Currency pair ek halke upar janay ka rujhan dekh raha hai jabke US Dollar apni position kho raha hai, Treasury yields kam honay ke bawajood. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders September mein US Federal Reserve ki taraf se 25 basis points ka rate cut expect kar rahe hain. In pressures ke bawajood, US Dollar ko kuch sahara recent acha US economic data se mila hai, jo ke market ki recession ke hawalay se khouf ko kam kar raha hai. Is waqt, USD/JPY lagbhag 163.70 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur aanay walay economic indicators jese ke US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August aur July ke Building Permits traders ki tawajjo ka markaz ban sakte hain North American session mein
Traders ko bazar ki surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue hoshiari se kaam lena chahiye, aur economic indicators aur central bank ke communications per gehri nazar rakhni hogi. US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan ke rishtay ko mukhtalif asraat, jese ke interest rate expectations aur geopolitical developments, taayun karte hain. Ek strategic approach zaroori hogi taake USD/JPY pair mein potential movements se faida uthaya ja sake
USD/JPY ke Fundamentals
Japanese Yen (JPY) ne mazahmat dikhayi hai aur teen hafton se lagatar US Dollar ke muqablay mein appreciate kar raha hai. Is rujhan ki wajah Yen ki safe-haven appeal hai, jo ke mukhtalif mumalik mein siyasi uncertainties aur China mein jari economic challenges se mazid mazboot hui hai. Agay dekhte hue, sab ki tawajjo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke meeting par hai, jahan policy makers se umeed hai ke 10 basis points ka interest rate hike kiya jaye ga. Ye potential step policy normalization ki taraf rujhan ki nishani hai aur Yen ki attractiveness ko aur barha sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, BoJ bond-buying operations mein kami karne ka plan bhi announce kar sakta hai, jo Yen ke value per acha asar dal sakta hai
US Dollar ne bhi kuch recovery dikhayi hai jabke investors Fed ke aanay wale monetary policy meeting ke hawalay se ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain. Officials umeed hai ke interest rates ko 5.25% se 5.50% ke darmiyan rakhenge. Market participants khaas taur par future interest rate changes ke hawalay se guidance par tawajjo denge, jo ke zyada tar dovish rehne ki umeed hai. Fed disinflation mein progress ko tasleem karega lekin labor market conditions ke hawalay se barhti hui risks ko bhi highlight karega
Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook
Pichlay chand hafton mein, pair ki activity ziada tar 143 aur 145 ke darmiyan rahi hai. Ye trading pattern qareebi waqt mein barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Pichlay haftay ke sell-off ke baad, US Dollar rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur ye trend Fed Chair Powell ke testimony tak jari rehne ki umeed hai. Ye context is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke agar market conditions favorable rahi to USD/JPY pair mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Bullish continuation ke liye, prices ko Tenkan-Sen level 143.92 ke ooper break karna hoga. Agar ye resistance clear ho jata hai, to agla target 144.00 hoga, us ke baad latest cycle high 145.00 hoga. Agar in levels ko successfully breach kiya jata hai, to buyers psychological barrier 160.00 ko test karne ki koshish karenge, jo mazeed gains ka raasta khol sakta hai
Traders ko bazar ki surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue hoshiari se kaam lena chahiye, aur economic indicators aur central bank ke communications per gehri nazar rakhni hogi. US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan ke rishtay ko mukhtalif asraat, jese ke interest rate expectations aur geopolitical developments, taayun karte hain. Ek strategic approach zaroori hogi taake USD/JPY pair mein potential movements se faida uthaya ja sake
USD/JPY ke Fundamentals
Japanese Yen (JPY) ne mazahmat dikhayi hai aur teen hafton se lagatar US Dollar ke muqablay mein appreciate kar raha hai. Is rujhan ki wajah Yen ki safe-haven appeal hai, jo ke mukhtalif mumalik mein siyasi uncertainties aur China mein jari economic challenges se mazid mazboot hui hai. Agay dekhte hue, sab ki tawajjo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke meeting par hai, jahan policy makers se umeed hai ke 10 basis points ka interest rate hike kiya jaye ga. Ye potential step policy normalization ki taraf rujhan ki nishani hai aur Yen ki attractiveness ko aur barha sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, BoJ bond-buying operations mein kami karne ka plan bhi announce kar sakta hai, jo Yen ke value per acha asar dal sakta hai
US Dollar ne bhi kuch recovery dikhayi hai jabke investors Fed ke aanay wale monetary policy meeting ke hawalay se ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain. Officials umeed hai ke interest rates ko 5.25% se 5.50% ke darmiyan rakhenge. Market participants khaas taur par future interest rate changes ke hawalay se guidance par tawajjo denge, jo ke zyada tar dovish rehne ki umeed hai. Fed disinflation mein progress ko tasleem karega lekin labor market conditions ke hawalay se barhti hui risks ko bhi highlight karega
Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook
Pichlay chand hafton mein, pair ki activity ziada tar 143 aur 145 ke darmiyan rahi hai. Ye trading pattern qareebi waqt mein barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Pichlay haftay ke sell-off ke baad, US Dollar rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur ye trend Fed Chair Powell ke testimony tak jari rehne ki umeed hai. Ye context is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke agar market conditions favorable rahi to USD/JPY pair mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Bullish continuation ke liye, prices ko Tenkan-Sen level 143.92 ke ooper break karna hoga. Agar ye resistance clear ho jata hai, to agla target 144.00 hoga, us ke baad latest cycle high 145.00 hoga. Agar in levels ko successfully breach kiya jata hai, to buyers psychological barrier 160.00 ko test karne ki koshish karenge, jo mazeed gains ka raasta khol sakta hai
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