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  • #16 Collapse

    AUD/JPY, H4

    Bank of Japan ke Governor ne recent mein traders ko surprise kar diya apni kaafi hawkish (unki taraf se) statement ke saath ke regulator monetary support ke degree ko adjust karega "agar core inflation central bank ke forecasts ke mutabiq develop hoti hai." Halankeh unhone kisi timeline ke baare mein baat nahi ki, unki rhetoric ne Japanese currency ko support kiya, especially jab ke Japan ke capital city mein inflation accelerate ho rahi hai.

    Tokyo Consumer Price Index, jo ke ek leading indicator hai inflation dynamics ko predict karne ke liye throughout the country, May mein accelerate hui hai April ke decline ke baad. Headline CPI 2.2% tak barh gayi, jo ke 1.8% pe gir gayi thi, aur core CPI (fresh food ke prices ko exclude karte hue) 1.9% tak barh gayi jo ke 1.6% pe gir gayi thi. Dono figures consensus ke mutabiq thi lekin phir bhi inflation mein acceleration reflect karti hain.




    Yen ka Reaction aur Bank of Japan ka Data

    Yen ne Bank of Japan ke data pe bhi react kiya, jis ke mutabiq April mein corporate services ke prices annual terms mein 1991 se le kar sabse tez pace se barh rahi hain, tax increases ke impact ko exclude karte hue. Jaise ke aapko pata hai, Japanese regulator closely services ke prices monitor karta hai, kyunki ye labor ke cost ko zyada accurately reflect karte hain compared to commodities ke prices.

    Yen ke devaluation ne Japanese exports ke liye high demand enable kar di hai, jo inflationary pressure ko increase kar rahi hai. Kai analysts ke mutabiq, ye situation central bank ko aur tighten monetary policy karne pe majboor karegi: ya to bond purchases ki rate ko reduce karke ya interest rates ko raise karke.

    Agar hum 4-hour chart dekhen, to AUD/JPY cross currency pair apne main bias, yani Bull se correct ho rahi hai, jo confirm hua hai EMA 50 ki condition se jo EMA 200 ke upar hai. Lekin Stochastic Oscillator indicator ki position jo Oversold level pe hai aur ready ho rahi hai ke level 20 se upar jaye, to near future mein AUD/JPY level 103.80 ko test karne ki koshish karegi aur agar ye successfully break ho gaya to level 104.29 agla target hoga jo aim kiya jayega. Lekin agar is target level ke raste pe achanak AUD/JPY phir se weaken ho gayi aur level 102.85 se niche gir gayi, to pehle describe kiye gaye sab strengthening scenarios invalid ho jayenge aur automatically cancel ho jayenge.

    • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
    • #17 Collapse

      AUD/JPY Chart Analysis Technical
      Technical summary se market ki situation aur direction ka overview milta hai. Yeh parameters market condition ko samajhne aur sahi trade spot karne ke liye zaroori hain. Currency correlation ek gradation hai jisme ek pair dusre pair ke sath relation rakhta hai. Currency correlation -1 se +1 ke numeric scale pe hoti hai, jo ke correlation coefficient ki tarah hoti hai. Numeric values currency correlation mein association ke level ko dikhati hain.

      Australian Dollar aur Japanese Yen (AUD/JPY) ne ek remarkable upward trajectory dikhayi hai aur recently symmetric triangle pattern se bahar nikal gayi hai, jo ke chart pe blue lines se outline kiya gaya hai. Yeh breakout sirf ek technical achievement nahi hai; yeh pair mein strong bullish momentum ko signify karta hai. Is upward movement ke sath ek key horizontal resistance bhi breach hua hai, jo green color se chart pe identified hai, jo current trend ki strength ko aur validate karta hai.

      AUD/JPY ka recent surge kaafi impressive hai. Lekin forex trading ki duniya mein, aise steep ascents aksar bearish corrections ki possibility ko invite karte hain. Ek pullback, jo itni strong ho sakti hai ke pair ko recently surpassed green resistance ke neeche le aaye, ko rule out nahi kiya ja sakta. Aise corrections natural aur healthy hain long-term trends ko sustain karne ke liye. Yeh traders ko mauka dete hain jo initial uptrend wave miss kar gaye hain, ongoing bullish narrative mein participate karne ka.


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      Australian dollar ko commodity currency ke roop mein jana jata hai kyunki Australia global gold production aur export mein role ada karta hai. Aussie ka long-term positive correlation gold ke value ke sath hota hai. Wahi, Canadian dollar bhi commodity currency hai aur energy products, crude oil aur natural gas ke sath correlation dikhata hai. Australian dollar pehle currency (base currency) aur Canadian dollar doosri currency (quote currency) hai, isliye is pair ko cross currency pair kaha jata hai.

      AUD/JPY ab bhi moderate hai lekin yeh slightly bullish basic trend ko question kar sakta hai. In conditions mein trading direction advise karna mushkil hai. Pehla support 96.71 JPY pe hai aur pehla resistance 97.80 JPY pe hai. Aap sidelines pe rah sakte hain aur zyada pronounced price movement ka intezar kar sakte hain. Phir naye analysis kiya ja sakta hai taake clearer signals mil saken. AUD/JPY ek popular currency pair hai trading ke liye, lekin yeh zaroori nahi ke sabke liye best ho. Yeh pair volatile ho sakta hai aur zyada experienced traders ke liye suited hai jo quick price fluctuations ka faida utha sakte hain. Yeh currency pair unke liye bhi suitable ho sakta hai jo higher volatility markets mein trading pasand karte hain ya long-term investors ke liye jo believe karte hain ke Australian dollar ki value Japanese yen ke muqablay mein barhegi.
      Like tu banta hay ik🙏

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