Eur usd

Tafseeli Jaaiza: EUR/USD Currency Pair Ki Keemat Mein Izafaat

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ki tashreeh karne ja rahe hain. Foreign exchange market ke is haftay ka jaaiza lene ka waqt hai aur Jumma ke currency pairs ke baray mein tashreeh karte hain, jisme EURUSD shamil hai jo Jumma ke band hone par apne medium-term upward trend ko jari rakhta hai. Jumma ke haftay ke khatam hone par EURUSD ke price ne apna upward momentum barqarar rakha aur 1.0906 par band hua. Yeh growth momentum 1.0921 ya is se ooncha tak pohanch sakta hai jabke upper resistance limit dheere dheere ooncha hota ja raha hai. EUR/USD ke current medium-term outlook ka tasawwur is tarah hai.



Michigan sentiment index ne aik nihayati manfi nateeja riwayat kiya, jo EUR/USD ke liye aik buying opportunity ka pegham tha. Is elaan ke baad, pair ne naye urooj tak pohancha aur haftay ko 9th figure ke aghaz par band kiya. Technical nazar se, aik izafa 1.0926-1.0941 tak kal mumkin tha. Magar yeh kehna ke major currencies aur dollar index ke band hone ke baad, mojooda values se girawat mumkin nazar aati hai. Isi tarah, Monday ke trading opening ka barah-e-karam nazar aata hai. Mein kharidari ko nahi gina ja raha, lekin mein mumkin sales ke imkaan ko dekh raha hoon. Agar pair bina kisi numayan pullbacks ke 1.0943 ko paar kar jaye, to yeh hairat angez hoga. Aanay wale haftay, Tuesday ko retail sales data jari hoga, jise Thursday ko ECB meeting follow karegi. Pair stagnant rehne ke imkaanat kamzor hain, jabke technical indicators next Monday ko mazeed significant movements ki taraf isharaat dete hain. Aanay wale haftay bullish trend mein ho sakta hai, is liye mein dip par kharidari ki tajaweez deta hoon, jo aik behtar trading strategy ho sakti hai.

Rasmi Tashreeh: EUR/USD Ke Keemat Mein Izafaat Ki Tafsili Tashreeh

Hamari guftagu mein hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price changes ka jaaiza karenge. EUR/USD currency pair mein aik upward trend hai. 1.0896 ke level par amooman intezar tha, aur ab qeemat is markaz par qaim hone ki koshish kar rahi hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq char ghante ke chart par, qeemat Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke upar trade kar rahi hai, badal ke upar hai, Chikou-span line qeemat chart ke upar hai. "Golden cross" active phase mein hai. Bollinger Bands bullish hain, relative strength index 50 ke upar hai, MACD oscillator volumes barh rahe hain, aur trend filter oscillator green hai, jo bullish sentiment ki taraf isharaat karta hai. Tariqat kharidari par hai, agle potential target 1.0956 level hai.



H4 par, buyers April ke 1.0601 ke low se primary impulse ka faida utha rahe hain, aur primary EUR/USD resistance ab pehle impulse zone ke upper border par 1.0905 par hai. Market ka reaction is level par aane wala future outlook single currency ke liye mukarrar karega. Agar 1.0905 resistance phir se toot jaye lekin yeh aik false breakout sabit ho aur bears quotes ko 1.0905 ke neeche daba den, to aik continued bearish pullback pehle zone ke lower border tak 1.0847 tak ho sakta hai, jahan se naye growth attempts shuru ho sakti hain. Ulta agar 1.0905 resistance actual mein qaim rahe aur bulls is par mazboot position qaim karain, to EUR/USD quotes agle impulse zone tak 1.0999 tak uth sakti hain. Magar is scenario ko significant pullback ke saath haasil karna mumkin nazar aata hai. Jumma ke trading close ke baad, buyers ne initiative qaim rakhi thi, aur Monday ko upar ki taraf movement ka aghaz ho sakta hai jo 1.0921/1.0951 resistance zone tak jari rahe. Yeh ke baad 1.0941 ke neeche price return ho sakta hai, lekin is par bohat kuch hafta ke news par depend karega.

H4 timeframe

Market situation se pata chalta hai ke EurUsd pair ka trend mahine ke aghaz se Uptrend ki taraf hai. June ke aakhri dino mein ek downward correction moment tha jo lagta hai ke sellers ki koshish thi ke candlestick position ko niche le jaye taake Downtrend shuru ho sake, yeh koshish waqai price ko 100 period ki simple moving average zone yaani 1.0679 tak le gayi thi. Lekin July ke aghaz se ab tak candlestick wapas upar aayi hai. Abhi price 1.0940 ke aas paas chal rahi hai. Bullish trend smooth chal rahi hai kyunki pichle mahine jaisi drastic pressure nahi hai.

Agar Monday se current price position ko dekha jaye to lagta hai ke price bullish side ki taraf move kar rahi hai ek achi range ke sath, is hafte ke price journey se yeh conclusion nikalta hai ke price temporary consolidation experience kar rahi hai bullish journey ke beech. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj market bullish side ki taraf apni journey continue kare aur agle kuch din tak yeh trend barqarar rahe. Mukablay ke liye, current candlestick position last week ke lowest position se upar uth chuki hai. Market situation aaj tak bullish chalne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Asia market session mein abhi tak khamoshi hai, meri prediction hai ke abhi price consolidation moment rahegi European aur American sessions ke intezar mein taake transaction volume increase ho sake. Next EurUsd market pair trend ka direction abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai, jis ka aim hai ke price ko higher price area test kare. Buy position open karne ke liye behtar hoga ke price 1.0954 tak uthe kyunki subah se shaam tak aksar downward correction hone ka imkan hota hai. Jaldbazi mein position open karna theek nahi kyunki market prone hoti hai correction aur consolidation movements ki taraf.

Transaction Options:

- Buy area: 1.0955, Take Profit: 1.1000, Stop Loss: 1.0921

Market situation se pata chalta hai ke EurUsd pair ka trend mahine ke aghaz se Uptrend ki taraf hai. June ke aakhri dino mein ek downward correction moment tha jo lagta hai ke sellers ki koshish thi ke candlestick position ko niche le jaye taake Downtrend shuru ho sake, yeh koshish waqai price ko 100 period ki simple moving average zone yaani 1.0679 tak le gayi thi. Lekin July ke aghaz se ab tak candlestick wapas upar aayi hai. Abhi price 1.0940 ke aas paas chal rahi hai. Bullish trend smooth chal rahi hai kyunki pichle mahine jaisi drastic pressure nahi hai.
Agar Monday se current price position ko dekha jaye to lagta hai ke price bullish side ki taraf move kar rahi hai ek achi range ke sath, is hafte ke price journey se yeh conclusion nikalta hai ke price temporary consolidation experience kar rahi hai bullish journey ke beech. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj market bullish side ki taraf apni journey continue kare aur agle kuch din tak yeh trend barqarar rahe. Mukablay ke liye, current candlestick position last week ke lowest position se upar uth chuki hai. Market situation aaj tak bullish chalne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Asia market session mein abhi tak khamoshi hai, meri prediction hai ke abhi price consolidation moment rahegi European aur American sessions ke intezar mein taake transaction volume increase ho sake. Next EurUsd market pair trend ka direction abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai, jis ka aim hai ke price ko higher price area test kare. Buy position open karne ke liye behtar hoga ke price 1.0954 tak uthe kyunki subah se shaam tak aksar downward correction hone ka imkan hota hai. Jaldbazi mein position open karna theek nahi kyunki market prone hoti hai correction aur consolidation movements ki taraf

Eur/usd جوڑی نے 1.0909 کی سطح پر تجارت بند کی اور روزانہ کی بنیاد پر سب کے دیکھے جانے والے متقارب مثلث کے مزاحمت کے قریب تقریباً درست طور پر بند ہوئی۔ لہذا، اس طرح کی بندش شمال کی طرف تحریک جاری رکھنے کا اشارہ سمجھا جا سکتا ہے - مخالف نقطہ نظر سے۔ اگر آپ جنوب کی طرف جانا چاہتے ہیں، تو ہفتہ وار بندش 1.0917 کی سطح کے اوپر ہونی چاہیے، جہاں فی الحال مثلث کی اوپری لائن واقع ہے۔ اس لئے، میں سمجھتا ہوں کہ جب مارکیٹ پیر کو کھلے گی، تو eur/usd جوڑی جنوبی سمت میں پل بیک دکھانے کا موقع رکھتی ہے، لیکن صرف امریکی تجارتی سیشن کے آغاز تک، اس لیے میں اس دوران مارکیٹ میں داخل ہونے سے گریز کروں گا۔ تاہم، پیر کو شام 3 بجے کے بعد آپ eur/usd جوڑی خرید سکتے ہیں اور 1.1030 کی مزاحمت تک مزید اضافے کا انتظار کر سکتے ہیں۔

یورو/ڈالر نے پچھلے ہفتے ایک بُلش کینڈل کے ساتھ بند کیا، لیکن اس وقت فریم پر دیکھا جا سکتا ہے کہ جوڑی کافی وقت سے مثلث کے پیٹرن میں حرکت کر رہی ہے اور اب اس کی اوپری سرحد کے قریب ہے، لہذا طویل مدتی میں میں اس کی نچلی سرحد تک کمی کی توقع کرتا ہوں۔ تاہم، اس وقت چھوٹے تکنیکی اشارے کے ساتھ شارٹ پوزیشنز کھولنے کی کوئی وجہ نہیں ہے۔ گھنٹہ وار چارٹ پر، اشارہ شمال کی طرف اشارہ کر رہا ہے جو جمعہ کو آئی تحریک کی وجہ سے ہے، لیکن بولنگر بینڈز نے تحریک کے اختتام اور مقامی اصلاح کی شروعات کے اشارے دیے ہیں تاکہ ان کی درمیانی لائن کو اوپر سے جانچا جا سکے۔ مزید برآں، بیرونی بولنگر بینڈ کے اوپر بندش ہوئی، جس کے بعد ایک اور مقامی اضافہ ہوا، لہذا اس وقت جوڑی کے گرنے کی صلاحیت موجود ہے۔ لہذا، پیر کو مارکیٹ کے کھلنے پر میں جنوبی سمت میں مقامی حرکت کا امکان دیکھوں گا۔ چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، اشارہ بندش کے قریب خریداری کا سگنل دکھاتا ہے، لیکن یہ سگنل ابھی تک تصدیق شدہ نہیں ہے۔ دوسری طرف، بولنگر بینڈز ابھی بھی پھیل رہے ہیں، جو بتاتا ہے کہ درمیانی مدت کی تحریک ابھی مکمل نہیں ہوئی ہے۔ لہذا، مثلث کی اوپری سرحد تک پہنچنے کا امکان ابھی بھی موجود ہے، اور صرف پھر ہم پلٹاؤ دیکھیں گے۔ لیکن پیر کو زیادہ واضح ہوگا۔ مجموعی طور پر، میں شارٹ پوزیشنز کھولنے کے امکان پر غور کر رہا ہوں، اگر ہم اوپر کی تحریک پر مثلث کی اوپری سرحد کو عبور نہ کریں۔

EUR/USD Technical Analysis Aaj

Aaj ke din kisi bade girawat ki umeed nahi hai, khaaskar kyunke decline phase do haftay pehle khatam ho chuka hai. Kal ke Fed news ke baad market ki potential reaction ko bhi madde nazar rakhein, market ne is event ko zyada tar price kar liya hai. Jabke aage girawat mumkin hai, iske liye zyada significant reasons chahiye honge jo filhal maloom nahi hain. Humne rate hike ke postponement ka pehle hi react kiya hai.

Magar kal raat dollar ke sath trading se gurez karunga kyunki unexpected outcomes ka risk hai. Lagarde ne euro ke overnight crash aur tezi se recovery ke baad kafi dair se bola. Isliye, hum maante hain ke market risk assets ko panic mein react kar raha hai, magar sab risk assets par asar nahi hai kyunki, for example, bitcoins mein koi movement nahi dikhai de rahi. Tornado ke bare mein news dollar quotes par zyada asar nahi daalti kyunki coast ko severe weather events aksar face karna padta hai, jo financial markets ke liye itna relevant nahi hai.

Pichle haftay EUR/USD 1.0845 tak gir gaya, jo October 2002 ke baad ka sabse kam level hai. Financial markets ne pehle hafte mein major central banks se monetary policies ke key announcements ka intezar kiya. Pichle haftay 1.0964 se shuru hokar, EUR/USD Friday tak 1.0945 tak gir gaya.

Monday ko, EUR/USD 1.0815 ko barqarar rakhe rakha. Magar Tuesday ko parity ke neeche gir gaya, aur 1.0835 ke aas-paas pohnch gaya risk-averse environment ke wajah se. Fed ke FOMC announcement se pehle Friday ko EUR/USD 1.0715 tak aur neeche chala gaya, aur Thursday tak kamzor hota raha. Friday ko EUR/USD phir se 1.0800 ke aas-paas gir gaya.

Yeh hai EUR/USD ka tajziya 4 August 2024 ke liye:

Agar Monday ko 1.0915 ke range ko tod kar uske upar fix ho jaye, to yeh khareedne ka signal hoga, aur aap market mein entry le sakte hain. Aam tor par, 1.0800 ka jhoota breakout kiya gaya aur uske baad mazid mazbooti aage chalti rahegi. Yeh dekhte hue ke 1.0780 ke range ko todna mumkin nahi hua, jahan humare paas support hai, to mazbooti wahan se barh gayi. Jab hum 1.0920 ke range ko todain, tab aage ki growth continue karegi. Shayad buyers rate ko mazboot kar sakein aur hum 1.0870 ko tod kar aage badhein. Agar buyers 1.0870 ke range ko tod kar uske upar ruk gaye, to yeh khareedne ka signal hoga.

Pennant ek trend continuation figure hai, ya phir ek reversal figure. Yani, mojooda levels se EUR/USD ka pair ya to break karke 1.0990 tak barhega, ya phir reverse hoke 1.0870 tak gir jayega aur phir 1.0840 tak chala jayega. Lekin, pehla option jo growth continue karega, mujhe zyada priority hai, kyunki price descending channel se bahar nikal rahi hai aur H4 par trend upar ki taraf badal gaya hai. Main 1.0870 tak ek correction ki bhi ijaazat deta hoon agar pennant kaam mein nahi aati aur naye flat se cancel ho jati hai. Agle hafte koi khaas important news nahi hai, to 1.0950 - 1.09 ke range mein ek flat hone ke achhe chances hain. Sirf ek hafte baad USA ki inflation data ki publication hogi, jo market mein kal jaise volatility la sakti hai.

The Story in the Charts: EUR/USD

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par baat karenge. Jab price movement sluggish hoti hai, toh pehlay se forecast karna mumkin hota hai, khaaskar Murray ke levels ke hawale se, jo stable rehtay hain agar dobara recalculate na kiye jayen. H1 chart par, EUR/USD pair ne Friday ko 1.0926 par resistance ka samna kiya aur upar jaane mein nakam rehne ke baad halka sa pullback shuru kiya. Ek Macro diver jaldi samne aaya, aur Bollinger bands abhi bhi ek upward trend ki nishani dete hain, jo Murray level 1.0957 ko target kar rahe hain. Monday ko, nayi local highs tak pahunchne ki koshish ho sakti hai, resistances 1.0942-1.0957 ko target karte hue, aur phir ek potential correction ho sakti hai. Yeh surat-e-haal ek aur expansion ko janam de sakti hai, jo aam tor par 50-76% pullbacks ke saath hoti hai, kabhi kabhi naye lows tak bhi pohonch jati hai. Aam tor par, aise speculative price movements kam az kam 51% correct hote hain. Natijaatan, support level 1.0865 tak decline hone ka imkaan hai, aur further drops 1.0835 aur 1.0804 tak bhi ho sakte hain, lekin ek ya do din mein nahi.


EUR/USD pair ne kal bullish momentum ka tajurba kiya, 1.0901 ke upar trade karte hue aur ek positive week end ki taraf badh rahi hai. US dollar ko significant selling pressure ka samna hai disappointing employment data ki wajah se, jo pair ke growth ko boost kar raha hai. EUR/USD pair ko 1.0811 aur 1.0821 ke beech strong resistance zone ka samna hai. Agar pair is range ke upar stabilize ho jaye aur ise support mein convert kar le, to aglay resistance levels 1.0851 (9-day moving average) aur 1.0881 ho sakte hain. Downside par, pehla support 1.0781 par hai, phir 1.0741 aur 1.0701. Bulls lead kar rahe hain. Pennant pattern ya to continuation ya reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Maujooda levels se, EUR/USD pair breakout kar ke 1.0991 tak ja sakti hai ya neechay turn ho ke 1.0871 aur phir 1.0841 tak gir sakti hai. Magar, preferred scenario continued growth ka hai, kyunke price downward channel se exit kar chuki hai aur H4 trend upward ho gaya hai.

Main filhal EUR/USD currency pair ki dynamic pricing behaviour ko analyse kar raha hoon. Kal mujhe pound ke saath profitable trading session mili, jo ke iski intraday volatility ke wajah se kaafi enjoyable thi. Agar aaj ke movements statistics ke zariye driven rahe, khaaskar state data aur individual European country reports se, to market mein excitement barh sakti hai. EUR/USD chart ek persistent downward trend dikhata hai. Kal ek potential rebound model promising lag raha tha, lekin shaam tak price flat ho gayi aur sideways movement continue hui. Yeh sideways movement dono directions mein lead kar sakti hai. Upwards, impulse resistance bullish path ko limit karta hai, jo shayad sirf significant statistics ke zariye breach ho. Downwards, kal ka minimum ek barrier ban sakta hai jo breach ho sakta hai ya nahi. Is trading week mein, euro ne US dollar ke against decline shuru kiya, round support level 1.087 ke kareeb aakarshit hota hai. Sab reduction targets milne ke baad, maine extended periods ko review kiya.

Price ek broad ascending channel mein move kar rahi hai, jo further decline ka potential suggest karta hai, lekin aisa lagta nahi ke euro apni lowest limit tak drop karega. Main sales opportunities par focus karunga, lekin agar 1.088 resistance level ke upar break aur consolidation hoti hai to yeh bullish traders ke liye strong signal hoga. EUR/USD ka short-term trend downward hai, lekin mujhe clear selling signals abhi tak nahi dikhai de rahe. EUR/USD upar ki taraf adjust ho raha hai taake 1.0910 ke upper limit ko target kare, jo ek price movement debt ko indicate karta hai. Agar yeh upward wave materialize hoti hai, to market bullish movement ko 1.0910 tak pohnchne ke baad reverse kar sakti hai. Lekin, iske baad 1.0910 par sudden bearish turn ki guarantee nahi hai; balki ek brief pause dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is challenging section ko paar karne ke baad, hum bearish direction ko kuch waqt ke liye chhod sakte hain.

Media reports ke mutabiq, mukhya geopolitical factor - Iran ka Israel par strike - August 12-13 tak mulatvi lag raha hai. Har koi jaanta hai ke kisi bhi military escalation se US dollar ki unplanned strengthening ho sakti hai.
Abhi EUR/USD pair mein, bulls ne apni taqat dikhayi hai, jo ye ishara karta hai ke sab kuch abhi poora nahi hua aur ye kaafi mumkin hai ke hum 1.0940-1.0950 area ki taraf barhna jaari rakhein ge pehle ke ek downward correction start ho. Yaqeenan, ye bhi mumkin hai ke woh foran se Friday ke movement se pullback execute karein.

Monday ko, American session ke doran, 16:45 aur 17:00 Moscow time par news reports aayengi. Is liye, European session mein flat reh sakta hai, jo pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai, phir news par 1.0940-1.0950 ki taraf push ho sakti hai, uske baad downward correction ho sakti hai.

To, filhal, main ye scenarios consider kar raha hoon, orange aur white. Lower intraday level 1.0785 par bears ko wapas zinda kar dega.

EUR/USD ke hawalay se media reports ke zariye Iran ka Israel par attack ka mulatvi hona, ab tak ka sab se bara geopolitical factor mana ja raha hai. Iran aur Israel ke darmiyan kashmakash se US dollar ki taqat mein izafa ho sakta hai. Abhi EUR/USD pair mein bulls ka raaj hai, jo ye batata hai ke sab kuch abhi tak pura nahi hua aur hum 1.0940-1.0950 ke area ki taraf barh sakte hain pehle ke downward correction shuru ho. Lekin ye bhi mumkin hai ke woh foran se Friday ke movement se pullback kar lein.

Monday ko, jab American session start ho, to 16:45 aur 17:00 Moscow time par news reports ka aanay ka waqt hai. European session mein flat market rehne ka imkaan hai jo ek pullback ki waja ban sakta hai, aur phir news par 1.0940-1.0950 ki taraf ek push dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Uske baad downward correction hone ki umeed hai.

Is waqt, main do scenarios consider kar raha hoon, ek orange aur doosra white. Lower intraday level 1.0785 tak girne par bears phir se active ho jayenge. Yeh scenarios economic indicators aur geopolitical tensions ke asar par depend karte hain. Har trade ko asar-andaz karne wale factors ko dekhte hue, ye zaroori hai ke hum cautiously approach karein aur market ke har move ko closely monitor karein.

Kisi bhi unexpected geopolitical tension se market sentiment bohot tezi se change ho sakta hai, isliye ye zaroori hai ke har waqt updated rahain aur timely decisions lein. Market ki movements aur trends ko samajhne ke liye analysis aur news monitoring zaroori hai. Har possible scenario ko madde nazar rakhte hue, market ki strategy banani chahiye aur risk management ko prioritize karna chahiye.

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price action ka jaiza lene par mabni hai. Agar price 1.0851 tak girti hai, to ye buyers ke upward momentum ko disrupt kar sakti hai, magar main aisi development par zyada focus nahi karna chahta. Ek chhota pullback qabil-e-qubool hai, uske baad ek barhati hui movement ya doosre scenarios ho sakte hain. Bullish trend agle kuch dino mein jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Pehle din ke liye trading ranges yeh hain: sell zone 1.0776 aur 1.0881 ke darmiyan, aur buy zone 1.0891 se 1.1006 tak. EUR/USD ka current technical pivot 1.0910 par hai. Aane wale trading week mein kisi significant news event ki umeed nahi hai. Magar Iran ka possible response Israel ko le kar market dynamics par asar daal sakta hai. Aise geopolitical tensions ko peacefully resolve karna zaroori hai taake market instability se bacha ja sake.

Main do main strategies consider kar raha hoon upcoming trades ke liye: pehli, ek continued upward move jo 1.0951 tak pohanchayegi aur doosri, ek downward correction jo 1.0891 tak jayegi. Speculators is range ko maintain karenge agar price 1.0901-06 ke upar rahti hai. Doosra scenario zyada straightforward aur appealing hai: 1.0891 tak ek quick dip, uske baad rebound aur 1.0951 se growth wave start hoti hai. Price wahan se briefly dip kar sakti hai magar phir upward continue karegi 1.1001 ki taraf. Selling positions ko current levels par initiate karna prudent nahi hai kyunki yeh risky lagti hain. Short-term selling 1.0951 ke aas paas hai. Magar hamesha ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai kyunki expected bullish trajectory drastically change ho sakti hai. Agar bulls momentum lose karte hain aur price 1.0891 ke neeche girti hai, to pichle Friday ki upward movement ek false signal ho sakti hai jo pair ko wapas bearish trend mein le ja sakti hai. Main narrow range 1.0891-1.0906 par focus karunga, jahan market ke next moves likely determine honge.

EUR/USD H4

Hamari behas mein, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price changes ka tajziya karenge. Powell ne ECB forum par guftagu ki aur mamool ke mutabiq US dollar ki qeemat girayi, halan ke Lagarde ne unse pehle guftagu ki thi, jo euro ko thoda support kar rahi thi. Powell ne koi nayi baat nahi ki, bawajood iske, EUR/USD ne 1.0739 level ko tor diya aur ab 1.0749 ki resistance ke qareeb hai. Ehmiat ka haqiqi resistance level, jo EMA-200 se mark kiya gaya hai, wo 1.0759 par hai. Ye samajh nahi aaya ke market ne Powell par aise kyun react kiya, kyunke unki baat groundbreaking nahi thi. Unhone kaha ke labor market mazboot hai, inflation 2% ke qareeb nahi hai, aur disinflation ke asar dikhai de rahe hain. Lagarde ne bhi kaha ke halan ke inflation sahi raaste par ja rahi hai, lekin abhi ye kehna jaldbazi hogi ke yeh isi taraq rahegi. Powell ne zor diya ke Fed apne faisle jaldbazi mein nahi karega aur US aur Europe mein inflation alag alag masla hai jo mukhtalif approaches talab karta hai. In comments ke bawajood, market US dollar kharidne se katra raha hai.

Europe mein siyasi developments ne market sentiment ko asar andaz kiya hai, khaaskar European parliamentary elections, jo Euro ke liye ehtemad ko kamzor kar rahi hain. France ka faisla apni parliament ko torna aur snap elections karana, jaisa ke President Emmanuel Macron ne kaha tha EU parliament elections mein ek badi shikast ke baad, market uncertainty ko barhawa diya hai. Marine Le Pen, jo ke National Rally ki ek conservative siyasatdan hain, ke Macron ki jagah lene ke ehtemal ne financial markets ko hilaya hai. Le Pen ka platform, jo ke barey tax cuts, retirement age kam karne aur sakht immigration controls ko shamil karta hai, France mein kafi maqbooliyat hasil kar raha hai.

Le Pen ki fatah ka ehtemal European financial markets mein bechaini paida kar raha hai. Unki policies us waqt mein ahem fiscal challenges peda kar sakti hain jab European economic indicators pehle hi kamzor hain. Mazeed, European Central Bank (ECB) inflation ke masail ki wajah se Eurozone mein rate cuts implement karne ki salahiyat mein mehsoor hai.

Maine market ke char ghantey ke wind data ka tajziya kiya aur uski direction ko mazbooti se dekha. Umeed hai ke maximum channel 1.09239 tak pohonchne ki ability hai aur market ko 1.07732 level tak lejaya jaye. Target signal ke neeche logging, bearish activity ke continuation ka ishara hai. Humein samajhna chahiye ke 1.07732 tak ek correction ho sakti hai, isliye main market system ko foran badal sakta hoon. Mera maqsad ek acha entry point milna hai, jo ke mujhe linear regression channels ke edges ke qareeb mila, jo ke kisi khaas player ke tracks mein strong interest ka ishara karta hai. Main hamesha apne plan ko note karta hoon agar market situation badal jaye, kyunki agar bulls 1.09239 level ko exceed karte hain, to ye active market activity ka sign ho sakta hai, jo ke situation ka dobara jaiza lene aur sales ko cancel karne ki darkhwast karta hai. Magar iska matlab ye nahi ke 1.9862 se decline mein ek reversal hona chahiye. Bohat mumkin hai ke hum ek choti stop dekhen. Jab hum pair ke is mushkil hise se guzrenge, hum lambay arse ke liye south ko kho sakte hain. Agar ye confirm hota hai, to eklauta option ye hai ke hum 1.073 minimum tak pohonchne ki koshish karen, jahan hum ek option position dekh rahe hain.
EUR/USD currency pair ko dekhte hue, trading shuru karne se pehle D1 period chart ko consider karein. Pichle trading week mein price dheere dheere kam hoti rahi, lekin Friday ko subah price badhna shuru hui. US se aayi negative news, jaise non-agricultural employment rate aur unemployment rate badhne ki waja se, price sharply upward move hui. Ek powerful candle ne do hafton ki decline ko almost khatam kar diya. CCI indicator ne lower overheating zone se upar jane ka signal diya, jo bullish convergence ka indication hai. MACD indicator bhi upper purchase zone mein grow kar raha hai, jo upward momentum ko support karta hai. 1.0745 par ek support level hai aur ascending line bhi hai. H4 chart par rollback ke liye 1.0866 ek key level hai. Price ka chance hai ke aage bhi rise kare aur previous growth wave ke maximum 1.0934 tak pahunche. 1.0982 zone ke aas paas take profit orders place kar sakte hain. Morning market movements ke doran price correction ya consolidation ki wajah se niche ja sakti hai, pehle ke main trend resume ho. Price ke rollback aur mirror level formation ko closely monitor karein, aur long position enter karein jab resistance support mein convert ho jaye.

EURUSD ka analysis


Kal, Friday ko EurUsd market pair ka trading time window phir se buyers ne dominate kiya. Unhone trading ko support area 1.0785-1.0787 par maintain kiya jo ke price ko buyers ke control mein rakhta hai aur price ko kaafi upar le jata hai bullish pressure ke zariye.

Moving Average indicator ka use karte hue Daily time window par monitor kiya gaya toh yeh dekha ke price ya candle ko buyer ne wapas upar move karwaya, Yellow MA 200 area ke upar penetrate karte hue aur ek bohat solid bullish candlestick form hui. Yeh indicate karta hai ke EurUsd market pair wapas bullish trend mein aa gaya hai aur agla target strong seller supply resistance area 1.0938-1.0940 hai jo ke agle week ke trading mein hai.

Agle Monday ke trading mein bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye buyers ke liye zaroori hai ke woh aur zyada enter karen. Market close dekhte hue, sellers ne resistance area ko maintain kiya hai toh pehle bearish correction hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke price ko support area 1.0897-1.0895 ko test karne ka target karega. Agar yeh successfully penetrate ho gaya toh price aur bhi weak ho jayegi aur agla goal buyer demand support area 1.0875-1.0872 hoga.

Conclusion:

Buy trading options tab ki ja sakti hain agar price successfully seller's resistance area ko penetrate kar le. Is situation mein pending buy stop order area ko 1.0920-1.0925 par place karna chahiye aur TP area 1.0943-1.0945 par hona chahiye.

Sell trading options tab ki ja sakti hain agar price successfully buyer's support area ko penetrate kar le. Is situation mein pending sell stop order 1.0897-1.0895 par place karen aur TP area 1.0875-1.0872 par ho.

Winning Trades with EUR/USD Prices

Hamari guftagu ka markaz EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price action ka evaluation hai. 1.0851 tak ke potential decline se buyers ki upward momentum disrupt ho sakti hai, lekin main aise development par ziada focus karna pasand nahi karta. Ek chhota pullback maqbool hai, iske baad ek rise ho sakti hai, ya doosre scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Aane wale dino mein bullish trend continue hone ki umeed hai.

Pehle din ke liye trading ranges ye hain: 1.0776 se 1.0881 tak sell zone aur 1.0891 se 1.1006 tak buy zone. EUR/USD ke liye current technical pivot 1.0910 par hai. Aane wale trading week mein kisi significant news event ki umeed nahi hai. Lekin, kuch conflicts, jaise ke Iran ka Israel ke liye possible response, jo market dynamics ko impact kar sakti hain, par concerns hain. Aise geopolitical tensions ko peacefully resolve karna zaroori hai taake market instability se bacha ja sake.



Main aane wali trades ke liye do mukhya strategies ko consider kar raha hoon: 1.0951 tak pohonchne ke liye ek upward move aur 1.0891 ki taraf ek downward correction. Agar price 1.0901-06 ke upar hai, to speculators yeh range maintain karenge. Dusra scenario zyada seedha aur dilchasp hai: ek tez dip 1.0891 tak, jiske baad ek rebound aur 1.0951 se ek growth wave ka aghaaz. Price wahan se briefly dip kar sakti hai, lekin phir 1.1001 ki taraf upward continue karegi.

Selling positions ke hawale se, current levels se unhe initiate karna prudent nahi hai, kyun ke yeh risky lagti hain. Short-term selling 1.0951 ke qareeb hai. Halaanki, hamesha ehtiyat baratni chahiye, kyun ke expected bullish trajectory drustagi se badal sakti hai. Agar bulls momentum kho dete hain aur price 1.0891 se neeche girti hai, to last Friday ka upward movement ek false signal ho sakta hai, jo pair ko wapas bearish trend mein le ja sakta hai. Main 1.0891-1.0906 ki narrow range par focus karunga, jahan market ke agle moves ka taayun kiya jayega.