usd/jpy

Yeh aam tor par yeh tasleem kiya ja raha hai ke selling primary strategy honi chahiye, aur yeh jo pair hai, wo bearish trend ko barqarar rakhne ka imkaan hai. Peer ko, US se koi khaas economic event nahi hai kyun ke chhutti ka din hai. Magar Swiss business activity index ko neutral rehnay ki umeed hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke pair neeche ki taraf move karega, jahan sales ka support 0.8469 level tak pohanch sakta hai, jab ke buying ka resistance lagbhag 0.8519 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazid mazboot karta hai.
Is se pehle, Swiss inflation data (CPI m/m) release hui thi, jo neutral result 0.0% dikhata hai, pichlay -0.2% ke muqablay mein. Is neutral inflation report ke bawajood, USD/CHF pair apni rally jari rakh sakta hai, jo price mein izafa reflect karta hai. Mazid, trend ab bullish samjha ja raha hai, kyun ke 50-period EMA ne 200-period SMA ko cross kiya hai, jo ke "golden cross" ka sign hai, aur yeh ek mazboot bullish signal hota hai. Agar rally donon Moving Averages ke ooper rehti hai, toh ek structural breakout ka imkaan hai. Invalidation level 0.8540 hai, jo ke current price range se ziada door nahi hai, jab ke price 0.8500 ke psychological level ke ooper hai.



Lekin, is waqt ke uptrend momentum ke bawajood, ek bearish divergence ka signal Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator par saamne aa raha hai. Yeh divergence tab hoti hai jab histogram zero line ke ooper hota hai ya positive territory mein, magar yeh price rally ke saath align nahi hota jo USD/CHF pair mein dekhi gayi hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator aksar overbought zone ke aas paas cross kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price ka izafa apne saturation point tak pohanch gaya ho sakta hai.

Trading plan ke hawalay se, ab bhi yeh recommend kiya jata hai ke ek BUY opportunity ka intezar karein, kyun ke golden cross signal naya aur mazboot lagta hai. Ideal entry position tab hogi jab price 50-period EMA ya paas ke RBS (resistance becomes support) area ke aas paas 0.8507 tak giray. Is trade ki confirmation tab hogi jab Stochastic indicator level 50 se 20 ki taraf cross kare, jab ke AO histogram zero line ke ooper ya positive zone mein barqarar rahe. Take-profit target ke liye, 0.8540 ka high price ideal exit point set kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh level current market conditions aur trend analysis ke mutabiq ek logical target lagta hai.

Akhir mein, jab ke abhi ka bullish signal aur golden cross ek potential upward rally ke liye positive hai, traders ko AO jaise indicators mein bearish divergence aur Stochastic mein overbought conditions ka khayal rakhna chahiye, jo ke rally dobara shuru hone se pehle ek temporary pullback ka ishara de sakta hai.

Hi, agar USDJPY ko broader nazar se dekha jaye, toh downtrend ko extend karein aur samjhein ke yeh pair uptrend ko break kar chuka hai. Agar trend change nahi hota, toh pair ek acchi correction ki taraf ja raha hai, 147.18 se neeche. Kam az kam yeh technically hona chahiye, ya toh current pair ke ooper ya flat bane rehne ke baad thori der ke liye rise kare, magar phir correct ho jaye. Yahaan, khud US dollar market-wide correction ke liye tayar hai. Girawat ruk gayi hai, aur ab 3-4% correction ka waqt hai, toh growth bilkul obvious hai, magar girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar pair 140.50 se neeche break karta hai, toh yeh almost ek naya low hoga aur ek powerful level banega. Kal hum University of Michigan ke inflation forecast ka intezaar karenge aur dekhain ge ke market ka reaction kya hota hai. Aaj US data ke hawalay se market ka reaction ajeeb tha. Buyers market se nikal diye gaye.
USD/JPY pair Tuesday ko lagbhag 143.70 level par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis se pata chalta hai ke pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Saath hi, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se thoda neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko mazid barhata hai. Downside mein, USD/JPY pair ka 9-day moving average par 143.01 ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair 139.58 area tak ja sakta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad ka sabse lowest level hoga. Agar yeh level cross hota hai, toh USD/JPY pair 145.00 ke psychological barrier ko challenge kar sakta hai.



Tuesday ko USD/JPY pair green mein thi, aur apna mahine ka best daily performance record kiya jab yeh 140 ke aas paas strong level par settle hui. Federal Reserve ka aaj 18:00 GMT par faisla expected hai ke woh 25bp ya 50bp rate cut karenge. Agar regular 25bp rate cut hoti hai, toh pair mein partial recovery dekhne ka imkaan hai, jo ke 143.55 par 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ko break karne mein struggle kar raha tha. Mazid hurdles 145.00 trendline area mein aur 50-day EMA par 147.25 par samne aa sakte hain.

Yeh sab Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke hawkish comments ke bawajood hai, jo ke Junko Nagakawa ne diye the. BoJ apni monetary easing ko adjust kar sakta hai agar economic aur price trends uske expectations ke mutabiq chalein. July mein interest rates barhane ke bawajood, real interest rates negative rahin, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke monetary conditions ab bhi accommodative hain. BoJ aur Federal Reserve ke contrast monetary policies ne carry trade unwinds ko encourage kiya aur yen ke liye demand barh gayi. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ne central bank ke commitment ko reiterate kiya ke jab tak Japanese economy fiscal 2025 tak forecasts ko meet karti rahegi, interest rates barhaye jayenge. US dollar weak raha jab US Treasury yields CPI data ke release se pehle decline hoti rahi. CPI data expected hai ke Fed ke September rate cut ki gehraai ke hawalay se insight provide karega. Recent US labor market reports ne bhi Fed ke major rate cut ke imkaan par shakk dala hai. CME FedWatch tool ne yeh indicate kiya ke market fully expect kar raha hai ke Fed kam az kam 25 basis points ka rate cut karega September meeting mein, magar 50 basis points rate cut ke imkaan mein thodi kami aayi hai.

USD/JPY ke qeemat ka behaviyo

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke maqami haqeeqat par hai. Agar hum choti choti rukawaton ko chhod dein, jese ke shaam ko FOMC ke minutes ka shor, to USD/JPY ka mauqa acha nazar aata hai. Agar USD/JPY ki qeemat 139.01–139.32 ke range ke upar mustahkam hoti hai, to is asset ko kharidna kaafi faida de sakta hai. Halankeh hum neeche ki taraf wapas jane ka khayal bhi nahi bhool sakte, lekin humein sirf is level ko resistance point ke tor par paar karna hai, chhoti si zigzag neeche ki taraf ke sath. Murray indicator par reversal level 6/8 par 146.89 se, hum nayi intraday upar ki lehar ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain jo ke 8/8 ke critical resistance level 150.01 ko target karegi. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY quotes issi tarah se upar ki taraf chalayengi, jese ke meri screenshot mein dikhaya gaya hai. Abhi ki position se ek chhoti si correction shuru ho sakti hai, kyunke H4 chart par stochastic kaafi zyada overbought region mein chala gaya hai, aur bulls ne August 15 ka local maximum 149.31 tak pahuncha hai.

Bank of Japan se aane wale mustaqbil ke interest rate hikes ke bare mein uncertainty ke darmiyan, Japanese yen par kuch bechne ka dabao hai. Potential intervention ke concerns USD/JPY pair ko rok rahe hain aur Fed meeting se pehle dollar ki kam demand bhi is mein shamil hai. Mangal ko short buying ka aaghaaz is liye hua ke pichle hafte 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ka toota jana dekha gaya, jo mid-July ke baad pehli baar hai, is se traders mein bullish jazbaat barqarar hain. Iske ilawa, maujooda spot prices 148.01 mark ke upar support dhoond chuki hain. USD/JPY pair ummeed hai ke kam se kam resistance ke raste upar ki taraf chalega. Lekin, agle taraqqi ko 148.71 zone ke ird gird resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo ke 149.01 ke round figure ke kareeb hai. Agar weekly peak 149.11–149.16 ke upar kisi kharidari ka aaghaz hota hai, to ye positive outlook ko mazid taqat dega aur pair ko psychological milestone 150.01 par wapas le ja sakta hai.

Yeh halki si girawat Thursday ko dekhi gayi is pur sukoon hafte mein. European session mein, USD/JPY 148.72 par trading kar raha hai, jo 0.36% ka izafa hai. Kya Fed ke minutes November meeting ke liye raahnumai faraham karenge? Federal Reserve aaj apne September meeting ke minutes jari karega.

Yeh session ek milestone tha kyunki Fed ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se kam kiya, jo ke chaar saal se zyada ka pehla cut hai. Yeh write-up Fed ke jumbo rates kaatne ke peechay ke wajah aur shayad uske rate trajectory ke baare mein kuch raushan dalne ka irada rakhta hai.

September ka cut ek aise jobs report ke baad aaya jo umeed se kam tha. Hum Fed ke action se kya umeed rakh sakte hain? Pichle hafte ka nonfarm payrolls report 254K tha jo umeed se zyada mazboot tha, aur unemployment rate 4.1% tak gir gaya. Yeh aakhri numbers Fed ke policymakers ko chintit kar rahe hain, kyunki employment mazboot hai jabke inflation ghat raha hai. Fed ke member Philip Jefferson ne Tuesday ko kaha ke inflation aur employment ke liye khatrey ka taula barabar hai.

Jefferson ne ye bhi kaha ke wo har mahine apni faisla lete hain aur yeh sambhav hai ke doosre Fed members bhi aise hi karte hain. Market ke rate valuations baar baar badal rahe hain aur filhal 25 bps ki sambhavana 86% hai. Yeh Thursday ke inflation report ke baad badal sakta hai, jo umeed hai ke September mein 2.3% tak girega jabke August mein yeh 2.5% tha. Japan mein, voters 27 October ko polls par jayenge.

Naye Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne sirf aath din baad apne pad par aate hi election ka elan kiya. Unki choti si tenure mein yeh girawat dekhi gayi jab Ishiba ne monetary policy se peechhe hatne ka faisla kiya aur kaha ke interest rates badhane ki zaroorat nahi hai.

USD/JPY Currency Pair

Hamari guftagu ka maqsad USD/JPY currency pair ki price behavior ka jaiza lena hai. Main USD/JPY pair ka analysis 15-minute chart par kar raha hoon. Jori pehle aik range mein trade kar rahi thi, lekin yeh range toot gayi, jis se buyer stops ka removal shuru hua. Behrani data ke release hone ke baad, jori 148.546 par resistance tak pahuncha.

Resistance level toota, lekin buyer volume kamzor tha jabke selling volume barh gaya. Yeh is baat ka ishara tha ke corrective decline ka imkaan zyada hai bajaye mazeed upward movement ke. Halankeh iske bawajood, jori thoda upar ki taraf push hui pehle ke correction shuru hone se pehle. Support 147.397 par barqarar raha, aur buying limits activate hui, jo mazeed upward movement ki sambhavana dikhata hai, agla resistance 148.546 par hai.

Technical pehlu se, USD/JPY jori ne positive signs dikhaye hain. 50-day simple moving average (SMA) aur July-September ki girawat ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar recent break bullish bias ka ishara deta hai. Iske ilawa, daily chart par oscillators positive momentum hasil kar rahe hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke kam se kam resistance ka rukh upar ki taraf hai.

Agar USD/JPY mein mazeed girawat hoti hai, toh ise buying opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai, jahan support level 147.00 ke aas-paas barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 148.00 ke level ke upar mustahkam hoti hai, toh yeh technical buying ko trigger kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY ko 148.70 ke resistance area ki taraf le ja sakti hai, aur aakhirkar 149.00 ke round figure tak.

Weekly high (149.10-149.15 area) ke baad follow-through buying positive outlook ko mazid barqarar rakhegi aur bulls ko psychological 150.00 mark ko dobara hasil karne ka mauqa degi. Maujooda surat-e-haal CPI data release hone ke baad is hafte positive strength degi.

**USD/JPY Price Action Ka Forecast**

Ham is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki price assessment ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Main yeh umeed kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY upar ki taraf move karega, kyunki yeh 141.51 ke support position se rebound hua hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke yeh pair kuch waqt se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 ab bhi ek ahm resistance hai, jo aage barhne se rok raha hai.

Agar price is position ko todti hai, toh hum USD/JPY ko 148 ki taraf barhte dekh sakte hain, jahan 147.40 stop-loss position hogi. Is scenario mein, 149.33 ko target karna munasib lagta hai, uske baad yeh pair ulat kar 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction long positions mein entry ka mauqa de sakti hai, aur specialized indicators is move ko support karte hain.

Agar USD/JPY aage barhne mein nakam hota hai, toh 147.40 ke neeche girawat ek downcast trend ka ishara de sakti hai. Is surat mein, main stop ko 148.72 par rakhoonga, kyunki yeh pair is position ko test kar sakta hai us se pehle ke woh neeche ki taraf jaye. Maine haal hi mein 149.516 ke original resistance par short position lekar ek aggressive trading strategy apnai hai.

"Head and Shoulders" pattern ka eventual confirmation reversal ke liye promising lagta hai, lekin yeh sirf ek mumkinah nateeja hai. Market choti si correction le sakta hai bina kisi poori tarah ke reversal ke. Jaise ke kaha jata hai, "kabhi nahi kehna kabhi nahi," aur market humein surprise de sakta hai. Agar "Head and Shoulders" pattern materialize hota hai, toh main apni short position ko barha sakta hoon, jo bearish stance ko mazid mazboot karega.

Aage bechne ke liye critical condition yeh hogi ke pair daily trend line ke neeche trade kare, jo global trend mein break aur daily downtrend ke confirmation ka ishara dega.

USD/JPY Ke Price Insights
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Hamein intezaar karna hoga ke yeh girawat ka scenario kab khatam hota hai. Agar yeh sirf ek correction hai jo buyers ke stop-losses ko trigger karne ke liye hai, toh bullish trend jald hi dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Magar humein aik mukammal reversal ka bhi andesha hai. Isi wajah se, yeh predict karna mushkil hai ke players ka agla move kya hoga. Agar hum yeh samjhein ke 139.55 level se humein abhi bhi upar ki taraf movement milni hai, toh 146.52 se 142.18 tak ki girawat us correction ka hissa ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke hum dobara 143.51 ke upar ja sakte hain aur 146.52 tak pohanch sakte hain, jo ke ek strong possibility hai. Dusri taraf, agar 143.51 ka level break hota hai, toh price neeche ja sakti hai aur downtrend ke barhnewala khatra barh sakta hai. Iss surat mein, main 139.55 level ko next target samjhunga.



Is Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market ko 143.00 level ke upar rehne ka challenge hoga. Yeh market ke bulls ke liye agla zyada probable direction tay karega. Agar support level 143.00 barqarar rehta hai, toh bulls ko taqat milegi ke woh price ko aur upar dhakel saken, jahan 144.00 ka round mark target ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level cross hota hai, toh 144.70 aur 145.00 ke levels expose ho jayenge. Magar agar price 143.00 ke level se neeche girti hai, toh bears ke paas achi wajah hogi ke price ko neeche le jayen. Agar yeh scenario play karta hai, toh mera pehla target 142.60 hoga, uske baad 142.00. Aur agar yeh level bhi break hota hai, toh 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels expose ho jayenge. Daily trading diagram upside ka ishara kar raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke price isi tarah move karega.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. Mujhe lagta hai ke ek moka hai USD/JPY pair ko 4-hour chart par buy karne ka. Is waqt price 142.168 hai, aur yeh level ek achi entry point offer karta hai. Profit-taking target 145.450 hai, jo buyer support ke saath achievable lag raha hai. Friday ko clearing campaign ki comfort zone ki future growth ke dauran ehtemal tha, aur Wednesday ko options ka expiration 25 September ko tha. Magar rise Monday aur Wednesday ke call options tak nahi pohanch saka. Monday ke agle option ka comfort zone ab ke current strike se teen strikes upar hoga, jo ke future growth ka achha indicator hai, aur USD/JPY pair ke girne ka signal bhi de raha hai. Magar, Wednesday se pehle in calls ke upar growth target karna theek nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh expiration level ko trigger kar sakta hai.

Core Analysis of USD/JPY
Aaj main USD/JPY currency pair par tawajjo de raha hoon, jo pichle haftay ke aakhir mein mukhtalif macroeconomic factors ki wajah se selling side par shift ho gayi thi. Japan mein anay walay Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne accommodative monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ki himayat ki hai, jo yen ko kamzor karta hai kyun ke is se interest rates kam hoti hain aur yen ki appeal kam hoti hai. Halankeh Japan ke retail trade ne August mein 2.8% year-on-year izafa dikhaya, jo forecasted 2.3% se zyada tha, yen ab bhi pressure mein hai. Behtar retail sales bhi Japan ke dovish economic approach se anay walay broader weakness ko counter nahi kar saki, jo currency ke liye mazeed challenges ka ishara kar rahi hai.

Doosri taraf, US dollar ne mazbooti dikhai hai, jo ke US Core PCE Price Index ke agle data se support mili hai. Is se yeh umeedain barhti ja rahi hain ke Federal Reserve aglay dafa zyada aggressive rate-cutting cycle shuru kar sakti hai. Halankeh agar Fed waqayi rate cuts karta hai toh dollar mein kamzori ki potential hai, lekin filhaal short term mein dollar mazboot hai. Yeh mazbooti safe-haven asset ki taur par us ke role se bhi hai, aur Japan ke dovish stance aur US ki nisbatan stable economic outlook ke darmiyan divergence bhi USD/JPY dynamics mein apna kirdar ada kar rahi hai. Near term mein, US dollar yen ke muqable mein support raha ga, khas tor par agar US ka data economic robustness ka ishara karta hai.



Ek retest 141.83 level ka hosakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price bearish support level 147.50 ki taraf dip hota hai, toh yeh ek buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai. USD/JPY pair 139.59 tak nahi gira, magar mein is possibility ko inkaar nahi karta kyun ke downtrend ab bhi dominant hai. Abhi koi immediate targets nahi hain kyun ke price na sirf 140.17 ke neeche break hua balki 140.00 ke level ke neeche bhi dip kiya, lekin is move ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha, jo ke ek false breakout ka ishara hai.

Kal market mein achi recovery dekhi gayi, lagbhag 300 points ka izafa low levels se hua, magar pehli girawat ke lehaz se yeh ab bhi kafi nahi hai. Aaj ka focus dollar aur Fed par rahega, aur yeh uncertainty ke rate kitna neeche jaye ga—market expectations 0.5 reduction ke liye hain. Officials ke bayanaat bhi critical hote hain. Filhaal, mera position neutral hai, magar mujhe lagta hai ke price 135 ke level ki taraf wapas aasakta hai, aur wahan mein buying consider kar sakta hoon, khaaskar agar chota stop loss ka potential ho.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:
USD/JPY ke D1 time frame par nazar daali jaye toh currency pair ne daily chart par interesting price action dikhaya hai, aur yeh agle trading session mein traders ke liye aik aham focus rahega. Is pair ki movement macroeconomic data aur technical levels se mutasir hai, jo price ke direction ko shape karte hain. Aaj ka tajziya is baat par hai ke kya yeh pair apni downward trajectory ko jaari rakhega, aur traders ko key support levels, khaaskar 144.20 mark, jo ke current price se neeche hai, ko kaise handle karna chahiye.

Agar hum price action ka ghor se tajziya karein toh USD/JPY ne recent sessions mein thodi weakness dikhayi hai. Yeh zyada tor par Japanese Yen ke mazboot hone aur US economic factors, jaise inflation reports aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate policies ke hawale se concerns ki wajah se hai. Ooper wale levels ko touch karne ke baad, pair retrace hone laga, jisse short term mein bearish trend bana hai. Agar yeh downward movement jaari rehti hai, toh traders 143.62 support zone ko closely dekh rahe honge, jo ke USD/JPY ke agle phase ka taayun karne mein ek aham kirdar ada kar sakta hai.



USD/JPY pair US aur Japanese monetary policies mein shifts ke liye sensitive hota hai. US side par, agar Federal Reserve kisi future interest rate hikes ya dovish stance ka ishara deta hai, toh yeh US Dollar ki strength par gehra asar daal sakta hai. Doosri taraf, Japanese Yen ko safe-haven flows aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy ke approach ne support diya hai. In macroeconomic factors mein koi bhi tabdeeli USD/JPY pair ko mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakti hai, is baat ka daromadar is par hai ke market data ko kaise interpret karta hai.

Daily chart par USD/JPY pair ka price action yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye jab yeh pair 143.62 ke key support level ke qareeb pohanchta hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai aur price is level ke neeche break karti hai, toh yeh mazid decline ke liye rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar pair 144.40 ke upar rehne mein kamyab hoti hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye aik moka ban sakta hai ke woh control haasil karein aur prices ko upar dhakel dein. Har surat mein, technical indicators aur fundamental factors ka ghor se jaiza lena traders ke liye ahem hoga taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein aane wale sessions mein.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne doosray lagatar din apni downward trajectory ko barqarar rakha, jo zyada tor par Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki accommodative monetary policy ke reaffirmation aur mixed economic data ki wajah se hua. September ke monetary policy meeting ke summary of opinions ne yeh dikhaya ke BoJ ka fauran interest rate hikes ka koi iraada nahi hai, aur wo stability aur ehtiyaat se communication ko tarjeeh de raha hai. Halankeh BoJ ne policy adjustments ke liye apna darwaza khula rakha hai agar economic conditions mein barahtari aati hai, lekin wo abhi tak apni current stance par qaim hai.
Japanese economy ne resilience ke signs dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan large-scale manufacturing index third quarter mein 13 par stable raha, jo market expectations ke mutabiq tha aur ye dikhata hai ke bade manufacturers ke operations mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi hui. Iske ilawa, Japan ki unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gayi, jo July mein 2.7% thi, aur market forecast 2.6% ka tha. Yen ki weakness ko mazeed barhane wale ek aur factor naye Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish comments the. Ishiba ne fragil economic recovery ko support karne ke liye accommodative monetary policy barqarar rakhne ki zarurat par zor diya, aur low borrowing costs ki himayat ki. Unka yeh stance BoJ ki policy se mutabiq tha, jo yen par downward pressure barqarar rakhha hai.



US dollar aur Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ne Tuesday ko lagbhag 144.10 ke level par trade kiya. Daily chart ke technical analysis ne ascending channel pattern mein re-entry dikhayi, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend abhi tak intact hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level se thora neeche hai, ek bullish breakout ke potential ko dikhata hai, aur yeh uptrend ke continuation ko confirm karta hai. Resistance levels ke lehaz se, USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 ke upper boundary ke qareeb resistance ka samna ho sakta hai, jo ke 5-week high 147.21 tak pohanch sakta hai. Downside par, channel ki lower limit 142.80 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh price mazeed gir sakti hai, aur 139.58 ke area mein support milne ka ehtemaal hai, jo ke June 2023 ke baad se lowest level hai.

In nateejon mein, Japanese yen ki depreciation mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hui, jese ke BoJ ki accommodative monetary policy, mixed economic data, aur naye Prime Minister ke dovish comments. USD/JPY pair ke technical analysis ne uptrend ke continuation ka ishara diya hai, jisme resistance aur support levels identify kiye gaye hain. Jaise jaise Japanese economy apni recovery ke rasta tay kar rahi hai, investors monetary policy aur economic indicators ko closely monitor karenge taake yen ka outlook assess kar sakein.

USD/JPY Trading Opportunities
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge. Agar USD/JPY pair market khulne ke baad apni downward movement jaari rakhta hai, toh tawajjo 140.62 volume level par honi chahiye, jo ke current price se neeche hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai aur 140.62 par accumulation hoti hai, jo mazeed girawat ko rokta hai, toh ek corrective pullback ka imkan hai. Is surat mein, price 140.62 se ooper uth kar 143.43 ke level tak jaa sakti hai, jahan accumulated trading volumes maujood hain, taake us area ko test kiya ja sake. Agar yeh test fail hota hai aur 143.43 resistance ke taur par barqarar rehta hai, toh hum ek sharp reversal dekh sakte hain, jo price ko recent minimum se bhi neeche le ja sakta hai. Agle chand ghanton mein humein iske possible outcomes ko monitor karna hoga. Ek technical analysis, jo forex neural network se support karta hai, upward movement ko 143.61 ke resistance level tak suggest karta hai. Buyers ke patum hai ke wo prices ko barhayein, jo is scenario ko primary bana raha hai.



Doosri taraf, ek doosra scenario bhi mumkin hai. Agar bulls upward push ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh bears control le sakte hain, aur price ko neeche ki taraf ek significant support level tak dhakel sakte hain, jahan se ek recovery ka ehtemaal hai. U.S. dollar abhi bhi noticeably weak hai, aur kaafi currency pairs is ke muqable mein strong hain. Is ke ilawa, prices critical global levels par ruk rahi hain jahan reversal aam tor par hoti hai. Magar, yahan price ka traction hasil na kar paana yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh levels break ho sakte hain aur current direction mein continue kar sakte hain.

Yeh bhi dekhna zaroori hai ke gold kuch waqt se overbought hai, aur jab ke reversal logical lagta hai, yeh apni upward trajectory mein hai. Is baat ka ishara ek potential long-term shift ki taraf hai global economic conditions mein, aur hum dekh sakte hain ke sustained trends ek ya do saal tak qaim rah sakte hain, jisme prices aik hi direction mein move karti rahengi.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Monday ko US dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, jo ke naye Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish comments ki wajah se hui. Ishiba ne ishaara diya ke mulk ki monetary policy ko fragile economic recovery ko support karne ke liye accommodative rehna chahiye. In bayanaat ke sath, hal hi mein Japan ke retail trade mein izafa bhi yen par downward pressure dal raha hai. Doosri taraf, US dollar par bhi pressure aya jab August ka core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data release hua. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke inflation outlook ke mutabiq tha, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke ek zyada aggressive rate-cutting cycle ho sakti hai. Is ke nateejay mein, ab market November mein 50 basis point ka rate cut hone ka zyada ehtemaal dekh raha hai. Traders Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke Monday ke speech ka intezar kar rahe hain taake central bank ki monetary policy stance par mazeed insights mil sakein. USD/JPY pair Monday ko 142.20 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha.


Technical analysis ke lehaz se, daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair ek ascending channel pattern se neeche gir chuki hai, jo bullish se bearish momentum ki taraf shift ka ishara karti hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko aur mazid support karta hai. Support side par, USD/JPY pair ko 139.58 area ke qareeb support milne ka ehtemaal hai, jo ke June 2023 ke baad ka lowest level hai. Yuan pair filhal 9 point level ko test kar raha hai. Agar price is level ke ooper break karti hai, toh pair upper limit of the ascending channel at 146.20 ko test kar sakta hai, aur phir 147.21 ke five-week high tak pohanch sakta hai. Hal hi ki decline jo 144.11 level se neeche hui thi, jo ke most recent confirmed support tha, yen ke rebound ka ishara deti hai.

Agar price ab resistance broken support 144.11 ya ek zyada expansive supply zone around 145.00 tak drop hoti hai, toh demand zone 143.30 tak pohanchne ke baad selling wapas shuru hone ka ehtemaal hai. Agar prices demand zone 143.30 aur support 142.89 ko breach karti hain, toh bearish continuation aur trend reversal verify ho jayega, aur next demand zone 142.00 ke qareeb objective ho sakta hai agle kuch dinon mein.

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke haaliye price behavior par mabni hai. Choti moti rukawat, jaise ke aaj raat FOMC minutes ki release ko nazarandaz karte hue, USD/JPY ka outlook kaafi positive nazar aa raha hai. Agar price 139.01 se 139.32 ke range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, toh is asset ko kharidna faida mand sabit ho sakta hai. Halankeh hamein dobarah downtrend ki sambhavna ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye, jo ke pehle ke patterns ki tarah ho sakti hai, lekin lagta hai ke hamein is range ko resistance ke tor par samajhna chahiye, jisme thoda sa downward zigzag movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Murray's analysis ke mutabiq, 6/8 reversal level jo ke 146.89 par hai, se humein naye intraday upward wave ki umeed hai jo critical resistance level 8/8, yani 150.01 ko target karega. Mera khayal hai ke USD/JPY dheere dheere barh raha hai, jaisa ke meri di gayi chart mein dikhaya gaya hai. Magar, current position se ek choti correction shuru ho sakti hai kyunki H4 chart par stochastic indicator ne overbought territory mein kafi neeche gir gaya hai, jahan bulls ne August 15 se local peak 149.31 tak pahuncha.

Bank of Japan ke mustaqbil interest rate hikes ke hawale se uncertainty ke darmiyan, Japanese yen bechi ja rahi hai. Potential intervention ki chinta USD/JPY pair par bhaari hai, saath hi Fed meeting se pehle kam dollar demand bhi is par asar daal rahi hai. Mangal ko short buying ki shuruat is wajah se hui jab pichle hafte 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ka breach hua, jo ke mid-July ke baad pehli dafa hai aur traders ke darmiyan bullish sentiment ko barqarar rakha. Iske ilawa, current spot price 148.01 ke level ke upar support paa chuki hai.

USD/JPY ka raasta aasan raasta upar ki taraf hai. Magar, aage ke faidaat 148.71 zone par resistance ka saamna kar sakte hain, jo ke psychological level 149.01 ke qareeb hai. Agar subsequent buying weekly peak 149.11–149.16 ke aas paas hoti hai, toh yeh positive prospects ko mazid mazboot karega, jisse pair key psychological milestone 150 par wapas aa sakta hai.

Khatam karte hue, USD/JPY pair promising nishan de raha hai, jisme strategic levels ko support aur resistance ke liye dekhna chahiye. Traders ko potential corrections ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye, lekin agar kuch key levels breach hote hain, toh upar ki taraf movements ki umeed kar sakte hain

USD/JPY currency pair ke haali price behavior par discussion karte hain. FOMC minutes release ki waja se kuch choti disruptions ko nazarandaz karte hue, USD/JPY ka outlook positive nazar aa raha hai. Agar price 139.01 se 139.32 ke range ke upar stable ho jati hai, toh is asset ko khareedna munafa bakhsh ho sakta hai. Halankeh hum naye downtrend ke imkan ko nazarandaz nahi kar sakte, jo pehle ke patterns jaisa ho sakta hai, lekin abhi ke liye humein sirf is range ko resistance samajhna chahiye, aur thoda sa zigzag movement ka intezaar karna hoga.

Murray ke analysis ke mutabiq 6/8 reversal level 146.89 par indicate ho raha hai, jisse hum ek nayi intraday upward wave ki umeed kar rahe hain jo critical resistance level 8/8 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 150.01 par hai. Mera khayal hai ke USD/JPY steady tareeke se upar jaayega, jaisa ke mere chart mein dikhaya gaya hai. Halankeh, chhoti si correction ho sakti hai kyunki H4 chart par stochastic indicator ne overbought territory mein significant dip kiya hai, aur bulls ne 149.31 ka local peak August 15 se touch kiya hai.

Bank of Japan ke future interest rate hikes ke hawalay se uncertainty ke beech, Japanese yen par selling pressure hai. Intervention ka khauf USD/JPY par asar kar raha hai, aur saath hi mein Fed meeting ke qareeb weak dollar demand bhi wazaeh hai. Tuesday ko 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke breach hone par short buying ka emergence dekhne ko mila, jo pehli dafa mid-July ke baad hua hai aur traders mein bullish sentiment ko barqarar rakha hai. Aur, current spot price ne 148.01 level ke upar support hasil kiya hai.

USD/JPY ke liye upward movement ka raasta sab se aasaan lagta hai, lekin aage barhne par 148.71 ke qareeb resistance aasakta hai, jo ke 149.01 ke psychological level ke nazdeek hai. Agar weekly peak 149.11–149.16 ke upar buying aati hai, toh positive prospects barh jaayenge, aur pair ko wapas 150.01 ke key psychological milestone tak le ja sakta hai.

Hamari guftagu ka maqsad USD/JPY currency pair ki price behavior ka jaiza lena hai. Main USD/JPY pair ka analysis 15-minute chart par kar raha hoon. Jori pehle aik range mein trade kar rahi thi, lekin yeh range toot gayi, jis se buyer stops ka removal shuru hua. Behrani data ke release hone ke baad, jori 148.546 par resistance tak pahuncha.

Resistance level toota, lekin buyer volume kamzor tha jabke selling volume barh gaya. Yeh is baat ka ishara tha ke corrective decline ka imkaan zyada hai bajaye mazeed upward movement ke. Halankeh iske bawajood, jori thoda upar ki taraf push hui pehle ke correction shuru hone se pehle. Support 147.397 par barqarar raha, aur buying limits activate hui, jo mazeed upward movement ki sambhavana dikhata hai, agla resistance 148.546 par hai.

Technical pehlu se, USD/JPY jori ne positive signs dikhaye hain. 50-day simple moving average (SMA) aur July-September ki girawat ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar recent break bullish bias ka ishara deta hai. Iske ilawa, daily chart par oscillators positive momentum hasil kar rahe hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke kam se kam resistance ka rukh upar ki taraf hai.

Agar USD/JPY mein mazeed girawat hoti hai, toh ise buying opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai, jahan support level 147.00 ke aas-paas barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 148.00 ke level ke upar mustahkam hoti hai, toh yeh technical buying ko trigger kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY ko 148.70 ke resistance area ki taraf le ja sakti hai, aur aakhirkar 149.00 ke round figure tak.

Weekly high (149.10-149.15 area) ke baad follow-through buying positive outlook ko mazid barqarar rakhegi aur bulls ko psychological 150.00 mark ko dobara hasil karne ka mauqa degi. Maujooda surat-e-haal CPI data release hone ke baad is hafte positive strength degi.