Nzd/usd

NZD/USD ki harkat filhaal Fibonacci levels se guzar rahi hai, aur is waqt ye uttar ki taraf ja rahi hai. Market ki range 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 ke beech hai, aur mojuda price 0.60696 hai. Pichle din ka extreme reference ke liye istemal ho sakta hai. Is structure ke mutabiq, range 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 ke beech hai, aur mojuda price bullish corridor ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Market growth ke madde nazar, mai 50-0.60624, 61.8-0.60698, aur 76.4-0.60790 par entry points par focus kar raha hoon. Trading ko in levels par rebounds aur breakthroughs par execute kiya ja sakta hai. Mujhe senior profit target 123.6-0.61088 ya 138.2-0.61180 par hasil karna achha lagega. Lekin, agar bearish interest samne aata hai aur market scope 50-0-0.60624 tak chala jata hai, to ismein pareshani ki baat nahi. Flexibility barqarar rakhni zaroori hai aur zarurat par sales par shift hona chahiye. Fibonacci grid ko mukhtalif tareeqon se banaya ja sakta hai, aur maine daily candles ke saath connect karna chunna hai, jo market errors ko asaan banata hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, NZD/USD ki mojuda halat overbought hai, kyunke is pair ne pichle kuch dinon mein significant gains dekhe hain. Halankeh NZD/USD kuch waqt ke liye sideways raha, phir bhi ye phir se upward move ki taraf gaya. Upar ki taraf dekhte hue, line position level 80 ke upar hai, jo overbought condition ko indicate karta hai. Humein bas lines ke downward intersect hone ka intezar karna hoga, jo decline ke continuation ka signal dega.

Nateejah ke taur par, aaj ki analysis suggest karti hai ke NZD/USD currency pair ke downward correction ki potential abhi bhi maujood hai. Iska sabab ye hai ke recent increase in NZD/USD excessive raha hai. Saath hi, candle abhi bhi supply area mein blocked hai at price level 0.6137. Jab tak supply area 0.6145 par penetrate nahi hoti, downward movement ke chances hain. Isliye, jo log is pair ko trade karte hain unhein sirf sell positions par focus karna chahiye, aur target 0.6064 ke area mein set karna chahiye.

NZD/USD ka Wednesday ko tez girawat, central bank policies aur market expectations ka currency movements par asar ko highlight karta hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ki dovish stance ne NZD ke liye potential downside risks introduce kiye hain, jo key support levels ko critical banate hain future movements ke liye. Traders ko in technical levels aur bank ke future statements par dhyan dena chahiye taake evolving landscape ko behtar samajh sakein.

NZDUSD (New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar) ke liye ek bohot hi favorable trading situation develop ho rahi hai H1 time frame par, jo ke buy direction mein trade karne ke liye hai. Analysis ke liye jo teen working indicators istemal ho rahe hain - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - yeh mauqa denge ke aap long positions open karein sabse favorable quotes par. Taake sahi entry point choose kar sakein aur achha profit position le sakein, kuch important conditions ka check karna zaroori hai.

Sab se pehle, senior H4 time frame par trend ko sahi tarah identify karna important hai taake market sentiment establish karne mein ghalti na ho, jo financial loss ka sabab ban sakti hai. Iske liye, hum apne instrument chart ko 4-hour time frame ke saath study karenge aur dekhenge ke kya key condition puri ho rahi hai - trend movement H1 aur H4 time periods dono par ek saath hona chahiye. Agar yeh pehla principle fulfill hota hai, toh hum yeh ensure kar sakte hain ke aaj ka market humein best opportunity de raha hai ek buy deal karne ke liye.

Agle analysis mein, hum indicator signals par focus karenge. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators blue aur green ho jate hain, toh yeh ek important confirmation hoga bullish interest ka aur is baat ka ke buyers market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi indicator ka color change hota hai, hum market mein entry karenge aur buy trade open karenge. Position ka end point magnetic surface sign ke base par consider kiya jayega.

Iss waqt, sab se promising levels jo signal follow karne ke liye hain - woh 0.60155 hain. Jab desired targets achieve ho jate hain, chart par yeh monitor karna chahiye ke price magnetic level ko break karne ke baad kaisa behave kar raha hai, aur phir yeh faisla karna chahiye ke kya market mein position ko agle magnetic level tak extend karein, ya profit ko secure karne ke liye position close kar dein. Agar aap potential profit increase karna chahte hain, toh troll ka istemal bhi kar sakte hain.

Market Overview
NZDUSD pair D1 timeframe par is waqt ek mazboot downtrend show kar rahi hai. Price action lagataar lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo ke sustainable downward momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 0.5925 ka level pehle se strong support ka kaam karta aaya hai, lekin maujooda bearish momentum ke madde nazar, yeh zyada dair tak hold nahi kar sakta. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh downtrend mazeed tez ho sakta hai.
Immediate Resistance: 0.5949 ka level resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, jo ke kisi bhi significant upward movement ko rok raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh yeh ek potential trend reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, magar overall bearish sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh kam hi mumkin lagta hai.

Indicators
RSI (14): Filhal yeh 41.53 par hai, jo ke neutral market sentiment ko zahir karta hai. RSI level 50 ke ird gird ghoom raha hai, jo ke traders mein indecision ko show karta hai. Magar, RSI ka downward slope bearish price action ke saath align kar raha hai.
MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke neeche hai, aur dono lines negative territory mein hain. Yeh bearish trend ko confirm karta hai aur strong downward momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Order Blocks
Potential Order Block: 0.5925 support level ke aas paas ek potential order block maujood hai. Lekin, strong bearish pressure ko dekhte hue, yeh order block break hone ke khatre mein hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling
Buy: Mazboot bearish trend ko dekhte hue, buying opportunities limited hain. Ek potential buy entry tab consider ki ja sakti hai agar price 0.5925 support level tak retrace kare aur strong bullish reversal signals, jaise ke bullish engulfing pattern with increased volume, show kare. Magar, yeh ek high-risk scenario hai.
Sell: Ek potential sell entry tab consider ki ja sakti hai agar price 0.5925 support level ko break kare, jo ke downtrend continuation ko confirm karega. Stop-loss order ko recent swing high ke upar place karna chahiye taake risk manage ho sake.

Additional Considerations
NZDUSD pair filhal ek mazboot downtrend mein hai, aur koi immediate reversal signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Traders ko long positions consider karte waqt ehtiyat baratni chahiye aur potential short-selling opportunities par focus karna chahiye. Additional technical indicators aur risk management strategies ka istemal karna zaroori hai taake trade accuracy improve ho aur capital protect kiya ja sake.

Jaise ke main ne pehle zikar kiya tha, iss support zone par do possibilities hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price ek reversal kare. Price ek bullish candle pattern bana sakti hai, jo ke renewed rise upwards ka ishara dega. Agar yeh hota hai, toh main price ko 0.6148 resistance level par wapas aate hue dekhunga. Agar price is resistance se upar break karta hai aur consolidate hota hai, toh main yeh expect karta hoon ke price north ki taraf barhti rahegi, aur agla resistance level 0.6216 tak pohanch sakti hai.

Iss area ke aas-paas main trading signals par nazar rakhoonga taake agle move ka pata chal sake. Hamesha yeh chance hota hai ke price aur zyada north ki taraf ja sakti hai, aur resistance 0.6278 tak pohanch sakti hai. Magar yeh baat hai ke uss point par mujhe situation ko dobara sochna padega. Aagey ka direction depend karega ke kis tarah ki news aati hai jab price in targets par pohanchti hai, aur yeh in targets par kaise react karti hai.

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke agar price 0.6048 support level ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh price ke southward journey ko continue karne ke strong chances hain. Wednesday ko NZD/USD mein hui sharp drop highlight karti hai ke central bank policies aur market expectations ka currencies par kitna asar hota hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke dovish stance ne NZD ke liye ek potential downside risk introduce kiya hai, jisme key support levels critical hain iss pair ke agle move ko determine karne ke liye. Traders ko in technical levels aur bank ke future statements par closely nazar rakhni hogi taake evolving landscape ko navigate kar sakein.

Jaise ke main ne pehle zikar kiya tha, iss support zone par do possibilities hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price ek reversal kare. Price ek bullish candle pattern bana sakti hai, jo ke renewed rise upwards ka ishara dega. Agar yeh hota hai, toh main price ko 0.6148 resistance level par wapas aate hue dekhunga. Agar price is resistance se upar break karta hai aur consolidate hota hai, toh main yeh expect karta hoon ke price north ki taraf barhti rahegi, aur agla resistance level 0.6216 tak pohanch sakti hai.

Iss area ke aas-paas main trading signals par nazar rakhoonga taake agle move ka pata chal sake. Hamesha yeh chance hota hai ke price aur zyada north ki taraf ja sakti hai, aur resistance 0.6278 tak pohanch sakti hai. Magar yeh baat hai ke uss point par mujhe situation ko dobara sochna padega. Aagey ka direction depend karega ke kis tarah ki news aati hai jab price in targets par pohanchti hai, aur yeh in targets par kaise react karti hai.

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke agar price 0.6048 support level ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh price ke southward journey ko continue karne ke strong chances hain. Wednesday ko NZD/USD mein hui sharp drop highlight karti hai ke central bank policies aur market expectations ka currencies par kitna asar hota hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke dovish stance ne NZD ke liye ek potential downside risk introduce kiya hai, jisme key support levels critical hain iss pair ke agle move ko determine karne ke liye. Traders ko in technical levels aur bank ke future statements par closely nazar rakhni hogi taake evolving landscape ko navigate kar sakein.

**NZD/USD Analysis Update**

**Time Frame H4:**

Sab ko achi tabiyat ki dua! 4-hour chart par linear regression channel upward position mein hai, isliye lagta hai ke buyers active hain. Main buying ke bare mein soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezaar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205, tak pohnchti hai, tab main buying entry ka sochunga. Main market ke against short trades nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, short trades ki zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Sabse sahi entry correction ke sath lower limit se hogi, jo false entries ke nuqsan ko kam karne mein madad degi. Upper limit 0.60438 par hogi, aur upper part determine karne ke baad correction ke decline ko dekhna hoga. Correction ka base channel ke along fluctuations hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel bhi H4 ki tarah upward hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai.


Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karna hai. Selling ke liye conditions nahi bani hain. Selling ke liye, H4 channel ka downward hona zaroori hai, tab short trades enter kar sakte hain. Lekin pictures mein dono channels upar dekh rahe hain, jo clubfoot ko chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye sahi hai ke lower border 0.60024 se join kiya jaye, jo buying ka ek behtar entry point hai. Is point ke neeche sales jaengi, aur purchases aayengi. Main upper part of the channel 0.60465 tak grow karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Peaks par kaam karte hue, bull apne benchmark tak pohnchega, aur uske baad decline ho sakti hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga, aur phir se decline se growth ki direction mein buying karunga.

NZD/USD H4 chart
New Zealand dollar (NZD) pichle teen dinon se achi tarah se upar ja raha hai aur Thursday ko European trading mein US dollar (USD) ke against takriban 0.6120 tak pohonch gaya hai. Ye upar jana USD ke kamzor hone ki wajah se ho raha hai, shayad is liye ke US data mein niraash kun natayej samne aaye hain, jisse logon mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate kam karne ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai. ADP employment report mein sirf 150,000 nai naukriyon ka izafa dikhaya gaya jo ke pichle paanch maheenon ka sab se kam izafa hai aur umeed se bhi kam hai. Tasman Sea ke paar, New Zealand ke Reserve Bank (RBNZ) ne agle hafte rate ka faisla karna hai jab ke wo 5.5% pe rates ko saat musalsal meetings se rok ke rakh chuke hain. Traders ab saath lagne wale bayaan se andaza lagane ki koshish karenge ke agle rate ka rukh kya ho sakta hai. Lekin NZD ke liye ek mushkil paida hui hai kyun ke China ka Service PMI, jo ke New Zealand ke bade trading partner ke liye economic health ka aham indicator hai, June mein 51.2 tak gir gaya hai jab ke May mein ye 54.0 tha
Aaj, Asian session mein, buyers pehle hi resistance level ko test kar rahe hain jo ke mere nishan ke mutabiq 0.60827 pe waqia hai. Halaat ko dekhte hue, aaj mein apne dekhne ka silsila designated resistance level ke qareeb se jari rakhunga, jahan do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price ka downward movement phir se shuru ho. Agar ye plan kaam kar gaya, to mein umeed karunga ke price support level tak chale jo ke 0.59940 pe hai, ya support level tak jo ke 0.59810 pe waqia hai. In support levels ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup banne ki umeed karunga jo ke aage trading ka rukh tay karega. Ek aur option hai ke southern targets ko door tak pura kiya jaye, magar abhi mein isko nahi dekh raha kyun ke iska jaldi pura hone ka koi imkaan nazar nahi aata. Aaj ke resistance level 0.60827 ke testing ke doran price movement ka ek alternative option ye hai ke price is level ke upar fix ho jaye aur northern movement jari rakhe. Agar ye plan kaam kar gaya, to mein umeed karunga ke price resistance level tak chale jo ke 0.62152 pe hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup banne ka intezar karunga jo aage trading ka rukh tay karega. Aam tor pe agar baat ki jaye, to aaj ke liye mein locally apne liye koi khaas baat nahi dekh raha, is liye mein apne observations ko nearest resistance level ke qareeb jari rakhunga

NZD USD Forum

"Seller Pressure Fails to Pass the Simple Moving Average Zone Period 100"

Lagta hai ke market conditions haftay ke weekend holiday tak buyers ke control mein hain. Candlestick ka 0.6050 tak upar jana ek nishan hai ke market bullish trend ki taraf ja raha hai. NZD/USD pair is haftay ke trading period mein bullish candlestick pattern ke formation ke saath close hua, jo ke aane wale upward journey ke liye ek mauqa dikhata hai agle haftay ke trading period mein.

Midweek trading mein price ko neeche le jaane ki koshish hui, lekin sellers ke taraf se 0.5969 price zone ko break karne mein nakami ke baad downward trend continue nahi kar saka. Pichle teen hafton se bullish market situation chal rahi hai aur agle haftay ke liye bhi price increase ka kafi bara mauqa lagta hai. Main dekh raha hoon ke stochastic indicator 5,3,3 80 zone ko touch kar gaya hai jo ke buyer control ko indicate karta hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price aur bhi upar move kar sake jo ke higher position tak ja sakti hai. Toh trading concentration ke liye, Buy position open karne ke liye 0.6092 area dekhna galat nahi hoga.

Agar increase ka target position smoothly penetrate ho jata hai, to agle Uptrend side ka target 0.6129 area ya us se bhi upar ho sakta hai. Stochastic indicator ka signal upward ki taraf hai. Lekin mera paigham yeh hai ke market ka direction jaldi se drastically change ho sakta hai, isliye aapko alert rehna chahiye aur position enter karne se pehle market ke scenario ke mutabiq dekhna chahiye.

NZD USD
**NZD/USD Forum Discussion**
**1. NZD/USD ka Introduction**

NZD/USD ek bohat popular currency pair hai jismein New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aur United States Dollar (USD) ka exchange rate involve hota hai. Yeh pair forex market mein liquidity ki wajah se traders ke liye attractive hota hai. NZD ko "Kiwi" bhi kaha jata hai aur yeh pair commodities aur risk sentiment ke sath closely related hota hai. Is pair ko trade karte hue investors ko New Zealand aur US ki economies aur global market sentiments ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

**2. NZD/USD Trading Factors**

NZD/USD ki trading mein bohat se factors asar dalte hain. Pehli cheez New Zealand ki economy hai, jo agriculture aur dairy products par dependent hoti hai. Agar dairy products ki prices increase hoti hain to NZD strong hota hai. Dusri taraf, US Dollar ka performance bhi bohot important hai. Agar US ki economy strong hoti hai ya Federal Reserve interest rates increase karta hai, to USD strong hota hai aur NZD/USD ki value girti hai.

Global risk sentiment bhi bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke NZD ko risk-on currency samjha jata hai. Agar investors risk lena pasand karte hain, to NZD/USD ki value increase hoti hai, warna safe-haven ki talash mein log USD khareed lete hain, jisse NZD/USD girta hai.

**3. NZD/USD ki Current Market Position**

Aaj kal NZD/USD ek interesting phase mein hai. Recent months mein NZD/USD ki value mein fluctuations dekhi gayi hain. Yeh fluctuations mostly global risk sentiment aur central banks ke policies ki wajah se hain.

August ke mahine mein, NZD/USD ne thori weakness dikhayi hai, lekin yeh level important support ke qareeb hai. Abhi NZD/USD traders ke liye ye dekhna zaroori hoga ke global market conditions kaisa behave karti hain aur agar Federal Reserve aur RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) ki policies mein koi significant changes aati hain ya nahi.

**4. NZD/USD Future Outlook**

Agar aap NZD/USD mein trading kar rahe hain ya karna chahte hain, to aapko global economic indicators, New Zealand aur US ke interest rate decisions, aur risk sentiment ko closely monitor karna hoga. Short term mein NZD/USD ki movements kaafi volatile reh sakti hain, lekin long term trends ka analysis kar ke apne trading strategy ko adjust karna bohot zaroori hoga.

NZD/USD pair apni volatility aur global market se interdependence ki wajah se traders ke liye bohot opportunities provide karta hai. Agar aap is pair mein trade karne ka soch rahe hain, to yeh zaroor ensure karein ke aapki strategy well-researched aur risk management techniques par mabni ho.

US Dollar Index (DXY) aik medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai jo ke multi-year range ke andar hai. July ke aakhir se yeh steadily down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan ceiling 105 ke aas paas hai aur range floor 100 level par. Price action abhi bhi bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape ke hawalay se aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Isse yeh lagta hai ke aur zyada downside ka risk hai. Agar yeh south side mein continue karta hai toh DXY agle support level 99.57 tak pohnch sakta hai, jo ke July 2023 ka low hai. Yeh is range ka lowest floor hai – agar yeh decisively break hota hai toh yeh bohot bearish sign hoga.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily chart aur weekly chart (jo dikhaya nahi gaya) dono par oversold hai. Isse yeh pata chalta hai ke prices downside par overextended hain aur pullback ka zyada risk hai. Magar, RSI ab tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Abhi ke liye, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye yeh warning hai ke apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake ek reversal signal mile.

100 ka level bohot important hai. Yeh na sirf ek key psychological level hai, balki yeh aik major historical support level bhi hai, jo ke 2023 se ab tak teen martaba girtay huye prices ke liye safety net provide kar chuka hai (neeche circled). Ab sawal yeh hai ke kya 100 is martaba bhi madad karega?

NZD/USD lagatar apni range ke ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo ke spring mein shuru hui thi. August 20 ka high break hota hai toh yeh higher high banayega aur range se breakout confirm karega. Aise move se kaafi zyada upside follow-through expect kiya ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD springtime se establish ki gayi sideways range ke ceiling par knock kar raha hai. August 20 ka high break hota hai toh yeh probably upside breakout ko confirm karega aur phir substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. Yeh pair temporarily range ki ceiling ko breach kar gaya tha August 20 ko jab yeh 0.6248 ka high bana kar wapas neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ko indicate karti, magar pair sirf kuch points neeche gir kar 0.6109 August 22 ka swing low bana gaya.

NZD/USD ne tab se recovery ki hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai.






Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high break hota hai, toh yeh range ke confines se ek decisive breakout signal karega. Aise move ke baad ek upside target activate hoga, jo ke range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur usko extrapolate karte hue calculate kiya gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target dega (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 par hai (December 2023 ka high).

Aise move se short-term trend sideways se bullish mein convert hota nazar aa sakta hai.

Lekin agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 low) break hota hai, toh yeh sideways trend ko phir se intact confirm karega. Iske baad pair probably wapas range floor ki taraf move karega jo ke 0.5850 ke aas paas hai.

Index (DXY) aik medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai jo ke multi-year range ke andar hai. July ke aakhir se yeh steadily down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan ceiling 105 ke aas paas hai aur range floor 100 level par. Price action abhi bhi bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape ke hawalay se aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Isse yeh lagta hai ke aur zyada downside ka risk hai. Agar yeh south side mein continue karta hai toh DXY agle support level 99.57 tak pohnch sakta hai, jo ke July 2023 ka low hai. Yeh is range ka lowest floor hai – agar yeh decisively break hota hai toh yeh bohot bearish sign hoga.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily chart aur weekly chart (jo dikhaya nahi gaya) dono par oversold hai. Isse yeh pata chalta hai ke prices downside par overextended hain aur pullback ka zyada risk hai. Magar, RSI ab tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Abhi ke liye, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye yeh warning hai ke apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake ek reversal signal mile.

100 ka level bohot important hai. Yeh na sirf ek key psychological level hai, balki yeh aik major historical support level bhi hai, jo ke 2023 se ab tak teen martaba girtay huye prices ke liye safety net provide kar chuka hai (neeche circled). Ab sawal yeh hai ke kya 100 is martaba bhi madad karega?

NZD/USD lagatar apni range ke ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo ke spring mein shuru hui thi. August 20 ka high break hota hai toh yeh higher high banayega aur range se breakout confirm karega. Aise move se kaafi zyada upside follow-through expect kiya ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD springtime se establish ki gayi sideways range ke ceiling par knock kar raha hai. August 20 ka high break hota hai toh yeh probably upside breakout ko confirm karega aur phir substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. Yeh pair temporarily range ki ceiling ko breach kar gaya tha August 20 ko jab yeh 0.6248 ka high bana kar wapas neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ko indicate karti, magar pair sirf kuch points neeche gir kar 0.6109 August 22 ka swing low bana

Index (DXY) aik medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai jo ke multi-year range ke andar hai. July ke aakhir se yeh steadily down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan ceiling 105 ke aas paas hai aur range floor 100 level par. Price action abhi bhi bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape ke hawalay se aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Isse yeh lagta hai ke aur zyada downside ka risk hai. Agar yeh south side mein continue karta hai toh DXY agle support level 99.57 tak pohnch sakta hai, jo ke July 2023 ka low hai. Yeh is range ka lowest floor hai – agar yeh decisively break hota hai toh yeh bohot bearish sign hoga.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily chart aur weekly chart (jo dikhaya nahi gaya) dono par oversold hai. Isse yeh pata chalta hai ke prices downside par overextended hain aur pullback ka zyada risk hai. Magar, RSI ab tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Abhi ke liye, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye yeh warning hai ke apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake ek reversal signal mile.

100 ka level bohot important hai. Yeh na sirf ek key psychological level hai, balki yeh aik major historical support level bhi hai, jo ke 2023 se ab tak teen martaba girtay huye prices ke liye safety net provide kar chuka hai (neeche circled). Ab sawal yeh hai ke kya 100 is martaba bhi madad karega?

NZD/USD lagatar apni range ke ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo ke spring mein shuru hui thi. August 20 ka high break hota hai toh yeh higher high banayega aur range se breakout confirm karega. Aise move se kaafi zyada upside follow-through expect kiya ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD springtime se establish ki gayi sideways range ke ceiling par knock kar raha hai. August 20 ka high break hota hai toh yeh probably upside breakout ko confirm karega aur phir substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. Yeh pair temporarily range ki ceiling ko breach kar gaya tha August 20 ko jab yeh 0.6248 ka high bana kar wapas neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ko indicate karti, magar pair sirf kuch points neeche gir kar 0.6109 August 22 ka swing low bana

New Zealand Dollar ne Wednesday ke subah ke Asian session mein apna izafa barqarar rakha. Narm US Dollar aur positive risk sentiment NZD/USD ko support kar rahe hain. Investors Wednesday ko US August S&P Global PMI ke pehle reading par tawajjo denge.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Wednesday ko thoda barh gaya jab USD Index (DXY) apni girawat ko saalana low ke qareeb le gaya. China ke real estate sector ko support karne ke liye naye measures ke baad behtar risk sentiment ne Kiwi ko boost kiya hai, kyunki China New Zealand ka sabse bara trading partner hai.

Doosri taraf, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke dovish remarks aur pichle hafte ke surprise rate cut ke baad NZD/USD ke izafe ko kuch had tak limit kiya ja sakta hai. Investors Wednesday ko US S&P Global PMI for August ki pehli reading ko dekhenge. Friday ko Jackson Hole symposium mein Fed Chair Powell ke speech par sabki nazar hogi. Agar Powell se dovish comments aaye, to USD ko nuqsan ho sakta hai aur NZD/USD ko support mil sakta hai. People's Bank of China (PBOC) ne Tuesday ko one-year aur five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par barqarar rakha.

China ne real estate sector ko boost karne ke liye aur measures implement kiye. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, China ke kam se kam 10 shehron ne naye gharon ke price guidelines ko dheela ya khatam kar diya hai taake market demand ko zyada role mil sake.

New Zealand ka Trade Balance July mein NZD -$9.29B YoY par aaya jo ke pichle $-9.5B se behtar hai. Exports July mein $6.15B tak gir gayi jabke June mein ye $6.17B thi, jabke Imports $7.11B tak barh gayi jo ke pehle $5.45B thi.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke woh policy mein kisi bhi shift ke baare mein cautious hain, kyunki unka kehna hai ke inflation ke liye abhi bhi upside risks hain. Unhone warn kiya ke kisi bhi ek data point par overreact karna pehle se kiye gaye progress ko khatar mein daal sakta hai, Reuters ke mutabiq.

Markets ab September meeting mein 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut ke 67.5% chances price kar rahe hain, jo Tuesday ke 77% se kam hai, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.




Technical Analysis: New Zealand Dollar ka constructive outlook
New Zealand Dollar aaj mazbooti se trade kar raha hai. NZD/USD pair daily chart par bullish vibe rakhta hai kyunki pair descending trendline aur key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai. Upward momentum 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke zariye barh raha hai, jo midline ke qareeb 65.60 par hai, jo further upside ke liye favorable suggest karta hai.

Immediate resistance level 0.6222 par hai, jo ke June 12 ka high hai. Iske upar, agla hurdle 0.6279 par hai, jo ke January 12 ka high hai. Additional upside filter 0.6360 hai, jo ke December 29, 2023 ka high hai.

Niche ki taraf, 0.6130 psychological mark pair ke liye initial support level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Agla contention level 0.6070 par hai, jo ke resistance-turned-support level hai. Agar is level ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, to 0.5974, jo ke August 15 ka low hai, tak drop ho sakta hai.

NZD/USD H4 Chart
Pair ne daily time frame par lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banaya hua hai. Kal market 0.6004 level par khuli. Kal ke trading session ke doran, market ne 0.6031 ka high aur 0.5988 ka low banaya. Is tarah, kal ki trading range takreeban 43 pips thi. Market ka sentiment bearish hai. Yeh daily pivot level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein yeh daily support level S1 aur S2 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Yeh indicators market ke bearish strength ko support karte hain. Market ne kal weekly resistance level 0.6020 ko hit kiya. RSI 14, jo ke overbought condition ke baad 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai, bearish pin bar candlestick pattern ne bearish strength ko confirm kiya. Market MA 200 ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo bearish strength ko darshata hai. Bearish divergence bhi market ke neeche move ko support karta hai.

Nateejah




Aaj ke analysis ke mutabiq, NZD/USD currency pair ab bhi downward correction ka potential rakhta hai. Yeh recent increase kuch zyada lagti hai. Candle ab bhi supply area mein 0.6137 ke price level par blocked hai. Jab tak supply area ko 0.6145 ke price par penetrate nahi kiya jata, downward movement ke chances hain. Isliye, main apne doston ko jo is pair mein trading kar rahe hain, sirf sell positions kholne aur 0.6064 ke aas-paas targets set karne ka mashwara deta hoon.

Wednesday ko NZD/USD ka tezi se girna central bank policies aur market expectations ke currency movements par asar ko darshata hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ka dovish stance NZD ke liye potential downside risks introduce karta hai, aur key support levels pair ke future movements ko determine karne mein critical hain. Traders ko in technical levels aur bank ke future statements par dhyan dena chahiye taake evolving landscape ko behtar samjha ja sake.

Recent market developments ne NZD mein kuch optimism inject kiya hai. New Zealand se strong labor market data aur generally positive market sentiment ne recent nine-month lows se rebound mein madad ki hai. Momentum indicators bhi improvement ke signs dikhate hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) gir raha hai, jo downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo bulls ke favor mein momentum shift ka indication de sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi higher trend kar raha hai, jo oversold levels ke upar hai aur bullish reversal ki possibility ko support karta hai.

Agar current positive sentiment barqarar rahta hai, to NZD/USD pair 0.6037-0.6092 range ko target kar sakta hai. Yeh area 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, July 14, 2022 ka low, aur kuch key moving averages se define kiya gaya hai. Is range ke upar decisive break se October 1, 2019 ka low 0.6198 ki taraf ek significant rally ke liye raasta ban sakta hai. Lekin, overall picture abhi bhi uncertain hai, jahan bullish aur bearish forces dono kaam kar rahi hain. Traders ko price action aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake pair ke next move par clues mil sakein.

NZD/USD D1 Chart
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne pichle haftay US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein ek narrow range mein trade kiya, aur 0.6010 par close hua. Yeh sathwa din hai jab price movement limited rahi, jo ke pair ke consolidation period ko darshata hai. Technical indicators mixed outlook de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level ke qareeb settle ho gaya hai, jo buying aur selling pressure ke behtar balance ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi flat ho gaya hai, jo clear directional momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Magar, MACD par positive histogram aur green bars underlying buying interest ka ishara dete hain.

NZD/USD pair ko 0.6000 level par immediate resistance ka samna hai, jo ke psychologically important hai. Agar is level ko break kiya gaya, to rally ki raah khul sakti hai towards 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6040 aur shayad 0.6150 tak bhi. Dusri taraf, agar pair 20-day SMA 0.5970 ke neeche break ho jata hai, to yeh downtrend ke dobara shuru hone ka signal ho sakta hai, aur targets 0.5900 tak ho sakte hain.




Market Opening aur Price Movement

Asian session ke market opening ke shuruat mein price thodi gir gayi, jahan market 0.5997 par khuli aur foran sellers ne enter kiya. Yeh movement zyada der tak nahi chali, kyunki daily open ke neeche EMA 633 H1 0.5993 par cross kar raha tha. Yeh EMA bhi pass ho gaya, aur price support 0.5979 ki taraf move karne lagi. Lekin, target tak pahunchne se pehle price upar chali gayi, EMA 633 H1 ko dobara pass kiya aur daily open ko bhi break kiya. Is situation mein, price apne closest resistance 0.6015 ki taraf crawl ki. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi EMA 633 H1 ke upar thi aur upward crossover bana kar zyada dominant bullish current ko darshati hai. Yeh trend ko bhi support karta hai jo H1 time frame par uptrend mein hai. Resistance 0.6015 bhi break ho gaya. Iske baad, upward movement zyada aggressive nahi rahi, sellers se thoda distraction dekha gaya, isliye filhal 0.6015 area ko monitor karna zaroori hai, dekhein kya sellers isko dobara penetrate kar sakte hain ya yeh price ka upar majboot hone ka shuruaat hai. Aaj ke movement ke dauran temporary high 0.6026 bana. Agar pichle Friday ke trading ko dekhein, to movement Friday ke high 0.6029 ke qareeb thi, isliye buyers ko cautious rehna chahiye kyunki price neeche gir sakti hai.