یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD

Shab bakhair. EUR/USD trend ke mutabiq chota chala, halan ke shuru mein aik lambi harkat ka intezar tha, lekin yahan par bullish investors phir se nakami ka shikar ho gaye, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke halat un ke liye faavourable nahi hain. Magar, maine ek khaas trend ko dekha, ya kehun ek correlation jo ho raha hai. Khaaskar, aik instrument jaise XAU/USD gold sab trading instruments par mazboot dabaav daalta hai. Dilchasp baat hai ke agar sone ki keemat dollar ke khilaaf barh rahi hai, to phir yeh EUR/USD, GBP/USD ko kyun nahi mazboot kar rahi hai? Yeh sab currency pairs par sone hi dabaav daal raha hai, yeh wahi nateeja hai jo nikala ja sakta hai. Hal mojooda mein, XAU/USD aik trading range mein daakhil ho raha hai, yeh maamoolan yeh halat ko kisi had tak mazboot karna chahiye. Aur bilkul, mantaki tor par, agar keemat sone mein mazeed barh rahi hai, to euro aur doosri currencies girte rehnege.

EUR/USD

[DAILY TIMEFRAME] Halaat yeh the ke keemat ko daily level 1.07963 ke neeche girne ka samna tha, keemat wazeh taur par level ke upar wapas jaana chahti thi, lekin kharidari ke iraade asar andaz nahi hue aur keemat choti ho gayi. Phir yeh daily level 1.07580 ke neeche gir gayi. Abhi, keemat ne girawat ke khilaaf aik lambi position mein reversal ka movement kiya hai, keemat ko lagta hai ke woh pehle tor diye gaye level 1.07580 ke upar wapas aa gayi hai. Magar aam tor par har reversal candle ko woh candle ke unchiyaan tak wapas jaane ki koshish karti hai jis se girawat hui thi. Yeh bullish candle bearish candle ke kareeb se zara zyada hissa cover kar sakta hai, is liye keemat lambi chalne ka iraada kar rahi hai.

[4-HOUR TIMEFRAME] Keemat ab daily level 1.07580 ke upar hai, sirf thoda sa musalat hona hai aur lambi chalne ka iraada jaari rakhega. Bila shuba, agar keemat bearish trend mein hai, to girawat ke baad, keemat uttar test karna chahegi aur trend channel ke resistance level ke qareeb pahunchna chahegi. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke mukhya point yeh nahi hai ke EUR/USD mein keemat kahan jaana chahti hai, mojooda waqt mein keemat lambi chalne ka iraada kar rahi hai, kyun ke woh tezi se gir chuki hai, kuch daily levels ko toor kar. Magar EUR/USD ke keemat ke raaste mein bunyadi asar sone ki harkat ka hoga. Agar sone ki keemat barhti rahe, to EUR/USD ke position ko dekh kar, yeh mazeed girte rahega.

Euro/usd

Meri raye ke mutabiq, mojooda market shara'it par aitbaar karte hue, abhi bhi nazar andaaz kiya ja sakta hai ke girawat ko zyada takatwar kamyabi ke saath jari rakha jaye, isliye behtar hai ke bearish market trend par zyada tawajju di jaye. EURUSD jodi ki keemat ka 4 ghanton ke time frame par tehat tehat aakhri teen hafton mein girawat ki taraf jaane ki koshish nazar aati hai aur yeh maloom hota hai ke boundary of the 100 period simple moving average zone se aur door jaana chahta hai, sellers candlestick ki position ko kam kar sakte hain is haftay ki shuruaat se, jis se yeh pata chalta hai ke is haftay ke market ke khulne se pehle hi bechnay ka dabao tha.

Mojooda haalaat ke mutabiq, market mein aage girne ki sambhavna hai. Moujooda maahaul ke liye yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke keemat ki safar abhi bhi Downward Trend ki taraf jaane ka mauka hai. EURUSD jodi ke maahaul ko is haftay ki shuruaat se girawat ke zone mein chalne ki nazar aati hai.

Agar aap dhyaan den toh, toh mojooda keemat ki position abhi bhi 1.0793 par atki hui hai, shayad agle haftay keemat phir se neeche jaaye kyun ke lagta hai ke market keemat ko neeche daudne ka mauka mila hai kyun ke is haftay bechne waale kaabu kaafi dominant lagta hai, jo doosre bechne waalon ko bechnay ke options chunne ki ijaazat deta hai.

Market ke agle trend ke liye ka tajziya hai ke girawat ke nishaanay par lagbhag 1.0738 keemat ke zone tak girawat jari rahegi. Agar candlestick nishana area ke aas paas gir sakti hai toh phir mauka ho sakta hai ke woh aur neeche gir sake, lekin agar pata chalta hai ke candlestick 1.0872 zone tak uth jaaye toh phir agle kuch hafton mein ek bullish rukh ki taraf daudne ka mauka ho sakta hai.

Mere nazdeek beech-mahine trading dour mein market ka mauka abhi bhi Downtrend ki taraf jaane ka hai jab tak ke sellers keemat ko 1.0835 zone ke neeche banaaye rakh sakte hain. Agle Sell trading option ke liye, aap is position par ja sakte hain agar keemat 1.0774 position par gir jaati hai taake baad mein aane waale bearish trend ka potential zyada saaf nazar aaye.

Euro ne kuch waqt ke liye thora sa support paya ek tareef ke Eurozone manufacturing data ke baad. March ke final PMI reading 46.1 aayi, jo ki 45.7 ke expected se thora zyada hai. Magar, yeh abhi bhi 50 ke ahem level se neeche hai jo vruddhi aur sankuchan ko alag karta hai. Ye US PMI ke vipreet hai jo haal hi mein do saalon se pehli baar 50 ke upar chala gaya hai. Easter chuttiyon ke baad mazboot US data aur ek zyada hawkish Federal Reserve ki wajah se EUR/USD kamzor hui. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke tajurbaat dollar ko mazboot kiya jab unhone June mein qist dar ko khatam karne ki tawaqoat ko kam kiya. Uchh raqam ki qiston ko aksar gheir mulki sarf ko akarshit karti hai, jo dollar ko zyada kashish deta hai. Halankeh, European Central Bank (ECB) Eurozone mein aahista vruddhi aur kam inflation ki wajah se ek zyada dovish stance ki taraf leaning kar rahi hai. Is haftay mein jari data ne dikhaya ke German inflation March mein 2.2% tak thanda gaya, jo tawaqoat se chhota tha aur June mein ECB qist kaatne ki imkan ko mazeed barha diya. Magar is ke bawajood, EUR/USD koi traction nahi hasil kar saki.
EUR/USD abhi ek chhoti mudde mein giravat ki trend mein phans gaya hai jo March ke shuruaat se shuru hui thi. Currency pair abhi 1.0694 ke qareeb ek ahem support level ki taraf ja raha hai, jo is saal ke shuru mein sabse kam pehunch gaya hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq, ek technical indicator momentum ke liye, Euro abhi oversold hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke bechne walon ka thakan ka imkan hai aur woh apne short positions pe rok sakta hai. Agar RSI indicator oversold zone (30 ke upar) se bahar chala gaya, to yeh traders ke liye short positions band karne aur shayad long positions kholne ka signal hoga. Yeh ek temporary pullback ko lekar sakti hai giravat mein, lekin overall trend ab bhi bearish hone ke zyada imkan hai. February ka kam aur year-to-date ka kam 1.0694 pe ahem support faraham karne wale hain, aur pehla koshish mein bounce hone ke zyada imkan hai. Magar, is level ke neeche ek tay push ho sakta hai doosri giravat ke sath, jiska agla target shayad 1.0650 pe ho. Ek tay push aam tor par ek bade laal mombatti se nishchit hota hai jo support level ko poori tarah se apne andar le leti hai aur uske neeche band hoti hai. Vikalp se, yeh teen mukhtalif laal mombattiyon ke zariye bhi nishchit hota hai jo level ko toor dete hain.

Euro ne kuch waqt ke liye thora sa support paya ek tareef ke Eurozone manufacturing data ke baad. March ke final PMI reading 46.1 aayi, jo ki 45.7 ke expected se thora zyada hai. Magar, yeh abhi bhi 50 ke ahem level se neeche hai jo vruddhi aur sankuchan ko alag karta hai. Ye US PMI ke vipreet hai jo haal hi mein do saalon se pehli baar 50 ke upar chala gaya hai. Easter chuttiyon ke baad mazboot US data aur ek zyada hawkish Federal Reserve ki wajah se EUR/USD kamzor hui. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke tajurbaat dollar ko mazboot kiya jab unhone June mein qist dar ko khatam karne ki tawaqoat ko kam kiya. Uchh raqam ki qiston ko aksar gheir mulki sarf ko akarshit karti hai, jo dollar ko zyada kashish deta hai. Halankeh, European Central Bank (ECB) Eurozone mein aahista vruddhi aur kam inflation ki wajah se ek zyada dovish stance ki taraf leaning kar rahi hai. Is haftay mein jari data ne dikhaya ke German inflation March mein 2.2% tak thanda gaya, jo tawaqoat se chhota tha aur June mein ECB qist kaatne ki imkan ko mazeed barha diya. Magar is ke bawajood, EUR/USD koi traction nahi hasil kar saki.

EUR/USD abhi ek chhoti mudde mein giravat ki trend mein phans gaya hai jo March ke shuruaat se shuru hui thi. Currency pair abhi 1.0694 ke qareeb ek ahem support level ki taraf ja raha hai, jo is saal ke shuru mein sabse kam pehunch gaya hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq, ek technical indicator momentum ke liye, Euro abhi oversold hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke bechne walon ka thakan ka imkan hai aur woh apne short positions pe rok sakta hai. Agar RSI indicator oversold zone (30 ke upar) se bahar chala gaya, to yeh traders ke liye short positions band karne aur shayad long positions kholne ka signal hoga. Yeh ek temporary pullback ko lekar sakti hai giravat mein, lekin overall trend ab bhi bearish hone ke zyada imkan hai. February ka kam aur year-to-date ka kam 1.0694 pe ahem support faraham karne wale hain, aur pehla koshish mein bounce hone ke zyada imkan hai. Magar, is level ke neeche ek tay push ho sakta hai doosri giravat ke sath, jiska agla target shayad 1.0650 pe ho. Ek tay push aam tor par ek bade laal mombatti se nishchit hota hai jo support level ko poori tarah se apne andar le leti hai aur uske neeche band hoti hai. Vikalp se, yeh teen mukhtalif laal mombattiyon ke zariye bhi nishchit hota hai jo level ko toor dete hain.

EUR/USD M30 Waqt Frame

5-minute chart ka tajziya karne mein, qeemat ke harkaton ko chalane wali dynamics ko samajhna nihayat ahmiyat ka hamil hai. Is manzar nama mein, Eurozone data ne pehli shuruat ki ghaas par (initial growth) urooj par le aaya, jo keh aik jhooti tooti ke ird gird ka aghaz banaya, jo euro ko farokht karne ka aik mojooda moqa zahir karta hai. Magar, chart ka qareebi jaeza karne par, yeh maloom hota hai ke currency pair ne neeche ka rujhan ikhtiyar nahi kiya.

Is tafreeq se paish aane wale qeemat ke harkat ne, din ke baad ka waqt bhi le kar, market se baahar nikalne ke liye aik aqalmandi ki qadam hai, fahmida harkat ke darmiyan tafawut ke zehni manzar ko dobara tajziya karne ke liye. Is waqt market se baahar nikalna ek qabil-e-aqal harkat thi, ke waziha aqeeda aur haqeeqat ke darmiyan tafawut ko dekhte hue, jo ke khatre ke nuqsanat ka khatra kam karta hai.

Ab, lambay positions ko kholne ki taraf tawajjuh ko mor diya jata hai, is par jiddojehad hai ke tajziyaati tajziya ke daira ko tajziya karke naya approach ikhtiyar kiya jaye. Pehli jhooti tooti ke inconclusive fitrat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek ihtiyaat angaiz approach zaroori hai. Aik strategy mein saaf tasdeeq ke signals ka intezar karna shamil ho sakta hai, pehle se lambay position par qabal hazam hone se pehle.

Yeh mukhtalif indicators jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, ya oscillators ko dekhte hue isko shamil kar sakta hai signs of bullish momentum ke liye. Iske ilawa, currency harkaton par asar andaz hone wale tajziyati maahaul aur anay wale taza kismon ka imkan ka tajziya karna bhi ahmiyat ka hamil hai.

Sabar aur intizam ko aise bemaar halaat mein tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Bina mojooda market dynamics ka wazeh faham ke bina aik position mein jaldi jaldi shamil hone se naqalati natijay ka samna ho sakta hai. Is liye, itminan aur ummeed ki ghaarat se muntazir rehna aur fayda mand moqa ka intezaar karna zaroori hai jo kamyabi ke imkaanat ke liye zyada moqtadir hota hai.

Ikhtitami tor par, jab Eurozone data par euro farokht karne ka pehla mansooba wazeh nazar aya, to qeemat ke harkat mein tafawut ke zarf zarurat parne par bhi, situation ka dobara tajziya zaroori tha. Market se baahar nikalna strategies ko dobara tarteeb dene aur waziha signals ka intezar karne ka ek mouqa faraham karta hai. Lambay positions kholne ke liye, ehtiyaati aur intizami approach mashhoor hai, tajziyaati signals aur market analysis ko taraqqi de kar tijarat ke faislon ko behtar banane ke liye.

Salam sabko.

Chunancha aam tasveer abhi bhi bearish hai, haalaankay aaj hum ne aik shumali retracement harkat dekhi. Khaaskar naye saiyasi tensions ke ubharne ke saath, khaas tor par Iran aur US ke sattalait ke ird gird, America ke dollar ka waqtanah mazboot hona ab bhi maamool mein hai. 1.0616 ka neechay mumkin target mazeed neechay jaari hai, aur darmiyan muddat mein isko choona ka imkaan maqami rahata hai.
Aur abhi, sab kuch shumal ki taraf aik retracement hai.

Aaj ke trading mein, 1.0791 ka level dilchasp tha, jahan mawasuli harkat ko shumal se tora ja sakta tha aik mumkin shumali retracement harkat ka imkaan tha, lekin yeh nahi hua, aur subah mein, 1.0737 ka neechay mawasuli hissa bhi imtehaan kiya gaya. Toh, shumal abhi tak puri tarah asani se nahi hai.
Dauri door ke mumkinat se mazeed qareebi trading ki taraf jaate hue, main kal ke liye darjaat moaina kiye hain: upper 1.0778 par aur neechay 1.0725 par. Abhi, shumali retracement shumali harkat se hosakta hai, aur mazeed shumali taraqqi ke liye behtar hai ke 1.0740 ke neeche na jaaye. Us se neeche, bullon ko dabao mehsoos hone lagega 1.0725 ke neeche mukammal breakdown ke ikhtiyaar ka khatra ho sakta hai. Aur jo meri arzoo hai woh bohot mutabiq hogi. Dekhte hain ke Asians isko kitna neechay kheench sakte hain, aik acha maqam mein. Main phir se aapko saiyasi factor ke baare mein yaad dilana chahta hoon, Iran ne apne sahehfe ko goli maarnay par sakht jawab dene ka waada kiya hai. Raat abhi shuruwiya hai.

Yeh hai mojooda manzar. Subah ko mazeed tafseelat mein.

Taqreeban calendar news ke lehaz se, ahem hai ke kal Moscow waqt ke 15:15 par aaghaz mein gair kheti pehle nahi milne wale majmooe aur 16:45 par karobari fa'aliyat ke index jaari kiye jayenge. Wo log jo tail bechte hain, unke liye, 17:30 par, iske zakhiraat jaari kiye jayenge.

Hum euro/dollar pair ke liye chaar ghanton ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, 1.0980 ke local maximum se wapasne ke baad, major south ki taraf laut gaya aur phir ek confident downward price channel bana, jismein euro/dollar trading kar raha hai. Mazeed, jab hum ye tajziati post likh rahe hain, ek upward correctional wave southern channel ke andar jaari hai. Lekin yeh mat bhoolna ke hamara trend ab bhi southern hai, jo ke ye darust karta hai ke kisi bhi waqt hum resistance line ke wapasne ka wapas dekh sakte hain jaise ke 1.0790 ke aas paas ya slightly higher 1.0800 ke round level se, uske baad euro/dollar pair south ki taraf lautega aur bears ke liye maqsad hoga confident downward trend ka jari rakhna aur 1.0700 ke level tak girna, jo ke pehle February ki shuruaat se pehle ka local minimum hai. Agar euro/dollar pair mere scenario ke mutabiq south jaata hai, to phir jin logon ne pair ko farokht kiya hoga woh chhote se chhote hisaab se ache munafe haasil kar sakte hain.





Maine chaar ghanton ke chart par maahol ka jaaiza liya, aur ab main ek lower timeframe kholna chahta hoon, ya'ni M15 chart. Pehle se hi ek confident upward price channel bana hua hai, jismein euro/dollar uttar ki taraf ja raha hai aur hum ek upward correction ka samna kar rahe hain. Mazeed, qareebi mustaqbil mein main ek aur rebound resistance line se aur ek correctional decline ki umeed karta hoon neechle border of the channel tak, jiska intersection lagbhag level 1.0768 par hoga. Sab yeh growth jo humne hal mein dekha hai woh kuch nahi hai balki ek koshish hai kharidar ko bazaar se bahar nikalne ki, kyunke main umeed karta hoon ke kisi bhi waqt euro/dollar pair south ki taraf mudega aur major pehle annouced level 1.0700 ki taraf ud jayega.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis.

EUR/USD pair 1.0806 ya 1.0865 resistance level ki taraf raghib hai. Ye ahem satahain tawunee trading setup ka intezar karna zaroori banati hain, jo agle trading rukh ka ahem kirdar ada karegi. Agar ye resistance levels ko paar kiya jaye aur 1.9007 tak barhne ka maqam nishana banaya jaye, to aise halat ka faisla bazaar ke mahol aur prices ke mukhtalif uttarvi shumoolon par mabni hai, khas tor par ongoing news developments ke doraan. Ikhtiyaarati surat mein, agar keemat 1.0696 tak support level ke qareeb pohnche, to ek aur tajwezati amal ki soorat mein, price is satah ke neeche consolidation phase mein aa sakti hai, uske baad downward trajectory ka aghaz hoga. Ye tajwezati mansooba, keemat ko muwafiq kiya jata hai aur iski southward movement ko dobara shuru karne se pehle momentum ikhatta karne ka mohtasar potential shamil hai. Keemat support level 1.0657 ke qareeb pohanchti hai, to ek mumkin surat mein keemat is satah ke neeche consolidate ho sakti hai, phir apni southward movement jaari rakhti hai. Traders ko mutadil rehna chahiye aur bazaar ke taqazaat aur price action ke behtar hone wale dynamics par apni strategies ko mawafiq banane chahiye.



Keemat ka movement pair support level 1.0611 ki taraf jaega. Is surat mein, traders ko keemat is satah ke neeche consolidate hone ki mumkinat ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, taake price apni downward movement jaari rakhe. Ye ehtiyaati approach traders ko bazaar ke dynamics ke tabdeel hone par mawafiq honay aur maqbool surat haal par muta'assir faislay karne ki ijazat deta hai. Keemat support level 1.0449 ki taraf jaegi, to is satah ke neeche consolidation phase ke mumkinat par nazar rakhni chahiye, phir downward trend ko jaari rakhe jane ka. Bazaar ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karna aur price movements mein tabdiliyon ke liye trading strategies ko mawafiq banane ki ahmiyat hai.

Hum euro/dollar pair ke liye ek chaar ghantay ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, jab ye 1.0980 ke mukammal zyada se chhupa toh euro/dollar ney ek nahi umda kamiyabi ke baad south ki taraf mor diya aur phir ek itminan sey nichle price channel bana, jismein euro/dollar trade kar raha hai. Mazeed, jab mein yeh tajziati post likh raha hoon, toh ek upri taqreebi wave nichle channel ke andar jari hai. Lekin mat bhoolo ke hamara trend ab bhi southward hai, jo kehta hai ke kisi bhi waqt hamain resistance line ke rebound ka dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo 1.0790 ke aas paas ya thora saa zyada 1.0800 ke round level se ho sakta hai, jiske baad euro/dollar pair southward mor sakta hai aur bearon ke liye nishana hoga itminan sey nichle trend aur 1.0700 ke level tak girna, jo ke pehle February ki shuruwat se pehla local minimum hai.
Agar euro/dollar pair mere scenario ke mutabiq southward uda to, toh uss pair ko bechnay wale ache faiday utha sakte hain short positions se. Consumer Price Index par bhi manfi data ne kisi kami ko nahi laaya. Quotes 1.0770 ke level ke oopar hain. Shayad yeh saara mamla yeh hai ke bohot saare khiladi States se khabron ka intezaar kar rahe hain? Aaj ma'ashiyati calendar ahem waqiyat se bhara hua hai.
Aur is wajah se, jasoos koshish kar rahe hain ke quotes ko ooncha rakhein (zayada se zayada, euro ki qeemat ko ooncha rakhein). Theek hai, hum jald hi natije dekhenge. Main aaj dekh raha hoon ke US dollar/Japanese yen ne apna uparward trend shuru kiya hai. Yeh yeh darust karta hai, kisi had tak, dollar mazbooti hasil kar raha hai. Lekin Euro/US Dollar ke liye hum abhi bhi wahin khare hain. Hamare case mein, neechay ki taraf ke trend ko jaari rakhne ke liye, humein European currency ki qeemat ko 1.0750 ke neeche laana hoga, aur is pehlu ke sath, agle neeche ke nishan 1.0722 ka hoga (kal ki muqami kam) aur sirf is ke baad hum 1.0700 tak pohanch sakte hain.

EUR/USD H1 Time Frame:

Subah bakhair dosto! Dekho, kya kahun, is haftay tamam hafte koi calendar khali hai, is wajah se yeh sust current accumulation ek halki janoobi taraf chal rahi hai. Aaj wazir-e-azam ki pehli mazboot khabron mein ek tezi se mukhalif bakhshish hai aur hum dekhenge ke ye dollar ko mazbooti ya kamzori ki taraf le kar kahan jayega. Abhi, Asia mein, EURUSD alag alag rukh mein trade ho raha hai, aur haan, humein ek chhote se bearish body hai, lekin is body ke liye relative badi neeche ki puch hai. chalo Europe ka intezar karein aur dekhte hain ke woh hamare liye rukh ko saaf karte hain ya nahi. Tab tak, dakhil mein, pehli umeeden hain ke is oopri trend line ko toorna shuru kiya jaye.Bikriyon ne abhi tak is giravat ko aagey badhaane mein saksham nahi hain jo unhone pichle hafte ke aakhir mein shuru ki thi; unhone 1.08008 ke darje ko bhi toorna nahi hai, aur iske peechay ek aur mazboot darja 1.07948 par hai. Agar, phir bhi, yeh do darjay active consolidation ke saath toot jate hain, to hum giravat ka jaari rehne ka intezar kar sakte hain 1.06939 ke darje tak. Lekin abhi tak keemat thodi taraf ho gayi hai, aur agar hum ek oopri movement ka vikas ke chayan ko madhya mein rakhte hain, to pehle humein 1.08385 ke darje ko toorna aur madhya karne ka anubhav karna chahiye, vikas ke liye pehla nishchit lakshya 1.08458 ke darje par hoga. Aaj US GDP aur berozgari ki dawat aayegi, dekhte hain ki kya keemat mukhtasir rukh mein gatividhi ko akhri taur par mukammal karegi.

EUR/USD M30 Time Frame:

Subah bakhair! EURO DOLLAR jodi ke liye, kal bhi woh pair niche kheecha gaya, maine socha ki keemat abhi tak pehle manzoorat darja 1.07682 ke darje tak pohanchegi, maine 161.8 Fibo darja bhi note kiya tha, lekin abhi tak pair ne is tak pohancha nahi hai, lekin yeh of course yeh is baat ka matla nahi hai ke aaj bhi woh wapas nahi girayga, lekin jaise ke hai, main abhi bhi keemat ki barhne ka intezaar karta hoon, aur aaj tak taleem hai ke khareedna, haan, haan, jaise hi pahar par akhiri hafte ki koi rukhawat ho sakti hai, dekho, lekin agar palat war jodi ho to yeh abhi bhi hoti hai aur pair khareedne ka faisla karegi, phir duniya bhar ke liye main 1.08988 ke darje tak ka nishchit darja dekh raha hoon. Maine euro/dollar jodi ke char ghante ka chart dekha, aur ab main M30 chart kholna chahta hoon. Us par, pehle banaye gaye oopri kimat channel ko toorna kehte huye uska nichla border darja 1.0850 ke darje mein toot gaya, jiski baad mehboob ne neeche gaya aur phir ek naya nichla kimat channel banaya gaya, jisme euro/dollar trade kiya ja raha hai. Abhi bhi hum dekh rahe hain ke approximate 1.0829 ke darje par oopri border se rukaavat aur is waqt euro/dollar 1.0820 ke darje par trade ho raha hai aur bikriyon ke liye lakshya ek giravat hoga channel ke nichle border tak, jiska intersection lagbhag 1.0800 ke saath hoga - shukrvar ke local minimum, jo aaj hum taaiyan karenge.

Euro ke khilaf American Dollar (USD)
Euro ke khilaf American Dollar (USD) ke comments ke baad Euro pressure mein hai, jab European Central Bank (ECB) ke afisaar Francois Villeroy ne bechna shuru kiya. Villeroy ne izhar kiya ke tajziya, halan ke apne bulandiyon se nichi ho chuki hai, magar phir bhi uchch ho rahi hai. Unhone ECB ke 2% hadaf ke liye apni istiqamat ko buland qarar diya, lekin darj rehne walay muddaton mein adhi darj mein interest dar ko barha dena inflation ko mazeed kharab kar sakta hai. ECB ka yeh ghair-aikhtiyari qadam Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller ke bullish comments ke mukhalif tha, jo USD ko mazeed taqat bakhshta hai. Euro ke masail mein German retail sales data bhi tajziya kar chuki hai, jo Eurozone ki mazid kamzori ki nishandahi karti hai. Behtareen Americi tijarati aitemaad data ke sath, mukhtalif gharo mein faraiz mein izafah ke sath. Is behtar Americi data ke sath sath, ECB ka ihtiyaati qadam, dollar ke bulls mein charhaee kar di.

Technical tor par, EUR/USD pair nazuk nazar aata hai. Qeemat ne ahem moving averages (50-day aur 200-day) aur critical 1.0800 darja ko tor diya hai. Rozana band hone par 1.0800 ke neeche jaane se mazeed bechna shuru ho sakta hai, shayad February ke neeche 1.0694 tak, shayad hi 1.0600 darja ke paar ho. Magar, ek wapas ka mauka bhi hai. Agar EUR/USD kharidne wale qeemat ko 1.0800 ke upar le jaane mein kamyab ho gaye to, 200-day moving average jo 1.0835 par hai, agla imtehan ban sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, mukhtalif sawalon ka hai ke Euro ko samarthan mil sakta hai. Darmiani taur par ubharne wali trend line aur 1.0795 support darja khaasiyat rakhta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI (neechay ki taraf murtafi) aur MACD (momentum khone wala) mazeed neechay dabao ka ishaara dete hain, lekin trend line ke qareeb ek bounce 1.0940 resistance darja ko dobara test kar sakta hai, shayad hi 1.0980-1.1000 zone tak pohanch sakta hai. Aane waale dino mein Euro ke liye ahem honge, data aur central bank ke izhaaratein zyada taur par EUR/USD pair ke rukh ka hukum karenge.

EUR USD H4



Aaj euro-dollar ka ghantawar chart dekhtay hue din kamiyab hota hai; support 1.07393 tor diya gaya. Keemat level ke neeche mazid jam ho gayi aur isay support ke neeche girne ki tasdeeq hui. Ye breakout ki tasdeeq aur ek bechnay ka signal tha, aur bechnay ka nishan support 1.07052 tha. Keemat support se pehle nahi gayi, yaani ke signal nakam sabit hua, ye seedha level ke upar gayi, phir isay wapis lay gaya, aur isay phir se isay support se uchhal kar diya gaya. Ye pehle se hi ek khareednay ka signal tha takay resistance 1.06585 tak jaye. Ye khareednay ka signal pehle se kaam kar gaya hai. Phir ye resistance bhi tor di gayi; ab ek khareednay ka signal resistance 1.07688 tak hai. Ye khareednay ka signal bhi maqbool hai agar resistance 1.07798 tor diya jaye; agar breakout tasdeeq






ho, to khareednay ka nishan resistance 1.08188 hoga. Agar keemat 1.07885 se neeche jaati hai, agar tod phod tasdeeq hoti hai, to bechnay ka nishan support 1.07693 hoga.Shakhsan 1.0843. ke saath do mudday hain: pehla, mujhe lagta hai ke pullback abhi khatam nahi hua hai, aur doosra, ke mai is pullback mein phans gaya, mujhe lag raha tha ke woh 1.0590 tak jaayenge aur phir ek rollback hoga, maine jaldi se chhota sa leyaafah karna chahta tha, aur natija yeh hua ke mai thora sa nuqsaan utha gaya, ab main yeh soch raha hoon ke agar kuch ho gaya to kahan nuqsaan kaatun, agar ye pullback lamba hota hai, aur keemat ke harkat ke dynamics se dekha ja sakta hai, yeh option kaafi mumkin hai. Agar humein 1.0730 par ek naya local kam se kam dikhaya gaya, to 1.0990 tak naye maximum ko update karne ka khatra hai, haan, yeh bearon ke liye sab se zyada na-umeed option hai, lekin yeh hai, jab tak ke

Euro ne foreign exchange market mein numaya izafa dekha hai, jo ke 1.0673 se 1.0990 tak shah par pohanch gaya. Is buland rawaiye ke bawajood, is ne ek ahem technical resistance point ko paar karne mein kathinai ka samna kiya. Agar Euro ka neeche ki taraf ka trend jaari rahe, toh ho sakta hai ke wo ahem moving averages ke neeche gir jaaye, jahan tak support levels 1.0750 ke mark tak pahunch sakte hain. Mukhalif taur par, agar ek ulta modd aata hai, toh Euro 1.0960 ke aas paas tak rukawat ka samna kar sakta hai, phir se wo zone mein dakhil hota hai jahan pehle uski umeed thi. Resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan is mazeed purkashish khail mein Euro ke halaat ka urooj aur giravat ka taluq roshan karta hai. Euro ka haal haal hi mein numaya hai foreign exchange market mein, jise ek aham izafa ke saath nazar andaaz kiya ja sakta hai. Ithla kar ke 1.0673 se, Euro ne qaumi manqool ko puhanchne ke liye tay kardiya, jo ke ek qabil e qadm izafa darust karta hai. Halankeh, is shandar uthaal mein, Euro ne apne raaste mein ek ahem rukawat ka samna kiya - ek ahem technical resistance point ke saath jo ke paar karna mushkil sabit hua. Yeh rukawat ka point ek barrier ke taur par kaam karta raha, Euro ke mazeed buland rawaiye ko rukawat deta raha aur ek mustaqil muddat ke doran samar karna shuru kiya. Euro ke is rukawat ke saath jujte hue, market ke mutanazeen iske mustaqbil ke taluqat par guftugu shuru karne lage. Agar Euro is resistance level ko paar karne mein nakam rahe, toh iski qeemat mein girawat ka khatra mojood hai. Aise mein, Euro apne maujooda momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein pareshani ka samna kar sakta hai aur neeche dabaav ka saamna kar sakta hai, jo ke raaste mein ahem moving averages ke paar bhi ja sakta hai. Yeh support levels ki taraf ek wapas kee taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan 1.0750 ka mark currency ki mustaqbil ke liye ek ahem modd ho sakta hai. Mukhalif taur par, agar Euro is resistance barrier ko paar kar leta hai aur ek ulta modd shuru karta hai, toh iske raaste mein aur bhi rukawatein aa sakti hain. Market dynamics yeh darust karti hain ke Euro ke liye 1.0960 ke aas paas rukawat ka ek zone ho sakta hai, jahan currency ki pehli umeed rukawat mein ayi thi. Yeh darja Euro ke liye ek mukablay ka mark hai, jise paar karne ke liye ahem bullish momentum ki zaroorat hai. Sachai yeh hai ke, Euro ke raaste ko forex market mein shakhsiat dene wale abhi ke dynamics resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan ke khilaf hai. Currency ke is keemat ko muqarrar karne ke liye ye ahem technical rukawat ko paar karne ki salahiyat ahem hai. Jab tak traders in taraqqiyon ko nazdeek se nazar andaz karte hain, Euro aik ahem modd par hai, jis mein wo ya toh apne buland rawaiye ko mazeed barha sakta hai ya phir agle sessions mein neeche dabaav ka shikaar ho sakta hai.

Aaj ka guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke keemat mein tabdiliyon ka jaeza lene par mabni hai, jo ke ab mukhtalif ehsaas hai. Yeh trend ahem hai kyunke yeh hamare tajziye ke mayaar ko muhaiya karta hai aur mojooda market ka hal samajhne mein madad karta hai. Pesh-e-nazar tawanaio aur keemat ki harkat mein tabdeeli ke maqsad ko kamiyabi ke saath dakhil aur nikalne ke liye hoti hai, jabke munafa kamaaya jaata hai. Haal mein, jora ke neeche ki raftar tezi se barh gayi, resistance se takraane ke baad. Muwafiqat quwwat ke nishaan deti hai ke ek bechaini zone ki taraf mudaam hai, jo ke support ka imtehaan karne aur mazeed kami ko zahir karta hai. Senior linear regression channel ne ek neeche ki raftar ko barqarar rakha hai, haalat ke mutaabiq. Heiken Ashi indicator ne keemat mein girawat ka ishaara kiya hai. Is liye, hum sales trades shuru karne ki tajveez dete hain, jin ka nishana 2024 ke minimum range 1.0705-1.0688 tak kam karna hai.
Aanay wale haftay ki taraf dekhte hue, haal ke tajziye ke liye taza tawaqqaat ne itefaqan bohot durust hone ke darust sabit huye. Magar aane wale haftay ke liye maamooli tawazon ka ghataar khatra hai. Aik mumkin oopar ka zigzag harkat ka izhaar kiya gaya hai, jo ke pehle darjaat ke qareeb 1.0872-88 aur 1.0915 ki taraf nishaana banata hai, lekin baad mein ek ahem kami ki ishaara dete hue. Mansooba, zikar shuda ooper darjaat se ek ahem kami se shuruat hoti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke yad rakha jaaye ke darmiani lamha tawazo key levalo par mohtasar ya manfiyat pe mabni hai, khaas tor par resistance ke qareeb 1.0953. Darmiani lamha tawazo key levalo ko tasdeeq ya rad karne par mushtamel hai. Medium-term tajziye mein aik soorati approach ka nizam tashkil deta hai, jo ahem resistance aur support ke levalon ko pehchaanne ka ek manhji rawaya hai. Keemat ke tabdiliyon ko hoshiyarana tor par monitoor karte hue aur pehle se faisle kiye gaye levalon par amal karte hue, traders apni jagah ko market ke harkat mein faida uthane ke liye tayyar karte hain. Hafta ke doran, traders ke tajziye ko keemat ke harkat ke mutabiq mohtaj karte hue apni strategies ko adjust karte hain, taakay munafa dene wale moqaat ka fayda utha sakein jabke khatre ko kamyabi ke saath manage karte hain. Is nihayat par mutarif hone par emphasis dene se, traders ko market mein mumkin changes ka jawab dene ki salahiyat mein izafa hota hai.

Haal hi mein kamzor hui jerman mein mahangi ki data ke mutalliq tanqeed ne bazaar ke chal rahe mubahisay mein mazeed uljhan ka darja shamil kar diya hai. Ye mubahisay, jinhe mukhtalif factors ke saath jura diya gaya hai, currency markets mein mojood mahwar dynamics ko wazeh karte hain. Aise tabadlay darust karte hain ke traders ko bazaar ke haalaat ka tajziya karna aur maloomati faislay karne ke liye ek mukammal taur par qareebi nazariya apnaana zaroori hai. Yooropean Central Bank (ECB) ke potential interest rate cuts ke ird gird barh chuki tanqeed ne euro par mazeed dabao dala hai. Ye investors ko euro zone ke sath sath United States se bhi mahangi data ka jaaiza lena majboor kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, tawajju ISM Services PMI jese indicators ki taraf mudaawin hai jo Amreeki ma'ashiyat ke kirdar ke andar shamil hoti hai. Traders ko is paichidgi manzar mein se guzarna hai, jahan ma'ashiyati indicators aur monetary policy ke faislay bazaar ke jazbat par asar dalne ke liye miltay hain. Is tarah ke hararat se bhara mahol mein, traders ko ihtiyat aur tafseel se tajziya karne ki zaroorat hoti hai taake woh potential trading opportunities ko pehchanein. Key economies se mahangi data ko nigrani karna traders ko muttahid ma'ashiyat ka andaza lagane aur central bank actions ko anumaan lagane mein madad deta hai. Iske ilawa, monetary policy ke tajziye mein honay wale tabadlay future market trends mein qeemti insights faraham karte hain.
Technical analysis bhi currency markets mein guzarna mein aik ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Chart patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur indicators jaise moving averages aur oscillators aise potential price movements ke liye qeemti signals faraham kar sakte hain. Technical analysis ko bunyadi tajziya ke saath mila kar traders ko aise aik mukammal trading strategy tayar karne mein madad milti hai jo choti aur lambi muddat ke trendon ko shamil karta hai. Risk management bhi successful forex trading ka aik bunyadi pehlu hai. Munasib stop-loss levels tay karna, leverage ko mufeed taur par manage karna, aur portfolios ko tafreeh se nafrat karna potential nuqsanat ke khilaf hifazati amal hain. Iske ilawa, disipline ko barqarar rakhna aur trading plan ka imtiaz karna traders ko focused rehne aur jazbat se driven impulsive faislay se bachne mein madad karta hai.