xau/usd, gold

GOLD Forecast Analysis:

Gold asset ke liye do ideas hain. Pehla yeh ke price 2517 tak barhni chahiye aur wahan se, imbalance milne ke baad, aik reversal zone aur reversal moment form hoga. Yeh range ke andar correction ke andar decline ke aghaz ka sabab banega. Dusra idea yeh hai ke price current positions se girna shuru karegi aur 2442 tak kam ho jayegi, wahan se positions accumulate karte hue growth ke haq mein wapas recover karegi. 2517 ka level kisi bhi surat mein important hai, iska update inevitable hai. Yeh level 2520 tak bhi update ho sakta hai aur wahan se rollback mil sakta hai, reversal figure form karte hue, ya phir yeh simply nayi range ki taraf decline shuru kar sakti hai, iski boundaries create karte hue. Filhal, market bara participants ka intezar kar raha hai. Woh kis cheez ka intezar kar rahe hain yeh unka kaam hai, aur market paisa dhoond raha hai.

Aam tor par, aik chhoti downward correction pehle hi ki ja chuki hai aur iske baad, growth continue ho rahi hai. Aik chhoti correction pehle hi mil chuki hai aur iske baad, rate barhni continue karegi. Aaj, yeh possible tha ke aik chhota impulse downwards range of 2463 tak ho, phir wahan se growth continue hogi. Downward correction ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. 2470 ka breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur iske baad wahan consolidate nahi kiya gaya, jo ke correction ka signal hoga. 2483 ka breakout purchase ka signal hoga. Aise breakout ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. American session ke doran, aik chhoti correction 2470 tak ki gayi aur iske baad, growth phir se continue ho rahi hai.

XAU/USD News 18 July 2024

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! Aj ek mauqa hai ke main movement ke against hour ke basis par sell karein. Iska basis yeh hai ke linear regression channel neechay ki taraf turned hai. Halanki ye behtar hai ke sales ko skip karein ya H1 channel ke downward reversal ka intezar karein. Lekin yeh samajhna zaruri hai ke market H1 trend ko break kar sakta hai, jo humein pehle se pata nahi ho sakta. Is liye, M15 channel se signal par sales karna justified hai uski direction ki wajah se. Sales ko level 2476.08 se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Wahan seller's positions hain jo usay actively protect karni chahiye. Main growth ko 2476.08 ke level se upar bullish interest ka izhar samajhta hoon jo seller ko market se bahar nikalne ke liye aimed hai. Natije mein, M15 channel ko upar turn karna hoga aur main H1 channel ki direction follow karni hogi. Main sales ko tab consider karta hoon jab ek reversal pattern 2458.12 tak form hota hai.

Hourly chart par bullish sentiment dikhai deta hai, kyunke linear regression channel upar ki taraf directed hai. Yeh meri system mein main channel hai, jo trend ko determine karta hai, aur yeh ascending hai. Trend ko bearish intervention se weaken kiya gaya hai, jo M15 chart par visible hai, jahan linear regression channel south ki taraf dekh raha hai. Is liye, bullish growth ke break ka imkana hai. Is ke liye, bulls' positions ke neeche consolidate karna zaruri hai, jo channel 2458.12 ke bottom ke qareeb located hain. Bears wahan neechay move karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main H1 channel ke lower edge ke qareeb buying ka mauqa dhoondhoonga. Main sirf downward movement ko rokta dekhna chahoonga ya 2458.12 ke level se opposite direction mein reaction dekhoonga pehle. Uske baad, mujhe growth ke resume hone ki umeed hai channel ke upper part 2499.01 tak.

Xau/usd, gold
GOLD Forecast Analysis:

Gold asset ke liye do ideas hain. Pehla yeh ke price 2517 tak barhni chahiye aur wahan se, imbalance milne ke baad, aik reversal zone aur reversal moment form hoga. Yeh range ke andar correction ke andar decline ke aghaz ka sabab banega. Dusra idea yeh hai ke price current positions se girna shuru karegi aur 2442 tak kam ho jayegi, wahan se positions accumulate karte hue growth ke haq mein wapas recover karegi. 2517 ka level kisi bhi surat mein important hai, iska update inevitable hai. Yeh level 2520 tak bhi update ho sakta hai aur wahan se rollback mil sakta hai, reversal figure form karte hue, ya phir yeh simply nayi range ki taraf decline shuru kar sakti hai, iski boundaries create karte hue. Filhal, market bara participants ka intezar kar raha hai. Woh kis cheez ka intezar kar rahe hain yeh unka kaam hai, aur market paisa dhoond raha hai.

Aam tor par, aik chhoti downward correction pehle hi ki ja chuki hai aur iske baad, growth continue ho rahi hai. Aik chhoti correction pehle hi mil chuki hai aur iske baad, rate barhni continue karegi. Aaj, yeh possible tha ke aik chhota impulse downwards range of 2463 tak ho, phir wahan se growth continue hogi. Downward correction ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. 2470 ka breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur iske baad wahan consolidate nahi kiya gaya, jo ke correction ka signal hoga. 2483 ka breakout purchase ka signal hoga. Aise breakout ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. American session ke doran, aik chhoti correction 2470 tak ki gayi aur iske baad, growth phir se continue ho rahi hai.
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Gold asset ke liye do ideas hain. Pehla yeh ke price 2517 tak barhni chahiye aur wahan se, imbalance milne ke baad, aik reversal zone aur reversal moment form hoga. Yeh range ke andar correction ke andar decline ke aghaz ka sabab banega. Dusra idea yeh hai ke price current positions se girna shuru karegi aur 2442 tak kam ho jayegi, wahan se positions accumulate karte hue growth ke haq mein wapas recover karegi. 2517 ka level kisi bhi surat mein important hai, iska update inevitable hai. Yeh level 2520 tak bhi update ho sakta hai aur wahan se rollback mil sakta hai, reversal figure form karte hue, ya phir yeh simply nayi range ki taraf decline shuru kar sakti hai, iski boundaries create karte hue. Filhal, market bara participants ka intezar kar raha hai. Woh kis cheez ka intezar kar rahe hain yeh unka kaam hai, aur market paisa dhoond raha hai.
Aam tor par, aik chhoti downward correction pehle hi ki ja chuki hai aur iske baad, growth continue ho rahi hai. Aik chhoti correction pehle hi mil chuki hai aur iske baad, rate barhni continue karegi. Aaj, yeh possible tha ke aik chhota impulse downwards range of 2463 tak ho, phir wahan se growth continue hogi. Downward correction ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. 2470 ka breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur iske baad wahan consolidate nahi kiya gaya, jo ke correction ka signal hoga. 2483 ka breakout purchase ka signal hoga. Aise breakout ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. American session ke doran, aik chhoti correction 2470 tak ki gayi aur iske baad, growth phir se continue ho rahi hai

XAU/USD, GOLD:
Good Morning sab traders ko jo ab bhi Indonesian investsocial forum mein active hain. Agar hum GOLD ya XAUUSD ko dekhain, khaaskar H1 timeframe mein, to yeh ab bhi saaf hai ke waqai ab bhi ek downward movement ki taraf wapas jane ka mauka hai. Halanki agar Monday ko GOLD ne ek major downward movement ka tajurba kiya aur even important area 2350 ko touch karne mein kamiyab raha, lekin is movement se kam az kam yeh bhi saaf hai ke kal GOLD zyada strong downward movement ko continue karne mein nakam raha aur iske bajaye tezi se wapas upar jane laga. Aur agar hum dekhain ke subah kya hua, kam az kam yeh bhi saaf hai ke price wapas mid BB aur EMA50 areas ke upar rise kar gayi, jo is series of events se kam az kam ek clear picture milti hai ke waqai buy ka mauka ab bhi ho sakta hai jahan is buy ka ideal target zaroor 2390 ke resistance area ko wapas pohanchna hai, jo pichle hafte ke aakhir aur Monday ko bhi ek mauka tha ke yeh important area penetrate kiya ja sakta tha, halanki aakhir mein yeh fail hona pada aur tezi se ek major decline wapas dekhna pada.
Agar hum 4-hour timeframe par bearish candle ke size ko dekhein, to ab ka market direction bearish trend mein conclude hota hai, lekin kuch further bearish signals zaroori hain jo ke candlestick rejections ki surat mein hon against the base area (hara rectangle) agle kuch lamho mein, kyunki agar yeh form hoti hain to market ko niche girne ka bara potential hoga towards the significant support area (neela rectangle) at a price of 2331 - 2328 jo ke EMA50 ke daily timeframe ka main trend line bhi hai. Sellers ka yeh area ke niche prices ko push karne mein nakami isko ek daily re-entry buy area banayegi kyun ke pehle momentum buy candlestick daily timeframe par nazar aayi thi.

Sona ki keemat nayay tareen record bulandiyon par phunch gayi hai, taqreeban $2,483 per ounce ke qareeb, jo Federal Reserve ke interest rate mein jald qararat ke expectations ke bharhne se barh rahi hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke hal hilafat ne inflation targets ko paanay ki yaqeeniyaat ko izhar kiya, jis ka matlab hai ke 2% ke had tak pohnchnay se pehle daray mein kami ke liye tayyar hain. Is jazbat ko Fed Governor Adriana Kugler ne bhi tasdeeq ki, jo ahtiyati andaz mein inflation ke target levels tak ummid ki bayan kiya.

Market ki reactiyon wazeh hui hain, jahan ke financial markets is saal mein mazeed rate cuts ki umeed laga rahe hain. CME ki FedWatch tool September mein rate cut ke liye mazboot ittefaq ko reflec karte hain, kuch traders do 25 basis points ke 3 cuts par bhi shart laga rahe hain. Yeh dovish outlook bain ul aqwami bareek central banks ko bhi rate cuts ko tawajo denay par majboor kiya hai, jis ne qeemti dhaaton ki bain ul aqwami demand ko izafa diya hai.

Kai factors ne sonay ke market ke haalat ko sakht tor par mutasir kiya hai. US dollar index, ek ahem indicator, apni char mahine ki minimum level par gir gaya hai, jo Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka izhar hai, jis ne sonay ki appeal ko currency ki mayusi ke khilaf ek aas paas banaya hai. Khaas tor par dollar ne Japanese yen aur British pound ke khilaf khaas tor par kamzor hota hai, teesra UK inflation data ke hisaab se.

Is ke ilawa, 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds par maaliyat 4.17% tak gir gayi hai, jo qareeb chaar mahine ki kamzor hui hai, aane wale rate cuts ke expectations ke sath mazboot ki gayi hai. Stable retail sales jaise economic indicators lekin June mein mixed auto sector performance ne Fed ke dovish stance ko support karne wale kahani ko mazeed izafa kiya hai.

Agay dekhte hain, sonay ke liye market ke forecasts bullish rehte hain. Technical indicators ko mazboot khareedari ke momentum ki taraf isharaat dete hain, jahan takkeeki munafa uthane ka to maloom nahin hota, jab tak ke US dollar mein koi bari sudhar na ho ya bain ul aqwami tension kam na ho jaye. Analysts is haalat ke musar hain ke agar mojooda market shara'it jaari rahin to sonay ki keemat $2,500 per ounce ke qareeb barh sakti hai.

Akhri alfaz mein, sonay ke qeemat mein nayay tareen izzafa Federal Reserve policy expectations aur bain ul aqwami maaliyat indicators se mazbooti se juda hua hai. Outlook investors ke liye mazboot hai jo central banks ke dovish hone par aur maaliyat ki mushkilat ke imkanaat par shart lagate hain, jo sonay ko mushtarik waqt mein pasandida aset banata hai.

XAU/USD, GOLD:
Good Morning sab traders ko jo ab bhi Indonesian investsocial forum mein active hain. Agar hum GOLD ya XAUUSD ko dekhain, khaaskar H1 timeframe mein, to yeh ab bhi saaf hai ke waqai ab bhi ek downward movement ki taraf wapas jane ka mauka hai. Halanki agar Monday ko GOLD ne ek major downward movement ka tajurba kiya aur even important area 2350 ko touch karne mein kamiyab raha, lekin is movement se kam az kam yeh bhi saaf hai ke kal GOLD zyada strong downward movement ko continue karne mein nakam raha aur iske bajaye tezi se wapas upar jane laga. Aur agar hum dekhain ke subah kya hua, kam az kam yeh bhi saaf hai ke price wapas mid BB aur EMA50 areas ke upar rise kar gayi, jo is series of events se kam az kam ek clear picture milti hai ke waqai buy ka mauka ab bhi ho sakta hai jahan is buy ka ideal target zaroor 2390 ke resistance area ko wapas pohanchna hai, jo pichle hafte ke aakhir aur Monday ko bhi ek mauka tha ke yeh important area penetrate kiya ja sakta tha, halanki aakhir mein yeh fail hona pada aur tezi se ek major decline wapas dekhna pada.
Agar hum 4-hour timeframe par bearish candle ke size ko dekhein, to ab ka market direction bearish trend mein conclude hota hai, lekin kuch further bearish signals zaroori hain jo ke candlestick rejections ki surat mein hon against the base area (hara rectangle) agle kuch lamho mein, kyunki agar yeh form hoti hain to market ko niche girne ka bara potential hoga towards the significant support area (neela rectangle) at a price of 2331 - 2328 jo ke EMA50 ke daily timeframe ka main trend line bhi hai. Sellers ka yeh area ke niche prices ko push karne mein nakami isko ek daily re-entry buy area banayegi kyun ke pehle momentum buy candlestick daily timeframe par nazar aayi thi.

Good Morning sab traders ko jo ab bhi Indonesian investsocial forum mein active hain. Agar hum GOLD ya XAUUSD ko dekhain, khaaskar H1 timeframe mein, to yeh ab bhi saaf hai ke waqai ab bhi ek downward movement ki taraf wapas jane ka mauka hai. Halanki agar Monday ko GOLD ne ek major downward movement ka tajurba kiya aur even important area 2350 ko touch karne mein kamiyab raha, lekin is movement se kam az kam yeh bhi saaf hai ke kal GOLD zyada strong downward movement ko continue karne mein nakam raha aur iske bajaye tezi se wapas upar jane laga. Aur agar hum dekhain ke subah kya hua, kam az kam yeh bhi saaf hai ke price wapas mid BB aur EMA50 areas ke upar rise kar gayi, jo is series of events se kam az kam ek clear picture milti hai ke waqai buy ka mauka ab bhi ho sakta hai jahan is buy ka ideal target zaroor 2390 ke resistance area ko wapas pohanchna hai, jo pichle hafte ke aakhir aur Monday ko bhi ek mauka tha ke yeh important area penetrate kiya ja sakta tha, halanki aakhir mein yeh fail hona pada aur tezi se ek major decline wapas dekhna pada. Agar hum 4-hour timeframe par bearish candle ke size ko dekhein, to ab ka market direction bearish trend mein conclude hota hai, lekin kuch further bearish signals zaroori hain jo ke candlestick rejections ki surat mein hon against the base area (hara rectangle) agle kuch lamho mein, kyunki agar yeh form hoti hain to market ko niche girne ka bara potential hoga towards the significant support area (neela rectangle) at a price of 2331 - 2328 jo ke EMA50 ke daily timeframe ka main trend line bhi hai. Sellers ka yeh area ke niche prices ko push karne mein nakami isko ek daily re-entry buy area banayegi kyun ke pehle momentum buy candlestick daily timeframe par nazar aayi thi.

Xau/usd, gold
GOLD Forecast Analysis:

Gold asset ke liye do ideas hain. Pehla yeh ke price 2517 tak barhni chahiye aur wahan se, imbalance milne ke baad, aik reversal zone aur reversal moment form hoga. Yeh range ke andar correction ke andar decline ke aghaz ka sabab banega. Dusra idea yeh hai ke price current positions se girna shuru karegi aur 2442 tak kam ho jayegi, wahan se positions accumulate karte hue growth ke haq mein wapas recover karegi. 2517 ka level kisi bhi surat mein important hai, iska update inevitable hai. Yeh level 2520 tak bhi update ho sakta hai aur wahan se rollback mil sakta hai, reversal figure form karte hue, ya phir yeh simply nayi range ki taraf decline shuru kar sakti hai, iski boundaries create karte hue. Filhal, market bara participants ka intezar kar raha hai. Woh kis cheez ka intezar kar rahe hain yeh unka kaam hai, aur market paisa dhoond raha hai.

Aam tor par, aik chhoti downward correction pehle hi ki ja chuki hai aur iske baad, growth continue ho rahi hai. Aik chhoti correction pehle hi mil chuki hai aur iske baad, rate barhni continue karegi. Aaj, yeh possible tha ke aik chhota impulse downwards range of 2463 tak ho, phir wahan se growth continue hogi. Downward correction ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. 2470 ka breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur iske baad wahan consolidate nahi kiya gaya, jo ke correction ka signal hoga. 2483 ka breakout purchase ka signal hoga. Aise breakout ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. American session ke doran, aik chhoti correction 2470 tak ki gayi aur iske baad, growth phir se continue ho rahi hai

XAU/USD Pair Ka Jaiza

Sonay ki qeemat ne naye tareekhi record level ko chhua aur ab $2,483 per ounce tak pohnch gayi hai, is ke faide barhaye gaye hain jis mein sab se barh kar wazan yeh tha ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko kam karne ki tayyari kar raha hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne is haftay yeh zahir kiya ke June mein US inflation kam honay se un ki yakeen ko taqwiyat mili hai ke maqsad mein qeemat ki barhti nahi hui. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke central bank 2% tak inflation na pohanchne se pehle interest rates ko kam karne ki suru'at kare gi. Fed Governor Adriana Kugler ne bhi Tuesday ko ihtiyati ummid jatayi ke inflation un ke maqsad ke raaste par hai.

Maliyaati markets ke mutabiq, puri tawakul hai ke Federal Reserve September ki meeting mein interest rates ko kam kare gi, CME's FedWatch tool ke mutabiq traders is saal teen bar 25 basis point rate cuts par tawajjo dene se zyada do cuts par tarjih dete hain. Umeed hai ke Europe aur Asia ke doosray bara central banks bhi interest rates ko kam karne se precious metals ki demand ko izafa deinge.

Sonay ke market ko mutassir karne wale factors mein dollar ki keemat chaar mahinay ke lowest levels par hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq dollar index Wednesday ko 103.7 tak gir gaya hai, jo ke doosre din apni nuqsanat mein izafa kar raha hai aur yeh cheez kareeb char mahinay ke arse mein dekhi nahi gayi hai, jab traders ne puri tawakul se Federal Reserve ko September mein interest rates ko kam karne par qeemat lagai hai. Chair Powell ne is haftay yeh kaha ke latest data "confidence ko kuch izafa karta hai" ke inflation maqsad ki taraf wapas jaega aur central bank 2% tak inflation pohanchne se pehle interest rates ko kam karne ke liye intezaar nahi kare gi. New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams ne bhi kaha, "Inflation 2% tak gir rahi hai aur ab economy balance mein aa rahi hai." "Main sochta hoon ke humein kuch mahinay encouraging data mila hai."

Forex market trading ke mutabiq, dollar Japanese yen ke muqablay mein sab se zyada gir gaya, lag bhag 1.3% tak. Dollar ne UK inflation rate ki kami ke baad British pound ke muqablay mein bhi nuqsan uthaya.

Sonay par doosra factor, 10 saal ke US bonds ki raqam chaar mahinay ke lowest levels par hai. Trading ke mutabiq, 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ki raqam lag bhag 4.17% par stabalize hui hai, jo ke apne chaar mahinay ke lowest levels par hai, taqatwar umeedon ke mutabiq ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko kam karne ki suru'at kare gi, saal ke ikhtitami tak do aur cuts ki umeed hai. Economic calendar ke natijay ke mutabiq, data ne dikhaya ke US retail sales June mein unchanged rahe jab ke auto sales ke kam hone ko doosre sectors mein barhaya gaya. Is haftay ke pehle mein Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke latest data "confidence ko kuch izafa karta hai" ke inflation maqsad ki taraf wapas jaega aur central bank 2% tak inflation pohanchne se pehle interest rates ko kam karne ke liye intezaar nahi kare gi.

Fed Governor Adriana Kugler ne bhi ihtiyati ummid jatayi ke inflation maqsad ki taraf wapas jaega. Ab investors Federal Reserve ke Beige Book aur Wednesday ko housing starts aur building permits ke data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Phir weekly US jobless claims ki raqam.

Sonay ki qeemat ka aaj ka tajzia:
Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, sonay ki qeemat ke liye amm o ghalat tarf barhne wala trend mazboot hota ja raha hai aur is ke haalat mein technical indicators strong buying ke levels par pohanch gaye hain. Bechne ke liye koi profit lenay ki zaroorat nahi hai jab tak ke dollar ki keemat behtar na ho jaye aur global geopolitical tensions na kam ho jayen. Warna yeh yaqeeni kare ga ke bulls $2,500 per ounce tak barhne mein kamyab ho jaen ge.

Sona ke keemat nay tareekhi bulandi tak phaunch kar naye records ke qareeb aa gayi hai, jo 1 unce ke barabar $2,483 ke qareeb hai. Is barhne ke peeche ka sabab Federal Reserve ke qareebi soorate-haal mein darasal dar-e-bayzarat qararat ke imkanat hain. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke haal hil mein bayanat ne inflation ke maqasid ko barqarar karne mein aetmad ka izhar kiya aur ishara kiya keh inflation 2% nishan tak pohanchne se pehle dar-e-sood ko kam karne ke liye tayyar hain. Is jazbat ko Fed Governor Adriana Kugler ne bhi izhar kiya, jo keh hoshiyarana andaz mein inflation ke target levels ke qareeb pohanchne ke baray mein ummeed-e-khush-hali zahir kar rahi hain.

Market ke reactionat wazeh hain, jahan ke maliyat ke bazarat is saal ke kai rate cuts ki tawaqo rakhte hain. CME's FedWatch tool ke mutabiq September mein aik rate cut ke liye mazboot ittefaq hai, jahan ke kuch traders do 25 basis point ke kamyon ke bajaye teen rate cuts par paisa lagane par bhi tayyar hain. Yeh nehayat ummeed-e-kam-sud-aam naqadri ne duniyawi bare central banks ko bhi rate cuts par gaur karne par majboor kiya hai, jis nehayat se chargeable taqat-e-raai ke mawafiq nemat ko miyadashte karta hai.

Kai factors ne sonay ke bazarat ke hali raftar par gehri asar andaz kiya hai. US dollar index, aik ahem isharah hai, apni chaar mahinay ki umar ke andar sasta ho gaya hai, jis ki haalat mein ab 103.7 hai. Is girawat mein Fed ke rate cuts ki tawaqo ka izhar hai, jo keh mudabberat ke narafs se sonay ke qabiliyat ko sarkari daranay ki shanakht karta hai. Khaas tor par dollar ne Japanese yen aur British pound ke khilaf numaya nuqsaan kiya hai, jis mein se akhri UK ki tawanai ke inflatinon ke data ke hisse hain.

Is ke ilawa, 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ki maliyat ne 4.17% tak girvi diya hai, jo keh agle rate cuts ki tawaqo mein apni chaar mahinay ki umar mein kamzor ho gayi hai. Economic indicators jaise ke mazboot retail sales lekin June mein mukhtalif gari sektar ke istidadat ne Fed ke hoshiyarana qayam ko mad-e-nazar mein shamil kiya hai.

XAU/USD pair ki tafseel:

Sonay ki keemat ne naye tareekhi record level tak pohanch kar $2,483 per ounce ke resistance level ki taraf barhna shuru kiya. Is ke mawaid se wasail ko mustaqil ho chuka hai ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne is hawale se ibratnak bayan diya ke June mein US mein kam se kam expected inflation ne price growth goal ko haasil karne mein bharosa barha diya hai. Unhon ne yeh bhi kaha ke central bank inflation 2% tak pohanchne se pehle hi interest rates ko kam karne ka intezaar nahi karegi. Isi tarah, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler ne bhi umeed-e-saabit ki ke inflation apne target rate ki taraf ja raha hai.

Aam taur par, financial markets puri umeed rakhte hain ke Federal Reserve apni September ki meeting mein interest rates ko kam karega, CME's FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Traders teen 25 basis points ke rate cuts par bet karte hain is saal ke do se zyada hone ki bajaaye. Ummeed hai ke Europe aur Asia ke doosre major central banks bhi interest rates ko kam karne mein dilchaspi dikha rahe hain, jis se precious metals ki demand in regions mein barh rahi hai.

Sonay ke market ko mutasir karne wale factors mein dollar ki qeemat jo ke 4 mahine ke lowest levels par hai, shaamil hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, dollar index Wednesday ko 103.7 par gir gaya, jo ke doosre din bhi losses mein raha aur 4 mahine ke kam levels par pohanch gaya. Iska matlab hai ke traders Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko kam karne ko puri tarah price in kar rahe hain.

Ek aur factor jo sonay ko mutasir kar raha hai, woh hai 10 saal ke US bonds ki yield jo 4 mahine ke lowest levels par hain. Trading ke mutabiq, 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ki yield 4.17% ke aaspaas stable hai, jo ke apne 4 mahine ke kam levels par hai.

Sonay ki keemat ke forecast ke mutabiq, daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, sonay ki keemat ka overall uptrend mazeed mazboot ho raha hai aur technical indicators buying ke strong levels ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Agar US dollar ki keemat recover ho jaye aur global geopolitical tensions calm ho jayein toh sales ke liye profit lena mumkin ho sakta hai. Warna, yeh ensure karta hai ke bulls naye record level $2,500 per ounce ki taraf ja sakte hain.

XAU/USD Market Outlook

Subah bakhair dostoon aur safar mein kamiyabi ki duaain!
XAU/USD market nedār yaksar hāsīl karte hu'e aaj kā din shuru kī jā rahā hai, jis ne kal lagbhag 2370 zone tak pahunch gayā thā. Aaj, kharīdār mālīyat se lābḥān karne kī sambhāvnā hai, jise āne vaale Amrīki khabarāt ke aitibār se anūcīṭat hogī. Aise bāzār mein, XAU/USD bāzār mein rahne kī maharat kī zarūrat hotī hai, jahān stop loss aur len-den nūqṭe ko efektīv taur par set karnā māynī hotā hai. Apnī tajurbā se, main XAU/USD par ek khareedārī aorder lagāne kī tajavīz detā hūn jiske short-term target 2392 hai. Amrīki ḍālar ke naye khabarāt ko tāzah-tāzah se dekhte rahne kī zarūrat hai, kyunki ye updates bāzār kī harkat ko badi had tak mutaṣir kar saktī hain. Is kī alāwah, taknīkī tājurbah ke liye māyūr hai, jo XAU/USD kī bāzār bhāvnā ko pehchānne ke liye mahatvapūrṇ hai. Indicator aur chart patterns ke jāñch se, karobārī faislo ke liye jarūrī sahab milte hain. Umeed hai ke aane vaale ghanto mein bāzār khareedāron ko fāvṛable hogā aur ve jald hī 2392 zone ko paar kar lege. Yeh stratejī fundamental aur taknīkī factors dono ka istemāl kartī hai, jisse XAU/USD bāzār mein safal karobār ke imkānāt ko barhāyā jā sakta hai. Amrīki māali dāta jaise rozgār ke report aur maḥangā'ī ke statistīks ko nigaḥdāsht karnā bāzār ke moḥavze ke bāre mein mahatvapūrṇ malūmāt farāham kartā hai. Is kī alāwah, Federal Reserve ke announcements aur sīāsī āghāzāt ko dhaṇḍhā se jānchne se bāzār ke rukh kī aur maujūd kare. Ikhtitām mein, jabke XAU/USD bāzār abhī ek haālī bounce ke baad neechay ke raste par chal rahā hai, signs hain ke kharīdāron kī jaldī se qabzā bana sakte hain, khaas taur se āne vaale Amrīki khabarāt ke intazār se anūcīṭat milnay ke saath. Strategic stop loss aur len-den nūqṭe set karne se, Amrīki ḍālar se mutaṣir khabarāt ke baare mein mutaṣir rahne se aur taknīkī tājurbah ko mūqabla karne se, karobarī feslo ke maamle mein apne aap ko mufeed bana sakte hain. Is tareeqe ke saath, 2392 ke nishān ko pāna mumkin hai, aur bāzār ke bāzār bhāvnā jaldī se khareedāron ke liye mufīd ho sakta hai, jo samajhdārī se kaam karte hain aur chaukanna rahne ke liye tayyār rahen.

Khush rahen aur mehfūz rahen!

XAU/USD, GOLD
Fundamental Analysis:
Jumay ko sona ki keemat mein 1.50% se zyada ki girawat dekhi gayi, jo weekend pe traders ke munafa book karne se $2,400 ke qareeb rahi. Yeh yellow metal jo $2,300 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha aur apni all-time high $2,483 tak pohonch gaya tha, usne haftay ka khatima 1% ke as-paas losses ke sath kiya. XAU/USD pair $2,399 pe trade kar rahi hai, jo $2,447 tak ooper chali gayi thi.
Traders ki sentiments ke fluctuation ke kai reasons hain. China ki economy anticipated se slow grow kar rahi hai aur yeh speculation bhi hai ke former President Donald Trump election jeet sakte hain November 5 ko, jis se greenback mazboot hua. US Dollar Index (DXY) predict kar raha hai ke greenback haftay ka khatima ooper karega jahan se shuru kiya tha.
Iske ilawa, yeh afwahein bhi thi ke US President Joe Biden contest se withdraw ho sakte hain kyun ke prominent Democrats ne kaha ke Trump ke qatal ke baad liye gaye surveys se pata chala ke unhein haraya nahi ja sakta. Federal Reserve officials thode zyada dovish ho gaye the, magar wo US dollar ko weak nahi kar sake. International Monetary Fund (IMF) ne Thursday ko kaha ke Fed ko interest rates late 2024 tak kam nahi karne chahiye.

4H Chart



Technical Analysis:
Gold prices ki girawat indicate karti hai ke traders abhi bhi June 27 se 8% ke increase ke baad gains le rahe hain. Jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi positive hai, momentum ab short term mein sellers ke favor mein hai. RSI vertically drop hua hai, magar 50-neutral line ko breach karne ke liye aur effort chahiye.
Is tarah, psychological 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) $2,357 pe XAU/USD ke liye doosra support level ho sakta hai July 5 ke high $2,392 ke baad. 100-day SMA $2,312 pe agla support level hoga, jiske baad $2,350 hoga. Agar nahi, XAU/USD $2,400 ke ooper maintain karta hai aur $2,450 ko reclaim karta hai, to yeh record high $2,483 ko test kar sakta hai aur $2,500 tak pohonch sakta hai.

D1 Chart

Xau/usd, gold






Gold asset ke liye do ideas hain. Pehla yeh ke price 2517 tak barhni chahiye aur wahan se, imbalance milne ke baad, aik reversal zone aur reversal moment form hoga. Yeh range ke andar correction ke andar decline ke aghaz ka sabab banega. Dusra idea yeh hai ke price current positions se girna shuru karegi aur 2442 tak kam ho jayegi, wahan se positions accumulate karte hue growth ke haq mein wapas recover karegi. 2517 ka level kisi bhi surat mein important hai, iska update inevitable hai. Yeh level 2520 tak bhi update ho sakta hai aur wahan se rollback mil sakta hai, reversal figure form karte hue, ya phir yeh simply nayi range ki taraf decline shuru kar sakti hai, iski boundaries create karte hue. Filhal, market bara participants ka intezar kar raha hai. Woh kis cheez ka intezar kar rahe hain yeh unka kaam hai, aur market paisa dhoond raha hai.

Aam tor par, aik chhoti downward correction pehle hi ki ja chuki hai aur iske baad, growth continue ho rahi hai. Aik chhoti correction pehle hi mil chuki hai aur iske baad, rate barhni continue karegi. Aaj, yeh possible tha ke aik chhota impulse downwards range of 2463 tak ho, phir wahan se growth continue hogi. Downward correction ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. 2470 ka breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur iske baad wahan consolidate nahi kiya gaya, jo ke correction ka signal hoga. 2483 ka breakout purchase ka signal hoga. Aise breakout ke baad, growth phir bhi aage continue karegi. American session ke doran, aik chhoti correction 2470 tak ki gayi aur iske