Eur/Aud

EUR-AUD Pair Ki Tafseeli Jaiza

Forex market kaafi busy tha Budh ke din. Kuch khabrein bhi aisi thin jo ghair mutawaqa natayaj dikhanein lagi, jaise UK mein inflation dar jo pehle se tezi se barhne ka andaza lagaya gaya tha, lekin asal mein 2% tak barh gaya. Achanak, GBPUSD pair bhi tezi se ooncha chala gaya. Is umeed se subah ke waqt bhi jazbaat kai pairs mein jari raha, jisme se ek EURAUD pair bhi shamil hai.

Agar hum EURAUD pair ki technical taraf se jayein, to Budh ke din yeh ek mazboot qeemat barhne ka pattern dikha raha tha. H1 time frame mein har candlestick jo dopehar ke baad bana, wo hamesha nayi bulandi aur nayi pasti level bana raha tha jo oonchi thi. Iska matlab hai ke khareedne wale aam tor par BUY ka amal kar rahe thay, jo keemat ko lagataar oonchayi ki taraf dhakel raha tha jab tak ke wo akhir mein us din 1.6262 ke darje par nayi bulandi bana sakte thay. Halankay, kuch ghanton pehle halchal phir se numaya hui jab Australia ne apne "employment change" data jaari kiya, jo ke pehle se kafi ziada barh gaya tha. Iska ishara hai ke kafi companies naye rozgaar ke mauqe kholein hain, jis se kafi logon ko rozgar mil raha hai. Agar aise halat hain to iska matlab hai ke agle kuch mahinon mein Australia mein ziada log honge jo paisa kharch kar sakte hain aur agar bayrozgaron ki tadad mein khasa izafa na ho to ye inflation dar ko dobara barhne ka sabab bana sakta hai.



Ab sawal ye hai ke agle kuch dinon mein keemat kahan ja sakti hai? Meri raye mein agar sirf mojooda maaliyat ke data par aitmaad karein to keemat ke ziada izafa hone ki mumkinat kam aur kam girne ki zyada hain. Kyunke ECB aur RBA ke interest rates aam tor par barabar hain, is liye EURAUD pair ki qeemat aam tor par side mein rehne ki taraf tawajjo de gi lekin aik khas price range ke andar. Lekin, Australia ke rozgaar ke ziada istemaal ke maamle ko dekhte hue, iska matlab hai ke bade investors ke liye European Union ke bajaye Australia mein dakhil hone ka naya sabab hai. Is liye SELL position ki khayal aap kehne ke laiq hai. Lekin, ECB ki taaza policy interest rates par jo aaj raat ko announce ki jayegi uski nazarandaz na karein. Kyunke is se EURAUD pair ki tezi se jhatke khane ki mumkinat hai. Lekin meri guftagu ye hai ke ECB apne interest rates ko 4.25% par qaim rakhe gi aur iska asar EURAUD pair par bearish ho sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke SELL position ki khayal phir se ek mazboot sabab hai. Is liye jo log pehle se shuruat lena chahte hain, wo aaj shaam se is amal ko shuru kar sakte hain. Risk management par tawajjo na bhoolain, ta ke keemat ko zaroorat se zyada neeche na layein.

EURAUD Analysis

H4 Time Frame Analysis:

H4 time frame par USDCHF ka uptrend condition nazar aa raha hai. Dekha ja sakta hai ke har low trend line area se bounce karta hai. Jab tak koi breakout nahi hota, buy karna abhi bhi valid hai. Pichle do hafton mein prices bearish rahi hain, lekin aaj subah kuch signs nazar aaye hain ke buyers prices ko upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ye bhi H4 demand zone mein girawat ki wajah se hai. Main naye demand area, jo ke price 1.6468 par hai aur kaafi strong demand area hai, mein buy ke liye re-entry ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Ye area SSR area ke paas bhi hai aur trendline ke qareeb hai, jis par teesri dafa zaroor ek strong movement ho sakta hai.

Additional indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI) period 5, dikhata hai ke price wapis 30 level tak gir rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka indication hai. Saath hi, 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) indicator bhi neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai kyun ke kal ki price drop ne is SMA ko bhi affect kiya. To yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke H4 timeframe ke majority indicators bearish trend ko show kar rahe hain.







H1 Time Frame Analysis:

H4 demand zone mein enter karna buy ke liye legal hai, lekin ek cheez ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai ke prices aksar choti zones mein aati hain jo bade zones ke andar hoti hain. Is case mein, H4 demand zone kaafi wide hai, is liye main H1 time frame par ek aur choti zone dekh raha hoon, jo ke DP (Decision Point) hai. Kya prices pehle wahan gir sakti hain? Is baat ka koi surety nahi hai, lekin hum wahan bhi ek limit set kar sakte hain, jab ke Stop Loss H4 base (yellow) ke neeche rahega. Yehi wajah hai ke maine EURAUD pair mein enter kiya, aur mujhe yahan do opportunities nazar aayi: sell ya buy.




Trading Plan Conclusion:

1. Buy Entry:

Pending buy limit order lagayein price 1.6493 par.

Stop loss lagayein 1.6460 par.

Take profit rakhein 1.6610 par.



2. Sell Entry:

Pending sell limit order lagayein price 1.6616 par.

Stop loss lagayein 1.6650 par.

Take profit rakhein 1.6500 ke range mein.

EURAUD Chart Analysis

Yeh Euro aur Australian Dollar ka Forex quote hai. Is quote mein, ek Euro (base currency) ki value ko Australian Dollar (counter currency) ke lehaz se quote kiya gaya hai. EUR/AUD ne apni lowest level 2012 mein European sovereign debt crisis ke doran dekhi thi jab yeh A$1.1619 tak pohanchi thi. Mid-July 2012 ke baad se yeh pair recover kar raha hai, jo ke European Central Bank ki Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) policy ki wajah se hai. ECB President Draghi ne August 2012 mein "whatever it takes" ka elaan kiya tha, jis ne market ko support diya. Australian dollar ko commodity currency ke tor par jana jata hai kyun ke Australia duniya mein gold production aur export mein aham kirdar ada karta hai. Aussie ka gold ki value ke sath long-term positive correlation hota hai.

Yeh pair duniya ke global risk ke lehaz se bhi aik acha barometer mana jata hai. 2012 ke doran European sovereign debt crisis ke waqt EUR/AUD ne apni lowest level dekhi thi. Lekin ECB ki OMT policy ke baad se yeh pair kaafi improve kar gaya.

EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD, EUR/AUD, AUD/SGD aur EUR/AUD, XPD/USD pairs Australian Dollar ke numerator mein hone ki wajah se positively correlated hain. Iska matlab hai ke Australian Dollar mein hone wali har tabdeeli in sab pairs mein reflect hoti hai. Iske baraks, negative correlation ka matlab hai ke pairs opposite direction mein move karte hain, jaise AUD/SGD, EUR/HUF, aur AUD/NZD. Gold aur Aussie ka positive correlation ek aur important characteristic hai kyun ke Australia duniya ka teesra bara gold producer hai. Is wajah se jab bhi gold ki price mein izafa ya kami hoti hai, Australian dollar par asar parta hai.






Economic events jo EUR/AUD ko affect karte hain unmein GDP, Employment Change, Industrial Production, aur Consumer Price Index shaamil hain. Agar kisi currency se related data forecast se behtar hota hai, toh us currency ki demand barhti hai aur EUR/AUD exchange rate mein fluctuations aati hain.




EUR/AUD Technical Outlook:

EUR/AUD ne 1.6677 ko hit karne ke baad reverse kiya, aur intraday bias ab neutral ho gaya hai. Near-term outlook cautiously bullish rahega jab tak 1.6439 ka support hold karta hai. Agar price 1.6677 ke upar jata hai, toh pehla target 1.6742 hoga. Agar yeh resistance decisively break hota hai, toh pura rise jo 1.6127 se shuru hui thi, wapas continue hogi aur agla target 1.6844 ka resistance hoga. Fall jo 1.7062 ke medium-term top se hui thi, woh uptrend ke against aik correction thi jo 1.4281 (2022 low) se shuru hui thi. Agar 1.6844 ka resistance break hota hai, toh yeh argue karega ke uptrend wapis 1.7062 ke high tak continue karega. Agar price dobara girti hai, toh strong support 1.5846 par nazar aana chahiye aur 38.2% retracement

EURAUD Technical Analysis

Maine kal EURAUD ki movement par ghor kiya, jahan sellers ki strong presence thi jo price ko key support level 1.656xx ko tor kar neeche le gaye. Iske ilawa, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ka intersection bhi dekha gaya, jo technical analysis mein aksar ek bara trend change ka signal mana jata hai. Filhal, lowest point 1.647xx ko touch karne ke baad EURAUD price mein upward correction nazar aa raha hai. Main is correction ko pehle ke significant decline ka natural reaction samajhta hoon, lekin mujhe ehsaas hai ke yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke kya yeh increase continue hoga ya yeh sirf temporary retracement hai jo ke downward trend ke dobara shuru hone se pehle ho raha hai.

Main samajhta hoon ke mujhe aur mazeed analysis karni chahiye taake dekha ja sake ke EURAUD par short karne ka mauqa hai ya nahi. Ek approach jo main consider kar sakta hoon wo yeh hai ke main sell opportunities dekhun us previously broken support level ke ird gird, jo ke 1.656xx ke aas paas hai. Main is level par rejection ki confirmation par ghor karunga, jo ke ek strong additional signal ho sakti hai short position mein enter karne ke liye. Agar rejection ki confirmation nahi hoti aur price barhti rehti hai, toh main 1.661xx se 1.663xx ke supply level ke aas paas short position lene ka sochunga. Mujhe andaza hai ke yeh supply level market ki reaction ke natije mein bana hoga, jo price ke breakdown ke baad hui increase ke response mein shayad form hua ho.






Yeh currency pair lagbhag 100 pips tak neeche move karne mein kamiyab raha, lekin ab price wapis upar jana shuru ho gayi jab candle 1.6482 ke price par pohanchi. EURAUD ne apni increase ko continue nahi kiya jab candle demand area ko tor nahi saki. Filhal, EURAUD 165xx ke price par trade ho rahi hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karke analyze kiya jaye, toh upward movement ke baad candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar aagayi hai, jo ke trend ke bullish hone ka indication hai. Stochastic indicator bhi yeh batata hai ke EURAUD pehle rise karega kyun ke line ka direction upwards hai.

EUR/AUD H4 Market Analysis

Market ne kuch arse se downward trend follow kiya hai, jahan prices lagataar neeche ja rahi hain. Lekin ab buyers resistance dikhane lage hain aur price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jab price 633-hour EMA (Exponential Moving Average) se door hui, to is ne 1.6315 ka low touch kiya. Iske baad downward momentum waisa continue nahi hua jaisa expect kiya ja raha tha, aur ab price thoda upar ki taraf jaane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Market kuch waqt tak consolidate karti rahi, jahan price 1.6369 (jo ke Friday ka daily open tha) aur 1.6401 (ek qareebi resistance level) ke darmiyan fluctuate karte rahi. Jab price ne upar wali taraf jaanay ki koshish ki, to wo 36-hour EMA se wapas pull back hui, jo ke 633-hour EMA se intersect karta hai aur 1.6415 resistance level ke paas se guzarta hai. Is waja se price consolidation area mein wapas aa gayi aur market ka closure 1.6389 par hua. 12-hour aur 36-hour EMAs ka downward extension price trend ko negative dikhata hai, jab ke 200-hour EMA ka position price movement se upar bearish trend ka indication deta hai.

Abhi price 633-hour EMA ke neeche aa chuki hai, jo ke mazeed negative movement ka ishara deti hai. Lekin Friday ke trading conditions ko doosray andaz mein bhi dekha ja sakta hai. Halankeh price ek limited range mein move kar rahi hai, lekin 1.6400 price level ke qareebi dynamic resistance ke aas paas positive direction ki tendency hai. Agar price is area ke upar jaane mein kaamyaab ho gayi aur Friday ke high 1.6427 ko cross kar gayi, to ek bullish scenario saamne aa sakta hai, jahan target range 1.6508 ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar buyers price ko maintain karne mein naakaam rahe, aur ek bearish signal generate hua jo ke Friday ke low 1.6355 se neeche gira, to 1.6273 level bearish target ban sakta hai. Filhal H4 stochastic indicator downwards signal de raha hai. Agar koi gap nahi aya, to Monday ka market opening 1.6388 - 1.6390 ke aas paas expect kiya ja raha hai. Relevant support aur resistance levels market entry ke liye 1.6295 aur 1.6437 hain.






Transaction Recommendations: Sell

Diye gaye text ke mutabiq, agar price 1.6295 support ko break karti hai aur 12-period aur 36-period moving averages downward point karte hain, to selling recommend ki gayi hai jahan profit target 1.6234 se 1.6154 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai. Selling tab bhi option mein hai agar price 200-period moving average se reject ho jaati hai, jahan bearish target 1.6413 ka ho sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, buying ka suggestion tab hai jab price 1.6437 resistance ko break kare aur 12-period aur 36-period moving averages upward cross form karein, jab price 200-period moving average se upar move karegi. Is buy trade ka profit target 1.6518 se 1.6580 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai. Buying ka pullback bhi ek trading option hai agar price 1.6183 area se reject ho, jahan bullish target 1.6273 se 1.6376 ke darmiyan ho ga.

Weekly Trading Chat on EUR/AUD:

Aaj, maine weekly chart ke upper limit aur Earl's Jerry apartment tak pohanch gaya hoon. Main manta hoon ke agle haftay bhi yeh move continue kar sakta hai, aur price result level ko cross karne ke liye tayar hai. HLOCALD ka resistance level 1.38989 hai. Yeh resistance level ke qareeb hai aur yeh do alag scenarios bana sakta hai.

Pehli situation mein, turning candles ki formation ko relate karta hoon. Global contract ke hisay ke tor par, southern movement ki shuruaat ka imkaan hai. Agar yeh plan hota hai, toh main price ko local support level tak wapas le aonga, jo ke 1.36292 ya 1.35691 ke qareeb hai. Support level par, main turning candles ke price change ko dekh kar reaction plan karoonga.

Dusri choice yeh hai ke price agay ja kar door ke targets ko bhi hit kar sakta hai. Maine apna mark bana liya hai, aur white scenario ke mutabiq local signal ko analyze kar raha hoon. Bullish signal ki formation ko samajhne ke liye, main global trend ko dekhunga.

Jab price 1.39775 ke qareeb hoga, doosra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke price is level ko cross karke aur agay ke geographical levels tak pohanch jaye. Agar yeh plan hota hai, toh main price ko resistance level tak shift karunga jo 1.41408 ya 1.42650 par hai.

Is level par, main turning candle ki formation aur southern correction ki umeed rakhta hoon. Uske baad support level par wapas dekh kar north side ka signal talash karoonga. Agle haftay mein price next key level tak pohanch sakta hai, us waqt main market ka structure aur size analyze karoonga.

Fundamentals of EUR/AUD:

Aaj humari guftagu ka markazi nuqta EUR/AUD ka behavior hai. Mere tajziye ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair bullish direction mein move karega aur 1.6796 ka target achieve karega. Halaanke aur bhi mumkin results hain, meri inclination bullish movement ki taraf hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke news events is pair ke behavior par asar dal sakte hain. Aaj ke schedule mein kuch ahem news releases hain jo ke khas taur par USD news events hain jo 16:30 par aane wale hain.

In events mein unemployment benefits ke liye new applications ki tadaad, purani requests ka average, WASDE report, aur Fed ke chairman Mr. Powell ka address shamil hain. Do aur teen star-rated news ka hona yeh show karta hai ke market mein volatility zyada hogi, aur yeh aik important factor hai jo humain madde nazar rakhna chahiye.





EUR/AUD Daily Time Frame:

Agar hum EUR/AUD ke daily chart par nazar daalein, toh hum dekhte hain ke pair ne pehle aik upper green rectangle ke andar trade kiya, jo ke 1.6963 aur 1.6470 ke darmiyan tha. Jab buyers upper levels par nahi mile, toh price ne is rectangle ko downside mein break kiya. Meri expectations ke baraks, pair bullish move karke nayi formation bana raha hai jo pehle se neeche hai, jo ke selling volume mein izafa show karti hai.

Price wapas pehle rectangle ke resistance 1.6835 par aa gaya, jo ke Federal Reserve ke speech se pehle buyers ki interest ko indicate karta hai. Yeh price ko agle resistance 1.7395 tak le jaa sakta hai. Lekin ab volume signals sellers ki taraf indicate kar rahe hain, is wajah se mujhe umeed hai ke price 1.6706 ke support tak decline karega.

Daily chart par zyada bara change nahi hai, lekin zyada indicators sellers ko support karte hain. Yeh suggest karta hai ke hum EUR/AUD pair mein neechay ki taraf move dekh sakte hain, aur European session ke dauran 1.6478 ke level ke neeche consolidation ka imkaan hai.

### EUR/AUD H4 Market Analysis

Market abhi ek downward trend mein hai, jahan prices lagataar gir rahi hain. Lekin, buyers ne resistance dikhana shuru kar diya hai, aur wo price ko upar ki taraf push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jab price 633-hour EMA (Exponential Moving Average) se door hui, to yeh 1.6315 ke low tak pahunch gayi. Tab se downward momentum waise jaari nahi raha jaise expect kiya gaya tha, aur price ab upar chadhne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Market ne kuch waqt ke liye consolidate kiya hai, jahan price 1.6369 (Friday ka daily open) aur 1.6401 (ek nazdeek ka resistance level) ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hai. Jab price ne higher area ko touch karne ki koshish ki, to yeh 36-hour EMA se wapas khich gayi, jo 633-hour EMA ke saath 1.6415 resistance level par intersect hoti hai. Is wajah se price consolidation area mein wapas aa gayi, aur market ne 1.6389 par close kiya.

12-hour aur 36-hour EMAs neeche ki taraf extend ho rahe hain, jo negative price trend ka izhar karte hain, jabke 200-hour EMA ka position price movement ke upar bearish trend ko darshata hai. Price ab 633-hour EMA ke neeche gir chuki hai, jo aur bhi negative movement ka imkaan darshata hai. Lekin, Friday ki trading conditions kuch alag interpretations de sakti hain. Halankeh price ek limited range mein move kar rahi hai, daily dynamic resistance ke 1.6400 level ke aas-paas positive direction ki taraf rujhan hai. Agar price is area ko paar karne mein kamiyab hoti hai aur Friday ke high 1.6427 ko exceed karti hai, to ek bullish scenario ban sakta hai jiska target range 1.6508 ho sakta hai.

Agar buyers price ko sambhalne mein nakam rehte hain, aur Friday ke low 1.6355 ke neeche girta hai, to 1.6273 level bearish target ban sakta hai. Filhal, H4 stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai. Agar koi gap nahi hota, to Monday ka market opening 1.6388 - 1.6390 ke price range ke aas-paas hone ki umeed hai. Market entry ke liye relevant support aur resistance levels 1.6295 aur 1.6437 hain.

### Transaction Recommendations: Sell

Agar price 1.6295 ke support ko todti hai aur 12-period aur 36-period moving averages neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, to selling ka recommendation diya jata hai jiska profit target 1.6234 aur 1.6154 ke beech ho sakta hai. Agar price 200-period moving average se reject hoti hai, to selling ek aur option hai, jiska potential bearish target 1.6413 ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar price 1.6437 ke resistance ko todti hai aur 12-period aur 36-period moving averages upar ki taraf cross karti hain, to buying ka suggestion diya jata hai. Is case mein profit target 1.6518 aur 1.6580 ke beech hoga. Pullback par buying bhi trading option hai agar price 1.6183 area se reject hoti hai, jiska bullish target 1.6273 aur 1.6376 ke beech hoga.

EUR/AUD ke H4 market analysis ke mutabiq, market mein girawat ka silsila chalu hai, jahan prices ne lagataar neeche ki taraf jaana shuru kiya hai. Lekin, ab buyers kuch resistance dikhana shuru kar rahe hain, aur price ko upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price jab 633-hour EMA (Exponential Moving Average) se door gayi, to isne 1.6315 ka low dekha. Uske baad se, girawat ki momentum utni aage nahi badhi jaisi umeed thi, aur price ab chadhne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Market kuch waqt ke liye consolidate hui hai, jahan price 1.6369 (Friday ka daily open) aur 1.6401 (ek nazdeek ka resistance level) ke darmiyan fluctuation kar rahi hai. Jab price upar ki taraf nikalne ki koshish ki, to yeh 36-hour EMA se wapas aayi, jo ke 633-hour EMA ke saath milti hai aur 1.6415 ke resistance level par cross karti hai. Is wajah se price dubara consolidation area mein aakar band hui, aur market ne 1.6389 par close kiya.

12-hour aur 36-hour EMAs neeche ki taraf extend ho rahe hain, jo ke negative price trend ko darshata hai, jabke 200-hour EMA ka price movement se upar hona bearish trend ko suggest karta hai. Price 633-hour EMA ke neeche gir gayi hai, jo ke aage aur bhi negative movement ki nishani hai. Lekin, Friday ke trading conditions ka ek alag angle bhi ho sakta hai. Halankeh price ek simit range mein chal rahi hai, lekin daily dynamic resistance 1.6400 ke aas paas positive direction ki taraf jhukav dikhata hai.

Agar price is area se upar nikal jaati hai aur Friday ke high 1.6427 ko cross kar leti hai, to ek bullish scenario ban sakta hai jiska target 1.6508 hoga. Iske baraks, agar buyers price ko sambhal nahi paate aur Friday ke low 1.6355 se neeche girawat aati hai, to 1.6273 bearish target ban sakta hai. Filhal, H4 stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf hai. Agar koi gap nahi hota, to Monday ke market ka opening price 1.6388 - 1.6390 ke aas paas hone ki umeed hai.

Market entry ke liye relevant support aur resistance levels 1.6295 aur 1.6437 hain.

**Transaction Recommendations:**
Agar price 1.6295 ke support ko todti hai aur 12-period aur 36-period moving averages neeche ki taraf hain, to sell ki salah di ja rahi hai jiska profit target 1.6234 se 1.6154 ke darmiyan hoga. Agar price 200-period moving average se reject hoti hai, to bhi selling ka option hai jiska bearish target 1.6413 ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar price 1.6437 ke resistance ko todti hai aur 12-period aur 36-period moving averages upar ki taraf cross karti hain, to buy ki salah di ja rahi hai jiska profit target 1.6518 se 1.6580 ke darmiyan hoga. Price agar 1.6183 ke area se reject hoti hai, to pullback par buying bhi ek acha option ho sakta hai, jiska bullish target 1.6273 se 1.6376 ke darmiyan hoga.

EURAUD

Sab ko mera salam aur umeed hai sab ka mood acha ho! M15 chart par linear regression channel upward position mein hai, is liye mujhe lagta hai buyers active hain. Main buying ka soch raha hoon, lekin sirf tab jab market thoda correction kare. Jab market channel ki lower boundary tak pohanche, jo ke 1.63703 ka level hai, to main wahan se buy karne ka soch raha hoon. Filhal main market ke against sell karna nahi chahta, aur jab tak channel upar ja raha hai, sell karne ka koi faida nahi. Mere liye behtareen entry point yeh hoga ke correction ke baad channel ki lower boundary se entry ki jaye. Is tarah ki entry galat entry ki surat mein loss ko kam karne mein madad karti hai, jo ke har trader ka hota hai. Upper boundary jo ke 1.64858 ka level hai, us tak market jaayegi; jab market upper part tak pohanch jaye, to correction ke liye downward move ka sochna chahiye. Correction ka sabab channel ki selected volatility hai.

Hourly Chart Analysis: Hourly chart ka linear regression channel bhi M15 ke direction mein hai, jo ke bullish interest ko support karta hai. Dono charts ke channels ko dekhte hue, priority buying ko di gayi hai. Filhal selling ke liye koi conditions nahi bani hain. Agar sell karna ho to pehle M15 channel downward direction mein hona chahiye, tab jaake selling ka sochna banta hai. Lekin jaise ke pictures mein dikh raha hai, dono channels upward hain, aur buyers ka market par dabao hai. Is liye, lower boundary jo ke 1.63382 ka level hai, wahan se buy karna zyada profitable hoga. Is point ke neeche selling opportunities ho sakti hain, lekin filhal buying ka scope zyada hai. Mera plan yeh hai ke channel ke upper side tak market ka growth dekhun jo ke 1.64450 hai. Jab market top level tak pohanch jaye, to bull apna quota pura karega, uske baad decline aasakta hai, lekin main us decline ko skip karunga. Aur phir, pullback ke saath main growing trend mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon.

EURAUD

Sab ko salam, umeed hai aap ka din acha guzar raha hoga! EURAUD currency pair ke liye jo situation main dekh raha hoon wo kuch is tarah hai: M15 chart par linear regression channel upward slope dikhata hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market mein buyers mazboot hain. Buyers ki activity se ek behtareen mauqa nazar aa raha hai ke channel ki lower boundary, jo 1.63508 ka level hai, se buying ki jaye. Uske baad mujhe umeed hai ke market 1.63985 tak upar jaayegi, jahan se correction aana chahiye. Correction lower boundary tak ho gi jahan se phir buying ka sochna hoga, aur agar yeh boundary break hoti hai to market mazeed neeche ja sakti hai, jisme purchases cancel ho jayengi. Is tarah ke movements ke zariye market channels ke through grow karti hai jab channel upward ho. Upper boundary, jo ke 1.63985 hai, wahan se sell karna mumkin hai. Mere liye important yeh hai ke pullback ke baad lower boundary ke qareeb se entry ki jaye.






High Timeframe (H1) Analysis: Agar H1 timeframe dekha jaye, to linear regression channel bhi upward direction mein hai, aur yeh mere liye M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke bulls market mein mazboot hain. M15 channel par jo signal aa raha hai wo buying ka hai, aur yeh meri buying interest ko aur barhata hai. Sirf price ka intezar karna hoga sahi jaga par aur wahan se buy karna hoga. Filhal jis jaga se main buying ka soch raha hoon wo channel ki lower boundary hai, jo ke 1.63464 ka level hai. Wahan se main phir buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon 1.64477 tak. Agar yeh target pura ho jata hai to yeh ek strong growth ka signal hoga. 1.64477 par correction ka chance zyada hai kyun ke bullish movement chal rahi hai. Uske baad bulls apni movement ko dobara restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry level 1.63464 ke neeche jata hai to yeh bearish interest ka sign hoga. Is surat mein buying plan ko dobara dekhna aur market situation ko re-evaluate karna zaroori hoga.

EUR/AUD Analysis: Bearish Trend Continues with Potential for Counter-Movements

M15 chart par dekhne se pata chalta hai ke filhal buyers zyada active hain, jese ke linear regression channel ka north ki taraf ishara hai. Magar bears ka aik mukhtalif nazariya hai. Jab market 1.65330 ke level tak pohanche gi, to yeh bearish interest ka signal ho sakta hai, aur bearish trend ko continue karte hue selling ka sochna chahiye. Is bearish interest ka target level 1.64261 hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke jab market is level tak pohanch jaye, to buyers dobara active ho sakte hain, jisse counter-movements ka chance barh jata hai. Is liye behtar yeh hai ke aap apna profit target level par lock kar lein. Lekin agar aap chahein to apni position ko hold kar sakte hain aur H4 chart ke mutabiq medium-term movement mein hissa le sakte hain.








M-15 Chart: Hourly chart ka analysis kartay hue dekhte hain ke linear regression channel sellers ki activity ko show karta hai kyun ke yeh downward direction mein hai. Upper boundary jo 1.65330 ka level hai, wahan selling volumes concentrated hain. Yahan bears kaafi strong activity show kar rahe hain aur unka target 1.64261 hai. M15 chart par lower boundary ka breakdown 1.64685 par dekhne ko milta hai, jo bearish interest mein izafa ka signal hai. Is dauran selling ka plan banaya ja sakta hai baghair volumes ko detail mein dekhe. Magar, agar 1.65330 ka level break ho jata hai, to yeh selling scenario ko invalidate kar dega. Is liye, zaroori hai ke jaldbazi mein sell na kiya jaye jab aisa ho, aur market ko dobara evaluate kiya jaye. Agar channel north ki taraf reverse hota hai, to yeh trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai. Hamesha hoshiar rahen aur market ke mutabiq apni strategy adjust karein.

Good Afternoon Forum Friends

Is moka par main apna trading plan share karna chahta hoon jo EUR/AUD pair ke mutaliq hai. Main ne yeh analysis Tuesday, 30 January 2024 ko H4 time frame par kiya hai.

General Trend: Bullish, Magar Bearish Reversal ka Potential Mojood Agar broad line analysis dekha jaye to filhal EUR/AUD bullish trend mein hai. Lekin kuch signs hain jo trend line ke break hone ki waja se reversal ka ishara dete hain. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market bearish trend ki taraf ja sakti hai. Halankeh, minor trends par bhi dhyan dena zaroori hai, jahan upward correction ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Yeh baat is liye confirm hoti hai ke price ne abhi Moving Average (200) ko break kiya hai.

Trading Plan 1 (Buy):

Buy at Support Area: 1.63568

Resistance Target 1: 1.64877

Resistance Target 2: 1.65687


Mera pehla plan yeh hai ke main 1.63568 ke support area mein buy karoon, aur target resistance 1 1.64877 par rakhoon, jab ke target resistance 2 1.65687 ke qareeb hoga. Is support area ka intikhab is liye kiya gaya hai ke price pehle kuch girawat ke baad ab correction ki zarurat dikhati hai. Magar, yeh baat yaad rahe ke resistance target 2 tak ka upward move limited ho sakta hai, aur main expect karta hoon ke price us zone ke baad girna shuru kare.

Trading Plan 2 (Sell):

Sell at Resistance Area 1: 1.64877

Support Target 1: 1.62802

Support Target 2: 1.62018






Mera doosra plan yeh hai ke main 1.64877 ke resistance area mein sell karoon, aur support target 1 1.62802 par, aur support target 2 1.62018 par rakhoon. Trend ke reversal ke potential ko dekhte hue, jo ke bearish ban sakta hai, main resistance area 1 par sell karne ka soch raha hoon. Iska target price 1.62802 aur 1.62018 tak gir sakta hai. Agar continuous lower lows aur lower highs bante hain, aur Moving Average price ke upar ho, to yeh bearish reversal ke nazariye ko support karta hai.

Yaad rahe, yeh trading plan profits ki guarantee nahi deta, aur market ke changing conditions ko lagataar monitor karna zaroori hai. Iske ilawa, stop loss lagana bhi risk management ke liye bohat ahmiyat rakhta hai. Umeed hai ke yeh trading plan aap ke trading activities mein aapko kamyabi dega.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS EUR/AUD

Assalam-o-Alaikum, mere pyare dealers! Aaj ke time frame chart mein hum market conditions ka tajziya karenge. Aaj ke trading session ke liye EUR/AUD pair ek interesting setup offer kar raha hai. Outline ke mutabiq, EUR/AUD pair 1.6471 par exchange ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, Monday ki close candle pattern bhi is hafta ke liye market ki direction ka andaza lagane mein madadgar hai. Filhal EUR/AUD pair upward direction mein trade kar raha hai. Ek US dollar ka rate is waqt 103.40 cents hai. Dollar index bhi upward direction mein hai.

Technical Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.6960 par hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market support level ki taraf barh raha hai, jese ke RSI-14 indicator se pata chalta hai. Saath hi accelerator oscillator bhi potential upside move ka ishara de raha hai. Is time frame mein EUR/AUD pair moving averages ke upar hai, is liye abhi ke liye hume buy orders consider karna chahiye.

Upside Scenario: Agar market 1.6690 ke level se upar momentum gain karta hai, to wahan pe buyer pressure ko immediate resistance ka samna hoga. Agar EUR/AUD 1.6690 ka area break kar leta hai aur uptrend kaafi strong hota hai, to doosri resistance level agla target hoga. Uske baad agar market price successfully is resistance level ko break karta hai, to price agle resistance level tak barh sakti hai jo teesri resistance hai.







Downside Scenario: Doosri taraf, pehla support level 1.6428 ke qareeb hai, jo ek negative signal deta hai. Agar bearish force is level ko break karti hai, to doosra support level 1.6240 tak pohanch sakta hai. Uske baad agla ahm support level 1.6012 ke qareeb hai, jo teesra support level hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke EUR/AUD par buy trade zyada profitable ho sakta hai. Lekin yeh zaruri nahi ke downtrend continue rahe, kuch waqt ke liye price upward bhi move kar sakta hai.

EURCAD Technical Analysis: Inverted Head and Shoulders Formation

Pehle bearish trend ko face karne ke baad, EURCAD currency pair ne daily time frame (Daily) par inverted head and shoulders pattern banaya hai. Yeh formation pehle ke bearish movement ke reversal ka ishara deti hai.

Inverted head and shoulders ka formation yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ab strong ho rahe hain aur market ko control mein lene ki koshish karenge. Neckline 1.4573 ke level par 31 January 2024 ko bani thi aur successfully break ho chuki hai. Yeh event is baat ki tasdeeq karta hai ke resistance ab support mein tabdeel ho chuki hai (RBS), jo ke aane wale waqt mein bullish potential ko confirm karta hai.

Is waqt EURCAD ki price 1.4604 ke aas paas hai, jo ke neckline ke slightly upar hai. Ab jab neckline break ho chuki hai, to agla target resistance 1.4697 ke level par hai.

Trading Plan:

Entry Point:

Buy entry tab kiya ja sakta hai jab price wapas retest karte hue us resistance level ko touch kare jo pehle successfully break hua tha (1.4573). Agar price wahan wapas aata hai aur koi strong bullish signal deta hai, jaise ke bullish candlestick pattern ya support formation, to entry is price range mein ya slightly upar ki ja sakti hai.


Stop Loss (SL):

Stop Loss kuch pips neckline ke neeche rakha ja sakta hai, jo ke takreeban 1.4550 ke aas paas hoga.


Take Profit (TP):

Pehla Take Profit agle resistance level par rakha ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.4697 ke qareeb hai. Magar, agar price ek certain level tak pohanch jaye, to stop loss ko breakeven par move karna ya kuch profits secure kar lena bhi acha hoga. Doosra TP agle resistance level par rakha ja sakta hai, jo ke takreeban 1.4730 par hoga.