یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Forex trading strategy
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Halankeh is hafte ka macroeconomic calendar aham macroeconomic data se bhara hua hai, euro/dollar ka joda ab bhi 1.0800-1.08600 ki hadd me sideways me karobar kar raha hai aur is se bahar nahin nikal sakta hai.
Aaj, America aidad o shumar ki ek khep jari karne ke liye taiyar hai, jis se market me utar-chadhaw badh sakta hai. Iske bawajud, yah khatrah maujud hai keh jodi hadd tak mahdud rahegi.
1.0800 ki satah mazbut support ke taur par kam karti hai. Iske alawa 1.0788 ke nishan par support maujuda hai. Lehaza, kam az kam aaj qimat ko un ke niche todna mushkil hoga. Top par, 1.0870 ki satah ka test nahin kiya gaya hai, lehaza mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda is nishan par chadh jayega.
Halankeh, is hafte qimat is hadaf ko nazar andaz kar sakti hai. Agle hafte ke macroeconomic calendar me Americi labor market par aham data shamil hai, lehaza tejarati sargarmiyon me izafa mutawaqqe hai. Mujhe ummid hai keh yah joda ooper ki taraf raftar hasil karega aur 1.0900 ilaqe ki taraf badhega.

مارچ 1 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل، یورو 1.0825 کی پہلے کی لچکدار سطح کے نیچے دن بند ہوا۔ یہ 32 پپس تک گر گیا۔ اب ہدف 1.0724 ہے۔ تاہم، سٹاک مارکیٹ میں اضافہ خدشات کو بڑھاتا ہے – ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 نے کل 0.52% کا اضافہ کیا۔ دوسرے عوامل جلدی نہ کرنے کا مشورہ دیتے ہیں۔ اگر قیمت 1.0825 سے اوپر لوٹتی ہے، تو یورو آخری چار دنوں کی حد میں رہ سکتا ہے اس سے پہلے کہ وہ دوبارہ نیچے جانے کی کوشش کرے یا تاخیر سے ترقی کرے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اس معاملے پر کوئی اشارہ فراہم نہیں کرتا ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن سے نیچے آ گئی ہے، اور مارلن بھی مندی کے علاقے میں ہے۔ لیکن قیمت اب بھی 1.0825 سے اوپر واپس آ سکتی ہے، جیسا کہ یہ پہلے ہی 28 تاریخ کو تھی۔



اس سطح سے اوپر کا استحکام قیمت کو 1.0875 پر روزانہ ٹائم فریم کی ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر حملہ کرنے کی ترغیب دے سکتا ہے۔ لیکن فی الحال، صورتحال مندی کا شکار ہے۔ مرکزی منظر نامے سے پتہ چلتا ہے کہ قیمت 1.0724 کے ہدف کی سطح کی طرف بڑھتی رہے گی۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Market Analysis and Outlook


Kal ke market mein price mein kisi khaas movement ka pata nahi chala, aur woh ek flat mein 30 pips ke narrow range mein chal rahi thi. Ye batata hai ke aaj ke GDP statistics ke release ke saath, market mein swings shuru ho sakti hain aur is haftay ke ikhtitaam tak direction set ho sakta hai. Market mein flat formation ki wajah se kisi khaas rukh ka tajveez karna mushkil hai. Kal ki range ke andar aaj bhi trading ho sakti hai aur kisi bhi khaas trend ki shuruaat ho sakti hai. Agar price 0840 ke neeche gir gaya, to kam az kam temporary tor par upward momentum mein tabdili ho sakti hai, lekin 0897 ke oopar liquidity ko kam karte hue bhi koshish ki ja sakti hai.



Agar hum consistent tor par 0840-30 ke neeche trading karte hain, to 0790-80 ke qareebi darjat hain jahan taqat ko test kiya jayega, aur breakthrough hone par hum wapas familiar 0750-30 ke darjo par laut jayenge.



Halat ki wazahat abhi mushkil hai, lekin yeh zaroor hai ke aaj ke dinon mein stops ke baghair kaam karna munasib nahi hai. Aham hai ke traders apni positions ko carefully manage karen aur market ke movement ke mufawiz apne trading strategies ko adjust karen. Halat ke mutabiq kuch saabit karna abhi mushkil hai, lekin yeh maamooli saaf hai ke aaj ke dinon mein stops ke baghair kaam karna munasib nahi hai. Raqam daani aur ahtiyaat ke saath kaam karne ka tajurba aur maahir trader ki nazar mein aik ahem sifaarish hai.

EUR/USD currency pair abhi apni trading channelchann ki lower boundary ke qareeb ja raha hai, jahan ke qeemat 1.07798 tak pohanch chuki hai. Yeh hone wala harkat trading strategies ke baray mein sawalat uthata hai, khaaskar short-selling opportunities ke hawalay se. Maujooda market dynamics ko dekhte hue, mai 1.08272 ke qareeb ek selling position shuru karne ka soch raha hoon. Ye faisla is tasawwur se nikalta hai ke yeh level aham resistance point ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai, jis se bullish sentiment ko roka ja sake. Magar agar keemat is level ke neeche rehne mein kamiyaab na ho, to market ko mazeed tez correction ka samna karne ka khatra hai, jo shayad 1.07446 ke level ki taraf ishaarah kar sake.
EUR/USD pair ke broad context ko tajziya karte hue, wazeh hota hai ke haal hi ki qeemat action ne kamzor hone ki alamaat dikhayi hain. Ye aur zyada mazid hota hai trading channel ki lower boundary ke qareeb pohanchne ka nazdeek, jo bearish territory ki taraf market sentiment mein ek mumkinah tabdeeli ka ishaarah karta hai.
Mumkinah market harkat ko tajziya karte waqt, mukhtalif technical indicators aur market sentiment ko ghor se dekhna zaroori hai. Halat mein, Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages jaise indicators maujooda bullish trend se ikhtilaf ka ishaarah dete hain, jo ek correct move ka tasavvur ko mazeed support karta hai. Iske ilawa, saiyasi aur ma'ashyati ma'amlaat bhi market sentiment aur qeemat action ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Traders ko EUR/USD pair ko mutasir karne wale kisi bhi taraqqiyat ko hoshyar rehna chahiye, jese ke central bank announcements, ma'ashyati indicators, ya saiyasi tensions.
Risk management ke lehaz se, mogheirnuqsaaniyat ko kam karne ke liye munasib stop-loss orders aur position sizing ka intikhaab zaroori hai. Maqbool risk management amal se, traders mohtaat market conditions mein tayyar ho kar potential trading opportunities ko hasil kar sakte hain.
Ikhtitami tor par, EUR/USD pair ek aham juncture ke qareeb hai jab wo apni trading channel ki lower boundary ke nazdeek pohanchta hai. Maujooda market dynamics aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, 1.08252 ke level ke qareeb short-selling position shuru karne ka qaabil-e-tawajjo case mojood hai, jahan tak ke potential downside target 1.08446 hai. Magar, traders ko ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur market conditions ke taqazaat ko samajhne ke liye dhaalna zaroori hai taake unki trading strategies ko behtar banaya jaa sake aur risk exposure ko kam kiya jaa sake.

EUR/USD ab ek ahem qeemat ke daira mein hai, jo future ke harkat ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. 1.0860 trading range ke toot jaane se ooncha raasta darust ho sakta hai, jabke 1.0900 ke dar se palatne ki sambhavna bani rehti hai. EUR/USD jodi ab ek ahem qeemat ke daira mein hai, jo is ke harkat mein ek ahem muddat ko darust karti hai. Traders ke zehan mein pehla level 1.0860 ka hai. Is level ko kamiyabi se toorna, aur agar is ke oopar qayam shumaar ho, to is mein maamla ooncha hone ka wada karta hai. Aise ek bharav mulaqat na sirf ek unchi rukh ke liye ek namuna ka kaam karta hai, balki ye bazaar ki raay ki ek qabil-e-zikar tabdeeli ko bhi darsata hai. Investors aur traders dono is faisley ko umeedwaar nazron se dekh rahe hain, aur is ke bazaar dynamics par hone wale asraat ko pehchan rahe hain. Tasweeri tor par analysts is faisley ke waqt par 1.0890 ke level ka imtehan hone ki khusoosi mehsoos karte hain. Ye khaas level ek ahem nuqta hai jahan aur unchi raftar ko manzoori di ja sakti hai, jo ek mazid bullish trend ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Magar is intezaar mein, bazaar hoshiyar hai, 1.0900 level se palatne ki mumkinat ko tasleem karte hue. Aise palatne se ek nichli sudhar ko janam diya ja sakta hai, bazaar mein ek bearish raay ko dobara shuru kar sakte hain. Traders technical indicators aur bunyadi factors ko dekh rahe hain taake ye maamla kis tarah ke taur par hota hai ye jaan sakein. Analysts aur traders economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank announcements ko market sentiment ko mehsoos karne ke liye dekh rahe hain. Technical analysis, trader sentiment, aur market positioning bhi chhoti muddat ke daam mein qeemat ke harkat ko shakal dene mein ahem hai. EUR/USD jodi ke ird gird ki raay jazbati hai, jise maamoolan economic fundamentals se le kar geopolitical tensions aur global market sentiment tak ke factors se asar hota hai. Economic data releases, jese ke CPI figures, GDP growth rates, aur employment reports, bazaar sentiment ko shakal dene mein ahem role ada karte hain. Mazboot economic performance ko darust karne wale musbat data currency ki taqat ko taqat di sakti hai, jabke manfi data ise kamzor kar sakta hai. Geopolitical developments, jese ke trade negotiations, geopolitical tensions, aur political instability, bazaar ki raay par bhi asar daal sakte hain. In waqiyat ke ird gird shak-o-shuba ke pechidaat bazaar ko barhta hua volatiliy ki taraf le ja sakte hain jabke traders changing geopolitical dynamics par reaction dete hain. Central bank announcements, khaaskar monetary policy decisions aur interest rate changes ke baare mein, traders ke dwaara kareebi nazar daari se kiye jaate hain. Monetary policy ki tangi ka izhaar karne wale hawkish statements currency ko mazboot kar sakte hain, jabke monetary policy ki behtareen statements ise kamzor kar sakte hain. Technical analysis, jo ke tarikhni daamad aur chart patterns ka jaiza lene ke liye hota hai, traders ke liye ek aur aala hai market sentiment ko dekhne ke liye. Chart patterns jese ke support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur moving averages potential price movements ke bare mein insight de sakte hain. Trader sentiment aur market positioning bhi chhoti muddat ke daam mein qeemat ke harkat ko shakal dene mein ahem hai. Sentiment indicators, jese ke Commitment of Traders report, currency pair par traders bullish ya bearish hain ye dekhne mein madad karte hain. Market positioning, jo ke traders ke market mein aggregate positions ko refer karta hai, price movements par bhi asar daal sakte hain jab traders apni positions ko changing market conditions ke mawaqaa par adjust karte hain.

Meray sabhi partners ko shab-bakhair! Di gayi khasiyat aur asasat ke sath, mujhe EUR/USD ki qeemat ka tanqaaab karna hai. Chaliye maujooda mumkinah market ke taraqqi ka jayeza len. EUR/USD likhai ja rahi hai 1.0819 par. Iss waqt, US dollar 104.08 ke upar trading ho raha hai. Agar US dollar aur kamzor hota hai, to EUR/USD ke kamzori hone ki imkaan barh jayegi. Bears trend ko ghaseet rahe hain; hum EUR/USD ko jald az jald 1.0467 ke qeemat tak dekh sakte hain. Overall Strength Index (RSI) dikhata hai ke girawat ki taqat shuru ho chuki hai, 54.8173 ke manfi ilaqa mein tezi se ghoom raha hai. Waqt ke sath, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) apne laal trigger midline ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur southern ilaqa ko nishaanah bana raha hai. 20 aur 44 EMA indicators bhi tabdeeli ke ishaarat dete hain, jis se lagta hai ke keemat kuch wazahat ke baad phir bhi dakshin ki taraf ja sakti hai. Humain 1.2478 par minor rukawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Maujooda maqami halaat yeh sujha rahe hain ke EUR/USD ki qeematien vertical ja sakti hain, shayad 1.2840 flat level ko tehqeeq karein, doosre darja ke rukawat. Is ke baad, yeh barh sakti hai, 1.3148 par gold level ko hasil karte hue. Dosri taraf, hum 1.0566 par minor support dekh sakte hain. Mumkin hai ke keemat mein kami aa sakti hai, jahan bears use 0.0210 aur 0.02134 ke darjat tak kheench sakte hain. EUR/USD ke trade mein bade hisse ke istemal mein himmat rakhein. EUR/USD ka trade karna khatarnaak hai. Higher period H1 par tabdeeli karain, jahan linear regression channel rozana trading mein asaas harqat ko tay karta hai. M15 channel sahi karta hai, mukammal karta hai. Market H1 channel ke ooperi hudood ke neeche 1.08103 ke darjat par trade kar raha hai, sath hi M15 ke neeche bhi hai. Main iss halaat ko bearish taur par taksim karta hoon. Do channels ka milaap bikriyon ke mustaqbil ki sambhavnaon ko farokht ke istedlaal ke bajaye dikhata hai, jo is maamle mein chhurra lagte hain. Jo nuksan mein le ja sakte hain. Agar bulls 1.08252 ke darajat ke ooper qaim ho jate hain, to H1 channel ke ooperi hisse se 1.08446 ke darajat par farokht ko ghoor sakte hain. Maujooda trading session mein doosra bearish maqsaad 1.07931 hai.

AT ONE HOUR TIME FRAME OVERVIEW:

The euro dollar is moving within its range. Saaf hai ke woh range mein chala gaya, apne mazeed movement par faisla nahi kiya. Hum berozgaari ke data ka intezaar kar rahe thay, muntazir thay mehengai ke data ka, berozgaari ke data ne nikal diya, mehengai ke data bhi nikal. Berozgaari ka data aa gaya hai, hum keh sakte hain ke average level par woh asal mein dollar ki izafay ya ghatayi ke favore kuch na kehte. Mehengai ke data ne asal mein dollar ki mazbooti ke favore mein kaha hai; Yani ke pair tezi se chadha, meri raaye mein, is maqsad ke saath ke Federal Reserve ne shayad March se pehle darjat kam karenge. Lekin, kyun ke mehengai umeed se zyada thi,

iska matlub hai ki Federal Reserve shayad March mein darjat kam karega. Aur ise mutallaq, maloom hota hai ke dollar ko shayad mazeed sudhara jaye ga, main yeh qayal hoon ke 1.08346 ko support ki taraf ja sakta hai. In Mazeed's opinion, there is a strong correlation between data and side trends. For example, if 1.1000 is the local maximum range, and if mazbooti is a factor, then achi mauqa hai.

Mumkin hai ke hum 1.1000 ke local maximum range ko tor den, then ek growth signal hoga 1.1135 ke range tak. Yes, hamara supports 1.0930 par. Is se, humein ek upward rollback milta hai. If aap 1.1000 range torne mein kamyab hote hain, then ek behtareen wajah hai ke aur khareedain. Pehle, aapko 1.0930 ki range se bahar nikalna hoga, phir growth jari rahi. 1.0930 ki range ka galat tor bhi ek signal ho ga ke aur khareedna jaari rakhe. Shayad, hum 1.1040 ki range ko tor den, aur is par mazbooti se qaim ho jayen, yeh ek behtareen wajah hai ke aur khareedain. If aap 1.1000 range torne mein kamyab hote hain, then is halat mein khareedna behtar hai. Shayad, yeh 1.0927 ki range ke neeche qaim ho jaye, then ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai bechna ke liye. Agar hamare paas abhi thodi si rectification south ki taraf ho, phir iske baad growth jari rahegi
Federal Reserve and European Central Bank ki darmiyan farq barh raha hai, Europe and the United States


Euro ke khilaf American dollar ka tez-o-taar aur izafah roz ba roz jari he. Aaj isne 1.08717 par khula, aaj ki unchaai 1.08844 tak gayi, and kam se kam 1.08699 tak pohanchi. Press time ke mutabiq, ye waqtan-fa-waqt 1.08799 par tehqiq ho raha hai, jo ke 0.08% izafah hai. Dollar's bullish trend is expected to continue as a result of the United States' and Europe's respective monetary policies.

Peer ko, Austrian central bank ke president Robert Holzmann ne ek interview mein kaha, jo bhi April mein rate cut ki umeed karega "woh bohot nirasha mehsoos karega."

Holzman said on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, "If inflation is 2%, interest rates will not rise."

Because of the ECB's hawkish stance towards the Federal Reserve, interest rates are expected to rise in the near future. Phir bhi, Fed will lower interest rates. The market expects an easing of 70% in March. Markets mein iss saal sath rate cuts hone ka imkan hai, jo ke pehle mahine ke ishaare se dugna.

"I think gold prices are in a mixed bag right now as the upward momentum appears to be slowing," said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA. "Although gold held key support above $2,000 an ounce, at the beginning of the new year, gold price gains were limited to around $2,050 an ounce."

AT 4 HOUR TIME FRAME OVERVIEW: Euro ne pichli taqreeb ka manzarnama paish na. Izhar ke andar uchhalna nahi hua. Muntakhib Taqat ke Andar, joda 1.0905 par ruk gaya, maqami Mansubay ke Darmiyan ruk gaya. Uske baad, yeh gir gaya. Support and reversal levels ko toor kar 1.0787 par nuksan hone par rook gaya. Iske baad ek bounce aaya, aur keemat ne phir se izhar 1.0905 ke maqam par barh gaya, jahan ise rook gaya, and uska izhar dobara shuru ho gaya. The resistance level has been met with a triple-top pattern. If keemat upar ke resistance level nahi todati, then 1.0787 support level giray gi. The stochastic oscillator's 100 line indicates a bearish trend. Is liye, hum yeh dekheinge keemat resistance level ke neeche rahi hai. Neeche diye gaya chart mein dekhein: Am overall, tasawwur ye hai; Jora bina kisi wazeh rukh ke flat trading kar raha hai. Magar, puri shakal mein izafah nahi hone, ki mumkinat is kyunat mein tarmeem dikhasakti hai. Is ne mujhe euro mein bechne ka trade diya, jo ek nuksan mein behra. 1.0930 ke maqam ki mushkilat, aur is par aane ke baad qaim ho kar, jo barhna ke ishara. Uske baad, is maqam ko dobara azma kar nahi chhodne ki mumkinat hai. Agar rebound ho to, jora aik maqami minimal tak giray ga, jiska pehla maqsad 1.0787 ke kareeb hai aur 1.0713 tor dega. Doosra manzarah yeh hai, isko pivot level 1.0930 ki taraf barhaya jaye, jis ke upar ooper ki raftar hosakti hai. Neeche diye gaya chart main dekhen

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe.

EUR/USD jodi brown ascending channel ke upper border tak barh gayi hai, jo ke 1.0855 ke level tak hai. Keemat is channel se oopar chadhi thi, lekin abhi tak mazeed barhne ka mumkin nahi hai; keemat palat gayi hai aur neeche jaane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Ab yeh mumkin hai ke agar jodi ne neeche jaari raha, to jodi neeche ke border tak gir sakti hai, jo ke 1.0829 ke level tak hai. Aur zaroor, mein yeh bhi nahi keh raha hoon ke yeh giravat zaroor hogi, keemat palat jayegi, upar ki taraf chalne aur is channel se oopar nikalne ki koshish karegi. Uske baad, yeh mumkin hai ke jodi upar ki taraf chalne jaari rahegi aur jodi blue ascending channel ke upper border tak barh sakti hai, jo ke 1.0920 ke level tak hai. Main euros aur dollars ki jodi ko 4 ghante ka chart dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein, 1.07390 ka support toota; yeh USA mein mehngai ki wajah se toota. Mehngai wahi darje par rahi, aur is se, meri raay mein, yeh matlab tha ke jodi ek range mein trade hogi aur support tootne ke bawajood, mein jodi mein mazeed giravat ka intezar nahi kar raha tha. Mein samjha ke jodi haftay ka chart dekh kar range ke darmiyan jaegi. Hum dekhte hain ke woh wahan pohanch gayi, aur wahan se mein yeh samjha ke jodi neeche ki taraf girne jaegi. Hum dekhte hain ke giravat shuru hone lagti hai. Jodi range mein trade karne lagi, aur wazir bhi wahan volume barha raha tha; mein samjha ke jodi kam se kam 1.07502 ke level tak giraygi, ya kam az kam jodi girne lagegi.

Sab se ahem cheez jo foran nazar aati hai, woh yeh hai ke maqool dauraan (time-frame H4) par mojud asal trend ki disha aur haalat ko dikhane wali pehli darja ka regression line (golden dotted line) jo ke niche ki taraf mudi hui hai, jis se darust trend ka period darust ho raha hai aur bechne waalon ki dominant taqat ko zor se zahir kar raha hai. Ghair linear regression channel ka graph dikhata hai ke yeh upper ki taraf mudi hui hai, jo ke kharid-dar ke koshishon ko zahir kar rahi hai jo ke keemat ko mazeed barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain aur bechne waalon ko apni dominant position haarne ka iraada nahi hai.

4-HOUR TIME FRAME:

Pichle haftay mein, euro ne 1.0763 aur 1.0694 ke darmiyan ek legend support encounter kiya, jo ke keemat ko thoda sa barhane mein madad karte hai. A correction has been made; neeche 1.0763 and 1.0763 par majboor kiya gaya. Yes, there are still untapped target locations. Isi doran, price chart is super-trending in the red zone, indicating that sellers have power.

Takneekan ke nazariye se, hum dekhte hain ke upar diye gaye resistance levels pair par negative pressure dal rahe hain, jise pair ko strong support level 1.0760 dobara test karne par majboor kiya gaya hai. On a 1-hour chart, hm dekhte hain ke simple moving average ka reversal pair par negative pressure. Positive pressure signals are stochastically generated.

Dropping hasil karne ke liye, 1.0760 ke ooper break chahiye, jo ke 38.20% Fibonacci retracement dwara diye gaye support level hai, jiska target 1.0715 hai, phir 1.0670. The consolidation at 1.0760 has resulted in an uptrend. Humain yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke psychological barrier resistance 1.0800 ko tora jata hai, jo ke 1.0870 ki taraf hone wale move kiye zaroori hai.

Maujooda mein, pair haftay ke baad alag alag directions mein trade kar rahe hai. Isi doran, legend resistance zone abhi tak test nahi hua hai aur qayam hai, jo ke downward vector ki barqarar maqamiyat ko dikhati hai. Isay mazeed tasdeeq mil sakti hai, local correction ki koshish se jis ki taraf 1.0837 area ja raha hai, jo ke ab central resistance zone ke sath jurta hai. Is region se dobara test aur uske baad ka rebound ek naye downward move ke liye mauka dene hai, jiska target hoga 1.0627 aur 1.0578 ke darmiyan.

If resistance toot jata hai and 1.0926 ke reversal level ko paar kiya hai, then mojooda situation mansookh ho jayega. Neeche diye gaya chart mein dekhein:

Kal, EUR/USD currency pair keemat performance par bearon ka qabza barh gaya jab United States ki mahangi ka dar announce kiya gaya, jo ke tajziya ko barhaya ke US Central Bank tawaqqa ki daro'ain ko zyada arsay Tak barqarar rakhay gi, jo ke dusri bari currencies ke muqablay mein US dollar ko taqat dila di. Euro ki keemat dollar ke khilaf 1.0700 support level gir gayi, jo ke mahinay ki taqmeel mein sab se kam thi.
Economic calendar data ke natijay ke ilan ke mutabiq, United States of America mein saalana mahangi ka dar pichle mahine mein kam hua, lekin buland raha, ye sab se taza ishara hai ke waba se faraham keemat mein izafa sirf dar dar aur dabe dabe tor par kia ja sakta hai. According to a study from the United States Department of Labor, the unemployment rate in December and January was 0.3 percent, while in February it was 0.2 percent. Pichle saal ke muqablay mein; keemat mein 3.1 percent izafa hua. In December, the figure was 3.4 percent, and in May 2022, the figure was 9.1 percent. Magar, sab se taza reading ab bhi United States Federal Reserve ke nishana darje ka 2% se zyada hai, jab ke izafa ka saal Joe Biden ke dobara intikhabat ki khatir ek markazis masla.

EUR/USD Chart pay EUR/USD pair rate 1.0760 pivot point line ok downward breakout ok baad actions ko start kar chuki. Chart pay RSI 14 Indicator 30 aur 70 ranges okay middle important typically indicate display kar raha hai. OSMA Indicator bhi chart pay promotion ka usually signal display karta hai. If cutting-edge price bullish movements continue, then chart pay charge ka target neechay 1.0700 aur usk baad fee mazeed 1.0680 assist degrees honay okay possibilities ban saktay hain. Agar hourly chart pay contemporary function bounced hoty hai, aur sath pivot factor line ko buy breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki downward movements open honay ok possibilities increased ho saktay hain, jiska target ooper 1.0785 aur phir usk baad rate Mazeed 1.0805 resistance zones honay k possibilities he

EURUSD Fundamental Analysis



Euro (EUR) is haftay mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf choti wapsi ki manzil tak pahunchi, jo mukhtalif factors ki milawat se barh kar hui. Jumeraati manufacturing PMI ka aik kamzor darjai ke mukhtalif US parhne ne Jumeraati Dollar (USD) par aik Federal Reserve interest rate cut ki umeed ko jaga diya, jo USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai. Ye mila julaa Euro mein tameer ko dekh kar aik umeed ki kiran bhi lai, jabke Eurozone HICP data February ka unhi mein se aya tha, jo thora ziada intezar kiya tha, jise EUR ko kuch support mila. Magar, EUR/USD ka joshanda abhi bhi thairay hue hai. Pair ne ahem 1.0800 ke darje ko chhoda magar 50-din ke SMA aur Ichimoku Cloud ke dwara bani resistance ke qareeb ruk gaya. Abhi, keemat 50-din aur 200-din ke SMAs ke darmiyan consolidating hai.
Technical indicators jese RSI aur MACD cautious optimism ki ishaarat dete hain. Aik moqa hai ke EUR/USD 50-din ke average ko paar kar sake aur January-February ki resistance 1.0896 ko challenge kar sake. Agar joshanda jaari raha, to November ki resistance 1.0964 agla rukawat ho sakti hai. Is area ke saaf tor par paar ho jaane se November ki bulandai par 1.1016 ka retest ho sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, 200-din ke SMA ke neeche aane wala ek kadam EUR/USD ko foran 1.0795 par support talash kar sakta hai. Mazeed girawat December ki kamzorai 1.0722 ko khail sakti hai, jahan 1.0634 ka darja mazeed downside protection faraham karta hai. Haftay ke maqool faiday ke bawajood, overall manzar thora sa uljha hua hai. EUR/USD ne haftay ke aghaaz ke qareeb apne start point ke qareeb khatam kiya, 1.0800 aur 1.0860 ke darmiyan ke darmiyan lahriyon mein dhal gaya. Pair 1.0830 par 200-din ke SMA se ghera hua hai. Halankeh ye abhi February ki kamzoriyon se 1.3% upar hai, magar mustaqbil ka rukh US monetory policy aur European ma'ashi data ke beech kaise hota hai is par munsalik hai. Traders ko NFP data par tawajjo deni chahiye phir market ke moving trend mein mazeed khatra uthana chahiye.









EURUSD TECHNICALLY ANALYSIS




EUR/USD currency pair Asian session mein maqool izafa ke saath trade kiya. Pair ne kal ke low se bounce kiya. Jumeraati dollar ne Thursday ko aksar major currencies ke khilaf taqat barhai. Investors sardi ka khatma hone ke darmiyan hissa dar hissa munafa kama rahe thay. Is ke ilawa, data ke jawab mein pair ne US aur Europe se istijab mein kami ki. Aaj, ma'ashi calendar bhi kafi dilchasp hai. Eurozone se bohot sa data hai. Khas tor par, investors ko intezar hai inflation data ka. Warna, sara tawajjo American session aur duniya ke siyasi mahol par hai. Sham ke qareeb, America February mein manufacturing sector ki Business Activity Index ko shaya karega. Is instrument ke liye, ek aur neechayi sahih hai pehlay half mein din ke liye, magar overall, main ummeed karta hoon ke upward movement jaari rahegi. Mansooba shuda rukawat ka nishaana darja-e-hawalat 1.0765 ke level par hai. Main is level ke upar kharidunga nishane 1.0865 aur 1.0915 par hain. Beshak ek alternatvie mansooba bhi hai: pair girne lagay ga, 1.0765 ke mark ko tor kar aur mazboot ho jayega, phir levels 1.0735 aur 1.0715 ki taraf rasta khulega.

Dono euro aur dollar aaj izafa kar rahe hain. Keemat 1.08469 par resistance ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai. Aaj main 1.07345 support ki taraf mazeed girawat ko pehle darja mein rakhta hoon. Main girawat ko pehle darja mein rakhta hoon kyun ke kal se ek din guzar gaya hai. Keemat resistance ke qareeb pohanchi aur phir support 1.07818 ki taraf ja rahi hai. Agar support abhi tak test nahi hua hai, to main girawat ko pehle darja mein rakhta hoon. Meri tajziya puri nahi hui. Keemat resistance par 1.08469 tak izafa karti hai. Agar keemat is level ko tor kar is ke upar mil jati hai, to kharidne ka nishana resistance 1.09090 par hoga, lekin agar keemat aaj is level ko test karti hai, to yahaan se ikhtiyarat ka samna kiya ja sakta hai. Ye ab mumkin nahi hai, aur jab din khatam hota hai, Monday ka tasavvur hai ke kharcha kam kiya jaye. Kyunkeh kisi resistance ka zikr nahi hai, isi tarah kisi support ka bhi test nahi hai. Aglay din, main is range mein trade ko pehle darja mein rakhta hoon, aur keemat ko lagbag 1.08469 ke qareeb band honay ka darja rakhta hoon, is liye main girawat ko pehle darja mein rakhta hoon.

H4 Timeframe Analysis:

Subah bakhair. Aaj euro aur dollar dono mein izaafa ho raha hai. Keemat 1.08469 ke qareeb resistance par trade ho rahi hai. Aaj main 1.07345 support ki taraf mazeed kami ko pehle se tarjeeh deta hoon. Main kami ko tarjeeh deta hoon kyun ke kal se ek din guzar chuka hai. Keemat ne resistance ko qareeb kiya phir 1.07818 support ki taraf ja rahi hai. Agar support abhi tak test nahi hua hai, to main kami ko tarjeeh doonga. Meri peshgoi sach nahi hui. Keemat 1.08469 resistance par uth rahi hai. Agar keemat is level ko toor kar iske upar mil jaati hai, to khareedne ka maqsood 1.09090 resistance hoga, lekin agar keemat aaj is level ko test karti hai, to yahaan se ek pullback ka samna kiya jayega. Yeh ab mumkin nahi hai, aur din khatam hota hai, Monday ki zaroorat ho sakti hai kharach kam karne ki. Kyunki resistance ka zikr nahi hai, isliye support ka bhi koi test nahi hai. Agley din, maine is range mein trade ko tarjeeh di, aur keemat ko 1.08469 ke qareeb band hone ki sambhavna ke baare mein socha. Aaj ke izafa ke baad, main euro-dollor ke mustaqbil ki kamiyon par ab mukammal yaqeen nahi rakhta. Is izafe ke doran, keemat ne apne uchit nukte tak pahunchne ka mauqa paya, is liye main ab bhi neeche ki tajziyat ke liye 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ko nishana banata hoon. Kal raat, keemat ne ek bearish impulse ke baad mil kar band hone ka peshgoi kiya, lekin bail pair ko apne taraf khench gaye. Aam tor par, EURUSD 23.6% retracement par resistance mein hai, ek kamzor level jo agar keemat ulta chalti hai to hairat angaiz ho sakta hai. Yeh yahan hai, lekin phir bhi thora sa madad karta hai.. Agar ek pur-sakht kami shuru hoti hai, to mujhe ek bechnay ka nishana milta, lekin bazaar hafta ke intezar mein ja raha hai aur din par kuch dilchasp nahi ho raha.

EUR/USD market ab 1.0815 ke level se upar trade kar raha hai. Aur, kal German aur French Flash data EUR/USD market mein tabdeeliyan laayega. Anyhow, rozana ek reference hamain tajriba aur rehnumai ka zariya faraham karta hai. Discipline ke tassurat mein mufassal hawaalaon mein garmi se ghair mulkion ke traders ke darmiyan juray hain. Market ka mufassal fitri tabi'at yeh dafa-e-forex ki dynamics traders ke liye ikhtiyarati samajh aur discipline ke saath chalne ke liye behtareen kharidne ka moqa pesh karta hai. Umeed hai ke EUR/USD market aane wale dino mein 1.0842 ke level ko guzar jayega. Also, munafa kamane ki rah mein waqt lagta hai, jis mein strategies ko test karna, unhein behtar banana aur ek discipline approach ko barqarar rakhna shaamil hai. Khareedne ki taraf rukh jab sabr aur sahi marfat ke saath lagaya jata hai, to lambay arsay mein maali faiday ka waada hota hai. Hamen abhi aur mutajassi traders, kharidne ki strategies ko apnana chahiye, discipline techniques ka istemal karna chahiye, aur market ke tabdeeli karne wale zarooriyat par muntazir rehna chahiye.
Is ke ilawa, market ka ghair markazi fitri tabi'at aur uski aalamgeeri operation traders se global soch ka talabgar hai. Jaise ke kharidar market mein qayam reh sakte hain. Magar unhen apni nafa hasooli ke liye German aur French Flash data ka tajziya karna chahiye. Also, discipline par zor dena aham hai, istiqamat aur qeemat ki hifazat ki tasdeeq karte hue.



Is ke ilawa, resistance zones ko guzar jana aur market campaigns mein shamil hona qayam shudah qawaid ka intizam aur nigrani ka mafahim ka mutabiq hona zaroori hai. Forex trading ke baray mein bara munafa hota hai, lekin kamyabi discipline, strategy, aur market dynamics ka tehqiqati ittehad mein hoti hai. Chalo dekhte hain aane wale dino mein kya hota hai.

Maujooda market ke manzar nama mein, EUR/USD jodi ke harkaton par tawajjo milti hai aur iski muntazir rahnumai par. Haaliyaat ki tajziyaati gawahiyaan EUR/USD jodi ke andar mukhtalif numayeshat ko zahir karti hain, jo agle taraqqi ki taraf isharaat deti hain. 1.08308 ke ahem darje par mojood, jodi mein maeel zarayat aur mutawater kamyon ke darmiyan ahem taalluqat zahir hote hain. Khas tor par, yahan wazeh taluqat nazar aate hain jahan 1.08274 ki simt buland aur tezi se taraqqi utha lene par aane wale tawoos ke subsequent kamyon ki miqdar ko kum kiya jata hai. Yeh muntazir phenomenon EUR/USD jodi ke andar khail rahe dynamics par roshni daalta hai, jo 1.08321 ke darje ke aas paas tawanaai ya support ki ek satah ka zikar karta hai. Is tarah jodi ke rawaiye ke isharay karobarion ke liye ahem raaz faraham karte hain jo forex market mein paidaish aur itminan ke saath chalne ki talab mein hain. Magar, ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai aur yeh tasleem karna hai ke taluqat tawazun dete hain, woh bilkul saabit nahi hote aur in par mukhtalif factors ka asar pad sakta hai. Asal mein, market ki jazbaat aur ma'ashiyati isharaat currency jodon ke taraqqi ko shakal denay mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain, jese ke EUR/USD. Jazbaati tabdeeliyan, qoumi waqiyat, aur ma'ashiyati data ki raseedain sab kuch aham asar daal sakti hain, jese ke mojooda patterns ko tabdeel kar sakti hain. Is liye, karobariyon ke liye zaroori hai ke woh market ka purkasheed maahol ka mukammal samajh rakhen aur apne stratestrategis mein adapt ho. Is ke ilawa, technical analysis ke auzo aur indicators mojooda patterns ke tabadlan ka mutalia karte hue mazeed raushan rahei faraham kar sakte hain, jo ke aane wale keemat ke harkaton mein mazeed izafa faraham karte hain. Karobariyon ko moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum oscillators jese indicators ka istemal karke patterns ki tasdeeq karna aur market ke rawaiye ko anumaan lagana ho sakta hai. Technical analysis ko market ke asasi bunyadiyat ka nazuk tajziya ke saath mila kar karobariyon ko apne faislay ke processes ko behter bana sakte hain aur trading outcomes ko optimize kar sakte hain. Aakhir mein, EUR/USD jodi ke maujooda maqam 1.08380 ke aas paas traders ke liye ek dilchasp manzar pesh karta hai, jise mael zarayat aur mutawater kamyon ke darmiyan dekha ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD ab aik ahem qeemat ki range mein hai, jis ka mustaqbil ke harkat par asar ho sakta hai. 1.0860 ke trading range ka toot jaye to oopar ki rukh ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai, jabke 1.0900 ke darje se ulta sambhalne ki ihtiyaat zaroori hai.
EUR/USD jodi ab aik ahem qeemat ki range mein ghoom rahi hai, jo is ke harkat mein aik ahem juncture ko darust karti hai. Tijarati munafa ka sab se aham darja 1.0860 ka hai. Is darje ka kamyab toot, jise aik mustaqil mawqay par qaim rehne ke sath taur par liya jaata hai, currency rate mein ane wale buland rehnuma fasl ka wada karta hai. Aisa aghaz na sirf aik nazar andaz hone ke liye ehem ishara hai balkay ye bazaar ki jazbat mein aik ehem tabdili ka markaz bhi ho sakta hai. Takniki tajziyah, jo kihistorical qeemat data aur chart patterns ka jaeza leta hai, traders ke liye bazaar ki jazbat ka andaaza lagane ke liye ek aur aala hai. Chart patterns jaise ke support aur resistance darje, trend lines, aur moving averages potential qeemat harkat mein insights faraham kar sakte hain.


Trader ki jazbat aur bazaar mein rakhne ki bandobast bhi choti muddat ke qeemat harkat ko shakal deti hain. Jazbat ke indicators, jaise ke Commitment of Traders report, traders ke liye bullish ya bearish hain is currency pair par insights faraham kar sakte hain. Bazaar ki bandobast, jo ke bazaar mein traders ke jama poonji ki mukhtalif positions ko darust karta hai, bhi qeemat harkat par asar daal sakti hai jabke traders apni positions ko changing bazaar ki halat ke mutabiq tabdeel karte hain.

Aaj ki tajziyat mein, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke darmiyan-term outlook par tawajjo denge, khaaskar rozana ke chart par. Halankeh kuch arsa pehle Fibonacci grid ke 38.2% correction level ke qareeb phunchne ka moka mila, lekin jodi ne is level par apni jagah barqarar nahi rakhi aur jald az jald wapas chha gayi. Haal mein ek girawat ka silsila shuru hua hai, lekin hum ne ek inverted hype ke liye ghair mukammal pattern ka tasavvur kiya hai. Hum is maloomat ko terminal mein cross-check karne ki taaleem dete hain. Pichle posts mein zikr ki gayi tools ko mufeed taur par jaanch karke, jo ke scalping shauqeen ke liye hain, humein umeed hai ke February aur is mahine ke khatam hone par humein asal manzirat ka saaf tasavvur hoga.
Aaj ke trading session mein kam volatility ka imkaan hai, lekin hum umeed karte hain ke Thursday ko market dynamics mein izafa hone par tezi se volatility aaye gi. Is doraan, EUR/USD currency pair ke liye mukhtalif scenarios ka jaaiza lena zaroori hai.

Fibonacci grid ke 38.2% correction level ke qareeb pichle dino jodi ke safar mein zaroori miqdaar ka izafa dekha gaya tha, lekin is ke barabar par rehne mein naakaam rahi. Iski bajaay, jodi foran wapas chha gayi. Halankeh ab ek girawat ka silsila shuru hua hai, lekin hum ne dekha hai ke ek inverted hype ke liye ghair mukammal pattern ban raha hai. Yeh ek dhara hai jo amuman bearish nazriyat ki taraf ishara karti hai, jiska matlaab hai ke humein mazeed keemat girawat ka samna karna pare ga.

Trading terminal mein yeh maloomat mukhtasir ki jaani chahiye takay traders ko tajziyat mein madad mil sake aur unhe sahi faislay karne ki salahiyat milti rahe. Is ke ilawa, pichhle posts mein discuss ki gayi tools ko bhi tehqeeq karke, jo ke scalping shauqeen ke liye hain, traders ko asani se trend ka andaza lagane mein madad milti hai.

Aaj ke trading session mein kam volatility ki umeed hai, lekin Thursday ko market dynamics mein izafa hone par tezi se volatility ka imkaan hai. Is dauraan, EUR/USD currency pair ke liye mukhtalif scenarios ka jaaiza lena zaroori hai takay traders ko sahi faislay karne mein asani ho.