hai. 1.0769 par pullback dikhata hai ke currency pair ko upward momentum gain karne mein mushkilat ho rahi hai. Agar price resistance level 1.0779 ke neeche rehti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ko reinforce karegi. Technical indicators jaise moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi bearish pattern reflect kar rahe hain. Misal ke taur par, agar 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke neeche cross kar jaye, toh yeh bearish crossover ka signal hoga, jo downward trend ko further confirm karega.



Traders ko 1.0779 resistance level ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar price is level ko break nahi kar pati, toh yeh suggest karega ke bearish trend likely continue hoga. Wapas, agar price is resistance ko breach karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh market dynamics mein potential shift ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo bullish reversal ko lead kar sakta hai. Magar, given current economic backdrop aur technical indicators, aise breakout ki likelihood limited lagti hai.

In summary, EUR/USD currency pair ek pullback experience kar rahi hai aur is waqt 1.0769 par trade kar rahi hai. Primary resistance level jo dekhne wala hai woh 1.0779 hai. Broader economic conditions aur technical analysis suggest karte hain ke pair likely bearish rahegi jab tak price is resistance level ke neeche rehti hai. Traders aur analysts ko market developments ko closely dekhte rehna chahiye aur potential fluctuations ke liye prepared rehna chahiye pair ki price action mein. Bearish sentiment expect kiya jata hai ke persist karega jab tak economic fundamentals mein significant shift ya market sentiment mein notable change nahi aata.

EUR/USD H4 Analysis

Euro is abhi US dollar ke muqable mein kaafi kamzor hai, aur May ke shuru se apne sabse neeche point par hai. Yeh abhi 1.0700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, lekin analysts ko dar hai ke yeh aur neeche ja sakta hai. Is kamzori ki kuch wajahain hain. Pehli, France ke aane wale elections ko lekar kaafi tension hai. Right-wing National Front Party opinion polls mein aage chal rahi hai, aur unki proposed spending plans eurozone ki dusri badi economy mein ek financial crisis ka khauf paida kar rahe hain. French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire ne bhi warning di hai ke agar right ya left wing jeet jati hai, toh country financial turmoil face kar sakti hai.

Doosri wajah yeh hai ke recent US dollar ki strength euro par aur zyada pressure daal rahi hai. Yeh isliye ho raha hai kyunke US Consumer Prices Index (CPI) data ne inflation slowdown ka signal diya, jo dollar ki appeal ko barhata hai.

Euro ki decline technical indicators mein bhi nazar aa rahi hai. Relative Strength Index aur Stochastic Oscillator dono "oversold" zone mein hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke euro ka correction due hai. Iske alawa, key support levels jaise ke 1.0745 aur 200-day moving average bhi break ho chuke hain, jo downward trend ko aur fuel kar rahe hain.



16 June 2023 ke baad se movement ne neeche girne ka trend apnaya hai. Yeh tab hua jab candle 1.0753 ke demand area ko access karne mein nakam rahi. Demand area mein candle ke hold karne se mujhe double bottom pattern ke form hone ka potential bhi dikh raha hai. Valid hone ke liye, candle ko 1.0753 ke price range mein resistance ko paar karna padega.

Isliye, mein un doston ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trade karte hain ke wo sirf buy positions par focus karein, kyunke stochastic index jo main use karta hoon wo 20 level tak pohoch gaya hai, jo over sold condition indicate karta hai.

H4 Trading Chat On EURUSD

Pehla trading din guzar gaya hai aur aaj hum dobara H4 period chart dekhenge - EURUSD currency pair. Guzishta trading haftay ke doran, price ne sideways movement ki, kehnay ka matlab hai ke kahin nahi gayi. Aur yeh hafta buyers ke liye positive start hua, price gap ke sath open hui aur aage barhi. Shaid France ke elections ne kuch asar dala. Rapid growth ke doran, price ne pichlay do haftay ke maximum ko update kiya. Magar price wahan qaim nahi reh saki aur jaldi se neechay chali gayi, jo ke ek false breakout tha - decline ka signal. False breakout hone ki wajah se, peechli growth wave ka renewal count nahi hota. Hum yeh maan saktay hain ke wave structure descending thi aur ab bhi waise hi hai, MACD indicator downward sentiment ko support nahi kar raha, yeh upper purchase zone mein hi raha
Jaise ke mujhe umeed thi, kal horizontal support level 1.0721 tak ek descent hua, price ne market ke opening par price gap ko partially cover kiya. Is level se, shaayad kuch upward rebound hua, magar phir bhi main umeed karta hoon ke yeh neechay break hoga. Abhi hum bas iss level par kharay hain, zyada buyers ko accumulate hone de rahe hain jo is level ko dekh kar neeche aayenge. Neeche, humare paas reinforced concrete support level 1.0666 hai. Teen haftay se lagatar, price isi jagah par stick ho rahi hai aur neeche nahi ja pa rahi; main umeed karta tha ke yeh kam az kam update hoga, thoda bahut, taake buyers ke stops knock down ho jayein jo shaayad wahan par hain. Hum upar gaye, ab hum neeche ja saktay hain, mujhe yakeen nahi ke price bas upar chali jaye gi bina 1.0666 level ko pierce kiye. Main assume karta hoon ke price udhar hi jayegi aur main filhal sirf downward trade karne ka soch raha hoon
Aaj ke news mein
12:00 Moscow time - Consumer Price Index (CPI) eurozone mein.
16:30 - US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech.
17:00 - US labor market mein open vacancies ki tadaad

EUR/USD: Munafa Ki Mumkinat

EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat kee tajziya aur guftagu humare is article ka markaz hai. Raat ke bullish spike ko main afsosnaak qarar deta hoon, jis mein euro-dollar ne 1.0774 tak pohanch kar abhi ke H-4 chart par mojood current neechayi trend ko tasdeeq kiya hai. EUR/USD ka qareebi ahmiyat ka sath 1.0732 par hai. Agar daurane ke baad quotes is se neechay gir jaen, to euro-dollar apni girawat ko 1.0663 ki bearish starting line tak jari rakh sakta hai. Ye mumkin hai ke barish ne is level tak foran se pohanch jaye, kyun ke short-term mauqe iss saath mumkin hain 1.0689 ki support se, jahan se mazeed daurane ka imkaan hai. Euro-dollar ke mustaqbil par asar andaz hone ki khaas imkaanat anay wali teen din ke US labour market statistics se ho sakti hain, is wajah se EUR/USD par shadeed shak-o-shuba mukhtalif muddaton tak jari reh sakta hai. Lekin euro-dollar ne abhi tak apni bearish girawat ko khatam nahin kiya hai.

Ye bearish daily Pin bar technical correction ka H-4 time frame tak intehaam hone ki nishandahi karta hai. Isi tarah, agle kuch dinon mein EUR/USD pair ka mazeed neechayi daur dekhne ko mumkin hai, jis mein shayad April ke daily resistance zone tak pohanch jaen. Aaj, pair ne mukhtalif directions mein trade kiya. Powell ke khitab ke shuru mein dollar ki kamzori nazar aayi. Ye waqti tor par aik dushmani ho sakti hai ya haqeeqi signal ho sakti hai aik bullish daur ke liye, jo ke bearish reversal pattern ko nakara bana sakta hai. Lekin yeh sirf meri raye hai. Jab US market is par react karega, to hum dekhenge ke wo situation ko kaise qadar karta hai. Halat mein aik reverse bullish Pin bar bana hai, lekin yeh yaqeeni nahin ke wo din ke ikhtitam tak qaim rahe ga. Yeh tajziya bazar ke afsaron ki iltijaati harkat aur qareeb anay walay maali maalumat ke mutabiq tawajjo dene ki surat mein hai. Traders ko dono taraf ki harkaton ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, magar mojooda indicators ke mutabiq bearish trend zyada mumkin nazar aa

EUR/USD Decline Continues: Political Uncertainty in Eurozone

Eurozone mein barhti hui siyasi bay-yaqeeni ki wajah se EUR/USD pair ne Friday ke New York session ke doran apni decline ko 1.0680 tak barhaya. President Emmanuel Macron ke snap election ke call ne Euro par bohot asar dala hai, jisse pair ki downward trend aur tez ho gayi hai.

ECB ke Rate Cut aur Lagarde ka Mohtaat Rukh:

European Central Bank (ECB) ne is hafte ek intezar kiya gaya rate cut diya, lekin ECB President Christine Lagarde ne July mein ek aur cut ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya. Lagarde ne inflation par uneven progress ko highlight kiya, aur kaha ke ECB ko disinflation ke mazid signs dekhne hain pehle ke wo aur rate reductions par commit karein. ECB ke head ka yeh mohtaat rukh Euro bulls ko rok raha hai, jo trading week ke end par ek rebound ki umeed kar rahe the.

Traders ki Nazar FOMC Decision aur US Inflation Data par:

Outlook suggest karta hai ke pair apni downward trend ko continue karega. Magar, traders FOMC policy decision ke critical Wednesday ke pehle aggressive bets karne mein mohtaat rahenge. Latest US consumer inflation figures ka release pivotal hoga, kyunke yeh USD ko drive karega aur significant market impetus provide karega.

Support Levels aur Bearish Indicators:

Un logon ke liye jo potential upside movements ko track kar rahe hain, pehla resistance barrier 1.0760 ke regions par hai, jo Bollinger Band ke upper boundary aur ek key psychological level ke sath align karta hai. Agar pair higher move kare, toh agle hurdles 1.0850, 1.0965, aur phir 1.0982 par anticipate kiye ja rahe hain



Downside par, pehla support level 1.0660 ke aas-paas hai, jo June 6 ke low aur Bollinger Band ke lower limit ke sath coincide karta hai. Agla critical support level 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.0768 par monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar yeh level sustain nahi hota, toh aur selling attract hogi, jo target karegi 1.0611 mark ko.

Assalam-o-Alaikum. Yahan aur wahan jo ho raha hai, sab kuch aasan hai, kyunki woh ek jagah se barh gaye thay aur phir amreeka walon par gir gaye aur rozana ke chart par chhod diye gaye thay. Lekin unhone sab se qareebi maqasid ooper ki taraf uchhal liya. Aaj, asal mein, halat ulte hain, kyunki abhi tak woh yooropeon par girne ke liye zakhmi hain, lekin unhone 1.07 tak bhi nahi pohnch paaya, aur ab woh barhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin yeh kaam theek se nahi ho raha hai. Is ke ilawa, aaj humain America se musbat data bhi mila hai. Is liye mere liye kuch bhi nahi badla hai, kyunki main ab sirf nazar daari kar raha hoon. Aur main aise prices se transactions nahi consider karta. Lekin mujhe yakeen hai ke hum 1.0690 ke neechay ja sakte hain aur sirf wahan main khareedari ki ijazat deta hoon.

EUR/USD WEEKLY TIME FRAME CHART:

Yooropee currency ke positions mein nuqsan ke pehlo se, jahan America dollar duniya bhar ke trading platforms par mustehkam ho raha hai, rozana ke waqt bohat technical nazar aata hai, azeez doston aur izzat daar saathiyo. Beshak, chhoti arsi technical islaahen ko kisi ne bhi mansookh nahi kiya. Be shak, ECB aur Fed ke maali hukmaranon ke interest rates ne investors aur medium-term traders ke jazbat par asar daala hai aur bull's horns ne sangeen tanqeed ki aur ek badi crack base par di. Is tarah, hum aqalmandi se jaari bearish mazak ko jari rakhne ka ahtemam nahi kar sakte. Mushahada karna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD: Faida ke imkaanat

EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ko humari tajziya aur mubahasa ka maqsad banega. Mujhe yakeen hai ke raat ke bullish spike ne tajziya tha, jab euro-dollar ne H-4 chart par abhi bhi girne ka raasta muqarrar kiya. EUR/USD ke liye nazdeek ki bunyadi support 1.0732 par hai. Agar, ek pullback ke baad, quotes is se neeche gir jaayein, to euro-dollar apni girawat ko jari rakh sakta hai bearish start line 1.0663 tak. Abhi bhi mumkin hai ke bear is level tak foran se pohanch jayein, kyun ke short-term mauqe ho sakte hain support 1.0689 par, jahan se ek aur pullback mumkin hai. Euro-dollar ke mustaqbil par asar daalne wale hain anay wale teen dinon ke ameer labor market statistics, is liye EUR/USD par uncertainty jari reh sakta hai jis takke Friday tak. Lekin euro-dollar ne abhi tak apni bearish pullback ko khatam nahi kiya hai.

Bearish daily Pin bar ne technical correction ke khatam hone ka ishara diya hai H-4 time frame tak. Is tarah, agle kuch dinon mein hum euro-dollar pair ke ek aur neeche ki taraf rawish dekh sakte hain, jis se ho sakta hai ke April ke daily resistance zone tak pohanch jayein. Aaj, pair ne mukhtalif directions mein trade kiya. Powell ke taqreer ke shuru hone par dollar kamzor dikhne laga. Yeh temporary lure ho sakta hai ya asal mein bullish move ka sachcha signal ho sakta hai, bearish reversal pattern ko mansookh karne ki mumkinat ki taraf ishara dete hue. Lekin yeh sirf meri raay hai. Jaise ke US market ka reaction hota hai, hum dekh sakte hain ke woh situaion ka tawazun kaise qarar deta hai. Halat ki taraf mod raha hai reverse bullish Pin bar, lekin yeh ghoshit nahi kiya ja sakta ke yeh din ke aakhir tak qaim rahega. Yeh tajziya market ki tauqeerati ravish aur anay walay maali data ke muntazir intezar ki alamaat hai. Traders ko dono directions mein movement ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin mojooda indicators ke mutabiq bearish trend zyada mutasir nazar aata hai.

Powell ECB forum mein taqreer kar rahe hain aur jaise hamesha dollar ko "giraya", jabke Lagarde unse pehle taqreer ki aur unhone euro ko thora sa support bhi diya. Jaise ke Powell ne kuch khaas nahi kaha, aur yeh bhi unke andaaz mein sab kuch hai. Is waqt, EUR/USD 1.0740 ke level ko tor chuka hai aur 1.0750 tak resistance ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. EMA200 ke shakhsiyat mein key resistance level 1.0760 par hai. Mujhe samajh nahi aata ke market ne Powell ke is tarah kyun react kiya, kyunki asal mein unhone kuch naya nahi kaha. Unhone September ke bare mein kuch nahi kaha aur kaha ke abhi bhi behtar hone ki koshish ki ja sakti hai aur labor market abhi tak kafi mazboot hai, aur inflation 2% tak nahi pohancha hai, wala ke is mein disinflation ke signs nazar aa rahe hain. Lagarde bhi kehti hai ke inflation sahi raaste par hai, lekin yeh abhi kehna zyada jaldi hai ke woh na barh sakta hai. Powell keh raha hai ke Fed apne faislon mein jaldi nahi kar sakta hai aur keh raha hai ke America mein aur Europe mein inflation do mukhtalif cheezein hain aur inhen compare nahi kiya jana chahiye. Is liye mukhtalif approaches honi chahiye. Woh is waqt bohat kuch keh rahe hain, lekin market un sab mein dollar ko bechnay mein tezi nahi dikha raha hai.

As of now, price ko upward price channels ko todne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, lekin yeh amal abhi tak haqeeqat mein tabdeel nahi hua hai. Halat trading ke andar bearish price channels mein hain, jo keh pichle do hafton ke price movement ko numayan karte hain. Is haftay mein, bullish trend nazar aaya hai. Trading weekly pivot level ke neeche shuru hui aur price channels ke andar, lekin channels ke middle lines se support mila. Price phir tezi se barhi, weekly pivot level ko tor diya, channel line se rebound kiya, aur phir dobara weekly pivot level se support mila. Yeh waqiaat ka silsila price channels aur weekly resistance level 1.0735 ke potential torne ka ishara deta hai.

Muntazir price movement:

Upar ki taraf profit ke liye maujoodgi sabit hoti hai jo keh ek green line ke roop mein resistance level 1.0735 se ooper jaari hai. Yeh mauqa tab hasil kiya ja sakta hai jab price resistance 1.0765 ko tor kar is ke ooper ek ghante tak trade kare.
Neeche ki taraf ek red line weekly pivot level ke neeche jaari hai, jo support level 1.0705 tak pohanchti hai, aur yeh ek mumkin decline ki taraf ishara deti hai. Jab price giray, weekly pivot level ko toray, aur is ke neeche ek ghante tak trade kare, to is par aitmad kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair par trade ke liye:

Khareedari mumkin hai jab price 1.0710 ke resistance level ke ooper stabil ho jaye ek ghante tak. Stop-loss level weekly pivot level ke neeche adjust karein, aur target level 1.0780 ke resistance level ke neeche adjust karein.
Farokht mumkin hai jab price weekly pivot level ke neeche giray. Stop-loss level 1.0765 ke resistance level ke ooper adjust ho sakta hai, aur target level 1.0725 ke support level ke ooper adjust ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ke market ke daur mein abhi tak koshish jari hai ke Monday ke overnight market trading mein ooncha chadhai ki jaye. Aaj ke price mein izafa jaari nahi raha hai kyunki bechne walon ki pressure se agay izafa rukawat mein hai. Agar hum market ki halat ko pichle kuch dinon mein dekhein, to lagta hai ke khareedne walon ki taqat phir se dakhil ho chuki hai kyunki is haftay ke shuru mein bullish candlestick ki formation se ye dekha ja sakta hai. Pichle haftay ke market safar ke liye, pehle yeh bearish side ki taraf safar kiya tha 1.0667 ke position tak, phir jab forex market is haftay ke trading muddat mein dakhil hua, to price lowest zone se ooncha nazr aane laga. Haftay ke shuru ke price mein itni taqat nazar nahi aayi kyunki price phir gir gaya. Darmiyan ke haftay mein mazeed zyada hareeshaat ka safar ho sakta hai. Bara time frame mein Eur/USD market ki halat ab tak bullish nazar aati hai, main is halat ko daily aur 4-hour time frames par graph se monitor kar raha hoon. Bas pichle haftay mahine ke munh pherne se pehle bechne walon ki taraf se mazeed taqat nazar aati hai jo ke price ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Lekin bearish price sirf ek ya do din tak reh sakti hai, baaqi waqt market abhi bhi upar ja raha hai.

Agar sach mein is haftay market izafa jari rakhta hai, to lagta hai ke woh abhi bhi main trend ko bullish side ki taraf jaari rakhega. Main dekhta hoon ke aam tor par aksar darmiyan-e-haftay mein zyada volatility ke saath movement hota hai aur market mein price ka safar izafa jaari rakhne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Kyunki Eur/USD pair ki short-term jazbaat ko oopar ki taraf dekhne ka raasta hai, is liye behtar hai ke market par jo uptrend chal raha hai us par tawajjo di jaye. Shayad khareedne walay candlestick ko 1.0788 zone ko test karne tak ooncha le jana chahte hain.

EUR-USD PAIR REVIEW
Mukhtasar tor par, American session mein EURUSD mein jo 1.0769 ke resistance area ko penetrate karne ki koshish hui, usay sudden pressure mein dekha gaya. Kharidari walon ke liye yeh ek nakami thi jab ke price ne EMA 633 H1 ko paar karne ke baad bhi price ko ooncha nahin le jaa saka. Ab bearish candle ne EMA ko penetrate kar liya hai aur price ko market opening area ki taraf slide karte hue dekha ja raha hai aaj.

Agar yeh pressure mustaqil rahe aur EMA 200 ko break kar jaye jo daily open aur 1.0709 ke qareebi support ke darmiyan hai, toh tajweez hai ke price dobara downtrend phase mein daakhil ho sakta hai aur mazeed kamzori ho sakti hai.

Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj EURUSD currency pair ki movement ab bhi 1.07820 ke qareeb barhne ki taraf ja rahi hai. Yeh is liye kyunki H1 time frame mein EURUSD ki movement ne bullish engulfing candle banaya hai jo BUY EURUSD ke liye ek bohat taqatwar signal hai aaj tak 1.07820 ke qareeb.

Lekin humein EURUSD mein aaj ki downward correction ki possibility ke baare mein bhi ehtiyat rakhni chahiye kyunki RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq, EURUSD price 1.07700 par overbought hai ya RSI 14 indicator ke 70 volume ke upper limit ko chhoo chuki hai, iska matlab hai ke aaj ke baad EURUSD mein 10-40 pips tak gehri nichli correction ho sakti hai. SELL EURUSD signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support mil raha hai kyunki jab EURUSD price 1.07700 mein aayi, toh yeh SBR area mein thi yaani Support Become Resistance, isliye aaj EURUSD ki ummed hai ke yeh price dobara 1.07400 ke qareeb girne ki taraf ja sakti hai.

Aaj ke EURUSD currency pair ki movement ke liye mere technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya hai ke EURUSD ko 1.07400 ke qareeb SELL karun.

barh gaye thay aur phir amreeka walon par gir gaye aur rozana ke chart par chhod diye gaye thay. Lekin unhone sab se qareebi maqasid ooper ki taraf uchhal liya. Aaj, asal mein, halat ulte hain, kyunki abhi tak woh yooropeon par girne ke liye zakhmi hain, lekin unhone 1.07 tak bhi nahi pohnch paaya, aur ab woh barhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin yeh kaam theek se nahi ho raha hai. Is ke ilawa, aaj humain America se musbat data bhi mila hai. Is liye mere liye kuch bhi nahi badla hai, kyunki main ab sirf nazar daari kar raha hoon. Aur main aise prices se transactions nahi consider karta. Lekin mujhe yakeen hai ke hum 1.0690 ke neechay ja sakte hain aur sirf wahan main khareedari ki ijazat deta hoon.

EUR/USD WEEKLY TIME FRAME CHART:

Yooropee currency ke positions mein nuqsan ke pehlo se, jahan America dollar duniya bhar ke trading platforms par mustehkam ho raha hai, rozana ke waqt bohat technical nazar aata hai, azeez doston aur izzat daar saathiyo. Beshak, chhoti arsi technical islaahen ko kisi ne bhi mansookh nahi kiya. Be shak, ECB aur Fed ke maali hukmaranon ke interest rates ne investors aur medium-term traders ke jazbat par asar daala hai aur bull's horns ne sangeen tanqeed ki aur ek badi crack base par di. Is tarah, hum aqalmandi se jaari bearish mazak ko jari rakhne ka ahtemam nahi kar sakte. Mushahada karna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD: Faida ke imkaanat

EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ko humari tajziya aur mubahasa ka maqsad banega. Mujhe yakeen hai ke raat ke bullish spike ne tajziya tha, jab euro-dollar ne H-4 chart par abhi bhi girne ka raasta muqarrar kiya. EUR/USD ke liye nazdeek ki bunyadi support 1.0732 par hai. Agar, ek pullback ke baad, quotes is se neeche gir jaayein, to euro-dollar apni girawat ko jari rakh sakta hai bearish start line 1.0663 tak. Abhi bhi mumkin hai ke bear is level tak foran se pohanch jayein, kyun ke short-term mauqe ho sakte hain support 1.0689 par, jahan se ek aur pullback mumkin hai. Euro-dollar ke mustaqbil par asar daalne wale hain anay wale teen dinon ke ameer labor market statistics, is liye EUR/USD par uncertainty jari reh sakta hai jis takke Friday tak. Lekin euro-dollar ne abhi tak apni bearish pullback ko khatam nahi kiya hai.

Bearish daily Pin bar ne technical correction ke khatam hone ka ishara diya hai H-4 time frame tak. Is tarah, agle kuch dinon mein hum euro-dollar pair ke ek aur neeche ki taraf rawish dekh sakte hain, jis se ho sakta hai ke April ke daily resistance zone tak pohanch jayein. Aaj, pair ne mukhtalif directions mein trade kiya. Powell ke taqreer ke shuru hone par dollar kamzor dikhne laga. Yeh temporary lure ho sakta hai ya asal mein bullish move ka sachcha signal ho sakta hai, bearish reversal pattern ko mansookh karne ki mumkinat ki taraf ishara dete hue. Lekin yeh sirf meri raay hai. Jaise ke US market ka reaction hota hai, hum dekh sakte hain ke woh situaion ka tawazun kaise qarar deta hai. Halat ki taraf mod raha hai reverse bullish Pin bar, lekin yeh ghoshit nahi kiya ja sakta ke yeh din ke aakhir tak qaim rahega. Yeh tajziya market ki tauqeerati ravish aur anay walay maali data ke muntazir intezar ki alamaat hai. Traders ko dono directions mein movement ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin mojooda indicators ke mutabiq bearish trend zyada mutasir nazar aata hai.

Powell ECB forum mein taqreer kar rahe hain aur jaise hamesha dollar ko "giraya", jabke Lagarde unse pehle taqreer ki aur unhone euro ko thora sa support bhi diya. Jaise ke Powell ne kuch khaas nahi kaha, aur yeh bhi unke andaaz mein sab kuch hai. Is waqt, EUR/USD 1.0740 ke level ko tor chuka hai aur 1.0750 tak resistance ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. EMA200 ke shakhsiyat mein key resistance level 1.0760 par hai. Mujhe samajh nahi aata ke market ne Powell ke is tarah kyun react kiya, kyunki asal mein unhone kuch naya nahi kaha. Unhone September ke bare mein kuch nahi kaha aur kaha ke abhi bhi behtar hone ki koshish ki ja sakti hai aur labor market abhi tak kafi mazboot hai, aur inflation 2% tak nahi pohancha hai, wala ke is mein disinflation ke signs nazar aa rahe hain. Lagarde bhi kehti hai ke inflation sahi raaste par hai, lekin yeh abhi kehna zyada jaldi hai ke woh na barh sakta hai. Powell keh raha hai ke Fed apne faislon mein jaldi nahi kar sakta hai aur keh raha hai ke America mein aur Europe mein inflation do mukhtalif cheezein hain aur inhen compare nahi kiya jana chahiye. Is liye mukhtalif approaches honi chahiye. Woh is waqt bohat kuch keh rahe hain, lekin market un sab mein dollar ko bechnay mein tezi nahi dikha raha hai.

Euro Wednesday ki trading session mein girte hue jaari hai, jahan 1.07 level ahem interest aur potential support ka area ban raha hai. Market aik rukawat ke maqam par hai aur aakhir kar lambi muddat ke faislay par amal karna hoga. Agar euro 1.07 level se neeche jaata hai, toh 1.06 level bhi significant hai jo consolidation ke liye bara maqam darust karta hai.
Umgeer agar euro palat kar upar jaaye, toh 1.0750 level agla target ho sakta hai, phir 1.08 level. Yaad rahe ke euro aur dollar ke darmiyan shor o gulo ka trade aam hai, jo in do currencies ke liye khaas hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne interest rates ko kam kar diya hai jabke Federal Reserve ne nahi, jis se abhi market mein rally hai.

Aakhir mein, ye jora apni shor o gulo aur chup ke samundar mein mashhoor hai, is liye koi mahanga harkat ummeed nahi ki jati hai. Aam tor par, markets Federal Reserve ke tajarbaton par tezi se react karte hain, is liye Washington ke central bank ke alfaz aur amal ko nazar andaz karna zaroori hai. Isi wajah se euro ki volatility jari rahegi aur traders ko apni strategies ko short-term ke liye tayyar rakhna chahiye.

Mukhtasir mein, euro 1.07 level par ahem support ke saath hai, jahan 1.06 level bhi mazeed support ke liye mumkin hai. Upar ki taraf targets mein 1.0750 aur 1.08 shamil hain agar koi tabdeeli aaye. Jora aksar shor o gulo se bhara hua hai aur ECB aur Federal Reserve ke farqai monetary policies ki wajah se traders ko central banks ke deals par mutawajjah rehna chahiye aur market ki volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

EUR/USD ka haal hi kaafi dilchasp hai. Lagta hai ke aakhri khabar ki wajah se hone wali uchhal ko ab naye factors counter kar rahe hain. Magar umeed hai ke price wapas 1.0799 ke level pe aayegi, jahan se ye current movement shuru hui thi. Jaise jaise US trading session qareeb aata hai ya khatam hota hai, 1.0769 ke support ko todne ki koshish ho sakti hai aur price niche ja sakti hai. Is haftay ke trading ke liye yeh ek viable strategy lagti hai. EUR/USD pair ke hourly chart mein short-term bearish bias nazar aa raha hai, jo ke selling opportunities ko buying se zyada favorable banata hai. 120-period Moving Average trend indicator bhi bearish direction ko confirm karta hai, kyun ke price indicator ke neeche trade ho rahi hai. Zigzag indicator bhi bearish structure dikhata hai jahan extremes kam ho rahe hain. In sab ko dekhte hue, main 1.0771 level se sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon, pehla target 1.0731 aur phir 1.0691 hoga, aur stop loss 1.0801 pe hoga. Agar din ke dauran market conditions change hoti hain, to buy consider kar sakta hoon agar pair 1.0831 ke upar stabilize ho jata hai. Buy trades ke liye, take profit target 1.0871 hoga aur stop loss 1.0801 pe.
Notably, US inflation data expect se kam aayi hai, jo Federal Reserve ke aaj ke meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke chances ko barhati hai. Halanke yeh possibility choti hai, inflation data ne is outcome ko zyada plausible bana diya hai. EUR/USD currency pair ke current price movement kaafi captivating hai. Yeh remarkable hai ke market ko sirf 0.1% ke inflation statistics adjust karne se kaise manipulate kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh Federal Reserve ke aane wale meeting ka precursor hai. Technical analysis divergence dikhata hai. EUR/USD pair ke lower trend line of the descending daily channel ko reach karne ki sambhavana hai, isse test karegi aur phir apne local downward trajectory ko continue karegi. Aakhir mein, pair channel mein wapas aayegi, stabilize karegi, aur dheere dheere uske andar upar chadhegi. Mujhe umeed hai ke situation kal tak zyada clear ho jayegi. Annual inflation decrease of 0.1% significant nahi hai, magar yeh rate cut ka potential September mein la sakta hai, turant nahi. Hume dekhna padega ke market kaise respond karta hai; agar current trend barqarar rehta hai, pair week ke end tak 1.0889 level pe wapas aa sakti hai. Maine anticipate kiya tha ke EUR/USD pair gap ko close karega, magar move expected se zyada abruptly hua. News pe, price ek single candle ke saath close hui aur upar surge hui. Magar, jaise pehle bataya tha, news-driven candlesticks ko zyada potential chahiye hota hai sustainable movement ke liye. Hum shayad 1.0740 tak pohonchne ki koshish karein.

EUR/USD pair ke trajectory ko shape karne mein ahm kirdar ada karte hain. Misal ke taur par, Eurozone ka economic performance US ke muqablay mein relatively lackluster raha hai. Recent data ne slower-than-expected growth rates aur kuch Eurozone countries mein persistently high inflation dikhayi hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne monetary policy ke liye cautious stance maintain kiya hai, aur gradual rate hikes ko opt kiya hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke aggressive approach se contrast karta hai. Fed ke interest rate hikes ke series jo inflation ko curb karne ke liye aimed hain, US dollar ko bolster kiya hai, jo ke investors ke liye zyada attractive ban gaya hai aur is tarah EUR/USD pair par downward pressure daal raha hai.
Geopolitical events bhi currency markets ko influence karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Ukraine mein ongoing conflict ke far-reaching economic repercussions hain, khaaskar Europe ke liye. Eurozone ki proximity to the conflict aur uski heavy reliance on Russian energy supplies ne economic uncertainties aur disruptions ko janam diya hai. Energy prices soared hui hain, jo ke inflation ko contribute kar rahi hain aur economic recovery efforts ko slow kar rahi hain. Iske contrast mein, United States, jo ke global economic shifts se bhi affected hai, ne conflict se direct economic impact face nahi kiya. Yeh relative stability US dollar ko euro ke muqablay mein strengthen kar rahi hai.
Aur, trade dynamics between the Eurozone aur United States bhi currency pair ko impact karte hain. Trade tensions, tariffs mein changes, aur shifting trade policies exchange rate mein fluctuations la sakti hain. Is waqt, US ne policies pursue ki hain jo domestic production aur exports ko favor karti hain, jo dollar ko strengthen kar sakti hain. Conversely, Eurozone ki trade policies Brexit aur dusre internal market challenges se affected hain, jo euro ki weakness ko badha rahi hain.
In summary, EUR/USD currency pair ka bearish trend, jo ke abhi 1.0739 par trade ho raha hai, ko macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events aur market sentiments ke confluence ko attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Eurozone aur United States ke economic performance aur monetary policies, geopolitical tensions jese ke Ukraine conflict, aur shifting market perceptions sab significant roles play karte hain current exchange rate ko shape karne mein. Jaise yeh factors evolve hote hain, yeh undoubtedly future trajectory of the EUR/USD pair ko influence karenge.

EUR/USD


EUR/USD Market Update

Tuesday ko Euro ne direction struggle ki, aur 1.075 ke neeche aik choppy pattern mein stuck raha. Yeh wait-and-see approach key US data ke Friday ko release hone se pehle hai, jabke Eurozone ke paas baki hafte ke liye kam economic news hai. European inflation data, jo expected se kam tha, phir bhi European Central Bank ke target se uper raha. June ka pan-EU HICP inflation rate 2.5% pe aya, jo 2.6% se kam tha lekin ECB ke desired range 2% se zyada hai. Yeh ECB pe action lene ka pressure barhata hai, aur President Lagarde ke Wednesday ko bolne ki umeed hai. Ab focus Wednesday ke data releases pe shift ho gaya hai. Europe final Producer Price Index (PPI) aur HCOB Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures dekhega, jabke US ISM Services PMI aur ADP Employment Change data release karega, jo crucial Non-Farm Payrolls report ke liye leading indicator samjha jata hai. Expectations hain ke European data flat ya slight improvement dikhayegi, jabke US ADP numbers modestly rise karne ki umeed hai.



Technical Analysis

Technically, EUR/USD pair ko apni 20-day aur 50-day moving averages pe resistance ka samna hai, aur 1.0788 ke uper decisive break ki zarurat hai taake 1.0850-1.0885 zone aur 200-day moving average ko challenge kiya ja sake. Wahan pe successful breakout se long-term ascending trend line jo October 2023 mein establish hui thi, uski taraf surge ho sakta hai. Recent bounce off key support level 1.0660 suggests potential return of bullish momentum. Lekin, caution advised hai kyun ke technical indicators mixed hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) abhi tak neutral territory mein nahi pohanchi, aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) apni zero line ke kareeb negative territory mein hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke Euro ke pass neeche move karne ki space abhi bhi hai, pehle ke confirmed bullish trend emerge ho.

Abhi, price upward price channels ko todne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo abhi tak mukammal nahi hui hai. Haali mein trading ka scenario bearish price channels mein hai, jo pichle do hafton ki price movement ko reflect karta hai. Is hafte, magar, ek bullish trend dekha gaya hai. Trading ne weekly pivot level ke neeche aur price channels ke andar shuru ki, lekin middle lines of the channels se support mila. Price phir surge hui, weekly pivot level ko toda, channel line se rebound kiya, aur phir se weekly pivot level se support mila. Yeh events ka silsila price channels aur weekly resistance level 1.0735 ke potential break ko zahir karta hai
Agar US ke maujooda economic landscape ko ghor se dekha jaye, to kuch mix factors hain jo dollar ki potential weakening mein contribute kar rahe hain. Key economic indicators, jaise ke inflation rates, employment statistics, aur fiscal policies, ko ghor se dekha ja raha hai. Misal ke taur par, agar inflation barh rahi hai bina Federal Reserve ke interest rates barhane ke, to US dollar ki purchasing power kam ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, agar employment figures expectations ko pura nahi karte, to yeh economy mein underlying weaknesses ko signal kar sakta hai, jo dollar ki strength ko further affect kar sakta hai



Geopolitical tensions aur trade policies bhi currency values ko influence karne mein crucial role play karti hain. Kisi bhi negative news ya uncertainties regarding international trade agreements ya political stability investor confidence ko impact kar sakti hai, jo USD mein fluctuations la sakti hain. Aise waqt mein, investors aur traders aksar safe-haven currencies, jaise ke Euro, ko dhoondte hain, jo EUR/USD pair ko higher drive kar sakta hai
Given these potential scenarios, EUR/USD pair ek rapid rise dekh sakta hai agar US dollar ki position significantly weaken hoti hai. Magar, is rise ke materialize hone ke liye aur pair ko 1.0830 level tak pohanchne ke liye, kuch technical levels ko pehle overcome karna hoga. 1.0774 level ek critical zone ke tor par samjha jata hai, jo aksar ek significant resistance level hota hai jo price ko breach karna hoga pehle kisi further upward movement ke sustain hone se pehle.