AUD/JPY, H4
Bank of Japan ke Governor ne recent mein traders ko surprise kar diya apni kaafi hawkish (unki taraf se) statement ke saath ke regulator monetary support ke degree ko adjust karega "agar core inflation central bank ke forecasts ke mutabiq develop hoti hai." Halankeh unhone kisi timeline ke baare mein baat nahi ki, unki rhetoric ne Japanese currency ko support kiya, especially jab ke Japan ke capital city mein inflation accelerate ho rahi hai.
Tokyo Consumer Price Index, jo ke ek leading indicator hai inflation dynamics ko predict karne ke liye throughout the country, May mein accelerate hui hai April ke decline ke baad. Headline CPI 2.2% tak barh gayi, jo ke 1.8% pe gir gayi thi, aur core CPI (fresh food ke prices ko exclude karte hue) 1.9% tak barh gayi jo ke 1.6% pe gir gayi thi. Dono figures consensus ke mutabiq thi lekin phir bhi inflation mein acceleration reflect karti hain.
Yen ka Reaction aur Bank of Japan ka Data
Yen ne Bank of Japan ke data pe bhi react kiya, jis ke mutabiq April mein corporate services ke prices annual terms mein 1991 se le kar sabse tez pace se barh rahi hain, tax increases ke impact ko exclude karte hue. Jaise ke aapko pata hai, Japanese regulator closely services ke prices monitor karta hai, kyunki ye labor ke cost ko zyada accurately reflect karte hain compared to commodities ke prices.
Yen ke devaluation ne Japanese exports ke liye high demand enable kar di hai, jo inflationary pressure ko increase kar rahi hai. Kai analysts ke mutabiq, ye situation central bank ko aur tighten monetary policy karne pe majboor karegi: ya to bond purchases ki rate ko reduce karke ya interest rates ko raise karke.
Agar hum 4-hour chart dekhen, to AUD/JPY cross currency pair apne main bias, yani Bull se correct ho rahi hai, jo confirm hua hai EMA 50 ki condition se jo EMA 200 ke upar hai. Lekin Stochastic Oscillator indicator ki position jo Oversold level pe hai aur ready ho rahi hai ke level 20 se upar jaye, to near future mein AUD/JPY level 103.80 ko test karne ki koshish karegi aur agar ye successfully break ho gaya to level 104.29 agla target hoga jo aim kiya jayega. Lekin agar is target level ke raste pe achanak AUD/JPY phir se weaken ho gayi aur level 102.85 se niche gir gayi, to pehle describe kiye gaye sab strengthening scenarios invalid ho jayenge aur automatically cancel ho jayenge.
Bank of Japan ke Governor ne recent mein traders ko surprise kar diya apni kaafi hawkish (unki taraf se) statement ke saath ke regulator monetary support ke degree ko adjust karega "agar core inflation central bank ke forecasts ke mutabiq develop hoti hai." Halankeh unhone kisi timeline ke baare mein baat nahi ki, unki rhetoric ne Japanese currency ko support kiya, especially jab ke Japan ke capital city mein inflation accelerate ho rahi hai.
Tokyo Consumer Price Index, jo ke ek leading indicator hai inflation dynamics ko predict karne ke liye throughout the country, May mein accelerate hui hai April ke decline ke baad. Headline CPI 2.2% tak barh gayi, jo ke 1.8% pe gir gayi thi, aur core CPI (fresh food ke prices ko exclude karte hue) 1.9% tak barh gayi jo ke 1.6% pe gir gayi thi. Dono figures consensus ke mutabiq thi lekin phir bhi inflation mein acceleration reflect karti hain.
Yen ka Reaction aur Bank of Japan ka Data
Yen ne Bank of Japan ke data pe bhi react kiya, jis ke mutabiq April mein corporate services ke prices annual terms mein 1991 se le kar sabse tez pace se barh rahi hain, tax increases ke impact ko exclude karte hue. Jaise ke aapko pata hai, Japanese regulator closely services ke prices monitor karta hai, kyunki ye labor ke cost ko zyada accurately reflect karte hain compared to commodities ke prices.
Yen ke devaluation ne Japanese exports ke liye high demand enable kar di hai, jo inflationary pressure ko increase kar rahi hai. Kai analysts ke mutabiq, ye situation central bank ko aur tighten monetary policy karne pe majboor karegi: ya to bond purchases ki rate ko reduce karke ya interest rates ko raise karke.
Agar hum 4-hour chart dekhen, to AUD/JPY cross currency pair apne main bias, yani Bull se correct ho rahi hai, jo confirm hua hai EMA 50 ki condition se jo EMA 200 ke upar hai. Lekin Stochastic Oscillator indicator ki position jo Oversold level pe hai aur ready ho rahi hai ke level 20 se upar jaye, to near future mein AUD/JPY level 103.80 ko test karne ki koshish karegi aur agar ye successfully break ho gaya to level 104.29 agla target hoga jo aim kiya jayega. Lekin agar is target level ke raste pe achanak AUD/JPY phir se weaken ho gayi aur level 102.85 se niche gir gayi, to pehle describe kiye gaye sab strengthening scenarios invalid ho jayenge aur automatically cancel ho jayenge.
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Расширенный режим Обычный режим