eur/usd

فروری 23 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں 2.11% کا اضافہ ہوا، جو تقریباً مارچ 2009 میں شروع ہونے والے عالمی قیمت چینل کی بالائی حد تک پہنچ گیا۔



اس کے پیچھے کی وجہ نیوڈیا کی ایک اچھی رپورٹ تھی، کیونکہ اس کے حصص میں 16.32% کا اضافہ ہوا۔ نتیجے کے طور پر، نیس ڈیک میں 2.96 فیصد اضافہ ہوا۔ یورو نے 70 پپس حاصل کرکے اضافے کا جواب دیا۔ فرانس میں کاروباری سرگرمیوں کے بارے میں اچھے اعداد و شمار کے اجراء کے ساتھ ہی ایک کرنسی دن کے اوائل میں بڑھنا شروع ہوگئی۔ فروری کے لیے مینوفیکچرنگ پی. ایم. آئی. 43.1 سے بڑھ کر 46.8، اور سروسز پی. ایم. آئی. 45.4 سے بڑھ کر 48.0 ہو گیا۔ تاہم، جرمنی کے انڈیکس کمزور تھے، اس لیے آخر میں، یورو زون کے انڈیکس اس طرح نظر آئے: مینوفیکچرنگ پی. ایم. آئی. 46.1 بمقابلہ جنوری میں 46.6، سروسز پی. ایم. آئی. 50.0 بمقابلہ 48.4۔ یورو نے دن صرف 3 پپس تک بند کیا۔ لیکن اصل چیز اسٹاک مارکیٹ ہے، جو نجی خبروں پر بڑھی۔ ہم آج یا پیر تک اسٹاک مارکیٹ میں تبدیلی کی توقع رکھتے ہیں۔



یومیہ چارٹ پر، یورو نے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کی مزاحمت کو چھیدا اور 1.0825 کی سطح سے نیچے چلا گیا، جہاں اس وقت سرگرمی سست پڑ رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اب بھی نافذ ہے۔ اگر قیمت سیاہ موم بتی کے ساتھ دن کو بند کرتی ہے، تو یہ مزید کمی کے لیے ایک اچھا اشارہ ہوگا۔ اوپر کی حرکت کو جاری رکھنے کے لیے، جیسا کہ کل واضح طور پر دکھایا گیا ہے، قیمت کو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر، 1.0870 سے اوپر طے کرنے کی ضرورت ہے۔

ایک انحراف جو اتنا مضبوط نہیں ہے 4 گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر تشکیل پایا ہے۔ قیمت 1.0825 کی سطح پر پھنس گئی ہے۔ نیچے کی طرف حرکت کرنے کے لیے، قیمت کو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے، 1.0788 کی سطح سے نیچے طے کرنا چاہیے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Eur / Usd Takneeki Tajzia :


german manufacturing sector ke baray mein taaza tareen report is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke is khittay ki majmoi iqtisadi karkardagi october ke baad sab se nichli satah par girnay ki wajah se sargarmi mein kami aayi hai, yeh mandi aik sakht monitory policy ke pas manzar mein aayi hai jis ne manufacturing index ke bawajood afraat zar ke dabao ko roknay ke misbet nataij bar aamad kiye hain. ahem 50-نمبر ke neechay dhal jana yeh batata hai ke سنکچن ki nishandahi karne se pehlay aik bfr baqi hai is se pehlay ke halaat sangeen ho jayen aur euro zone ko policy mein narmi ki hikmat e amli par ghhor karne se pehlay jaan boojh kar kuch saans lainay ke kamray ka saamna karna parre .


hamari tawajah euro / dollar ke jore ki taraf mabzol karne se is ke 4 ghantay ke chart ka qareeb se jaiza lainay se aik qabil zikar raftaar ka pata chalta hai ke ibtidayi tor par aik had ke andar tijarat karte hue jore ko 1. 07409 par support level ki khilaaf warzi karte hue neechay ki taraf tabdeeli ka saamna karna para. taham riyasat haae mutahidda America se afraat zar ke adaad o shumaar ke ajra ke baad jore ki qader mein wazeh izafah dekhnay mein aaya, is oopar ki harkat ne usay darmiyani range ki taraf wapas laya jo pehlay ke takhminay ke sath qareeb se seedh mein laya gaya jis mein rebound ki tawaqqa thi, yeh andaza lagaya gaya tha ke yeh jora mumkina tor par jaanch ke douran peechay hatt jaye ga. 1. 07765 par support level. Germany mein manufacturing sector ki karkardagi ke mzmrat is ki sarhadoon se bahar wasee euro zone ki maeeshat mein gunjtey hue iqtisadi asharion ke sath badhaali ka ishara dainay walay policy sazoon ko taraqqi aur istehkaam ko mutasir karne walay bunyadi masail se nimatnay ke liye barhatay hue dabao ka saamna hai .



jabkay maliyati policy ki sakhti ne afraat zar ko roknay ke zariye kuch mohlat di hai, lekin dbti hui manufacturing sargarmi ka tasalsul currency mandiyon ke dairay mein policy aydjstmnt ke liye aik mohtaat rawayya ki zamanat deta hai, euro / dollar ke jore ki harkiyaat wasee tar iqtisadi mnzrname ki akkaasi karti hai. ahem data release ke jawab mein utaar charhao bunyadi awamil aur market ke jazbaat ke darmiyan taamul ki nishandahi karte hain kyunkay sarmaya car anay wali maloomat ki qeematon ki naqal o harkat ko hazem karte hain mojooda rujhanaat aur mustaqbil ke mumkina rastay ke baray mein qeemti baseerat paish karte hain .

EUR/USD
Adaab aur Jumma Mubarak ho!

Chaar ghantay ka chart dekhtay huay euro/dollar currency pair ke haliyat par mushtamil tasawwur ke mutabiq, hum mehsoos kar rahay hain ke kal ke neechay ka tajziya ke baad ab phir se izafa ho raha hai. Lekin yahan yeh zaroor zikr karna chahta hoon ke halankay tajziya kaafi normal tha, lekin yeh Euro ki tezi se taqreeban farogh hone ki wajah se tha, jo ab barso ke taaqat par shak paida karti hai, khas tor par jab unhon ne aakhir mein ghalib nahin bana saka, Bollinger bands ke barhnay walay indicator ke darmiyan darmiyan bhi na toota, jahan se jodi kaamyabi se wapas aayi hai aur ab 1.0850 ke ooper ki taraf barh rahi hai.


Aam tor par, US data taqreeban haal ki hafton mein economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq nihayat mazboot rahe, aur humein aane wale dino mein is pattern ko dohrana parega taake US dollar ka mustaqil musarrat jari rahe. Humain yeh sochna hai ke kya hum "peak surprise" haasil kar chuke hain maqami maeeshat aur dollar ke lehaz se; yaani, umeedain pehle se itni buland hain ke currency kisi bhi kum data se hone wale mayoosiyat par zyada tajziyaat karegi. Ho sakta hai ke humain mazeed dilchasp releases ki zaroorat ho US dollar ke musarrat jari rakhne ke liye.

Isi doran, hum dekhtay hain ke February 13 se, hum ne ek char ghantay ka uththay huye channel ka tameer mukammal kar liya hai, is liye euro/dollar pair ki harkat mein taraqqi abhi tak uttar mein hai, isliye, 1.0850 ke darjay tak pohanchne ke baad aur kuch tawajju mein rukawat ke baad, badi miqdar mein wahan par 1.0900 ke aas paas ka darja ummed ki ja sakti hai, haalaankay kal ke bullish impulse ke doran itni shadeed nahin hogi, lekin zyada pur-umeed hogi.

EURUSD H1 timeframe par dekhi gayi trend ke saath milti hain. In timeframes ko hamwar kar ke, traders apni tajziyat ki durusti ko barhane ki koshish karte hain. Jab badi trend ki hamwar surat hal tasdeeq ho jati hai, to phir tawajjo ko H1 timeframe par zyada tafseeli tafasil ki taraf muntakil kiya ja sakta hai.
Agla, mukhya technical indicators ki pehchan, jese ke support aur resistance levels, trendlines, ya moving averages H1 chart par, ahem ho jati hai. Ye ajza potential dakhil points, stop-loss levels, aur take-profit targets ke taayun mein madad karte hain. Support aur resistance levels, maslan, potential uksaane ya jari rehne ke zones ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain, jo ke strategic faislay mein madad faraham karte hain.

Is ke ilawa, H1 timeframe par Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) jese oscillators ka shamil karna prevailing market conditions ki supplementary tasdeeq faraham kar sakta hai. Ye indicators potential overbought ya oversold shiraa'it ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain, traders ko mojooda trend ki taqat aur istiqrar ko jaanchne mein madad faraham karte hain.

Is ke ilawa, candlestick patterns potential reversal ya continuation signals ke pehchan mein aham kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Patterns jese ke engulfing, doji, ya hammer candles, dakhil ya ikhtitaam points ka tajziya karte waqt qeemti ishaarat faraham kar sakte hain.

Khatra nigrani kisi bhi trading strategy ka bunyadi pehlu hai. Munasib position size ka tayun karna jokhuniyat barqiyyat ke bunyadi hisson mein se aik hai aur potential nuqsan ko kam karne ke liye stop-loss orders set karna is process mein ahem qadam hain. Traders aksar Average True Range (ATR) ya apni trading capital ka fixed percentage istemal karte hain taake munasib stop-loss levels tay kiye ja sakein.

Maamooli taur par mukhtalif mujmooeyat ka monitoring karna jese ke economic calendars scheduled releases ya events jo instrument ki qeemat ki harkat ko mutasir kar sakte hain, doosra ahem qadam hai. Ghair mutawaqqa khabron ka izhar ya bare paimanay ke maqami events volatility ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur technical manzir ko tabdeel kar sakte hain, trading outcomes par asar andaz hota hai.

Akhiri tor par, aik behtareen dakhil point ka chayan karne ke liye wazeh algorithm mein, trend direction ko unchi aur nichli time frames par hamwar karne, mukhya technical indicators ki pehchan, oscillators ka istemal, candlestick patterns ko pehchanne, aur moassar risk management strategies ko istemal karna shamil hai. In ajza ko methodically shamil karte hue, traders munafa deh trades execute karne ke imkanat ko barha sakte hain jabke market ke fluctuations se mutasir hone wale khatron ko kam kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD jodi ne halqi tor par tazagi ke session ka samna kiya, jisme European aur US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka ihtimam sab se ahem tha. Ye maashiyati indicators European Union aur United States mein private business activities ki insights faraham karte rahe, jis se market ki halchal mein izafa hua. Halankeh tazagi ke dauran, jodi ne aakhir mein sthir ho gaya, euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein stable karte hue.
Investors ne European Union mein private business activity ke mix data ko tafseel se tajziya kiya, jo euro ke performance par asar daalne wala tha. Jabke euro pehle PMI data ka jawab diya, lekin baad mein asayian trading hours mein Jumeraat ko stable ho gaya, lagbhag 1.0820 ke qareeb US dollar ke muqablay mein mojood hai. Eurozone aur German PMI data ke mix figures ne February mein market ke uncertainty mein izafa kiya, jahan pehli services PMI to barh gai lekin manufacturing PMIs expectations ko poora nahi kar saki.

European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy meeting accounts for January bhi market sentiment ko shape karne mein kirdar ada kiya. ECB policymakers ne monetary policy ko halka dalne ke baray mein ehtiyaat izhar kiya, ishaarat dete hue ke is waqt ke meeting mein rate cuts par guftagu jald baazi se ki jaa rahi hai. Inho ne inflation par taraqqi ko tasleem kiya aur peechle saalon ke muqable mein zyada pur ummed nazar aaye, magar policymakers ne ronuma kiya ke rate cut automatic tor par justified nahi hai, agar bhi ECB March mein apni inflation projections ko revise karle.

Milaye Hue Data aur Eurozone Mein Ehtiyaat Bhari Umeed

European business activity data mein mix natijay, Eurozone ki inflations dynamics par asar daal rahe hain. ECB monetary policy easing ke baray mein ehtiyaat izhar karta hai.
Eurozone ki inflations dynamics halki hain jabke Eurozone mein private business activity ke mix data ke mutabiq. Jabke Eurozone aur German services PMI mein improvement nazar aayi, manufacturing PMIs market ki expectations se kam rahe. Ye mix performance Eurozone ki inflation ki rah ka mushkil banata hai.

European Central Bank ki monetary policy ke ehtiyaat bhari stance bhi Eurozone ki overall sentiment mein shaamil hai. Eurozone ki inflation ki rah par uncertainty ke darmiyan ECB policymakers monetary policy easing ke baray mein hichkichahat ka izhar karte hain. January ke meeting ke accounts ne dikhaya ke policymakers ko rate cuts par guftagu karne ke liye waqt jald baazi se nahi hai, aur wo economic developments ko nazar andaz karne ki zaroorat ko stress karte hain.

USD Index ko Mazboot US Yields ne Support kiya

USD index mazboot hai, jise mazboot US yields aur musbat labor data ne support kiya, sath hi Federal Reserve officials ke hawkish remarks ne bhi iske momentum ko barhaya.
USD index mazbooti se qayam hai, jo ke mazboot US yields aur musbat labor data ke saath hai. Taqreeban, 2 saal aur 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ke yields 4.71% aur 4.33% hain, jo ke US dollar ki appeal ko barhata hai. Mazeed, mazboot labor data, jisme haftawarana shuruati jobless claims market ki expectations ko peechay chhodte hain, US dollar ke position ko mazboot karte hain.

US Federal Reserve officials ke hawkish remarks US dollar ke ird gird bullish sentiment ko mazeed taqwiyat dete hain. Federal Reserve officials aas paas ke muddo par interest rate cuts se bachne ki baat karte hain, jo ke overall US dollar ki mazbooti ke saath milta hai. PMI data mein chand izafon ke bawajood, jisme S&P Global US Services PMI thora sa expectations se kam nikla, United States ki overall economic outlook musbat hai, jo ke US dollar ko support karta hai.

Technical Analysis aur Trading Outlook

H4 Timeframe:

Forex market ki gatishilta kam hai, jabke EUR/USD mein upri harkat dekhi ja rahi hai lekin potential resistance ka saamna hai. Tassur Eurozone inflation data release ke baad hota hai.
H4 timeframe par, Forex market kam gatishil hai, jabke EUR/USD jodi mein upri harkat dekhi ja rahi hai lekin potential resistance levels ka saamna hai. Eurozone inflation data release ke baad traders ke darmiyan tassur hota hai, jo jodi ke trading outlook par asar dalta hai.

Traders ne closely EUR/USD jodi ka rawaiya dekha hai jab wo key resistance aur support levels ke qareeb pohunchti hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq 1.0864 pe potential resistance nazar aata hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ko correspond karta hai. Haal mein lamba time period ki harkat ki umeed nahi hai, lekin Eurozone inflation data release ke baad tassur mein izafa mumkin hai.

EUR/USD jori mein dekhi ja rahi maqbool ma'ashi fa'alat, tajawuzi karobarion mein kisi janib rukh ki taraf zyada harkat karne mein traders ka dhamakon se inkaar darja hai. Yeh ehtiyaat bhara jazba mukhtalif wajoohat se sambhalta hai, jaise ke siyasi uljhanat, ma'ashi laatafat, aur global ma'ashi behtar hone ke muta'aliq paish pai shakayaat. Is peiza par, karobarion mein shamil afrad ziada ehtiyaat pasandi ikhtiyar karte hain, zyada khatarnak malbaton ko ikhtiyar karne ke bajaye, ek zyada muhafizana tareeqa ikhtiyar karte hain. Mojudah ehtiyaat bhara jazba, EUR/USD jori mein dekhe jane wale tangein, rang mein mubtila trading patterns mein izhar hota hai. Karobarion ke darmiyan mehdood qeemat ki range ke andar kaam karna traders ko aik had tak khush karta hai, jab ke wo market ki rukh ki wazeh alaamat aur zyada wazehi ke intezaar mein hotay hain. Ye tawajjo naqabil amal amli karrwaai ko barhata hai aur currency pair mein mukhtalif karobarion ki khamoshi aur khaamoshi ko barhata hai. Is ke ilawa, North America ke ahem markets ke band hone ki wajah se EUR/USD jori mein dekhi jane wali dabaqat bhari ma'ashi fa'alat ko mazeed barhata hai. United States aur Canada ke baray markets ke bary band hone se, liquidity aur trading volumes kaafi kam ho jate hain, zyada dabaqat ko kam karte hain aur range-bound trading mahol ko barhaate hain.
Maqbool ma'ashi fa'alat aur ehtiyaat bhara jazba jo market mein mojood hai, traders ko muhafizana banaye rakhne par majboor karta hai, aise tajurbaat ko nazron mein rakhte hue jo EUR/USD jori ko mutasir kar saktay hain. Maqbool haadse jaise ke ma'ashi data ka ijaad, central bank ke elaanat, aur siyasi uljhanat ke wakiaat, mojooda trading patterns ko mutasir karne aur market mein dabaqat daalne ki salahiyat rakhte hain. Ikhtitam mein, EUR/USD jori mein dekhi jane wali tangein, maqbool ma'ashi fa'alat aur traders ke darmiyan ehtiyaat bhara jazba ka izhar hai. Zyada rukh ki janib rukh kiye jane ka inkaar mojooda laatafat aur trading mein ek zyada muhafizana tareeqa ikhtiyar karne ki pasandidgi ko darust karta hai. Jab tak maqbool ma'ashi fa'alat jari rahegi, traders waqiyat ka muhafizana rahenge.

4-hour chart ki wave analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair mein koi tabdili nahi aayi hai. Pichle saal mein, hum ne sirf teen-wave structures dekhi hain jo baar baar ek dosre ke saath muntakhib hoti hain. Mojooda doran ek aur teen-wave structure ka tashkeel jari hai - ek neeche ki taraf, jo pichle saal 18 July ko shuru hui thi. Tasawwur kiya jata hai ke wave 1 mukammal ho gayi hai, aur wave 2 ya b ne teen ya chaar martaba mushkilat ka samna kiya, lekin halat ke mutabiq ab ye bhi mukammal ho gaya hai, kyun ke pair ka girao ek mahine se zyada ka waqt se jari hai.

Trend ka ooperi hissa ab bhi dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin is surat mein iski andaruni banawat parhne mein mushkil hogi. Main yeh yaad dilata hoon ke mein woh wave structures pehchanne ki koshish karta hoon jo doosri ta'weelon ko bardasht nahi karti hain. Agar mojooda wave analysis durust hai, to market ne ab wave 3 ya c ki tashkeel par guzar gaya hai. 1.0788 level ko torne ki kamyabi, jo ke 76.4% Fibonacci ke mutabiq hai, ek baar phir market ki tayyar hai sale ke liye. Ab agla maqsood 1.0637 level hai, jo ke 100.0% Fibonacci ke barabar hai. Lekin, mein euro ki girao ka intezar yahan tak nahi karta. Wave 3 ya c waqt aur maqamat mein zyada wusat hona chahiye.

Euro ki girao jald shuru ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Jumma ko koi tabdili nahi dikhayi, aur harkat ki range buhat kamzor thi. Din bhar kuch khaas khabar ka paya nahi gaya, halaanke kuch tajaweezain Germany ke IFO aur GDP ke reporton par dene wale analiyston ne highlight ki. Magar meray khayal mein, inn dataon ka koi asar market ki hosla afzai par nahi hua. Chothay quarter mein GDP ka aakhri hasool -0.3% tha, jaisa ke pehli tehqiqat mein tha. Koi taajub nahi tha; Germany ki maeeshat officially ek recesssion mein dakhil ho gayi thi, aur market ko "jawab" dene ke liye kuch bhi nahi tha. IFO indices, apni izzat ke bawajood, doosray indicators hain jo market participants ko kam dhyan dete hain.

In sab baaton par mabni, shuru mein Jumma se zyada ummeed nahi thi. Mujhe yeh bharosa hai ke ab 1.0880 level ko torne ki nakam koshish buhat zyada ahem hai. Kyun ke maqsoodana wave 3 ya c ki tashkeel jari hai, jo ke buhat lambi shakal mein hogi, is mein yeh bhi mumkin hai ke is haftay mein hum ne andaruni wave 2 ki tashkeel dekhi ho. Agar yeh sach hai toh 1.0880 ko torne ki nakami is wave ki mukammal hone ki dalil ho sakti hai. Agar yeh fehmi durust hai, to pair agle haftay mein wave 3 mein apna girao dobara shuru kar sakta hai. Main yeh manta hoon ke ab koi khabar ka background is wave ki tashkeel mein dakhil nahi ho sakta.

Aam taur par:

EUR/USD ki analysis ke mutabiq, mein ye natija nikalta hoon ke bearish wave set ka construction jaari hai. Wave 2 ya b mukammal ho chuki hai, is liye qareebi mustaqbil mein mein umeed karta hoon ke impulsive descending wave 3 ya c ki tashkeel jari rahegi jisme pair ka zor daar girao hoga.

EUR/USD taif pair Jumeraat ko 1.0840 aur 1.0810 ke darmiyan ek tang paimaish mein qaid raha, jese ke agle haftay ek data bhara hafta anay wala hai. Market ke shirakat daron ne amrika aur eurozone dono se ahem iqtisadi releases se pehle intezar aur dekha ja raha hai. Halankeh taif pair ka intezar ke doran hafta ke akhri din mein rukha hoga, lekin agle haftay ke doosre nisf mein wazeh shor hota hai. Budh ko amrika ka GDP data release hone wala hai, jise German retail sales aur consumer price index figures ki release Thursday ko follow karegi. Thursday ko bhi US personal consumption expenses data aur European HICP aur ISM PMI numbers ka wapas aa raha hai. Eurozone se kamzor manufacturing PMI data ke bawajood pair ko pehle is haftay uthane mein na kaamyaabi mili, lekin technical indicators short term mein umeed ki ek kiran faraham karte hain. RSI ne neutral 50 level ke upar chadha hai, jabke MACD laal signal line ke qareeb ja raha hai, mohtemam ek bullish tasveer banane ki sambhavna hai. Is manzar par support Stoxx index ke musbat momentum se ata hai, lekin upside potential mehdood ho sakta hai.


EUR/USD pair 1.0880 ke oopar se guzar jata hai, October-December 2023 ki kami ka 23% Fibonacci correction ke taraf tezi se qadam uthane ka imkan hai. Aakhir mein, December ki peak 1.1100-1.1138 aham resistance level banata hai. Jumeraat ke band hone par, EUR/USD pair asani se 200-hour SMA ke 1.0780 ke oopar qaim rehta hai. Halankeh ye briefly 1.0888 ko chhoo gaya tha Budh ko pehle phir piche hat gaya, lekin barqi technical support levels ke bawajood aathwe musalsal haarne wale session mein bhi trade karta hai. Halaanki, ye late-December ki peak 1.1140 ke lagbag 2.8% neeche hai. Farokht dabaav ko 20-day SMA aur 50% Fibonacci ke 1.0790 se kam kiya ja sakta hai, jo October ke oonche trendline ke 1.0760 se agay hain. Agar ye support level pura na ho to, 61.8% Fibonacci ke 1.0711 ke raaste mein ek tajziya ho sakta hai, aur ek tezi se nashist 1.0665 aur 1.0635 ke darmiyan rok sakta hai. Uske baad, sher ko koshish kar sakte hain ke stock ko 1.0600 ke neeche drive karein jo ke khatarnak raasta tha jo tor diya gaya tha.

EURUSD TECHNICAL OVERVIEW:


Last Friday ki trading mein eurusd currency ke jore ne bearish reversal trend candle stuck patteren tashkeel diya hai jahan pehlay is ne 1.0880 aur phir 1.0890 ki qeemat par muzahmati satah banai thi aur guzashta jummay ki trading mein 1.0820 aur 1.0810 ki qeemat par support level tashkeel di thi. Agar trading area ko qeemat ke lehaaz se kamyabi ke sath toar diya jata hai, to agli tijarat mein rujhan ki wazahat ho gi taakay aik mumkina gravt ya mumkina izafah qaim ho jaye agar tijarti sthon mein se kisi aik ko candle stuck patteren ke zariye kamyabi se toar diya jata hai. tashkeel diya gaya hai, is douran filal haal eurusd currency jora rozana pivot point ki satah se neechay khula hai jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke eurusd currency jora guzashta trading mein mandi ya neechay ke rujhan mein tha.

Chart outlook:

EUR/USD currency pair filal haal kharidaron ke dabao mein hai halaank h4 time frame mein tijarti chart par yeh bilkul wazeh hai ke insidaad rujhan isharay jaisay macd indicator period 12. 26. 9 ko band karne ki darkhwast pehlay se hi aik bearish trend reversal patteren bananay ki haalat mein hai, jis se hamein mustaqbil mein bearish trend reversal signal dainay ka imkaan hai.
Chart pay fial haal relative strength index isharay ki muddat 15 ki darkhwast ko band karne ke liye ( rsi 15 ) sirf satah 50 se oopar jata dekha ja raha hai, jo zahir karta hai ke rsi ke ke isharay se signal ab bhi taizi ka ishara day raha hai, bas yeh hai ke kamyabi rsi ke isharay ka ribbun ya munhani khutoot 50 ki satah se tootta eurusd currency jore ke liye bearish signal faraham kar sakta hai.1.0800 ki qeemat par support area level se 1.0790 ki qeemat par support area level eurusd currency pear mein trading ke rujhan ka taayun kere ga.

EUR/USD pair ne is haftay mein mustaqil izafa dikhaya hai, naye uroojat ko update karte hue. Lekin market mein kam asarat hain, sirf izafa aur wapas demonstrated hua hai, lekin darmiyan-term mein kisi bhi rukh mein breakout nahi hua hai. 9 figure ke oopar jaane ki mumkinat to hai, aur phir 1.0920-1.0930 ke range ko test kiya ja sakta hai. Wahan se neeche ki correction par kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Abhi tak, uttarward movement taqat mein hai, jo mazeed izafa aur naye uroojat ko mumkin banata hai.

Agar hum uttar raste par jari rakhein, toh 9 figure ke oopar jaane ki option ko mad e nazar rakha ja sakta hai. Trading haftay ke ikhtetam tak ek pullback hua, lekin humne apni uparward trend line aur trading channel ko maintain kiya hai. Agar naye trading week ke shuru hone par uttarward movement dekhein, toh main taizi se upper channel boundary tak pohanchne ki mumkinat ko nahi barat sakta.

Darmiyan-term mein, hum uttarward correction par kaam kar rahe hain. 1.0722 ke minimum extreme ka breakout selling ke liye raste ko kholta hai, jiska target kam se kam 1.0695 ke low ka breakout aur phir aage ki taraf jari rakhna hai. Uttarward movement sirf correction framework ke andar hai. Dekhte hain keemat kis had tak barh sakti hai taa ke hum top par munasib keemat par bechne ke liye taiyar ho saken.



Aaj ka trading session mein Euro ne US Dollar ke khilaaf mazboot positions banaye rakhi. Amreeki taraf se koi bhi maayene wala data na hone aur European Union ki mufassil economic indicators ke saath, Euro ki bardaasht mein izafa hua. Traders ko aane waale events par nigaah rakhni chahiye aur market ka manzar badalne par apne strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

EURUSD TECHNICAL OVERVIEW:


H1 TIME FRAME



Kal, EUR/USD currency pair keemat performance par bearon ka qabza barh gaya jab United States ki mahangi ka dar announce kiya gaya, jo ke tajziya ko barhaya ke US Central Bank tawaqqa ki daro'ain ko zyada arsay tak barqarar rakhay gi, jo ke dusri bari currencies ke muqablay mein US dollar ko taqat dila di. Euro ki keemat dollar ke khilaf 1.0700 support level gir gayi, jo ke mahinay ki taqmeel mein sab se kam thi.

Economic calendar data ke natijay ke ilan ke mutabiq, United States of America mein saalana mahangi ka dar pichle mahine mein kam hua, lekin buland raha, ye sab se taza ishara hai ke waba se faraham keemat mein izafa sirf dar dar aur dabe dabe tor par kia ja sakta hai. According to a report from the United States Department of Labor, the unemployment rate in December and January was 0.3 percent, while in February it was 0.2 percent. Pichle saal ke muqablay mein; keemat mein 3.1 percent izafa hua. In December, the figure was 3.4 percent, and in May 2022, the figure was 9.1 percent. Magar, sab se taza reading ab bhi United States Federal Reserve ke nishana darje ka 2% se zyada hai, jab ke izafa ka saal Joe Biden ke dobara intikhabat ki khatir ek markazi masla.
Biden administration ke afraad kehtay hain, ke US mahangi mein waba se mutaliq supply bandishat aur bari hukoomati madad ke baad se ye nisbatan tezi se kam hui hai, jo tees saal pehle izafa ka sabab bana tha. Aik wusat range ke agay dikhayi jane wali bayaanat ishara deti hain ke mahangi kaam hogi. When it comes to the Fed's nishana darje ke qareeb, bohot se Americans ab bhi ghussa hain, ke average darojat Biden ke daur mein un se 19% zyada hain.

EUR/USD Chart pay EUR/USD pair rate 1.0760 pivot point line ok downward breakout ok baad actions ko start kar chuki. Chart pay RSI 14 Indicator 30 aur 70 ranges okay middle important typically sign display kar raha hai. OSMA Indicator bhi chart pay promote ka normally signal display karta hai. If cutting-edge price bullish movements continue, then chart pay charge ka goal neechay 1.0700 aur usk baad fee mazeed 1.0680 assist degrees honay okay possibilities ban saktay hain.Agar hourly chart pay contemporary function bounced hoty hai, aur sath pivot factor line ko buy breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki downward movements open honay ok possibilities increased ho saktay hain, jiska target ooper 1.0785 aur phir usk baad rate Mazeed 1.0805 resistance zones honay k possibilities hain.

EUR/USD four-hour chart pay EUR/USD pair fee 1.0760 pivot point line okay downward breakout ko start kar chuki hai. Chart pay RSI 14 Indicator 30 aur 70 ranges ok middle fundamental usually shows a sign. The OSMA Indicator typically displays a sell signal on the chart. If cutting-edge fee bullish actions continue, then chart pay fee ka goal neechay 1.0700 aur usk baad rate mazeed 1.0680 support ranges honay okay possibilities ban saktay hain.yahan h4 chart pay modern-day position bounced hoty hai, aur sath pivot point line ko purchase breakout karty hai to chart pay charge ki forward movements open honay k chances increased ho saktay hain, jiska target ooper 1.0785 aur phir usk baad price Mazeed 1.0805 resistance zones honay okay possibilities hain.





H4 TIME FRAME





The EUR/USD pair has a mustaqil izafa, which we will update. Lekin market mein kam asarat hain, sirf izafa aur wapas demonstrated hua, lekin darmiyan-term mein kisi bhi rukh mein breakout nahi hua. 9 figures are required, and the range of 1.0920-1.0930 will be tested. Wahan se neeche ki correction par kaam ja sakta hai. Abhi tak, uttarward movement taqat mein hi, jo mazeed izafa aur naye uroojat ko mumkin banata hai.

If hum uttar raste par jari rakhein, then 9 figure ke oopar jaane ki option ko mad e nazar rakha ja sakta hai. Trading haftay ke ikhtetam tak ek pullback hua, but humne apni upward trend line aur trading channel ko maintain kiya hai. If the trading week ends with an upward movement, then the upper channel boundary is unlikely to be broken.

Darmiyan-term mein, hum uttarward correction par kaam kar rahe hai. 1.0722 ke minimum extreme ka breakout selling ke liye kholta hai, jiska target kam se kam 1.0695 ke low ka breakout aur phir aage ki taraf jari hai. Uttarward movement has a correction framework in place. Dekhte hain keemat kis had tak barh sakti hai, taa, hum top par munasib keemat par bechne ke liye taiyar ho saken.

Last Friday ki trading mein eurusd currency ke jore ne bearish reversal trend candle stuck patteren tashkeel diya hai jahan pehlay is ne 1.0880 aur phir 1.0890 ki qeemat par muzahmati satah banai thi aur guzashta jummay ki trading mein 1.0820 aur 1.0810 ki qeemat par support level tashkeel di thi. Agar trading area ko qeemat ke lehaaz se kamyabi ke sath toar diya jata hai, to agli tijarat mein rujhan ki wazahat ho gi taakay aik mumkina gravt ya mumkina izafah qaim ho jaye agar tijarti sthon mein se kisi aik ko candle stuck patteren ke zariye kamyabi se toar diya jata hai. tashkeel diya gaya hai, is douran filal haal eurusd currency jora rozana pivot point ki satah se neechay khula hai jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke eurusd currency jora guzashta trading mein mandi ya neechay ke rujhan mein tha.

EUR/USD currency pair filal haal kharidaron ke dabao mein hai halaank h4 time frame mein tijarti chart par yeh bilkul wazeh hai ke insidaad rujhan isharay jaisay macd indicator period 12. 26. 9 ko band karne ki darkhwast pehlay se hi aik bearish trend reversal patteren bananay ki haalat mein hai, jis se hamein mustaqbil mein bearish trend reversal signal dainay ka imkaan hai.

EUR/USD trading pair Jumeraat ko 1.0840 aur 1.0810 ke darmiyan ek tang paimaish mein qaid raha, jese ke agle haftay ek data bhara hafta anay wala hai. Market ke shirakat daron ne Amrika aur Eurozone dono se ahem iqtisadi releases se pehle intezar aur dekha ja raha. Halankeh taif pair ka intezar ke doran hafta ke akhri din mein rukha hoga, whereas agle haftay ke doosre nisf mein wazeh shor hota. Budh ko amrika ka GDP data release hone wala hai, jise German retail sales and consumer price index figures ki release karegi on Thursday. Thursday's data includes US personal consumption expenses, European HICP, and ISM PMI numbers. Eurozone se kamzor manufacturing PMI data ke bawajood pair ko pehle is haftay uthane mein na kaamyaabi mili, whereas technical indicators short term mein umeed ki ek kiran faraham karte. The RSI is at a neutral 50 level, and the MACD is at a signal line, indicating a bullish trend. Is manzar par support Stoxx index ke musbat momentum se ata hai, or is there an upside potential?

فروری 26 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

ایس. اینڈ. پی.500 نے جمعہ کو ایک نیا تاریخی ریکارڈ قائم کیا۔ اس نے عالمی ہائپر چینل کی اوپری باؤنڈری کا تجربہ کیا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ ڈائیورجنس بن گیا ہے۔



انڈیکس میں الٹ پھیر ہو سکتی ہے، یا کم از کم، اصلاح ہو سکتی ہے۔ زیادہ سے زیادہ، تحریک ایک طویل مدتی نیچے کی طرف رجحان میں بدل جائے گی، جو اس صورت میں ہو گی جب قیمت ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے آگے نکل جائے، جو 13 فروری کی کم ترین سطح (4919.80) کی سمت بڑھ جائے۔



اسٹاک مارکیٹ کا الٹ جانا خطرے کی بھوک میں کمی کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے، اور اس کے ساتھ ساتھ یورو کا درمیانی مدت کے زوال میں تبدیل ہونا۔ یومیہ چارٹ پر، یورو/امریکی ڈال 1.0825 کے ہدف کی سطح سے نیچے آنا شروع ہو گیا، مارلن آسکیلیٹر نے بھی ریورس کرنا شروع کر دیا۔ قریب ترین ہدف 1.0724 کی سطح، 8 دسمبر کی کم ترین سطح ہو گی۔

یہ جوڑا چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.0795) کی طرف بڑھتا ہوا دکھائی دیتا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر، منفی علاقے میں منتقلی کے ساتھ، اس منظر نامے کی حمایت کرتا ہے۔ اگر جوڑا ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی حمایت کو توڑنے کا انتظام کرتا ہے، تو یورو 1.0724 کی طرف بڑھ جائے گا۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading week mein, Euro ne 1.0763 level par significant support paya, jiski wajah se exchange rate recover hokar moderately higher move ki taraf badha, expected legend resistance level 1.0837 ko todne ka try karte hue, pullback ko continue karne ka. Is tarah, expected correction expected end ke limits ke qareeb aa raha hai. Yeh zaroori hai ki signal zone ne higher move ki koshishon ko kafi daba diya. Iske alawa, price chart green supertrend zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ki buyers ki badi tadad hai.

Technical perspective mein 1-hour chart par, 50-day simple moving average 1.0860 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish pressure ko create karta hai aur downside move ko support karta hai. Dusri taraf, stochastic indicator positive signals paane ki koshish kar raha hai, jise psychological barrier 1.0800 ke upar stability ke saath mila hua hai. 1.0860 resistance ke upar jaane se pair ko encourage kiya, jiski wajah se wo 1.0930 se 1.0965 tak badha. 1.0790 ke neeche rehna pair ko 1.0760 aur 1.074 ke strong downside pressure ke liye expose karega.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pair abhi thoda upar trading kar raha hai, haftay ke highs ke kareeb. Main resistance region ko test kiya ja raha hai, jo significant pressure ke neeche hai lekin apni integrity ko maintain kar raha hai. Iske central confirmation ke liye, confident growth 1.0837 ke neeche hone ki zarurat hai, jo central resistance zone ke border ko chhoota hua hai, aur yeh ek aur downward movement ke liye mauka dega, jiska target 1.0627 aur 1.0578 ke beech ka area hai.

Current situation se reversal breakout ke roop mein hoga, jab resistance level ko todte hue 1.0926 reversal level ke bahar jaayega. Chart neeche dekhein:

H4 ke qeemat ka amal technique
Jab hum is harkat ko mukammal karenge, toh mein zyada tar is level ke oopar rok ki talash karoonga taake mazeed faiday ke liye manzil mazboot ho. Agle kya hoga? Is hadd tak mukammal hone ke baad mein zyada durusti se keh sakta hoon. Hum yeh imkan ko khatam nahi kar sakte ke market 1.1069 ki taraf chala jaye, aur mujhe lagta hai ke bechraon ko EUR/USD jodi mein izafa karne mein mushkil ho sakti hai. Is waqt mein behtar hai ke mai ek farokht trade kholne ka tawajjo doon, bazaar ke muqablay ke imkan ke tajziyah ke baad. Jab trade mukammal ho jaye, toh manzil ko barabar karna hoga, jo ke nihayat mushkil ho sakta hai. Aaj, izafa ya girawat ke liye shara'it taqreeban kal jaisi hain. Wahi ahem levels jaise kal.

Aaj ke liye, asal ahem levels 1.0810 ka sath, aur rukawat 1.0930 ka, sath hi 1.0730 ka support, lekin aaj takraar ka kirdar 1.0810 ke support ko diya jayega. Agar 1.0810 ka sahara nahi toota, toh phir se is se umeedwar aaj ke kirdar 1.0940 ke ahem support ke rukh mein shayad bana payenge. Agar 1.0810 ka sahara tod diya gaya, toh yeh ek neeche ke rukh ka ban jaega 1.0730 ke support ki taraf, jo ke shayad kal tak nahi pahunch payega kyun ke yeh 1.0810 se bohot door hai aur pair din mein supports ke darmiyan se kam karta hai. Isliye, agar 1.0810 se 1.0750 tak ka support tod diya gaya, toh pair 1.0810 tak waapis aa sakta hai aur phir 1.0730 ki taraf ja sakta hai.






M30 ke qeemat ka amal hawala

Kal, bohot logon ne ek serious uttar ki harkat ke bare mein baat karna shuru kiya. Mein sirf yeh kahunga ke, meri rai mein aisa kuch nahi hai. 50 points ka ek trading range hai; 1.0859 ka ek maqami zyada hai, lekin yeh ooncha nahi hosakta. Mujhe 1.0900 ki figure ke baare mein bhi koi khwab nahi hai; aaj umeed ki jaane wali shetra 1.0871–1.0878 hai, jahan mein nakaar ki tijarat ko theek nahi samajhta. Mein nahi lagta ke aaj Euro kal ke muqablay mein nihayat zyada mutaharrik ho jayega.




Unhe jo kuch hasil kiya tha wo ab nahi bacha sakte the kyunki wo pehle se 1.0840 ke oopar the, aur isay, har lehaz se, yeh point hai jahan har cheez mazeed mushkil hogi. Isliye, hum uttar chale gaye, aur phir izafa sirf jari rahega, meri raay mein, aur humein darmiyan ke oopar 9th figure mein manzil tay karni hogi, kam az kam, lekin wahan hum phir se dakshin ki taraf bhi murh sakte hain. Bazaar mein qeemat mein ahem izafa hai, jo ek naye uthao ke liye naye mauqe kholega. Maslan, 1.0866 ka darja ek kashish wala qeemat darust karta hai, jahan se mazeed izafa shuru hone ka imkan hai.

Subah bakhair dosto, umeed hai is haftay hum behtareen performance ke saath tajziyaat karenge taake hum optimal munafa hasil kar sakein. Aur is moqay par mein Eur/Usd Pair par tajziyaat share karunga jo ke abhi H4 timeframe par aham resistance area ke qareeb pohnch chuki hai aur baad mein mein dono farokht aur khareed farokht positions se munafa hasil karne ki opportunities dhoondhun ga. Is liye, chaliye neeche H4 timeframe par technical tasavvurat ki taraf dekhte hain, aur agle ya mukhalif trends ke liye technical jayeza bhi karte hain.
H4 Technical Tasavvurat

Eur/Usd ka overall movement H4 timeframe mein ek downtrend phase mein hai, lekin buyers ki taqat abhi bhi qafi mazboot hai ke wo qeemat ko abhi ke liye qareebi resistance ki taraf utha sakti hai. Iske alawa, seller ne mazeed qeematon ko kam karne ka signal abhi tak nahi diya hai. Is liye, mein ne 1.0890 area par sab se qareebi SBR area ke tor par surk line di hai, phir dosri surk line 1.0980 level par H4 timeframe par mojood supply area ke tor par.

Phir, stochastic oscillator indicator almost overbought zone mein dakhil hone wala hai, lekin dono hare aur laal lines ka hal abhi tak golden cross nahi hua hai, is liye yeh abhi tak qeematon ko thoda aur izafa karne ka mauqa faraham karta hai. Aur volume indicator abhi tak slope wale graph ko banaye hue hai kyun ke bullish pressure abhi bhi zyada aggressive nahi hai.

Trend Ko Follow Karein

Farokht position sab se bari option hai kyun ke qeemat ka trend abhi bhi downtrend halat mein hai, aur hum ise shuru kar sakte hain jab qeemat SBR 1.0890 area mein retests kare jo ke H4 timeframe par mazboot resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Phir, agar sellers bearish pressure dene lagte hain, toh Eur/Usd apni kamzori ko 1.0710 zone ki taraf barhaega aur hum TP level ko us area mein rakh sakte hain.

Mukhalif Trend

Hum buy position le sakte hain agar qeemat 1.0800 level tak gir jaati hai aur jab buyers qeemat ko barhane lagte hain, hum ise foran execute kar sakte hain. Aur asal wajah ke hum buy position le rahe hain woh yeh hai ke volume indicator ne qeemat ke girne ka negative confirmation faraham kiya hai, jisse ek qabil-e-qubool reversal pattern bana hai. Phir hum TP target ko 1.0980 area mein rakh sakte hain yeh zaroori hai ke qeemat ke izafa pehle 1.0890 resistance zone ko paar kar sake. Yeh tha mera tajziya, shukriya aur phir milenge.