usd/chf

Swiss Franc ne pichle do dinon se is ke qeemat ko pakar liya hai. Kal yeh qareeban 0.8945 zone tak pohanch chuka tha. Aur khareedne walay ab bhi apni qeemat ko US ke manfi khabar-e-warzish ke bais gawara nahi kar pa rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, hamari strategy ka aik ahem tajziya hai ke hamain USD/CHF market ko mutasir karne wale khabron par tawajjo deni chahiye. Masalan, SNB ke taraf se monitory policy ke tabdeeliyon ke ilaanat Swiss Franc par bare asar andaz ho sakte hain.
Isi tarah, America se aham economic data jaise ke rozgar figures, GDP ke taraqqi dar aur mehngai ke statistics, US Dollar ki qeemat par asar andaz ho sakte hain. In waqiyat se mutasir hone ke liye maloomat hasil karna hamain market ki harkaton ko samajhne aur apni trading positions ko mutabiq adjust karne mein madad deta hai. Trading ke liye, agle trading haftay mein main USD/CHF ke liye ek khareedne ka order pasand karta hoon. Aur, qeemat 0.8975 zone ke baad se guzar sakti hai.

USD/CHF ke mamle mein, hamain apni strategy ke doosre rukn par qaim rehna chahiye, jise technical analysis kehte hain. Keemat ke charts ka jaaiza lene se, support aur resistance levels ka pata lagane se, aur technical indicators ka istemal kar ke, hamain trade mein dakhil aur nikalne ke liye sab se munasib waqt maloom ho sakta hai. Yeh tajziyati approach hamain behtar faislay lene mein madad deta hai aur hamari munafa hasil karne ki salahiyat ko optimize karta hai. Is ke ilawa, support zones ke neeche stop-loss orders lagana hamari positions ko bechaini ke bina par market ke palatne se bachata hai, jis se mogheye nuqsaan ko had tak mehdood kiya jata hai. Yeh strategy yeh yakeen karta hai ke hamara risk exposure mustahkam tareeqe se manage ho raha hai, jo ke hamain maal ki hifazat karna aur lambay arsay tak apni trading activities ko barqarar rakhne mein madad deta hai.

USD/CHF currency pair ki price behavior ko bohot nazar se dekha gaya hai. US dollar ne aakhri waqt mein mukhtalif market sentiment management ka samna kiya. Ye manipulation Powell ke taqreer ke aik haftay pehle aur us waqt zahir hui. Media ne jaldi report kar diya ke Fed September mein rates cut karega, halanke Powell ne isay khud se confirm nahi kiya. Jabke unka tone zyada dovish tha, magar specific details ki kami thi. Rate cut shayad US elections ke baad November ya December mein ho, aur agar September mein bhi ho, to initially US dollar ko mazid majbooti mil sakti hai. Support level 0.8434 par hai, aur is level ke neeche interest kam hota ja raha hai. Powell ke taqreer ke baad, USD/CHF ne Friday ko triangle se breakout dikhaya, aur 0.8434 support level ka test hone ka imkaan hai, jahan buyer interest mojood hai. Lekin, pair abhi bhi bohot zyada overbought hai, jo bullish sentiment ko momentum gain karne se rok raha hai, jabke interest 0.8434 ke neeche kam ho raha hai.


USD/CHF currency pair ki price behavior ko bohot nazar se dekha gaya hai. US dollar ne aakhri waqt mein mukhtalif market sentiment management ka samna kiya. Ye manipulation Powell ke taqreer ke aik haftay pehle aur us waqt zahir hui. Media ne jaldi report kar diya ke Fed September mein rates cut karega, halanke Powell ne isay khud se confirm nahi kiya. Jabke unka tone zyada dovish tha, magar specific details ki kami thi. Rate cut shayad US elections ke baad November ya December mein ho, aur agar September mein bhi ho, to initially US dollar ko mazid majbooti mil sakti hai. Support level 0.8434 par hai, aur is level ke neeche interest kam hota ja raha hai. Powell ke taqreer ke baad, USD/CHF ne Friday ko triangle se breakout dikhaya, aur 0.8434 support level ka test hone ka imkaan hai, jahan buyer interest mojood hai. Lekin, pair abhi bhi bohot zyada overbought hai, jo bullish sentiment ko momentum gain karne se rok raha hai, jabke interest 0.8434 ke neeche kam ho raha hai.

USD/CHF currency pair temporarily abhi ke level se neeche gir sakta hai, lekin ye zyada significant decline nahi hoga. Mujhe Monday ko growth ka movement dekhne ki ummeed hai. Pichle haftay, Switzerland ka negative report dollar par pressure banata raha jab investors Fed chair ki taqreer ka intezar kar rahe the. Ab jab ye events ho chuke hain, market mein correction zaroori lagti hai. Halanke pair 82nd price range tak gir sakta hai, lekin near future mein tezi se recovery ka tajwez hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/CHF Monday ko 0.84 tak barhega, aur hum is point se situation ko re-evaluate kar sakte hain







USD/CHF currency pair temporarily abhi ke level se neeche gir sakta hai, lekin ye zyada significant decline nahi hoga. Mujhe Monday ko growth ka movement dekhne ki ummeed hai. Pichle haftay, Switzerland ka negative report dollar par pressure banata raha jab investors Fed chair ki taqreer ka intezar kar rahe the. Ab jab ye events ho chuke hain, market mein correction zaroori lagti hai. Halanke pair 82nd price range tak gir sakta hai, lekin near future mein tezi se recovery ka tajwez hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/CHF Monday ko 0.84 tak barhega, aur hum is point se situation ko re-evaluate kar sakte hain.

Swiss Franc ne pichle do dinon se is ke qeemat ko pakar liya hai. Kal yeh qareeban 0.8945 zone tak pohanch chuka tha. Aur khareedne walay ab bhi apni qeemat ko US ke manfi khabar-e-warzish ke bais gawara nahi kar pa rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, hamari strategy ka aik ahem tajziya hai ke hamain USD/CHF market ko mutasir karne wale khabron par tawajjo deni chahiye. Masalan, SNB ke taraf se monitory policy ke tabdeeliyon ke ilaanat Swiss Franc par bare asar andaz ho sakte hain.

Isi tarah, America se aham economic data jaise ke rozgar figures, GDP ke taraqqi dar aur mehngai ke statistics, US Dollar ki qeemat par asar andaz ho sakte hain. In waqiyat se mutasir hone ke liye maloomat hasil karna hamain market ki harkaton ko samajhne aur apni trading positions ko mutabiq adjust karne mein madad deta hai. Trading ke liye, agle trading haftay mein main USD/CHF ke liye ek khareedne ka order pasand karta hoon. Aur, qeemat 0.8975 zone ke baad se guzar sakti hai.

USD/CHF ke mamle mein, hamain apni strategy ke doosre rukn par qaim rehna chahiye, jise technical analysis kehte hain. Keemat ke charts ka jaaiza lene se, support aur resistance levels ka pata lagane se, aur technical indicators ka istemal kar ke, hamain trade mein dakhil aur nikalne ke liye sab se munasib waqt maloom ho sakta hai. Yeh tajziyati approach hamain behtar faislay lene mein madad deta hai aur hamari munafa hasil karne ki salahiyat ko optimize karta hai. Is ke ilawa, support zones ke neeche stop-loss orders lagana hamari positions ko bechaini ke bina par market ke palatne se bachata hai, jis se mogheye nuqsaan ko had tak mehdood kiya jata hai. Yeh strategy yeh yakeen karta hai ke hamara risk exposure mustahkam tareeqe se manage ho raha hai, jo ke hamain maal ki hifazat karna aur lambay arsay tak apni trading activities ko barqarar rakhne mein madad deta hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

Daily Timeframe

Daily chart par, ab ke liye purchases ko priority di jani chahiye, kyunki MACD aur CCI indicators par aik bullish divergence pehle hi form ho chuki hai. Is signal ki maujoodgi ke baad selling karna mushkil hai, khaaskar ke four-hour chart bhi growth ka indicate kar raha hai. Shayad future mein hum last year 2023 ka minimum 0.8327 tak bhi pohnch sakte hain, lekin filhal correction aur sales ko consider karna zyada sahi nahi hai. Sirf jab descending line tak pohnch jayenge tab hum downside enter karne ka soch sakte hain, magar abhi iske liye waqt aur jagah nahi hai.

Aaj ke liye note karne wali news:

• 16:45 Moscow time: US Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI)
• 17:00: US Construction Expenditures, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, ISM Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI)

H4 Hour

Chaliye H4 period chart ko dekhte hain - USDCHF currency pair par. Naya trading week kuch growth ke sath shuru hua, jaise ke pehle expect kiya gaya tha. Jab ke yahan wave structure apni downward construction ko maintain kar raha hai, MACD indicator upper zone mein aur apni signal line ke upar hai. August ke shuruat ka low update ho gaya tha, aur yeh potential purchase zone bana tha. Growth ke liye ek signal tha - bullish divergence. Yeh confirm hua jab ek mirror level 0.8454 par ban gaya, resistance support mein tabdeel ho gaya, aur level 0.8454 ka direction change ho gaya. Price ne isse upar se test kiya, yeh buying ke liye entry point tha, aur stop loss low ke peechay rakha gaya. Iske baad, price upar chali gayi. Ek baar phir se is level ka upar se test hone ki sambhavnayein hain, jaisa ke CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche jane ke liye ready hai. Lekin, selling ka sochna nahi chahiye, kyunki level par phir se wapas aane ka chance nahi hai. Direct opponent pair, EUR/USD, further decline ki taraf aim kar raha hai, jo yahan growth ke liye favorable hai. Mera assumption hai ke price continue karegi rise aur jaldi hi descending line tak pohnch jayegi jo waves ke tops ke upar se guzar rahi hai.

USD/CHF D1 chart

Analysis ke natayej mein, Simple Moving Average 150 aur Simple Moving Average 60 indicators ki madad se, dono abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain aur candlestick ki position inke neeche hai. Ye halat mahine ke akhir tak chalne ke imkaan hai agar sellers market ko consistently 0.8500 ke price level ke neeche barqarar rakh sakein. MACD indicator ke instructions dekhte hue, histogram bar zero level ke neeche hai aur size abhi bhi medium hai, jo ek strong bearish trend ko darshata hai. Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ki Lime line level 30 ke qareeb hai. Teen support indicators ke monitoring ke natayej ne bearish trend ki taraf hi ishara kiya hai.

USD/CHF currency pair ki live pricing movements ka analysis karte hue, maine 30-minute time frame pe Bollinger Bands aur vertical tick volume histograms ko use kiya. Ab pair 0.84206 pe trade kar raha hai aur selling pressure zyada noticeable lag raha hai. Main sell positions ko 0.84311 se start karne ka plan kar raha hoon, with a target profit level Bollinger Band ke lower boundary par, jo ke abhi 0.84137 hai. Agar price neeche chalti rahi, to Bollinger Band ka lower boundary thoda aur neeche adjust ho sakta hai, lekin zyada nahi. Mera stop-loss 0.84311 ke just above hoga. Agar buyers price ko is level se upar push karte hain, to mai buy position lene ki salahiyat de raha hoon, growth ke potential par focus karte hue. Jab tak ye nahi hota, main sellers ke sath hi rahunga. Main apni position ko tab band karunga jab price 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level par 0.83611 tak pohnchayegi.

USD/CHF pair ke D1 chart ko dekhte hue, jo bearish momentum pichle hafte shuru hui thi, wo is hafte bhi continue kar rahi hai. Wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator lower zone mein apni signal line ke neeche hai. Price ne recently August ke low ko update kiya aur ho sakta hai ke saal ka low 0.8328 jo 2023 mein dekha gaya tha, tak pohnche. Halanki recent August ka low technical indicators par bullish divergence trigger kar raha hai, jo is signal ko darshata hai ke aage selling advisable nahi hai. Price last year's minimum tak seedha nahi pohnchegi, kyunki bullish divergence ek correction trigger kar sakta hai. Market mein uncertainty ko dekhte hue, buy formations par consider karna achha ho sakta hai, khaaskar lower intraday periods mein. Iske ilawa, euro-dollar ke khilaf direct pair bhi decline hua hai, jo USD/CHF pair ke potential growth ko support kar sakta hai.

Usdchf currency pair ke price movement ko sellers ki taraf se dabaav se ghira hua nazar aata hai H4 timeframe par. 0.87460 - 0.87743 base area mein ek ahem inkaar ke baad, sellers ne kaafi taqat se market mein dobara dakhil hone shuru ki. Isne keemat ko nihayat consistent taur par neeche le jane ka asar dikhaya jo ek musalsal bearish pattern dikhata hai. Ye price action yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ab bhi keemat ke movement par qaboo rakhte hain khaaskar jab unhone base ke ird gird banayi gayi resistance area ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka samna kiya. Agar hum H4 timeframe par technical analysis dekhte hain to 0.87460 - 0.87743 base level ek mazboot supply area lagta hai jahan price ise oopar se guzarne mein qasir rehti hai aur aakhir mein neeche laut aati hai. Ye halat kaafi zyada bearish dabao ko darust karti hai jisme prices ab pehle ke low level ke qareeb 0.84400 ki taraf barhne lagti hain. Pehle ke low level 0.84400 ne pehle ahem support ke tor par kaam kiya tha aur yeh ek ahem area hai jise traders ko tawajjo deni chahiye khaaskar un logon ke liye jo dekhna chahte hain ke kya wahan kisi inkaar ya breakout ka amal hota hai.

USD / CHF D1 Chart:

D1 chart main anay wale waqt mein sellers ka market mein mazboot qabza dekhte hue sab se zyada mumkin hai ke 0.84400 level dobara imtehan mein liya jaye. Sab se bada sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh level sellers ke dabaav ko bardasht kar sakega aur movalid support banega ya toot jayega. Agar is level par inkar hota hai to ek mauqa hai ke yeh support qaim rahe aur keemat ko palatna ya kam az kam correction karne ka imkan ho sakta hai phir bearish trend jari rakhne se pehle. Ulta agar 0.84400 support level bearish dabaav ka muqabla na kar sake to keemat zyada tar girne ka silsila jari rahega aur is level ko tor degi. 0.84400 ke neeche breakout hona ek taqatwar signal hoga ke sellers ab bhi market par qaboo rakhte hain aur ek gehri bearish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Agar breakout hota hai to agle maqsood ko dhoondhne ke liye 0.84400 ke neeche naye support levels par nazar rakhi jani chahiye.

### D-1 Chart Technical Outlook USD/CHF

Aaj ke liye, USD/CHF 0.85 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur yeh trading confidence ko dikhata hai. Abhi tak koi bara tabdeeli nahi hui hai aur downward movement abhi bhi chal rahi hai. Minimum abhi tak update nahi hui, isliye aur neeche jaane ki potential hai. Aaj Switzerland ke GDP ke positive data ne kuch support diya hai, lekin aage ka trading bhi important hai. Agle dinon mein humein US ke naye indices milenge jo market ko affect kar sakte hain. Mere liye long-term outlook yeh hai ke agar USD/CHF 0.8330 ke niche jaata hai, tab main wahan buying consider karunga, khas taur pe short-term ke liye jab market thoda pullback dikhaaye.

### H-4 Chart Technical Outlook USD/CHF

US ne USD sell-off ko activate kiya hai aur USD/CHF 0.85 ke support level ko test kar raha hai, jo EMA50 ke form mein hai. Bulls resistance ka saamna nahi kar rahe hain aur US manufacturing sector ke business activity data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Agar support se rebound hota hai, to bullish move ki expectation ho sakti hai jiska target 0.8540 ka resistance test karna hoga. Agar breakout hota hai, to pair 0.8470 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Abhi tak kisi specific news ne dollar ko neeche push nahi kiya hai, lekin long weekend ke baad Americans ne pre-market mein US stock index ko wapas kharida, jo dollar ko neeche le aaya. Ab stock market ki official opening aur US statistics ka intezaar hai, jo market sentiment ko affect kar sakte hain. Dekhte hain ke future mein trading kis direction mein jaati hai.

Agar hum USD/CHF currency pair ke chart par maujooda halat ko dekhein, to is waqt ek wazeh bullish formation nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke is pair ki price ko upar ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Agar ye current price formation barqarar rehti hai aur price 0.8472 ke niche consolidate nahi karti, to is scenario ke mutabiq, yahaan se price 0.8571 tak barh sakti hai. Wahan se price 0.8521 tak neeche aa sakti hai taake us level ko test kiya ja sake.

Agar ye halat sach mein aise hi hoti hai aur USD/CHF ka level 0.8521 price ko neeche nahi jane deta, to 0.8521 se price phir se tezi se upar ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ke 0.8649 ke level tak pahunchegi, jahan pe accumulated money volumes hain. America ne US dollar ko sell off kar diya hai, aur USD/CHF filhaal 0.85 pe EMA50 support level ko test kar raha hai. Bulls resistance offer nahi kar rahe aur lagta hai woh US manufacturing sector ke business activity data ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Agar support se rebound hoti hai, to is se growth ka signal milega, jis ka maqsad 0.8540 pe resistance ko test karna hai. Agar is resistance ko break karna possible hota hai, to pair 0.8470 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Filhaal bears support ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain. News mein aaj kal aisa kuch nahi hai jo dollar ko giraye, lekin lagta hai long weekend ke baad Americans ne US stock indices ko pre-market mein buy back karna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke dollar ko girane ka sabab ban raha hai. Dekhna ye hoga ke stock market ke official opening pe kya hota hai aur US mein kon se statistics release hoti hain.

In sab halaton ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke traders market ki current situation aur possible future movements ko dhyan se monitor karein. Support aur resistance levels ko sahi se samajhkar trading decisions lena faydemand rahega. USD/CHF ka behavior aur market ki dynamics, dono hi aage ke price movements ko shape karenge.

**USD/CHF D1 Chart Analysis**

USD/CHF ka D1 chart dekhte hue, Simple Moving Average (SMA) 150 aur SMA 60 dono abhi bhi downward trend dikhate hain. Candlestick position in dono moving averages ke neeche hai, jo ye darshata hai ke yeh condition mahine ke aakhri tak jari reh sakti hai agar sellers market mein dominance banaaye rakhein aur price level 0.8500 ke neeche rahe. MACD indicator ke instructions ke mutabiq, histogram bar zero level ke neeche hai aur iska size bhi medium hai, jo strong bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Relative Strength Index (14) ka Lime line level 30 ke paas hai. In teen support indicators ke results se lagta hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai.

USD/CHF currency pair ki live dynamics ko 30-minute time frame pe analyze kar raha hoon. Bollinger Bands aur vertical tick volume histograms ko dekhte hue, pair abhi 0.84206 pe trade kar raha hai aur selling pressure zyada hai. Main sell positions 0.84311 se open karne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur target profit level Bollinger Band ke lower boundary pe hai, jo abhi 0.84137 pe hai. Agar price neeche move karti rahi, toh lower boundary thodi aur niche adjust ho sakti hai, magar zyada nahi. Mera stop-loss 0.84311 se thoda upar hoga. Agar buyers price ko is level ke upar push karte hain, toh buy position lene ka suggestion hai, focusing on potential growth. Tab tak main sellers ke side par hoon aur position close karunga jab price 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level pe 0.83611 pe pahunchti hai.

USD/CHF pair ke D1 chart ko dekhte hue, bearish momentum jo pichle hafte shuru hua tha, ab current week mein bhi continue ho raha hai. Wave structure downward hai, aur MACD indicator bhi lower zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Price ne recently August ka low update kiya hai aur shayad saal ke low 0.8328 ke paas bhi jaa sakta hai, jo 2023 mein dekha gaya tha. Halanki August ke recent low ne technical indicators pe bullish divergence ko trigger kiya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke further selling shayad advisable nahi hai. Price seedha last year's minimum tak nahi pahunchti, kyunki bullish divergence correction ko trigger kar sakta hai. Market ke uncertainty ko dekhte hue, lower intraday periods mein buy formations par consider karna wise ho sakta hai. Direct pair against euro-dollar bhi decline hua hai, jo USD/CHF pair mein potential growth ko support kar sakta hai.

### USD/CHF Market Analysis - September 03, 2024

Aaj Swiss inflation data report (CPI m/m) release hui hai, jiska nateeja 0.0% hai, jo pehle -0.2% tha. Is neutral inflation result ke sath, USDCHF pair ki price increase ka rally jaari rehne ki ummeed hai. Trend bhi bullish hai kyunke EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ko cross karke golden cross signal diya hai. Agar rally EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke upar consistent rahti hai, to price structure break hone ka bhi chance ho sakta hai. Invalidation level 0.8540 abhi ke price range ke nazdeek hai aur current price 0.8500 ke psychological level ke upar hai, jo ke ek significant level hai.

Lekin, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator bearish divergence signal de raha hai. Histogram volume jo positive area ya level 0 ke upar hai, USDCHF pair ke price increase ke sath match nahi kar raha. Is ka matlab hai ke price rally ke sath AO indicator ka momentum align nahi ho raha. Sath hi, Stochastic indicator ke parameters bar-bar overbought zone ke aas paas cross kar rahe hain, jo indicate kar raha hai ke buying ka saturation point aa gaya hai aur price increase ab thoda slow ho sakta hai.

**Trading Plan:**
Abhi bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye kyunke golden cross signal abhi naya hai aur bullish trend ka support hai. Entry position tab karni chahiye jab price EMA 50 ya 0.8507 ke nazdeek correction show kare. Confirmation ke liye, Stochastic indicator parameters ko level 50 se level 20 ke beech crossing ke liye dekhein. Jab tak AO indicator histogram consistently level 0 ya positive area ke upar rahe. High prices 0.8540 ko take profit ke liye target banayein aur stop loss ko low prices 0.8484 par set karein. Ye strategy aapko trend ki volatility aur price fluctuations ke sath deal karne mein madad karegi aur profit potential ko maximize karegi.

### USDCHF Fibonacci Analysis aur Trading Strategy

USDCHF currency pair filhal 0.85232 ki price par trade kar raha hai, jo ek aham Fibonacci zone mein hai. Yeh analysis Fibonacci levels par base hai jo pichle din ke daily candle se projected hain, jahan Fibonacci grid ko candle ke high aur low points ka use karke set kiya gaya. Khaskar, Fibonacci grid ko 0.85360 ke high aur 0.84838 ke low ka use karke establish kiya gaya hai.

Abhi, price 100% level (0.85360) aur 50% level (0.85099) ke beech hai. 100% level recent upward movement ka peak hai, jabke 50% level midpoint ko represent karta hai. Price ka is range ke andar hona yeh indicate karta hai ke market bullish sentiment maintain kar rahi hai. Yeh bullish bias is baat se bhi supported hai ke price 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar hai, jo aksar uptrend mein ek critical support point hota hai.

Is analysis ke madde nazar, meri trading strategy buying opportunities par focus karna hai, selling ki bajaye, kyunke market bullish hai. Main teen key Fibonacci levels par entry points dhoond raha hoon: 50% level par 0.85099, 61.8% level par 0.85161, aur 76.4% level par 0.85237. Ye levels significant support zones hain jahan price bounce kar sakti hai, aur yeh potential buy positions ke liye achi entry points hain.

Meri profit-taking strategy extended Fibonacci levels par focus karti hai, jo 123.6% (0.85483) aur 138.2% (0.85559) hain. Ye levels potential resistance zones ko represent karte hain jahan market upward pressure face kar sakti hai aur shayad reverse ho ya pullback de sakti hai. Is liye, yeh levels profit zone ke roop mein identify kiye gaye hain. Market ke retracement ya fading ki high probability ko dekhte hue, main plan karta hoon ke jab price in target levels tak pohnche, tab positions close karoon taake gains secure kiye ja sakein.

Agli trading day ke shuruat par, main is trading plan ko naye market developments ya price actions ke basis par refine karunga. Isme Fibonacci levels ko dobara assess karna aur strategy ko evolving market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna shamil hoga.

Key Fibonacci retracement levels par entries aur extended levels par exits par focus karte hue, yeh strategy current bullish sentiment ko capitalize karne aur adverse price movements ke risk ko mitigate karne ke liye aim karti hai.

USD/CHF ki Qeemat ka Jaiza

Hum USD/CHF currency pair ki qeemat ke tehqeeq par tawajjoh de rahe hain. USD/CHF currency pair iss waqt hourly chart par neeche ki taraf rujhaan dikha raha hai, aur qeemat 132-period moving average se neeche maujood hai, jo iss harakat ko mazbooti deta hai. Choti time frame par bhi, qeemat 132-period moving average se neeche band hui hai, jo iss trend mein selling ke mauqe paida kar raha hai. 0.8464 ke level tak pullback iss currency pair ke liye selling transactions ke liye ek munasib setup faraham karta hai. Buying ka moqa sirf tab paida hoga jab qeemat 0.8599 level se upar mustahkam ho jayegi. Filhaal, hourly chart par trend ke andar trading barqarar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar qeemat achanak 0.84727 ke neeche gir jati hai, to mujhe loss rokne ke liye trade se nikalna padega. Bullish momentum abhi bhi tashkeel par hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke ye barqarar rahega Upar ki taraf harakat ki sambhawna mazboot hai, aur main pur umeed hoon ke meri koshishien kaamyaab hongi. Is waqt, main sell positions pursue karne mein dilchaspi nahi rakhta. Jahan tak 0.83731 ka level sell orders par munasib target ho sakta hai, lekin ab main aisi strategy par tawajjoh nahi de raha. Main 0.8459 range tak correction ki gunjaish de raha hoon, jiske baad girawat dobara shuru hogi. Agar qeemat 0.8406 ke neeche tooti, to neeche ki taraf rujhaan jari rehne ke imkanaat hain. Taaza zor-daar upar ki taraf harakat ke baad, hum ek correctional decline dekh sakte hain. Agar qeemat gir kar 0.8419 ke level ke neeche rok li, to ek sell signal generate hoga. Corrective growth 0.8469 tak hone ke baad, downtrend jari rahega. Trend ke mutabiq short position kholte waqt, pehla target level 0.841 hona chahiye, aur stop-loss aakhri impulse level ke upar 0.845 par rakha jaye. Yeh mumkin hai ke 0.84400 level ko bazar mein sellers ke mazboot dabao ke madde nazar dobara test kiya jayega. Asal sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh level sellers ke pressure ko bardasht kar payega aur valid support banega ya tootta jayega Agar is level par rejection hoti hai, to yeh sambhawna hai ke yeh support barqarar rahega, aur qeemat ya to ulat ho sakti hai ya phir kam az kam koi correction karegi, bearish trend jari rakhne se pehle. Warna, agar 0.84400 support level bearish pressure ko bardasht nahi kar paya, to qeemat mumkin hai ke apni girawat ko jari rakhte hue is level ko tod de. 0.84400 ke neeche breakout, yeh mazboot signal hoga ke sellers abhi bhi bazaar par haawi hain, aur ek gehra bearish trend ho sakta hai. 0.84400 ke neeche naye support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake next target ko identify kiya ja sake agar breakout hota hai. Main dollars ko Francs ke liye sell karne mein ziyada raghbat rakhta hoon, Yen ke muqable mein. Aaj subah, maine dollar-yen aur euro-dollar pairs bech diye the. Maine pound ko bechne par bhi ghour kiya tha, lekin dollar-yen zyada dilchaspi wala lag raha tha kyunke is mein zyada movement points nazar aa rahe the. Lekin, aisa lagta hai ke dollar-Franc ne aaj sab se zyada points pass kiye, sab umeedon ko piche chor diya. Dollar-yen ke bar-aks, dollar-franc mein pullback nahi dekha gaya. Yen-dollar pair ne retrace kiya, lekin Franc-dollar apni mustahkam girawat jari rakha. Agar maine iske charam se sell kiya hota, to shayad mujhe khasrafa munafa hota, khaas kar jab do pairs euro aur dollar invest kiye. Mujhe tawakko hai ke dollar-franc mazeed girayga aur 0.84365 ke support level tak girne ki tawakko hai. Mujhe abhi tak samajh nahi aaya ke maine pehle dollar-yen ko kyun pasand kiya tha, lekin baad mein switch kiya

Swiss franc ne thodi si mazbooti dikhayi hai Monday ko. USD/CHF ab 0.8514 par trade kar raha hai, din ke hisaab se 0.16% ka izafa. US markets Labor Day ki chhutti ki wajah se band hain, isliye aaj US dollar mein zyada movement dekhne ko nahi milegi.

Swiss retail sales ke July ke figures ne achi khasi ummed se zyada behtari dikhayi. Sales mein 2.7% ka izafa hua, jo ke market ke -0.2% ke estimate ko darust kar deta hai, aur June ke revised 2.6% ke ghatav se baad aya. Yeh April ke baad pehli bar izafa hai aur February 2022 ke baad sabse tez hai. Monthly retail sales 1.4% barh gayi, jab ke revised -0.3% aur market ke -0.2% ke estimate ko bhi piche chhod diya.

Magar is achi report ke bawajood Swiss franc par zyada asar nahi hua aur investors ne Tuesday ke inflation report par focus kiya. August mein inflation 1.2% y/y tak girne ki umeed hai, jab ke July mein 1.3% thi. Maheene ke hisaab se inflation 0.1% tak barhne ki umeed hai, jab ke July mein -0.2% thi.

Swiss National Bank ne inflation ko zero se 2% ke target mein rakha hai, lekin Swiss franc, jo ke May 1 se US dollar ke mukable 7.5% barh gaya hai, ab chinta ka sabab ban gaya hai.

Swiss franc ki tez barhoti ne inflation ko control mein rakha aur central bank ne is saal do baar rates kam kiye, jo ke ab 1.25% hai. Strong Swiss franc ka nuksan yeh hai ke Swiss exports mehngi ho jaati hain. Thursday ko Swiss franc 0.8400 tak gir gaya, jo ke 2 January ke baad sabse kam hai.

Agar Swiss franc ka izafa aise hi jaari raha, to SNB currency markets mein intervene kar sakta hai taake izafe ko roka ja sake. Swiss economy ka second quarter mein 0.5% barhne ka andaza hai, jo ke pehle quarter ke barabar hai. Q1 earnings ne second quarter of 2022 ke baad sabse tez growth dikhayi, aur services sector economy ko aage barhata ja raha hai. Economy ka year-on-year growth 0.9% tak barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke pehle quarter ke 0.6% se zyada hai.

**USD/CHF D1 Chart Analysis**

USD/CHF ki D1 chart pe analysis karne se yeh nazar aata hai ke Simple Moving Average 150 aur Simple Moving Average 60 dono hi neeche ki taraf lean kar rahe hain, aur candlestick bhi inke niche hai. Yeh halaat mahine ke aakhri tak barqarar rehne ki ummeed hai agar bechne wale market ko 0.8500 ke price level ke neeche consistently control mein rakhte hain. MACD indicator ke mutabiq histogram bar zero level ke neeche hai aur iski size bhi medium hai, jo ek strong bearish trend ko darshata hai. Relative Strength Index (14) ke Lime line level 30 ke qareeb hai. Teen support indicators ke results se bearish trend ki tasdeeq hoti hai.

USD/CHF currency pair ke live pricing movements ko analyze karte hue, main 30-minute time frame par Bollinger Bands aur vertical tick volume histograms ka use kar raha hoon. Abhi pair 0.84206 par trade kar raha hai, aur selling pressure zyada nazar aa raha hai. Main 0.84311 se sell positions open karne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur target profit level Bollinger Band ke lower boundary par rakha hai, jo ke filhal 0.84137 hai. Agar price niche ki taraf aage badhti hai, toh Bollinger Band ka lower boundary thoda aur neeche adjust ho sakta hai, lekin zyada nahi. Mera stop-loss 0.84311 ke thoda upar hoga. Agar buyers price ko is level se upar push karte hain, toh buy position lene ka sochna chahiye, growth ke potential par focus karte hue. Tab tak, main sellers ke saath align rahunga. Jab price 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 0.83611 tak pohnch jayegi, toh main apni position close karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

USD/CHF pair ke D1 chart ko dekhte hue, bearish momentum jo pichle hafte se shuru hua tha, wo is hafte bhi barqarar hai. Wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower zone mein hai. Price ne recently August ke low ko update kiya hai aur yeh saal ka low 0.8328 ke qareeb bhi pohnch sakti hai, jo 2023 mein dekha gaya tha. Halankeh recent August low ne technical indicators par bullish divergence trigger kiya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke mazeed selling shayad advisable nahi hai. Price directly last year's minimum tak nahi pohnchegi, kyunki bullish divergence correction ko trigger kar sakti hai. Market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, lower intraday periods par buy formations ko consider karna achha ho sakta hai. Saath hi, euro-dollar ke mukablay USDCHF pair ki decline ne potential growth ko support diya hai.

**Trade Plan for USDCHF**

For those looking to trade USDCHF, a well-considered strategy is essential. Based on the current market analysis, initiating a buy position around the 0.8490 level is recommended. This price level is particularly noteworthy as it aligns with a close body area established this week, which provides a reliable reference point for entering the market. This area has demonstrated significant support recently, making it a potential entry point for traders looking to capitalize on upward momentum.

In addition to this static support level, dynamic support areas based on the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) offer additional trading signals. If the price touches the red EMA, it could be an opportune moment to enter a buy position. Similarly, if the price approaches and interacts with the green EMA, it may also present a buying opportunity, contingent upon how the price behaves around these moving averages.

The initial target price for this trade should be set at 0.8540. This level represents the nearest resistance point and serves as a realistic target for short-term gains. Should the price successfully breach this resistance, it would indicate a potential continuation of the bullish trend. In this scenario, it would be prudent to revise the long-term target to 0.8700. This higher target is based on the expectation that the price may continue to ascend if it surpasses the immediate resistance level, suggesting a more extended upward movement.

Risk management is also a critical aspect of this trade plan. If the price starts to reverse and breaks below the EMA support areas, this could signal a potential shift in market sentiment, leading to a possible sell opportunity. To protect your investment from significant losses, it is advisable to set a stop loss around 0.8440. This level should help mitigate risks by ensuring that any adverse price movements are contained, thereby preserving your capital.

In summary, the trade plan for USDCHF includes the following elements:

- **Open Position:** Enter a buy position around 0.8490.
- **Take Profit:** Set the initial target at 0.8540; if the price breaks this resistance, consider a long-term target of 0.8700.
- **Stop Loss:** Establish a stop loss around 0.8440 or adjust based on dynamic support levels.

This plan provides a structured approach for short-term trading based on recent market developments. However, be prepared to adapt your strategy as market conditions evolve. Staying informed about market trends and adjusting your plan accordingly will be key to navigating potential opportunities and risks effectively.