gbp usd

GBP USD H1 TIME FRAME KA ANALYSIS

dekho woh kitni achi terhan se shumal ki taraf bhage. mehengai ke rad-e-amal ke baray mein, mein ne kisi nah kisi terhan usay bilkul bhi mehsoos nahi kya. ab jo kuch ho raha hai woh aik rad-e-amal hai, lekin yeh wazeh nahi hai ke yeh kis liye hai. agar yeh Europe mein si pi aayi ka rad-e-amal hai, to yeh kisi nah kisi terhan bohat bar waqat nahi hai, aur woh bahar nikaltay waqt bilkul bhi nahi murrtay. is liye is iqdaam ki bunyaad kuch aur hai. lehaza, mein samjhta hon ke woh Amrici session ke douran shumal par dabao daaltay rahen ge aur hamein kami ki tawaqqa nahi karni chahiye. aur tehreek aik ghanta ke waqfay par nahi hai, lekin ghaliban pichlle chand dinon aur hafton mein sargarmi shuru hui hai. bzahir, mein ab bhi taizi ki taraf hon, lehaza agar hum is rastay par chaltay hain, to yeh 1. 303 par daakhil honay par ghhor karne ke qabil hai. reechh shayad mojooda tehreek mein belon ko 1. 3108 tak pounchanay se nahi rokkk saken ge. is waqt, market jamood ke marhalay mein nahi hai, lekin yeh jald hi mojooda range se simt ke intikhab aur oopar se jamood ke izhaar ke sath khatam ho jaye ga. tehreek ki umomi simt ke sath, sab kuch bilkul wazeh lagta hai .

GBP USD M30 TIME FRAME KA ANALYSIS

mein 1. 30985 ki buland tareen satah ko qareeb se dekhna shuru kar raha hon. yeh fi al haal is currency jore gbpusd par kharidne ka mera bunyadi maqsad hai. chunkay currency jore ki qeemat 1. 30287 par hai aur is ki pozishnng 1. 29688 ke darmiyani hissay se oopar hai, hum lambi position haasil karne ke baray mein baat kar satke hain. bilashuba, is soorat e haal mein, hamein 1. 30336 par juzwi munafe ke taayun ka pehla hadaf bhi milta hai. lekin is waqt yeh satah sirf aik aur baondri ki terhan nazar aati hai jo hamari taweel raah mein haail hai. force major ki soorat mein mutabadil ke tor par, mein 1. 29688 ki satah ko dekh raha hon. farokht knndgan ki taraf se ahem dabao qeemat ko control shuda satah ke neechay chala sakta hai. phir, yaqeenan, tamam khwahisaat barbaad ho jayen gi aur inhen mukhtasir pozishnon par kaam karne ke liye rujoo karna parre ga. dosray lafzon mein, 1. 29688 ki satah ab stap nuqsaan ki satah hai .

GBP/USD pair, raat ke istqrar ke baad, hum dekhte hain ke qeemat mein aik maqool izafa hua hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke baaz log apni taqat mein bilkul pur sukoon nahi hain. Issi wajah se, aham manazir mein, qeemat buland dar nahi ho sakti lekin 1.2650 ke ooper mustahkam ho sakti hai. 2023 ke ikhtitam par gaur karte hue, pound mein izafa shuru hua, jo awal mein dollar ke kamzori ki wajah se tha. Dollar ki kamzori ne sab currencies par asar dala aur sath hi sath pound ko bhi kheench liya. COVID-19 ke pabandiyaan UK ke Prime Minister Boris Johnson ke nizam ke upar asar andaz hoti hain. Johnson ne elan kiya ke UK Christmas tak koi pabandiyaan na lagaega, aur chuttiyon ke baad bhi UK ne rules lagane mein dair ki. Mareezon ki tadad barhti gayi, lekin Johnson ka Christmas message active vaccination ki ehmiyat par zor deta hai takay pabandiyaan se bacha ja sake. Unhone un logon ko vaccination ke liye bulaya jo iske khilaf thay, aur kaha ke UK virus ke jawab mein baray scale par immunization par munhasar hai.



GBP/USD pair mein thora sa izafa dekha ja sakta hai, jis se Friday aur pehle haftay ke 1.2989 ke qareeb bulandiyon ko paar kar sakti hai. Yeh harkat technical analysis ke mutabiq aik minor izafa ke sath mawafiq hai pehle kisi bari tezi se guzarish se pehle. Is ke ilawa, 1.3000 ka psychologyi level aik ahem nukta-e-nazar hai. Yeh level na sirf aik round number hai balke aik ahem resistance point bhi hai jo dobara imtehan ke liye aa sakta hai. 1.3000 ka dobara imtehan aham hoga kyun ke yeh ya to aik breakout ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai, jo mazeed bullish momentum ka bais ban sakta hai, ya phir aik mazboot resistance ka kaam karta hai, jo aik zyada mazboot pullback ko josh de sakta hai.

In tajziyaat ke dastavez, karobarion ko 1.2989 se 1.3000 ke qareeb qeemat action ko nazdeek se dekhna chahiye. 1.3000 ke ooper saaf breakout jo mustehkam momentum ke sath ho sakta hai, mazeed bullish iqdamat ko ishara de sakta hai. Ulta agar qeemat iss level se ooper na nikle aur girne ka aghaz ho jaye, to tawajjo 1.2847 se 1.2902 ke support zones ki taraf shift honi chahiye jahan se sasta honay ke mouqaat ho sakte hain.

Mukhtasar mein, GBP/USD currency pair agle haftay mein kuch shorish mein mubtala ho sakta hai, jahan zaroori levels ko dono taraf se dekhna hoga. In aham zones ki monitring karobarion ke liye intehai zaroori hogi taakay woh achi fazool faislay aur apne maqamat ko behtar tariqe se manage kar saken. In levels ke darmiyan ke irtaqa se pair ke agle rukh par bohat aham malumat hasil ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD ne Monday ko apni positive trading dubara shuru ki. Halankeh pound din ke ikhtitam par nahi barh saka, magar pair ne peeche bhi nahi hat'hi. Din ke pehle hissay mein, pound kuch neeche jane ki koshish kar raha tha, magar agar market isay kharidtay rehna chahti hai to woh kahan jaye? Monday ko market ke paas pair ko kharidne ka koi wazeh wajah nahi thi. Magar market ko bohat arsay se wajahon ki zaroorat nahi rahi. Pound sterling kuch dinon se barh raha hai, is baat ko nazar andaz karte hue ke Bank of England 1 August ko rate kam kar sakta hai aur UK mein mehengai central bank ke target level par aa gayi hai.
Magar yeh sab market ke liye koi ahemiyat nahi rakhta. Local upward trend jaari hai, jo ke rising trend line se saabit hota hai. Dusra point jahan yeh banayi gayi thi woh sirf aik flat point hai, na ke koi extreme. Agar pound bina kisi wajah ke bhi kharida jaye, to yeh jitna marzi barh sakta hai. 5-minute timeframe par, qeemat 1.2980-1.2993 ke area mein wapas aayi. Yeh is mark ko paar nahi kar saka, magar jab agla ahem level ya area paar ho, to kya farq parta hai? Market in resistances ko correction ya rollback ke liye bhi nahi samajh raha. Isliye, yeh achi mocha hai ke pound is area ko paar karne ke baad barh sakta hai.

Tuesday ke liye trading tips:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD ne downtrend banane ke promising signs dikhaye hain, magar iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Pair phir se barh raha hai, aur overall, yeh eratic aur illogical movements dikhata hai. Filhal, pound sterling ne apne latest local high ko paar kar liya hai aur fundamental backdrop ko nazar andaz kar raha hai. Magar koi inkaar nahi kar sakta ke filhal economic reports pound ko support kar rahi hain.

Tuesday ko, agar pound 1.2980-1.2993 ko paar nahi kar saka, to yeh aista aista 1.2913 ke level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Magar hum tezi se girawat ki umeed nahi karte jab tak pound trend line ko breach na kar le. Aur agar yeh hota bhi hai, to zaroori nahi ke yeh bilkul ho. Yeh kam az kam pichle chand mahino mein paanch dafa ho chuka hai.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. UK ka economic calendar takreeban khali hai. Kal, aik Bank of England ke official ne speech di aur kaha ke key rate kam kiya jana chahiye, magar is ka market par koi asar nahi hua. U.S. ka docket ek retail sales report feature karega, jo greenback ke beqabu girawat ko nahi rok sakta.

GBPUSD Analysis - 16 July 2024
Pichle hafte se market ki surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, yeh niche jane ki koshish karta raha hai, magar seller se support nahi mil raha, isliye yeh sirf 1.2960 area tak hi qeemat ko gira saka. Mere khayal mein, GbpUsd pair ke bullish run ka moqa bearish side ki nisbat zyada hai. Graph se dekhte hue, pichle hafte ki trading se qeemat ab bhi bullish zone mein hai. Lagta hai is hafte ki girawat ki koshish zyada nahi hai magar raat ko thoda barh gaya, jo aj ki market journey ke liye signal ho sakti hai ke uptrend ka moqa ab bhi hai.

Is mahine, buyer ka control qeemat ko 1.2924 ke price zone se paar kar sakta hai, isliye candlestick ke safar ko dekh kar lagta hai market ke paas ab bhi upar jane ka moqa hai. Market trend ab bhi halki downward correction dikhata hai, magar hume kuch confirmation ki zaroorat hai jo decision making ko support kare, kyun ke large time frame trend waqai uptrend hai. Pichle hafte ki qeemat barhawa ab bhi stable hai. Yeh Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 ke signal trend ke mutabiq hai jo 80 zone ko touch kar chuka hai aur market mein buyer ka control dikhata hai.

Mere observation ke mutabiq, graph se lagta hai ke qeemat 1.2964 area ke qareeb hai, aur lowest monthly position se izafa dekhne ko milta hai. Agar buyer simple moving average zone of period 100 ke ooper stability barqarar rakh sake, to aaj GbpUsd pair ke liye izafa ka moqa ab bhi hai. Mera tajziya hai ke yeh qeemat 1.3008 zone tak pohnch sakti hai. Mojooda market situation ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke ab bhi izafa ka moqa hai, shayad qeemat simple moving average zone of period 100 se door barh sakti hai.



Technical Reference

Sell as long as below 1.29770
Resistance 1: 1.29770
Resistance 2: 1.29885
Support 1: 1.29360
Support 2: 1.29250

GBPUSD ke European trading session mein is dopahar (16/7/24) girne ka potential hai kyun ke one-hour chart ke price action ne bullish structure ko breakout kar liya hai, yeh condition movement trend mein change ka signal hai (upar se niche). MACD bhi bearish potential dikhata hai kyun ke histogram negative area mein hai, jo GBPUSD ke liye bearish signal hai.

One-hour chart movement ke analysis ke mutabiq, 15M chart bhi decline ka potential dikhata hai kyun ke current strong support area sellers ke control mein hai. Agar scenario ke mutabiq dekha jaye, to GBPUSD ke support level 1.29250 tak jane ka moqa hai.

British pound aik zabardast uchaal per hai, aur Mangal ke din Asian session ke dauran 13-mah ka uncha 1.2960 ke qareeb mandra raha hai. Ye bullish run mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai jo UK ko ek zyada dilchasp investment destination bana rahe hain muqable mein seiyasi la-tayuni ke mareez US market ke. Keir Starmer ki Labour Party ki qatey faisal jeet ne investors mein itminan paida kiya hai, jiske natije mein mustahkam fiscal policies aur asaan hukoomati tabdeeliyon ki umeed hai. Ye stability mukhtalif hai us seiyasi halchal se jo ke Donald Trump ke mumkin re-election ke ird gird ghoomti hai US mein. Pound ko mazid taqat mil rahi hai Bank of England (BoE) ke agle interest rates ke move ke hawale se badhte hue la-tayuni se. Jabke consumer prices BoE ke target 2% par barqarar rehne ki umeed hai, core inflation 3.4% tak girne ka andaza hai. Iske ilawa, retail price index mein bhi pach mahinon mein chaar dafa kami dekhi ja sakti hai. Ye data inflation mein aahistaah aahistaah kami ko zahir karta hai, jo ke BoE ko agle mahine, yani August mein, rate cut par ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, ek aisa qadam jo pound ko mazid taqatwar bana sakta hai un currencies ke muqable mein jo tightening monetary policy rakh rahi hain.
Magar pound ka ye uchaal bhi mushkilaat se khali nahi hai. Haal hi mein sabiq US President Trump par hone wali qatal ki koshish ne risk aversion mein ik brie tarraqqi paida ki, jo arsiatan US dollar ko taqatwar banane ka sabab bani. Iske bawajood, US inflation mein kami ne September rate cut ke umeedon ko barhawa diya hai. Markets is waqt 85.7% chance ko price kar rahi hain ke 25 basis point ka reduction hoga, jo ke aik haftay pehle 71.0% se zyada hai. US rate cut dollar ko kamzor kar dega, jo pound ke upside ko seemit kar sakta hai.



Technically, GBP/USD pair un resistance levels ke qareeb hai jo 2023 mein gains ko rok chuki thi. Agar ye 1.2816-1.2859 range ko cross kar jata hai, to 2024 ka aik naya peak 1.2892 ko choo sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar ye is area ko hold karne mein nakam hota hai to ek pullback July 2023 ke resistance 1.2708 par ho sakta hai. Significant downside corrections ke liye, potential support levels 1.2620-1.2598 (June aur March lows) aur February low 1.2517 par hain.

Aakhir mein, British pound optimism ki aik lehar par sawar hai jo political stability aur potential rate cuts ki wajah se hai. Magar agla raasta mushkilat se khali nahi hai. Aanewali US Federal Reserve meeting aur BoE ke inflation data bohot ahem hoga taayun karne ke liye ke pound apni current momentum barqarar rakh sakta hai ya nahi.

GBP USD Price Forecast
Pound Sterling (GBP) lagbhag 1.3000 ke aas paas US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein London session mein chal raha hai, aur dono countries ke data par tawajjo de raha hai.

Fed ke Jerome Powell ne tasleem kiya ke haali inflation readings ne disinflation ki taraf kuch aitmaad barhaya hai jo 2% ki taraf ja rahi hai.
BoE ke Dhingra ne interest rates ko jald kam karne ke haq mein baat ki hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) Tuesday ki London session mein psychological resistance 1.3000 ke zara neeche sideways chal raha hai. GBP/USD pair ko apna upside barhane mein mushkil ho rahi hai kyunke US Dollar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke Chair Jerome Powell ke Washington Economic Club mein Monday ke speech ke baad taqatwar ho gaya hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko 6 aham currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, key support 104.00 ke aas paas barqarar rakhta hai.

Powell ne tasleem kiya ke haali inflation data ne yeh aitmaad barhaya hai ke inflation desired rate 2% ki taraf wapas aa raha hai. Magar unho ne kaha ke policymakers ko rate cuts consider karne se pehle zyada aitmaad hasil karna zaroori hai.

Alag se, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank ke President Mary Daly ne kaha ke “confidence barh raha hai” ke inflation 2% target ki taraf ja raha hai. Daly ne rate cuts ke liye koi timeframe nahi diya. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke central bank ko rates hold karna chahiye taa ke inflation par neeche ka pressure barqarar rakha ja sake, magar itna lamba nahi ke job growth ke liye mushkil ban jaye.

Tuesday ki session mein, investors US Retail Sales data par tawajjo denge, jo yeh dikhayega ke retail stores par sales June mein bilkul nahi barhi, May ki 0.1% ki meager growth ke baad. Tuesday ko Pound Sterling apne major peers ke muqable mein broadly bullish raha, aur tawajjo United Kingdom (UK) Consumer Price Index (CPI) par hai jo June ka data aur employment data jo May ke teen mahine tak ka hoga, Wednesday aur Thursday ko publish kiya jayega.

Investors inflation readings par gehri nazar rakhenge kyunke yeh yeh suggest karega ke Bank of England (BoE) August meeting se interest rates kam karna shuru karega ya nahi, jaise financial markets umeed kar rahe hain. Economists expect karte hain ke annual headline aur core CPI, jo ke volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, barh kar 2% aur 3.5% tak pahunchne ki umeed hai. Monthly headline inflation ko pehle reading 0.3% se kam hoti hui 0.1% par aane ka andaza hai.

### Technical Analysis
Pound Sterling psychological figure 1.3000 ke qareeb barh kar wapas trade kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair apne gains ko cling kar raha hai US Dollar ke outlook ke hawale se uncertainty ke bawajood. Cable ki near-term appeal mazid strong ho gayi hai March 8 ke high 1.2900 ke upar breakout ke baad. Pair ko umeed hai ke apne upside ko barhate hue do saal ke high 1.3140 ke qareeb pohanchega.

Sare short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) barhte hue trend ko suggest karte hain.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) pehli dafa ek saal se zyada mein lagbhag 70.00 tak jump karta hai, jo ke strong momentum towards the upside ko zahir karta hai.

GBP/USD Hourly (H1) timeframe chart mein recent market movements ne ek bearish correction ko dikhaya hai jo ke overall uptrend scenario ke andar hai. Traders ko key levels ko dekhna chahiye potential trading opportunities ke liye.
Abhi market ek bearish correction phase mein hai. Magar, underlying uptrend expected hai ke resume kare ga kuch breakout points ke baad. Ek important level jo monitor karna chahiye woh 1.2950 range hai. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, tou bullish momentum ka signal mile ga aur buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Trade enter karne se pehle clear breakout confirmation ka wait karna zaroori hai.

Agar price 1.2800 ke neeche break karti hai, tou uptrend ab bhi persist kar sakta hai lekin caution ke saath. Area around 1.2948 resilient raha hai, jo strong support ko indicate karta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai tou bullish sentiment reaffirm ho ga aur further buying ka potential ho sakta hai.




Conversely, recent downtick near 1.2897 bearish sentiment ko signal karta hai sellers ke darmiyan. Is level ke neeche break hone se further selling pressure trigger ho sakta hai. Magar, agar 1.2895 ke aas paas rebound hota hai tou buying opportunity present ho sakti hai, market dynamics aur price action ke depend par.

Ek critical breakout point jo dekhna chahiye woh 1.2930 ke aas paas hai. Agar is level ke upar decisive move hota hai tou bullish outlook reinforce ho ga aur uptrend ka continuation suggest kare ga. Traders ko is level ke around strength ya weakness ke signs ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye taake trading decisions guide ho sakein.

Pehle, market ne 1.2775 ke aas paas ek false breakout witness kiya tha, jo temporary bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai jo sustain nahi ho saka. Ye failure uptrend ki resilience ko underscore karta hai, jo potential for further upward movement ko suggest karta hai.

Summary mein, jabke GBP/USD H1 chart abhi ek bearish correction ko reflect karta hai, overall uptrend anticipate kiya ja raha hai following key breakout points. Traders ko mentioned levels par focus karna chahiye — particularly 1.2950, 1.2948, 1.2930, aur 1.2800 — for potential buying ya selling signals based on breakout confirmations aur market dynamics. Clear signals ka wait karna aur caution exercise karna crucial hai trades initiate karne se pehle taake volatile market conditions ke associated risks mitigate ho sakein.

Ab market stable hai, 200-SMA agle hafte 1.2650 ke upar cross kar sakta hai, jo ke buyer strength ko 1.2715 ke aas paas barhane ke chances ko enhance kare ga. 1.2625 ke lower channel se, price monetary policy announcement ke foran baad rise hone ki umeed hai. 1.2740 tak 45% retracement traders ke liye naye momentum ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Price action 1.2700 par downward raha hai, 100-day moving average 1.3475 par hold karte hue. Phir bhi, negative convergence sellers ko 1.3600 channel ki taraf push karne ka hosla de sakta hai. Halanke 38.8% Fibonacci retracement level strong momentum ko indicate karta hai, lekin local momentum ab bhi short-term ho sakta hai. Bollinger Band indicator aur MACD ek bullish move ko positive range ke midline ke upar 1.3680 tak suggest karte hain.


4-hour timeframe mein, recent candles ek descending wedge pattern form karti hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers price ko 1.2635 tak push kar sakte hain. Buyer interest rates current bearish forces ko counter kar rahe hain. Ek bearish MACD aur RSI neutral se bearish territory ki taraf shift ho rahe hain, aur MACD near 30 strong bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Sellers ko 40% reverse divergence point par vigilant rehna chahiye, kyunki is point ka break hona downside momentum ko amplify kar sakta hai. Oversold environment profit-taking opportunities present karta hai, khaaskar pivot points ko target karke. 4-hour chart mein, descending wedge pattern aur 1.2790 tak push karne ki potential ek bearish outlook ko indicate karti hai. 200-SMA at 1.2685 aur resistance at 1.2765 ko monitor karna bulls aur bears dono ke liye critical hoga. MACD aur RSI indicators bearish sentiment ko reinforce karte hain, pullbacks selling opportunities offer karte hain around 1.2760. Ek test hone ki umeed hai.

Main ab weekly chart dekh raha hoon jahan humare paas do triangles hain, ek bara aur ek chota. Inke boundaries ek certain zone form karte hain, jo main ne pink mein mark kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke test sirf chote red triangle ki upper boundary ki taraf nahi, balki blue triangle ki upper boundary ki taraf bhi ho sakta hai (jo ke red line ke neeche hai). Approximate downside targets around 1.28050 ho sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein gap close kiya hai, jo broader market movements ke sath market open ke waqt align ho gaya. Filhal, aik choti correction 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke qareeb 1.29000 ke aas-paas honay ka imkaan hai. Yeh level is hafte mein hasil ho sakta hai, aur shayad is se neeche bhi ja sakta hai. Iske baad, aik aur bara target 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level jo ke takriban 1.28500 pe hai, ho sakta hai. Magar, is gehri correction ko hasil karna shayad is haftay se agey tak le ja sakta hai, lekin yeh imkaan barqarar hai In dynamics ko dekhte hue, 1.29000 level ko kareebi nazar se dekhna chahiye. Yeh aik mauqa ho sakta hai bulls ke liye taake momentum wapas hasil kar saken, aur price ko wapas 90-day moving average ke aas-paas 1.29900 tak le jayein. Yeh level aik significant psychological aur technical marker hai jo ke future price action ko influence kar sakta hai
GBP/USD pair pe bohat se influencing factors hain jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur monetary policy announcements. Maslan, agar koi unexpected economic reports UK ya US se aati hain to yeh pair ke movement pe bara asar dal sakti hain. Isi tarah, Bank of England (BoE) ya Federal Reserve (Fed) ke statements jo ke interest rates aur economic outlooks se mutaliq hoti hain, trader sentiment aur price action ko sway kar sakti hain
Is scenario mein, traders ko ehtiyaat aur strategic approach apnani chahiye. Key levels ko monitor karna aur relevant news se updated rehna bohot zaroori hai. Risk manage karne aur adverse movements se bachne ke liye stop-loss orders ka istemal bhi faidemand ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, traders ko technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, RSI, aur MACD ka istemal karna chahiye taake potential trend reversals ya continuations ke bare mein mazeed maloomat hasil kar saken
Akhirkar, GBP/USD pair ka near-term direction is baat pe depend karega ke iska behavior 1.29000 level ke aas-paas kaisa rehta hai. Agar market is point ke upar consolidate karta hai ya is se neeche break karta hai to yeh agle price movement phases ka tone set karega. Traders ko hamesha vigilant aur adaptable rehna chahiye, aur market ke evolving conditions ke mutabiq respond karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye
GBP/USD pair ka strong bullish momentum, jo ke risk-on sentiment aur US dollar weakness se driven hai, isay takriban aik saal ke high pe le aya hai. RSI overbought condition ko indicate kar raha hai aur key resistance levels nazar mein hain, to aik downward correction ka imkaan lagta hai. In levels ko closely monitor karna aur potential selling opportunities ke liye tayar rehna traders ke liye munasib hai

GBP/USD Price Movement
Humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karne par hai. GBP/USD pair 4-hour chart par ek strong bullish sentiment dikhata hai, aur confidently annual local high 1.31249 ki taraf barh raha hai. Ye target current month ya is hafte mein achieve ho sakta hai. Ye movement mere sell orders ke liye unfavorable hai, lekin broader market outlook ke saath align karta hai. Dono technical indicators buy signal dete hain, jo ke is bullish scenario ko reinforce karte hain. Magar, 90-day local high 1.29899 resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai, jo ke pair ko 7-day local low 1.27776 tak revert karne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Dono scenarios plausible hain, jo upcoming trading week ko unpredictable banate hain. Ek clear picture ke liye, daily chart analysis zaroori hai. Wave structure upward momentum ko indicate karta hai, MACD indicator apni signal line ke upar buy zone mein rise kar raha hai.




Past do hafton mein pair surge hui hai, jet engine ki tarah. MACD divergences ko break karne ke bawajood, pullback ka likelihood barh gaya hai due to the completion of the growth cycle. Ek three-wave structure evident hai, jisme second wave short hai aur first aur third waves lagbhag barabar length ki hain. CCI indicator upper overheating zone se down move karne ko tayar hai, bearish divergence dikhata hua. Main expect karta hoon ke horizontal support level 1.2931 tak descend hoga, uske baad upward rebound. Magar, exhausted growth cycle ki wajah se is level ka break hone ki umeed hai, aur further upward movement unlikely hai without a pullback. Agar 1.2931 level break hota hai, tou yeh ek selling point serve kar sakta hai agar neeche se approach kiya jaye as resistance. Is se decline towards main support level 1.2854 ho sakta hai. Aage ka descent unlikely hai kyunki previous downward trend upward transition kar chuka hai.

GBP/USD ne Monday ko apni positive trading dubara shuru ki. Halankeh pound din ke ikhtitam par nahi barh saka, magar pair ne peeche bhi nahi hat'hi. Din ke pehle hissay mein, pound kuch neeche jane ki koshish kar raha tha, magar agar market isay kharidtay rehna chahti hai to woh kahan jaye? Monday ko market ke paas pair ko kharidne ka koi wazeh wajah nahi thi. Magar market ko bohat arsay se wajahon ki zaroorat nahi rahi. Pound sterling kuch dinon se barh raha hai, is baat ko nazar andaz karte hue ke Bank of England 1 August ko rate kam kar sakta hai aur UK mein mehengai central bank ke target level par aa gayi hai. Magar yeh sab market ke liye koi ahemiyat nahi rakhta. Local upward trend jaari hai, jo ke rising trend line se saabit hota hai. Dusra point jahan yeh banayi gayi thi woh sirf aik flat point hai, na ke koi extreme. Agar pound bina kisi wajah ke bhi kharida jaye, to yeh jitna marzi barh sakta hai. 5-minute timeframe par, qeemat 1.2980-1.2993 ke area mein wapas aayi. Yeh is mark ko paar nahi kar saka, magar jab agla ahem level ya area paar ho, to kya farq parta hai? Market in resistances ko correction ya rollback ke liye bhi nahi samajh raha. Isliye, yeh achi mocha hai ke pound is area ko paar karne ke baad barh sakta hai.

Tuesday ke liye trading tips:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD ne downtrend banane ke promising signs dikhaye hain, magar iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Pair phir se barh raha hai, aur overall, yeh eratic aur illogical movements dikhata hai. Filhal, pound sterling ne apne latest local high ko paar kar liya hai aur fundamental backdrop ko nazar andaz kar raha hai. Magar koi inkaar nahi kar sakta ke filhal economic reports pound ko support kar rahi hain.

Tuesday ko, agar pound 1.2980-1.2993 ko paar nahi kar saka, to yeh aista aista 1.2913 ke level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Magar hum tezi se girawat ki umeed nahi karte jab tak pound trend line ko breach na kar le. Aur agar yeh hota bhi hai, to zaroori nahi ke yeh bilkul ho. Yeh kam az kam pichle chand mahino mein paanch dafa ho chuka hai.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. UK ka economic calendar takreeban khali hai. Kal, aik Bank of England ke official ne speech di aur kaha ke key rate kam kiya jana chahiye, magar is ka market par koi asar nahi hua. U.S. ka docket ek retail sales report feature karega, jo greenback ke beqabu girawat ko nahi rok sakta.

GBP/USD:
GBP/USD currency pair ki correction ko initiate karne ke liye, hume current levels se thoda sa southern descent shuru karna padega. Ye move southwards bohot strong nahi hona chahiye, bas itna ke 1.30262 level ko retest kar sake aur correction confirm ho jaye. Main wahan se turant sharp drop expect nahi karta. Baraks, ek upward pullback zyada likely lag raha hai. Aisa pullback aam tor par welcome hota hai, aur phir ek full-fledged channel top se establish ho sakta hai.

Agar hume north ki taraf move karna hai, to hume pehle 1.2989 ko surpass karna hoga, aur phir raasta 1.29710 tak khul jayega, jahan main bhi ek downward correction ka aghaz dekhta hoon.

Correction shuru karne ke liye, ek slight descent from current levels zaroori hai. Ye move southward itna strong nahi hona chahiye, bas itna ke 1.30262 level tak pohonch jaye aur correction confirm ho sake. Is level tak pohonchne ke baad, main ek significant drop expect nahi karta. Uske bajaye, ek upward pullback zyada likely hai, jo aam tor par ek positive sign hota hai. Iske baad, ek full-fledged channel top se establish ho sakta hai.

Ek northward move ke liye, hume pehle 1.2989 level ko surpass karna hoga, aur phir 1.29710 ka raasta clear ho jayega. Is level tak pohonchne ke baad, main ek aur downward correction ka aghaz dekhta hoon.




Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD ke liye ek slight southern descent zaroori hai, magar zyada intense nahi hona chahiye. 1.30262 level ek critical point hai correction ko confirm karne ke liye. Is level tak pohonchne ke baad, ek sharp fall ke bajaye, ek upward pullback zyada suitable hoga jo market ko stabilize karne mein madad dega.

Iske baad, ek full-fledged channel ko establish karne ke liye, hume top se kaam karna hoga. Ek northward move ke liye, pehle hume 1.2989 level ko surpass karna hoga, aur phir 1.29710 tak ka raasta clear hoga, jahan ek aur downward correction ka signal ho sakta hai.

Aise market analysis mein, hume har level ko carefully monitor karna padega aur apni trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna hoga. Southern descent se le kar upward pullback aur phir northward move tak, har step ko accurately assess karna padega. Ye critical points hain GBP/USD currency pair ko samajhne ke liye, aur in indicators ko follow karke, hume apne next trading moves ka faisla karna chahiye.

GBP/USD Pair ki Technical Analysis
4-hour chart



Price achi support area mein trade kar raha hai, jahan se price expected hai ke ek upward wave shuru ho aur weekly resistance level 1.3056 tak pohonche. Is hafte ke dauran, price ek ascending pattern ke andar trade kar raha hai, jahan price channels ke andar upward trend mein move ho raha hai, jo ke pichle do hafton ke dauran price trend ko represent karta hai.

Trading ke aghaz se price behavior upward trend ko maintain karte hue dikhai de raha hai, jese ke price sideways direction mein weekly pivot level aur lower channel lines se supported trade kar raha hai. Ab price ko is area se support mil raha hai taake rise shuru ho sake, aur is liye aaj aur kal ka trading advice yeh hai ke current level se buy entry karein aur weekly resistance level 1.3056 tak hold karein. Stop loss level ko weekly pivot level ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai.

Economic side par dekha jaye to, pound sterling ka superior performance usay G10 currencies basket ke top par rakhta hai year 2024 ke liye, teen developments ki wajah se:
1) Improved local data
2) Bank of England ki interest rates cut karne ki expectations ka kam hona
3) Improved political morale.

Is hafte, pound ke liye main tests inflation aur wage figures se aayenge. Services mein inflation rate expected hai 5.6% aur British Consumer Price Index mein inflation rate expected hai 2.0%. Agar value mein decline hota hai to rate cut ke odds 1 August ko barh jayenge aur sterling ki value sharply decline karte hue overbought territory mein chali jayegi. Analysts at Oxford Economics believe karte hain ke headline CPI inflation rate 1.8% ho gi, jo ke expected se kam hai aur pound mein sell-off lead kare gi. Lekin, sterling mein selling limited ho gi kyunke Bank of England ke liye aggressively cut karna mushkil hoga agar economy strong perform karte rahti hai, jo ke bohot se economists ka kehna hai ke likely hai last week's GDP release ke baad.

GBP/USD Teen Din ki Tezi ke Baad Thanda, Nai Hafte ka Iftitah Ahthyat ke Sath
GBP/USD karansi pair ne apni teen din ki tezi ke baad thoda aram kiya, aur nai hafte ka aghaz ahthyat ke sath kiya. Hal hi mein British Pound ne taqat dikhayi thi, ek mahine ke nichey se ubhar kar, lekin 1.2731 ke aas paas mukhalfat ka samna kiya. Ye peechey hatna mazboot US dollar, barhti hui US Treasury yields, aur tajiron ka aham maeeshi data ka intezar karne ki wajah se hai. Yeh pair ab 1.2590 ke support level ke qareeb hai.

Fed ke Tajaweez Bazar ke Jazbat Banatay Hue, Rate Cuts ki Umeedon ke Darmiyan
Federal Reserve ke ahdaidaron ke bayanat bazar ke jazbat par gehri asar dal rahe hain. Sarmayadar unke bayanat par ghour se dekh rahe hain ke kya woh mustaqbil ke rate cuts ke bare mein koi ishara dete hain. Hal hi mein kuch ahdaidaroon ne yeh kaha hai ke rates lambi muddat tak baray reh sakte hain, jabke kuch ne yeh bhi kaha hai ke agar mehngayi kam hoti hai to rate cuts bhi ho sakte hain. Ye milay julay paighamat ghair yakeeni paida karte hain, jo mukhtalif bazar, jaise ke stocks aur bonds ko asar andaz kar rahe hain, jab sarmayadar Federal Reserve ke aglay qadmon ka andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Rate cuts ki umeed sarmayadaron mein umeed paida kar rahi hai, jo asaan qarz hasil karne ke halaat ki asha kar rahe hain.




Aanay Wala US Retail Sales aur UK CPI Inflation Data
Is hafte, amreeka aur baritaniya se aham maeeshi data jari hoga. Amreeka mein, retail sales figures maeeshi mushkilat ke darmiyan consumer spending ke bare mein maloomat faraham karengi. Zyada retail sales mazboot consumer confidence aur imkani maeeshi growth ko zahir karengi. Baritaniya mein, Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data ke zariye qeematon ke rujhan aur Bank of England ke imkani qadam ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Buland mehngayi Bank ko rate barhane par majboor kar sakti hai taake qeemat ko qaboo mein rakha ja sake. Ye reports bazar mein volatility paida karengi jabke tajir naye maloomat ke mutabiq apni strategy adjust karenge.

GBP/USD Outlook: Kharidaar aur Farokht Karne Wale Aham Levels par Nazar
Har waqt ke frame mein, British Pound US Dollar ke muqabley mein mazboot nazar aa raha hai. Hal hi mein, is ne upar ki taraf break kia, jo pehli mukhalfat thi ab support ban gayi hai GBP/USD pair ke liye. 1.2994 level ab mukhalfat ka kaam kar raha hai. Kharidaaron ko is range se upar breakout ka intezar karna chahiye, jabke farokht karne wale naye support level se neechey girawat ka intezar kar rahe hain taake bazar mein dakhil ho sakein.

GBP/USD ki chadhai ne peer ko aik rukawat ka saamna kiya, jahan wo nafsiyati tor par ahmiyat rakhtay 1.3000 ke qareeb se peeche hat gaya. Yeh thaharna dollar bechnay aur haal ki harekatein dobara tashreef lai gi hain. Is dobara ki tashreef ka aham hissa September mein Federal Reserve ki interest rate mein kisi qisam ki kamzori ko darshata hai. Fed ke bayanat ne haftay ki shuruaat mein market ki tawajjo par qabza kiya. Chair Jerome Powell ne mahangi ke front par taraqqi ko tasleem kiya, lekin unhone aur San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne mustaqbil ke rate cuts ke liye koi muqarrar muddat nahi bataye. Is tarah ke wazeh hukumat ke baghair tajawuz se kuch market participants apne expectations ko dobara tashreef la rahe hain. Pehle se, interest rate markets September ke rate cut ki taraf mael thay, CME Group ke FedWatch tool ne September 18th FOMC meeting mein 25 basis points ki kami ka 100% chance bataya tha. Magar Fed ke hali bayanat ne is yaqeen ko sawal mein daal diya hai. Intehai arzi taur par, Amreeki maaloomaat par tawajjo jari hai. Pichle haftay ki rilisat ne Amreeki maeeshat ki dhimiya tasawwur ki tasweer pesh ki, aur analysts yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke yeh trend June ki retail sales ke mukable mein murattab rahega.



Is hafte UK ki bhi maqami riwayati calendar faraham ho rahi hai. Budh ke pehle Consumer Price Index (CPI) mahangi data ke taqarorat, jahan 0.3% se June mein 0.1% ke janib aur girne ka intezar hai. Jumeraat ko UK ki rozgar aur tanazur data laaye jayenge, jise Jumeraat ke baad retail sales figures follow karenge. Sterling ke momentum ne peer ko tham liya, teen dinon ke jeetne ki silsila ko khatam kar ke aur bearish candlestick pattern ko shakl diya. Yeh uss mazboot dor ke baad aaya, jahan GBP/USD pair ne pehle barah dinon ke tezi se kamyaabi hasil ki, jab pair ne June ke akhri haftay ke qareeb 1.2600 se chadhayi ki, jahan key support levels se neeche girna nahi kiya gaya. Is ne bullish buying mein izafa hua, jo pair ko naye 12 mah ke high 1.29949 tak pohnchaya, phir hal hi mein wapas aya. Kul mila kar, GBP/USD apne safar ke aik mor par hai. Pair ke rukh ke mutalliq tohmat hone ke imkanat amomkan hain, khas tor par Amreeki maaloomaat ke anayat aur Federal Reserve ke maliyat policy ke hawalay se mazeed bayanat par.