یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

GEORGESOROS
Senior Member
GEORGESOROS
تاریخِ شمولیت: Apr 2024
پوسٹس: 107
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EUR/USD H4 waqt se EURUSD currency pair ki karwai ko mukhtalif asraat ka samna hai, jin mein ma'ashiyati indicators, qoumi aur duwamulqi wakaayat, aur maali policy ke faislay shamil hain. Traders aksar takniqi tajziyat ke tareeqon par aitmaad karte hain, jese shama ki chandni ke patterns ko samajhna aur support aur resistance ke darjat ko pehchan'na, taake unhe ma'loom trading strategies bana saken. EURUSD ki haal ki bejod performance ko duniyawi markets mein mojood jari mushtamil unyaar se wabasta kiya ja sakta hai. Ye jari mushtamil unyaar ma'ashiyati phelao, taqreeban har taraf ki imarat, aur central banks ke ahtiyaatkar faail ki policies ko shamil karta hai, jo dono euro aur US dollar ki darkhwast par gehri asar daalne wale hain. Is ke ilawa, duwamulqi tensions aur jari rahne wale tijarati ikhtilaafat bazar ki roushni mein izafati asraat ke tor par hain, is tarah EURUSD ke harkaton par bohot gehra asar daal rahe hain. Is peymane par, peer ka trading session zaroori hifazati imtiyazon ki nazar rakhne aur mukhtalif takneeki hadon ko nazar andaz karne ki zaroorat ko dikhata hai aur maqami market ke mustaqbil se mutaliq maqool tarjumani ko dafah karta hai.

EURUSD, forex market mein sab se fa'al pairon mein se ek hone ke natayej mein hamesha mukhtalif asli factors ka izafa hota hai. Ma'ashiyati data release bazar ke jazbat aur qeemat amli par bohot asar rakhta hai, kyunke ye apni mutafarriq iqtisadiyat ki sehat ke jhalak dikhate hain. Ahem indicators jese ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates, ma'ashiyati inflation figures, aur rozgar ke data market shirakatdaron ke liye qeemat amli par mashwara faraham karte hain, unke trading faislay ko rehnumai dete hain. Is ke ilawa, central banks jese ke European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke maali policy faislay ka EURUSD exchange rate par gehra asar hota hai. In asaas rates mein tabdiliyan, quantitative easing programs, aur inn idarayon ki di gayi agahi currency valuations mein numaya tazad par jatay hain

Is ke ilawa, duwamulqi waqiat investor ke jazbat aur market dynamics ko shakhsiyat denay mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Rawayati mabain mulk tensions, duwamulqi masa'el, aur bayni ul aqwami talluqat ke maqami unyaar, investoron mein risk se bachao ko barhawa de sakte hain, jese ke forex market mein izafati roushni ke liye. Maslan, duwamulqi tajziyat jese ke Brexit negotiations, US-China trade tensions, aur Middle East mein duwamulqi ****ad, peechle mein EURUSD exchange

Market for the Euro (EUR) versus the US Dollar (USD), jo ke EUR/USD ke naam se mashhoor hai, Monday ko ghair mustaqil tha. Keemat din khatam hone ke qareeb 1.0720 ke qareeb thi baad az fluctuating within a limited but volatile range. Ye bechaini barhti hui hai investors ki taraf se jo ke US Federal Reserve ki speech ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke Wednesday ko hone wali hai. Jahan zyadatar log is haftay interest rates ko wahe rakhte hain, traders ko umeed hai ke FED ne kab interest rates ko cut kar sakta hai is ke bare mein kuch hint de. Mojudah tajziayat ke mutabiq September mein interest rate kaatne ka 58% chance hai. Bazaar ki pareshaniyon mein shamil honay ke liye, Germany ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) April mein 0.5% tak barh gaya compared to the previous quarter. Ye 0.4% se izafah hai mahine ke pehlay, lekin phir bhi umeed se kam hai 0.6%. Year-on-year inflation bhi Germany mein thori si barh gayi, jo ke 2.4% tak pohanch gayi hai compared to predictions of 2.3%. Mazid mixed news ke bawajood, EUR/USD Monday ko 1.0700 ke ooper reh gaya. Ye mukhtalif taqreer ke baad technical correction hai jab ke keemat 200 hourly exponential moving average (EMA) se bounce hui aur 1.0700 ke qareeb chali gayi. Magar 1.0750 ko paar karna mushkil nazar aata hai, aur muzid dabao ke bawajood keemat ko neechay le ja raha hai dheere dheere. Overall, EUR/USD abhi bhi apni haal ki zyada uchi keemat se 2.5% kam hai jo ke 1.0980 thi. Nazdeeki mustaqbil ke liye 1.0600 pe ek qeemat ka farsh hai. EUR/USD pair ne April 10th ke inflation report ke baad bohot zyada farokht dekhi thi jo ke expectations se zyada thi, aur 2024 ke liye 1.0600 ke naye low pe gir gaya tha. Halan ke is ne thori bohot nuqsanat ko hasool kiya hai us waqt se lekin indicators ab bhi ek mumkin farokht ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Agar keemat dobara barhne lagti hai to pehla rukawat nazdeeki samar ke tor pe 1.0752 ke qareeb hogi. Is rukawat ko paar karne se bull 1.0795 ko nishana bana sakte hain, jo ke 2024 mein support aur resistance ke tor pe kaam karta raha hai aur 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath milta hai. Is zone ke upar nikalna ek raasta kholega ek chadhav ke liye September ki unchi ki taraf ka 1.0884. Dusri taraf, agar girti rahay to foran February ke low 1.0694 pe support mil sakta hai. Agar keemat mazeed gir gayi, to ye nazdeeki support level 1.0673 ko test kar sakti hai. Aur is se bhi neeche, paanch mahine ka low 1.0600 zaroor qareebi tor pe nazar andaz kiya jayega.

EUR/USD H1 ANALYSIS: EURUSD market mein neechay ki taraf movement hai aur yeh 50 period Relative Strength Index ke neeche hai. Cloud mein do lines hain, Span A aur Span B, jo 1.0710 aur 1.06720 par set hain, muddaton ke doraan, yeh resistance ke taur par kaam karti hain. Market price abhi RSI ke oopar hai, isliye aapko ek entry point dhundhna chahiye jahan se price KMO ke oopar hai. Yeh ek aur signal jo bullish mood ko palat raha hai, ko dilute kar raha hai. 1.07011 Kijun-Sen 1.07080 ko kata hai, jo Tenkan-Sen 1.07251 ke oopar hai, ek strong buy signal deta hai, aur market cloud ke oopar hai. Ek upward trend ko khareedne ke liye vichar karna chahiye. Cloud ko todkar, vridhi ka chayan anuprayukt ho jata hai. Vipreet signal par, aap mrit cross-line ka intezaar karke munafa utha sakte hain.
EUR/USD H4 ANALYSIS: Charton ko dekhte hue, ghanto aur 4-ghante ke dono samaychakron mein hum dekhte hain ki upward movement ab seemit aur tang ho gaya hai, isliye humein ek kankal model milta hai, ya to EUR/USD ke liye ya pound ke liye. Agar hum apne charts ka sudhaar karte hain, to in do currency pairs ke liye ek uttam neeche ki impulse mil sakti hai agar hume iski sankhya mil jaye. Sankhyaon ke mamle mein, euro ka nyuntam lakshya 1.0640-16 hai. Jaise aap samajh sakte hain, bahut kuch data aur pratikriya par nirbhar karega. Ek data star par, hume ek seema milta hai, karib 1.0678, agar hum data ko dekhte hain. Vartaman gati ke adhaar par, hum 1.0720 par upar hain. Kharid-dar ko achha mauka milega apni upward movement ko aage badhane ka aur pair ko palatne ka, jab tak ve sankhyaon tak utarte hain. Dollar ke data jari hone ke baad bhi, uski pratikriya data se adhik mahatvapurn hogi. Bikri se neeche ki impulse pakadne ke baad, main sankhyaon ke adhaar par kaam karunga kyonki main ek sankhyaon ka vidyarthi hoon. EURUSD ne 1.0719 ke star ke oopar se bahar nikal liya hai aur us level ke oopar se consolodate ho raha hai. Abhi 1.0735 ke daayre ke beech mein trade ho rahi hai. Koshish ki gayi hai ki is star se neeche jaaye, lekin pair ko madad ki zarurat thi. Yeh dikhata hai ki 1.0700 star ke neeche ki movement sirf ek stop hunt thi. Dakhili roop se 1.0699 tak ke dakchhin sima ke saath, vridhi ke liye lakshya 1.0770 par hoga, jiske upar hum kisi bhi mahatvapurn fayde ko dekhne ki ummeed nahi rakhte.

EUR/USD pair ke saath sthiti mere liye abhi bhi complex hai, kyonki ek taraf hume abhi tak ek downward movement dikh raha hai jo mukhya trend hai, rozmarra ke charts par spasht dikh raha hai. Haalanki, doosri taraf, ek sthaaniy upward movement bhi hai, khaaskar jab tak hum 1.0755 tak nahi pahunchte hain. Shukravaar ko, ek achha giravat hua aur aaraam se 1.0675 ke aaspaas ek sthaaniy sahayata di gayi, lekin breakout nakli nikla. Yeh keval ek dainik charts par bearish engulfing pattern hai. Aur, dollar indices ke virudh dollar mazboot hua.

Aane waala hafta pair ke liye mahatvapurn hai aur yeh chhalangile hone ki ummeed hai, Germany, Eurozone aur US se mahatvapurn arthik data releases ke karan, saath hi FOMC baithak bhi. Vartaman mein, main sirf dekh raha hoon, lekin main 1.0655 ke upar price chadhne ka sambhavna ko naak mein lekar nahi baithta. Haan, agar ek nakli breakout hota hai, to main vikalp ke roop mein bechne ka vichar karoonga.

EUR/USD ne din ke adhe hisse ke liye apni upri harkat jaari rakhi, jo kisi bhi wajah se manzoor nahi thi. Humne pehle bhi aapki tawajjo is baat par dilai hai ke is haftay zyadatar reports aur waqiat dollar ko madad faraham karne wale the. Jesa ke dekha gaya hai, bazaar ne euro ko bina kisi khaas wajah se khareedne ki apni pasandida fardani shuruh kar di hai. Khushqismat hai ke neechay ki janib jhukay waley trend line ne euro ki upri harkat ko rok diya. Abhi haal mein, lagta hai ke qeemat ne is nishan se muraad par ghatkar paitar dastiyab kiya hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke nichli harkat abhi tak mazboot hai aur jodi ne dobara neeche ki taraf rawana harkat jari rakh sakti hai. Kal, koi bhi ahem maasharti ya bunyadi waqiat nahi hue. Agar bazaar bas ek naye lambi dawam se kamzor harkat ke pehle momentum ikattha kar raha tha, toh yeh ya toh aaj ya Monday shuru ho jaye ga. Agar qeemat trend line ko tor deti hai, toh jodi ek upri rukh par chale gi, aur hum dobara euro ko be-wajah izafa karne ka intezar kar sakte hain. 5-minute ke timeframe par kai trading signals utpann hue, lekin hareefiyat kaafi dilchasp thi. Ibtida mein, 1.0838 ke darjaat ko tor dia gaya, aur naye traders ko is signal par long positions kholne ke liye mouqa mila. Baad mein, jodi ne 1.0856 ke darjaat ko par kiya, lekin agle nishan tak nahi pohanch saki, is liye long position ko sham ke kisi bhi waqt manvai tor par band kar diya ja sakta tha. Munafa kuch kareeb 20 pips ka tha, jo ke din ke hareefiyat sirf 44 pips the, is liye yeh ek khush-haal nateeja tha. Jumeraat ko trading ke tajaweezat: Hourly chart par, nichli harkat qaim hai, lekin EUR/USD teesre din se upar sahi hui hai. Hum samajhte hain ke euro aur girna chahiye, kyun ke qeemat ab bhi zyada hai, aur duniyawi trend nichi hai. Naqad bazaar hamesha jodi ko ek logic ke taur par na dekhna chahta hai, aur kabhi kabhi, yeh be-wajah izafa dikhata hai. Is haftay ke zyadatar bunyadi aur maasharti factors jodi par bhari hona chahiye. Aaj, qeemat trend line se takra gayi hai toh phir bearish tijarat karna mohtaj ho sakta hai. Agar qeemat trend line ko tor deti hai, toh nichli harkat tor di jaye gi, aur jodi pehle wapis hat sakti hai phir izafa karte hue.

se mashhoor hai, Monday ko ghair mustaqil tha. Keemat din khatam hone ke qareeb 1.0720 ke qareeb thi baad az fluctuating within a limited but volatile range. Ye bechaini barhti hui hai investors ki taraf se jo ke US Federal Reserve ki speech ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke Wednesday ko hone wali hai. Jahan zyadatar log is haftay interest rates ko wahe rakhte hain, traders ko umeed hai ke FED ne kab interest rates ko cut kar sakta hai is ke bare mein kuch hint de. Mojudah tajziayat ke mutabiq September mein interest rate kaatne ka 58% chance hai. Bazaar ki pareshaniyon mein shamil honay ke liye, Germany ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) April mein 0.5% tak barh gaya compared to the previous quarter. Ye 0.4% se izafah hai mahine ke pehlay, lekin phir bhi umeed se kam hai 0.6%. Year-on-year inflation bhi Germany mein thori si barh gayi, jo ke 2.4% tak pohanch gayi hai compared to predictions of 2.3%. Mazid mixed news ke bawajood, EUR/USD Monday ko 1.0700 ke ooper reh gaya. Ye mukhtalif taqreer ke baad technical correction hai jab ke keemat 200 hourly exponential moving average (EMA) se bounce hui aur 1.0700 ke qareeb chali gayi. Magar 1.0750 ko paar karna mushkil nazar aata hai, aur muzid dabao ke bawajood keemat ko neechay le ja raha hai dheere dheere. Overall, EUR/USD abhi bhi apni haal ki zyada uchi keemat se 2.5% kam hai jo ke 1.0980 thi. Nazdeeki mustaqbil ke liye 1.0600 pe ek qeemat ka farsh hai. EUR/USD pair ne April 10th ke inflation report ke baad bohot zyada farokht dekhi thi jo ke expectations se zyada thi, aur 2024 ke liye 1.0600 ke naye low pe gir gaya tha. Halan ke is ne thori bohot nuqsanat ko hasool kiya hai us waqt se lekin indicators ab bhi ek mumkin farokht ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Agar keemat dobara barhne lagti hai to pehla rukawat nazdeeki samar ke tor pe 1.0752 ke qareeb hogi. Is rukawat ko paar karne se bull 1.0795 ko nishana bana sakte hain, jo ke 2024 mein support aur resistance ke tor pe kaam karta raha hai aur 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath milta hai. Is zone ke upar nikalna ek raasta kholega ek chadhav ke liye September ki unchi ki taraf ka 1.0884. Dusri taraf, agar girti rahay to foran February ke low 1.0694 pe support mil sakta hai. Agar keemat mazeed gir gayi, to ye nazdeeki support level 1.0673 ko test kar sakti hai. Aur is se bhi neeche, paanch mahine ka low 1.0600 zaroor qareebi tor pe nazar andaz

Bilkul, is maamle mein sabar aur tahammul ka hona zaroori hai. Aksar, market ke rukh ka pata lagana asaan nahi hota, aur jo numaya bullish trend lagta hai, woh aksar ulta chal sakta hai. Isi tarah, "taqat mein farokht" ka vasaar bhi bohot ahem hai. Traders ko samajhna chahiye ke market ki dynamics hamesha tabdeel ho sakti hain aur is par mukhtalif asraat asar andaz ho sakte hain. Is maamle mein, tajruba aur tehqiqati ishaarat ka bohot ahem kirdaar hota hai. Market ke masail ko ghoorne aur uske mukhtalif pahluon ko samajhne ke liye, traders ko tafteesh aur tehqiqat se guzarna chahiye. Tajruba kar traders woh tajziyaat aur ishaarat samajhne ki salahiyat rakhte hain jo unhe mazeed neeche ki taraf momentum ke liye muqarrar karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Mukhtalif tajziyaat aur market ki dynamics ke mutabiq, samne aane wale tor par kuch rukawat ka andesha ho sakta hai. Yeh rukawat maujooda bullish trend ko ulta karne ki taraf ishara kar sakti hai. Isi liye, traders ko hamesha tayyar rehna chahiye ke market mein tabdeeliyan aasakti hain aur unhe apne tajziyaat ko barqarar rakhne ki zaroorat hai.



Isi tarah, puri market ke mansoobe ko ghoorne aur tafteesh karne ka bhi ahem kirdaar hai. Market ke mukhtalif pahluon ko samajhne aur un par tajziyaat karne se traders ko kamyabi ka nataija nikalne mein madad milti hai. Tehqiqati ishaarat aur market ki dynamics ko samajhne se traders apne faislon ko behtar taur par samajh sakte hain aur apne karobar mein kamiyabi pa sakte hain. Aakhir mein, sabr aur tasdeeq ka intezar bhi bohot zaroori hai. Market mein tabdeeliyan aksar waqt lagti hain aur traders ko sabr se kaam lena chahiye. Behtar taur par samajhne ke liye, traders ko mazeed tajziyaat aur tehqiqat ka intezar karna chahiye, taake woh apne faislon ko barqarar rakh sakein aur kamyabi pa sakein.

EUR/USD H4



Peer ko ke hourly chart par aam tor par barhao dekha gaya. Din ka aghaz 1.07042 resistance ke sath hua. Is resistance ko toorna gaya, toorna ki tasdeeq ho gayi, aur 1.07293 resistance tak khareedne ka signal mila. Ye khareedne ka signal kaam kar gaya, jiske baad qeemat dobara chadh kar 1.07442 support tak pohanch gayi. Ye support toot raha hai, lekin ye toot raha hai jhootay taur par. Din bhar do martaba, ye jhootay taur par toot gaya aur din ko 1.07293 resistance ke qareeb band hua. Mangal ko, southern targets 1.06681 par hain, jab 1.07042 support ko toorna gaya. Northern targets 1.07585 par hain, jab 1.07293 resistance ko toorna gaya.Hamare liye jald hi EURUSD ke sath aur bhi pairs, plus . ka intezaar hai, aur bay-rozgar aur rozgar ke data hal mein acha aa raha hai. Mujhe khareedariyon ko ikhtitam de dena chahiye, main ne unhe bohot arse pehle chora tha aur hafton se area 25 se 24 tak figures bech chuka hoon.






Ab H4 par dekhte hain: yahan qeemat ne is haftay . Cloud indicator ke oopri had ko paar karne mein nakam reh gayi hai, isliye hum ab bhi indicator ke andar trade kar rahe hain, aur ye pehle se hi ek nichli raftar ko barqarar rakhne ke liye aik musbat indicator hai, aur maine aik mazeed barqarar raftar ko draw kiya, 1.0755 ko azma kar, is resistance se humain ek bearish engulfing ka rebound mila, jo hamein 7ve figure se bahar nikal gaya. Din ka band 6ve figure mein hua, aur ye behtareen hai khareedariyon ke liye, lekin jaise hamesha, unho ne chaalakana market band kiya - seedha 1.0696 ke darje par, jo abhi tak toorna hai taakey khareedari ki tasdeeq ho. Magar CCI indicator ko dekh kar, mujhe lagta hai ke ye aik oopri mudaawin mudahib ke liye mudawina bana raha hai - 1.0725 ki taraf, jahan hum aik aur mudaawin mudaawina azmaenge aur isay lambay arse tak neeche girayenge. Toh main sochta hoon ke peer ko hamare liye patte zyada pichley ho jayenge, aur phir dekheinge, jitna oopar se becheinge, utna hi acha hoga hamare liye, main abhi moody nahi hoon ke current ones se bech doon. Haalaankay agar hum seedha 1.0690 ko toornay aur iske neeche mazbooti se jamane ke, to phir kyun nahi.

EURUSD jori ki takhreebi jaiza

1 ghantay ka chart

Yeh zahir hai ke aane wale ghanton mein jori mein mazeed kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai, kyun ke kal ki movement ki taraf ishaara dene wala price channel toota aur usay dobara azmaaya gaya aur is se bhi neeche gir gaya.


Aaj, jori ke keemat kaafi puranay do dinon ke doran price movement ko numaya kartay hain, chart mein dikhaye gaye price channels ke andar trading shuru hui. Keemat gir gayi, aur laal channel ki lakeer tak pohanchne ke baad, kami ruk gayi aur ek neeche ka daira bana, lekin keemat phir se girne lagi, is baar channel ko tor kar haftay ka pivot level 1.0689 tak gir gaya, phir oopar chadha.
Bullish Price Action candle ki formation ke bawajood, keemat ne toray gaye channel ki lakeer tak pohanchne se keemat ko rukawat ka samna hai jo ab isay wapas neeche le ayega, jahan price phir se haftay ka pivot level tak pohanch sakti hai aur isay torne aur mazeed girne ki koshish kar sakti hai.
Maeeshat ke pehlu ke hawalay se, hum aane wale dino mein jori mein mazeed kami dekh sakte hain, khaaskar agar eurozone mein mehengai ke data tawajjo se kam hota hai.
Maeeshat ka calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... Jerman mehengai ke figures ibtedai tawajjo ka markaz hain jin ki wajah se mulk ke daraye jaat Europe ke subah mein shuru hoti hain, Jumeraat ko European morning mein, jabke aakhri Jerman release 13:00 GMT par hone wala hai (mutawajjah: 2.3% salana, peechla: 2.2%).
French CPI aaj, mangal ko 07:45 GMT par jaari kiya jayega (mutawajjah: 2.1%, peechla: 2.3%). Jerman aur French figures se, Eurozone ke data ka rasta acha mil sakta hai. Isi tarah, eurozone mein consumer price index aaj, mangal ko 10:00 GMT par jaari kiya jayega, jahan market ka mutawajjah hai ke yeh 2.4% tak barh jayega salana basis par, March mein koi tabdeeli na hogi. Core CPI ka mutawajjah hai ke yeh 2.8% ho, peechle se 2.9% se kam.

Mangalwar ko, main EURUSD currency pair ke D1 dour ke chart par nazar daalne ki tajweez karta hoon, mujhe nahi pata kaun mere khidki ke bahar ek saaf aasmani neela asman hai aur parinday ga rahe hain. Kal ek qareebi din sabit hua; keemat poora din side mein thi. Yahan lahraahat kaar tanzeem abhi bhi apni tarteeb neeche banati ja rahi hai, MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai. Lahraahat kaar tanzeem banai gayi hai, jise teesre mein teesri kehte hain, ya'ni teesri lahraahat teesri mein ziada umar wala hai. Agar aap senior pehli lahrah par target Fibonacci grid ko dikhate hain, toh aap is grid par aik mumkin neeche ka maqsad dekh sakte hain - 161.8 ke darjah tak. Is se pehle aik regular technical low 1.0457 hai, agar keemat wahan jati hai toh behtar hai ke us se pehle sell positions band kar di jaayein. Haal hi mein sudharati growth ke doran, keemat ne horizontal resistance level 1.0736 tak laut kar gaya aur, ise test kiya, kamiyabi se neeche utar gaya. Ab pata chalta hai ke keemat ek squeeze position mein hai, jahan horizontal resistance level 1.0736 oopar hai, jo pehle se zikar kiya gaya hai, jahan se keemat neeche chali gayi. Neeche support level 1.0675 hai, jo ke mazboot hai kyunkay yeh ek decline ke kinare par aina darj hai, resistance support mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Pura neeche ki taraf ki lahrahat scenario jo pehle bayan ki gayi thi sirf is soorat mein ghor ki ja sakti hai agar kam az kam chaar ghanton ke chart par is support level 1.0675 ka kamiyabi se neeche giravat ho. Aur behtareen point yeh hoga agar keemat neeche se is tootey hue level par wapas resistance ke tor par laut jaye. Ek mukhtalif option yeh hai ke yahan se izafa aur 1.0736 ka toot jaye, phir mazeed izafa shayad upar se guzarne wali line tak hoga jo ab oopar se guzarti hai. Aaj ke liye khabron mein se sab se ahem baat ye hai: 11-00 Moscow time - German Gross Domestic Product, 12-00 - Consumer Price Index in the Eurozone, Gross Domestic Product in the Eurozone. 17-00 - US Consumer Confidence Index from CB.

M15 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:
Aik moqa tha ke mukhtasar ghanto mein mukhtalif hourly movement ke khilaf farokht ki jaaye. Is ka sabab yeh hai ke lahraahat kaar tanzeem ne neeche ki taraf mudi hai. Halan ke behtar hai ke farokht ko chhoren ya H1 channel ke neeche mudne ka intezaar karen. Magar ye ghor karke ke market H1 trend ko tor sakta hai, hum is ke baray mein pehle se nahi jaan sakte. Is liye, jab M15 channel se signal par kaam karte hain, farokht us ke rukh se wajib hai. 1.07240 ke darje se farokht ko ghoora ja sakta hai. Farokht karne wale ke positions hain jo ke woh farokht ke liye faalana chahenge. Main 1.07240 ke darje se izafa ko bullish interest ka izhar samajhta hoon jo ke farokht karne wale ko market se nikaalne ka shikar bana hai. Is natije mein, channel M15 ko ooper mudi aur chalna hoga mukhtasar channel H1 ki taraf. Main farokht ko ghor karta hoon jab kisi ulte pattern ka paida hota hai 1.06897 tak.




Bullish jazba hourly chart par nazar aata hai, kyunke lahraahat kaar tanzeem ooper ki taraf mudi hai. Ye mera system ka main chart hai; yeh trend ka taeen karne ke liye istemal hota hai, jo ooper ki taraf hai. Bearish intervention se kamzor kiya gaya hai trend, jo M15 chart par nazar aata hai, jahan lahraahat kaar tanzeem ne south ki taraf dekhti hai. Is liye bullish izafa mein tor hone ki sambhavna hai. Is ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke bullon ke positions ke neeche moazzin hote hue, jo ke channel 1.06897 ke neeche sthit hain, jaari karne ke liye mazoor kar dena. Bears wahan utarne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main H1 channel ke neeche ke kinaray ke qareeb farokht ka moqa talash karonga. Main sirf pehle neeche ki taraf ki rukh se rok ka mawqay ko ya 1.06897 ke darje se ulta mukhaabirat ka rad e amal dekhna chahonga. Baad is ka mein izafa ko ummed karta hoon ke channel 1.07443 ke ooper phir se jari ho.

EURUSD Pair Ki Takniki Tahlil

1-ghantay ka chart

Mumkin hai ke agle chand ghanton mein jodi mein mazeed girawat dekhi jaye, kyunke qeemat ka channel jo kal ke harkat ki rukh ko darust karta tha, toot gaya aur is par dobara check kiya gaya aur is se neeche bhi uchala gaya.

Aaj, jodi ki qeemat ne chart par dikhaye gaye price channels ke andar trading shuru kiya, jo pichle do dinon ke doran qeemat ki harkat ko darust karte hain. Qeemat gir gayi, aur jab laal channel line tak pohanchi, to girawat ruki aur neeche aik bottom ban gaya, lekin qeemat dobara girne lagi, is dafa channel ko tor kar weekly pivot level 1.0689 tak gir gayi, phir ooper uchali.

Bullish Price Action candle banne ke bawajood, qeemat jo tora gaya channel line tak pohanchne se, qeemat ko resistance ka samna karna pada jo ab ise dobara neeche le ayega, jahan qeemat dobara weekly pivot level tak pohanch sakti hai aur koshish karegi ke ise tor kar girne ki rukh jari rakhe.

Mali pehlu se, agle dinon mein jodi ke liye mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, khaaskar agar eurozone mein mahangi ke data umeed se kam nikle.

Mali calendar ke data ke natayej ke mutabiq... Jerman mein mahangi ke figures pehle focus mein aayenge jab mulk ke level releases European subah mein shuru honge, jahan final Jerman release 13:00 GMT par hone wala hai (umeed: 2.3% y/y, peechla: 2.2%).

French CPI aaj, Tuesday, 07:45 GMT par jari kiya jaye ga (umeed: 2.1%, peechla: 2.3%). Jerman aur French figures se hum Eurozone ke data ki rah ka acha rukh mil sakta hai. Isi tarah, eurozone mein consumer price index aaj, Tuesday, 10:00 GMT par jari kiya jaye ga, jahan bazaar ka umeed hai ke is par saalana 2.4% izafa hoga, jo March ke muqablay behtareen hai. Core CPI 2.8% par umeed hai, jo 2.9% se kam hai.

EURUSD ne ek wazi zigzag pattern dikhaaya hai, jo ek resistance level se movement, ek support level ki taraf shift aur baad mein bullish momentum ke saath price ko oopar le gaya. Halanki, ab price resistance level ke qareeb hai, jo uska hasil hone ki nishandahi kar raha hai. Is level ke upar ek potential breakout, jo ke consolidation ke baad aata hai, northward trajectory ka jari rehna darust karta hai jiska agla target set hai. Umooman, agar bearish jazbaat ke pehle istifadah liya jaye, to ek sell dakhil hone ka maqam resistance level ke neeche wujood me aasakta hai, jo support level ki taraf ek neechayi ko shuru kar sakta hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke bullish jazbaat nihayat mazboot nazar aate hain, aur level ke upar breakthrough ek nihayat barha bharosa daalta hai. US GDP data ke ijlaas ke baad, bears ne EURUSD pair mein qabil-e-zikar faa'al daur dikhaya. Unke koshishon ke bawajood, support level ko nakaam banne se bacha, barqarar trading volumes aur un mein steady izafa ke bawajood.
















Yeh manzar, mazeed oopar ki harkaat ke muqablay mein jisko dekha jata hai, market mein ahem khareedaron ka ek moghees dobara dakhil hone ki taraf ishara karta hai, jisse Euro ki mazbooti mein mukhtalif mawaqay paida hotay hain. Mazeed, mazeed raaste ke darmiyan kaabu karne ke liye koi bhi barra khatra nahi hai jo mojooda trend ki mazbooti ko mazeed barhaata hai. Halankeh, golden cross signal ka hosakta hai ke EURUSD ke liye ek optimistic nazar hai, lekin bullish bias ki mukammal tasdeeq additional technical indicators se zaroori hai. Muashiyati data releases, siyasi aur wifaqi mozuon ki taraqqi aur markazi bank policies bazaar ke dynamics ko aur zyada asar andaz bana sakti hain, jo trading decisions mein ehtiyaat aur soch samajh ke sath shamil hona chahiye. Ikhtitami tor par, EURUSD ke hal karamat nafrat aur mohabbat ki taqatwar ta'alluqat ke darmiyan ek dinamik khel ka asar dikhate hain, jahan taqatwar mauqaat musalmaniyat ki mukhtalif shara'it mein ubharte hain. Stratejiati tahlil, mukammal technical insights aur buniyadi factors ka moqif ke saath fahem-e-nafsi ka aqeedah EURUSD trading ke paich-o-kham mein zaroori hai.

Currency market mein, Euro (EUR) ne Jumeraat ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf kuch nuqsanat ko kuch had tak wapas lene ki koshish ki, pehle haftay mein shadeed girawat ke baad. EUR/USD jodi Asian session ke doran 1.0710 ke qareeb taizi se ghata, jo ke is ke neeche girne ki halki sudhar ko darust karta hai. Takniki tahlil Euro ke liye aik mukhtalif point ko darust kar sakti hai. Jodi ne ahem support levels 1.0695 aur 1.0700 ke ooper chadha, jo ke ek kamzorayi rukh ki isharaat ko zahir karta hai. Mazeed, MACD indicator, halankeh center line ke neeche mojood hai, ab signal line ke ooper hai, jo ke Euro ke lehje mein momentum mein tabdeeli ki isharaat ho sakti hai. Magar, in musbat nishanat ke bawajood, Euro ke liye mustaqbil abhi bhi ihtiyat se dekha ja raha hai. 14 din ka RSI indicator ab bhi 50 ke neeche mojood hai, jo ke bearish jazbat abhi tak mojood ho sakte hain. Ye mayoosi ek haal hi mein EUR/USD jodi ke 2.5% se zyada girne se aai hai, jiski wajah se ye naye paanch mahine ke qareeb naye kamzori ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai, 1.0600 ke qareeb. Pichle haftay se mukhtalif bech bazaar ke jazbat bearish rahe hain, jis mein Euro ko nicha le gaya gaya hai. Takniki indicators jaise ke RSI jo 30 ke neeche mojood hai aur MACD jo manfi territory mein trade kar raha hai, is bearish nazar ki taasir ko mazbooti se tasdeeq karte hain. Agar ye farokht ke dabao mazeed barh gaya, to Euro ke liye pehla difa 1.0515 support level hoga, jo ke early November mein pohancha tha.





Aik mazeed ahem support zone 1.0700 ke psychological level ke ird gird hai. Is level ka tor ho sakta hai ke Euro ke liye mazeed kami ka sabab ban jaye, jise Euro ko 1.0650 ke ahem support area ke taraf le ja sakta hai. Mazeed, April ki kamzorayi 1.0601, jo ke psychological level 1.0600 ke sath milta hai, mazeed girawat ki sorat mein kuch madad faraham kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar Euro ko kuch taqat mil jati hai, to us ke samne foran aane wala rukawat 21 din ka EMA (exponential moving average) hai jo halankeh 1.0727 par mojood hai. Is rukawat ko paar karna raste mein 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0749 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Ye level ahem hai kyun ke ye haal ki bulandiyon 1.0981 aur kamzoriyon 1.0606 ke darmiyan mojood hai, aur ye bhi ahem resistance level 1.0750 ke sath milta hai. Aam tor par, EUR/USD jodi khud ko aik faislay ki manzil par dekh rahi hai. Jabke takniki indicators aik mumkinah ulat pher ki isharaat dete hain, to mojooda bazaar ki nazar aur haal ki qeemat ke amal ke mutabiq jari girawat ke khatre ko zahir karte hain. Aane wale dinon mein Euro ke raaste ko tay karna crucial hoga, jahan ahem support aur resistance levels currency market mein larai ke maidano ke tor par kaam karenge.

EURUSD

Is haftay EurUsd market ka trend zyadatar aik urooj ki taraf ja raha hai, halankeh kal raat bazaar mein shadeed bearishness thi. Chaliye dekhte hain ke trend ki kya haalat hai, jis mein qeemat is haftay ke trading doran bullish taraf ja rahi hai lekin kal raat ek bearish correction tha. Meri raay mein, agle qeemat ki safar pehle ki bulandiyon ko test karne ke liye 1.0753 area mein jaana chahega, is haftay ke trading doran aik shadeed bullish safar ne qeemat ko haftay ke opening se mazeed door le gaya. Isi liye, EurUsd jodi ke agle bazaar ki surat-e-haal ke liye, meri raay mein, lagta hai ke qeemat ko bulandi tak pohanchne ka mouqa hai, buyers candlestick ko Uptrend taraf chalane ki koshish karenge. Bulish taraf ki safar ke liye, ye highest zone se guzarne ka iraada ho sakta hai jabke market mein qeemat ke izafay ko support karne ke liye mauqe darust ho sakte hain.

Un buyers ke liye jo aik comfortable trading position dhoond rahe hain, meri raay mein sirf 1.0613 ke qareeb qeemat ka izafah hone ka intezaar karen. Mojooda shara'aiton ke sath, buyers ke liye kaafi mouqa nazar aata hai ke woh apni harkat ko bullish taraf jaari rakhein aur aik ziada ilaqa tak pohnchein taake bullish trend jari rahe. Halankeh weekend mein kal raat qeematain downtrend taraf jaane ki taraf rawana hui, lekin main ek baar phir aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke agle haftay ke shuru mein bazaar ke rawayaat ka matlab ye ho sakta hai ke bazaar abhi bhi neeche ja raha hai, aaj subah correction jaari rakhega phir agle haftay ke bullish trend taraf jaari rahega. Forex market mein kabhi bhi ho sakti hain, is liye aapko sari mumkin hawaalat se savdhaan rehna chahiye.

اپریل 30 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل، یورو بڑھ گیا، 1.0724 ہولڈنگ فرم پر مزاحمت کے ساتھ، اور قیمت یومیہ ٹائم فریم پر اس نشان سے نیچے مستحکم ہو گئی۔ آج کے ایشیائی اجلاس میں قیمت گر رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر زیرو لائن تک پہنچنے سے پہلے نیچے کی طرف مڑ رہا ہے۔ یورو/امریکی ڈالر جوڑا ممکنہ طور پر 1.0636/56 کی اچھی طرح سے قائم رینج پر واپس جانا چاہتا ہے۔



قیمت اب بھی ٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر اشارے کی لکیروں سے اوپر ہے، لیکن مارلن آسکیلیٹر صفر کی لائن سے دو بار اچھال کر نیچے کی طرف چلا گیا ہے، اس صورت میں، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.0675) کی طرف، قیمت کو قریب ترین سپورٹ کی طرف گرنے کا اشارہ دینا جاری رکھنا۔

اس لائن کے نیچے توڑنا، جو کہ 26 اپریل کی کم ترین سطح کے ساتھ موافق ہے، قدرتی طور پر قیمت کو ہدف کی حد میں داخل ہونے کی اجازت دے گی۔ جب قیمت 1.0724 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو جائے گی تب ہی بنیادی منظر نامہ میں خلل پڑے گا۔ اس صورت میں، قیمت 1.0757 کی درمیانی سطح کو نظرانداز کرتے ہوئے، 1.0796 کی جانچ پر اپنی نگاہیں طے کر سکتی ہے۔



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