یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Ham EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke dynamics par ghoor kar rahe hain aur pesh-e-nazar mamoolat ko shaamil kar rahe hain. Tafteesh ke doran, Thursday ke kam se kam ya us se neeche 1.0726 ke low par rukawat lagane ki maqoliyat muntashir hai, kyun ke mojooda market shiraa'at ko daryaft karne ke liye behtar intezam sabit nahi ho sakti. Hum ek ziada ihtiyaat angaiz tareeqa pasand karte hain, jo ke pichle haftay ke intehai 1.0652 ke low ke neeche stop-loss order ka intezam shamil karta hai. Ye tabdeeli na sirf khatra nigrani ko numaya karti hai balkay munasib nuqsaan ke khilaaf bhi ek buffer faraham karta hai. Agar EUR/USD ki raftar mein koi nazar aane wala ulat pher tasleem kiya jata hai, to ye aik waziha tarmeem ka ishara hai jise aik bearish bandobast ke lehaz se tabdeel kiya jaata hai. Magar, aisi ek manzil ko hasil karne mein kuch challenges shamil hain, jin mein liquidity constraints ka imkan shamil hai, khas tor par agar Thursday ka minimum level istemal kiya jata hai. Qeemat ke dynamics aur market liquidity ke darmiyan payda hone wale gehra taluqat ko tasleem karna zaroori hai, kyun ke ye factors aksar karobar ke nataij par gehri independent bullish harkat ka ishara samajhna zaroori hai. Aisi taraqqi pehle wazeh lag sakti hai, khas tor par agar rukh ke tajziya ke zere nazar dekha jaaye, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat baratna bhi zaroori hai, khas tor par jab ye waqt ke shuruaat mein paish aata hai. Market dynamics fitri tor par tabdeel hoti rehti hain aur tezi se tabdeel hone ke imkanat hote hain, is liye jab trading strategies banai ja rahi hain to ehtiyaat aur huqoomat ko zaroori samajhna chahiye. Aakhir mein, EUR/USD currency pair ke complexities ko samajhne ke liye technical expertise, risk management ke maharat, aur market sentiment ka aik lafaazi samajh zaroori hai. Humari tafteesh se hasil hone wali maloomat par tawajjo dete hue aur ehtiyaat ke sath aik qadam utha kar, traders apne aap ko market trends ke tabdeel hone wale faide se faida uthane ke liye mufeed taur par position kar sakte hain, jabke potenzo nuqsaan ke khilaaf tahaffuz bhi faraham karte hain. Jab tak market barqarar rehti hai, hoshiyari aur badalne ki salahiyat currency trading ke hamesha changing landscape ko samajhne mein aham rehain gi.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Ki Tafseeli Tehqeeq: Bullish Momentum aur Ahem Levels

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki tafseeli tehqeeq kar rahe hain. Iss waqt active buyers ka asar nazar aa raha hai, aur 1.08524 ka level support ka kaam kar raha hai. Yeh mashwara diya jata hai ke is level ke upar buy orders place kiye jayein, kyunke current price 1.08525 par hai. Agar traders strategically buy orders place karein, to umeed ki ja sakti hai ke price nearest resistance level 1.09012 tak pohanchegi. Abhi ke levels par selling positions open karne mein koi dilchaspi nahi hai.UK Statistics aur EUR/USD Ka RukhUK se ab tak koi impactful results nahi aaye hain. EUR/USD ka rukh uttar ki taraf dikh raha hai, jiska potential end point 1.0970 ho sakta hai. Agar market is rukh mein nahi chalta, to bullish trend ka end point 1.0866 par ho sakta hai. Agar market is rukh mein nahi chalta, to hum support level 1.0589 ki taraf decline dekh sakte hain, jahan buyers ka stepping in ki umeed hai.Mazboot Support Levels aur Bullish MomentumJab tak price 1.0840 aur 1.0800 ke levels ke upar hai, bullish momentum jaari rehne ki umeed hai. Yeh levels mazboot support ka kaam karte hain, aur agar price in levels tak pohchti hai, to bounce back hone ka potential hai. Current price abhi bhi in levels ke upar hai, jo indicate karta hai ke upward trend jaari reh sakta hai.Trend Reversal Ki Mumkinat aur Market Ka MustaqbilTrend reversal ki mumkinat tab hoti hai jab price in support levels ke neeche gir jaye. Agar aisa hota hai, to market ka rukh uttar se south ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Lekin yeh ghair yaqeeni hai ke price pehli koshish par in levels ko break karega, kyunke ibtedai koshishen aksar retracements ka sabab banti hain. Nataij market trend ka short term mustaqbil tay karega.TajwezatiBuy Orders: 1.08524 ke upar buy orders place karein, kyunke current price 1.08525 par hai.Target Resistance Level: 1.09012 ko target kareinAhem Support Levels: 1.0840 aur 1.0800 ko closely monitor karein.Trend Reversal: Agar price in support levels ko break karti hai, to southward movement expected karein.NateejaEUR/USD currency pair abhi mazboot bullish momentum dikha raha hai. 1.08524 ka support level ahem hai, aur is level ke upar buy orders munafa bakhsh ho sakte hain. Nearest resistance level 1.09012 hai, aur agar market musbat UK statistics ko reflect karta hai, to mazeed uttar ki taraf ka rukh dekha ja sakta hai. Agar support levels toot jate hain, to trend reversal ki mumkinat ko ghoor se ghoorna chahiye. Market dynamics ko nazdeek se dekhna aur strategy ke faislay lena trading mein kamyabi ke liye zaroori hai.

Jadeed tareen market data ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ek dynamic trading environment se guzar raha hai jahan kai technical indicators ahem insights fraham kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ka mojooda price ek ahem level ke qareeb hai jahan resistance aur support wazeh tor par dikhai de rahe hain. Filhal ka resistance level 1.2200 par hai, jo kai martaba test ho chuka hai, yeh upward movement ke liye ek strong barrier ban gaya hai. Neeche ke side par, support level 1.2000 ke qareeb hai, jo ek critical threshold hai jo kai dafa test aur hold kar chuka hai, aur decline ko rok raha hai. Candlestick patterns bullish aur bearish sentiments ka mix dikhate hain, recent candles lambi wicks ke sath traders ke darmiyan indecision ko zahir kar rahi hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) filhal 55 par hai, jo neutral zone mein hai aur yeh indicate karta hai ke market na to overbought hai na oversold, is se yeh lagta hai ke market dono taraf move kar sakta hai depending on upcoming market catalysts.
Dosray technical indicators ke lehaz se, 50-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) filhal 200-period EMA ke neeche hai, jo longer term mein bearish trend ko signal karta hai. Bollinger Bands relatively tight hain, jo lower volatility ko zahir karti hain, aur price filhal middle band ke qareeb hai, jo ek balanced market ka ishara hai. Zigzag indicator recent higher highs aur higher lows dikhata hai, jo yeh hint deta hai ke agar price resistance level ko break kar sakta hai to ek possible uptrend ho sakta hai. Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, moderately positive hai, jo buyers ko slight edge deta hai. Stochastic Oscillator 65 par hai, overbought zone se door hota huwa lekin upper range mein, jo cautious optimism ko zahir karta hai. Aakhir mein, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, 0.0020 par hai, jo relatively stable market conditions ko zahir karta hai lekin potential breakout movements ke sath. Overall, EUR/USD pair filhal ek well-defined range mein trade kar raha hai, in technical indicators ke combination se yeh suggest hota hai ke traders ko potential shifts in market dynamics ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

#EUR/USD


Khush Aamdeed! Chaliye shuru karte hain EURUSD currency instrument ki daily time frame mein tajziyah karne se. Main tajziyah mein kuch complicated nahi istemal karta. Relative Strength Index (RSI) har kisi ke liye wazeh hai, aur period standard hai. Haan, yeh bohot simple hai, kuch tajweezo mein bhi primitive hai, lekin mujhe iska acha nateeja milta hai. Relative Strength Index ab 30 ilaqa mein gaya hai, iska matlab hai ke downtrend jald hi kamzor ho jayega, aur yeh price par hota hai: 1.08709. Main current price values par ek position kholta hoon. Kuch zyada complicated nahi banata, kyunke... Simplicity, jese ke muqtasid pan, hunar ka ek sis hai.




Is note par, hum market ke mutabiq kharid rahe hain. Main hamesha kam az kam 1 se 2 take profit ka qanoon istemal karne ki koshish karta hoon. Main trading se munafa barabar risk ke do guna hota hai. Lekin agar market mujhe zyada kamaane ka mauqa deta hai, to main yeh mauqa inkaar nahi karta aur mazeed munafa kamane ke liye apni position manage karta hoon. Meri stop orders pandrah pips hote hain, jo main hamesha last price zyada se zyada peechay rakh leta hoon takay galat movements se bach sakoon. Main umeed karta hoon ke mera tajziyah kisi ke kaam aaye! Shubh din! Humne EURUSD price ko tooti hui level par test karne ke liye lead kia hai 1.0820-35 par. Unhone peechay hatna nahi. Structure ya to range banane ki koshish hogi, aur wahan se EUR/USD pair ka mazeed izafa shuru hoga, agar wo mojooda consolidation ko paar nahi kar sakte. Ya phir 1.0820-35 ke neeche break, aur humein support 1.0725-55 aur 1.0790-1.0805 par bounce milega. Dekhiye ke kya yeh broad range mein trend mein koi tabdeeli hogi, ya yahan se pull back ki koshish hogi.

EUR/USD pair ne aaj ka din narmi ke sath shuru kiya, 1.0800 ke qareeb hover karte hue, kyunki traders Eurozone aur US ke key economic data ka intizar kar rahe hain. Yeh pair recent hafton mein pressure mein rahi hai, mazboot US dollar aur Eurozone mein slow growth ke concerns ki wajah se.

Eurozone mein aaj ka focus preliminary consumer inflation figures par hoga. Headline inflation umeed hai ke 9.2% se gir kar 8.9% ho jayegi December se, jabke core inflation marginally 5.2% se 5.0% tak ease hone ka imkaan hai. Kam energy prices inflation ke anticipated decline mein contribute kar rahe hain, lekin price pressures ab bhi high hain. European Central Bank closely inflation data ko monitor kar rahi hai aur aage interest rate hikes ko mulls kar rahi hai high prices ko combat karne ke liye. Market expect karte hain ke ECB March meeting mein aur 50 basis point hike de sakti hai.



Atlantic ke paar, US economic calendar busy hai jisme durable goods orders, GDP data, jobless claims aur pending home sales release hone hain. Durable goods orders December mein girne ka imkaan hai, jo slowing business investment ko point karte hain. Wahan pehle estimate Q4 GDP ka umeed hai ke growth moderate hoke 2.8% ho jayegi Q3 ke 3.2% se. GDP data US economy ki health ke clues dega rate hikes ke darmiyan. US jobless claims ne lower trend follow kiya hai aur forecast ke mutabiq further decline hone ka imkaan hai, jo labor market ki resilience ko underscore karta hai.

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair ke immediate support around 1.0680 area mein hai, jo ke 20-day moving average hai. Agar yeh break hoti hai, toh pair January low 1.0480 ko test kar sakti hai. Upside par, resistance 1.0800 pe dekhi ja sakti hai, jo 50-day moving average hai. Relative strength index (RSI) filhal neutral hai, jo near term mein consolidation suggest karta hai. Overall, least resistance ka path downside par lagta hai mazboot dollar aur ECB rate hikes ke darmiyan. Lekin, volatility expect ki ja sakti hai key economic releases ke aas paas jo Fed rate hike expectations ko impact kar sakti hain.

Mukhtasar H4 TF hawale se dekha ja sakta hai ke behtareen bullish moqaa tab mila jab ke qeemat ne 200 Ma harkat had se guzar gaya. Ek aur dobara jaanch ki gayi 200 Ma ke qareeb 50 Ma ilaqa ke aspaas se, kareeb 1.0722 par aur bearish inkaar shiraa'it ka samna kya jis ne baad mein base up rally ke liye raasta banaya jo is haftay ke buland tareen ilaqa tak pohanch gaya tha, kareeb 1.0894 par. Qeematien overbought ilaqa par RSI ke level 60 par chadhne ke baad mehdood bearish tanazzuli doraan guzri. Bearish tanazzul maqsad kamzor lagta hai kam az kam 1.0818 ke neeche chhipe moa'di demand ilaqa tak pohanchne ke liye aur agli haftay mazeed bearish tanazzul harekaton ki mumkinah ehtimaam ki satah ko kholta hai. Agar izafa phir se qareebi supply ilaqa mein bullish inkaar shiraa'it ka samna karta hai, to ek bearish tanazzul ki harekaton ka imkaan hai. Misal ke tor par, agar kharid'dar apni bullish trend ki taraf jari rakhte hain, to phir izafa naye buland tareen ke ikhtiyar ke liye 1.0894 ke oopar ek naye had tak pohanchne ki mumkinah hai.

DAAKHIL PLAN

Ghaur ke liye, agle haftay ke liye ghaflat karne ke lehaaz se daakhil plan jo maqsood hai, kareeb 1.0816 se kharid'dari ka ek darwaza khola ja sakta hai jis ka maqsood Tp 1 hai jo 1.0840 ke leval tak pohanchne ka hai aur Tp 2 hai jo 1.0880 tak pohanchne ka hai. Ye kharid'dari ka plan nuqsan ka khatra uske neeche ke support ilaqa mein hai, kareeb 1.0765 par. Doosri kharid'dari ke options bhi foran ki ja sakti hain, jaise ke agar seedha izafa 1.0894 ke leval se guzar jata hai. Is qeemat ke leval ke oopar ki harekaton naye izafa ko izhar karne ki mumkinah hai 1.0950 tak pohanchne ke liye aur ek baar phir zaroori Zero ilaqa tak pohanchne ki koshish karne ke liye, kareeb 1.1000 mein. Intiqal ke darmiyan, farokht ke plans ko hisaab se nikala ja sakta hai jiska intezaar supply ilaqa mein bullish inkaar shiraa'it ka hona hai, 1.0882 par. Doosri farokht ke options neeche ke qareebi support ilaqa ke tootne ka intezaar kar sakti hain, kareeb 1.0850 par. Farokht ka maqsad moa'di demand ilaqa tak pohanchne ka hai jo 1.0818 ke daira mein hai ya uske neeche ke Zero ilaqa tak pohanchne ka hai jo 1.0800 ke daire mein hai. Farokht ka plan nuqsanat ko 1.0900 ke upar rakh sakta hai. Behtar janib farokht par tawajju maqsood ko bearish trend ki mumkinah tabdeeli ke liye ek giran e daakhil support ilaqa mein giraao se kiya ja sakta hai jo 200 Ma (neela) ki harkat had ke neeche, kareeb 1.0722 ke daire mein hota hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ab active buyers ki asar mein hai, 1.08524 ke level ne support ke tor par kaam kiya hai. Yeh recommended hai ke buy orders is level ke upar lagaye jayein, kyun ke current price 1.08525 par hai. Buy orders ko strategic tareeqe se lagakar traders ko ummeed hai ke price qareebi resistance level 1.09012 tak pohanch jaye ga. Is waqt current levels par selling positions kholne mein koi dilchaspi nahi hai.

Ehmiyat rakhne wale UK statistics ke lehaz se koi khaas zaroori natija nahi nikla hai. EUR/USD ki manzil uttar ki taraf nazar aa rahi hai, jahan ek mumkin end point 1.0970 hai. Agar market is rah mein nahi chalti, to bullish trend ka khatima 1.0866 par ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar market is rah mein nahi chalti, to hum 1.0589 ke support level ki taraf jhukav dekh sakte hain, jahan buyers shayad interfere karein.

Jab tak price 1.0840 aur 1.0800 ke levels ke upar rahega, bullish momentum ka imkan hai ke jari rahega. 1.0840 aur 1.0800 ke levels mazboot support levels ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan price agar pohanchti hai to upar bounce back ka imkan hai. Current price abhi bhi in levels ke upar hai, jo ek mazeed uptrend ka dalil hai.

Agar price in support levels ke neeche chal jata hai, to trend reversal ka imkan hai jo market ki direction ko uttar se dakhan ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh tay nahi hai ke price pehli koshish mein in levels ko tod dega, kyun ke ibtidaei koshishen aksar murawwat mein mukammal hoti hain. Natija market ke trend ki qismat ko qareebi muddat mein tay karega.

EUR/USD Analysis

EUR/USD pair ka downward trend chalte hue nazar aa raha hai. Lekin agar hum four-hour (H4) timeframe ko gaur se dekhein, to ek interesting dynamic samne aata hai: downward pressure ke bawajood, pair ne crucial support zone 1.0760 ke neeche sustain karne mein baar baar nakami pai hai. Ye consistent struggle jo lower breach mein nakam hui, market mein latent bullish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, jo recent market movements ko dekhte hue potential reversal ki indication deti hai. Khas taur par, Friday ko USD index mein positive shift ko dekhte hue, ye anticipate karna reasonable hai ke near future mein USD strength phir se ubhar sakti hai. Aisi situation mein, EUR/USD pair par downward pressure parhna lazmi hai. Is context mein, yeh conceivable hai ke pair 1.0700 mark ki taraf daily basis par retreat kar sakta hai. Lekin ye bhi note karna zaroori hai ke dynamics change ho sakti hain, khas taur par USD index mein fluctuations ke mutabiq.


Hourly chart par linear regression channel north face karta hai. Channel M15 ke sath bhi same direction mein hai. Dono channels ke movement without disagreement, is instrument par upward movement ko highlight karte hain. Mujhe filhal shopping (buying) zaroori lagti hai. Channel ke bottom, near level 1.07059 par, main entry point consider kar raha hoon. Presumably, market 1.07989 ki taraf grow kar raha hai - ye channel ki upper limit hai, jahan market braking hogi. Agar market channel ke upper border ke kareeb lambi duration ke liye stay karti hai, to most likely fall ki expectation hogi lower part of the channel ki taraf. Reducing the movement to the bottom, main sales mein bina ghusaye pass karta hoon. Selling ka matlab hota hai trend ke against jana, aur agar koi rollback nahi hoti, to growth continue hogi. Isliye, main pullback se market mein enter karne ka method use karta hoon. Mujhe lagta hai ye method ek strong player ke sath mil kar implement hoga jo bears ko break karte hue grow karega. Aisi surat mein, walking the top ki possibility kai martaba increase ho jati hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Price action mein 1.0799 ke support line par ek noticeable rejection ho rahi hai, yeh wazeh hai. Yeh rejection buyers ke ek surge se seemit lagti hai jo ke strong support level ki taraf attracted hote hain. Is natije mein, EURUSD pair ne aaj subah ek upward movement experience kiya hai. Magar, is bullish activity ke bawajood, zyada trend ka gehra jaiza ek bearish raasta dikhata hai. Price abhi SMA 50 aur SMA 200 lines dono ke neeche hai, jo ke ek prevalent bearish sentiment ko darust karta hai. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern samne aaya hai, jisme do lower highs aur do lower lows hain. Yeh factors yeh suggest karte hain ke haal hi mein upward movement shayad bas ek badaish phase ho bearish trend ke andar.



Fibonacci analysis shamil karke, hum mazeed potential price movements ka intezar kar sakte hain. Halat-e-haal mein, yeh mumkin hai ke price Fibonacci level of 61.8% ke around 1.0857 ya phir Fibonacci level of 50% ke paas 1.0872 tak correct ho sakta hai, phir apne downward trajectory ko dobara shuru karega. Bunyadi tor par, jabke haal hi ke rejection ne support line par temporary bullish momentum paida kiya ho sakta hai, lekin zyada trend aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh temporary hi reh sakta hai. Traders ko mazeed downside movement ke signs ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye, khaaskar jab price key Fibonacci retracement levels ke qareeb pohnchta hai. Aakhir mein, bearish bias barkarar hai, aur kisi bhi upward movement ko overall downtrend ka continuation hone ke potential corrective phase ke context mein dekha jana chahiye.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Price action mein support line 1.0799 par ek noticeable rejection hone ki wazahat hai. Yeh rejection buyers ke achanak se market mein dakhil hone ke natayej mein lagta hai, jo ke mazboot support level se attract hote hain. Is natije mein, EURUSD pair ne subah ek urooj dekha hai. Lekin, is bullish activity ke bawajood, mazeed trend ka qareebi jaiza ek bearish rukh ka izhar karta hai. Price abhi SMA 50 aur SMA 200 lines dono ke neeche hai, jo ke ek mojooda bearish sentiment ko darust karta hai. Mazeed iske sath, ek reversal pattern samne aya hai, jisme do lower highs aur do lower lows shamil hain. Yeh factors ishara dete hain ke haal hi mein dekhi gayi bullish movement shayad zyada se zyada ek corrective phase ho sakta hai, jisme bade bearish trend ke andar shaamil hai. Fibonacci analysis ko shamil karke, hum mazeed possible price movements ka andaza laga sakte hain.



Fibonacci retracement levels possible correction zones ke liye qeemti insights faraham karte hain. Mojudah price action ke context mein, mumkin hai ke price Fibonacci level 61.8% yani 1.0857 ya phir Fibonacci level 50% yani 1.0872 tak correct ho sakta hai,

EUR/USD Technical Analysis


Ye wazeh hai ke qeemat ki action mein support line 1.0799 par ek notable rejection ho rahi hai. Ye rejection shayad market mein naye buyers ke surge ki wajah se ho rahi hai, jo is strong support level se attract ho rahe hain. Natijan, EUR/USD pair ne is subah ek upward movement experience ki hai.

Lekin, is bullish activity ke bawajood, agar broader trend ko ghor se dekha jaye to ek bearish trajectory nazar aati hai. Qeemat abhi SMA 50 aur SMA 200 lines ke niche hai, jo prevailing bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern bhi emerge hui hai, jo do lower highs aur do lower lows se characterized hai. Yeh factors suggest karte hain ke recent upward movement sirf ek corrective phase ho sakti hai within the larger bearish trend. Fibonacci analysis ko incorporate karke hum mazeed potential price movements anticipate kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD Price Action Review

Main ab EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya kar raha hoon. EUR/USD pair ke liye, aaj yeh 1.0830 tak pohanch sakta hai aur is level ko guzar sakta hai. Thora sa taiz upward pullback ek mazeed selling ka potential mauqa darshata hai. Asian session se pehle 1.0806 support level ke aas paas bechne ka ek theek option ho sakta hai. Main iss hafte aur aage bhane hone wale downward movement ka intezar kar raha hoon aur kuch dino mein final downward turn ki umeed hai, jo US ki raat ke khabron par depend karega. Yeh ongoing downtrend isi tarah jaari rahega jab tak bearish momentum mein koi bari tabdeeli na aye, jo US ke khabron mein hone wale developments se ho sakti hai. Hamain entry ke liye behtar price pattern ka intezaar karna hoga.





Filhaal, EUR/USD pair 1.0837 par hai, 4-hour chart par 50-period moving average ke nichay aur 200-period moving average ke upar. Yeh short-term uncertainty ki nishaandahi karti hai lekin lambi term ki upward trend ke signs ko maintain karti hai. Support lagbhag 1.0754 ke aas paas mukhtalif hai, jabkeh resistance 1.0907 ke aas paas hai. Resistance ke upar breakout upward trend ka continuation darshata hai, jabke support ke neeche break price decline ko suggest kar sakta hai. RSI neutral zone mein hai, jisse koi clear directional bias nahi darsha raha hai. MACD ab bhi long-term upward trend ko confirm karta hai. Confirmation ke saath positions kholne ka tajweez hai, stop-loss orders risk management ke liye. Price dynamics aur market reactions ko key levels ke sath monitor karna zaruri hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair lambi term ki upward trend continuation ka potential suggest karta hai, lekin short-term uncertainty hai. Market ke changes ke liye tayyar hona aur stop-loss measures ko implement karna capital ki hifazat ke liye zaruri hai.

EUR/USD pair mukhtalif economic policies aur indicators ke asrat ki manzar nama landscape mein safar kar raha hai. Fed ki hawkish stance aur ECB ke muntazir rate cuts traders ke liye dynamic mahol bana rahe hain. Anay wale economic data aur policy announcements par qareebi tawajjo ki zaroorat hogi taake pair ke mustaqbil ki rah ka tayyun kiya ja sake.

Markazi Bank Ke Nazariyat: Rate Cut Ke Tawaqo Aur Iqtisadi Manzar Nama

ECB policymaker aur Bank of Greece Governor Yannis Stournaras ne haal hi mein ek Greek media interview mein kaha ke unhe is saal teen rate cuts ka tawaqo hai. Stournaras ne kaha ke July mein aik rate cut mumkin hai, aur pehle quarter mein mazid se mazid mukhtalif ki muntazir economic recovery ke bawajood teen-cut scenario char-cut se zyada mumkin hai. Eurozone ki economy ne tawaqoat se behtar perform kiya, Janvari-March doran 0.1% ke muntazir growth ke mukable mein 0.3% ki izafat ki.

Minneapolis Fed Bank President Neel Kashkari ne zahir kiya ke kamzor hoti hui rozgar market ek rate cut ki tajwez kar sakti hai. Magar is ke bawajood, unhe saal bhar halqa-e-saaf rukhiyat pasand hai. Kashkari ne mukhtalif inflation ko 2% target tak kam karne mein dairi ki pareshaniyon ka izhar kiya, khas tor par mazboot housing market ke douran.

H1 Chart Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Ke Liye Ahem Resistance Aur Support Levels

Pair ke liye ahem resistance 1.0851 ilaqe ke aspaas hai, jo 100-day EMA aur descending trend channel ke upper boundary ke saath milta hai. Aur bhi ahem resistance levels shamil hain April 9 ke high 1.0886, March 21 ke high 1.0944, March 8 ke high 1.0983, aur ahem psychological barrier 1.1000.

Euro Dollar ke muqable mein iss Wednesday ko wobbly raha kyunke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) mehengai ke hawalay se ehtiyaat barat rahi hai. Fed ke aakhri meeting ke minutes se maloom hota hai ke unka rawaya dovish hai, aur sarmayakaron ko central bank ke rate cut karne ki salahiyat par mehengai ke baqi rahne ki fikar hai. Fed ka maqsad saalانہ 2% inflation rate hasil karna hai, aur jabke September mein rate cut mukammal tor par namumkin nahi, inflation ka 2% target ke qareeb aane ka wazeh saboot abhi tak mojood nahi. Europe ki economy bhi barhi close nazar mein hai kyunke Thursday ko PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) data release hone wala hai. Peeshan goiyan yeh hain ke EU ka manufacturing PMI May mein 46.2 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke pichle mahine 45.7 tha. Services PMI bhi thora barh ke 53.5 tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, jo ke pehle 53.3 tha. Wahan US PMI data bhi Thursday ko stable rehne ka imkaan hai, jahan manufacturing aur services PMIs 50.0 aur 51.3 ke aas paas rahne ki tawaqqa hai.
EUR/USD pair ne key 200-hour exponential moving average (EMA) 1.0834 se neeche slip kar liya. Ye technical indicator yeh suggest karta hai ke downward trend mumkin hai, aur Euro 1.0820 level par support barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka shikar hai. Hal hi mein 1.0900 se upar break karne mein naakam rehne ne bearish sentiment ko mazeed mazboot kiya hai. Rozana basis par, Euro ahista ahista apne 200-day moving average 1.0802 ke qareeb aaraha hai, jabke aakhri chaar sessions mein se teen mein lower close hua hai. Magar sab kuch negative nahi hai Euro ke liye. Recent pullback ke bawajood, currency ne mid-April ke lows 1.0600 se significant rally ki hai. Ye underline buying pressure ko dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, technical indicators current trend mein pause ki possibility ko hint karte hain. Stochastic oscillator ne bearish crossover flash kiya hai, magar overbought territory mein, jo ke potential bounce ki gunjaish dikhata hai. Isi tarah, RSI (Relative Strength Index) 70 mark ko breach karne mein naakam raha, jo ke decline mein pause ka signal ho sakta hai. Agay chal kar, agar Euro 1.0895 hurdle ko overcome karne ki himmat kare, to 1.0940 level ka retest mumkin hai. Is point se aagay ka decisive break significant resistance zone 1.0980 aur 1.1000 ke darmiyan challenge kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar Euro 1.0814 support level se neeche girta hai, to nayi decline ka trigger ho sakta hai. Ye scenario downtrend line aur important moving averages ka cluster jo ke 1.0785 ke aas paas hai, jismein 200-day aur 50-day simple moving averages shamil hain, ke neeche potential breakout ko lead kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ne apni bulandiyaon ki momentum ko Jumma ko barqarar rakha, early Asian trading hours mein 1.0866 ke qareeb musbat tajarbay mein trading ki. Ye harekat aham tor par naram US Dollar (USD) ke asar mein thi, jo ke is bari currency pair ko kafi support faraham kar raha tha.
US Data aur Rate Cut Expectations:

Haal hi mein America se aane wale mukhtalif kamzor ma'ashiyati data ne America ke markazi bank ke rate cut ka imkan ko kafi barha diya hai September mein. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, ma'ashiyati markets ab September mein rate cut ka 90% qareeb tajziyaat kar rahe hain, jo ke peechle haftay sirf 55% tha.

Eurozone Inflation aur ECB Rate Decisions:

Eurozone ke inflation ne April mein jaise ke muntazir tha barqarar raha, jo ke European Central Bank (ECB) ko June mein interest rates kam karne ka tajwez dena hai. Ma'ashiyat ke moamlaat ka tajziya karne wale ekdaari ke mutabiq agar ECB Federal Reserve (Fed) se interest rate cuts mein mukhtalif raasta ihtiib kare, to ye Eurozone par khaas tor par manfi asar daal sakta hai.

H4 Chart EUR/USD Technical Analysis:

Jumma ko, pair ne apne hal hal ke consolidation phase se bahar nikala, ek naye haftay ki bulandiyaon tak pohanch kar 1.0896 ka record kiya. Ye breakout is waqt hua jab pair 1.0890 aur 1.0860 ke darmiyan ek mushkil supply zone se bahar nikla. Haftay ke darjaat ka kam 1.0810 par record kiya gaya, jo ke qareebi muddat ki bulandyyon ka near-term swing high hai jab kharidari karne wale pair ko bullish trend mein daakhil karne ki koshish ki.

Bullish momentum Jumma ko bhi jaari raha, jab EUR/USD pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 1.07443 ke darje par stretch kiya. Magar jab hafta khatam hone ke qareeb aya, tofaani aamdani ki lehar aai, jis ne pair ko 1.0870 tak khencha. Is haftay ke akhri dino ki harekaten ma'ashiyati data aur markazi bank ki policies ke liye jari raftar aur bazaar ki hassasiyat ko nazar andaaz karti hai.

H4 TF reference ke mutabiq, dekha ja sakta hai ke behtareen bullish footing tab hui jab price 200 Ma movement limit ko paar kar saka. Ek doosra retest MA 50 area ko test karne ke liye 1.0722 ke aas paas kiya gaya tha aur baad mein jo base up rally hui, usne bearish rejection conditions ka samna kiya. Jo ke is week ke highest price area tak pohanch gayi thi 1.0894 ke aas paas. Keemat girey jab increase overbought area RSI level 60 par tha, jiski wajah se ek limited bearish correction phase shuru hui. Bearish correction target ko nazar andaz kiya gaya lagta hai ke kam az kam neechay ki hidden demand area tak nahi pohancha gaya hai jo ke 1.0818 ke aas paas hai aur agle haftay ke liye mazeed bearish correction movements ke liye opportunities khulta hai. Ek bearish correction movement ho sakti hai agar increase phir se nearest supply area mein bullish rejection conditions ka samna karta hai jo ke 1.0882 ke aas paas hai. For example, agar buyers apne bullish trend ki direction ko jari rakhne ki koshish karte hain, to increase ke liye ek naya higher form karne ki potential hai jo ke resistance area ke upar hai 1.0894 ke aas paas.




ENTRY PLAN

Ghor o fikr ke liye, entry plan jo agle haftay ke liye ghor kiya ja sakta hai wo hai ke 1.0816 ke aas paas se buy position open ki jaye Tp 1 tak 1.0840 ke level tak pohanchne ke liye aur Tp 2 tak 1.0880 tak pohanchne ke liye. Ye buying plan loss ka risk is ke neeche support area mein daal sakta hai jo ke 1.0765 ke aas paas hai. Doosri kharidari options bhi foran ki ja sakti hain, jaise ke agar seedha increase hoti hai level 1.0894 ke upar. Is price level ke upar movement seems ki allowance hai continued increases ke liye tak ke 1.0950 tak pohanchne ke liye aur phir ek crucial Zero area ko phir se try karne ke liye 1.1000 ke aas paas. Intehai, sales plans ko calculate karne ke liye bullish rejection conditions ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai supply area ke upar jo ke 1.0882 ke aas paas hai. Doosri selling options bhi neeche nearest support area ke break ka intezar kar sakti hain jo ke 1.0850 ke aas paas hai. Jo selling target jo calculate kiya ja sakta hai wo hai hidden demand area tak pohanchne ka jo ke 1.0818 ke range mein hai ya phir Zero area tak pohanchne ka jo ke 1.0800 ke range mein hai. Selling plan ko risk of losses ko 1.0900 level ke upar rakhne ki taraf focus kiya ja sakta hai. Focus ko selling par ek mumkin change in trend towards bearish ke liye kiya ja sakta hai by waiting for a decline in the support area below the moving limit of the 200 Ma (blue) in the range of 1.0722.