UsD/JpY

USD/JPY Ke Muasharti Halat
Chaliye USDJPY currency pair ke h4 period chart ko dekhen. Filhal, USDJPY currency pair 141.16 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pichle din ki opening price se kam hai. Stochastic indicator 5.3.3 filhal level 20 se neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke USDJPY currency pair ab bhi bearish bias mein hai. USDJPY currency pair kaafi depressed aur kamzor nazar aa raha hai, jaise ke upar di gayi tasveer mein dekha ja sakta hai. Aaj kuch news bhi aa rahi hai, jo zaroori hai. Lagta hai ke USD index phir se gir raha hai aur kamzor ho raha hai, isliye USDJPY currency pair aaj bhi bearish trend ko continue kar sakta hai. Is waqt, humein is pair ko bechne ke mauke ki talash karni chahiye; sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke sabr rakhein aur sahi mauke ka intezar karein.




H4 time frame chart par, meri aaj ki trading strategy kuch is tarah hai: Main 141.10 par sell order dunga, 142.00 par stop loss set karunga, aur profit par aim karunga. Iske natije mein, mujhe umeed hai ke trading journal update jo main aaj subah share karunga, wo madadgar, samajhne mein asaan aur doston ke liye ek resource banegi jab wo market mein enter karne ka faisla karenge. Agar aap dekhen, to lagta hai ke USDJPY ahem area 142.0 ko penetrate karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh ahem area penetrate ho jata hai, to USDJPY ke liye zyada niche girne ka mauka zaroor banega. Yeh pair wapas se kafi strong decline ko dekh sakta hai. Pehle, humne dekha tha ke price upar move karne ki bhi koshish kar rahi thi, aur mid BB area ke upar thi.

USD/JPY pair ne apne nuqsanat ko dosray din bhi barqarar rakha, aur Wednesday ke Asian session mein takreeban 141.20 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh neeche ki taraf movement zyada ter Japanese yen (JPY) ke mazid taqatwar hone ki wajah se thi, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governing Council member Junko Nagakawa ke hawkish comments ke baad dekhne ko mili. BoJ apni monetary easing ko adjust kar sakta hai agar economic aur price trends unki umeedat ke mutabiq hon. July mein interest rates barhane ke bawajood, real interest rates ab bhi negative hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke monetary conditions ab bhi supportive hain. BoJ aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan mukhtalif monetary policies ne carry trade unwinds ko bhi badhawa diya, jisse yen ki demand barh gayi. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne dobara yeh wazeh kiya ke central bank interest rates ko barhane ke liye committed hai jab tak Japanese economy fiscal 2025 ke forecasts ko pura karti rahegi.



Doosri taraf, US dollar (USD) kamzor raha kyun ke US Treasury yields CPI data ke release se pehle girti rahi. CPI data se yeh maloom hoga ke Fed ke September rate cut ki gehraai kis had tak ho sakti hai. Haal hi ke US labor market reports ne bhi Fed ke ek major rate cut ke imkanat par shak dala hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq market puri tarah se yeh expect kar raha tha ke Fed September meeting mein kam az kam 25 basis points se rates ko cut karega, lekin 50 basis points cut ka imkan thoda kam ho gaya tha.

USD/JPY pair gir kar naye nau-mahina low 140.70 par aa gaya, jo bearish structure ko mazid mazboot kar raha hai jo ke July ke shuru se dekhne mein aa raha hai. Agar market strong 141.60 mark ke neeche close hota hai, to dehaan 140.20 ke support level par shift ho jayega. Agar price 141.60 se bounce karti hai, to thodi optimism aa sakti hai for an upside correction, jahan 143.40 ka resistance hoga, jo 20-day moving average 144.80 se pehle hai. Mazid upside 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 146.45-147.15 ke aas paas limited ho sakti hai. Technical tor par, MACD aur RSI bearish ho chuke hain, jo mazid downside ka ishara de rahe hain.

USD/JPY Prices ke Saath Trading Strategy
Hamara focus USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ke live jaiza par hai. Price Action method aur "bearish engulfing" pattern ke mutabiq jo natija expect kiya gaya tha, wo poori tarah se waqe nahi hua. Is model mein proportionality bohat zaroori hai. Iske ilawa humein ek bearish Doji ka signal mila, jo maine chart mein highlight kiya hai. Mujhe yakeen hai ke agle hafte dono apne targets tak pohonch jayenge. Pehle case mein, maine 101 points ki girawat ka andaza lagaya tha, spread ko madde nazar rakhe baghair, lekin ab bhi mujhe lagta hai ke yeh trading instrument mazeed neeche gir sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq, main expect karta hoon ke 142.04 ke 100th level ke neeche break hoga, aur phir yeh scenario 141.39 par 138.1 aur 140.82 par 161.7 ke steps ke zariye poora hoga. Agar price channel ke upper boundary tak barhti hai, to yeh faidemand hoga, lekin main ek tez move upar ki taraf ka intezaar karunga pehle apni position ko adjust karne se pehle.




D1 time frame par, USD/JPY ne 141.72 par do dafa touch kiya, lekin Friday ke aakhir tak is critical support se koi mazboot rebound dekhne mein nahi aaya. Tuesday se le kar week tak bears ne is pair ko neeche ki taraf dhakela. Halaanki, ek double bottom form ho gaya hai, jo prices ko upar push kar sakta hai, jisse bulls 147.21, 151.82, 154.36, 157.87, aur 162.01 jaise levels ko breach karne ka mauka paa sakte hain. Lekin yahan kuch inconsistency bhi hai: main chart ke neeche do indicators dikhate hain ke buy volumes kam ho rahe hain aur shorts ke recovery ka imkan hai. Pehle main 141.72 level par focus kar raha tha, kyun ke wahan se prices bounce kar sakti hain, aur agar momentum barhta hai to indicators bhi flip ho sakte hain. Downtrend ab bhi mazboot hai, lekin ek reversal ka potential bhi hai jab market tension barh rahi hai. Ideal tor par, main chahta hoon ke aur sell karoon, aur price ko current position se 140 ki taraf le jaoon. Yeh sabse mumkin scenario hai. "Trend is your friend," lekin trading ke liye yeh hamesha faidemand nahi hoti.

Jo abhi ke daam hain, wo resistance level 144,732 ke neeche hain, jahan pehle kai tests kiye gaye. Agar price is resistance level ko mazbooti se cross kar leti hai, to mazeed bullish movement ka imkan hai jo daam ko aur upar le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price phir se is level par ruk jata hai, to yeh bhi mumkin hai ke daam phir se girte hue support level 143,615 tak aa jaye. Pehle ke movement ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke daam ne 148,000 ke high level se ek significant girawat dekhi, aur phir support level 143,615 ke aas paas ek naya low bana. Yahan se price ne upar ki taraf retracement ki, lekin abhi tak wo 144,732 ke resistance level ko mazbooti se cross nahi kar paayi. Yeh dikhata hai ke bearish pressure ab bhi kaafi taqatwar hai is area mein, lekin is resistance level ke aas paas ek correction ya consolidation ka imkan ab bhi baqi hai.
Agar hum candlestick position dekhein, jo Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ko cross kar chuki hai, to yeh market trend ka ek acha reference hai jo ab bhi bearish direction mein move karne ka imkaniat rakhta hai. Main khud is potential mein zyada dilchaspi rakhta hoon, kyun ke ab bhi bearish trend ke taraf move karne ka bada imkan hai. Is assumption ke sath, humare liye yeh behtareen hoga ke hum SELL trade karne ke liye price level ko dekh kar tayar rahen.




USD/JPY pair Thursday ko Asian trading hours mein 144.50 ke aas paas defensive mode mein trade kar raha tha. Short-term pressure US dollar (USD) par Federal Reserve (Fed) ke officials ke dovish comments ki wajah se hai. Investors ab second quarter ke US GDP growth estimate ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo 2.8% barhne ka andaza hai. Wednesday ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke deputy governor Ryozo Himino ne kaha ke agar inflation waisa hi rahta hai jaise plan kiya gaya hai, to bank interest rates ko barhata rahega, aur financial markets ki sehat ka gehra jaiza bhi rakhega. Unke ye remarks BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke pichle hafte diye gaye comments ke mutabiq hain, jisme unhone kaha tha ke bank ke long-term rate hike plans ko current market ki halat support karti hai. Reuters ke ek survey ke mutabiq, zyadatar analysts yeh anticipate karte hain ke BoJ is saal rates dobara barhaye ga, shayad December mein, October ke bajaye.

Dusri taraf, US currency ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein apni position kho di hai US Central Bank ke dovish remarks ki wajah se. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke mutabiq, "ab waqt aa gaya hai policy ko adjust karne ka." CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets ne September mein 25 basis point (bps) ka rate cut poori tarah price-in kar liya hai, jabke ek bada rate cut 36.5% ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

Strategic Forex Trading: USD/JPY
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke abhi ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Guzishta hafte USD/JPY pair mein ek noticeable sell-off dekha gaya. Weekly chart par trend neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Aane wale hafte ke liye meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh ek technical breakdown hai: Moving averages active sell ka signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi strong sell ko point kar rahe hain, jiski wajah se overall sales ka recommendation hai. In indicators ke mutabiq, agle hafte ke liye ek bearish trend expected hai. United States se kuch aham news aane ka imkan hai, lekin forecast neutral hai. Wednesday ko jo key U.S. data release hoga, uska neutral asar hoga, jabke Japan se bhi kuch aham reports aane wale hain, jisme Monday ko GDP ka release bhi shaamil hai, jo bhi neutral asar rakhega. In factors ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte ke liye aur bearish movement ka andaza hai, aur selling ke natije mein price 141.01 ke support level tak gir sakta hai. Upper side par, mujhe 143.41 par resistance ka andaza hai, jahan buying ho sakti hai, lekin overall sentiment ab bhi bearish hai.




Agar rollback ki baat ki jaye, to mujhe lagta hai ke pair 146.66 tak retrace kar sakta hai, kyun ke monthly contract se liquidity 149.19 aur 147.33 ke darmiyan hai. Agar pair 147.33 tak wapas jata hai, to ye mumkin hai, jab tak pair 142.25 aur 142.00 ke key supports ke upar rahe. Agar 142.00 ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo 141.47-141.08 ke support range tak le jaye gi. Wahan se hum ek brief bullish correction dekh sakte hain, ya phir price 140.62-140.08 tak girne ke baad rebound karegi. Agar pair 142.00 ke neeche nahi girta, to ek bullish pullback ho sakta hai jo 142.51-142.91 resistance zone tak jaye, jiske baad phir se selling pressure shuru hoga. Agar 143.08 ke upar break aur hold hota hai, to ye ek significant pullback ka ishara de sakta hai towards 147.33 liquidity. Lekin technical signals ab bhi primary bearish scenario ko support karte hain, jisme sirf ek minor correction ka mumkinat hai.

USD-JPY Currency Pair
Assalam-o-Alaikum! Umeed hai ke aap sab ka din acha guzray aur aap ko achay munafa hoon! Iss waqt meri trading strategy, jo Heiken Ashi, TMA aur RSI indicators ka aik combination hai, yeh batati hai ke yeh behtareen waqt hai USD-JPY currency pair ko sell karne ka. System ke signals ke mutabiq, bears ne market ka rukh apni taraf mod liya hai, aur is liye ab sale karna zyada faidemand hai. Heiken Ashi candles, jo traditional Japanese candles ke muqable mein price quotes ko acha smooth aur average karti hain, humein reversal moments, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko waqt par dekhne mein madad deti hain.

TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo moving averages ke zariye chart par current support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, trading mein bhi bohot madadgar hai. Yeh asset ke movement boundaries ko dikhata hai jo us waqt ke liye relevant hoti hain. Akhri decision lene ke liye aur signals ko filter karne ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Mera ye khayal hai ke aise trading instruments ka istemal technical analysis ko behtareen banata hai aur market mein ghalat entry se bacha leta hai.

Is chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke iss period mein candles ka rang laal ho gaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ab bearish mood ko bullish mood par tarjeeh hasil hai. Is liye, hum market mein entry ke liye ek acha point talash kar sakte hain taake short deal ki ja sake. Price quotes ne linear channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya, lekin jab yeh apne lowest HIGH point tak pohonchi, to wahan se bounce kar ke central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas chali gayi.

Saath hi, RSI indicator (14) bhi sell signal ko approve karta hai, kyun ke uska curve neeche ki taraf hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai. In sab baaton ko dekhte hue, mera yeh natija hai ke ab sale karne ka moqa sabse behtareen hai, aur short deal open karna bilkul munasib hai. Main take profit ki umeed channel ki lower boundary (blue dotted line) ke aas paas kar raha hoon, jo ke 140.042 par hai. Jab order profit zone mein chala jaye, to position ko breakeven par le aana chahiye, kyun ke market aksar humari expectations ko false movements ke zariye disrupt kar deti hai.

Chalay guzishta trading haftay ke nataij ka tajziya karte hain aur aglay haftay ke liye tayyari karte hain. US Dollar/Japanese Yen ke currency pair ke liye, yeh yaqeen ke sath kaha ja sakta hai ke four-hour timeframe mein downtrend ab bhi jaari hai. Filhal, yeh pair 140.40 ke qareeb support ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke kal pohanch gaya tha, jaisa ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya tha.
Haqeeqat yeh hai ke USD/JPY na sirf ek mazboot downtrend mein hai, balki ek active selling zone mein bhi hai, kyun ke prices mere chart par sab indicators ke neeche trade kar rahi hain, jisme TMA indicator ki lower boundary bhi shamil hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ki girawat mojooda levels se mazeed jaari reh sakti hai, khaaskar is liye ke aakhri candle bears ke haq mein hai. Magar, ek chhoti si north correction bhi expected hai, jo shayad 142.00 ke level se zyada na ho, jaisa ke Stochastic indicator oversold area se reversal show kar raha hai.

Akhir mein, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ki movement us pattern ke mutabiq hogi jo mere screen par nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke US dollar ki activity US Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke faislay par mabni hogi, jo aglay budh ko maloom hoga.
Akhir mein, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ki movement us pattern ke mutabiq hogi jo mere screen par nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke US dollar ki activity US Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke faislay par mabni hogi, jo aglay budh ko maloom hoga.
Yeh bhi worth noting hai ke
Yeh bhi worth noting hai ke forecasts yeh suggest karte hain ke US Federal Reserve ke interest rate mein kami aayegi, jo market mein US dollar ke mazeed girne ka sabab banegi, jabke Japanese Yen is soorat mein mazeed mazboot hoga aur aagey barh sakta hai.

USD/JPY
Subah bakhair sab ko!

Jumay ke din USD/JPY market mein aik zabardast girawat hui, jo ke ek mazboot bearish movement ko darshaati hai, jisne kaafi traders ko hairan kar diya. Is girawat ke bawajood, ek reversal ka imkaan hai kyunke buyers wapas aa kar bullish safar ka aghaz kar sakte hain 141.55 ke zone ki taraf. Yeh haali girawat un logon ke liye ek buying opportunity paish kar sakti hai jo ek possible rebound se faida uthana chahte hain. Mojooda market setup ko dekhte hue, main USD/JPY par buy order ko tarjeeh deta hoon, short-term target 141.55 rakhtay hue, yeh umeed kartay hain ke buyers aglay sessions mein dobara momentum hasil kar sakte hain.

Aaj ke liye hum aik sell trading plan bhi bana sakte hain, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke aap ehtiyaat se kaam lein, khaaskar jab aap USD/JPY jese volatile market mein trading kar rahe hain. Isliye, apne trading plan mein stop loss shamil karna zaroori hai taake aap apne account ko na samajh girawat se bacha sakein. Market kabhi bhi unpredictable tareeqay se move kar sakta hai, aur stop loss lagana aap ko nuksan ko limited rakhne mein madad de sakta hai, taake agar market aapke khilaaf move kare to aap apne capital ko mehfooz rakh sakein. Stop loss ko aik strategic level parshamil karna zaroori hai taake aap apne account ko na samajh girawat se bacha sakein. Market kabhi bhi unpredictable tareeqay se move kar sakta hai, aur stop loss lagana aap ko nuksan ko limited rakhne mein madad de sakta hai, taake agar market aapke khilaaf move kare to aap apne capital ko mehfooz rakh sakein. Stop loss ko aik strategic level par set karna zaroori hoga taake aapka risk- set karna zaroori hoga taake aapka risk-reward ratio acha bana rahe.

Kul mila kar, aglay kuch dinon mein yeh zyada wazeh hoga ke kya buyers dobara market mein wapas aa kar price ko 141.55 ke resistance zone ki taraf dhakel sakte hain. Market sentiment ya USD aur JPY se mutaliq economic indicators mein positive developments bullish case ko aur mazboot kar sakti hain. Umeed hai ke yeh factors buyers ke haq mein kaam karenge, taake wo is market mein kaamyabi se apni upward movement jaari rakh sakein.
Aapko ek kamiyab trading day mubarak ho!

USD/JPY Price Forecast
Neechay diye gaye chart mein aap USD/JPY ka exchange rate dekh sakte hain. Jab mein trades ke liye dekhta hoon, to hamesha ye salaah deta hoon ke hourly charts ko dekhain jo major timeframes ke trend ke sath aligned hoon. Aaj ke din Asia mein, Japan ka Tokyo CPI inflation report 2.6% aya, jo ke forecasted 2.4% se zyada hai. Yeh report bears ke haq mein hai kyun ke yeh Bank of Japan ke liye ek aur rate hike ki buniyad rakh raha hai, jo ke is saal ke akhir tak ho sakta hai. Magar, aaj ke technique ke liye aapko ziyada ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga. Iska sabab yeh hai ke price daily trend line ke ooper gir chuki hai, aur yeh sab us waqt ho raha hai jab shayad is haftay ki sabse badi khabar aane wali hai, jo ke USA ka personal consumption data hoga. Yeh inflation report aksar direction tay karti hai, aur maine bhi pair ko trend line se sell kiya tha, lekin ab yeh threat mein hai aur sab kuch data par mabni hoganahi karega agar economic aur inflationary conditions expectations ke mutabiq hui. Is comment ne Japanese yen ko mazid mazboot kar diya, jis se USD/JPY pair par selling pressure aya. Filhaal yeh 144.80 ke support level ke qareeb hai. US dollar ki mazbooti ke bawajood, jo ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ke 102.00 tak jaane se zahir hoti hai, USD/JPY pair ab bhi pressure mein hai. US dollar is liye barh raha hai kyun ke investors cautiously behave kar rahe hain aglay Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezar karte hue, jo ke Friday ko aya ga. Yeh economic data bohot important hoga jab Federal Reserve apna focus labor market.

USD/JPY pair mein ek zabardast girawat dekhi gayi hai jo 145.00 ke qareeb pohanch gayi, jo ke Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke hawkish guidance ke sabab se hui hai. Ueda ne is baat par zor diya ke BOJ ko is saal interest rates aur barhane ki zaroorat hai, aur central bank hesitate nahi karega agar economic aur inflationary conditions expectations ke mutabiq hui. Is comment ne Japanese yen ko mazid mazboot kar diya, jis se USD/JPY pair par selling pressure aya. Filhaal yeh 144.80 ke support level ke qareeb hai. US dollar ki mazbooti ke bawajood, jo ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ke 102.00 tak jaane se zahir hoti hai, USD/JPY pair ab bhi pressure mein hai. US dollar is liye barh raha hai kyun ke investors cautiously behave kar rahe hain aglay Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezar karte hue, jo ke Friday ko aya ga. Yeh economic data bohot important hoga jab Federal Reserve apna focus labor market ke downside risks par rakh raha hai, aur unhe yakeen hai ke inflation apne 2% target ki taraf wapas aa raha hai. Economic calendar ke mutabiq... Tokyo ka consumer price index (CPI), fresh food ko chhor kar, August mein expected se tez barha, jo 2.4% tak pohanch gaya, jo ke Bank of Japan ke hawkish stance ko justify karta hai.

Stock trading front par... U.S. stock indices ne zabardast girawat dekhi, khaaskar technology stocks ki wajah se. Trading ke mutabiq, U.S. stocks Tuesday ko bohot neeche gaye, aur yeh din August 5 ke baad se sabse bura din tha. Is girawat ka sabab economic concerns aur technology stocks ka zabardast sell-off tha. S&P 500 2.1% neeche gaya, Nasdaq jo ke technology-heavy hai, 3.1% gir gaya, aur Dow Jones ne 625 points kho diye.

USD/JPY Market Outlook

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Good Morning sab ko!

Kal US Empire State Manufacturing rate positive aaya tha. Yeh -4.1 se 11.5% tak pohanch gaya, jisse USD/JPY market ne bounce liya aur 140.72 zone ko successfully cross kar liya. Aaj ke din market sentiment ko samajhne ke liye technical aur fundamental analysis donon ka istemal zaroori hai.

Technical analysis mein hum historical price charts ka jaiza lete hain aur moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Bollinger Bands jese indicators ka istemal karte hain taake market mein patterns aur trends ko identify kar sakein. Yeh tools hume aglay price movements ke barey mein valuable insights dete hain, jisse traders apni trade entries aur exits ke liye informed decisions le sakte hain.

Dusri taraf, fundamental analysis economic data, corporate earnings, interest rates, aur geopolitical events ko evaluate karta hai jo market behavior ko influence kar sakte hain. Jab hum technical aur fundamental analysis ko combine karte hain to market ka aik zyada comprehensive view milta hai, aur aglay price movements ke predictions bhi zyada accurate hotay hain.





Meri trading strategy ke liye, mein USD/JPY pe buy order ko prefer karta hoon, jahan short target 141.45 ka hai. Yeh resistance zones trading mein significant levels hain. Yeh points chart par wo jaga hoti hain jahan asset ki price ko pehle barhney mein mushkil hui hoti hai. In levels ke upar break karna ek strong bullish trend ko signal kar sakta hai. Abhi ke situation mein buyers optimistic hain ke price is resistance zone ko cross karaygi, jo aagay mazeed gains la sakta hai. Yeh optimism market ke broader economic factors aur investor confidence ki wajah se ho sakta hai.

Umeed hai ke USD/JPY market buyers ko stable rakhega aur 141.45 resistance zone ko jald ya dair cross kar le ga.

Aap sab ka trading day successful ho, aur hamesha calm rahain!

USD-JPY Pair Analysis

USD/JPY pair ki price movement lagta hai ke pichle hafte ke 139.57 ke low prices tak girne ke baad ab upar ko correct karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar upward price correction EMA 50 ya FR 38.2 - 140.90 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to iska matlab hai ke price retracement ko FR 50 - 141.31 ya FR 61.8 - 141.72 tak complete kar sakti hai. Lekin yeh correction phase sirf aik lower high pattern banane tak limited hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price movement ka projection ab bhi zyada probability rakhta hai ke downward rally ko continue kare.

Iske ilawa, trend ka direction ab bhi strong bearish conditions mein hai, aur high prices 143.05 ka invalidation level abhi tak mushkil hai ke current price range 140.71 se touch ho. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka perspective uptrend momentum ko dikhane mein kamzor lagta hai kyunke histogram volume positive area ya level 0 ke upar zyada wide nahi hai. Isse yeh possibility banti hai ke histogram negative area mein wapas cross kar sakta hai taake bearish trend ke direction ke mutabiq adjust ho jaye. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ko cross kar chuke hain aur oversold zone 20 - 10 ki taraf ja rahe hain, wo USD/JPY pair ki price ke girne ko zyada support kar rahe hain. Aaj ke US Retail Sales m/m ki prediction bhi -0.2% girawat ki hai jo pichle 1.0% se neeche hai, is wajah se US Dollar currency ka outlook weak hone ki umeed hai.






Setup Entry Position:

Yahan pe trading option kaafi clear hai, ke bearish trend ka direction follow kiya jaye jo ab bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. SELL entry position FR 50 - 141.31 se FR 61.8 - 141.72 ke beech mein rakhi jaye. Confirmation tab hogi jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 ke qareeb cross karen aur AO indicator histogram wapas level 0 ya negative area ke neeche ho jo downtrend momentum ko zahir karta hai. Take profit ka target low prices 139.57 hona chahiye aur stop loss ko FR 78.6 - 142.30 ke qareeb rakha jaye jo is waqt SMA 200 ke saath confluent hai.

Aap sab forum members ko ek achay din aur profitable trading ki dua! Mein apni trading situation ka analysis share karna chahta hoon. Technical analysis shuru karne ke liye, mein chart pe Heikin Ashi indicator ka istemal karta hoon, jo Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ki movement ka dynamic dikhata hai. Is indicator ka sabse bara faida yeh hai ke yeh market noise ko smooth out kar deta hai. Heikin Ashi candles ka aik khaas tareeqa hota hai price bars banane ka, jo price chart ko display karte waqt delay ko kam karta hai.

Channel indicator TMA (Triangular Moving Average) chart pe support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, jo twice-smoothed moving averages ka istemal karti hain aur current channel ki boundaries dikhata hai, jismein instrument move kar raha hota hai.




Akhri oscillator jo deal ko filter karta hai aur Heikin Ashi ke sath positive trading results dene mein madad karta hai, wo hai RSI indicator with standard settings. Agar hum chart ka analysis karein to hume nazar aata hai ke candles ka rang red ho gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ab buyers se zyada strong hain aur price neeche ja raha hai. Price ne channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya aur max point se bounce karke wapas middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf chali gayi.

Is information ko dekhte huay, mein yeh conclusion nikalta hoon ke iss waqt pair ko sell karna profitable hoga. Saath hi, RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko confirm karta hai kyunke uska curve neeche ki taraf hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai. Summary yeh hai ke hum sell karte hain aur entry points dhoondte hain. Take profit ko market quotes ke lower boundary (red dotted line) pe set karte hain, jahan price mark 0.83900 hai.

USD/JPY 1-Hour Chart Analysis

USD/JPY ka 1-hour chart ek bearish trend ko dikhata hai, jahan pair 140.822 level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat 143.000 zone ke downward pressure ke baad ayi hai. Price ne 2 Top Liquidity zone ko break karne mein nakami hasil ki, jo ek important resistance level ka kaam kar raha hai. Price ne neeche move karte waqt kai liquidity zones (D-Liq) ko touch kiya, jahan short-term retracements dekhne ko mile, lekin overall downtrend continue raha. Yeh D-Liq levels yeh suggest karte hain ke sellers liquidity ko absorb kar rahe hain, jis wajah se price 143.000 key resistance se neeche rahti hai.

Recent price action se nazar aata hai ke pair 140.000 ke support zone tak pahunch gaya hai, jahan se buying pressure shuru ho gayi. Yeh level pehle ke D-Liq zone ke saath match karta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers is support ko defend karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin bearish momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke agar yeh level break hota hai, to price neeche gir sakta hai, aur 139.500 area ko target kar sakta hai. Kisi bhi upward movement ke liye, price ko pehle 142.000 aur 143.000 resistance levels ko reclaim karna hoga taake bullish reversal confirm ho sake.






Downtrend ki Shuruaat:

Downtrend tab shuru hua jab price 143.000 liquidity area ke upar hold karne mein nakam raha aur jaldi se reverse ho kar lower highs aur lower lows banayi. 2 Top Liquidity zones pe kai martaba rejection hone ka matlab hai ke in levels par strong selling pressure tha, jisse koi sustained bullish momentum nahi aa saka. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) jo 142.000 aur 143.000 ke beech hain, future price action mein resistance ka kaam kar sakti hain, jab retracements aayein.

Agar buyers 140.000 level ko defend karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain aur price ko upar push karte hain, to key areas jo dekhne layak hain, wo 141.500 ke qareeb hain, phir liquidity zones 142.000 aur 143.000 ke aas-paas hain. In levels ko breach karna zaroori hoga taake pair koi sustained bullish move establish kar sake. Agar price 140.000 se neeche break karta hai, to yeh further weakness ka indication ho sakta hai, jo price ko neeche ke liquidity zones ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Conclusion:

In sab ko madde nazar rakhte huay, pair ab bhi bearish nazar aa raha hai, jahan key resistance levels koi bhi upside move ko roknay mein kaam kar rahe hain. Agar price 140.000 se neeche break karta hai, to further downside ki umeed hai, lekin agar recovery hoti hai, to 142.000 aur 143.000 zones ko clear karna hoga taake bearish bias shift ho sake.

USD/JPY Price Action Analysis

Main USD/JPY currency pair ke current price movements ka analysis kar raha hoon. Hourly chart ke mutabiq, bears price ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain, jaisa ke umeed thi. Price ne 1/22 angle se rebound kiya hai aur 140.26 ke recent low ke qareeb hai. Bears is level ko cross karne ki koshish karenge, uske baad hi hume koi correction dekhne ko milegi. Kareebi future mein, mujhe lagta hai ke thodi consolidation hogi, uske baad bearish movement continue rahegi, aur phir shayad koi reversal aa sakta hai. Ek strong support level 140.79 par hai, jahan se bulls wapas strength le kar price ko upar 151.34 tak push kar sakte hain. Magar is waqt buy position lena risky hai kyunke price aur neeche gir kar support zone 138.03 aur 139.42 tak ja sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to bearish scenario ka imkaan barh jata hai, lekin mein tabhi sell karna consider karunga jab koi solid upward correction ho.







Chart par maine short trade ke entry points mark kiye hain aur price movement ka andaza diya hai. Agar market meri expectations se hatt jati hai, to mein kisi position mein enter karne se pehle rukunga. Kal Japanese yen ki situation mein koi tabdeeli nahi ayi—sellers price ko 149.41 ke high se neeche le aaye. Agla target pehli support zone ke qareeb 139.80 lagta hai, jahan bullish pullback ka aghaaz ho sakta hai. Daily chart dikhata hai ke USD/JPY ka qareebi resistance level 142.42 hai. Jab tak price is mark se neeche rahegi, bearish trend ka imkaan zyada hai. Buyers tabhi control mein ayenge agar price 143.43 ke upar chali jaye, jo ke resistance 147.27 ki taraf growth ka raasta khol sakta hai. MACD ab bhi ek crucial indicator hai, lekin weekend pe aane wali news ka bhi kafi farq parega.

USD/JPY ke Saath Kamiyabi Haasil Karna

Aaj hum baat kar rahe hain ke USD/JPY currency pair ke live pricing ko kaise decode kiya jaye. Friday ko Japanese yen ne ek naya low touch kiya, jahan yeh 140.31 tak gir gaya. Lekin H4 chart ab kuch reversal ke asaar dikhata hai. Pehli baat, MACD histogram aur RSI signal line ke darmiyan ek bullish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Dosri baat, recent girne wali wave ne ek 5-wave structure banaya hai, jo ek possible final diagonal ka ishara kar raha hai. Is buniyad par, mein anticipate kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY pair mein ek corrective rally aa sakti hai, jo isse descending channel se bahar le ja sakti hai. USD/JPY ka trend ab bhi downward hai, aur Monday ke liye short-term bearish outlook hai. Pullbacks par selling opportunities ko dekhna behtar hai, girti hui prices ko pakarne ki koshish na karein. Filhal, mein ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hoon aur koi position nahi bana raha. Agar price barhti hai, to mein selling opportunities ko dekhoonga.







Lekin, 143.01 ka level kaafi nahi lag raha. Price jaldi se 145.01 ya shayad 147.01 tak barh sakti hai. US dollar ki overall weakness ke bawajood, Japanese yen ko strength mil rahi hai, lekin yeh slowdown ka shikar ho sakti hai. Agar price barhti hai, to ek possible upward move generate ho sakta hai, jo ek correct shoulder pattern banaye. Main in continuation aur reversal patterns ke baare mein skeptical hoon. Hal hi mein, USD/JPY pair ne December ke mahine mein ek significant support zone ko touch kiya tha, lekin pehle ke highs ko cross karne mein nakam raha. Hum phir se is zone ko test kar rahe hain, jo August mein ek brief recovery ke baad wapas aya hai. Yeh zone hold karega ya break, yeh humare agle steps ka faisla karega. Agar yeh break karta hai, to hum 138.51 se neeche aur decline dekh sakte hain. USD/JPY ka current steep downtrend dusri major pairs ke muqablay mein zyada notable hai. Support zone se aane wale indirect signals ek potential upward shift ka ishara de rahe hain, aur yeh resistance zone mere buying strategy ke saath align karta hai.