eur usd

EUR USD H1 TIME FRAME KA ANALYSIS

currency jore ne haftay ke shuru mein Europi trading mein 1. 0885 ke ird gird mandlatay hue aaghaz kya. yeh July mein Europi markazi bank ( ecb ) ke sood ki sharah ko mustahkam rakhnay aur monitory policy ke liye data par mabni nuqta nazar ko barqarar rakhnay ke faislay ke baad hai. e si bi ki saddar krstin ne bank ke is azm ka iada kya ke woh apni policy ko jab tak zaroori ho is ke 2 % ke afraat zar ke hadaf ko haasil karne ke liye mehdood rakhay gi. takneeki tasweer ko dekhte hue, eur / usd jora 4 ghantay ke chart par apni kaleedi 100 muddat ke saada moving average ( sma ) se oopar rehta hai, jo ke aik misbet mukhtasir mudti rujhan ki nishandahi karta hai. taham, ahthyat ka aik note zaroori hai. rishta daar taaqat ka asharih ( rsi ) 43. 0 ke aas paas baithta hai, jisay ghair janabdaar ilaqa samjha jata hai, jo oopar ki taraf ya neechay ki taraf mazboot raftaar ki kami ki tajweez karta hai. is ka matlab yeh hai ke mazeed nuqsanaat ko mukammal tor par mustard nahi kiya ja sakta. qeemat kam honay ki soorat mein, 1. 0865 par nichale ke ird gird ibtidayi support milnay ka imkaan hai. agar jora is satah se neechay toot jata hai, to agla mumkina saylng point 1. 0850 par 100 period sma ho sakta hai. is satah se neechay aik faisla kin khilaaf warzi ki nafsiati satah ki taraf kami ko mutharrak kar sakti hai .



munhani khutoot oopri range ke qareeb tijarat kar raha hai, aur h4 time frame par yeh pehlay se ziyada kharidi gayi sharait dikha raha hai. is waqt mujhe ulat jane ke koi assaar nazar nahi arhay hain, is liye mein ab bhi qeemat mein izafay ki tawaqqa karta hon. munhani khutoot mein ab bhi 1. 0945 ki position par jane ka matlab hai, lekin mein ab bhi kami ki tawaqqa karta hon. mein mojooda position se zawaal ke imkaan ko bhi radd nahi karta. kyunkay h4 time frame par oopri range se, mein hamesha kami ki tawaqqa karta hon. taham, anay walay 2-3 hafton ke liye shumal ke safar ki paedaari ke liye abhi bhi Muzmer hai, aur imkaan hai ke yeh 1 ki bulandi se guzarnay ke baad ruk jaye, agar hum rozana time frame par wapsi ke baghair Sabiqa ko mad e nazar rakhtay hain. 1075. is liye, 300-400 points ka izafah taajiron ko heran kar sakta hai, jin mein se bohat se –apne sarmaye se mahroom ho jayen ge, aur itnay mazboot izafay ke baad, hum achanak aik gehri islaah se faida utha satke hain, aur ho sakta hai ke roz marrah par aik rujhan ulat palat ho. waqt

hain, jaise ke interest rate differentials, economic indicators, aur geopolitical influences.Interest rate differentials currency pair movements mein crucial role play karte hain. US Federal Reserve ne relatively hawkish stance maintain ki hai compared to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Higher interest rates US mein investors ko better returns ke liye attract karte hain, jo US dollar ki demand badhate hain aur New Zealand dollar ki demand kam karte hain. Yeh monetary policy ka divergence NZD ke weakness ka significant driver hai.Economic indicators bhi ek country ki economy ki health ke baare mein insight dete hain aur currency valuations ko influence karte hain. Recent economic data New Zealand se shayad US ke comparison mein less optimistic picture paint kiya ho. For example, lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, ya weaker retail sales New Zealand mein confidence undermine kar sakte hain NZD mein. Conversely, stronger economic performance US mein, jaise robust job growth aur solid consumer spending, US dollar ki appeal enhance karte hain. Geopolitical factors bhi picture ko complicate karte hain. Global uncertainties, jaise trade tensions, political instability, aur pandemic-related disruptions, investors ko safe-haven currencies jaise US dollar ki taraf le jaate hain. New Zealand, being a smaller economy with significant trade exposure, zyada vulnerable hota hai in global risks ke liye. Koi bhi adverse geopolitical developments additional downward pressure exert kar sakte hain NZD par.Technical analysis of NZD/USD chart bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Pair ka trading 0.6110 level ke aas paas indicate karta hai ke yeh key support levels ke kareeb hover kar raha hai. Agar yeh support breach hota hai, toh further declines ho sakte hain. Conversely, agar pair is level ke upar hold karta hai, toh ek short-term rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. However, overall trend bearish hi rahega jab tak significant positive changes fundamental ya technical landscape mein na aayen.NZD/USD pair ka current trading 0.6110 mark ke aas paas ek bearish trend underscore karta hai jo ke interest rate differentials, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ke combination se driven hai. New Zealand dollar ki persistent weakness US dollar ke against broader market dynamics ko highlight karti hai jo latter ko favor karte hain. Jab tak underlying economic ya geopolitical environment mein substantial shifts na ho, overall bearish sentiment likely to persist rahega. Market participants ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake trend mein potential changes anticipate kiye

EUR/USD pair

Jummah ke din Euro (EUR) US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kamzor hua, jahan EUR/USD joṛa karib 1.0870 tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hui. Pehli baat, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apna key interest rate wahi rakha, aur uski President Christine Lagarde ne mustaqbil mein rate cuts ke isharaat diye. ECB ka yeh dovish stance Euro ki appeal ko kamzor kar gaya. Iske ilawa, ECB ke policymaker François Villeroy de Galhau ke comments ne bhi interest rate cuts ki expectations ko mazid mazboot kiya.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ne significant rebound kiya, jo Donald Trump ke aanewale US presidential election mein jeetne ke chances ke hawale se speculation badhne ki wajah se support hua. Is increased demand ne safe-haven Dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya aur EUR/USD joṛe par weight daala. ECB ne rates ko anticipate kiya tha ke wahi rakhega aur September rate decision ko "wide open" aur data dependent chor diya. EUR/USD gir kar 1.09 se thoda neeche aa gaya. Agar data "disinflationary process" ko confirm karta hai, jese ke ECB President Christine Lagarde ne indicate kiya, toh aur bhi cut ki zaroorat ho sakti hai aur market estimates bhi apni September level ki expectation se zyada farq nahi rakhi.



Technically, pair ka short-term outlook ab bhi bearish hai, aur 50-period moving average 1.0870 par ek crucial support level ka kirdar ada kar raha hai. Agar yeh level decisively break hota hai, toh mazeed girawat 1.0850 area ki taraf trigger ho sakti hai. Lekin, kuch analysts ka kehna hai ke recent downtrend apne anjaam ke kareeb ho sakta hai, jahan 1.0945 level ek significant support zone mark kar sakta hai.

Aane wale waqt mein, EUR/USD pair ke weak momentum ke sath trade hone ki umeed hai. Agar 1.0900 se niche sustained move hota hai, toh sentiment downside ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Magar, jab tak yeh level hold karta hai, pair ka overall bullish trend qaim reh sakta hai. Kul mila kar, Euro ka performance ECB ki monetary policy stance aur US Dollar ki strength se mutasir ho raha hai, jahan US Dollar ko increased political uncertainty se faida mil raha hai.

---

---

EUR/USD H-1

Mangal ke din ki closing ek bullish candle thi, jismein neeche ek bohot bara shadow tha jo kal ki trading ki wajah se tha. Hourly chart par, abhi buying target tayar hai. Pehla target Fibonacci grid par 161.8 level hai, jo 1.0926 par hai. Doosra target 261.8 level par hai, jo 1.0958 par hai. Teesra target 423.6 level par hai, jo 1.1013 par hai. Seedha keh doon, main in targets ki taraf soch raha hoon, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke price aaj ke din mein un ki taraf nahi move karegi, balki agle hafte tak. Aaj ke economic calendar mein European Union ke baare mein dopehar mein news hai, jiska importance level teen sitaron wala hai. U.S. ki taraf se bhi shaam ko news hai, jiska importance level bhi teen sitaron wala hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke charts mein volatility barh jayegi.

EUR/USD H-4

Aaj to wo Prime Minister ko nikaal diya aur dhoondte dhoondte chale gaye. Dekhte hain ke ab kaun government banata hai, lekin mujhe nahi lagta ke socialists kuch kar sakte hain. U.S. ki economy to achi chal rahi hai, retail sales mein bhi izafa ho raha hai (gaadiyon ko chhod kar). Yeh ek positive signal tha aur logon ne is par react kiya. Shayad is wajah se gold prices bhi barh gaye jab investors ne yeh socha ke Fed interest rates ko is level par nahi rakhega. Yeh kuch ajeeb lagta hai, jab ke Powell aur aaj ke baqiya Fed representatives ke kehne par ke unka koi iraada nahi hai interest rates ko jald katne ka. Lekin rumors fail gaye, aur bade media outlets ne investors ko aisa sochne par majboor kar diya. Global gold prices record high par pohanch gaye. Is maamle mein, market ne bhi chala rehta hai aur decline ko offset kar diya. Afsos, EUR/USD 1.0883 ke neeche nahi ja paya aur gold prices ke izafe ki wajah se 1.09 par waapas aa gaya. Haan, ab humein European inflation data ke announcement ka intezar karna hoga taake thoda momentum mil sake. Agar ye barhta hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh aakhri growth cycle hai pehle ke downturn se pehle. Warna, main US dollar ke baare mein "conspiracy theories" banana shuru kar dunga.

EUR USD Forum Analysis, Forecast

Sab ko acha mood ho! Bechne walon ki taqat M15 chart par linear regression channel ke zariye zahir hoti hai, jismein neeche ki taraf jhukao hai. Jitna zyada jhukao hoga, utni zyada activity bechne walon ki dikhayi degi. Bais (bears) koshish kar rahe hain ke woh 1.08224 ke target tak neeche jayein. Agar yeh target poora hota hai, toh phir 1.08514 par ek rollback hone ki umeed hai, jo sales mein enter karne ke liye zaroori hai. Channel ke neeche bechna achha nahi hai. Kyunki channel ka principle asan hai, hum channel ke neeche wali taraf se kharidte hain aur uppar wali taraf se bechte hain. Iss waqt kharidari mere liye itni dilchasp nahi hai, halanke channel neeche ki taraf hai, kharidaari ka matlab hai ke asset ki movement ke khilaf jaana. Jahan tak 1.08514 ke level par bina stops ke movements hain, yeh bechne walon ki jidd par zabarardast asar hai, jinhone neeche achha koshish kiya, is waqt achi kami ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

Mere liye mukhya H1 chart par, main ek neeche ki taraf ka channel dekh raha hoon. Waise hi jaise M15 chart par, yeh bais ki taqat par koi shak nahi chhodta. Is liye, jaise maine pehle kaha, main bechne par ghor karunga. Iss waqt, bechne ka behtareen waqt channel ke uppar ke border 1.08750 se hai. Kami channel ke neeche ke border 1.08283 tak hogi. Upar ki taraf barhne ka benchmark H1 channel ke uppar ke edge ke level 1.08514 ka breakthrough hoga, jo bechne wale ka taqat ke saath market ko rok kar neeche ki taraf woh wapas bhaga dega, lekin iske upar ke consolidation se bullish activity ke nishan milte hain. Barhoti 1.08750 ke level par kamzor hogi, jisse neeche ki taraf movement ka punarprakaash hota hai, yeh dikhayega ke zyada strong player neeche ki taraf hai, jiske saath milkar main bechne ka mauka dhoondunga.

Bazaar shayad ek qeemat ki khaali jagah ke saath khulaay ga kyunki hamare paas ek shor sharaba bhara khabron ka peechhak hai. Bazaar ki dhun jis taraf wo khulega, vo wazeh nahin hai, is liye main sirf technical analysis aur hisaab par bharosa karta hoon. Hafte ka aakhri hissa kaafi jazbati wedge pattern ke saath band hua hai, aur unchaai par pohanchne se pehle, bazaar shayad thoda dhire ho jaye. Lekin, peer ko bazaar seedha unchaai ki taraf ja sakta hai ya phir unchaai ki nishani ko bhi paar kar sakta hai, jise main 1.09278 ke level par baat kar raha hoon. Do maheenay se daily timeframe par buy signal dikh raha tha. Is signal ka potential main abhi bhi chart par hare rang ke bar se mark kiya hua hai. Bachi hui potential ko samajhne ke liye, humein do support levels par dhyan dena hoga jo maine mark kiye hain. Pehla level 1.08644 par hai, jabki doosra level 1.08333 par hai. Signals aur potential ke alawa, humare paas ek unchaai gati (upward structure) bhi hai jo rounding ke surat mein hai, jo upar ki taraf chalne ki dua karta hai. Agar hum chart par tasveer bharain, toh main kuch aisa intezaar karunga jaisa doosra chart. Shayad yeh tezi se nahi badega, lekin correction ke saath rounding formation ki surat mein hoga. Yeh pattern "cup and handle" kehlata hai. Leharon ko dekhte hue, isay wave 4-5 ka higher interpretation kiya ja sakta hai. Kal maine euro ka bhi tajziya kiya, lekin maine Fibonacci levels ka istemal nahi kiya jaisa teesre chart mein hai. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke pehle support ke tor par mark kiya gaya level 23.6% aur 38.2% ke Fibonacci retracement levels se milta hai.

Aakhri waqiyat, khaaskar US mein consumer price index ke girne se, bazaar ab lagbhag yeh samajhta hai ke US Federal Reserve ek nahi, balkay do interest rate cuts kar sakta hai saal ke aakhir tak, aur pehla September mein hoga. Desh mein inflation ke 0.3% se paichle value tak girne ka yeh ijaazat deta hai, lekin abhi bhi July aur August ke inflations ke data hain, jo itne optimistic nahi ho sakte, isliye faislay karna abhi jaldbaazi hogi.

Magar abhi ke liye iska kharab asar US dollar ki taqat par hai, jo EUR/USD currency pair ke upar uthne mein taayeed de raha hai, jo pehle se hi US labor market ke negative data ki buniyad par barh raha tha. Main samajhta hoon ke jab tak EUR/USD currency pair upar jata rahega, mujhe umeed hai ke qeemat dasvi figure tak pohanchegi, jo 1.1020 ke level par pohanchne ki taraf tujiid kar rahi hai, lekin peer ko, EUR/USD quotes mein thoda rollback ho sakta hai, khaaskar jab abhi ka waqt hi 4-hour stochastic ke taraf se support ki taraaf dekh rahe hain, jo abhi currency pair ki overbought condition ko darshata hai.

EUR/USD

Hello doston, kaise hain aap?

EUR/USD abhi bhi peechay hai aur 1.0900 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, Thursday ke tezi se girne ke baad. European Central Bank ke officials ke dovish comments aur ek risk-averse market environment ne pair ko Friday ko rebound karne me mushkilat pesh ki. EUR/USD ko agla upside resistance 1.0948 (17 July) par milne ki umeed hai, uske baad March ke high 1.0981 (8 March) aur psychological level 1.1000 aa raha hai. Agar bears control wapas le lete hain, to pair 200-day SMA 1.0810 ko target kar sakti hai, aur phir 1.0666 (26 June) tak gir sakti hai. May ke low 1.0649 (1 May) ka loss 2024 ke low 1.0601 (16 April) tak le ja sakta hai. Bade picture me, agar key 200-day SMA ko convincingly breach kar liya jaye to further gains ki umeed hai. Ab tak, 4-hour chart kuch upward momentum ke loss ko dikhata hai. Lekin initial resistance 1.0948 hai, phir 1.0981 aur 1.1000 aate hain. Dusri taraf, 55-SMA 1.0872 par hai, phir 200-SMA 1.0793 aur phir 1.0709 aate hain.

Relative Strength Index 47 ke aas-paas gir gaya hai. US Dollar ne Thursday ko momentum wapas hasil kiya, USD Index ko 104.00 barrier ke upar uthaya, US yields ke various maturities me achi bounce ke saath. Iske muqablay me, EUR/USD ne do consecutive sessions ke gains ko chhod kar 1.0900 region ko challenge kiya, ECB ke dovish hold aur German 10-year bond yields ke modest rise ke baad Thursday ke meeting me. ECB event pe, President Christine Lagarde ne apne press conference me kaha ki unhe ummeed hai ke recovery consumption ke zariye supported hogi, aur labor market ki resilience ko highlight kiya. Unhone yeh bhi noted kiya ke domestic inflation high hai aur wages high rate se grow kar rahi hain. Iske alawa, unhone forecast kiya ki harmonized index of consumer prices bank ke target tak second half of 2025 me gir jayegi. Lagarde ne wages, profits aur geopolitical factors ko inflation ke upside risks ke tor par identify kiya.

EURUSD Currency Pair ka Jaiza

EURUSD currency pair ko agar hum 15-minute (M15) timeframe par dekhein, to yeh ek umeed afza signal dikha raha hai jo ke aik tafseeli tajziya ka mutaqazi hai. EURUSD price ne resistance level ko paar kar liya hai, jo ke market mein buyers ki barhati hui hukoomat ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt EURUSD ki sab se kam record ki gayi keemat 1.08241 hai, jo ke pehle ke low 1.0856 se oonchi hai. Yeh upar ki janib harkat mazid chalti hui uptrend ko zahir kar rahi hai, jo ke khareedne ke mauqe ko barhawa deti hai.

Bhale hi EURUSD bullish trend mein hai, lekin upward momentum basic supply levels se kuch maqbooz hai. Is waqt EURUSD price upper Bollinger band ke qareeb hai, jo ke middle band ki taraf ek mumkinah correction ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, EURUSD price mein ahem aur musalsal izafa usay overbought territory mein le aaya hai. Yeh stochastic oscillator se zahir hota hai, jo ke ab 80 se ooncha parh raha hai. Stochastic oscillator ke usoolon ke mutabiq, yeh surat-e-haal aam tor par ek downturn se pehle hoti hai, aur oscillator ke oversold level 20 ki taraf jane ka andaza hota hai.




Bollinger Bands aur stochastic oscillator ko dekhte hue, yeh reinforce karta hai ke EURUSD price mein qareebi waqt mein ek corrective movement mumkin hai. Bollinger Bands, jo ke volatility aur price action se wazeh hoti hain, yeh suggest karti hain ke jab price upper band ko touch karti hai, to wo aam tor par mean yani middle band ki taraf wapas aati hai. In technical indicators ko dekhte hue, traders anticipate kar sakte hain ke EURUSD price apni mojooda bulandi se temporary pullback ya correction ka samna kar sakti hai. Aise corrections aam tor par overbought conditions ke baad hoti hain, jo market ko stabilize aur adjust karne ka mauqa deti hain.

Natijatan, jabke EURUSD pair ek strong uptrend ko zahir karta hai aur buyers market mein dominate kar rahe hain, mojooda positioning upper Bollinger band ke qareeb aur high stochastic oscillator reading ehtiyaat ko zahir karti hain. Traders ko yeh potential buying opportunities ko correcti dip ke baad behtar levels par dekha sakte hain, jaisa ke yeh technical signals indicate karte hain.

EUR/USD H4 Chart ka Jaiza

Market ka mafhoom yeh hai ke yeh support area ko qaim rakha jaye, aur agar price last resistance 1.0808 ke upar move karti hai to bullish momentum jaari reh sakta hai. RSI indicator 150 area ke upar move kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke agar price support ko nahi torhta, to agle period mein barhne ke imkanaat hain. Chart mein 50-day SMA (green), 100-day SMA (blue), aur 100-day SMA (red) use ki gayi hain. Agar pehla resistance divergence 1.0950 consolidation level ko cross karta hai, to bulls significant swing ke liye 1.0860-1.0980 range ke ooper aim kar sakte hain. Short-term investors ko US session ke 1.0810-1.0890 trading range mein speculation karni chahiye, jahan 1.0810 support level crucial factor hai. Is support se buying pressure price ko wapas replacement area tak push kar sakta hai. H4 time frame ke liye RSI indicator 50 regions ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke further decreases abhi bhi mumkin hain. Lekin agar support 1.0810 torhta nahi hai, to price phir se barh sakti hai aur 100-day SMA resistance 1.0895 ko target kar sakti hai.




Monday ko, London session ke shuru hone se pehle, price ne is area ko retest kiya tha lekin akhir kar higher region 1.0860 tak extend hui, aur 1.0960 ke qareeb close hui. Yeh candlestick formation yeh indicate karta hai ke 1.0800 ka substantial support mazboot hai, jo price ko increase karne mein madad kar raha hai hatta ke week ke shuru mein three-black crow candle pattern ke baad bhi. Market participants ne Bullish Harami pattern banane ki koshish ki lekin kamyab nahi ho sake. Lekin pehle do candles ne 1.0965 ke qareeb ek high zone create kiya. Agar EUR/USD is zone ko cross karta hai, to yeh stronger buyer momentum ka signal hai. Agle haftay ka price outlook positive ho sakta hai, aur buyers 1.0786 ke qareeb area ko test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jahan 100 SMA lines located hain. Stochastic oscillator aur five-period smoothed moving average abhi bhi upar ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke aaj ya agle haftay Bollinger band ka bullish breakout ho sakta hai.

Jummah ke din Euro (EUR) US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kamzor hua, jiske natije mein EUR/USD pair 1.0870 ke qareeb gir gaya. Is girawat ke peeche kai asbaab the. Pehle, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apna key interest rate waisa hi rakha, aur ECB ki President, Christine Lagarde ne mustaqbil mein rate cuts ki mumkinat zahir ki. ECB ka dovish stance Euro ki appeal ko kamzor kar gaya. Iske ilawa, ECB policymaker François Villeroy de Galhau ke comments ne bhi interest rate cuts ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot kiya.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ne khasa rebound kiya, jo Donald Trump ke aanay wale US presidential election mein jeetne ke chances par badhti hui speculation se support hua. Is badhati hui demand ne safe-haven Dollar ko mazid bal diya aur EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dala. ECB ne rate maintain karne ki umeed rakhi thi aur September rate decision ko "wide open" aur data-dependent chor diya tha. EUR/USD 1.09 se zara neeche gir gaya. Agar data "disinflationary process" ko confirm karta hai, jaisa ke ECB President Christine Lagarde ne indicate kiya, to mazeed cuts zaroori ho sakte hain, aur market estimates September ke expectations se hat sakti hain.




Technically, pair ka short-term outlook bearish hai, aur 50-period moving average 1.0870 par ek crucial support level ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Agar yeh level theek se torh diya gaya, to mazeed girawat 1.0850 area tak trigger ho sakti hai. Lekin, kuch analysts yeh suggest karte hain ke recent downtrend apne end ke qareeb ho sakta hai, aur 1.0945 level ek significant support zone hai.

Agle period mein, EUR/USD pair ko weak momentum ke sath trade karne ki umeed hai. Agar sustained move 1.0900 ke neeche hota hai, to sentiment downside ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Lekin, jab tak yeh level qaim rehta hai, pair ka overall bullish trend intact reh sakta hai. Kul mila kar, Euro ki performance ECB ki monetary policy stance aur US Dollar ki strength se mutasir hai, jahan US Dollar ko badhti hui political uncertainty se faida ho raha hai.

Hello, EUR/USD pair ne apni halia corrective slide ko mid-1.0900s ke qareeb se extend kiya, jo ke last week ek char maheenon ki bulandi ko chho gaya tha, aur Budh ke din doosre seedhe din tak kuch selling pressure ke neeche raha. EUR/USD ko face up karne ki umeed hai. Agla downside stop 200-day SMA ke 1.0815 par hai, phir June ke low 1.0666 (26 June) par move karega. May ke low 1.0649 (1 May) ke loss se 2024 ka low 1.0601 (16 April) tak lead karega. Dusri taraf, pehli upside barrier July ke peak 1.0948 (17 July) par emerge hoti hai, phir March ke peak 1.0981 (8 March) aur key 1.1000 milestone. Bara picture dekhein, constructive bias tab tak rahega jab tak pair apni position ko key 200-day SMA ke upar maintain karta hai. Ab tak, four-hour chart dikhata hai ke downtrend accelerate ho gaya hai. Iska matlab hai ke initial resistance 1.0948 hai, phir 1.0981 aur 1.1000. Dosri taraf, 1.0843 pehla support hai, 200-SMA par 1.0793 aur aakhir 1.0709. Relative Strength Index around 33 tak gir gaya. US Dollar Tuesday ko edge higher hua jab ke USD Index mid-104.00s mein move kar gaya despite US aur German yields mein corrective declines ke.

Is sab ke bawajood, EUR/USD ne apna bearish trend resume kiya, Monday ke chote gains ko jaldi se de diya aur 1.0900 barrier ke south mein mazeed losses dikhaya amid dominant risk-off sentiment. Fed ke aas paas, September mein interest rate cut ka wide expectation hai, investors December mein mazeed cut anticipate kar rahe hain. Is context mein, market participants ab shayad US political landscape ki taraf tawajjo dena shuru karein, khas tor par incumbent Vice President K. Harris ke saath jo ke Republican candidate D. Trump ko 5 Nov. ke election mein challenge karne ke liye kafi support hasil kar rahi hain. Kareebi maamlaat mein, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos ne September mein mumkin interest rate cut ka ishara diya, note kiya ke ECB ke naye projections "sab se ahem" factor honge ye determine karne mein ke inflation target par wapas aa raha hai ya nahi.

EUR/USD Analysis: Bullish Trend Faces Potential Reversal

Jumeraat ko EUR/USD trading 1.0883 par band hui. Yeh closing position thodi si zyada thi market ke opening se, kyunke EUR/USD poore din barhti rahi. Yeh movement notable thi, EUR/USD ne 46 pips ke range mein move kiya. Thursday ko EUR/USD mein gehra girawat aayi thi, lekin candle support level 1.0863 ko break nahi kar paayi, jo ke further decline ko roknay mein madadgar sabit hui. Is increase ke natije mein, 1.0900 par resistance establish ho gaya, jo ke bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. H1 timeframe analysis ke mutabiq, agar EUR/USD ne sab se qareeb resistance 1.0900 ko breach kar diya, to aage aur bhi rise dekha ja sakta hai.

Lekin aaj, mujhe lagta hai ke decline ka chance zyada hai as compared to increase, kyunke candle abhi bhi supply area 1.0911 mein atki hui hai. Jab tak yeh supply area breach nahi hota, girawat ka mauqa barqarar rahega. Agar supply area breach ho jata hai, to increase zyada significant ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, ek bearish harami candle pattern bhi nazar aa raha hai, jo ke market reversal ke potential ko signal kar raha hai.



Ichimoku Indicator Analysis

Ichimoku indicator ke analysis ke mutabiq, candle ki position abhi bhi Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke upward trend ko darshata hai. Kal, jab EUR/USD gir gaya, candle ne blue Kijun-sen line ko touch kiya, lekin ise pass nahi kar paayi, jiska natija yeh tha ke us level ke aas-paas rebound hua aur EUR/USD mein phir se izafa dekha gaya.

In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, jabke Ichimoku indicator upward trend ko suggest kar raha hai, bearish harami candle pattern aur candle ki 1.0911 supply area mein position decline ke strong possibility ko indicate karti hai. Agar supply area breach nahi hoti, to girawat ka mauqa barqarar rahega. Lekin agar breach hoti hai, to increase kaafi significant ho sakta hai. Isliye, 1.0911 supply area aur bearish harami pattern ko dhyan se monitor karna zaroori hai taake EUR/USD ke future movement ko accurately determine kiya ja sake.