Gbp/Aud

GBP/AUD
GBP/AUD Ka Technical Analysis
Trend Ka Jaiza: GBP/AUD ka currency pair filhal ek range-bound pattern mein hai, jisme dono currencies ke darmiyan stability nazar aa rahi hai. Yani, price ziyada upar ya neeche nahi jaa rahi, balke ek specific range ke andar move kar rahi hai. Abhi ke dor mein GBP thoda strong hai lekin AUD ka bhi apna support majood hai jo is trend ko range-bound banata hai.

Support Aur Resistance Levels: Abhi tak ka support level 1.8800 ke qareeb dekha gaya hai, jo key psychological level hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai to GBP/AUD downward trend mein enter kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, resistance level 1.9200 ke qareeb hai, jaha se price ko mukammal upward movement ke liye tori si struggle karni hogi. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leta hai, to upward rally ka strong chance hai.

Moving Averages: 50-day moving average filhal price ke neeche hai jo short-term bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Lekin 200-day moving average abhi price ke upar hai, jo overall longer-term bearish trend ko show karta hai. Yeh dual signal traders ke liye confusion create kar sakta hai, magar is se yeh bhi pata chalta hai ke market abhi kisi clear direction mein nahi ja rahi.

RSI Indicator: Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ne filhal 50 ke aas-paas value dikhai hai, jo na overbought hai na oversold. Is se yeh baat clear hoti hai ke abhi market neutral hai aur kisi bhi taraf strong move expected nahi hai jab tak koi major trigger na aaye. Agar RSI 70 se upar jata hai, to GBP overbought ho sakta hai, jabke 30 ke neeche girne se AUD ki strength barh sakti hai.

Fundamental Factors: Fundamentals bhi important role play karte hain. UK mein inflation aur interest rate policies ka asar GBP par pad raha hai, jabke Australia ke commodity prices aur Chinese economy ke trends AUD ko affect kar rahe hain. In dono currencies ke upar yeh factors nazar rakhnay se future trend ka andaaza lagana asan ho sakta hai.

Conclusion

GBP/AUD filhal ek range-bound market mein hai jisme koi clear breakout nahi nazar aa raha. Support aur resistance levels ko dekhte hue, traders ko short-term trades par focus karna chahiye. Fundamentals aur key indicators par nazar rakh kar future movements ka pata lagaya ja sakta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

GBP/AUD Price Forecast: Kya Upward Trendline GBP/AUD ko $1.9500 tak le ja sakti hai?

Aaj ke market pricing ke mutabiq, hum currency pair mein mukhtalif timeframes ke doran bohut zyada changes ki umeed karte hain. Ek mahine mein, Pound to Australian Dollar exchange rate ka andaza 1.8769 lagaya gaya hai.

Aage dekhte huye, projected rates kuch yun hain: teen mahine mein 1.874, chhe mahine mein 1.8685, ek saal mein 1.8572, do saal mein 1.8779, aur teen saal mein 1.8779. Ye andazay GBP/AUD exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke imkani teharkaat par roshni daal rahe hain, jo ke international currency transactions mein mashgool afrad aur businesses ke liye qeemati maloomat faraham karte hain.

GBP/AUD – Forecast Summary

GBP/AUD March 2024 se bearish trend mein hai. Ek saal pehle is ki qeemat 2.086 thi, jab ke ab yeh 1.805 ke level par pohanch gayi hai. 2024 mein, jab coronavirus pandemic ki wajah se lockdowns lagaye gaye aur ma'ashi sargarmiyan ruk gayin, tab GBP/AUD currency pair girta raha aur lagataar teen mahine tak decline karta raha. July 2024 mein ek chhoti si recovery hui, lekin aglay do mahine phir se losses record kiye. October mein, jab restrictions uthai gayin, to pair ne apni direction reverse karne ki koshish ki, lekin saal ke akhir tak yeh girta raha.

Is saal GBP/AUD ne positive note ke saath shuruat ki hai aur January se lagataar chhoti chhoti gains kar raha hai British Pound ki taqat ki wajah se. Kul mila ke, GBP/AUD ne $0.0285 ka izafa kiya hai aur sirf ek mahine mein +1.07% ki surge report ki hai. GBP/AUD ab $1.8187 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke March 2024 ke high $2.0852 se neeche hai. Guzashta ek saal mein GBP/AUD -$0.1722 ya -9.10% ka nuksan utha chuka hai, aur pichlay paanch saalon mein -$0.0785 ka. Lekin guzishta das saalon mein yeh +$0.2227 ya +12.41% ka izafa kar chuka hai.

Yeh currency pair dono risk currencies par mabni hai, kyun ke dono British Pound aur Australian Dollar risk sentiment ke liye sensitive hain. British Pound, yaani Sterling, United Kingdom ke ma'ashi performance par mabni hai, jab ke Australian Dollar, yaani Aussie, commodity currency hai aur iska movement Australian economy aur Chinese economy par mabni hota hai.

GBP/AUD par asar daalnay wale factors

Chinese Economy
China ke 14th Five-Year-Plan (FYP) ka masooda October 2024 mein samney aya tha jo ke technology par inhesar, dual circulation, aur sustainable aur resilient economy par mabni tha. Is plan ka maqsad innovation aur technical development par focus karna tha.

China apni economy ka rukh export-oriented growth se domestic consumption growth ki taraf badalne ki koshish kar raha hai. Coronavirus pandemic ne pehle hi is shift mein madad ki aur China ko domestic-led growth ka faida pohanchaya. Lekin, US ki taraf se technology exports aur direct investments par pabandiyan aur Huawei ka 5G network mein shamil hone par EU aur UK ki rokawatain China ke liye challenges ban rahi hain.

IMF ke mutabiq, China ne kaafi maamlat mein recovery kar li hai aur dusri badi economies se pehle apne pre-pandemic growth levels par wapas aa gaya hai. Lekin, IMF ne 2024 ke liye China ke growth projection ko 8.2% se 8.1% tak revise kiya hai. Lekin, yeh ab bhi US aur UK se behtar hai. Chinese economy ka improved outlook commodities ki demand barhata hai, jo ke Australian Dollar ko support karta hai aur GBP/AUD pair par pressure dalta hai.

British Economy
British economy Brexit developments ki wajah se kaafi arse se mushkilat ka shikar thi. Ab Brexit ka amal mukammal ho gaya hai, lekin coronavirus pandemic ki wajah se economy ko aur bhi nuksan uthaana pada. Lekin, sakhth restriction measures aur vaccination campaigns ki madad se British Pound ne kaafi recovery ki hai.

Technical Analysis – GBP/AUD Violates Upward Trendline
GBP/AUD pair June 2024 se chhoti range mein trade kar raha hai, 1.8504 – 1.7487 ke darmiyan. Monthly timeframe par, GBP/AUD ne 1.7487 ka support level liya hai. Is level ka tootna pair ko 1.6166 tak girane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Conversely, agar yeh 1.8504 ke level ko todta hai, to yeh 2.0512 tak ja sakta hai.

Weekly timeframe par, RSI aur MACD buying trend ko support kar rahe hain. Initial target levels 1.8511 aur 1.9177 ho sakte hain.