Usd/jpy

USD/JPY hourly chart ke pichle haftay mein ek wazeh downward trajectory nazar aayi, jismein sell signals kaafi effective sabit hue aur significant declines dekhne ko mili.

**Monday:**
Hafta ka aghaz USD/JPY pair ke support level 156.095 tak girne se hua. Ye initial drop bearish trend ke liye raasta saaf kar gaya.

**Tuesday:**
Tuesday ko price ne 156.095 ke support level ko break kiya, ek sell signal generate hua jo agle support level 154.765 ki taraf tha. Ye sell signal bhi realize hua aur price ka girna continue hua.

**Wednesday:**
Wednesday ko bearish trend ka silsila barqarar raha, aur ek aur sell signal emerge hua jo support 152.971 ki taraf tha. Ye signal bhi successfully play out hua aur declines dekhne ko mili. Iske ilawa, ek aur sell signal aaya jo support 151.645 ko target kar raha tha. Jabke price ne is level ko exactly touch nahi kiya, magar iske nazdeek aake wapas hue, jo ke meri criteria ke mutabiq ek effective sell signal ke taur par dekha jata hai.

**Thursday:**
Bechlay din ke declines ke baad, Thursday ne ek pivotal moment diya jahan pehle se broken resistance level 152.971 ko test aur breach kiya, jisse buy signal generate hua. Uske baad price ne upward movement show ki, jo ke buy signal ko confirm karta hai.

**Friday:**
Friday ke movements resistance 154.632 se rebound ke sath huye. Din ke aakhir mein price 154.632 aur support 152.971 ke beech mein hover kar rahi thi. Ye range-bound closing future ke potential moves ke liye ek stage set karti hai.

**Looking Ahead:**
Immediate southern target ab bhi support level 151.645 hai, recent trend aur effective sell signals ko dekhte hue. Agar price is level ko approach aur break karti hai, to further declines expected hain. Dusri taraf, northern target 156.095 hai, jo ke tab achievable hai agar price resistance 154.850 ko break karti hai. Agar ye resistance break hoti hai, to current bearish trend ka reversal aur higher levels ki taraf move ho sakti hai.

Overall, USD/JPY pair ke movements pichle haftay ne technical signals ki strength aur reliability ko highlight kiya, jo ke price actions ko predict karne mein madadgar sabit hoti hain. Support aur resistance levels ke interplay ne clear indicators provide kiye for potential buy aur sell opportunities. Agle steps ke liye, traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye takay potential breakouts ya rebounds ka faida uthaya ja sake.

Mubarak ho sab ko! Halankeh US dollar versus Japanese yen currency pair ne hafte ke akhir mein thodi si mazbooti dikhayi, magar poora trading hafta bears ke qabze mein raha. Aam tor par, qeemat pichlay teen hafton se gir rahi hai, is liye yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke girawat agle kuch arse tak jari reh sakti hai. Kam az kam weekly chart par sab factors mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Sirf weekly chart par hi yeh dikhai deta hai ke qeemat 23 saal purane maximum level 151.90 ke qareeb aa rahi hai, jo ke kaafi mazboot support level ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai. Magar yeh timeframe bohot bara hai, is liye agar USDJPY currency pair mazeed girti hai to hum weekly chart par ise notice nahi kar payenge. Isliye hum ise dekhte rehte hain, magar ab theory mein yeh mumkin hai ke short positions open ki ja sakti hain, misaal ke taur par resistance level 155.40 par jo ke pichle haftay ka minimum hai.
One-hour chart par dollar yen pair ka pichla hafta Monday ko support level 156.095 tak girawat se shuru hua. Tuesday ko qeemat ne is support level ko tor dia, jo ke support level 154.765 ka sell signal dia. Wednesday ko sell signal realize hua, aur Wednesday ko support level 152.971 ka bhi sell signal tha. Yeh sell signal bhi realize hua, phir Thursday ko support level 151.645 ka sell signal tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke signal realize hua halankeh qeemat is level ko touch nahi kiya, magar iske qareeb ulat gayi. Yani, zyada se zyada rasta tay ho gaya hai, agar zyada se zyada rasta tay ho gaya ho to main signal ko realize shumar karta hoon. Iske baad, resistance 152.971 ko successfully tor dia gaya. Buy signal bhi hua aur realize hua. Resistance 154.632, Friday ko qeemat is resistance se ulat gayi aur din ka ikhtitam resistance aur support ke darmiyan hua. Southern target 151.645 hai. Northern target 156.095 hai agar resistance 154.850 ko successfully tor dia gaya.

USD/JPY Price Analysis

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price performance ka analysis karenge. Girawat ke ilawa doosray scenarios ko dekhna zaroori hai. Iss waqt ek upward movement ziada likely lag rahi hai, jo kafi growth opportunities faraham kar sakti hai. Is potential ke saath, hum level 155.35 tak pohanch sakte hain, halan ke yeh level door hai. Agar hum 154.03 mark ko paar karte hain, to agla level 154.67 aim kar sakte hain. Jahan increase kaafi wazeh hai, wahan decline ka scenario ziada specific nahi hai. Ek correction towards bearish side level ko 152.74 tak le aa sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ke liye ek behtareen buying opportunity ho sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, 153.42 se bullish position enter karna bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki thoda pullback ho sakta hai. Mein aam tor par USD/JPY growth ko support karta hoon, lekin umeed hai ke hum zyada se zyada 156.55 tak pohanchain. Envelopes ke mutabiq, hourly scale par, current growth cycle ka target resistance 155.29 par hai. Agar USD/JPY pair current 154.65 level se is resistance tak rise karta hai, to mein selling ko rokne aur price drop ka intizar karne ka plan banata hoon, jo support 152.21 par hoga.

Mujhe umeed hai ke trading poore hafta 152.22 aur 155.29 ke darmiyan hogi. Jab 152.15 support level se rebound hota hai, to growth ke liye ek khas candlestick formation appear hoti hai, jo ke hammer ya pin bar ho sakti hai. CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar move hone ke liye readiness show karta hai, aur ek bullish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai. Closing prices ke basis par, mujhe lagta hai ke price horizontal resistance level 156.04 tak rise hogi. Iss higher level ke paas, lower periods of M15-M30 mein selling formations observe ki ja sakti hain, jahan support resistance mein convert hota hai. Yeh point se rebound, support level 152.15 se agay tak full-fledged decline ki lead karega. Aaj ki noteworthy news 16:00 Moscow time par include karti hai: Composite Housing Price Index in the USA, US Consumer Confidence Index from CB, aur labour market (JOLTS) USA mein open vacancies ki tadad.

USD/JPY pair upar ki taraf ja raha hai, halaan ke is waqt trading volume kaafi kam hai. Support level 151.90 ek significant zone hai jo ke niche ke taraf girne ki had hai, kyunki is area mein rejection dekhi gayi hai, jisse price ab tak upar badh rahi hai. Bohat zyada chances hain ke price wapas uthe aur MA 100 level ko test kare, jo ke 157.19 par hai. Alternative target 160.24 par ho sakta hai, jo ke fresh supply area mein hai. Filhal candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average indicator line ke niche hai for the 200 period, jo ke strong influence show karta hai sellers ka USD/JPY pair mein, jo consistently price ko niche dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur bearish trend ko maintain kar rahe hain jo ke kuch hafton se chal raha hai.

Dusri taraf, Relative Strength Index indicator ke 5-period ke conditions ko monitor karne ke baad, jo abhi bhi level 70 se thoda niche hai, ye bhi ek strong signal hai ke price abhi bhi downward move kar raha hai. Market mein high volatility dekhi gayi hai, jo ke kuch dino se observe hui hai kyunki USD/JPY market mein zyada sales transactions ho rahi hain. Ye khas tor par guzishta budh ko evident thi, jab price ne trading session ke doran significant downward movement dekha.

Choti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur filhal 50 period ke Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai aur thoda sa upward correction kiya hai. Yeh likely hai ke aaj ki price position 154.00 - 155.23 area ke aas paas consolidate karegi, kyunki aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko dekhe jaate hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions ko H1 timeframe mein dekhte hue, yeh kaafi clear hai ke abhi bhi downward phase mein hai, halaan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend kuch bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad upward move kiya. Iska matlab hai ke is haftay ki market conditions monthly trend ke consistent hain.

USDJPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen)

Main aapko suggest karta hoon ke profit banane ke liye H1 timeframe par is currency pair/instrument ka forecast karen. Iska matlab hai ke humein trade ke liye ek acha entry point dhoondhna hoga jo humein achha munafa de sake. Sab se pehle, ghalti se bachne ke liye ke humein buy ya sell position open karni chahiye, chaar ghante wale timeframe ka chart kholte hain aur current trend check karte hain. Hum confirm karte hain ke aaj market humein short positions ke liye ek zabardast moka de rahi hai, kyun ke abhi selling pressure buyers ke potential se zyada hai jo ke situation ko apne haq mein kar sakein. Us ke baad, hum HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ka analysis mein istemal karenge.

H1 timeframe par Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke mutabiq, hum bearish sentiment bhi dekhte hain - dono indicators blue aur green rang mein hain jo ke selling pressure ko zahir karte hain. Is liye, hum puri yakin ke saath ek sell position open karte hain. Hum magnetic levels indicator ke mutabiq position exit karenge. Filhal, profit-taking ke liye ideal level - 151.414 hai. Phir hum chart monitor karenge aur price movement ke mutabiq faisla karenge ke market mein position hold karni hai ya ab tak jo profit hasil hua usko lock karna hai. Maximum potential profit ke liye, aap Trailing Stop ka istemal kar sakte hain, jisse pehle ek significant portion close karke baqi hissa breakeven par move kar sakte hain.

Japanese yen ne Tuesday ko dosray musalsal din bhi US dollar ke against apni girawat jari rakhi. Market ke participants ehtiyat barat rahe kyunke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka monetary policy meeting Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Afsane garm hain ke central bank chhoti si interest rate hike, jo ke 10 basis points se 0.1% tak ho sakti hai, implement kar sakta hai aur apne bond purchasing program me kami ka elan kar sakta hai. Jabke Japanese hakoomat ne apne qareebi taawun ko BoJ ke saath tasleem kiya hai, unhone yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke monetary policy ke specifics central bank ke ikhtiyar mein hain. Iske darmiyan, US dollar, jo ke Federal Reserve ke anticipated rate hold ke wajah se kuch challenges ka samna kar raha hai, is umeed par mabni hai ke aage chal kar saal ke aakhir tak ek agressive rate cut trajectory dekhne ko mil sakti hai. US mein narmi hoti hui inflation aur labor market conditions ne 2024 ke aakhir tak ek bari interest rate reduction ke imkaan ko barha diya hai.

Technically, USD/JPY pair filhal ek descending channel mein consolidate ho raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ka ishara hai. Magar, pair ke recent price action aur relative strength index (RSI) jo ke oversold conditions ka ishara kar raha hai, ek potential short-term rebound ko zahir kar raha hai. Immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 153.00 par hai, jahan se aage support levels 151.86 aur psychologically significant 151.00 par hain. Upper side par, resistance 154.50 level par hai, followed by 9-day EMA jo ke 155.13 par hai aur descending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 156.20 par hai. Jaise jaise hafta aage barhta hai, focus be shak BoJ ke policy decision aur kisi bhi sath ane wali statements par rahega. Agar market expectations se kuch bhi mukhtalif hota hai toh USD/JPY pair mein significant volatility trigger ho sakti hai.

Mubarak ho sab ko! Haalaanki US dollar aur Japanese yen ka currency pair haftay ke aakhir mein thoda sa mazboot hua, magar poora trading hafta bears ke qabze mein raha. Teesray haftay se price ka girawat dikhayi de rahi hai, is liye yeh maan-na sahi hoga ke girawat aage bhi jaari reh sakti hai. Kam az kam weekly chart pe, sab factors aage ki girawat ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Sirf weekly chart pe yeh dekhte hain ke price 23 saal pehle ke maximum level 151.90 ke qareeb aa rahi hai, jo ke ek mazboot support level ban sakta hai. Magar yeh timeframe bohat bara hai, is liye agar USDJPY ka currency pair girawat jaari rakhta hai, toh hum weekly chart pe isay notice nahi kar sakte. Toh hum isay dekhtay rahain ge, magar filhal theory mein short positions open karna mumkin hai, misaal ke tor pe resistance level 155.40 se, jo pichlay haftay ka minimum tha.

Dollar yen pair ke ek-ghantay ke chart pe, pichlay haftay ke Monday ko girawat hui support level 156.095 tak. Tuesday ko price ne is support level ko tor diya, aur ek sell signal mila support level 154.765 tak. Wednesday ko yeh sell signal realize hua, aur usi din ek aur sell signal mila support level 152.971 tak. Yeh sell signal bhi realize hua, phir Thursday ko ek sell signal mila support level 151.645 tak. Mera khayal hai ke yeh signal bhi realize hua tha, chahe price ne is level ko touch nahi kiya, magar qareeb aa kar reverse ho gayi. Matlab, adha safar tay ho gaya, aur agar adha safar tay ho jaye toh mein signal ko realized samajhta hoon. Uske baad, resistance 152.971 ko successfully tor diya gaya. Ek buy signal bhi hua aur realize hua. Resistance 154.632, Friday ko price ne is resistance se bounce kiya aur din ka end resistance aur support ke darmiyan hua. Southern target 151.645 hai. Northern target 156,095 hai jab resistance 154,850 ko successfully tor diya jaye.

Is hafta ke trading ke aghaz mein, Japanese yen US dollar ke muqablay mein 153 yen par pohanch gaya, jabke pichle hafta se zyada 2% barh gaya tha, is umeed ke sath ke Bank of Japan apni aanay wali meeting mein sud parhayi barhaye ga taake inflation ko control kar sake aur apni currency ka difa kar sake. Financial markets yeh samajh rahi hain ke central bank is hafta sud parhayi ko 10 basis points barha kar 0.1% kar dega, aur ye bhi ummed ki ja rahi hai ke wo apni monetary policy ko tight karne ka plan bhi bataye ga.

Japanese yen mid-July se barh raha hai, yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke Japanese authorities ne kuch mudakhlat ki hai. Is harkat ne short-term positions ke forced unwinding ko boost diya, saath hi safe-haven buying ko bhi badhawa mila jab global stocks gir gaye. Iske ilawa, umeed hai ke US Federal Reserve jaldi hi sud parhayi ghatayega, jisne dollar ko niche le jaya aur doosri major currencies ko uthaya.

Kul mila kar, investors ne is interesting hafta ka aghaz answers ki talash mein kiya, jo global monetary policy ke near-term raaste ke bare mein hain, jabke major economies se mixed signals ne markets ko ulta kar diya hai. Major central banks Tokyo aur Washington mein Wednesday ko aur London mein Thursday ko mil rahe hain, traders ko yeh faisla karna mushkil ho raha hai ke Bank of Japan sud parhayi barhaye ga aur phir Federal Reserve aur Bank of England kab aur kitna ghatayenge. In sab ke nateeje mein recent yen aur pound ki gains aur girte hue short-term US Treasury yields hain. Pichle hafta ke end par bohot se markets nervous lag rahe the due to uncertain outlook for policy aur economic growth.

USD/JPY bias bearish bana hua hai aur yeh tabhi lift ho sakta hai agar BoJ market ki expectations par pura na utar paya aur Japanese rate hike na kiya, agar US jobs numbers expected se zyada mazboot aaye aur Fed ka tone hawkish raha. Agar aisa hota hai, toh 160.00 psychological resistance area par wapas pohanchna bhi mumkin hai. Warna, 15.00 support level ka break karna bears ke liye asaan target ho ga.

USD JPY Analysis:
USD/JPY pair ko 155.20-155.50 ke resistance level ko torhne mein mushkil ka samna tha, jo ek potential reversal ka ishara hai. Is resistance level ko cross na kar pane se bullish momentum kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai, aur girawat ka intezar hai. Yeh pair pehle 154.73 tak gir sakti hai, aur uske baad support range 155.20-154.83 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh movement market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara hai, jahan sellers buyers par ziada haavi ho rahe hain.

Is scenario ko dekhte hue, hum yeh anticipate kar sakte hain ke yeh pair 154.83-155.16 level ki taraf move kare. Yeh range critical hai kyunke yahan pair stabilize ho sakti hai ya phir further pressure face kar sakti hai. Agar yeh pair is range ke andar develop hoti hai, to yeh persistent bearish trend ko highlight karegi, jo market mein sellers ki control ko dikhayegi. Traders ko is range ke andar price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke yeh pair ke future movements aur potential reversal points ke bare mein zaroori clues provide karega.

Is waqt, prudent yeh hoga ke European session ke khulne ka intezar kiya jaye. European session aksar increased trading volume aur volatility lekar aati hai, jo more definitive market movements ko lead kar sakti hai. Is session ka intezar karke, traders market ke direction ko behtar samajh sakte hain aur sales ke liye optimal points of entry identify kar sakte hain. Is waqt market ko observe karne se yeh confirm ho sakta hai ke anticipated decline materialize hogi ya nahi, aur trading execute karne ke liye clearer signals milenge.

USD/JPY pair ka 155.20-155.50 ke resistance level ko break na kar paana potential reversal aur 154.73 tak decline ka ishara hai, aur phir support range 155.20-154.83 tak. Yeh anticipated movement market sentiment mein shift ko indicate karti hai, jahan sellers buyers par haavi ho rahe hain. Traders ko 154.83-155.16 range par focus karna chahiye taake pair ke future direction ko behtar samajh sakein. European session ke khulne ka intezar karna additional clarity aur more robust trading opportunities provide karega. In key levels aur market developments ko monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur USD/JPY pair mein potential bearish trend se capitalize kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Price Analysis


Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price performance ka analysis karenge. Girawat ke alawa, dusre scenarios ko consider karna zaroori hai. Filhal, ek upward movement ziada mumkin lag raha hai, jo significant growth opportunities de sakta hai. Is potential ke saath, hum level 155.35 tak pahunch sakte hain, halaan ke yeh thoda door hai. Agar hum 154.03 mark ko surpass karte hain, toh hum agle level 154.67 ko target kar sakte hain. Jab ke increase clear lag raha hai, decline scenario ko ziada specific banana hoga. Ek correction bearish side ki taraf 152.74 level tak le kar aa sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ke liye ek behtareen buying opportunity present karegi.

Iske ilawa, 153.42 se bullish position enter karna consider kiya ja sakta hai, kyun ke slight pullback ho sakta hai. Main aam tor par USD/JPY growth ko support karta hoon, magar meri umeed hai ke hum zyada se zyada 156.55 tak pahunch payenge. Envelopes ke mutabiq, hourly scale par, current growth cycle ka target resistance 155.29 par hai. Agar USD/JPY pair current level 154.65 se is resistance tak rise karta hai, toh main selling rok kar price drop ka intezar karunga support 152.21 tak.


Main anticipate karta hoon ke trading 152.22 aur 155.29 ke darmiyan rahegi poore haftay ke dauran. 152.15 support level se rebound karte hue, ek characteristic candlestick formation growth ke liye appear hui hai, jisme hammer ya pin bar shaamil hai. CCI indicator neechay ke overheating zone se move up hone ki readiness dikha raha hai, aur bullish divergence bhi visible hai. Closing prices ke mutabiq, main assume karta hoon ke price horizontal resistance level 156.04 tak rise karega. Is higher level ke kareeb, lower periods M15-M30 me, selling ke formations observe kiye ja sakte hain, jahan support resistance me transition ho raha hai. Is point se rebound hone par, ek full-fledged decline support level 152.15 se aage jaane ka chance hai. Aaj ki noteworthy news mein shaamil hai 16:00 Moscow time: Composite Housing Price Index USA, US Consumer Confidence Index from CB, aur labour market (JOLTS) USA me open vacancies ki tadaad.

USD/JPY H4

Friday ko USD/JPY currency pair mein kaafi zyada girawat dekhi gayi, jahan US dollar 1.6% gir kar 157.51 par close hua New York trading mein. Session ke shuruat mein, dollar ne 157.30 ka low touch kiya, jo din ka sabse niche level tha. Yeh tez girawat market reports ke baad hui jo yeh batati hain ke Japanese authorities ne forex market mein intervene kiya USD/JPY pair ke girne ko tez karne ke liye. Yeh intervention US dollar ki kamzori ka faida uthane ke liye kiya gaya tha.




Market speculation kehti hai ke Japanese government aur Bank of Japan ne USD/JPY exchange rate ko influence karne ke liye kadam uthaya. Aise interventions aam tor par currency market ko stabilize karne aur specific economic objectives achieve karne ke liye kiye jaate hain. Is case mein, intervention ka maqsad Japanese yen ki tez taree se badhti value ko rokna tha taake yen ki strength Japan ki export-driven economy ko negatively impact na kare.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, agar hum current daily timeframe pattern ko dekhen, to price ne upwards correction kiya hai aur EMA 55 daily aur EMA 7 daily ko test karne ki potential rakhti hai. Yeh increase abhi bhi ek correction movement ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo profit taking ke baad hui hai jab strong support price 155.43 par mila. Filhal, price EMA 55 daily resistance area mein consolidate ho rahi hai aur agar sell option reject hoti hai, to phir se buy kiya ja sakta hai. Indicators, jaise stochastic aur RSI, abhi bhi upward correction pattern dikha rahe hain, halankeh woh abhi strong sell area mein hain, jahan stochastic 80 area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur RSI 70 area ke kareeb hai. Several existing patterns ko dekhte hue, sell setup dhoondna future trading ke liye USD/JPY pair pe zyada attractive option lagti hai.

USD/JPY Analysis:

USD/JPY pair ko 155.20-155.50 ke resistance level ko break karne mein mushkil ka samna karna pada, jo ke potential reversal ka indicator hai. Resistance level ko nahi todne se yeh lagta hai ke bullish momentum kam ho raha hai, aur decline ki ummeed hai. Pair initially 154.73 tak girne ki ummeed hai, aur shayad 155.20-154.83 ke support range tak bhi jaa sakta hai. Yeh movement market sentiment ke shift ko dikhati hai, jahan sellers buyers pe bhari pad rahe hain.

Is situation ko dekhte hue, hum yeh anticipate kar sakte hain ke pair 154.83-155.16 ke level ki taraf move karegi. Yeh range critical hai kyunke yeh area ho sakta hai jahan pair stabilize ho sakti hai ya phir further pressure ka samna kar sakti hai. Agar pair is range mein develop hoti rehti hai, to yeh bearish trend ki continuation ka indication hai, jo sellers ki dominance ko highlight karta hai. Traders ko is range mein price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future movements aur potential reversal points ke essential clues provide karega.




Is waqt, European session ke khulne ka intezaar karna prudent rahega. European session aksar zyada trading volume aur volatility le aata hai, jo zyada definitive market movements ka sabab banta hai. Is session ka intezaar karke, traders market ke direction ko behtar samajh sakte hain aur sales ke liye optimal entry points identify kar sakte hain. Market ko is waqt dekh kar yeh confirm kiya ja sakta hai ke anticipated decline reality banegi aur trades execute karne ke liye clearer signals milenge.

USD/JPY Pair Forecast

JPY ki currency kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jabke USD abhi bhi bullish trend mein hai.

Technically, USD/JPY pair abhi bhi buyers ke dominance mein hai, lekin kal ki movement zyada significant nahi thi aur consolidation ke zyada nazar aayi. Lekin, is situation mein yeh clearly dekha ja sakta hai ke trend formation barh raha hai, jo bullish trend ko indicate karta hai.

USD ka data ab ek important moment ki taraf barh raha hai, yani FOMC meeting ka data, jo market interest sentiment ko USD currency ke towards impact karega. Dusri taraf, investor aur trader ki nazar abhi bhi inflation data aur interest rate cuts policies pe hai (jo abhi imminent hain). Yeh bhi nahi kaha ja sakta ke inflation ko control karne mein soft landing ka possibility nahi. Agar inflation girti hai aur labor market safe nazar aata hai, to interest rates cut hone ki ummeed hai. Isliye, do possibilities hain jo USD ko buyers ya sellers ke dominance mein laa sakti hain.




Fundamental review ke base pe, market mein kuch doubt nazar aa raha hai kyunki lagta hai ke technicals pe focus is morning benchmark banega, M15 timeframe ke combination ke sath:

Currently, setup poori tarah buyers ke dominance mein hai kyunki price position MA 10 aur mid BB ko cross kar chuki hai, jo bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Parabolic SAR bhi consistently price ke neeche nazar aata hai jo buyers ke dominance ko refer karta hai. Agar yeh consistently maintained raha, to buyers ke liye opportunity ban sakti hai, yaani bullish trend continue karne ka potential hai.

Planning yeh bhi refer karti hai ke price 153.999 ke level ko break kar chuki hai, agar price us level pe retrace karti hai to buyers ki opportunity tend to be large hogi.

USD/JPY Ka Girawat Early Asian Session Mein 153.90 Ke Qareeb

Tuesday ke subah ke Asian session mein, USD/JPY exchange rate lagbhag 153.90 tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat is wajah se hui hai kyunki financial markets do bade central banks ke key decisions ka intezaar kar rahe hain: Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ).

Federal Reserve Ka Rate Decision

Federal Reserve, jo ke United States ka central bank hai, Wednesday ko apni meeting mein interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ka ummeed hai. Iska matlab hai ke wo current rate levels ko barqarar rakhne wale hain, na to badhaenge aur na hi kam karenge. Fed ka rates ko steady rakhna yeh darshata hai ke wo maujooda economic conditions ko balanced samajhte hain aur unhe borrowing costs ko alter karne ki zaroorat nahi lagti. Yeh stability yeh bhi indicate karti hai ke U.S. economy ko aise urgent threats nahi hain jo intervention ki zaroorat banayein.

Bank of Japan Ka Rate Hike

Iske contrast mein, Bank of Japan ke upcoming meeting, jo 31 July ko hai, mein interest rates badhane ki ummeed hai. Reuters ke economists ke poll ke mutabiq, yeh strong belief hai ke BoJ rates badha sakta hai. Yeh potential rate hike khas taur pe noteworthy hai kyunki yeh Japan ki purani policy se ek significant shift ko indicate karta hai, jo ke bahut low interest rates ko maintain karke economic growth aur inflation control karne pe focus karta hai. BoJ ka decision closely watched hai kyunki yeh Japanese economy ke recovery aur growth prospects pe unka confidence reflect karta hai.

Market Reactions aur Implications

USD/JPY exchange rate in expected central bank decisions pe react kar raha hai. Traders aur investors apni positions ko Fed aur BoJ ke actions ke forecasts ke base pe adjust kar rahe hain. BoJ ke rates badhane ke possibility se Japanese yen ko strength mil rahi hai, kyunki higher interest rates aam taur pe currency mein zyada investment attract karte hain. Dusri taraf, Fed ka rates ko steady rakhna US dollar pe upward pressure ko kam kar sakta hai, jisse exchange rate movement zyada balanced ho sakta hai.




Aage Ka Dekhna

Jaise-jaise Fed aur BoJ ki meetings nazdeek aa rahi hain, USD/JPY exchange rate volatile rehne ki ummeed hai. Investors central banks ke decisions aur statements ko keenly observe karenge taake future monetary policies ke hints mil sakein. Filhal, exchange rate 153.90 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo ke market ki anticipation ko reflect karta hai.

USD/JPY pair upar ki taraf ja raha hai, halaan ke is waqt trading volume kaafi kam hai. Support level 151.90 ek significant zone hai jo ke niche ke taraf girne ki had hai, kyunki is area mein rejection dekhi gayi hai, jisse price ab tak upar badh rahi hai. Bohat zyada chances hain ke price wapas uthe aur MA 100 level ko test kare, jo ke 157.19 par hai. Alternative target 160.24 par ho sakta hai, jo ke fresh supply area mein hai. Filhal candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average indicator line ke niche hai for the 200 period, jo ke strong influence show karta hai sellers ka USD/JPY pair mein, jo consistently price ko niche dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur bearish trend ko maintain kar rahe hain jo ke kuch hafton se chal raha hai.

Dusri taraf, Relative Strength Index indicator ke 5-period ke conditions ko monitor karne ke baad, jo abhi bhi level 70 se thoda niche hai, ye bhi ek strong signal hai ke price abhi bhi downward move kar raha hai. Market mein high volatility dekhi gayi hai, jo ke kuch dino se observe hui hai kyunki USD/JPY market mein zyada sales transactions ho rahi hain. Ye khas tor par guzishta budh ko evident thi, jab price ne trading session ke doran significant downward movement dekha.

Choti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur filhal 50 period ke Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai aur thoda sa upward correction kiya hai. Yeh likely hai ke aaj ki price position 154.00 - 155.23 area ke aas paas consolidate karegi, kyunki aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko dekhe jaate hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions ko H1 timeframe mein dekhte hue, yeh kaafi clear hai ke abhi bhi downward phase mein hai, halaan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend kuch bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad upward move kiya. Iska matlab hai ke is haftay ki market conditions monthly trend ke consistent hain.