eur/usd

EUR/USD
Market ki suratehal bamushkil badli hai. Kal, euro/dollar ke jode ne apni tezi ka daud jari rakha, nayi muqami bulandi par pahuch gaya aur 1.0700 ki gol satah se ooper band hua. Iske bawajud niche ka rujhan barqarar hai. Lehaza mumkena kami ko mustarad nahin kiya ja sakta hai. Bahut kuch dollar ki harkiyat par munhasar hoga kiyunkeh aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me America ke aham aidad o shumar ka ek batch shamil hai jo Shumali America ke session ke dauran jari kiya jayega.
Mai abhi tak bazar se bahar hun. Mai sirf dekh raha hun. Mere khayal me, maujudah qimaton par kisi bhi simt me hone wali trade se qabile qadar munafa hone ka imkan nahin hai. Mujhe ummid hai keh euro/dollar ka joda 1.0750 ke nishan se ooper uthega. Is satah par ek false breakout se short jana mumkin ho jayega.

EURUSD PRICE ACTION FORECAST FOR 26/04/24
EUR/USD currency pair thora thora bulandi ki taraf chal raha hai, kal market mein bael hukumat hui, halankeh qeemat ab bhi bearish trend mein hai aur abhi tak correction phase mein hai aur higher timeframes par aik bullish "Wolfe Wave" pattern ban raha hai. Jab yeh tajziya tayar kiya gaya tha, Euro ka US Dollar ke liye muqarrar exchange rate 1.0727 tha. April 26, 2024 ke liye Forex tajziya ke mutabiq, hum dekh sakte hain ke aik bearish price correction ka ek koshish ho sakti hai aur 1.0650 area ke qareeb aik support level ka test ho sakta hai. Us ke baad, qeemat upar bounce back kar sakti hai aur EUR/USD currency pair mein izafa jaari rah sakta hai. Is movement ka potential target FOREX mein 1.0865 ke level ke oopar hai.


Ek aur ishara ke EUR/USD currency pair aaj bearish scenario ko follow kar sakta hai agar yeh 1.0740 area par niche se bounce back karta hai. Agar EURUSD upar nahi jaata aur iske bajaye, qeemat 1.0615 ke level ko tor kar neeche gir jata hai, to ye yeh matlab ho sakta hai ke support area ko tor diya gaya hai, aur pair Forex market mein neeche girne ka silsila jaari rakh sakta hai, shayad 1.0475 ke area tak pohanch jaaye. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke EURUSD ki qeemat barhegi agar resistance level tor diya jata hai aur price 1.0755 ke level ke oopar close hoti hai, jo ke downward chancel ke upper boundary ko tor diya gaya hai.




Aaj ke trading mein, yeh jodi girne ka ek koshish kar sakti hai aur 1.0650 ke qareeb aik support area ka test kar sakti hai. Agar EURUSD pair wahan se bounce back karta hai, to hum market mein asset ka izafa dekh sakte hain, shayad 1.0865 ke level ke oopar pohanch jaaye. Agar EURUSD upar nahi jaata aur iske bajaye, quotes mein girawat hoti hai aur qeemat 1.0615 ke level ko tor deti hai, to ye yeh matlab ho sakta hai ke support area ko tor diya gaya hai, aur pair Forex market mein neeche girne ka silsila jaari rakh sakta hai, shayad 1.0475 ke level ke neeche tak pohanch jaaye.

Euro/US Dollar currency pair ki market movement ka tajziya. 4 ghante ka time frame.
Chaliye chand mashhoor technical analysis indicators - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD - ka istemal kar ke jald hi instrument ki mojooda harkat ka tajziya karte hain, jo ke musbat trading result haasil karne ki imkanat ko mustahkam banane mein madad karte hain. Yaad rakhiye ke market mein dakhil honay ke faislay ke liye, tamam indicators ko ek hi signals dena chahiye. Zyada se zyada mumkin faida haasil karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ke correction levels ka istemal kar ke position exit point ko tay karenge.

Hamare mutaalah kar rahe chart (time-frame H4) par dekhte hain ke, is waqt, pehla degree ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke instrument ki disha aur mojooda trend ka haal darust karta hai, tez tor par neechay ki taraf mukhrij hai, jo ke instrument ki kaafi mazboot trend movement ko darust karta hai southern taraf mein. Waqt ke sath sath, non-linear channel, jo qareebi mustaqbil ko pehchanne ke liye istemal hota hai, peela-hara rang hai aur instrument ke quotes ka mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai, kyun ke yeh southern taraf ki taraf mukhrij hai.





Qeemat ne linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ke blue support line ko cross kiya lekin 1.05971 ke quotes ke minimum value (LOW) tak pohanch gaya, uske baad usne apni girawat ko roka aur dhere dhere barhna shuru kiya. Mojooda waqt mein, instrument 1.07188 ke qeemat par trading ho raha hai. In tamaam factors ke mabni hokar, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes waapas laut kar aur 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.07915) ke oopar consolidate honge FIBO level ke 50% aur phir ooparward movement ke liye golden average line LR of the linear channel 1.08320 tak, jo ke Fibo level 61.8% ke sath milta hai. Aik mazeed daleel jis ka tajziya ke fauran baad karna hai, woh yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi kharidari mein dakhil hone ki durusti ko tasdeeq karte hain, kyunke woh oversold zone mein hain.

Main EUR/USD jodi ka tajziya chaar ghante ke chart par kar raha hoon. Jodi ne inflation data ke ikhtetami hone ke baad girawat shuru ki hai, grey range ke mukhtalif hadood se neeche ja rahi hai. Pehle, maine yeh samjha ke jodi is grey range ke andar trading jaari rakhegi, lekin inflation tajurbaat se zyada saabit hua. Halankeh, yeh zyada nahi tha, aur izafa itna substantial nahi tha ke jodi zyada se zyada neeche gir jaye. 1.06726 par support tor diya gaya. Jodi thora sa neeche gayi, sath hi kharidari volume barh gayi. Maine ye khuwaab kiya ke jodi is grey range mein waapas nahi jaye gi. Saaf hai ke jodi ke uparward movement jaari hai, peechli unchiyon ko update kiya ja raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh range ke mukhtalif hadood ki taraf ja rahi hai, khaas kar ke 1.08885 ke level ki taraf.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Faide ko badhane ke liye, European session ke aaghaz tak bulls ko qimat ko 1.0729 ki satah se ooper dhakelne ki zarurat hai. Is surat me, euro/dollar ke jode ke pas 1.0741 ke nishan ko todne aur 1.0745 par 38.2% Fibonacci level tak pahunchne ka mauqa hoga. Iske bad, qimat wapas niche lautne se pahle 1.0769 ke ilaqe tak badhne ka imkan ha.
Agar qimat 1.0729 se ooper mustahkam hone me nakam rahti hai, lekin 1.0723 aur 1.0724 ki satah par ausat yaumiyah balance se niche fix ho jati hai to, euro mumkena taur par 1.0680 par pahle yaumiyah balance par wapas aa jayega, jahan is ne kal 30-minute ke chart par debt levels chor diya. Filhal yahi sab se zyada imkani scenario hai. Aakhir kar, 1.0729 ka nishan sirf 10 pips se toot gaya th, aur ek hi bar me 50 pips niche gir gaya tha. Iska matlab yah hai keh bears abhi bhi market ke control me hain aur woh 1.0640 ki support satah dobara test karne ke liye qimat ko niche khinchne ki koshish karenge.
Iske alawa, haftawar ikhteyarat ki miyaad Jumah ko khatam ho jati hai, lehaza is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh euro/dollar ka joda 1.0673-1.0680 ke raqbe tak gir jaye.

Forex trading strategy
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal ke aidad o shumar se zahir hota hai keh Americi maishat tawaqqo se kam raftar se badhi, khudrah farokht me bhi kami ka imkan hai. Misali taur par, yah euro ki rally ke piche ek aur mumkena muhrik quwwat hai.
Mai is waqt market se bahar hun. Agar ooper ki raftar barqarar rahti hai to, euro/dollar ke jode me faida badhne aur 1.0770 ke nshan tak pahunchne ki tawaqqo hai jahan short positions kholi ja sakti hain. Mutabadil taur par, agar qimaton me izafa hota hai to taqriban 1.0800 par short jana relevant hoga. Halankeh, aaj Jumah hai, hafte ka aakhri karobari din, lehaza jode ke pas koi aham qadam uthane ke liye kafi waqt nahin hoga. Agle hafte, market participants apni tawajjoh Americi Federal Reserve ki policy meeting aur labor market ke data par markuz karenge.



Yaqinan, tawil muddati farokht tarjih hai, lekin euro/dollar ke jode ne pahle hi numaya faida uthaya hai aur ho sakta hai keh yah apni tezi ko aaj 1.0770 ki satah tak badhaye. Is ilaqe me, short jana zyada munafabaksh hone ka imkan hai, jabkeh maujudah satahon se short jane ka koi matlab nahin hai.

اپریل 26 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

گزشتہ روز یورو کے لیے سٹاک مارکیٹ کے زیادہ اتار چڑھاؤ کی وجہ سے دبائو میں سفید موم بتی کے ساتھ دن بند کرنا مشکل تھا۔ جوڑا 1.0724 کے ہدف کی سطح پر پہنچ گیا ہے، اور اگلا ہدف 1.0757 ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر کی موجودہ پوزیشن، جو ہر روز زیادہ فلیٹ ہوتی جا رہی ہے، کم امکان کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے کہ قیمت 1.0757 سے اوپر چڑھ جائے گی، بالکل اسی طرح جیسے مارلن خود بھی صفر لائن سے نیچے کی طرف پلٹنے کا مخالف نہیں ہے۔ اس طرح کے الٹ جانے کی علامت 1.0724 کی سطح سے نیچے قیمت کا مستحکم ہونا ہے۔ ہم 1.0636/56 رینج میں تجارت کے لیے قیمت کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نے پہلے ہی جمعرات کو نیچے کی طرف بڑھ کر کنسولیڈیشن رینج سے باہر جانے کی کوشش کی ہے۔ اسی وقت، قیمت کے ساتھ ایک اختلاف قائم کیا گیا تھا. یہ حالات 1.0757 پر قریب ترین مزاحمت کے کام کرنے کے امکانات کو بھی کم کر دیتے ہیں۔ انتخاب پیر کی صبح واضح ہو جائے گا۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Time frame H4:- Aaj aap sabko khush aur munafa bhara din mubarak ho!

Kal ke trading ke doran, EUR/USD pair ke prices kisi had tak tang range mein trade hue, jabke market ne calendar par mazboot economic news ki kami ke darmiyan aaram kiya, lekin aaj US GDP data ke sath, labor market data ke saath, United States ko agay le sakta hai, jo foreign exchange market mein ziada sakhti ka bais bana sakta hai aur prices ko mojooda trading range se bahar le sakta hai. Prices 4 ghante ke chart par mojooda trading range ke upper border ke qareeb trade kar rahe hain, aur bulls ne higher ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin kuch acha nahi hua, aur bulls upper level ke upar nahe ja sakte.

Sab se unchi dar. Trading range ki hudood ghaat ki taraf jaane ke liye movement ke vikas ke mumkinat ko dikhata hai. Agar prices 1.07149 ke neeche laut aayein, toh main mojooda trading range ke middle end tak 1.0660 ya neeche red moving average tak ka giravat dekhna chahunga 1.0620 tak. Main shumara scenario ko aik mukhtif taur par samjhta hoon, agar bulls blue moving average ko break kar sakte hain, toh 1.0745 par resistance level ka pehchan karne ka koi imkan hai, main ek lambi level ka intezar karta hoon, haalaanki aaj economic statistics ke release ke saath scenario rukh badal sakta hai. Foreign exchange market mein taqat ka balance. Haan, main yeh bhi nahi kehta ke mojooda level kisi mazboot support level ban sakta hai kharidaron ke liye. Yeh hamare raste ko waapis 1.07500 level tak khol dega, aur isse toorna humein 1.08500 level tak le jayega. Magar, main phir bhi put option ko mad-e-nazar rakhta hoon, kyunke mere pass farokht ke liye mukhtasir orders hain.

EUR/USD jodi early European session mein 1.0750 ke upar ek tang range mein trading kar rahi hai. US dollar apni taaqat barhane ki koshish kar raha hai pehle se aane wale ahem PCE price index data, Fed ka pasandida inflation gauge, ke saamne aur ye jodi apni positions ko qaim rehne mein madad kar raha hai. Magar, jaisa pehle zikar kiya gaya, jodi ne mid-week move tak pohanch gaya hai aur mazeed uroojari ki harkat sawal mein hai. Ye yaqeeni nahi ke qeemat apni urooji safar ko jari rakh payegi, lekin strategy ke qawaid mujhe mid-week move ke upar khareedne ki ijaazat nahi deti. Magar, peer se shuru karte hue, haftay ka control zone 1.0770-1.07868 ki taraf kharidariyan lai ja sakti hain, beshak agar aaj maqsad tak pohancha na gaya ho. Khareedariyon mein agarcha jab mid-week move tak pohancha jaaye, to hum hissa teh karte hain aur breakeven par chale jaate hain.

Jodi ki qeemat din bhar barhne ki sambhavna hai aur iss haftay ke ikhtitaam tak bhi, jab qeemat naye resistance level ko tor chuki hai, jo ke 1.0738 level hai, aur abhi 1.0785 resistance ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is haftay mein, jodi ka trend urooji raha, jab ye pehle gir gayi aur haftay ke pivot level se support mili, phir qeemat barhi aur kai resistance levels aur price channels ko bhi torne lagi. Pichle 4 candles mein, qeemat ko 1.0738 level se rukawat mili, aur usi waqt tori gayi channel lines se support mili. Ab qeemat ne resistance ko tor kar uske upar settle hone mein kamyabi haasil ki hai taake mazeed urooj ke liye. Mali tor par, jodi US Federal Reserve ki pasandida US inflation reading ka elaan hone se pehle barh rahi hai. Is imdaad ke daur mein, 10 saal ke German bond ka yield 5 mahine ki unchi satah tak pohanch gaya. German 10 saal ke bonds ka yield 2.6% tak barh gaya, jo ke late November ke baad ki sab se unchi satah hai baad US bond yields ke recent GDP data ne yeh dikhaya ke US Federal Reserve ko rate cuts ke liye aur lambi intezaar karna padega. Faida. Ek taraf, US ki arzi hawalaat pehle tajaweez ki mukhtasir darje mein barh rahi thi, lekin doosri taraf, inflationary dabaoain buland rahi. Magar, Europe mein, investors European Central Bank se is saal teen darje ki kamiyon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Isi performance mein, 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ka yield 4.7% se zyada barh gaya, jo ke early November se pehli unchi satah hai.

EUR/USD pair early European session Friday ko 1.0750 ke upar ek tang range mein trading kar raha hai. US dollar mukhya PCE price index data ke samne shakti hasil karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ki Fed ki pasandida inflation ki gauge hai, aur yeh pair apni positions ko sambhalne mein madad kar raha hai. Magar, jaisa pehle bhi zikr kiya gaya tha, pair ne mid-week move tak pahunch gaya hai aur mazeed upar ki movement sawal mein hai. Yeh nishchit nahi hai ke keemat apni uttar ki safar ko jari rakhegi, lekin strategy ke qawaid mujhe mid-week move ke upar khareedne ki ijaazat nahi deti. Magar, shuru se shanivar tak, agar aaj target na poora ho, to 1.0770-1.07868 hafte ke control zone ki taraf khareedari mayne rakhti hogi. Khareedari mein hote hue, jab mid-week move tak pahuncha jata hai, to hum hissa band kar ke breakeven par chale jate hain. Yeh joda aaj ke din aur is hafte ke ant tak barhte hue ho sakta hai, jab keemat ek naye rukawat ke level ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, jo 1.0738 level hai, aur ab 1.0785 rukawat ki taraf badh rahi hai. Is hafte, pair ka trend upar ki taraf tha, jab keemat sab se pehle gir gayi aur hafte ke pivot level se sahayata mili, phir keemat chadhi aur kayi rukawat ke level aur keemat ke channels ko bhi todi. Pichle 4 candles ke doran, keemat ko 1.0738 ke level se rukawat ka samna tha, aur usi samay tooti hui channel lines se sahayata mili. Keemat ab rukawat ko tod chuki hai aur us par upar chali gayi hai, aur mazeed barhne ke liye tayar hai. Mali pehlu par, pair US Federal Reserve ki pasandida inflation ki reading ka elaan hone se pehle barh raha hai. Is utperform ki douran, 10 saal ke German bond ka yield 5 mahino mein sab se uncha level tak pahunch gaya. German 10 saal ke bondon ka yield 2.6% tak pahunch gaya, jo ki late November se sab se uncha level hai, jab US bondon ke yield ke baad mein GDP data ne tasdeeq di ke US Federal Reserve ko rate cuts ke liye lambi muddat intezar karna hoga. Faida. Ek taraf, US economy ne pehle mahine ke mutabiq mutawaqqa se kai kam darjat par bara, lekin doosri taraf, inflationary dabaavain buland rahe. Magar, Europe mein, investors European Central Bank se is saal teen interest rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain. Is hi karobar mein, 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ke yield 4.7% se zyada tak pahunch gaya, jo ke early November se sab se uncha level hai.

Euro ki single currency haftay ke ikhtitam ke qareeb pohnch rahi hai, aik achi izafa haasil kar chuki hai aur ab 1.06 ke ahem level se door hai, jo pichle haftay ikhtitam ko dhachka de raha tha. American dollar ke dubara pechay agay anay ki koshishen kal ke pehle atraaf par darust nahi hui thi, jab US ki maeeshat ke pehle maheenay 2024 ke vazehi bayan par tanqeed mil rahi thi.

Aaj ka silsila bohot dilchaspi ka hai kyunke US mein shakhsi istemal ki makhsoosaiyon ke data jaari kiye ja rahe hain, jo maeeshat mein tanqeedi dabao ka ek pasandida pehlu hai, aur rate cuts ki taraf rate tabdeeli hone ki sambhavna bohot zyada hai.

Jumeraat ko, EUR/USD pair 1.0740 par trading kar raha hai, jab ke key US data ki raseedgi se pehle, March core shakhsi istemal ki makhsoosaiyon mein, jo ke US Federal Reserve ka pasandida inflation ke pegham ko shamil karta hai, aik 12:30 GMT par jaari ki jayegi.

EUR/USD pair ab zyada volatility ke liye naqis ho sakta hai jab mahinayi core PCE index ko jaari kiya jata hai. Agar core PCE 2.6% (0.3% m/m) ke economists ki umeedon se ooper dikhaata hai, khaaskar agar ye pehle maheenay ke 2.8% ke record ko guzar jaye, to EUR/USD pair mein kami dekhi ja sakti hai. Ek zyada se zyada umeed ki value dairaani qeemat dabao ki dairani dabaav ki aham wazahat karti hai aur FED ko muddai darje ki interest rate ko mazeed taqatwar banaane ke liye samjha jaata hai.

Hum bhi 1.0756 ke darja ko false breakout ki surat mein dekh sakte hain aur neechayward harekaton ki dobara shuruat. Magar agar bullish idaron ko 1.0756 ke ooper band karne mein kamiyabi milti hai, to agle target ke liye barhne ka nishaan 200-day moving average 1.0783 par hai, jo mazeed upar ki harkat ko rok dega.

EUR/USD pair pehle European session mein 1.0750 ke ooper aik tang range mein trading kar raha hai. American dollar ko apni quwwat ko barhane ki puri koshish hai qayam e ahem PCE ke maqami index data ke agle pehlu se, jisay FED ka pasandida inflation gauge hai, aur ye pair apni jagahain barqarar rakhta hai. Magar, pehle zikar kiya gaya ke, pair ne mid-week move tak pohanch liya hai aur mazeed upar ki harkat shak mein hai. Yeh nahi taay hai ke qeemat apne shumal ki safar jaari rakh payegi, magar strategy ke qawaid mujhe mid-week move ke ooper khareednay ki ijazat nahi deti. Magar, Monday se shuru karke, haftay ka control zone 1.0770-1.07868 ki taraf khareednay ke mawafiq hoga, beshak agar target aaj tak na pohancha gaya ho. Khareedaron ke liye, jab mid-week move tak pohancha jaye, hum hissa adha bhand ki deal ko band karke breakeven par chale jaate hain.

EUR/USD Ke Keemat Ka Jaiza

Salam dosto. Umeed hai sab theek hain.

EUR/USD h4 waqt frame:

Chaliye hum EUR/USD currency pair ki hal halat mein ghusein. Pair ne 1.0635 se 1.0695 tak tezi dekhi, jo keh Europei manzar par ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai keh kya yeh kal ke manzar ko tasleem karta hai, jahan mazboot order volumes se ek bullish trend ko janwar banaya gaya. Kamzor bearish volumes price ke upar aasman se chotay sakte hain. US mein musbat trend ne bullish attacks ke liye taza tawanai faraham ki hai. Hum 1.0760 ka imtehan le sakte hain phir EMA-200 pe 1.0788 ya EMA-50 pe 1.0778 ke qareeb trading ka ek retrement, jise neechay ghussne ki koshishen ki ja rahi hain. Jab keh main mazboot izafa nahi samajh raha, haal ki reporten darustari se investors ko do hafton mein bond adaion pe FED se zyada dhyan denay pe majboor kar rahi hain. Budget ka process bhi ahem ho raha hai, Congress ke naye Speaker ke zariye agle haftay budget ko manzoor karne ki umeed hai.

Main h4 waqt frame ka jaiza le chuka hoon. Ek potential trading mauqa roshni mein aata hai daily chart pe jahan euro samne wale taraf milti hai. Jabke euro ka 1.0730 unchaai tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, to 1.0710-1.0765 level pe retrement bhi mumkin hai. Ek trader ke tor pe, main pehle hi waqt pe bechnay se 5 point ka faida utha chuka hoon aur khareednay ke liye ehtiyaat baratay hue hoon. Lekin, khaaskar geo-political manzar ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jo ghair mutawaqa asraat paida kar sakta hai. Market ke taraqqi pe jawabdeh trading faislay karne ki zaroorat hai. Sabko kamyabi ki duaen.

Sab doston ko salaam. Umeed hai aap sab khush-o-khurram hain.

EUR/USD ki hafte ki chaar ghante ki frame:

Aaiye EUR/USD ki currency pair ki halia qeemat ka gehrai se jaanchain. Jo jor 1.0635 se 1.0695 tak ek uthar mahsoos kiya, ek harkat hai jo, jabkeh tez nahi, yorpi siaq-o-sabaq ke moqa ko thaamti hai. Ye khana mumkin hai ke kya yeh guzishta dino ki surat e haal mein bhi ek hamzad janibi ko srahta hai, jahan bhari order hajmon se ek musalla chhalni ko aage barhaya. Qawi dabao ki kam hajam upri qeemat par ek ahem challenge pesh kar sakti hai. Rozana amrici siaq-o-sabaq ka musbat rujhan, bulbharati ki tazgi faraham ki hai. Hum 1.0760 aur phir EMA-200 par 1.0788 par imtehan ki tawaqo rakhte hain ya ek inqila 1.0778 par tijarat ke qareeb thahrayi jati hai, niche dhaaki karne ki koshish ki jati hai. Jabkeh mein mazboot barhao ki tawaqo nahi kar raha hoon, halia reports mushtaqoon ko fed ki bajaye do hafton mein bond ki wapsiyo par tawajah dene ki sojati hain. Budget amal ko bhi ahmiyat haasil hai, jise congress mein naye speaker ke zariye agle haftay manzoor hone ki tawaqo hai.





Mein hafte ki chaar ghante ki frame tajzia karta hoon. Rozana chart par ek mumkin trading mauqa nikalta hai jahan yuro ek janibi tor par jam ho sakta hai. Jabkeh 1.0730 ke pohanche ka pata chal sakta hai, ek inqila 1.0710-1.0765 ke satah par bhi mumkin hai. Ek trader ke tor par, mein pehle hi waqt par bechnay aur kharidnay ki hoshiyarri ke zariye 5 point ke munafa hasil kar chuka hoon. Albatta, mein hoshiyarri se rehta hoon, khaas tor par jeo political landscape ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, jo ghair mutawaqqa tabdeeliyon ka ba'is ban sakta hai. Bazaar ki taraqqiyon ke jawab mein mutalla hona aur information ke sath bunyadi trading faislay karna zaroori hai. Sab ko kamiyabi ki dua.

EUR/USD

Euro (EUR) taqreeban 1.0765 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jo ke halkay nuqsanat ke sath hai ek chand hafton ke kamzor bounce ke baad jis ne budh ko. Ye haalaat US Dollar Index (DXY) ke khami ke bawajood hai jo ab 105.00 ke neeche trading kar raha hai, jis ne EUR/USD jodi ko kuch sahara diya hai. Magar, Eurozone ki maaliyat ke data ek mukhalif tasveer pesh kar raha hai. Ek taraf, kamzor US Dollar Euro ke liye aik musbat fakhar hai. US Federal Reserve ki rahnumai ki doosri taa'zeemien ke mutabiq, is saal interest rates mein kum karne ka izhaar kar rahe hain, jis se dollar par nichawar dabaav pad raha hai. Ye future traders ke umeedon ke mutabiq hai jo Fed ko monetary policy ko June mein aasan karne ki umeed karte hain aur saal ke ikhtitami tak daray ko teen quarter point tak kam karne ki umeed rakhte hain. Doosri taraf, haal ki German inflation data Euro ka hosla kam kar rahi hai. Germany ke March mein inflation figures thode se kam aye hain jo ke European Central Bank (ECB) ko rates kam karne ki koi umeed ho sakti hai. Ye is liye ke ECB inflation ko 2% ke qareeb target karta hai, aur Germany ke kam figures Eurozone ko is goal ke qareeb le jane ki tawajjo dete hain.

Mukhtalif signals ke bina par EUR/USD jodi ko ek dum kaarastar trading karna pada hai ek halki shuruaat se, shayad Europe mein Easter ki chuttiyon ki wajah se. Takneeki tor par, EUR/USD ne December 2023 ke baad se aik downtrend pe hai, baar baar resistance line ko toorna nakaam hua hai. Ye kamzori mazeed highlight hoti hai ke yeh jodi ab apni ahem harkat halkon (50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day) ke neeche trading kar rahi hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch analysts kehte hain ke EUR/USD ke liye mazeed downside hosakti hai. Takneeki indicators jaise Stochastic Oscillator mein oversold area ka hone se Euro ke aur neeche girne ka imkan nazar aata hai pehle ke ek rebound ke qabal. Ye bearish traders ke liye aik kashishmand dakhil karne ka point ho sakta hai jo ke EUR/USD ko short karna chahte hain aur ek possible girawat se faida uthana chahte hain.

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe.
EUR/USD ki growth correction 1.0693 se, halankay wahan se girawat kuch achi nahi hai, jaisa ke yeh kisi qisam ka zigzag dikhna chahiye. Aakhir kaar, upar ki taraf ka pullback bara hoga, shayad kuch pullback south ki shakal mein hoga, phir downside zyada lambi hogi jitni zaroori hai. Magar ab sab kuch shumal ki taraf hai, aur jab se gir gaya hai, to aesa hi hona chahiye. Magar mujhe kam yakeen hai ke 1.0693 se aisi correction hogi, halankay yehi structure ke basis par hai. Magar yeh ke yeh ek downward correction hai 1.1140 se jo ke ek toot se neeche jaana zaroori karta hai, is possibility ko bhi kam zahir karta hai. To main yahan pe kharidunga jab growth jari rahegi. Magar yeh kisi qisam ka "teen andar, ek bahar" approach hona chahiye, phir sab kuch saaf ho jayega. Magar seedha kharidna khatarnak hai, to main upar jaunga. Ascending price channel pehle breach ho chuka tha jab lower boundary 1.0880 pe tooti. Shumal ki taraf se nikalne ke baad, buyers ne breakout ke liye support line ko test karne ki koshish ki, magar yeh kamiyaab nahi rahe. Buyers ne 1.0900 ke level ko paar nahi kiya, aur 1.0910 se rebound ke baad, pair ne apni girawat jari rakhi, effectively ascending channel ko toor diya. Ab majore 1.0872 pe trading ho raha hai, aur yeh mumkin hai ke hum abhi current levels se neeche girawat dekhte rahenge, jahan bears ka target round price level 1.0800 pe hai, jahan growth ne march ke shuru mein shuru ki thi, aur phir local peak 1.0980 pe pohnchi thi.

EUR/USD pair shayad uncertain ho, magar yeh traders ke liye ek khaas moqa paish karta hai. Har din opportunities aur challenges laata hai, with anticipation building for potential developments closer to month-end. Jab hafta khatam hota hai, attention Ichimoku cloud ki analysis ki taraf shift hoti hai ek lambi time frame pe, jiska pattern consolidation phase ko hint karta hai phir ek potential downward breakout ki taraf. Yeh profit potential, jo ke traders ko motivated aur hopeful rakhega, monitoring ke liye key hai. Isi tarah, trading week ke shuru mein buyers ki initial response ko monitor karna zaroori hai, jo ke further assessment ke liye stage set karta hai jab din progress karta hai. EUR/USD pair ke dynamic landscape mein navigation karte hue, vigilant aur adaptable rehna sirf important nahi hai; balkay yeh success ke keys hain. Market analysis mein nuanced approach aur pivotal price levels aur emerging trends ki keen awareness traders ko insights deti hai ke potential opportunities ko navigate karne aur risks ko effectively mitigate karne ke liye.

Euro/Dollar: Trading Analysis

H4 Chart: Southern Channel Breakout

Euro/dollar ki qeemat pehlay 1.0980 level par pohanch kar gir gayi, jis ke baad mazboot nichlay channel ka janam hua, jo intehai durr tak phail gaya. Aik teharnay walay izaafi uthaal ke baad, jo ke southern channel ke andar teesri shumali lahron ke sath hota hai. Halankeh, aik teharnay walay izaafi uthaal ka daura aik chadhne wale channel ke andar ho raha hai. Hal hi mein 1.0710 ke qareeb se oopri haddi se doosri muddat se ghiraar ke baad, jora gir gaya hai aur 1.0660 support tak aik teharnay walay giravat ke buland ikhtimalat hain, jis ke baad, barqi izaafi uthaal ke liye dobara upri haddi tak pohanch sakte hain jo ke kareeban 1.0750 ke level par hogi.

M30 Chart: Ascending Channel Dynamics

M30 chart mein 1.0600 par mazboot support nazar aata hai, jis ke baad poorab ki taraf chalay gaye jo aik chadhne wale daam ka janam diya, jis ke andar jora aaj 1.0696 par trade kar raha hai. Mazkoorati giravat neechay ke channel ke sarhad ke qareeb 1.0680 tak manzil ko nishaanaybazi kar sakti hai.

Economic News Outlook (M30 Chart):

Moscow ke 15:00 baje par, US GDP aur ibtidaai be-rozgaari ki maqbooliyat ki tafseelat mutawaqqa hai. GDP ka mukhtasir 3.4% se 2.5% tak girne ka tajwez aur ibtidaai jobless claims ka 212K se 214K tak izafa ishaara dete hain ke US ki ma'ashiyati daleelat kamzor hai. Aise tawaqqaat ne majors ke upri rukh ko barhawa diya hai.

Daily Timeframe: Northern Momentum

Rozana ka waqtaharat, Euro ko down MR zone se taizi se uthaal ke baad, 1.0692 ke NR level ko par karke buland hai. Halankeh, 1.0724 ke qareeb trade karte hue, Euro mazeed upri manzil ko nishanaybazi karta hai, jo ke down MR trend area aur NR level 1.0760 tak hai. Down MR trend ke oopar jamah hone se buland maqsadat t4 (1.0807) aur t5 (1.0836) ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Nateeja:


Euro apni upri raftar jaari rakhta hai, jo ke US ki ma'ashiyati dalaelat ki kamzoriyon ki wajah se ho rahi hai. Karobariyon ko tayyar rahna chahiye ke mazeed faiday ke liye pehlay muntakhib maqasid ki taraf barhte rahein, ma'ashiyati data ke izafaat ke doraan ehtiyaat se kaam len.