Nzd/usd

Chaaron ghante ka chart ek seedha tanzim channel dikhata hai, jo ek mazboot trend aur mazboot khareedar jazbat ki talash karta hai. Market maqam-e-mumalik ko peechay chhod kar 0.61172 ke channel ke upper boundary ki taraf mazid barh rahi hai. Main 0.60752 par khareed kar long position khulne ka irada kar raha hoon, jo ke channel ka neeche wala hadod hai aur ummed hai ke is se bars door rahenge. Jab maqsood mukammal ho jaye, to mazeed khareedariyon par dair se aage barhna behtar ho sakta hai, kyunke H4 time frame par rujhan aur palatne ki mumkin dobao ke samaan durbalta ho sakti hai. Is halat mein naye buy orders ke aqayid par rehna behtar ho sakta hai, jo ke behtareen nateeja nahi ho sakta. Ek zyada munafa bakhsh tareeqa ye hosakta hai ke minimum of the channel ki taraf islah ke liye intezar kia jaye aur phir ek uchit entry point ko pehchanne ke liye long position mein shamil ho jaye. Ye tajwez amlana imkanat ke karkardagi mein mukhtasir costs ko kaafi had tak kam kardega agar channel dwara paida signal jo tawaqqa kia gaya hai woh haqiqat mein nahi hoti.






Mazeed munafa hasil karna mera pehla uddeshya hai, lekin samajhna zaroori hai ke meri maqsad 0.61115 ke target ke neeche girne ke liye koi ishara bearish mor par ja sakti hai. Agar ye hota hai, to main tayar hoon ke apna strategy jald se jald tabdeel karloon taake market ke tawaqoati halat ke mutabiq sahulat hasil kar saku. Mera asli fikar ek moatabiq entry point dhoondne mein hota hai. Main seedha tanzim channel ki hadod ko kareebi tor par nazar andaz karta hoon kyunke ye kisi khiladi ke liye mumkin dobao par pabandiyo mein raushani deta hai. Ye meri madad karta hai hozoori idaraon par mawafiq faislay karne mein moassar hota hai. Main hoshiyar rehna pasand karta hoon, hamesha tayar rehta hoon apna mansoobah tabdeel karne ke liye agar market ke halat badal jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar 0.61115 level buls dwara toota jata hai, to ye market mein bullish jazbat ka ishara dene wakisis mein mujhe halat ko dobara ghoorna aur kisi bhi taayun win sab aikhtiyaraat ko mansookh karne ke liye aagah kar sakta hai. Main market ki tabdeeliyon ko qareeb se nazar andaz karunga aur dastoore data par mukamal tajziya ke moatabiq faislay karunga.

Jumeraat ko New Zealand ka dollar tezi se barha.

North American session mein, NZD/USD 0.6102 par trade ho raha hai, likhne ke waqt din mein 0.34% barh kar. Pehle, NZD/USD 0.90% tak barh gaya tha phir wapis aaya. U.S. mein naegha baar inflation 3.0% tak gir gaya. June mein U.S. inflation 3.0% y/y par pohanch gayi, 3.3% se gira hua tha May mein aur market ki 3.1% ki tajawiz se neeche.

Ye June 2023 se sab se kam inflation dar hai. Mahinay bhar ke aitbar se, CPI 0.1% se gir gaya, May mein se neeche aur, ahemiyat se, market ki tajawiz 0.1% hai, jo ke 0.1% March 2020 ke baad ka pehla mahinay bhar inflation parha. Core CPI itna dilchasp nahi tha lekin June mein bhi gir gaya.

Saal bhar ke aitbar se, core CPI 3.3% y/y par gira, May mein se 3.4% se neeche aur market ki 3.4% ki tajawiz se neeche. Mahinay bhar ke core CPI 0.2% se 0.1% par gir gaya, market ki 0.2% ki tajawiz se neeche. Surprise CPI giravat ne dollar ko mazeed major corporations ke khilaf kamzor kiya jab rate cut ke liye 86% September mein talba ke ubhaar gaye, jis se 69% ke muqablay mein, CME ke FedWatch ke mutabiq, Fed ne rate hikes par ikhtiyarana rujhan barqarar rakha, Powell ne rate cut ke waqtning ke mutaliq chup chap rakha.





Dekhte hain agar weak inflation news ke baad Fed thora sa dovish awaz mein ataa hai. New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank Wednesday ke meeting mein umeed se zyada dovish thi aur New Zealand dollar tezi se gir gaya. Market ko ye umeed nahi thi ke rate cut hoga jab tak saal ke end tak lekin central bank ke achanak palatne se rate cut ke umeed barh gayi, hosakta hai ke agle meeting 14 August se pehle.

New Zealand mein food prices June mein 0.3% saal bhar gir gaye, May mein 0.2% izafa ke baad. March 2018 se pehli baar food prices gir gae hain.

Maheena bhar ke aitbar se, food prices June mein 1% tak barh gaye, May mein 0.2% girao ke muqablay Aaj ke baad, New Zealand June ke Manufacturing PMI jaari karega. PMI ka imkan hai ke June mein 46.8 tak gir jaaye, May mein 47.2 se neeche. Ye index ka 15wa seedha giravat hoga, kyunke construction itna arsa se stagnate hai aur koi nishani nahi hai ke iska khatma hoga. NZD/USD Technology NZD/USD ne pehle 0.6095 aur 0.6125 ki resistance se guzr kar aage barha phir wapis aaya. Agla resistance line 0.6168 par hai 0.6052 aur 0.6022 support faraham karenge.

Technical Analysis of New Zealand dollar/US dollar

NZD 0.6082 range ke lower end tak gir gaya jab ke pichlay haftay 0.6126 ke upar break karne mein nakam raha. Magar, quotes yahan pe real support mili aur neeche nahi gayi. Iske bawajood, price signal zone ke upar stabilize nahi ho saka aur breakout se bas ek kadam door hai. Is waqt, price chart super-trending red zone mein move kar raha hai, jo sellers ke pressure ka ishara hai.

Aaj ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, price 50-day simple moving average ke neeche move kar raha hai aur bearish head and shoulders technical formation ke sath. Agle kuch ghanton mein humein bearish trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai, pehla target 0.6109 ka retest hoga, aur downside 0.5940 aur 0.6159 tak ja sakta hai, jo bearish pattern ke official targets hain. Dosri taraf, agar upside breakout aur consolidation 0.6089 ke upar hota hai, to temporary bearish scenario foran ruk jayega aur pair formally recover karega, isliye humein 0.6109 aur 0.6090 appropriate lagte hain. Chart dekhein:

Pair is waqt apne one-week low se thoda neeche trade kar raha hai. Key support area heavy pressure mein hai aur almost break ho gaya hai jab ke price reversal level ke neeche break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo high probability downward shift ka ishara hai. Isko confirm karne ke liye, price ko jaldi se 0.6082 level ke through break karna hoga, jo main resistance zone ki boundary ka kaam kar sakta hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent confident rebound decline continue karne ka mauka dega, target area 0.5995 aur 0.5921 ke beech hoga.



Agar price finally 0.6126 reversal level ko break kar leta hai, to current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milega.

NZD/USD H4 Chart

NZD/USD market ka rujhan sellers ki taraf hai, aur ye 0.6121 level tak pohanch gaya hai. Magar, main isay real movement nahi keh sakta. Mera khayal hai ke market organic tareeqay se sirf Washington session mein move karega. Us waqt, high-impact news events aayengi jo market trend ko badal sakti hain. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke humein NZD/USD market ke upward move hone ka sochna chahiye. Market 0.6145 level tak pohanch sakta hai, aur ye bullish concept aaj ke US session mein wazeh hoga. Humein aanay wali tabdiliyon ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Resistance levels ke kareeb, main trading setup ke formation ki umeed karunga jo trading ke further direction ko tay karega. Ek aur option hai ke zyada doori ka northern target, jo meri markings ke mutabiq 0.63694 par hai, ko achieve kiya jaye. Agar designated plan implement hota hai, to price ke doori ke northern target par move karte waqt, southern rollbacks ko allow kar sakta hoon, jinhein main bullish signals ko search karne ke liye use karunga, nearest support levels se, price movement ke upward resumption ke anticipation mein, as part of global bullish trend formation.

Alternative option ye hoga ke jab resistance level 0.61479 test hoga, to reversal candle ka formation aur price movement ka downward resumption hoga. Agar ye plan worked out hota hai, to main umeed karunga ke price support level par wapas aaye jo 0.60475 par hai. Is support level ke kareeb, main bullish signals ko search karna continue karunga price movement ke upward resumption ke anticipation mein. Ek aur option southern targets ka bhi hai, magar main abhi unhein consider nahi kar raha, kyun ke unki quick implementation ke prospects nahi dekh raha. Aam tor par, agar hum briefly baat karein, to aaj main yeh admit karta hoon ke price northern direction mein nearest resistance levels tak push hoti rahegi, aur phir market situation ke mutabiq action hoga.

Agar support 0.6125-0.6142 hold nahi karta, to currency pair lower target ki taraf move karega, jo zyada substantial bearish trend ka signal ho sakta hai. Ye scenario suggest karega ke bullish momentum weak ho gaya hai, aur bears market par control hasil kar rahe hain. NZD/USD pair ka behavior in ranges mein traders ke liye crucial hai. Yeh levels key technical points hain jo potential market movements ke insights de sakte hain. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur various technical indicators, including oscillators, ke signals ko consider karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein.




NZD/USD pair ek pivotal juncture par hai. Resistance 0.6130-0.6155 ek significant point mark karta hai jahan downward rebound expected hai. Critical support level 0.6125 aur 0.6143 ke beech hai, aur market ka reaction is level par aglay major move ko dictate karega. In levels ko monitor karna, saath technical indicators aur external market influences, traders ke liye essential hoga current market environment ko navigate karte waqt.

NZD/USD Market Forecast

Greetings and Good Morning Guys!

Friday ka din NZD/USD buyers ke liye bohot acha raha, kyun ke market price successfully 0.6120 zone tak pohanch gayi. US dollar bhi kamzor raha jab ke US PPI aur Consumer confidence ke positive data ke baad. Aaj ke NZD/USD market mein, buyers aur sellers dono ko evolving market dynamics mein mukhtalif opportunities mil rahi hain. In dono forces ka interplay current sentiment ko dictate karta hai, jahan filhal sellers ka raaj hai. Ye dominance khas taur par significant implications rakhti hai, jab ke market pivotal US trading zone mein enter ho rahi hai.

Agar sellers is critical period ke dauran control maintain karte hain, to unka influence effectively buyers ke value potential ko suppress kar sakta hai immediate term mein. Dosri taraf, buyers apni opportunities constrained pa sakte hain is seller-oriented environment mein, jis se market participation mein ehtiyaat zaroori ho jata hai.

Fundamental analysis aur authoritative sources, jese ke US government se aanay wale naye data, NZD/USD market ke trajectory ko shape karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Ye insights essential context provide karte hain, jo investor sentiment ko influence karte hain aur evolving market conditions ke response mein strategic decisions ko guide karte hain. Aisi data-driven analysis aksar current tilt towards sellers ko reinforce karti hai, aur agle kuch ghanton mein unka market impact amplify ho sakta hai.

Jab traders in dynamics ko navigate karte hain, to ek proactive trading stance adopt karna imperative ho jata hai, jo current market sentiment aur latest updates se informed ho. Ye approach strategies ko dynamically adjust karne ki readiness ensure karta hai in response to shifting market sentiment aur emerging developments.



Overall, aaj ke NZD/USD market scenario distinctively sellers ke favor mein hai, jo ke potential downward movement ka signal deta hai jo ke agle trading sessions mein sellers ko critical support zones breach karne de sakta hai. Upcoming news events ke liye vigilance paramount hai, kyun ke ye catalysts rapidly market conditions ko reshape kar sakte hain aur prudent account management strategies ki zaroorat bana sakte hain.

Dekhain ke NZD/USD market mein agle kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai. Stay blessed and Stay Safe!

Abhi ke liye, NZD/USD pair 0.6110 mark ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke recent trading sessions mein ek persistent bearish trend ko reflect karta hai. Ye trend is baat ka ishara hai ke New Zealand dollar ne US dollar ke muqablay mein value khoi hai. Is depreciation ke peeche kuch key factors hain, jinmein interest rate differentials, economic indicators, aur geopolitical influences shamil hain.

Interest rate differentials currency pair movements mein crucial role play karte hain. US Federal Reserve ne Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke muqablay mein zyada hawkish stance maintain kiya hai. US mein higher interest rates investors ko better returns ki talash mein attract karte hain, jis se US dollar ki demand barh jati hai aur New Zealand dollar ki demand kam ho jati hai. Ye monetary policy ka divergence NZD ki weakness ka significant driver hai.

Economic indicators bhi ek mulk ki economy ki health ka insight dete hain aur currency valuations ko influence karte hain. Recent economic data New Zealand se shayad US ke muqablay mein kam optimistic picture paint kar rahe hain. For instance, lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, ya weaker retail sales New Zealand mein confidence undermine kar sakti hain NZD mein. Dosri taraf, stronger economic performance US mein, jese ke robust job growth aur solid consumer spending, US dollar ki appeal enhance karte hain.

Geopolitical factors picture ko aur complicate karte hain. Global uncertainties, jese ke trade tensions, political instability, aur pandemic-related disruptions, investors ko safe-haven currencies jese ke US dollar ki taraf le ja sakti hain. New Zealand, ek chhoti economy hone ke nate aur significant trade exposure ke sath, in global risks ke liye zyada vulnerable hai. Koi bhi adverse geopolitical developments NZD par additional downward pressure dal sakti hain.

NZD/USD chart ka technical analysis bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Pair ka 0.6110 level ke aas paas trade karna yeh dikhata hai ke yeh key support levels ke kareeb hover kar raha hai. Agar yeh support breach hota hai, to yeh aur declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ke upar hold karne mein kamyab hota hai, to yeh short-term rebound dekh sakta hai. Lekin, overall trend bearish hi rahega jab tak fundamental ya technical landscape mein significant positive changes nahi aati.



Conclusion mein, NZD/USD pair ka current trading 0.6110 mark ke aas paas ek bearish trend ko underscore karta hai jo ke interest rate differentials, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ke combination se driven hai. New Zealand dollar ki persistent weakness US dollar ke muqablay mein broader market dynamics ko highlight karti hai jo latter ko favor karte hain. Jab tak underlying economic ya geopolitical environment mein substantial shifts nahi aati, overall bearish sentiment likely hai ke persist karega. Market participants ko in factors ko closely monitor karte rehna chahiye taake trend mein potential changes anticipate kar sakein.

NZD/USD/H1/0.6139

Hello all, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) significant selling pressure face kar raha hai against US Dollar (USD), aur NZD/USD pair apni key 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar stay karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Ye crucial support level is hafte chaar martaba reject ho chuka hai, jis ne pair ko 0.6122 tak push kar diya hai. Recovery ke attempts ke bawajood, technical indicators ek bearish outlook suggest karte hain jo aur declines ka lead de sakte hain.

Daily chart pe Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek key indicator hai market momentum ka. Abhi 49 par, neutral zone se thoda neeche, RSI is hafte ke shuru mein 51 se dip hua hai, jo buying power mein potential weakening ka ishara deta hai. Abhi oversold nahi hua, ye downtrend market sentiment mein shift ko suggest karta hai. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) rising red bars show kar raha hai, jo selling activity mein increase ko confirm karta hai.

NZD ke downward movement ko influence karne wale primary factors mein se ek US dollar ka strengthen hona hai. US dollar ne doosri major currencies ke against ground gain kiya hai, various economic factors ki wajah se. In factors mein shamil hain positive economic data from United States, jaise strong employment numbers aur robust GDP growth, jo investor confidence ko enhance karte hain US economy mein. Iske ilawa, higher interest rates ke anticipation jo Federal Reserve set karega, investors ko better returns ki talash mein attract kar sakta hai, jis se USD ki demand barhti hai.



New Zealand dollar aur US dollar ke interplay ko broader market sentiments aur geopolitical developments bhi influence kar sakti hain. For instance, trade tensions between major economies, commodity prices mein shifts, aur global economic performance sab investor behavior aur currency valuations ko impact kar sakti hain. Recent times mein, global economic recovery post-pandemic aur fluctuating commodity prices ki uncertainty ne currency markets mein cautious approach ko contribute kiya hai.

NZD/USD/H1/0.6139

Trading options agar hum trend direction ka reference lein, jo abhi bhi bearish condition mein hai halaan ke yeh weaken ho raha hai, aur lower low - lower high price pattern ke structure ke sath. Aapko SELL moment ka intezar karna chahiye aur entry position SBR area 0.6104 se SMA 200 ke aas paas place karni chahiye. Confirmation jab Stochastic indicator parameters overbought zone mein crossing show karein. Jab ke uptrend momentum of AO indicator kum az kum red histogram volume level 0 ke kareeb kar sakti hai. Take profit ka placement support 0.6054 ke aas paas aur resistance 0.6139 stop loss ke place ke tor par rakhein.

NZD/USD currency pair ne Friday ko four-hour chart par Bollinger bands ki upper half tak pohanch gaya, aur agar daily period mein dekha jaye, to wahi halat hai. Lekin growth kamzor hai, aur overall situation flat lag rahi hai. Shayad yahaan ek converging triangle bhi ho sakta hai; Monday ko dekhte hain. Price uncertainty figure, ek narrowing triangle, ke saath narrowed hai. Agar triangle se exit upwards hota hai aur is haftay ka maximum cross karta hai, to teesri wave presumably upar jayegi. Abhi tak sirf RSI upar dekh raha hai; stochastic down point kar raha hai, jo ek contradictory situation hai. General mein, agar hum Monday ko further up jate hain, to upper Bollinger band, jo abhi 0.6143 par hai, aur neeche 0.6130 par, possible upper limit hai triangle ka. Wahan, dekhna hoga ke price upar ja sakta hai ya phir se ek line se neeche turn karega. Is haftay, news mein yeh aaya ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand ne interest rate ko previous level 5.5 percent par unchanged chhoda hai.




Agar Monday ko hum neeche turn karte hain aur price phir se three averages ke neeche chala jata hai (yeh area 0.6105–0.6101 ka hai), to hum lower Bollinger band tak ja sakte hain, jo 0.6067 par hai, aur wahan se price bounce up bhi kar sakta hai. Kal, upar move karte hue, price descending channel se upar nikal gaya, aur pair ne grow karna continue rakha. Uske baad, maine ek ascending channel build kiya aur expect kiya ke pair upper border of this channel tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin pair upper target tak nahi pohanch saka, to Monday se mujhe umeed hai ke pair upar move continue karega aur price ascending channel ke upper border tak pohanch jayegi; yeh level 0.6144 ka hai. Jab yeh level top pe pohanch jayega, pair ka growth ruk sakta hai aur price neeche move karna shuru karegi, aur neeche ka target ascending channel ka lower border ho sakta hai; yeh level 0.6091 ka hai. Best entry point tab hoga jab horizontal level 0.6084 break hone ke baad ek test hoga. Abhi kisi aur option ko nahi dekh raha. Abhi entry na karna behtar hai taake guess na karna pare; aapko increased probability chahiye right direction mein entry ke liye.

NZD/USD H-4 Time Frame Chart

H4 Period Chart - NZDUSD Currency Pair. Abhi is currency pair ke sath kuch nahi karna kyunki yeh bas squeeze ho rahi hai. Waves se koi clear direction nahi mil rahi. Signals bhi idhar-udhar bounce kar rahe hain aur iss stage par yeh kuch khas nahi kar rahe. Uncertainty figure mein value narrow hai - ek narrow triangle. Agar triangle se ek upward breakout hota hai aur is hafte ke high se breakout hota hai, to teesri wave follow karne ke chances hain. Aap target Fibonacci grid first wave par place kar sakte hain aur target dekh sakte hain - level 161.8. Yeh usual technical resistance level ke aas paas 0.6215 coincide karta hai. Best entry point breakout ke baad horizontal level 0.6122 ka test hoga. Agar triangle break hota hai, matlab teesri wave bottom is hafte ke low se neeche jaane ke chances hain. Aap target Fibonacci grid first wave par place kar sakte hain aur target dekh sakte hain - level 161.8. Best entry point test horizontal level 0.6084 break hone ke baad hoga. Abhi mujhe yahan koi aur option nazar nahi aa raha. Abhi entry na karna behtar hai taake guess na karna pare. Aapko right direction mein jaane ke chances increase karne ki zaroorat hai. Agar abhi kuch karna hai, to kisi aur pair ko dekhna behtar hoga. Misal ke taur par, pound dollar ne bohot upar climb kar liya hai aur lagta hai ke woh neeche correct karna chahta hai, wahan enter karna behtar hai bajaye yahan guess karne ke. Is haftay yeh news aayi ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand ka interest rate decision unchanged raha apne previous level 5.5% par. Yeh downside hai, jo American power ke favor mein hai. Agar rate often change nahi hota, to yeh US dollar ko favor karta hai. Dekhte hain ke downward exit from the triangle is theory ko confirm karta hai ya nahi.

NZD/USD pe kal, jab formed gap close hua aur local resistance level ko neeche se upar test kiya gaya, jo meri markup mein 0.61479 pe hai, price reverse hui aur confidently south push ki, jisse ek clear bearish reversal candle bana. Iss current scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe poori umeed hai ke aaj ka southern movement continue ho sakta hai, aur iss case mein, main support level ko target kar raha hoon, jo meri markup ke mutabiq 0.60475 pe hai. Iss support level ke qareeb do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario involve karta hai ek reversal candle ka formation aur upward price movement ka resumption. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ko resistance level 0.61479 pe return hone ka wait karunga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close kar jaayegi, to mujhe further northward movement ki umeed hai, jo resistance level 0.62152 tak ja sakta hai. Iss resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ka formation ka wait karunga taake next trading direction determine ki ja sake.

Mujhe yeh bhi ahsaas hai ke price further north push ho sakti hai resistance level 0.62779 tak, lekin yeh situation pe depend karega aur kaise price react karti hai designated higher northern targets pe. Ek alternative scenario price movement ke liye jab support level 0.60475 ke qareeb aata hai, yeh plan hoga ke price ko is level ke neeche consolidate karna aur further southward movement karna. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price move kare support level 0.59940 ya support level 0.59810 tak. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals search karunga recovery aur upward price movement ke anticipation mein.

General mein, agar baat ko briefly kaha jaye, to aaj mujhe poori umeed hai ke price southward drive hogi nearest support level tak, aur phir main trading situation ko assess karunga aur accordingly act karunga.



Technical front pe, NZD/USD pair ne key moving averages ke upar close kiya hai, jo momentum shift ki potential signify karta hai. Additionaly, technical indicators jaise ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) increasing buying pressure aur weakening downtrend hint kar rahe hain. Future ko dekhte hue, resistance NZD/USD ke liye 0.6150-0.6170 zone mein hai, aur ek further hurdle 0.6200 pe hai. Agar yeh levels decisively break hote hain, to yeh recent bearish trend ka complete reversal signal kar sakte hain aur pair ko bullish territory mein propel kar sakte hain. Downside pe, immediate support 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) pe currently around 0.6120 hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to crucial support zone 0.6070 pe expose ho sakta hai. Agar sellers price ko neeche push karne mein successful hote hain, to yeh selling pressure ka resurgence aur deeper correction ki possibility indicate karega. Fibonacci retracement levels bhi potential support zones offer karte hain. 38.2% retracement level 0.6048 pe baithe hain, jabke lower 23.6% level 0.5972 pe rest karta hai. Agar yeh support areas break hote hain, to 2024 ke lows 0.5851 ka test ho sakta hai.

NZD/USD

Forum Time™ H4

Good day sab ke liye! Aao 4-hour chart pe nazar dalte hain. Yeh ek linear regression channel dikhata hai, jo buyers ki strength aur upward trend indicate karta hai. Market channel ki upper border 0.61172 ki taraf ja raha hai. Position open karne ke liye, main 0.60752 se buying ka soch raha hoon - yeh channel ki lower limit hai, jo bears ko roknay wali hai. Jab target reach ho jaye, to buy karne se rukna chahiye, kyun ke H4 frame pe movement ki volatility aur reverse downward movement khatam ho jati hai. Iss case mein, purchases pe up to date rehna mumkin hai, jo sad hai. Sabse profitable option yeh hoga ke channel ke minimum tak correction ka wait karo, aur phir market mein entry point dhoondho buying ke liye. Yeh costs significantly reduce kar dega agar channel se received signal kaam na kare.



Four-hourly chart pe, main notice karta hoon ke abhi ek strong downward trend hai. Main wait karna chahta hoon jab tak channel ki upper limit 0.61115 pe reach ho jaye, taake main 0.60505 ke level tak sell kar sakoon, kyun ke yeh mujhe maximum profit kamane dega. Lekin mujhe yeh bhi pata hai ke agar yeh target se neeche girta hai, to yeh further bearish activity ka signal ho sakta hai. Iss case mein, main tayar hoon apna plan quickly change karne ke liye, market situation ke mutabiq adapt karne ke liye. Mera main goal ek achha entry point paana hai market mein. Mujhe linear regression channels ke edges ka bohot khayal hai, kyun ke yeh given player ke potential volatility constraints dikhate hain. Yeh mujhe current situation ka analysis karke decisions lene mein madad karte hain. Main hamesha apna plan change karne ke liye tayar hoon agar market situation badalti hai. Misal ke taur pe, agar level 0.61115 bulls ke through break hota hai, to yeh market mein bullish interest ka sign ho sakta hai, jo situation ka re-evaluation aur sales ko cancel karne ka zaroori kar sakta hai. Main market mein changes ko closely monitor karunga aur data received ka analysis karke decisions lunga.

NZD/USD ki Latest Price Movements

Weekly trading session khatam ho chuki hai, aur agar NZD/USD pair ke chart par dekha jaye, to yeh clear hai ke hum uncertainty ki state mein hain. Price action ek clear range mein confined hai, jo candlesticks ke bodies se highlight hoti hai. Hum essentially 0.61 level ke ird gird bounce ho rahe hain. Yeh sab Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki meeting ke baad shuru hua, jo investors ko disappoint kar gayi. Kiwi dollar (NZD) neeche 0.6065 tak chala gaya, lekin yeh level hold nahi kar saka. Phir, United States mein inflation data expect se kam aayi, jo US dollar (USD) par pressure daala.
Is wajah se NZD/USD pair upar chali gayi, aur RBNZ meeting ke sab losses erase kar diye. Lekin, kal ka din kaafi volatile tha. Pair mein ek decent pullback dekha gaya, jo main miss kar gaya, aur price 0.6075 se neeche gir gayi. Magar phir, US se positive Producer Price Index (PPI) data aayi. Iske bawajood, USD kamzor hota raha, aur NZD/USD pair ne din 0.61 ke upar end kiya. To, jabke range clear hai, main personally upside ki taraf biased hoon. Agar price wapas 0.6070 area tak dip hoti hai, to main wahan se buy karne ka soch sakta hoon. Yeh bhi worth noting hai ke price consistently higher close hoti rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke buying on dips ka potential bias hai. Filhal, main is pair se door ho raha hoon aur apni existing positions close kar di hain. Humein closely dekhna hoga ke yeh instrument agle dinon mein kaise behave karta hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke US economic calendar hamesha high-impact news releases se packed hota hai (jo aksar "three-star" events kehlate hain), jo USD ko significantly impact kar sakti hain. Doosri taraf, New Zealand mukable mein bahut kam economic data release karta hai

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NZD/USD H-1

USDJPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen). Jab hum H1 timeframe par currency pair/instrument ke current chart ko dekhte hain, to humein bearish trades ke liye market mein ek faavorable situation nazar aati hai. Achay munafa ke liye position khulne ke liye kai zaroori shuruati shartein puri honi chahiye. Sab se pehle, market sentiment ke ghalat prediction se nuqsan hone se bachne ke liye H4 timeframe par trend ko sahi tareeqe se determine karna bohat zaroori hai. Isliye, chalo instrument ka chart 4-hour timeframe par dekhte hain aur fundamental condition - trend movement on H1 and H4 timeframes - ko check karte hain. Pehli rule ki fulfill hone ke baad, hum dekhte hain ke aaj ka market humein short trades ke liye ek excellent opportunity provide kar raha hai. Mazeed analysis mein, hum teen working indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - ke signals par tawajjo denge. Hum intezaar karenge jab tak Hama aur RSI indicators red na ho jayein, jo ke market mein is waqt sellers ki dominance ka main confirmation hoga. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum market mein enter karte hain aur ek sell trade open karte hain. Hum exit point ko Magnetic Levels indicator ke basis par choose karenge. Aaj, signal processing ke liye sab se zyada mumkin level yeh hai - 156.023. Agla step yeh hoga ke hum chart par price behavior ko monitor karenge jab tak selected magnetic level ke qareeb aata hai, aur phir decide karenge ke agla kya karna hai - kya market mein position ko next magnetic level tak chor dein, ya pehle se hasil shuda profit ko lock kar lein. Potential gains ko mazeed barhane ke liye, aap ek trawling net bhi connect kar sakte hain.

NZDUSD pair kee keemat ki harkat jo pichle hafte bhi kamzor rahi, mukhtasar tor par abhi bhi ek lower low - lower high pattern ka juzur hai. Lekin, yahan ek oonchi rally hai jo takreeban SBR 0.6104 area tak pohanchti hai jaise ke resistance. Agar keemat ke trend mein upar ki taraf jaari rahe, to SBR area ko guzarne par structure break ho jayega. 0.6105 ki bulandiyan hain jo lower low - lower high pattern ke liye invalidation level hain, is liye jab yeh paar kar liya jaye ga to yeh agle keemat ke pattern ya trend direction mein tabdeel hone ki ibtida ki tarjih dega. Haqeeqatan, maujooda trend direction bearish hai lekin yeh kamzor ho raha hai kyun ke keemat EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan harkat kar rahi hai. Is se yeh bhi zahir ho sakta hai keh dono Moving Average lines aapas mein guzar kar golden cross signal paida karne ke liye tayyar ho sakte hain. Agar keemat jo upar jane ki koshish karti hai wahan SBR 0.6104 area ke aas paas jhooti break ya inkar ka samna kare, to keemat EMA 50 se peechay bhi gir sakti hai. Keemat EMA 50 ke neechay hone par 0.6054 tak support test kar sakti hai kyun ke lower low - lower high pattern structure ke baad naye lower low ka aana yaqeenan jari rahega. Sirf Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator dikhata hai ke upar ki taraf ki momentum mein saucer signal nazar aa raha hai jo ek continuity signal hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ko guzar kar overbought zone tak pohnchne ki taraf 90 - 80 hai, NZDUSD pair ki keemat ke rally ko support karne ki taraf tend karte hain. Maslan, agar rally isi tarah jaari rahe aur SMA 200 ke upar band keematien hoon, to 0.6168 ke resistance ko test karne ka moqa ho sakta hai.



Meri rai mein, market trend ke liye, NZDUSD ko bearish safar par jaari rakhne ki mumkinat hai. Bearish safar ko mazeed dekhne ke baad yeh maloom hota hai ke pichle hafte ke trading daur mein yeh abhi bhi ahmiyat rakhta hai, yani ke mahine ke time frame par trend ki tarah ek bearish candlestick bana hai, jo batata hai ke kharidaron ke muqablay mein farokht karne walon ki taqat zyada hai. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 ne zone 20 ko chhune ke liye gir gaya hai, jis se seller control zahir hota hai. Is haftay mein mumkin hai ke sellers ab bhi keemat ko neechay le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain, chotay time frames jaise ke 4 ghante ke chart ke zariye, jahan par keemat ne 0.6147 zone ke neeche girne ki koshish ki hai. Subah se hi kharidaron ki taraf se keemat mein izafa karne ki koshish nazar aa rahi hai, jo candlestick ke roop mein dheere dheere 0.6117 area ki taraf ja rahi hai. NzdUsd pair ke liye market ki halaat pichle haftay ke trading daur mein bearish hawale se band hui hain.

Technical Analysis of New Zealand dollar/US dollar

NZD 0.6082 range ke lower end tak gir gaya jab ke pichlay haftay 0.6126 ke upar break karne mein nakam raha. Magar, quotes yahan pe real support mili aur neeche nahi gayi. Iske bawajood, price signal zone ke upar stabilize nahi ho saka aur breakout se bas ek kadam door hai. Is waqt, price chart super-trending red zone mein move kar raha hai, jo sellers ke pressure ka ishara hai.

Aaj ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, price 50-day simple moving average ke neeche move kar raha hai aur bearish head and shoulders technical formation ke sath. Agle kuch ghanton mein humein bearish trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai, pehla target 0.6109 ka retest hoga, aur downside 0.5940 aur 0.6159 tak ja sakta hai, jo bearish pattern ke official targets hain. Dosri taraf, agar upside breakout aur consolidation 0.6089 ke upar hota hai, to temporary bearish scenario foran ruk jayega aur pair formally recover karega, isliye humein 0.6109 aur 0.6090 appropriate lagte hain. Chart dekhein:

Pair is waqt apne one-week low se thoda neeche trade kar raha hai. Key support area heavy pressure mein hai aur almost break ho gaya hai jab ke price reversal level ke neeche break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo high probability downward shift ka ishara hai. Isko confirm karne ke liye, price ko jaldi se 0.6082 level ke through break karna hoga, jo main resistance zone ki boundary ka kaam kar sakta hai. Is level ka retest aur subsequent confident rebound decline continue karne ka mauka dega, target area 0.5995 aur 0.5921 ke beech hoga.

Agar price finally 0.6126 reversal level ko break kar leta hai, to current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milega.