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  • #3691 Collapse

    Assalam Aalikum! Kaledi level indicator kuch naya nahin dikhata hai. Jodi ne channel ke oopri boundary aur wajbi zone par session ka aaghaz kiya. Mujhe lagta hai yah uptrend ka ishara kar sakta hai. Halankeh, mai abhi euro nahin kharidna chahta. Is scenario par amal karte hue, jodi 1.0495 par wapas aa sakti hai aur is satah se thoda ooper ho sakti hai kiyunkeh aaj Peer hai jiska matlab hai idle trading. Mujhe tawaqqo hai keh qimat me kami aayegi. Sath hi, mai nahin chahta keh yah 1.0535 ka test kare lekin aisa lagta hai keh yah inevitable hai.

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    • #3692 Collapse

      Re: Eur/usd

      eurusd 1. 0600 rukawat ki taraf chhalang laganay ke baad 1. 0500 ki nafsiati satah se neechay wapas aa raha hai. side ways 1. 0345 multi mah ki kam tareen satah ke andar aur 1.0780 par 1.1495 se 1.0345 tak neechay ki taang ki 38.2 % fibonacci retracement level takneeki isharay ke sath jari hai, manfi taasub ki tajweez karta hai.

      rsi mein manfi pehlu ka ulat jana aur macd oscillator mein sust rawi farokht ke dabao ka juwaz paish karti hai, dono apni ghair janabdaar had ke neechay rehtay hain aur qaleel mudti khatray ko neechay ki taraf mutwajjah karte hain.

      agar saylng forces ko mazboot hona chahiye to 1. 0345 ki paanch saal se ziyada ki kam tareen satah 1. 0220 support level ki taraf girnay se pehlay aik baar phir spot light mein aajay gi, jo July 2002 mein andar ki bulandi se li gayi thi. barabari ki satah se 1. 0000 par atay hain, jo manfi harkat ki toseeq kere ga.

      mutabadil tor par, 40 din ki saada moving average ( sma ) se oopar ka band currency ko 1.0615 ke 23.6 % fibco ki fori muzahmati satah tak le jaye ga. mamooli tor par ziyada, 20-din ka sma, jo 1.0635 muzahmat ke sath over laip hota hai, 1.0700 par darmiyani muddat ke nuzool rujhan ko poora karne se pehlay taizi ki karwaiyon ko rokkk sakta hai. is se agay, 1.0780 ke 38.2 % fibco tak pahonch sakti hai.


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      • #3693 Collapse

        EUR/USD, 2021

        Assalam Aalikum! Americi Federal Reserve ne waqai daramayi taur par khel ke qawaneen ko tabdil karna shuru kar diya hai. Americi karobar wazeh taur par bank se qarz lene ke ikhrajat me izafe se pareshan hain, lekin mujhe lagta hai keh woh is se nupat lenge. Jahan tak Europe ka talluq hai, Fransisi sadar Emmanuel Macron Itwar ko hone wale legislative elections me National Assembly ka control kho diya, lekin European currency ne is khabar par bamushkil radde amal zahir kiya. Macron ka camp parliament me waqai aksariyat hasil karne me nakam raha. Is tarah, France ko siyasi falij ka samna karne ka khatrah hai. Sirf ek chiz jis ko madde nazar rakha ja sakta hai woh hai French government bond yields me izafa, jo is bat ki nishandahi karta hai keh sarmayakar ghabra rahe hain. Tejarati chart ke mutabiq, euro/dollar ka joda 1.0487 aur 1.0570 ki satahon ke darmiyan karobar karta rahta hai. Qimat ke istehkam ko wazeh taur par ghasita gaya hai. Ab mai kisi natije par pahunch kar jodi ki simt ko muqarrar nahin karna chahta. Mai breakout ki simt me karobar karne ke liye range ke breakout ka intezar karunga. Takniki ishare ke mutabiq, sab se zyada imkani scenario batata hai keh qimat 1.0570 ki satah ka test karne ke liye badhengi aur fir shayad is nishan se ooper toot jayengi.

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        • #3694 Collapse

          EUR/USD, 2021

          Assalam Aalikum! Euro/dollar ki jodi ne pichle karobari din ko is se bahar nikalne ki koi koshish kiye begair hadd me mustahkam karte hue guzara. Yahan tak keh ECB President Christine Lagarde ke bayanat bhi imat ko mutassir karne me nakam rahe. Aaj, is jode ne karobari din ka aaghaz duabara faide ke sath kiya. Is tarah, mujhe yaqin hai keh quotes mumkena taur par oopri raftar hasil karenge. Yaqinan, mere pas abhi tak apne mafruze ki koi takniki tasdiq nahin hai. Yahan tak keh agar yah scenario durust ho jaye to mai shayad hi market me dakhil ho sakun.

          Agar qimat muqami muzahmat satah se ooper mustahkam hone me kamyab ho jati hai to, jo keh 21-day exponential moving average ke mawafiq hai to, tawaqqo hai keh qimat 1.07582 par waqe muzahmati satah ki taraf badhegi. Is muzahmati satah ke qarib, mai ummid karta hun keh reversal signal banega aur qimat dubara niche ki taraf movement shuru karegi.

          Agar qimat aaj 1.05325 ki muzahmati satah yah 21 EMA ki shakal me mutaharik muzahmati satah se turning candlestick banati hai to, qimat taqriban 1.03589 ki support satah ki taraf badh jayegi. Agar qimat ishara kardah support satah se niche fix ho jati hai to, jode se apni mandi ki harkat jari rakhne ki tawaqqo hai. Is surat me, 1.01730 par waqe support satah ko niche ke rujhan ke hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Is support satah ke qarib, trading setup ban sakta hai, jo hamein jode ki mazid simt ko muqarrar karne me madad karega.

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          • #3695 Collapse

            Assalam Aalikum! Kal, jodi sideways channel ke andar karobar kar rahi thi aur aaj ham iske nataij dekj sakte hain. Today, tejarati channel ko ooper ki taraf mutaqil kar diya gaya hai. Filhal, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh qimat neele scenario par amal karegi jaisa keh chart par nishan zad hai. Yah lazmi zone se guzarte hue 1.0579 tak pahunch sakta hai. Mai hadaf ko ooper muqarrar nahin karta hun kiyunkeh chart par pahli tashkil teen lahron ke pattern ki numaendagi karti hai jiske natije me wedge badh sakta hai. Kal, imkan hai keh qimat mazid tin wave ooper ki taraf banaegi aur fir islah shuru karegi. Surkh scenario se pata chalta hai keh qimat kam hoti hai kiyunkeh channel ki hadd 1.0469 tak badh gayi hai. Iske alawa, hamare ab bhi niche ek achut wajbi zone hai.

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            • #3696 Collapse

              Euro futures par, mai aaj ya kal qimat ke 1.07445 ke ilaqe tak pahunchne ka intezar kar raha hun. Iske bad, jodi me kami aane ka imkan hai. Aaya yah pichli nichli satah ka dubara test karega ya nahin yah kahna abhi mushkil hai.

              Aam taur par, filhal mazid taraqqi ke liye koi sharayat nahin hai. Aaj, market European union ke kuch mumalik ke debt crisis ke hawale se Christine Lagarde (agar koi hai to) ke bayan ki tawaqqo hai. Agar Yunan, Italy aur digar ko block kar diya jata hai to, ECB ka un mumalik par koi leverage nahin hoga. Yah European Union me inteshar ka bayas ban sakta hai. Lekin yah sirf mere khayalat hain. Is dauran, mujhe lagta hai keh qimat 1.074 ki satah par aa jayegi aur agar mustaqbil ke bare me bat ki jaye to 1.033 ki taraf naya downward cycle shuru karegi. Spot market par, nichli satah ka pahle hi test kiya ja chuka hai, lekin futures market par - abhi tak nahi. Hamein waqai mazid taraqqi ke liye ise hasil karne ki zarurat hai.

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              • #3697 Collapse

                Assalam Aalikum!

                Meri kharidari ki positions nakam rahi aur mai ab bhi nahin samajh sakta keh kya ghalat hua. Euro futures contract wazeh taur par zahir karta hai keh farokht ghalib hai aur qimat niche ja rahi hai. Short flat movements ke dauran bhi suratehal waisi hi thi: market bik rahi thi aur qimat gir rahi thi. Mujhe lagta hai keh downward movement pullback ke andar thi, aur qimat bad me 1.0550 par wapas aa jayegi. Fir hamein dekhna chahiye khe aaya yah yaumiyah unchai ka dubara test karta hai ya nahin.

                Din ki nayi nichli satah pahle hi hasil ki ja chuki hai, lehaza long positions aaj ke liye mansukh kar di gayi hain. Jahan tak short positions ki bat hai, mere pas wahan kuch bhi nahin bacha hai. Maine kal ki kami ka ishara nahin dekha ya nahin dekhna chahta tha. Mujhe ummid hai keh market 1.05-1.0550 ki hadd me hajam ko jama karegi. 1.0450 ki satah ki taraf badhna is hafte ke liye uptrend ko mukammal taur par mansukh kar dega.

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                • #3698 Collapse

                  EUR/USD

                  Tejarati sargarmiyan filhal sust hain. Euro/dollar ka joda dubara 1.0581 ki mazbut satah par pahunch gaya. Is waqt, mai short positions par gaur nahin karta hun. Halankeh, ho sakta hai kisi ne rebound ko paka ho. Is tarah, qimat acchi tarah se kam ho sakti hai. Mera hadaf ab bhi sab se ooper hai, 1.1143 ka nishan. Agar qimat 1.0581 ki mazbut satah ko todne me kamyab ho jati hai to, mai long ke liye jaunga. Put-call ratio ke mutabiq, sab se zyada imkani scenario jode ki bad me hone wali namo ki tajwiz karta hai. Halankeh, jab tak qimat 1.0581 ki satah se niche hai, munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqa short positions kholna hai.

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                  • #3699 Collapse

                    Assalam Aalikum!

                    Agar traders musalsal fa-aal taur par euro farokht karte rahte hain to, jodi jald hi 1.0400 ki satah par wapas aane ka imkan hai. Takniki nuqtah nazar se, qimat channel me 1.0441 aur 1.0600 ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai. Pichle hafte se, bulls 1.06 area se ooper toot kar wahan settle hone ke liye jaddo jahad kar rahe hain. Lehaza maine European currency farokht karne ka faisla kiya. Yah aaj ke session ke liye mera mansuba hai:

                    1. Mazid farokht ke hawale se, munafa hasil karne ke liye pahla muqam 1.0441 ki support satah bilkul ooper hoga.

                    2. Naye sell orders lagane ke liye signal 1.0441 ke bilkul niche milna chahiye. Lekin sab se pahle, hamein qimat ke 1.0360 ki satah tak pahunchne ka intezar karna hoga aur fir ooper pullback karna hoga.

                    3. Pullback mukammal karne par, ham ek mauqa le sakte hain aur euro par nayi short positions khol sakte hain;

                    4. Agar ham jodi kharidne ke bare me bat karte hain to, kharidne ke liye pahla signal 1.0600 se ooper milna chahiye;

                    5. Dusre alfaz me, kharidaron ko 1.06 zone ke ooper qadam jamane ki zarurat hai.

                    6. Niche diye gaye chart par, mai long jane ke liye takhmini scenario ki marketing karta hun.

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                    • #3700 Collapse

                      Assalam Aalikum!

                      Yah sach hai keh yaumiyah candlestick zyada mandi ka shikar nazar aati hai. Agarcheh yah munasib bearish pin bar nahin hai, lekin market me is qadar kam utar chadhaw ke darmiyan ise dekhna accha hai.

                      Kam waqt ke time frames par, qimat 1.0500 ki support satah ke qarib bani hui hai. Is satah se niche karobar 1.0455 ki himayat ki taraf mazid kami ki tasdiq karti hai. Kal, qimat is tarah kami ki himayat karte hue, ascending channel ko chor diya hai. Iska matlab hai keh bulls apni zamin kho chuke hain, aur intraday chart par takniki setup kam o besh gahir jandar ho gaya hai. Is se pahle, market par bulls ka mukammal control tha. Aaiye dekhte hain keh yah kaise chalta hai. Agar quotes 1.0500 ki himayat ko tod deti hai to, suratehal bears ke liye zyada sazgar ho jayegi. Iske bawajud, ek mukammal niche ka rujhan taiyar karne ke liye, bears ko 1.0455 ke raqbe se niche tootne ki zarurat hai. Trading mazid mazbut hoti ja rahi hai kiyunkeh hamein mazid tazah muaashi data milta hai aur iske alawa, aaj hafte ka wat hai. Mai kah sakta hun keh mausame garma ka mode jari hai kiyunkeh in dino karobar bahut ahista chal rahi hai.

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                      • #3701 Collapse

                        EUR/USD, 2021

                        Assalam Aalikum!

                        Market ki maujudah suratehal ghair yaqini hai. European union mein tarkeen watan ki aamad khitte ki maishat par bhi dawab dal rahi hai. Federal reserve ke sadar Jerome Powell ne pahle kaha tha keh Americi maishat ki ahista ahista taraqqi ke sath, sud ki sherah me izafe ke bad mulk me tez eqtesadi taraqqi dekhne ko milegi. Kya waqai? iske bare mein hamein sal ke aakhir tak pata chal jayega, halankeh mahereen is mausame khezan ko khabron ke lehaz se masroof tarin daur samajhte hain.

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                        Takniki nuqtah nazar se, agar euro/dollar ka joda 1.0780 ke raqbe par wapas aa jata hai to, iske pas bulandi ko todne ka har ek mauqa hoga, is tarah iski ooper ki ooper ki harkat ki tasdiq hogi. Bahar hal, is bat ka imkan hai keh qimat me kami aayegi aur range ki nicli hadd tak pahunch jayegi. Is surat me, paltaw ki ummid hai. Aalmi satah par, quotes niche ke rujhan me aage badh rahi hain. Is tarah, qadar me izafe ko islah samjha jana chahiye.

                           
                        • #3702 Collapse

                          EUR/USD, 2021

                          Assalam Aalikum!

                          Mukhtasar muddat me, kharidaron ne bartari hasil ki hai, is tarah ek musalsal ooper ki taraf islah ka mauqa paida hua hai. Is tarah, single European currency is waqt ascending channel me karobar kar rahi hai. 1.0505 - 1.0465 ka raqba ab support ke taur par kam karta hai. Agar qimat is hadd se niche fix ho jati hai to bears ke pas bulls ko qimat ko niche le jane ka mauqa hoga. Halankeh, bulls qimat ko nichli hadd se ooper ki taraf badhate rahte hain. Lehaza, euro/dollar ke jode me izafe me tausie ka imkan hai.

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                          Quotes ke maujudah muqam ko long positions ke liye munafa baksh entry point ke taur par shumar kiya ja sakta hai. Is tarah, 1.0605 - 1.0650 ke raqbe ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Jahan tak intraday trading ki bat hai, munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqa long jana hai, qimat ko nichli hadd se oopri hadd tak le jana hai. Halankeh, darmiyani muddat ka rujhan ab bhi niche ki taraf hai. Lehaza, maujudah satah par farokht karne walon ko kam nahin samjha jana chahiye. Channel ki ek ya dusri boundary ka breakout hamein jodi ki mazid simt ko muqarrar karne me madad karega. Mujhe ummid hai keh quotes 1.0465 - 1.0650 ke ilaqe ki taraf jayenge.

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                          • #3703 Collapse

                            EUR/USD

                            Kal, mujhe ummid thi keh jodi kam ho jayegi lekin aisa nahin hua. Joda chalang laga kar 1.0601 tak pahunch gaya aur samjha jata hai keh yah uptrend ko khatam kar dega lekin yah badhna jari rakh sakta hai jaisa keh ghantawar chart hamein dikhata hai. Filhal, mujhe lagta hai keh jodi 1.0510 - 1.0520 tak pullback karegi aur is ilaqe se long positions kholna chahta hun jiske stop loss order ko kal ke kam se thoda niche rakkha gaya hai.

                            Kal, EUR/USD ke jodi ne 1.0601 ki kam swing ko ched diya. Is jode ke liye apni rally jari rakhne ki koi thos wajah nahin hai lekin ise 4 ghante ke chart par zigzag mukammal karne ki zarurat hai. Qimat abhi niche nahin gayi hai isliye mai jode ke badhne ka intezar kar raha hun aur fir mai 1.0650 se euro farokht karunga.

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                            • #3704 Collapse

                              EUR/USD, 2021

                              Assalam Aalikum! D1 chart ke mutabiq, euro/dollar joda chadhte hue trend line se ucchal gaya hai aur filhal ooper ki taraf badh raha hai. Jaisa keh aap dekh sakte hain kharidar qimat ko badhane me kamyab rahe takeh yah 1.0568 par 50% Fibonacci level ki satah ko niche se kayi bar tod sake lekin iske ooper mazbut hone me nakam rahe. Ab yah joda 1.0529 ke nishan par karobar kar raha hai. Takniki indicators aur moving averages hamein farokht ke signal faraham karte hain. Gold Bands indicator jode par short positions kholne ke mauqe ki taraf bhi ishara karta hai. Bollinger Bands aur TMA niche ki taraf badh rahe hain. Qimat filhal oopri rujhan me aage badh rahi hai, lekin imkan hai keh yah 1.0433 - 1.0435 ki satah se niche ki taraf mud jaye. Shayad aaj ham qimat ko ooper se niche ki taraf badhte hue channel ko todte hue dekhenge.

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                              • #3705 Collapse

                                EUR/USD, 2021

                                Assalam Aalikum!

                                Euro/dollar ka joda sideways me karobar jari rakhe hue hai. Iske alawa, iski range 1.05-1.0550 tak mahdud ho gayi hai.

                                Is tarah ki dabi hui harkiyat ke sath, munafa kamana na mumkin hai.

                                Is tarah, mai aaj ke liye koi hadaf muqarrar nahin karta hun. Lower time frames range-bound trading ki taraf ishara karte hain. H4 chart ke mutabiq, ooper ki taraf wave matluba hai lekin zaruri nahin hai. Thoda sa divergence hai, jiska flat ke sath test kiya ja sakta hai. Lehaza, H4 chart par ooper ki movement ka imkan hai.

                                Sath hi, open positions ka tanasub zahir karta hai keh long positions ka hajam short positions se zyada hai.

                                Halankeh, farq itna numaya nahin hai. Is tarah, koi bhi yaqin se nahin kah sakta keh euro/dollar ka joda niche ke rujhan me aage badh raha hai.

                                Lehaza, mujhe lagta hai keh behtarin tariqa yah hai keh trading se gurez kiya jaye aur sirf market ko dekha jaye. Jab qimat 1.05-1.06 ki hadd se bahar ho jayegi to, mai market me dakhil hounga.

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