eur/usd

Wednesday ki sargarm American session mein EUR/USD 1.0860 tak buland ho gaya. Ye barhao traders ki umeedon ko darust karta hai ke central banks mukhtalif monetary policies ikhtiyar karengay, jahan ECB ziada aggressive rates cut karega Fed ke mukable mein. Ye taraqqi pehle hi market ki harkat mein shamil ho chuki hai.




EUR/USD ke fundamentals:


Financial circles mein tasveer hai ke ECB pooray saal mein interest rates ko 70 basis points tak kam kar sakta hai, aur ye policy shift shayad June meeting se shuru ho sakti hai. Guzishta maheene, ECB policymakers ne rate cuts ki imkaniat ke bare mein ishara diya tha, ke Eurozone mein inflation agle saal tak 2% tak kam hone ki projections hain. Jabke June ke baad ke rate trajectory specifics abhi bhi uncertain hain, market consensus ka jhukao June 6 ko ek imminent cut ki taraf hai.
ECB rate adjustment ke ird gird barhne wala ye speculation, aur US Fed ke similar measures mein potential delays, Euro ki upward momentum par ek cap ka kaam karega. Natija tor pe, ye scenario EUR/USD pair ke liye immediate future mein headwinds paida karega, jo ke currency traders aur investors ke liye ek naye landscape ko shape dega.

Daily Time frame:


1.0860 tak pohnch kar, EUR/USD pair pehle ke nuqsaanat se ubhar raha hai, aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb aa raha hai jo ke 1.0789 ke ird gird hai. Yeh ahem hai ke yeh neeche ki taraf chalne wala hadood ke qareeb hai jo ek Symmetrical Triangle pattern ka hissa hai jo ke daily timeframe par December 28 ko 1.1140 ke qareeb shuru hui thi. Ye pattern market mein volatility ke consolidation ko darshata hai, jahan upar ki taraf chalne wala sira October 3rd ke kamzor 1.0448 se nikalta hai, jo ke pattern ki range ko samaitta hai.
Symmetrical Triangle ka wujood market ke participants ke darmiyan ek fazooliyat ka dour ko dikhata hai, jaisa ke 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 40.00-60.00 range mein harkat karna. Ye harkatein koi saaf raah ka izhar nahi karti, jo ke mojooda market sentiment ki ghair yaqeeni manzil ko peechay dikhata hai.

### EUR/USD Trading Discussion
### Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Eurodollar buyers attempted to push the quote northward, but American sellers absorbed the upward momentum during the European session on news trading. Today, Germany's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter shows positive indicators, which may increase volatility in price fluctuations. Support levels are at 1.07888-07250, reinforced by a trend line. For now, I'll stay on the sidelines, waiting for a good signal from buyers.

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### H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Despite completing all reduction plans, the EUR/USD price continues to update its minimums. Yesterday's trading closed with a bearish candle with a large shadow at the top. Sales targets have formed on the hourly chart:

- First target level (161.8 on the Fibonacci grid) at 1.0781.
- Second target level (261.8 on the Fibonacci grid) at 1.0731.
- Third target level (423.6 on the Fibonacci grid) at 1.0654.

Even the first target looks extensive. I'm watching for a reversal formation and continued growth up to a maximum of 1.0895 and higher, towards 1.0950.

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### Translation in Roman Urdu:

### Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Eurodollar buyers ne quote ko northward push karne ki koshish ki, lekin American sellers ne European session ke dauran upward momentum ko absorb kar liya. Aaj, Germany ka GDP first quarter ke liye positive indicators dikhata hai, jo price fluctuations mein volatility ko barha sakta hai. Support levels 1.07888-07250 hain, jo trend line se reinforce hain. Abhi ke liye, main sidelines par rahunga, buyers se ek achi signal ka intezar karte hue.

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### H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Reduction plans complete hone ke bawajood, EUR/USD price apne minimums ko update karti rehti hai. Kal ka trading bearish candle ke sath close hua, jiski top par large shadow thi. Hourly chart par sales targets form huye hain:

- Pehla target level (161.8 Fibonacci grid) 1.0781 par.
- Dusra target level (261.8 Fibonacci grid) 1.0731 par.
- Teesra target level (423.6 Fibonacci grid) 1.0654 par.

Mere liye, pehla goal bhi kaafi extensive lagta hai. Main reversal formation aur growth ko watch kar raha hoon, maximum 1.0895 aur usse upar 1.0950 tak.

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### EUR/USD D1 Analysis:
### Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Bearish price dynamics pushed the EUR/USD pair to 1.0813 earlier on Thursday, but it has since rebounded and is now trading at 1.0845. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 60.00 and trending upwards, indicating a potential rise.

From a trading perspective, I expect the quotes to move accordingly. The first target will be 1.0880, followed by the psychological level of 1.0900. Above this, the bulls will aim for 1.0930. Conversely, the market will turn bearish if the price breaks below the support level of 1.0800. If that happens, 1.0740 and 1.0700 will be attainable. Below the 1.0700 mark, bears might target 1.0660 and possibly 1.0630.

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### H4 Timeframe Outlook:

The 4-hour chart also supports a bullish EUR/USD outlook. The RSI is above 50.00 and pointing upwards. Technically, the quotes will rise towards 1.0880, and a break above this level will expose the psychological level of 1.0900. If the bulls overcome this level, they will target 1.0930. However, the downside may resume if the price falls below 1.0800. In that case, bears will target 1.0740, followed by the significant support level of 1.0700. Further losses will be recorded if the price falls below this level.

Trade safely, and best of luck!

### Translation in Roman Urdu:

### EUR/USD D1 Analysis:

### Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Bearish price dynamics ne EUR/USD pair ko Thursday subah 1.0813 par pohnchaya, magar ab ye 1.0845 par trade kar rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 se upar hai aur upar ki taraf hai, jo ek potential rise ka signal hai.

Mere trading nazariye se, main expect karta hoon ke quotes accordingly move karein. Pehla target 1.0880 hoga, phir psychological level 1.0900. Is level ke upar, bulls ka target 1.0930 hoga. Agar price support level 1.0800 ke neeche break kare, to market bearish ho jayega. Agar aisa hota hai, to 1.0740 aur 1.0700 attainable honge. 1.0700 mark ke neeche, bears shayad 1.0660 aur possibly 1.0630 ko target karenge.

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### H4 Timeframe Outlook:

4-hour chart bhi bullish EUR/USD outlook ko support karta hai. RSI 50.00 se upar hai aur upar ki taraf hai. Technically, quotes 1.0880 ki taraf rise karein gi, aur is level ke upar break hone par psychological level 1.0900 expose hoga. Agar bulls is level ko successfully overtake kar lete hain, to phir wo 1.0930 ko target karenge. Lekin, downside wapas shuru ho sakti hai agar price 1.0800 ke neeche girti hai. Iss surat mein, bears market ko take over karenge aur 1.0740 ko target karenge. Is level ke neeche significant support level 1.0700 hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai to further losses record hongi.

Safely trade karein, aur best of luck!

EurUsd

EurUsd market mein bullish movement conditions ke madde nazar, H4 TF reference mein bullish trend ka silsila barqarar rehne ka mauqa nazar aa raha hai. Yeh tab dekhne ko mila jab ek downward condition ne RBS area 1.0811 par bearish rejection ka samna kiya. Ab jo current increase dekhne ko mil raha hai, woh upar wale resistance area 1.0894 ko test karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur yeh potential rakhta hai ke is price level se upar ek nayi high form kare aur aage barhta rahe. Purchase transactions par focus dobara prioritize karna theek lagta hai jab tak price support area 1.0810 se neeche decline na kare. Bullish rally movement ke long term potential se is saal ke highest price limit 1.1001 ke range ko test karne ka mauqa milta hai.




Upar diye gaye description ke madde nazar, buy positions ko dobara khola ja sakta hai 1.0845 se 1.0855 ke range mein entry ke liye. Bullish movements ka target is price level range se TP1 ko 1.0890 aur TP2 ko 1.0940 level tak plan kar sakte hain. Purchase plan ka maqsad long-term bullish movement ko 1.1000 level tak pohanchne ka bhi ho sakta hai. Buying plan invalid tab ho jayega agar price 1.0810 level se neeche decline kare aur bearish correction movement ka silsila jaari rahe. New sales plans ko dobara calculate karne ke liye 1.0810 se neeche movement ka intezar kar sakte hain. Is price level se neeche decline karne par sell position open karne ka target TP ko demand area ke kareeb MA 200 (blue) ke moving limits 1.0744 range mein kar sakte hain. Agar price crucial support area 1.0722 se neeche decline kare to trend bearish phase mein reverse ho sakta hai.

**Salam, Sergey!**
Hum narrowing se bahar aa gaye hain. Toh yeh yakin karne ki wajah hai ke decline jaari rahegi. Filhal yeh mere liye akela option hai jo main consider kar raha hoon. Ab jab ke hum trend line ko break kar chuke hain, ab hum ya toh southern correction ko sideways movement ke saath remove kar sakte hain ya southern wave ko develop kar sakte hain. Wo log zaroor isse tod bhi sakte hain aur breakdown ko false bana sakte hain. Lekin mujhe abhi bhi umeed hai ke sab kuch normal rahega aur akhir mein hum current levels se neeche ke targets achieve kar payenge. Maine pehle se 1.0723 ka target set kiya tha. Lekin phir maine dekha aur socha ke 1.0789 tak pehle pahunchna bura nahi hoga. Aur phir wahan se dekha jayega.

Hi, Tanya! Mere paas eurodollar par ek wedge hai aur main expect kar raha hoon ke upper trend se correction new growth mein nahi badlegi, balki yeh 0730 tak aur deep roll back ho sakti hai aur wahan se growth shuru hogi. Tumhara kya khayal hai?

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Posted by Gdirra View message

Ab tum dollars mein earn kar rahe ho, isliye inflation ka zyada asar nahi hota. Aur, deposit save karo aur zyada substantial amounts withdraw karo.

Ah, ab main samjhata hoon. Keh lo ke regular job par salary aur pension increase hoti hain, lekin agar tumhe yeh dollars mein milti hai, toh koi increase nahi hoti. Aur exchange rate gir raha hai. Yani, jo bhi tha dollar wohi raha, lekin ab woh itna nahi hai. Jaldi hi wo humse milenge, lekin hamari earnings nahi badh rahi hain, point remains worth a dollar...

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**Roman Urdu Translation:**

**Salam, Sergey!**

Hum narrowing se bahar aa gaye hain. Toh yeh yakin karne ka wajah hai ke decline jaari rahegi. Filhal yeh mere liye akela option hai jo main consider kar raha hoon. Ab jab ke hum trend line ko break kar chuke hain, ab hum ya toh southern correction ko sideways movement ke saath remove kar sakte hain ya southern wave ko develop kar sakte hain. Wo log zaroor isse tod bhi sakte hain aur breakdown ko false bana sakte hain. Lekin mujhe abhi bhi umeed hai ke sab kuch normal rahega aur akhir mein hum current levels se neeche ke targets achieve kar payenge. Maine pehle se 1.0723 ka target set kiya tha. Lekin phir maine dekha aur socha ke 1.0789 tak pehle pahunchna bura nahi hoga. Aur phir wahan se dekha jayega.

Hi, Tanya! Mere paas eurodollar par ek wedge hai aur main expect kar raha hoon ke upper trend se correction new growth mein nahi badlegi, balki yeh 0730 tak aur deep roll back ho sakti hai aur wahan se growth shuru hogi. Tumhara kya khayal hai?

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Posted by Gdirra View message

Ab tum dollars mein earn kar rahe ho, isliye inflation ka zyada asar nahi hota. Aur, deposit save karo aur zyada substantial amounts withdraw karo.

Ah, ab main samjhata hoon. Keh lo ke regular job par salary aur pension increase hoti hain, lekin agar tumhe yeh dollars mein milti hai, toh koi increase nahi hoti. Aur exchange rate gir raha hai. Yani, jo bhi tha dollar wohi raha, lekin ab woh itna nahi hai. Jaldi hi wo humse milenge, lekin hamari earnings nahi badh rahi hain, point remains worth a dollar...

Unka rukh aagey ki taraf barqarar raha, aur chadhai jaari thi. Pichle din wazeh kar gaya tha ke haqeeqat kya hai: market ne kisi bhi waqiye, khabar ko euro ke favor mein samjha shuru kar diya hai. Is haftay ke ibtedai dinon mein humne kaha tha ke euro ke iqtedaar mein izafa ho raha hai, mazeed taraqqi ke baghair, aur market ne Amreeki currency ke liye tamam musbat khabron ko nazar andaz kar diya tha. Budhwar ko, hum ne wahi manzar dekha. EU ne GDP aur sanati utpadan par kafi neutral reports jaari ki. GDP ka doosra taqreebati tabadla pehle wale se zyada mukhtalif nahi tha, aur sanati output mein sirf 0.1% se zyada tabdiliyan nazar aayi. America ne apna April mein inflation ka report jaari kiya, aur uska maqdar bilkul ummeed ke mutabiq tha. Is liye, dollar ko bechnay ka koi sabab nahi tha. Chhoti se chhoti izafi harkaton ke bawajood, ye nahi dikh raha hai ke Federal Reserve foran interest dar ko kam karne ka irada karega. 3.4% shumar ye dikhata hai ke hum abhi tak monetary policy ke ibtedai asraat se bohot door hain. Lekin, market aise behave kiya jaise ke Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne is hafte yeh wazeh kar diya ke central bank jald hi darjat kam karne ke liye tayyar hai. Haqeeqat mein, is hafte unho ne ulta kaha... Kuch umeed afroz signals 5-minute time frame par samne aaye. Market inflation report jaari hone ke baad mukhtalif raaston mein guftagu badal gayi. Pehle toh, wo 1.0836-1.0856 ke daire se guzar gayi, phir wapas gayi, aur phir se. Is liye, naye traders ko US session ke doran lambi positions khol sakte thay. Raat ke qareeb, jodi nishana ke level 1.0888 ke kareeb pohanch gayi. Jumeraat ke liye trading tips: Sa'atly chart par, EUR/USD pair ke liye barqarar utho uthao trend hai, jo ek mazboot bull trend ka mazeed taraqqi ka nazar aata hai. Hum samajhte hain ke kuch waqt mein ek numaya kami shuru ho gi, kyun ke euro mehnga hai, aur amooman, global trend neechay ki taraf hai. Bunyadi haalaat ab bhi Amreeki dollar ko support kartay hain, aur April ka inflation report Federal Reserve ke nazariye ko nahi badalay ga.

EUR/USD Price Movement Signals
Aaj, Thursday ke din, Europe aur America dono ki taraf s bohot saari fundamental data releases hui hain jo EUR aur USD ko impact karengi. Yeh data releases aaj ke din EUR/USD pair ke price changes ko influence karengi.

Technical Strategy

Agar hum technical perspective se dekhein, to abhi moving average indicator strategy use ho rahi hai. Abhi ke liye sirf 100 MA indicator line use ho rahi hai, jo ke price ke upar hai. Magar, price ab 200 aur 50 MA lines ke upar move kar rahi hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke EUR/USD pair ka price movement abhi upward trend ko continue kar raha hai.






Doosre indicators ko dekhein, jaise ke RSI 14 indicator, to iska value ab 50% se upar hai, aur 65% pe hai. Yeh bhi yeh signal de raha hai ke EUR/USD pair ka price movement upward trend mein hai.

Resistance aur support indicators ko dekhein, to abhi EUR/USD pair support zone mein move kar raha hai. Agar price future mein upward move karta hai, to yeh 1.0953 resistance zone tak jaa sakta hai, jo maine aaj ke trading plan ke buy order ka take profit area rakha hai. Agar price upward move nahi karta, to yeh 1.0753 support zone tak jaa sakta hai, jo maine stop loss zone area rakha hai. Good money aur good luck!

EURUSD Pair Ki Technical Analysis
1-Hour Chart





Price abhi aik achi buying zone mein trade kar rahi hai, kyun ke price ko weekly pivot level 1.0843 aur broken channels se support mil raha hai.
Aaj price ne descending price channels ke andar trading shuru ki, jo ke pichle do dinon ke price movement ko represent karte hain.
Price ne weekly pivot level ke neeche bhi trade kiya. Pehle price upar gayi, phir neeche aayi, aur channel lines se support mila, jahan upper lines of the channels ko break karne mein kamyab hui.
Teeno consecutive candles ke buying zone mein stable rehne se further rise ka signal milta hai, aur 1.0920 level agla target consider kiya ja raha hai.
Economic side pe traders monetary policy expectations ko evaluate kar rahe hain. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke last meeting ke minutes aur kuch Fed officials ke comments hawkish stance ko indicate karte hain aur yeh suggest karte hain ke US interest rates kuch arsa tak high rahengi, kyun ke inflation ko control karne mein abhi itna progress nahi hua.
Europe mein, European Central Bank (ECB) june mein borrowing costs reduce kar sakti hai. Bank Governor Lagarde ne recently indicate kiya ke June 6 ko action lene ke strong chances hain agar economic data se confidence mile ke inflation medium term mein 2% pe aa jayegi. Eurozone inflation abhi 2.4% hai, jo ECB ke target 2% ke bohot kareeb hai aur pichle saal ke 7% se kaafi neeche hai.

European Central Bank ka agla meeting June 6 ko hoga aur bohot high chances hain ke interest rates cut kiye jayenge. New Eurozone GDP estimates bhi confirm karte hain ke economy first quarter mein recession se bahar aa gayi hai, aur European Commission ke new forecasts ab bhi soft landing scenario ko point karte hain.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis

Fundamentals of the EUR/USD:

Wednesday ke active American session mein EUR/USD 1.0860 tak chala gaya. Yeh rise traders ke expectations ko reflect karta hai ke central banks alag-alag monetary stances le rahe hain. ECB zyada aggressively rates cut kar sakta hai compared to the Fed, aur yeh development market movements mein pehle se priced-in hai.

Financial circles mein forecasts yeh suggest karte hain ke ECB iss saal interest rates ko 70 basis points tak reduce kar sakta hai, aur yeh policy shift June meeting se shuru ho sakta hai. Pichle mahine ECB policymakers ne hint diya tha ke June mein rate cuts ho sakte hain, kyunki projections yeh indicate karte hain ke Eurozone inflation agle saal tak gradually 2% tak aayegi. June ke baad rate trajectory uncertain hai, magar market consensus yeh hai ke June 6 ko cut hoga.

ECB rate adjustment ke speculation aur US Fed ke possible delays milkar Euro ke upward momentum ko cap kar sakti hain. Yeh scenario EUR/USD pair ke liye immediate future mein headwinds create kar sakta hai, jo currency traders aur investors ke landscape ko shape karega.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

1.0860 tak ascend karke, EUR/USD pair pehle ke losses se recover ho raha hai, aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb 1.0789 pe pohanch raha hai. Yeh Symmetrical Triangle pattern ke downward-sloping boundary ke kareeb bhi hai jo daily timeframe pe December 28th ke near 1.1140 pe form hua tha. Yeh pattern market volatility ke consolidation ko signify karta hai, jiska upward-sloping border October 3rd low 1.0448 se emerge ho raha hai.





Symmetrical Triangle ka emergence market participants mein indecision ko show karta hai, jaisa ke 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Yeh oscillations clear direction ki kami ko denote karti hain, jo current market sentiment ke uncertain terrain ko mirror karte hain.

Yuro Ki Halat Ka Jaiza
Monday ke trading session ke start mein euro mein izafa dekha gaya tha, magar uske baad yeh wapas retreat kar gaya. 1.09 level significant resistance generate kar raha hai, jise closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Is level ko break karne ke liye bohot mehnat ki zaroorat hogi.

Short-term pullout mein 1.08 support level important hai, khaaskar jab 200-day EMA present hai aur 50-day EMA bhi uske qareeb aane wala hai, jo expected Golden Cross ko hit karega. Yeh technical chart aksar bullish movement indicate karta hai. Dono, European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve ke rate cuts market ko affect kar sakte hain. Iske ilawa, aksar EU markets ke closure ne overall liquidity ko affect kiya hai.

U.S. ka faida euro ke performance mein ek important role ada karta hai, kyunki U.S. dollar ke interest rates ke changes U.S. dollars ko directly affect karte hain. Iska nateeja yeh hai ke yeh pair ka movement aksar U.S. dollar index ke liye ek proxy hota hai aur USD ke broader trend ka insight provide karta hai. USD ke movement ko accurately forecast karna trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai, na sirf forex pairs mein balki doosri markets mein bhi.






Market abhi bhi notorious volatile hai aur recent pricing moves ke bawajood, past few trading sessions mein yeh volatility slow down hone ka koi indication nahi hai. Marketers ko hamesha cautious aur ongoing change ke liye prepared rehna chahiye.

Summary mein, jabke euro 1.09 level pe resistance face kar raha hai, 1.08 level important support provide karta hai, reinforced by the nearby Golden Cross. Interest rate decisions aur economic conditions is market ko greatly affect karengi. Hamesha, U.S. dollar direction ko samajhna sound business decisions banane ke liye critical hai.

Haal Filhaal Market Analysis

Mojooda market analysis ke mutabiq, 1.0835 ka price level psychological aur technical tor pe bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Current range ke andar price action ko dekhte hue, yeh saaf hai ke accumulation ho rahi hai, jo ke ek significant move se pehle buildup ko indicate karti hai. Ascending northern channel ka lower boundary bhi is level ke saath align hota hai, jo iski ahmiyat ko barhata hai. Iske ilawa, average moving line ka movement bhi is analysis ko support karta hai.

Trading mein psychological levels woh price points hote hain jahan traders aur investors aam tor pe buy aur sell orders place karte hain, jo ke increased activity aur potential market reversals ko lead karta hai. 1.0835 level psychological benchmark is liye serve karta hai kyun ke yeh ek near-term support level ko represent karta hai jahan traders price ke bounce hone ki umeed karte hain. Jab price in levels ke qareeb hoti hai, market participants aksar react karte hain, jis se increased volatility aur trading volume hoti hai.

Technically, 1.0835 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ascending channel ke lower boundary ke saath align hota hai. Yeh channel price action ko guide kar raha hai, jo bullish trend ko suggest karta hai. Ascending channel indicate karta hai ke buyers control mein hain, jo price ko higher push karte hain aur har subsequent pullback pe buying interest higher lows pe milta hai. Is channel ka lower boundary ek dynamic support level ke tor pe act karta hai, jahan price support find karke rebound karti hai, aur overall upward trajectory maintain hoti hai.

Moving averages ka role bhi is level ki significance ko reinforce karta hai. Technical analysis mein moving averages widely use hoti hain trends aur potential support ya resistance levels ko identify karne ke liye. Is context mein, average moving line, jaise ke 50-day ya 200-day moving average, aksar key support levels ke saath align hoti hain uptrend mein. Jab price 1.0835 level ke qareeb hoti hai, to moving averages ka proximity additional technical support suggest karta hai, jo is level ko critical banata hai.

Jab price range ke andar consolidate karti hai aur accumulate hone lagti hai, to yeh typically yeh phase indicate karta hai jahan buyers aur sellers ek doosre ko balance kar rahe hote hain. Yeh accumulation phase aksar breakout se pehle hoti hai, jahan price ek direction mein decisively move karti hai. Yeh fact ke accumulation 1.0835 level ke qareeb ho rahi hai, iski significance ko barhata hai. Is level ke upar ek strong move yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke buyers strength gain kar rahe hain, aur price ko higher push karne ke liye tayar hain, jabke is level ke upar hold karne mein failure momentum shift ko suggest kar sakta hai.





Nateeja ke tor pe, 1.0835 level mojooda market context mein considerable psychological aur technical ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh ascending northern channel ke lower boundary ke saath align hota hai aur moving averages se supported hai, jo isse ek critical point banata hai potential price action ke liye. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future market movements ke liye valuable insights provide kar sakta hai. Is level ka successful defense bullish trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai, jabke breakdown market sentiment mein change ko signal kar sakta hai. Is level ki significance ko samajh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur market ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Zati tajurbe sem bahut se logon se pahle hi dekha keh peshan goi ka istemal karte waqt trading zyada yaqini aur munafa baksh hoti hai. Lehaza trading ke dauran qimat me utar-chadhaw ka andaza lafana faide mand hai. Is surat me, qismat aur kamyabi aapke sath hogi aur trading munafa paida karegi.
Jahan tak euro/dollar ke jode ka talluq hai, bahut se logon ne iski kami ki peshangoi ki hai. Aaj, short positions kholna ummid afza lag raha hai. Yaumiyah chart wazeh taur par zahir karta hai keh niche ka rujhan barqarar hai, jabkeh trend trading hamesha tarjih hoti hai. Linear regression channel niche ki taraf ja raha hai jo keh aalmi mandi ke rujhan ki nishandahi karta hai. RSI indicator apni pichli readings se kam hai, jo euro/dollar ke jode me mazid kami ka ishara bhi deta hai. European currency niche ki taraf karobar jari rakhe hue hai. Is tarah, mai 1.0760 suppport satah ke breakout ke bad kami par shumar karte hue short positions kholne ki tajwiz karta hun.

EURUSD

Good morning everyone! EURUSD pair ke liye, kuch din pehle lagta hai ke hum ne downward reversal complete kar liya hai ek retest se neeche se aur is April resistance zone ya sales zone of that period se. Lagta hai ke bears ne apne level ko defend kiya aur EURUSD ne is week ke lows ko update karte hue wapas roll back kiya. Aur technical indicator ke mutabiq, zone ke top ke qareeb basement mein ek sell signal form hua hai, jo is signal ko technique ke base pe strengthen karta hai. Agar hum conclusions draw karein, to EURUSD pair ke liye technical correction doosre din khatam hui, dono fib aur technology ke mutabiq. Aur kuch dinon mein yeh apne pehle trend pe wapas aa rahi hai, magar yeh sirf mera opinion hai, aur yeh picture mein bhi dikhayi deta hai. Hum 1.0890 ko work out hone ka intezar kar rahe hain, agar yeh work out nahi hota, to agla level 1.0980 hai. Aur main speculate nahi karna chahta ke bulls kar sakte hain ya nahi, yeh market hai, yahan sab kuch mumkin hai. Lekin yeh mera opinion hai, aap aur doosre log is se mutafiq na bhi ho sakte hain. Lagta hai ke aise growth development nahi hogi. Daily EURUSD time frame pe 1.0864 ke neeche wapas aana (5/8 channel ka top) euro pe teesre din tak pressure dalta raha. Aaj mujhe decline ke continuation ki umeed hai towards upper border of the Cloud indicator "Ichimoku Kinko Hyo" jo horizontally 1.0790 level pe pass kar raha hai, by the way, red moving average for 75 days bhi wahan pe pass karega, aur usi waqt hum iski strength ko test karenge. Abhi main 1.0864 ke upar return ko consider nahi kar raha.

Post by Rotshilid: Aapne likha tha ke currency rate pe depend karti hai, main ne aapka dhyan dilaya tha ke yeh poori tarah se sahi nahi hai aur aur bhi factors hain, magar aapko kis baat ne tang kiya ke kisi ne aapko object kiya aur aapke not fully strengthened ego ko effect kiya? Main eurozone ki fading economy ke baare mein baat kar raha hoon, aur aap Russian media ki propaganda ke bare mein baat kar rahe hain. Main Russian media ke data pe rely nahi karta; main original source se indicators leta hoon. Is case mein, yeh indicators Eurostat se the.

Post by Rotshilid: Aapke reasoning mujhe Russian media ki rhetoric ki yaad dilati hai, apni economic literacy ko in sources ke basis pe build na karein, jo ke truth se bohot door hain.

EUR/USD ke liye kal, ek choti northern pullback ke baad, price reverse hui aur news background ke against, confidently south ko push hui, jiske natije mein ek full bearish candle form hui, jo easily previous daily range ke low ke neeche consolidate ho gayi. Aaj mujhe lagta hai ke main nearest support level ka price work out kar sakta hoon, jo meri markings ke mutabiq 1.08122 pe located hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha hai, yahan do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario turning candle ke formation aur upward price movement ke resumption se related hai. Agar yeh plan work out hota hai, to main price ka return wait karunga resistance level tak, jo 1.08850 pe located hai. Agar price is resistance level ke upar fix hoti hai, to main further northward movement ka wait karunga, resistance level tak jo 1.09425 pe located hai ya resistance level tak jo 1.09812 pe located hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo future direction of trading ko determine karne mein madad karega. Of course, ek aur option hai ke ek more distant northern target ko work out kiya jaye, jo meri markings ke mutabiq 1.11393 pe located hai, magar agar indicated plan implement hota hai, to price ke northern target ki taraf move karte waqt, main southern pullbacks ko fully allow karta hoon, jo main bullish signals search karne ke liye use karne ka plan banata hoon from the nearest support levels, in anticipation.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS 24 MAY 2024

Bullish movement ke sharaait EurUsd market mein H4 TF reference mein bullish trend ki taraf jaari rakhne ka moqa lag raha hai. Yeh uske baad hua jab ek neeche ki sharaait dekhi gayi jo ke bearish rejection ko mehsoos kiya gaya RBS area mein 1.0811 par. Mojooda izafa yeh dikhata hai ke upar ki taraf resistance area ko azma raha hai jo ke kareeb 1.0894 ke aas paas hai aur is ke upar ek naye uncha banane ka potential hai upar is qeemat ke leval ko. Tawajju phir se khareedari karwai par focus ki ja rahi hai jab tak ke qeemat support area ke neeche kareeb 1.0810 nahi girti. Lambi lehaar mein bullish rally movement ke potential ne is saal ke sab se unche qeemat ki had tak imkaanat ko khol diya hai jo ke 1.1001 range mein hai.



Upar di gayi tasveer ke mukhtasar tajziya ke buniyad par, khareedari positions ko dobara khol kar 1.0845 se 1.0855 range mein daakhil hone ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai. Is qeemat ke range se bullish harkaat ke liye maqsood TP1 ko 1.0890 level tak pohanchne ka tajwez diya ja sakta hai aur TP 2 ko 1.0940 tak pohanchne ka. Khareedari ka plan bhi lambe arse ke bullish harkaat ko 1.1000 level tak pohanchne ka maqsood bana sakta hai. Khareedari ka plan manzoor nahi hoga agar aise halat paida hote hain ke jari bearish correction harkaat ka khatra ho, jese ke agar qeemat 1.0810 ke leval ke neeche gir jaaye. Naye farokht ke plan ko dobara se shumar kar sakte hain agar 1.0810 ke neeche jaane ki movement ka intezar kia jaaye. Is qeemat ke leval ke neeche girne se ek farokht position ko kholne ka tajwez diya ja sakta hai jis ka maqsad MA 200 (blue) ke moving limits ke range mein darkhwast area ko 1.0744 tak pohanchne ka. Agar qeemat 1.0722 ke ahem support area ke paar girti hai to trend bearish phase mein palat sakta hai.

Euro ka dollar ke khilaf chadhao Thursday ko roka gaya, jab jaldi se mazid mazboot US data ne Federal Reserve ke iradon ko barha diya. Shuruati tor par, Europe aur US dono se mazid maqboliyat milti hui ma'loomat ne Euro ko izafa diya. Magar, US ki khidmatat industry PMI ka foran izafa 51.3 se 54.8 par jo ke muntazam se zyada tha, investors ko dollar ko aik safe haven currency ke tor par dhoondne par majboor kar diya. Ye ma'loomat Fed ke September mein arzi daromad ko kam karne ke liye barhti umeedon ko ghatane ke liye zehrili tasirein dali. Halankeh September mein daromad kam karne ka arzi daromad pehle bhi dekha gaya tha, interest rate traders ab bhi kam se kam aik mamooli kami ka koi imkan nahi dekh rahe hain. Yeh tabdili ehsaas se durr hai jo market ke pehle se kam az kam 2024 ke end tak kam se kam chhe daromadon ki tawakal rahi thi. May ke akhir tak, daromad kam karne ki umeedain kami ho gayi hain, kuch investors keval December ke akhri mein aik harkat ki ummid se chipke hue hain. Agay ki taraf dekhtay hue, Germany ke pehle do mahine ke GDP figures mein 0.2% ki kuch istiqamat ki umeed hai. April ke liye US durable goods orders bhi jaari honge, jismein 0.8% ki kami ka tajwez hai. Ye pehle mahine ke mazid izafe ke baad aik mazboot izafe ka tasawar hai.



Technical front par, Euro ka samna 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke darjon mein rukawat ka samna hai. Agar khareedne wale in rukawaton ko par kar sakte hain, to 1.0940 ke darja ka aik dobara test mumkin hai. Mazeed izafe ki taraf barhawa inhein 1.0980-1.1000 zone, traders ke liye aik ahem rukawat ka hissa, kar sakti hai. Mukhalfat ke tor par, agar Euro 1.0814 ke sath pichay chali jati hai, to aik breakout ho sakta hai. Ye breakout mumkinah tor par aik neeche ki raah ki jaanch aur 200 aur 50-day simple moving averages ke qareeb 1.0785 ke darja tak ka imtihan kar sakta hai. Dairpareshan farokht dabaav ye dekh sakti hai ke 1.0765 par 20 dinon ka moving average waqti sahara faraham karta hai. Agar is darje ko neeche giraya jata hai to 1.0720 ke darja tak pohnch sakti hai, mukhtalif hota hai, ek bearish trend ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai. Aakhir mein, Euro ka fori manzar us ke qabliyat par mabni hai ke 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke aas paas ki rukawaton ko par kar sake. Agar ye rukawat door ki gayi, to Euro ko kuch upri tawanai dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Magar, 1.0814 ki sahara ke darje ko torne par, ek taza farokht ka naya dora shuru ho sakta hai.