eur/usd

EURUSD H4 Trading Chat:

Aaj hum ek baar phir chaar ghanton ke chart ka jaaiza lenge. Is hafte ka aghaaz Somwar ko hua aur pehle dheere dheere, lekin Europe ke kaam shuru hone se pehle ke dauran daam tezi se badhne laga aur Somwar ke din poori tarah se barhta raha. Jabke taiz raftar mein wave structure abhi bhi apne neeche ke order mein hai, MACD indicator bhi abhi tak neeche bechne zone mein hai. Kal CCI indicator upar ki garmi se neeche jaane ke liye taiyar tha, jo ki mukhtalif neeche ki aur trend mein ek girawat ke liye bura signal nahi hai, jo yahaan se shuru hua. Ab tak, 1.0721 ke support level ke neeche jaari girawat ko roka gaya hai, jis par daam kal mazboot hua aur isne yeh bhi dikha diya hai ki isey dekh raha hai, girawat aur rebound de kar. Jab tak daam is level ke upar rahega, ummeed hai ki urooj pehle wave ke uchit haddi ke uss par viksit hogi, khaas karke jab neeche ke line ko oopar se toda gaya hai. Agar daam safal dhang se 1.0697 ke support level ke neeche jamta hai, jo ghanton ke chart par zyada spasht dikhta hai, uske baad iska breakdown hoga, to main yeh maan leta hoon ki girawat viksit hogi, pehle haftay aur do hafto ke pehle low ko update karte hue. Ajeeb baat hai ki woh dono ek jaisi jagah par hai. Aur agar aap urooj karte hain, to yeh ek khoobsurat baat hai ki yeh low spot ko shadi shuda karte hain, yeh bahut khoobsurat lagta hai, main samajhta hoon ki daam chahenge inhein jald hi choone ke liye. Amm tor par, agar pehle wave par target Fibonacci grid ko superimpose karte hain, to aap ek sambhav downward target dekh sakte hain - level 161.8. Yeh mazboot low par 1.0600 ke saath tay kiya gaya hai, levels practically ek saath hain. Yeh low ek daily rally ka aghaaz hai jo April ke darmiyan shuru hua tha. Aaj ke liye arthik calendar se mukhtalif na kuch khaas nahin hai, sirf 17-00 Moscow waqt par America mein naye makaan ke farokht ke baare mein khabrein hain. Baqi sab kuch khaas nahi hai.

*(Translation into Roman Urdu)*

EURUSD H4 Trading Chat:

Aaj hum ek baar phir chaar ghanton ke chart ka jaaiza lenge. Is hafte ka aghaaz Somwar ko hua aur pehle dheere dheere, lekin Europe ke kaam shuru hone se pehle ke dauran daam tezi se badhne laga aur Somwar ke din poori tarah se barhta raha. Jabke taiz raftar mein wave structure abhi bhi apne neeche ke order mein hai, MACD indicator bhi abhi tak neeche bechne zone mein hai. Kal CCI indicator upar ki garmi se neeche jaane ke liye taiyar tha, jo ki mukhtalif neeche ki aur trend mein ek girawat ke liye bura signal nahi hai, jo yahaan se shuru hua. Ab tak, 1.0721 ke support level ke neeche jaari girawat ko roka gaya hai, jis par daam kal mazboot hua aur isne yeh bhi dikha diya hai ki isey dekh raha hai, girawat aur rebound de kar. Jab tak daam is level ke upar rahega, ummeed hai ki urooj pehle wave ke uchit haddi ke uss par viksit hogi, khaas karke jab neeche ke line ko oopar se toda gaya hai. Agar daam safal dhang se 1.0697 ke support level ke neeche jamta hai, jo ghanton ke chart par zyada spasht dikhta hai, uske baad iska breakdown hoga, to main yeh maan leta hoon ki girawat viksit hogi, pehle haftay aur do hafto ke pehle low ko update karte hue. Ajeeb baat hai ki woh dono ek jaisi jagah par hai. Aur agar aap urooj karte hain, to yeh ek khoobsurat baat hai ki yeh low spot ko shadi shuda karte hain, yeh bahut khoobsurat lagta hai, main samajhta hoon ki daam chahenge inhein jald hi choone ke liye. Amm tor par, agar pehle wave par target Fibonacci grid ko superimpose karte hain, to aap ek sambhav downward target dekh sakte hain - level 161.8. Yeh mazboot low par 1.0600 ke saath tay kiya gaya hai, levels practically ek saath hain. Yeh low ek daily rally ka aghaaz hai jo April ke darmiyan shuru hua tha. Aaj ke liye arthik calendar se mukhtalif na kuch khaas nahin hai, sirf 17-00 Moscow waqt par America mein naye makaan ke farokht ke baare mein khabrein hain. Baqi sab kuch khaas nahi hai.

EUR/USD 4 ghante ki tafseeli tashreeh:

Waqt ke samar mein mein EUR/USD ki tareekh ke khakaar ko dekhta hoon keh EUR/USD ne haftay ke pehle din mazboot bullish rashk ki dikhai di, aur mumkin hai ke hum bullish rashk mein mazeed quwat dekhte hain. Chalo fundamentals aur macroeconomics par chalte hain. Peer ko Eurozone ya America mein koi ahem report nahi thi. Is din ke chhote reports ke sath ooper ki harkat ka koi taluq nahi tha. Amumaniyat se taalim samaji ke mauqaat wahi rahe aur is baat ko samajhna zaroori hai. Global downtrend be tabdeel hai, is liye hum euro ki girawat ka intezar karte hain.

Yaad rakhein ke European Central Bank ne daro mein kami shuru kar di hai (bilkul Federal Reserve ke mukhalif, jis se sab logon ne March mein ek dar kam ki ummed ki thi), is wajah se euro request dabao mein mubtila hai. Jaisa ke pehle zikr kiya gaya, is ka matlab yeh nahi ke kuch hafton mein brace foran brabar price par gir jaye ga. Capital ka dakhil hona nisbatan dheema hai aur EUR/USD brace ki riyayati dar mein kam inteshar hota hai. Mutaalati tajziya ke mutabiq, EUR/USD brace ki aam inteshar dar pichle paanch dinon ke liye June 25 ke roop mein 48 pips hai, jo ek kam qeemat samjha jata hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke Tuesday ko brace 1.0680 aur 1.0776 ke darmiyan harkat kare ga.

Taraqi shuda direct retrogression channel ooper mud gya hai, lekin global downtrend mukammal hai. CCI index oversold ilaqa mein dakhil hua, lekin is waqt hume taqatwar barguzida ka intezar nahi hai. EUR/USD brace global downtrend ko qaim rakhta hai aur 4 ghante ke timeframe mein moving normal ke qareeb hai. Pehle taqreer mein humne bataya ke hum lambi positions ko nahi samajhte hain aur hume downtrend ki qowat ka daam rakhna chahiye. Is waqt, 1.0681 aur 1.0620 ke targets ke saath short positions ab bhi maqbool hain. 1.0681 se jawab, ek aur round of upward correction ko trigger kiya gaya. Hum euro ki khareed ko tajweez nahi karte, kyun ke hume yakeen hai ke global downtrend jari hai aur single currency ke liye barhne ki koi buniyadi waja nahi hai. Lekin price barhne ke dauran kuch arsa ke liye izafe ke liye hosakta hai.

EUR/USD ke aadharik map par, hafta peer se aam taqreeban muqami harkat ke saath shuru hua, jahan keemat maqami position ke qareeb trading kar rahi thi. Keemat ne Tuesday, Wednesday aur Thursday ko trading position se neeche girayi, jo 1.0647 tak support ke taraf ek sell signal paida karta hai. Keemat ne is rut ko tasdiq kiya aur isey mazboot sell signal banaya, aur Jumma ko, sell signal ada ho gaya; jab keemat is position ke adhe se zyada aur is support ke qareeb maqami ho rahi thi, doosra sell signal paida kiya. Maqami harkat ke saath range se shuru hua, Monday ko growt hua aur 1.0747 tak resistance tak aaya. Is waqt, if the price through the resistance at 1.0747 is doubtful and the price rolls back, selling will be applicable

EUR/USD ke hawale se situation kaafi intriguing ho gayi hai. Maine itni significant drop anticipate nahi ki thi, especially steady growth ke baad jo inflation report ke baad hui thi. Magar ab humein current reality assess karni hogi. Kal, pair ne decline continue rakha, aur 7th figure ke niche chali gayi, halanki wahan ab tak stabilize nahi hui. Notably, aur bhi descent ki gunjaish hai. Agle hafte euro area apna inflation data release karega. Mera outlook bearish hai, aur main sell consider karunga agar price 1.087 area tak pohonchti hai. Daily EUR/USD chart par, hum distinct channels dekhte hain. Price ne ascending channel ko exit kiya, jo April ke end mein form hona shuru hua tha aur 1.069 se start hua tha. Monday ko, ek downward gap channel se confirm hua jab price ne lower boundary ko retest kiya.
Is channel se exit karne ka matlab hai ke naya low target 1.069 level ho sakta hai. Is mahine ke end tak aur July ke shuru mein, pair 1.059-1.0449 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, decline ki speed par depend karta hai. Magar, is daily chart par trading sessions ke dauran potential bullish fluctuations bhi dikhayi deti hain, aur main target 1.059 ke aas-paas hai. Mere paas agle hafte ke liye euro ke hawale se koi specific expectations nahi hain aur main apna approach ab tak determine nahi kar paya hoon. Ye uncertainty faidemand bhi ho sakti hai
.EUR/USD apni taqat dikhata hua, mangal ke din 1.0917 ka chhe hafton ka bulandai tak pohanch gaya hai, kamzor hotay hue US dollar aur European Central Bank ke monetary policy plans ke hawale se goonghi chal ke beech. ECB ne mukarrar course of action par committment se parheiz kiya hai, aur data-driven approach ko apnaya hai, jo market ki umeedon ko aggressive easing ke liye 2024 mein kam kar rahi hai. Ibtida mein, investors ne is saal teen rate cuts ki tawakku ki thi, magar June ke meeting ke baad ye paish-goi aik rate cut tak gir gayi hai, jo kuch ECB officials ke is hidayat ke mutabiq hai ke bohat zyada dovish policies se inflationary pressures dobara barh sakte hain. Doosri taraf, USD ko support mil rahi hai kamzori ke aik muddat ke baad, US Dollar Index 104.30 tak barh gaya hai, jo risk appetite mein kami ke wajah se hai. Investors zyada ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain, kyunki September rate cut ke hawale se Federal Reserve ke bets thande pad gaye hain. Fed officials ne apne irade ka izhar kiya hai ke wo mojooda interest rates ko qaim rakhna chahte hain jab tak ke wo mehngai ko kam karne mein khaas taraqqi na dekhein, aur ab market umeed kar raha hai ke Fed sirf 2024 ke akhri quarter mein rates ko kam karna shuru karega.

USDX ka tajziyah
US dollar index ek ghante ke chart par 105.20 ki support satah ko todne me nakam raha. Halankeh, isne 105.60 par yaumiyah balance ko tod diya, jo qimat me ooper ki taraf reversal ki tasdiq karta hai. Natije ke taur par, ham (3) ke (iii) ki wave (3) dekhte hain, jo kafi munasib lagta hai. Aaj, yaumiyah balance 105.40 par hai, aur support satah 105.20 par waqe hai. Char-ghante ke chart par, support satah 104.80 par hai. Agar index is satah ko tod deta hai to, yah shayad hi badhega. Iske bajaye, yah yaumiyah chart par support satah 103.15 ki taraf girna jari rakhega. Filhal, mai support satahon me se ek ya 105.40 ke yaumiyah balance se reversal ki peshangoi kar raha hun. Agar US dollar index yaumiyah tawazun ko todne me nakam rahta hai to, yah 110.15 tak chadh jayega, jahan wave 3 apni tashkil khatam kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD apni taqat dikhata hua, mangal ke din 1.0917 ka chhe hafton ka bulandai tak pohanch gaya hai, kamzor hotay hue US dollar aur European Central Bank ke monetary policy plans ke hawale se goonghi chal ke beech. ECB ne mukarrar course of action par committment se parheiz kiya hai, aur data-driven approach ko apnaya hai, jo market ki umeedon ko aggressive easing ke liye 2024 mein kam kar rahi hai. Ibtida mein, investors ne is saal teen rate cuts ki tawakku ki thi, magar June ke meeting ke baad ye paish-goi aik rate cut tak gir gayi hai, jo kuch ECB officials ke is hidayat ke mutabiq hai ke bohat zyada dovish policies se inflationary pressures dobara barh sakte hain. Doosri taraf, USD ko support mil rahi hai kamzori ke aik muddat ke baad, US Dollar Index 104.30 tak barh gaya hai, jo risk appetite mein kami ke wajah se hai. Investors zyada ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain, kyunki September rate cut ke hawale se Federal Reserve ke bets thande pad gaye hain. Fed officials ne apne irade ka izhar kiya hai ke wo mojooda interest rates ko qaim rakhna chahte hain jab tak ke wo mehngai ko kam karne mein khaas taraqqi na dekhein, aur ab market umeed kar raha hai ke Fed sirf 2024 ke akhri quarter mein rates ko kam karna shuru karega. Euro currency mazboot kadam utha rahi hai, apni pehli do mahine ki bulandai 1.0917 ko dobara hasil karte hue. Agar ye level faisla kun torh le, to ye ise aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai, mumkin hai ke March 21 ka peak 1.0951 ko ya phir 1.1000 ke nafsiati had ko bhi torh de. Magar, agar exchange rate 200-day Exponential Moving Average 1.0803 se neeche gir jaye, to ye aik downward correction ko trigger kar sakta hai. Anay wale dinon mein Eurozone aur US se ane wale aham economic data is currency pair ke performance par khaas asar dal sakte hain. Euro ki mojooda mazbooti, jo ke Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern se breakout se barhayi gayi hai, iska mazeed gains ka ishara deti hai. Is ke bawajood, Relative Strength Index indicator is upward momentum mein ek mumkinah arzi waqfa ka ishara kar raha hai.EUR/USD apni taqat dikhata hua, mangal ke din 1.0917 ka chhe hafton ka bulandai tak pohanch gaya hai, kamzor hotay hue US dollar aur European Central Bank ke monetary policy plans ke hawale se goonghi chal ke beech. ECB ne mukarrar course of action par committment se parheiz kiya hai, aur data-driven approach ko apnaya hai, jo market ki umeedon ko aggressive easing ke liye 2024 mein kam kar rahi hai. Ibtida mein, investors ne is saal teen rate cuts ki tawakku ki thi, magar June ke meeting ke baad ye paish-goi aik rate cut tak gir gayi hai, jo kuch ECB officials ke is hidayat ke mutabiq hai ke bohat zyada dovish policies se inflationary pressures dobara barh sakte hain. Doosri taraf, USD ko support mil rahi hai kamzori ke aik muddat ke baad, US Dollar Index 104.30 tak barh gaya hai, jo risk appetite mein kami ke wajah se hai. Investors zyada ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain, kyunki September rate cut ke hawale se Federal Reserve ke bets thande pad gaye hain. Fed officials ne apne irade ka izhar kiya hai ke wo mojooda interest rates ko qaim rakhna chahte hain jab tak ke wo mehngai ko kam karne mein khaas taraqqi na dekhein, aur ab market umeed kar raha hai ke Fed sirf 2024 ke akhri quarter mein rates ko kam karna shuru karega.
Agar aap euro mein izafa ka intezar kar rahe hain, toh baray time frames mein reversal pattern ka muntazir rahen. 4 ghante ke chart par, euro Bollinger Bands ke central area mein consolidate ho raha hai, nichle band ke saath chalne ke baad. Yeh keemat ke bahir hone ke bawajood, price drop ke liye aik mazboot signal nichle band ke taraf mojood hona zaroori hai. Bands ke bahar khulne ya ghair jawabdeh rehne ko bhi tashkeel di ja sakti hai. Price drop ka maqsad qareebi fractal ke nichle hota hai. Agar isse neeche toot jaye aur consolidate ho jaye toh keemat 1.0724 ke May 9 fractal level tak pohanch sakti hai. Qareebi fractal up bohat door hai, isliye humein potential price growth ko support dene ke liye qareebi fractal formation ki zarurat hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne pichle hafte mein bari taizi se tabdeeli dikhai aur is ki keemat mein mazeed girawat dekhi gayi. Yeh tabdeeli mukhtalif maqami maali data aur saqafati waqiyat ke nateeje mein dekhne ko mili. Is waqt, forex market ka tajziya karte waqt, hum dekhte hain ke kis tarah se in factors ne market ki jazbat ko mutasir kiya aur aage kya umeed rakhi ja sakti hai.

Pehla factor jo EUR/USD ki keemat mein tabdeeli ka sabab bana, wo eurozone ke GDP growth ke hawale se tha. Eurozone ke GDP numbers umeed se kam aaye, jis ne investors ke beyanat ko kamzor kiya aur euro ki demand ko kam kar diya. GDP growth mein kami ke nateeje mein, investors ne euro se nikal kar dollar ki taraf rujoo karna shuru kiya, kyun ke unhein American economy mein stability aur growth ki umeed thi.

Doosra factor, European Central Bank (ECB) ka interest rate decision tha. ECB ne apni monetary policy mein koi bara tabdeeli nahi ki, jo investors ke liye ek negative signal tha. ECB ne interest rates ko stable rakha, jab ke investors umeed kar rahe the ke rates mein izafa hoga. Is se euro ki keemat mein girawat dekhi gayi aur dollar ne faida uthaya.

Teesra factor jo EUR/USD ko mutasir kar raha tha, wo American economic data tha. US ne unemployment rate aur consumer confidence data release kiya, jo dono umeed se behtar aaye. Yeh data US dollar ko support karne mein madadgar sabit hua. Jab ke American economy ke mazboot indicators ne dollar ki demand ko barhaya, euro ko pressure ka samna karna pada.

Ek aur aham factor jo market sentiments ko mutasir kar raha tha, wo geopolitical tensions the. Russia-Ukraine conflict aur Middle East mein tensions ne investors ko risk-averse bana diya. Is ka faida US dollar ko hua, kyun ke dollar safe haven currency ke tor par dekha jata hai. Investors ne apni investments ko safer assets mein shift kar diya, jis se euro ki keemat mein girawat hui.

Saath hi, COVID-19 ki wajah se bhi market mein uncertainty barh gayi thi. Europe ke kuch hisson mein cases barh rahe the, jab ke US ne apni vaccination campaign ko behtareen tareeqe se continue rakha. Yeh bhi ek factor tha jis ne EUR/USD ko mutasir kiya aur dollar ko support diya.

Aage chal kar, market ki direction ka daromadar upcoming economic indicators aur central bank policies par hoga. Eurozone aur US ke upcoming economic data, jaise ke inflation reports aur manufacturing data, market ke jazbat ko mazid mutasir karenge. Saath hi, ECB aur Federal Reserve ke future policy decisions bhi aham role ada karenge.

Summarize karte hue, pichle hafte EUR/USD currency pair mein tabdeeli mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ke nateeje mein dekhne ko mili. Yeh tabdeeli market participants ke confidence aur risk appetite ko reflect karti hai. Investors ko upcoming data releases aur central bank decisions par nazar rakhni hogi taake future movements ko samjha ja sake aur unke basis par apni trading strategies ko adjust kiya ja sake.

EUR/USD INTRADAY ANALYSIS.

Euro is waqt aik nazuk surat-e-haal ka samna kar raha hai. Kal yeh 1.0689 level ke neeche gir gaya tha aur mazeed gir sakta hai. Jab ke key support level 1.0670 ko foran breach karne ke chances kam hain, phir bhi euro sustained decline mein ja sakta hai. Hamari pehle ki prediction ke euro 1.0760 tak uthega aur phir stabilize hoga, ghalat sabit hui. Is ke bajaye, euro 1.0689 tak gira aur phir thoda recover karke 1.0713 par close hua. Yeh price movement downward momentum ke barhne ka ishara karti hai. Euro ke aaj 1.0689 se neeche girne ke chances hain. Lekin, 1.0670 ka critical support level abhi ke liye hold karne ki umeed hai. Agar yeh breach hua, toh agla potential support psychological level 1.0700 par aata hai. Is level ke neeche break ek steeper decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo shayad 1.0670 bounce support ko test kare. Mazeed losses euro ko 1.0640 area tak push kar sakte hain, jo descending channel ka lower limit hai.

Upper side par, immediate resistance 14-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.0743 par hai. Is level ko overcome karna 1.0800 zone aur upper channel boundary ke 1.0810 ke qareeb test karne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is se aage, significant resistance 1.0900 level par hai aur June 4th ko pohanchay gaye three-month high 1.0915 par hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ke liye, 1.0666 area ko watch karen. Is ke ilawa, initial support line jo 2023 aur 2024 lows ko connect karti hai, kareeb 1.0650 par baithti hai, jo psychologicaly important 1.0600 level ke qareeb hai. Is combined support zone ke neeche aik decisive break 1.0600 tak mazeed steeper decline ka darwaza khol sakta hai.

Overall, euro aik vulnerable position mein hai. Jab ke kuch support levels mojood hain, downward pressure clear hai. Aane wale din euro ke short-term trajectory ko determine karne mein crucial honge.
Bari trend benchmark ke market condition ko dekhte hue, meri raaye mein pehle haftay ki bearish situation abhi bhi asar andaz lagti hai, is liye mujhe lagta hai ke agle trading mein price aur neeche gir sakta hai. Chart par yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke sellers ko 1.0671 price zone ko todna parega taake candlestick iske neeche gir sakay aur bearish trend ke continuation ke liye aik valid signal mil sakay. Pichle hafton mein price ka safar girawat ko dikhata hai.

Haqiqat yeh hai ke agar pichle haftay ke shuruat ko dekha jaye, buyers ne candlestick ko upar uthana ki koshish ki thi, magar yeh izafa zyada nahi ho saka kyunki price neeche bounce kar gaya tha. Is mahine ke trading period ke dauran bhi yeh nazar aaya ke price neeche ja raha hai. Technically, trading plans ke liye market Sell position ko choose karne ki taraf mayal hai jab tak price 100 period simple moving average zone ke neeche reh sakti hai. Agle decline target ke liye, sellers ke hawale se yehi prediction hai ke wo candlestick ko 1.0642 area tak neeche lejana chahte hain

mein trend aksar buland zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke khareedne wale ab bhi fa'aal hain. Agar main bazaar ke haalaat ka jaiza loon, to lagta hai ke bullish price trend ab bhi mazboot hai aur ek khareedna position banaayi ja sakti hai, kyunke candlestick ne 1.0827 area se bounce kiya hai, jo khareedne walon ki taqat ko dikhata hai. Lagta hai ke EUR/USD jodi ki keemat bullish janib rawana hone ki koshish kar rahi hai aur 100 dafaa sadah harkat wali moving average line ke upar reh sakti hai, isliye agle safar mein bhi khareedne walon ki badhawa mil sakta hai. Ab dhaan denay wali baat ye hai ke peechle haftay ka neeche ki taraf sahi hone ka imkaan hai aur mazeed girawat ka darr hai. Oopar di gayi graph dikhata hai ke candlestick ne 1.0874 area ko touch kiya hai, jo bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ka mazboot signal hai. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 ne 80 zone tak pohanch kar utha hai, jo khareedne walon ka control dikhata hai. Agar keemat is zone se oopar chadh jati hai, to agle kuch dinon mein market ki uptrend taraf jane ki zyada chance hai. Mazid, halaat abhi kaafi mazboot hain ke mazeed izafa ko support kar sakein, lekin bullish price projections ab bhi 1.0898 area ko test kar sakti hain, jo pehle mahine ka buland zone tha. Khareedne walon ka target agle din buland level ko test karna hai jab ke mazeed ooncha jaane ka imkaan hai. Main uptrend situation par tawajjo dete hoon jab tak keemat 100 dafaa sadah harkat wali moving average ke upar hai.
EUR/USD pair ki price movement ab bhi apni upward rally ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur do moving average lines ke upar consistent hai. Current price range resistance 1.0913 aur support 1.0862 ke darmiyan hai. Kal price EMA 50 ke ird gird consolidate hone ke bawajood, downward correction ka samna karte hue support

PAIR ANALYSIS
Main EURUSD currency pair ki movement ka jaiza loon ga. Pechle din ki price movement mein, ye currency pair lagbhag 50 pips move kar chuki thi, lekin price support one jo 1.0687 pe tha, ko tod kar band nahi ho saki. Natija ye hua ke price wapas uthi aur pivot point 1.0715 ko touch kiya. Aindah, EURUSD pair kidhar move karegi? Kya ye wapas upar uthe gi ya price neechay move karegi? Tafseelat ke liye, chaliye EURUSD TF h1 chart ka mil kar jaiza lete hain:

Chart ka dekh kar, hum support aur resistance levels ko dekh sakte hain jo aaj ke trading ke liye reference ban sakte hain jahan hum take profits, stop losses, entry points aur price reversal points ka maloomat le sakte hain. Ye support aur resistance levels kuch is tarah hain:

Resistance 3: 1.0822
Resistance 2: 1.0768
Resistance 1: 1.0741
Pivot point: 1.0715
Support 1: 1.0687
Support 2: 1.0662
Support 3: 1.0608

Abhi EURUSD currency pair ne 15 pips neechay move kiya hai. Is subah asal mein ye upar move kiya tha lekin price daily pivot point level 1.0715 ke upar band nahi ho saki, natija ye hua ke price ne is level ko reject kiya aur neechay move kiya. Is beech trend bearish hai kyun ke price 50 period MA line ke neechay hai. Pechle price movement pattern se mein ye nateeja nikal sakta hoon ke ye currency pair ziada chances hain ke support one 1.0687 ki taraf giray gi aur agar price is ke neechay band ho jati hai to ye support two 1.0662 ki taraf giray gi. Is liye, iss waqt trading ka sab se faidemand option sell hai, jab ke alternative trading yani buy, tab hogi jab price support two 1.0662 se reject hoti hai ya price wapas uthti hai aur pivot point ke upar band hoti hai, target ek level upar rakhte hue.

Is hafte se shuru hone wale somwar se, market ko oonchaarne ka sudharan ho raha hai, lekin wo abhi tak 100 period simple moving average line ko chhune mein asafal raha hai. Mahine ke trend ke liye, keemat abhi bhi mandi kshetra mein chal rahi hai. EurUsd chart par ek mandi yatra pattern dekhne ko mil raha hai jo pichle do hafte ke trading avdhi se shuru hui hai. Mujhe lagta hai shayad bechne wale abhi bhi keemat ko 100 period simple moving average zone ke neeche rakhein rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ki June ke shuruaat mein iske neeche gir gaya tha kyunki pichle hafte market abhi bhi mandi tha, isliye pichle hafte kharidne wale ne market ko niyantrit karne ki koshish ki thi, kharidne wale pradarshit kiye gaye the ki unhe moomb
Is haftay se shuru ho kar, market ko urooj ki taraf correction ka saamna hai, lekin ab tak 100 period simple moving average line tak nahi pohanch saka hai. Mahinay ke trend ke liye, qeemat abhi bhi bearish zone mein chal rahi hai. EurUsd chart par ek bearish safar pattern nazar aa raha hai jo pichle do hafton ke trading period se shuru hua hai. Shayad bikri abhi bhi qeemat ko 100 period simple moving average zone ke neeche rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ke June ke shuru mein iske neeche gir gayi thi kyun ke pichle haftay market abhi tak bearish tha, is liye pichle haftay buyers ki koshish nazar aayi thi jo market ko control karna chahte thay, buyers ne candlestick ko uthane ki koshish ki, lekin bullish halaat lambi der tak nahi rahi kyun ke ab tak market bearish hai.

Bari trend benchmark ke market condition ke mutabiq, meri raay mein pichle haftay ki bearish situation abhi bhi asar andaaz hai, is liye mujhe lagta hai ke agle trading mein price aur nichay gir sakti hai, chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke sellers ne 1.0671 price zone ko torne ki koshish ki hai taake candlestick uske neeche gir sake jo bearish trend ke jariye jaari rehne ka sahi signal hai. Qeemat ki safar mein kamzori aai hai pichle hafton mein.

Sach mein, agar aap pichli haftay ke shuru mein dekhein, to buyers ne candlestick ko oopar uthane ki koshish ki thi, lekin qeemat oopar nahi ja saki kyun ke price neechay ja chuki thi, is mahine ke trading period ke liye bhi lag raha hai ke qeemat neeche ja rahi hai. Takneekan, trading plans ke liye market 100 period simple moving average zone ke neeche ja sakti hai toh Sell position choose karne ka tend hota hai. Agle girawat ke target ke liye, sellers ki tawaqo hai ke woh candlestick ko 1.0642 area ke aas paas le jayenge.

I hope this helps! Let me know if there's anything else you need.

Euro ne ek chintaangee ke baad 1.0670 ke qareeb girne ki koshish ki the jumma ke din. Is hafte ki shuruat investor ke liye umeed afza hai, jis se risky assets ko pasand kiya ja raha hai, jiski wajah se US dollar kamzor ho raha hai aur Euro mazboot ho raha hai. Yeh musbat jazbaat market ke tehzeeb ke mutabiq ek behtar start ko nazar andaz karte hain, jahan major economic data releases ke bajaye traders policymakers ke comments ka intezar karte hain haftay ke rukh ko samajhne ke liye. Haftay ke aagey waqt mein cheezein garam ho jayengi jab key economic data releases honge. Thursday ko US GDP figures aane wale hain, jise follow karte hue Friday ko German retail sales data aur taaza US inflation data aayega. Iske ilawa, Tuesday ke US trading session mein Federal Reserve officials ke kai speeches ki umeed hai. Unki stance market movements par bari asar andaz ho sakti hai. Jab kuch German economic data ne expectations ko miss kiya, Euro ko lagta hai ke yeh broader market ke musbat mood se faida utha rahi hai. Is umeed ke saath kiya ja raha hai ke European Central Bank 25 basis points ke rate cut ki taraf ja sakti hai. Yeh market ke predictions ke mutabiq hai, jahan September mein US Federal Reserve se bhi aisa rate cut hone ka kareeban 70% chance hai, financial data ke mutabiq.

Lekin, aaj US market ke khulne ke saath ek zyada active din ki umeed hai, jahan se America ki taraf se significant amount of economic data aane wala hai. Yeh aane wale data EUR/USD pair ke rukh par bari asar dal sakta hai. Key economic indicators jaise rozgar figures, mahangai ke data ya Federal Reserve officials ke statements market ki umeedon ko interest rates aur maeeshat ke outlook ke hawale se badalne ka zor dene ki salahiyat rakhte hain. Agar aane wale US economic data expectations se zyada mazboot nikle, to yeh US dollar ko taqwiyat de sakta hai, jis se EUR/USD pair par neeche ki taraf dabaav aayega aur mumkin hai ke wo 1.0732 resistance level se door ho jaye. Ulta agar expectations se kamzor data aaye, to dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jis se EUR/USD ko upper ki taraf break karne aur uske upward movement ko jari rakhne ka jazba mil sakta hai.

Yeh haftay ke aghaz se, Monday se market upar ki taraf correct ho rahi hai, lekin 100 period simple moving average line ko choo nahi paayi. Mahinaana trend ke lehaz se, keemat ab bhi bearish zone mein chal rahi hai. EurUsd chart par ek bearish travel pattern dekha jaa raha hai jo peechlay do haftay ki trading period se shuru ho rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke shayad sellers ab bhi keemat ko 100 period simple moving average zone ke neeche rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke June ke shuru mein asal mein iske neeche gir gayi thi kyun ke market peechlay hafta ab bhi bearish thi, isliye peechlay hafta buyers ki koshish nazar aayi jo market ko control karna chahte the, buyers ne candlestick ko uthana chaaha, lekin bullish surat-e-haal zyada dair tak nahi chal payi kyun ke ab tak market ab bhi bearish hai.
Bari trend benchmark ke market halat ke mutabiq, mere khayal mein peechlay hafta ki bearish surat-e-haal ab bhi asar daal rahi hai, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke agle trading mein keemat aur neeche gir sakti hai. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke sellers ko 1.0671 keemat zone ko todna hoga taake candlestick iske neeche gir sake aur bearish trend ke jaari rehne ka ek valid signal mil sake. Keemat ke safar ne peechlay hafton mein girawat dikhayi hai.

Haqeeqat mein, agar peechlay hafta ke aghaz ko dekha jaye, to buyers ki koshish nazar aayi thi jo candlestick ko upar uthana chaahte the, lekin yeh izafa zyada nahi ho saka kyun ke keemat waapis neeche gir gayi thi. Is mahinaane trading period mein bhi yeh nazar aa raha hai ke keemat neeche ja rahi hai. Technical lehaz se, trading plans ke liye market ka rujhan Sell position ko choose karne ka hai jab tak keemat 100 period simple moving average zone ke neeche ja sakti hai. Agle girawat ke target ke liye, sellers ka andaza hai ke wo candlestick ko 1.0642 area ke aas paas lana chaahenge.

Yuro abhi ek naazuk surat-e-haal ka saamna kar raha hai. Kal yeh 1.0689 ke level se neeche chala gaya aur ho sakta hai ke yeh aur bhi zyada giray. Halankeh 1.0670 ka ahem support level foran tootne ka imkaan nahi, magar yeh mumkin hai ke yuro mein aik barqarar girawat aaye. Humara pehle ka andaza ke yeh 1.0760 tak barh kar qaim rahega, ghalat sabit hua. Balke, yuro 1.0689 tak gira aur phir thoda upar uth kar 1.0713 par band hua. Is price movement se yeh zahir hota hai ke downward momentum mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Aaj yuro ke 1.0689 ke neeche girne ka imkaan hai. Halankeh, 1.0670 ka ahem support level filhaal qaim rehne ka imkaan hai. Agar yeh support toot gaya, to agla support 1.0700 ke psychological level par ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level bhi toot gaya, to yuro ke mazeed girawat ka khatra hai, jo ke 1.0670 ke bounce support ko test kar sakti hai. Mazeed losses yuro ko 1.0640 area tak le ja sakti hain, jo ke descending channel ki lower limit hai.
Uptick ke liye foran resistance 14-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke 1.0743 level par hai. Is level ko paar karne se 1.0800 zone aur upper channel boundary ke nazdeek 1.0810 ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Is se aage, 1.0900 level aur June 4 ko haseel 1.0915 ka three-month high aik significant resistance hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ke liye, 1.0666 area par nazar rakhein. Is ke ilawa, 2023 aur 2024 ke lows ko connect karte huye initial support line kareeb 1.0650 par hai, jo ke psychologically ahem 1.0600 level ke qareeb bhi hai. Agar yeh combined support zone faislay ki surat mein toot gaya, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan 1.0600 tak hai. Majmooi tor par, yuro ek nazuk position mein hai. Kuch support levels hain, magar neeche ki taraf wazeh pressure hai. Aane wale din yuro ke short-term trajectory ka taayun karne mein ahem honge.

EURUSD currency pair ki tashreeh karte hain. Qeemat ke manazir mein, pichle din yeh currency pair taqreeban 50 pips teh harkat kiya tha, lekin qeemat ne support one jo ke 1.0687 ke qeemat par tha, torhne aur us ke neeche band hone mein kamiyabi haasil nahi ki thi, is natijay mein qeemat ko ooper chadhna ka moqa mila aur pivot point ko dobara chhua jo ke 1.0715 par tha. Mustaqbil mein, EURUSD pair kahan jayega? Kya yeh dobara chadhne ki koshish karega ya qeemat neeche jayegi? Tafseel ke liye, chalo EURUSD TF H1 chart ko ek saath dekhte hain:

EURUSD TF H1 chart ke zariye dekhne se, ham support aur resistance levels ko dekh sakte hain jo aaj ke trading mein take profits lagane, stop losses lagane, dakhilay points aur qeemat ke palatne ke points ke liye reference ke tor par istemal kar sakte hain. Yeh support aur resistance levels is tarah hain:

Resistance 3: 1.0822
Resistance 2: 1.0768
Resistance 1: 1.0741
Pivot point: 1.0715
Support 1: 1.0687
Support 2: 1.0662
Support 3: 1.0608

Haal hi mein EURUSD currency pair ne 15 pips ke neeche ki taraf harkat ki hai. Subah yeh qeemat ooper chadhne ka moqa mila tha lekin daily pivot point level jo ke 1.0715 par tha, us par band hone mein kamiyab nahi rahi, is natijay mein qeemat ne is level ko inkar kiya aur neeche ki taraf harkat ki. Isi doran trend bearish hai jahan qeemat 50 period MA line ke neeche hai. Pichli qeemat ki harkat pattern se mujhe ye andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke yeh currency pair zyada taqreeban support one jo ke 1.0687 par hai, ki taraf giray ga aur agar qeemat is ke neeche band hoti hai to woh support two jo ke 1.0662 par hai, ki taraf giray gi. Is liye, dusre alfaz mein, abhi ke liye sab se munafa bhara trading option sell hai, jabke doosra trading option, yani buy, tab diya jayega jab qeemat support two level jo ke 1.0662 par hai, se inkar kare ya qeemat dobara ooper chadh jaye aur pivot point ke ooper band ho jaye, is ke liye target hum is ke ek level ooper rakhte hain.

EUR-USD Pair Forecast




Is haftay ke aaghaz se, Monday se market upar ki taraf correct ho raha hai, magar ab tak 100 period simple moving average line ko touch nahi kar paya. Mahwari trend ke lehaz se, price ab bhi bearish zone mein chal rahi hai. EurUsd chart par pichlay do haftay ke trading period se bearish travel pattern dekha jaa raha hai. Mera khayal hai ke shayad seller ab bhi price ko 100 period simple moving average zone ke neeche rakhnay ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke June ke aaghaz mein actually is ke neeche gir gaya tha kyunki pichle hafta market ab bhi bearish thi. Pichle hafta buyers ne market ko control karne ki koshish ki, buyers ne candlestick ko upar uthana chaha, magar bullish situation zyada dair tak nahi reh saki kyunki market ab bhi bearish hai.

Bari trend ke benchmark ke market condition ke lehaz se, mere khayal mein pichle hafta ka bearish situation ab bhi asar mein lagta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle trading mein price aur neeche gir sakta hai. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke sellers 1.0671 price zone ko torh kar candlestick ko neeche girane ki koshish kar rahe hain taake bearish trend ke continuation ka valid signal mil sake. Price travel ne recent hafton mein decline dikhaya hai.

Agar dekha jaye to pichle hafta ke aaghaz mein buyers ne candlestick ko upar uthana ki koshish ki, magar increase zyada nahi ho saka kyunki price neeche ki taraf bounce ho gaya. Is mahine ke trading period mein bhi price neeche jaata hua nazar aa raha hai. Technical lehaz se, trading plans ke liye, market tend kar raha hai ke Sell position ko choose kare jab tak price 100 period simple moving average zone ke neeche ja sakta hai. Agle decline target ke lehaz se, sellers ki prediction hai ke wo candlestick ko 1.0642 area ke aas paas le jana chahte hain.