eur usd

EUR USD H1 TIME FRAME KA ANALYSIS

hello. mujhe euro dollar ke jore mein mazeed kami ki bhi tawaqqa hai. phir, jab be rozgari ke adaad o shumaar samnay aaye, to mein ne 1. 09052 ki muzahmat ke liye mazeed taraqqi ko farz kya. 4 ghantay ke chart par un nambaron ke oopar, mere paas pehlay se hi is jore ka ziyada khareeda sun-hwa hissa hai. ziyada se ziyada jis ki mujhe tawaqqa thi woh 4 ghantay ke giray chart par range ke oopri hudood mein ghalat break out tha. aur is ke baad, yaqeenan, mein ne wapsi ki tawaqqa ki. mein farz karta hon ke yeh jora 1. 08216 par support kere ga, giray range ki nichli hudood. yeh number 1. 07449 hain. yani, mein farz karta hon ke jori is had mein rahay gi jab tak ke afraat zar jamood se niklny ka rasta nahi dekhata. aur jab tak mehengai jamood se niklny ka rasta nahi dukhati, mein nahi samjhta ke yeh jora barhay ga, is liye zawaal yahan hai .

EUR USD H4 TIME FRAME KA ANALYSIS

haan, aik ulat palat yahan mumkin hai aur dollar ke jore par hoga, khaas tor par chunkay reechh 1. 0895 ki support level se neechay mazboot ho gaya hai. lekin, mein ab bhi farokht mein daakhil honay ke liye gehri janoobi kami ka intzaar karna chahta hon, aur is ke baad, agar koi islaah hoti hai, to mein khushi se 1. 0895 ki satah ke ilaqay mein farokht karoon ga. yahan, barray pemanay par, aglay haftay market khilnay ke baad qeemat shumal aur junoob dono taraf gole ho sakti hai, lehaza, shumal aur junoob dono taraf, aap ko pehlay tasdeeq ka intzaar karna chahiye aur phir is simt ka faisla karna chahiye. daakhil hona .

EUR / USD Technical Analysis:

EURUSD Technical Analysis: Dusra mazmon jo aaj dopahar par kiya gaya, woh hai bari EURUSD pair ki taraf, jahan agar is haftay ki movement ki tendency dekhi jaye, toh wakai mai gehri girawat ho rahi hai. Agar abhi jo ho raha hai us par nazar dali jaye, to kam az kam EURUSD ne bhi EURUSD mein bullish mauqe ko rokne mein kamyabi haasil ki hai, han jee kal Jumeraat ko. Pehle, EURUSD ne is haftay ke shuru mein hi ek bullish movement shuru ki thi aur Thursday aur Friday ko phir EMA89 ke upar thi is H4 timeframe mein, jahan pehle maine socha tha ke yeh halat EURUSD ko phir se ek bullish halat mein le aayegi. Magar aakhir mein main ghalat tha jahan EURUSD asal mein dobara neeche chala gaya aur kaafi aasani se dobara EMA21 ke neeche trade kiya gaya, jis par mujhe lagta hai ke bhavishya mein bearish trend mein wapas lautne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. EURUSD Trading Plan: Mera trading plan agle hafte barah-e-karam phir se bechnay par zyada tawajjo denay wala hai, jahan filhal kam az kam main EMA8 ka EMA21 se upar se neeche guzarne ka intezar kar raha hoon taake dono EMAs ke darmiyan phir se ek crossover ho. Tab hi main mustaqbil mein phir se bechnay ki koshish karunga ek behtareen target ke sath, shayad 1,075 ke important area tak, jo pichle do hafton mein ab tak haasil nahi hua.
EUR/USD H4 Chart:



Eur/usd H4 main ek tezi se badalte hue trend ko dikhata hai jisme abhi ek bearish tendency hai. US dollar ki dabao abhi bhi qabza mein hai, khaaskar Fed se ek hawkish policy ki umeed ke sath. 1.0550 ke support level ko dekhna kaafi zaroori hai. Agar keemat is support ko tor deti hai toh zyada giravat hona mumkin hai jabke 1.0600 ke resistance level ek ahem level ho sakta hai agar ek retracement hota hai.

EUR/USD Key Price Levels (Roman Urdu)
Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. Mera abhi ka view yeh hai ke halan ke liye upward trend ka kehna thoda jaldbaazi ho sakta hai, lekin kuch aise indicators hain jo momentum shift karne ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Yeh movement zyada tar geopolitics, khas taur pe U.S. election cycle ki wajah se ho rahi hai. Abhi bhi uncertainties hain, lekin jo current indicators hain, unse yeh lagta hai ke hum 1.0847 ke range tak pohanch sakte hain, jahan hourly realignment upward direction ko confirm kar sakta hai. Iske baad ek pullback ho sakta hai, jo bullish trend ko continue karne mein madad de sakta hai. Filhal hum intraday levels par nazar rakh rahe hain: agar 1.0825 ka top ban jata hai to upward trend ko support milega, jabke agar price 1.0766 tak girti hai to momentum downward shift ho sakta hai. Yeh optimistic view hai, lekin mein expect karta hoon ke bullish direction aage chal kar barqarar rahega. Aik strategy yeh ho sakti hai ke upper band ke aas-paas 1.0829 par order place kiya jaye, taake breakout hone par faida ho sake.



EUR/USD Mein Volatility Aur Price Movement

EUR/USD mein kafi volatility dekhi gayi hai, kyunke prices 1.0774 se neeche gir gayi hain, lekin naye local lows banane se bach gayi hain. Isse yeh lagta hai ke neeche ke levels par kuch support hai, lekin yeh lows dobara test hone ka chance kam hai. Dusri taraf, recent recovery ne kafi decline ko wapas recover kiya hai, aur momentum upar ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Daily candle ka close hona kaafi important hoga; agar candle current levels par ya usse upar close hoti hai to yeh bullish pin bar ka signal de sakti hai. Dollar ki trading behavior mein bhi shift aaya hai, aur halan ke liye mein sales ka soch raha nahi hoon, lekin yeh maan kar chalna chahiye ke prices 1.079 aur 1.0759 ke neeche phir se gir sakti hain. Iske bawajood, main buy signals ki talash mein hoon. Candlestick analysis ke mutabiq, teen distinct downward waves ne prices ko 1.12 se 1.0771 tak neeche kiya. Neeche ke end par, teesri wave hesitation ka signal de rahi hai.

EUR/USD Pair Forecast (Roman Urdu)
EUR/USD ki movement abhi bullish momentum mein nazar aa rahi hai aur strong daily support ko reject karte hue aage barhne ka potential dikhayi de raha hai, jo ke agle trading session ke liye aur bhi zyada increase ho sakta hai. EUR/USD European forex trading session mein apni do mahine ki sabse unchi range tak jump kiya. EUR/USD ne 1.0850 ke aas-paas sharp rise dekha, jab preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data ne yeh dikhaya ke economy ne Q3-2024 mein purani contraction ke baad surprising growth dekhi. Data se yeh pata chala ke German, French, aur Spanish economies ne estimate se zyada growth dikhayi, jaise ke German GDP ne 0.2% grow kiya jo pehle quarter ki contraction ke baad 0.1% ke decline ke estimate se zyada tha. German Q3 GDP ki surprising positive performance aur high inflation data ne European Central Bank (ECB) se expected 50 basis points (bps) ki rate cut ko kam kar diya hai, jo December mein hone ki umeed thi. Yeh sab factors aage chal kar EUR/USD ki movement ko affect kar sakte hain.



Technical Analysis

Agar hum daily timeframe se dekhein, to price support 1.0772 par reject hoti hui nazar aa rahi hai aur last trading session mein ek strong bullish daily candle ke saath close hui hai, isliye aage chal kar price mein aur increase ho sakta hai aur yeh middle Bollinger band aur EMA 55 daily ko test kar sakta hai jo long-term target hai. Price EMA 7 daily ko successfully penetrate karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, jo ek strong bullish reversal pattern ka indication de raha hai. Kai indicators, jaise stochastic aur RSI bhi bullish signals show kar rahe hain. Stochastic sharply rise hota hua 80 ke area ki taraf ja raha hai, jabke RSI bhi 30 ke area se upar ki taraf rise hota hua bullish signal de raha hai. In tamam patterns ko dekhte hue, buy setup kaafi attractive lagta hai aur future mein trading ke liye yeh achha option ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis (Roman Urdu)
EUR/USD ka 1-hour chart recent bullish push ko dikhata hai jo resistance level 1.08300 ke upar gaya, jo market sentiment mein shift ka indication deta hai. Yeh upward move pehle ke consolidation zones aur liquidity levels ko todte hue gaya, jo 1.08000 ke aas-paas accumulate ho rahe the. Chart mein kuch fair value gaps (FVGs) bhi nazar aa rahe hain jo current price ke neeche hain, khaas kar 1.08000 aur 1.08200 ke beech, jo agar sellers market mein wapas aaye to retracement ke areas ban sakte hain. Recent mein 1.08500 level ka breach hone se yeh indicate ho sakta hai ke agar price is level par consolidate kare ya upar se test kare, to yeh ek nayi support zone ban sakti hai, jo further gains ke liye base ho sakta hai. Bullish trend 1.08800 ke aas-paas resistance face kar raha hai, jo ek liquidity pool ke saath align karta hai aur yahaan sellers ka interest attract ho sakta hai.

Bullish Momentum Ki Continuation Aur Potential Targets

Agar bullish momentum continue karta hai, to 1.08800 ke upar break hona higher targets ke liye raasta khol sakta hai, jaise ke 1.09000 aur shayad 1.09200 tak, jo pehle ke top liquidity zones ke aas-paas hain. Lekin agar bearish pressure aata hai, to 1.08000 ke aas-paas FVGs tak pullback hona uptrend mein ek healthy correction ho sakta hai. Liquidity sweeps aur fair value gaps institutional players ke interest ko highlight karte hain, jo in levels ko accumulation ya distribution ke liye dekhte hain, jo short-term price movements ko impact karte hain. Agar 1.08000 ke neeche decisive break hota hai, to yeh potential reversal ka signal dega aur bullish outlook ko challenge karte hue price ko 1.07600 ke support ki taraf push kar sakta hai.



Summary: Bullish Outlook With Caution

Summary mein, EUR/USD bullish movement ke liye position dikhayi de raha hai, jo ke 1.08300 par support banaye rakhne aur 1.08800 ke aas-paas resistance ko break karne par dependent hai. Agar FVGs ko fill karte hue pullback hota hai, to trend-following traders ke liye entry opportunities mil sakti hain. Lekin agar price 1.08000 ke upar hold nahi karta, to bullish outlook kamzor ho sakta hai aur downside risk badh sakta hai lower support levels ki taraf. Traders ko in key levels par close nazar rakhni chahiye kyun ke yeh levels pair ki direction ko determine karenge aane wale sessions mein. Overall, outlook cautiously optimistic hai, with a bullish bias, jab tak critical support levels intact hain.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis (Roman Urdu)
EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko early Asian trading mein rebound dekha, aur pair 1.0855 ke around trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement asal mein US dollar ke kamzor hone aur Eurozone ke economic data ke expected se zyada strong hone ki wajah se thi. US economy ne mixed signals diye. Jahan third-quarter GDP growth rate thoda expectations se neeche tha, wahan ADP employment report ne private sector mein jobs ki kaafi achi increase ko dikhaya. Lekin, market ki umeed hai ke Federal Reserve November mein 25 basis points ka interest rate cut kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, Eurozone ki economy ne resilience dikhayi, jahan third-quarter GDP growth expectations se zyada thi. Yeh positive economic data Euro ko boost diya aur US Dollar Index (DXY) par downward pressure dal diya.



Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Pair

Technically, EUR/USD pair ab tak bearish trend mein trade kar raha tha, lekin recent price action se reversal ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Jabke momentum indicators largely bearish hain, RSI ne oversold levels ke upar support banaya hai aur MACD ne apni signal line ko cross kiya hai, jo momentum mein potential shift ko indicate karta hai. Sustained upward movement ke liye, pair ko 1.0800 ka immediate resistance level cross karna hoga. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, to yeh 1.0861 tak rise karne ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo July-October 2023 ke downtrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Lekin, 200-day SMA ek significant resistance level bana hua hai. Agar bullish momentum continue rehta hai, to pair 1.0959 tak target kar sakta hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hai, aur phir 1.1000 ka level, jahan 50-day SMA bhi upar se aata hua nazar aa raha hai. Traders ko is hafta ke NFP data ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye aur phir market mein trend direction risk ko samajhte hue trading decisions lene chahiye.

EUR/USD Analysis aur Forecast aaj ke liye
Aaj EUR/USD pair ko strong resistance ka samna hai, jo 1.09 ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Eurozone ki economic concerns aur U.S. economic indicators ki strength ke beech kaafi contrast hai. Recent moves central bank policies ke differences ke wajah se influence hue hain, jahan European Central Bank (ECB) softer inflation aur weaker growth ke wajah se dovish stance le raha hai, jabke Federal Reserve resilient U.S. employment aur consumer data ki wajah se cautious hawkish tone rakh raha hai. Is divergence ne euro par pressure daala hai, kyun ke investors dollar ko zyada prefer kar rahe hain, global uncertainty aur strong U.S. fundamentals ke chalte.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to EUR/USD ko 1.09 ke resistance ko todne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, jo 50-day moving average se aur mazboot ho gaya hai. 200-day moving average thoda upar hai, jo suggest karta hai ke pair ko significant distance cover karni hai agar sustainable uptrend ka socha jaye. Lekin 1.08 ke aas paas support abhi bhi intact hai, lekin recent volume analysis se yeh pata chal raha hai ke yahan selling pressure kaafi strong hai. Agar bearish momentum continue raha, to yeh support toot sakta hai, aur downside movement ka raasta khul sakta hai.



Seasonal Patterns bhi is bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Historical data ke mutabiq, euro aam tor par fourth quarter mein weaken hota hai, jabke U.S. dollar ki strength badhti hai, aur investors global economic uncertainty ke waqt safe-haven assets ki taraf shift karte hain. Agar ECB Eurozone ke data ko dekhte hue interest rates cut karne ka faisla karta hai, to dollar ko aane wale weeks mein EUR/USD pair par dominate karne ka chance ho sakta hai.

Key technical indicators bhi is view ko support karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 45 ke aas paas hai, jo mild bearish sentiment ko signal kar raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line signal line ke neeche hai, jo current downward trend ko support karta hai. Traders ECB ya Fed se koi unexpected changes ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo upcoming meetings aur economic reports ke zariye pair ke is range-bound pattern ko todne mein madad kar sakte hain.

Technical aur fundamental signals dono milkar, EUR/USD ko short-term mein bearish hone ka indication de rahe hain.

EUR/USD Currency Pair ka Analysis aur Forecast
EUR/USD currency pair ne Wednesday ko early Asian trading mein decline dekha, jo ke lagbhag 1.0810 tak pohanch gaya. Is girawat ka sabab European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rate cuts ki umeed aur US dollar ki taqat thi. Market mein yeh expectations hain ke ECB apne deposit rate ko phir se kam karega, aur December ke meeting mein 50 basis point ka cut hone ke chances kaafi zyada hain. Lekin, ECB ke policymakers ke beech rate cuts ke pace par alag-alag views hain. Kuch policymakers, jaise Pierre Wennesch, cautious approach ko prefer karte hain, jabke dusre, jaise Mario Centeno, zyada aggressive easing ke haq mein hain. Dusri taraf, US dollar us waqt mazboot hua jab US Treasury yields barh gaye, jo Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ki taraf ishaara karte hain. Is market sentiment ke shift ne EUR/USD pair par pressure dala hai.



Technical Perspective se dekha jaye to, EUR/USD pair ne apni recent girawat ke baad stabilization dikhayi hai. RSI indicator oversold levels ke upar gaya hai, aur MACD ne apni signal line ko cross kiya hai, jo near-term mein reversal ka indication deta hai. Lekin, pair abhi bhi 1.0800 ke level par significant resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai to yeh 50% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0861 tak recovery ka raasta khol sakta hai. Lekin, 200-day SMA, jo ke 50% Fibonacci level ke paas aa raha hai, ek aur significant resistance barrier ban sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0959 tak target ho sakta hai, aur phir 1.1000 tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Nateeja yeh hai ke, EUR/USD pair abhi kaafi complex factors ka samna kar raha hai, jin mein diverging monetary policy expectations aur geopolitical risks shamil hain. Short-term recovery ka possibility hai, lekin overall outlook abhi tak uncertain hai. Traders ko key economic indicators aur central bank decisions closely monitor karne chahiye taake woh further price movements ka accurately assessment kar sakein.

EUR/USD Pair ka Daily Time Frame Analysis
Kal, EUR/USD pair par sellers ka zyada control tha, jo price ko neeche bearish le aaye, lekin woh 1.0774-1.0776 ke buyer support area ke neeche break karne mein fail ho gaye. Is wajah se price dobara strongly bullish move kar gaya.

Agar Moving Average indicator ko Daily time frame par dekha jaye, to yeh dikhayi deta hai ke abhi bhi buyers ka control hai aur woh EUR/USD pair ki price ko upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain, taake Yellow MA 200 area, jo ke 1.0868-1.0869 par hai, ko test kar sakein. Yeh area aaj ke trading mein bullish buyers ke liye target ho sakta hai. Buyers ki support bullish candlesticks se bhi dekhne ko milti hai, jo aaj ke EUR/USD pair ke market mein buyers ko dominate karne ka mauka deti hai. Agar price Yellow MA 200 area ke upar successfully break kar leta hai aur wahan rehne lagta hai, to EUR/USD pair ka market aur zyada strong ho sakta hai, aur next target Blue MA 100 area 1.0934 tak ho sakta hai. Lekin agar Yellow MA 200 area ke upar break nahi hota, to EUR/USD pair ka price aur neeche ja sakta hai.

Aaj dopahar ke dauran trading mein bearish sellers ka effort dekha gaya, jo price ko neeche laane ki koshish kar rahe the. Lekin buyers ne unki koshish ko rok diya aur price ko upar bullish move karwaya. Ab closest target seller resistance area 1.0827 par hai, jo agar break hota hai to zyada bullish opportunity khul sakti hai, aur next target seller resistance supply area 1.0865-1.0867 ho sakta hai.



Conclusion:

Buy Trading Options: Agar price seller resistance area ko successfully break kar leta hai, to pending buy stop order 1.0827-1.0830 ke range mein place kiya ja sakta hai, aur TP target 1.0865-1.0867 ho sakta hai.

Sell Trading Options: Agar price buyer support area ko break karta hai, to pending sell stop order 1.0798-1.0797 ke range mein place kiya ja sakta hai, aur TP target 1.0772-1.0770 ho sakta hai.

Latest EUR/USD Market Summary
EUR/USD currency pair ab weekly time frame par symmetric triangle formation ke andar trading kar raha hai. 4 August ko, pair ne is pattern ke upar bullish breakout diya tha aur 1.1200 ka level touch kiya tha. Lekin, is upward momentum ko 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA-200) ne resistance diya, jis ne buying strength ko limit kar diya. Is resistance ne sellers ko opportunity di, jinhon ne price level ka faida uthaya aur pair ko neeche le aaye. EUR/USD ka downward movement pattern ki boundaries ke andar minimal resistance ke saath tha, aur price 1.0691 ke aas paas neeche gaya, jahan par temporary pause dekha gaya. Ab yeh level support ka kaam kar raha hai, jo potential rebound ke liye ek opportunity de raha hai, jahan EUR/USD buyers apni momentum ko dobara gain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Daily Chart ka Analysis:
Daily chart par bullish candlestick patterns dikhayi de rahe hain, jo yeh indicate karte hain ke EUR/USD accumulation phase mein ho sakta hai. Buyers ab 200-day SMA (DSMA-200) ko 1.0895 ke aas paas short-term target bana rahe hain. Is accumulation phase se buying interest barhta hua nazar aa raha hai, jo symmetric triangle ke boundaries ke andar ek potential rally ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai. Lekin, agar EUR/USD 1.0895 ke resistance ko test karta hai, to established pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke wahan sellers ka pressure dobara aa sakta hai, jo pair ko triangle ke upper boundary se pull back kar sakta hai. Is se symmetric pattern ka structure intact rahega, aur range-bound movement continue rahegi jab tak koi strong external catalyst na aaye.



Technical Indicators ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD ke liye yeh mumkin hai ke pair pattern ki boundaries ke andar hi trade karta rahe, jab tak koi significant economic event ya monetary policy shift na ho, jo decisive breakout ke liye momentum create kare. Traders Eurozone aur U.S. se economic data releases ko closely monitor karenge, saath hi Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke statements bhi important honge. Yeh factors EUR/USD ki movement ko influence kar sakte hain, aur agar kisi bhi economy mein clear directional advantage dikhayi deta hai, to yeh pair ko symmetric triangle ke boundaries ke paar le ja sakta hai.

Filhaal, EUR/USD 20 aur 50 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke abhi lagbhag 1.0807 pe hain. Market band hone se pehle, humne dekha ke bears ne strength gain ki aur poori bearish candle banate hue 50-EMA ko todne ki koshish ki. Guzishta paanch dinon mein EUR/USD ka trend zyadatar bearish raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 35.8263 par hai aur oversold zone ke kareeb hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) -0.003 par hai, jo ek mazid bearish trend ko signal de raha hai.Jo resistance levels dekhne waale hain wo 1.0813 aur 1.0935 hain, jinhe clear karna zaroori hoga agar trend upar ki taraf jaana shuru kare. Abhi tak buyers 1.1079 par mojood confirmed resistance ko todne mein kaamyab nahi hue. Dusri taraf, sellers ka attempt 1.0684 par confirmed support ko todne mein reject ho gaya. Agar EUR/USD is support se neeche break karta hai, toh agla major support level 1.0123 hai, aur uske baad yeh 0.9432 tak bhi jaa sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Halaanki, outlook bearish lagta hai, lekin aanay waale economic data releases mein kaafi volatility ho sakti hai. Agar U.S. inflation high rehta hai, toh Federal Reserve rate hikes jari rakh sakta hai, jis se dollar mazid strong aur euro pe pressure aayega. Agar inflation ya economic slowdown ka trend dekha jata hai, toh speculative pause ya rate cuts ki umeed se dollar weak aur euro strong ho sakta hai.Eurozone mein energy prices, khaaskar natural gas, bhi kaafi ahamiyat rakhte hain kyunke yeh inflation aur growth ko asar karte hain. Agar energy prices stable ya neeche jaate hain, toh yeh euro ko support karenge aur ECB ke rate management mein madadgar ho sakte hain. ECB ka aanay wala rate decision bhi badi ahmiyat rakhta hai; agar ECB dovish stance leta hai, toh euro pe pressure rahega, lekin aggressive stance se euro strong ho sakta hai.Agle kuch dinon mein developments ko closely follow karein aur in technical levels aur economic indicators pe nazar rakhein!

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

EUR/USD Bearish on High Dollar Demand

USD DXY 0.59% izafa k sath 105.682 value par hai, jo ke apne July high 106.130 ke qareeb hai, ye izafa U.S. election results aur minimal technical resistance ki wajah se hua hai. Agla U.S. CPI data Fed rate cut ki umeedon ko asar daal sakta hai, jo ke DXY ke agle move aur trader sentiment par asar andaaz ho sakta hai. JPMorgan ne apne U.S. terminal rate forecast ko 3.5% par revise kiya hai, jo ke near term mein dollar ki taqat ko barqarar rakhne ki nishani hai. Euro 4-1/2 mahine ke low $1.0679 par hai jabke dollar ki taqat aur mumkin U.S. tariffs European economy par bojh barha rahe hain. Trump ke economic policies ke liye optimism DXY ke gains ko support karta hai, aur inflation aur bond yields bhi elevated reh sakte hain.

Kya U.S. Dollar Index Higher Break Karne Ke Liye Set Hai?

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) ne Monday ko izafa kiya, trading par 105.682, jo ke 0.59% upar hai, aur last week ke high ko breach karne ke baad hai. Ye gain index ko apne July peak 106.130 ke qareeb le jata hai, aur is mein minimal technical resistance nazar aa raha hai. Neeche ki taraf, minor support 104.799 par hai, iske baad 200-day moving average 103.858 aur ek key support level 103.373 par hai. Pichlay hafte DXY mein 1.5% se zyada ka izafa hua, jo ke kisi had tak U.S. presidential election results ke reactions se driven hai.



Kya Fed Policy Expectations Mazeed Gains Drive Kar Sakte Hain?

Traders Fed Reserve ki rate policy outlook ko closely watch kar rahe hain jabke central banks poori duniya mein monetary policy ko ease kar rahe hain. Thursday ko ek critical update milega jab U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report release hogi; core reading agar 0.3% se upar hui toh December Fed rate cut ki umeed kam ho sakti hai. JPMorgan ne apne terminal rate forecast ko recently 3% se barha kar 3.5% kar diya hai, jo ke December mein 25 basis point cuts ke steady pace ko predict karta hai. Citi ke mutabiq U.S. rates near term mein steady reh sakti hain jabke markets immediate easing trends ko 2025 mein potential policy shifts ke sath balance kar rahi hain.

Kya Trade Tensions Euro ke Performance Par Asar Andaaz Hongi?

Dollar ki taqat ne euro par pressure dala hai, jo ke ab 4-1/2 mahine ke low $1.0679 par hai. Investor concerns barh rahi hain jo ke eurozone par potential U.S. tariffs ke asar par hain, jo ke region mein economic growth ko asar andaaz kar sakti hain. Friday ko reports aayi ke President-elect Donald Trump trade hawk Robert Lighthizer ko U.S. trade policy ko head karne ke liye nominate kar sakte hain, jo ke zyadatar aggressive tariff actions ke fears ko trigger kar raha hai. Euro ki sensitivity in potential trade measures ke liye is waqt uski vulnerability ko darsha rahi hai against strong dollar.



Kya Market Sentiment Dollar ke Outlook Ko Boost Kar Raha Hai?

Investor sentiment ab Trump ki anticipated fiscal policies se ziada asar andaaz ho raha hai, jo ke inflation aur bond yields ko boost kar sakti hain aur Fed ke rate cuts par flexibility ko restrict kar sakti hain. ING ke forex head, Chris Turner, suggest karte hain ke Trump ka election U.S. consumer aur business confidence ko barha sakta hai, halan ke ye abroad sentiment ko dampen kar sakta hai. Ye optimism dollar ko post-election highs par major currencies ke against barqarar rakh raha hai.

Market Forecast: Kya Dollar ki Rally Jaari Rahegi?

Minimal resistance aur supportive economic indicators ke sath, U.S. Dollar Index potential gains ke liye position mein hai, aur bullish outlook mein hai jab ke ye 106.130 level ke qareeb hai. Lekin, agla U.S. inflation data aur Fed policy remarks is momentum ko ya toh extend ya cap kar sakte hain. Traders ko volatility ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye jab ke economic reports aur trade policy developments agle kuch hafton mein saamne aane wale hain.

Aaj dekhte hain ke EUR/USD currency pair ke time frame mein kya chal raha hai. Toh chalo chart pe chalte hain taake current market movement ka hal dekha ja sake. Filhal EUR/USD pair ka exchange rate 1.0653 par hai. Aaj lagta hai ke sellers ke paas market ko dominate karne ki taqat hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator overbought ya oversold areas ka zikr karta hai. Ab RSI indicator 43.1127 par chal raha hai, jo ke kuch negative lagta hai aur koi overbought ya oversold signal nahi de raha. Saath hi Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi overbought ya oversold signal nahi dikha raha aur -0.0005 par hai. 20-EMA moving average price ko 1.0673 par hit kar raha hai aur 50-EMA moving average market trend se neeche hai. Market trend tab mazid mazboot ho sakta hai jab support level 1.0629 ko breach karke agle objective 0.9554 tak pohanch jaye, jo doosra support level hai. Uske baad, market price mein kami aake support hurdle 0.8611 tak ja sakti hai, jo teesra resistance level hai. Ulta agar market upar ki taraf uthta hai to resistance zone 1.0690 par breach ho sakta hai jo pehla support level hai. Agla upside target 1.0795 hai jo doosra support level hai. Uske baad, market price rise kar sakti hai aur primary aur secondary resistance zones ko 1.0690 aur 1.0795 par breach kar sakti hai. Filhal mujhe buy order place karne mein dilchaspi nahi hai kyunke market seller ke favor mein move kar sakti hai.Yahan pe maine ek chora sideways trend note kiya hai (weight mein chaar digits mein) jisme agar hum border test ki safai ke liye fight karenge to lower border ab tak nahi pohancha hai; ye fifth figure ke middle mein hai. Main ne alternative TS pe dekha jo ek indicator hai. Toh, yahan daily chart pe MA100 abhi floor ke qareeb almost parallel space mein kaam kar raha hai ye EUR-USD ke weekly flat mood ka nishan hai. Humare tamam working constructions candles aur Bollinger bandsabhi bearish space mein hain, humare key moving average ke neeche hain.Is liye, pasand ho ya na ho, abhi bhi "clubfooted" wale factor ko madad dena parega. Bollinger indicator ne abhi apne body ko bahut active tarike se pump karna shuru kiya hai; edge bands ek doosre se mukhtalif directions mein gaye hain. Aisi discrepancy ek yaqini nishani hai ke current mood mein change aane wala hai. Filhal price lowest Bollinger band ke neeche candles bana rahi hai. Yeh waqt hoga ke current level se purchases open ki jayein, lekin behtar hoga ke price ko consolidate karne ka intezar kiya jaye, jo pehla calculated resistance 1.0690 par hai.