aud/usd

Market Analysis for AUDUSD Currency Pair
Jumeraat ko (11 July) Australian dollar ne ehtiyaat se US dollar ke muqable mein izafa jaari rakha, aur 0.2% oopar band hua 0.6759 par, jabke highest intraday 0.6798 tak pohchi. June mein US CPI unexpected tor par giri, jis se US dollar kamzor hua aur Australian dollar/US dollar ko boost mila.

US ke two- to 10-year yield mid-March se lowest level par gir gayi. Market expect kar rahi hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates 25 basis points se cut karegi aur 2024 mein 61 basis points se. Magar, yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia August 2025 tak interest rates cut nahi karegi. Reserve Bank of Australia aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan interest rate expectations ka farq Australian dollar ko support kar raha hai.



Technical Analysis

Daily chart par, Australian dollar/US dollar Bollinger Band channel ke upper track ke sath sath rise karta ja raha hai. Technical indicators flat hain, lekin overall upward swing ko maintain karte hue bullish momentum ko indicate kar rahe hain. Filhal strong resistance 0.68 level par hai. Agar yeh break ho jata hai, to pehla target December pichle saal ka high 0.6871 hoga. Support area 0.6750 aur 0.6740 ke darmiyan kaafi dense hai. Maujooda technical indicators aur 0.6765 ke recent breakout ko dekhte hue, AUD/USD pair ka bullish trend jaari rehne ki umeed hai. Immediate target agle significant resistance level ke qareeb, 0.6830 par hosakta hai.

Magar traders ko potential pullbacks ya consolidations se ehtiyaat karni chahiye, khaaskar jab RSI overbought levels ke kareeb ho.

Main USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time keemat ke aqsaam ko jaaiz karunga. Aaj USD/JPY mein tezi se neeche ki taraf dabao mehsoos hua, jab ke 158.89 ke support level ko tor diya gaya, lekin jodi jaldi se bahal ho gayi. Ab keemat 159.76 ke resistance level ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh level par qaim rahe, to upar ki taraf raftar jari rahegi. Magar kuch signals ishaara karte hain ke is level ke neeche potential bechnay ka daakhilay ka point hai, jo momentum ko bearish aur yen ko neeche ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Daily chart par, ek dilchaspi angrezi pattern saamne aa rahi hai, jahan lambi dum neeche ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai, jo aik muntazir palat ke liye ishaara hai. Humain tasdeeqi signals ka intezaar karna hoga amal karne ke liye.


Pichle haftay mein, USD/JPY hourly chart par mustawar keemat mein izafa dikha raha tha, rozana ke naye urooj ke saath aur kisi numaya dastawez ke baghair. Jodi ne 158.304 ke resistance ko tor diya, jo 160.485 ke resistance ke taraf buy signal paida kiya. Yeh signal aaj tasdeeq hua, jahan ek chota sa dohran ke baad mustaqil izafa jari raha. Kal ke liye, bullish target 161.418 hai, agar 160.485 ke resistance ke saath mukhalif ho sakta hai. Muharrik target 156.253 support hai agar 158.334 ke support level mumkin hai.

Market data ke mutabiq keemat wohi jagah par hai jahan honi chahiye. Mojooda upar ki raftar jaari hai, aik mustaqil taqseem ke saath. Meri tabdili ki tashkeel ke mutabiq keemat 159.101 tak barh sakti hai phir iske sathari ki taraf jaari rahegi. Agla target nazar ata hai 160.101 ke resistance level par. RSI indicator is tashkeel ke saath milta julta hai, jo keemat ke upar ki raftar par koi qareebi rukawat na hone ki taraf ishara karta hai USD/JPY trading pair par.

Australian currency abhi $0.6655 ke aas paas mojood hai, jo ke foreign exchange market mein ek neutral trend ko darshaata hai. Yeh rozana ke charts par wazeh hai, jahan AUD/USD pair ek rectangular pattern ke andar phansa hua hai, jo ke consolidation ko zahir karta hai aur koi saaf raasta nahi dikhata. Analysts 14-day Relative Strength Index ko clues ke liye tafteesh kar rahe hain. Is technical indicator ka haal abhi 50 hai, jo ke ek neutral market ko darshata hai. Is level ke upar ya neeche ek decisive move AUD/USD ke raaste ka zyada wazeh tasawwur faraham kar sakta hai. AUD/USD do ahem levels par support pa sakta hai. Pehla level hai 50-day exponential moving average jo ke abhi $0.6612 par hai, jo ek floor price ka kaam karta hai jahan pehle dips ko buyers ne samne liya hai. Dusra support level $0.6585 par hai, jo ke pehle zikr ki gayi rectangle formation ke nichle hadood ko nishan deta hai. Is level ke neeche girne se AUD ke liye mazeed girawat ki alamat ho sakti hai. Ulta, AUD ki upar ki taraf chadhne ki koshish mein resistance bhi ho sakti hai. Pehla rukawat $0.6700 par rectangle ke upper boundary mein hai. Is level ke sust hone se ek bullish trend ki alamat ho sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, $0.6630 par bhi ek resistance level hai.



Aaj ke duo ke liye mahatvapurn samachar ki rihaai par nazar daal lete hain. United States se kai ahem khabron ka izhar hua hai, jiska haqeeqat neutral hai. Mujhe 0.6755 ke resistance level ki umeed hai. Support level 0.6740 par sale karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is tarah, mera tawajjo Northern Movement par hai, lekin Side View Movement ke saath. Yeh mera aaj ka business plan hai. Sabko kamyabi ki duaen.

USD/JPY aur AUD/USD currency pairs ki analysis par mabni, chaliye hum current market dynamics aur projections ko samajhte hain.
USD/JPY se shuru karte hain, recent movements ek volatile magar potentially bullish trend ko zahir karte hain. Yeh pair 158.89 ke support level ke neeche ek tezi se decline hua, lekin foran se recover karte hue ab 159.76 ke resistance ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh is level ke upar sustain karta hai to yeh continued upward momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Magar, ehtiyaat se kaam lene wale traders 159.76 ke neeche ke sell opportunities ko dekh rahe hain, jo momentum ko wapas bears ki taraf shift kar sakti hain. Daily chart par, ek notable pattern ke saath downward pointing long tail potential reversal ko suggest karta hai, magar yeh pending confirmation signals ke saath hai.

Doosri taraf, AUD/USD pair $0.6655 ke aas paas ek neutral trend ko zahir kar raha hai, jo ke daily charts par apni consolidation ek rectangular pattern ke andar dikhata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 par yeh neutral stance ko support karta hai, aur ek decisive move ka intezar kar raha hai taake direction wazeh ho. Key support levels $0.6612 (50-day exponential moving average) aur $0.6585 (rectangle ka lower boundary) par identify kiye gaye hain. Agar yeh $0.6585 ke neeche break karta hai to yeh mazeed downside potential ko indicate kar sakta hai, jabke resistance $0.6700 ke upar honay se bullish trend zahir hota hai.




Dono currency pairs ke liye strategic trading ka matlab critical support aur resistance levels ke sath moving averages (MAs) ko monitor karna hai. USD/JPY mein, 159.76 ke resistance aur is point ke neeche potential sell-offs par tawajjo dena zaroori hai. Doosri taraf, AUD/USD traders ko $0.6700 ke upar ya $0.6585 ke neeche breaks dekhna chahiye taake directional bias ko gauge kar saken.

Summary mein, jabke USD/JPY potential bullish continuation ke signs dikhata hai, ehtiyaat ke sath resistance levels ko dekhna zaroori hai, AUD/USD abhi bhi neutral hai aur key support aur resistance boundaries par focus hai. Traders ko confirmation signals ka intezar karna chahiye, khaaskar USD/JPY ke daily chart par, taake reversal patterns ko validate kar saken aur apni trading strategies ko adjust kar saken optimal outcomes ke liye current market environment mein.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ek chay maah ki bulandi par pohanch gaya hai, jo ke kamzor hoti hui US Dollar se madad hasil kar raha hai. US Dollar ke girawat ka sabab June ke liye softer-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data hai, jisne Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein possible interest rate cut ka speculation barhaya hai. Jab tak market participants Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index jaise ahem economic indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US economy ke baare mein mazeed insights hasil kar saken, Australian Dollar ki trajectory bhi China ki economic performance se mutasir ho rahi hai. Australia ka bara trading partner hone ke nate, China ka robust trade surplus of US$99.05 billion in June uski economic vitality ko highlight karta hai, jo AUD ke liye positive implications rakhta hai.
Domestic tor par, Australia ko persistent high inflation ka samna hai, jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko ek hawkish monetary policy stance ikhtiyar karne par majboor karta hai. Yeh divergence US mein possible easing cycle se AUD ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Technical analysis bhi bullish outlook ko support karta hai, jahan AUD/USD pair ek ascending channel mein consolidate ho raha hai aur 14-day Relative Strength Index upward momentum ko signal karta hai.




AUD/USD pair 0.6790 ke upper channel boundary aur psychological 0.6800 level ko challenge karne ke liye taiyar hai. Magar, potential support 50-day Exponential Moving Average ke kareeb 0.6698 aur lower channel boundary par 0.6680 ke aas paas mojood hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to yeh 0.6590 ki taraf ek correction trigger kar sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, AUD ki qismat in factors ke naazuk balance par mabni hai: US Dollar ka trajectory, Chinese economy ka evolution, aur RBA ki monetary policy decisions jo domestic inflationary pressures ka jawab dene ke liye uthaye jaate hain.

AUD/USD Price Moves Ki Tajziya
Hamara tajziya AUD/USD currency pair ke maujooda pricing behavior par roshni dalta hai. H1 chart par, Australian dollar ke buyers 0.6584 ke low se price ko upward push karte hue nazar aate hain. AUD/USD ka agla ahem support level 0.6741 par hai, aur ek initial impulse zone 0.6734 par mojood hai. Agar bulls quotes ko in levels ke upar maintain kar sakte hain, to upward movement agle zone 0.6779 tak extend ho sakta hai, magar is level se potential declines bhi mumkin hain.

Lekin agar buyers 0.6741/0.6734 support zone ke upar price ko hold karne mein nakam rehte hain aur bears niche consolidate karte hain, to upward momentum kamzor parh sakta hai. Is scenario mein, hum expect kar sakte hain ke AUD/USD price lower boundary of the ascending fan aur last upward move ke starting point 0.6679 tak decline kar jaye.

Market ka direction Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke speech par bhi khaasa mabni hai jo aaj raat hone wala hai. Powell ke comments future monetary policy ke hawale se crucial insights faraham kar sakte hain, khaaskar interest rate changes ke silsile mein. Unka stance on inflation aur economic growth ko closely dekha jayega, kyun ke agar koi indication continued ya increased hawkishness ka milta hai, to US dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo AUD/USD par downward pressure dal sakta hai.



Given the low probability of a drop in the market price, investors likely ek ehtiyaati nazariya rakhenge. Recent upward movement ek strong bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai, magar yeh jaldi se tabdeel ho sakta hai agar Powell ka speech expected se zyada aggressive monetary tightening stance signal kare.

Akhir mein, AUD/USD pair is waqt ek bullish trend ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke key levels 0.6741 aur 0.6734 par support karta hai. Agar yeh levels hold karte hain, to agle gains towards 0.6779 mumkin hain. Lekin agar support fail hota hai, to 0.6679 ki taraf ek decline expected ho sakta hai. Powell ka upcoming speech pair ke near-term direction ko determine karne mein pivotal hoga, jab market participants unke remarks ko future US monetary policy guidance ke liye keenly interpret karenge.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ki Pricing
AUD/USD currency pair ne trading week ko ek growth trajectory par khatam kiya, aur daily chart par 0.6701 area ka significant breakout dekha gaya. Moving averages ek bullish trend ko darshati hain, jahan prices signal lines ke darmiyan ke area se break karte hue nazar aati hain, jo buyers ki taraf se pressure aur continued growth ka potential dikhati hain. Trading week ke akhir mein, AUD/USD ka exchange rate 0.6751 par tha. Agle hafte mein, ek decline aur 0.6701 ke near support area ka test expected hai. Iske baad, price rebound karne aur apni upward trajectory ko continue karne ki umeed hai, jo 0.6811 ke level ke upar move kar sakti hai.

Technical standpoint se dekha jaye to, AUD/USD daily chart par strong nazar aata hai. Price apne average dynamic support aur trend line ke upar position mein hai, jo ek confident upward movement ko zahir karta hai. Oscillators bhi is direction ke sath aligned hain. Monthly channel oscillator oversold zone se extended period tak ascend hota raha hai aur ab zero line ko surpass kar chuka hai. Histogram bhi steadily increase ho raha hai, aur koi diminishing values ke signs nahi hain.

Dusri taraf, linear junior oscillator oversold zone mein dip hua tha aur opposite end tak pohch gaya lekin koi reversal signs nahi dikhaye. Yeh indicate karta hai ke upward movement ka potential abhi bhi mojood hai. Nearest target supply zone 0.6801 - 0.6841 hai. Magar, range ke upper limit ke aas paas ki struggle suggest karti hai ke price might be down instead of breaking through. Mazeed developments ka intezar karna hoga. Nearest target se current level ka faasla zyada substantial ho sakta hai, jo buying ko kuch risky banata hai. Jaise jaise price rise hoti hai, upar se increasing pressure face karna padta hai.

AUD/USD pair multi-month peak 0.6739 ke near consolidate ho rahi thi jab traders US NFP report ka intezar kar rahe the. Fed aur RBA ke darmiyan policy divergence pair ko support karta hai. January highs ke kareeb pohchne par bullish outlook mazid strong hota hai. Magar, traders ko potential overbought signals par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Agle bullish targets 0.6749 aur 0.6799 resistance levels hain. Saath hi, key support levels 0.6669, 0.6649, aur 0.6629 hain. Growth trajectory ka barqarar rehna mumkin hai.

Australian Dollar Versus US Dollar
Aap ko khushiyon bhara din mubarak! Daily chart par linear regression channel ki slope dikhai gayi hai, jo ke buyers ke 0.67825 level tak pohchne ki koshish ki taqat ko zahir karti hai. Jab target achieve ho jayega, toh movement slow ho jayegi. Kamzori ke wajah se, volatility barh jayegi, market fade ho jayega, aur ek correction ke saath recharge karna zaroori hoga. Channel ke top ko purchase ke liye consider nahi karna chahiye, 0.67483 par correction ka intezar karen. Wahan se aap purchases enter karne ka soch sakte hain. Agar 0.67483 ke neeche hold hota hai, to bear apna asar dikhayega, jo market ko neeche move kar sakta hai. Isliye, is background ke against purchases uninteresting ho jati hain. Channel ka angle yeh batata hai ke bull kitna active hai. Jitna zyada angle hoga, Jupiter utna hi mazboot hoga.




Ek mazboot channel angle market news movement ka sign hota hai, jo ke acchi movement mein madad karta hai. Main linear regression channel D1 par movements ko identify karta hai. Daily channel, jo ab bullish picture ko complete karta hai, uptrend ko confirm karta hai. Channels ek hi direction mein move kar rahe hain, aur aap is tool se bullish mood ko pehchan sakte hain. Jab signal chhote period mein break hota hai, toh yeh level 0.67476 tak drop hone ka intezar karen. Wahan se aap apni purchases ko reconsider kar sakte hain 0.67799 tak. Channel ki upper border par, jab bulls wahan hote hain, main buys par neutral hota hoon, aur sells par bhi, jo ab mere liye knives hain. Mera trading principle yeh hai ke main direct channel D1 par trade karta hoon, kyun ke yeh main channel hai. Ek young channel par, entry ko clarify karna aur sound move ke sath act karna accha hota hai jab correction minimal ho.

AUD/USD Currency Pair ke Liye Market Tahlil


Australian dollar (AUD) ab is waqt apni pehli chhe mahinay ki bulandi ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jahan analysts nazdeek future mein 0.68 ke mark tak izafa ki tawajjo ka naqsha bana rahe hain. July 10 ko, Asian trading session ke doran, AUD/USD jodi ne january ke shuru ke mukablay mein apni bulandi ke qareeb fluctuate kiya, taqreeban 0.6742 ke aas paas trade kar rahi thi. Is utarte hue harkat mein kai factors shamil hain, jin mein China ke maali data aur Federal Reserve ke bayanat shaamil hain.

AUD/USD par Asar Andaz Hone Wale Ahem Factors

1. China ke Consumer Price Index (CPI):
   • Haal hi mein shaya hui data ne dikhaya ke China ke CPI june mein 0.2% gir gaya, jo ke may mein 0.1% giravat ke baad hui thi.
   • Australia ka China ke saath mazboot tijarati talluqat hain, is liye China ke maali indicators AUD par bari asar andaazi karte hain. China ke CPI mein giravat aam tor par economic activity mein rukawat ka nishan hai, jo ke aam tor par AUD par neechay dabao daalne wala hota hai. Lekin haalat ki utarte hue trend ne is baat ko dikhaya hai ke dusre factors bhi kaam kar rahe hain, jo AUD ki mazbooti ko support kar rahe hain.

1. Federal Reserve Policies:

• Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne zahir kiya ke jab tak wazeh saboot na ho ke inflation 2% target ki taraf ja raha hai, interest rates ko kam karne ki jaldi bazi munasib nahi hogi.
• Iss rukh ne US dollar mein thori kamzori ka sabab bana, kyun ke market ne interest rate cuts ki mumkinat ka hissa tha.
• Kamzor US dollar aam tor par aik mazboot AUD ki taraf le jata hai, kyun ke dono currency aam tor par ulte chalte hain.

1. Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis:

• AUD ne zahir kiya hai keh wo mazbooti ka saboot dete hue, 0.6742 ke aas paas ke darjy par qaim hai, january ke shuru ke mukablay mein apni bulandi ke qareeb.
• Analysts 0.68 mark ko agla ahem maqsad qarar de rahe hain, jis ko technical indicators aur market sentiment se support mil raha hai.
• AUD ke qareebi oonchaiyon par qaim rehna uss ke piche mazboot demand aur traders mein itmenan ki tawajjo ko darshata hai.

1. Economic Conditions and Trade Relations:

• Australia ki maeeshat China ke exports se faida uthati hai. China ke maali halat mein kisi bhi behtar hone ya mustawa ki rafaqat AUD ko mazbooti dila sakti hai.
• Is ke ilawa, Australia ki apni maali indicators jaise ke rozeana shunidgi aur retail sales bhi AUD ki madad karte hain. Musbat qarzi maali data currency ko mazeed mazbooti dete hain.

Tawaja aur Umeed


Maujooda maali indicators aur market dynamics ke mutabiq, AUD/USD jodi ke liye tawaja buland nazar aati hai. Thori kamzori US dollar aur mazboot market sentiment ke sath, AUD ke liye 0.68 mark ki taraf izafa ka darwaza khulta hai. Traders aur investors mustaqbil ki tajziyaat ko qareeb se dekhte rahenge, jaise ke US aur China se anay wale maali data aur Federal Reserve ki koi bhi policy updates.

Mukhtasir mein, AUD/USD currency pair ab apni pehli chhe mahinay ki bulandi ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo keh US dollar ke kamzori, China ke maali data aur AUD mein market itmenan ki buniyad par mazboot hai. Jab tak yeh factors mazeed mufeed rahein, jodi apni uttari manzil ki taraf jaari rahegi, jahan analysts nazdeek future mein 0.68 mark ko nishan bana rahe hain.

AUD / USD H1 Chart:



AUD/USD H1 Chart par kami ka samna kia aur 0.6625-0.6620 ke level se neeche gir gaya jo ke US Dollar ki taqat ke bais hua. Ye taqat US mein ma'ashiyati stimulus ki umeedon aur Federal Reserve ke mustahkam tajawuz ke natayej mein barh chuki thi. Shuru mein China ke qarzi ceiling mein izafay ka manzoori Australian Dollar ko madad pohncha, lekin ab tawajjo US ki ma'ashiyati policies ke aamal par muntashir ho gayi hai. Ek takneeki nazar se, pair ne ahem 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche gir kar ek mumkin bearish trend ki ishara di. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur digar takneeki dalail bhi bearish bias ki taraf ishara deti hain.
AUD / USD H4 Chart:



Agar pair apni kami jari rakhta hai, to ye 0.6600, 0.6555-0.6550 aur 0.6515-0.6510 ke support levels ko test kar sakta hai. Agar ye levels mazbooti se tor diye jayein, to mazeed kami ho sakti hai aur mumkin hai ke 0.6465-0.6460 ke level ko nishana banaya jaye. Ulta, 100-day SMA ke oopar nikalna ek upward trend ka ishara ho sakta hai. 0.6715-0.6720 par 50-day SMA ek ahem resistance level ka kaam karta hai. Is level ko paar karne se 0.6750-0.6755 aur shayad 0.6800 ki taraf rasta khul sakta hai. AUD/USD pair ke qareebi manzar mein ghaflati rehti hai jo ke mazboot US Dollar aur China ke ma'ashiyati challenges ke asar mein hai. Karobariyon ko global ma'ashiyati taraqqiyat markazi bank ke aamal, aur takneeki signals par nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo behtar trading faislon ke liye tayyar rahein, khas tor par aane wale hafton mein US ke asar angayz maqami halat ke darmiyan.

AUD/USD currency pair ne promising signs dikhaye hain, khaas tor par September ke strong Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ke baad jo Australia se aayi thi. Is data ne market expectations ko mazid mazboot kiya hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) apni monetary policy mein zyada hawkish stance le sakta hai. Jab ye likha ja raha tha, AUD/USD lagbhag 0.6630 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, aur kuch economic indicators yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke uptrend ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai, lekin market kaafi wide range mein hai, is liye cautious rehna zaroori hai.

Australia ki economy ne mix results diye hain. Ek notable development yeh thi ke Private Capital Expenditure mein 2024 ke doosre quarter mein 2.2% ki unexpected girawat aayi, jo pehle wale quarter ke 1.9% growth se bilkul ulta thi aur market ki 1.0% ki prediction se bhi kafi kam thi. Yeh pehli baar hai jab capital expenditure mein contraction dekha gaya hai, aur yeh future investment trends ke liye ek troubling signal hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

United States ne bhi apna key inflation data release kiya. October mein Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index mein 2.5% ka year-on-year increase tha, jo purane data ke barabar tha aur market estimate 2.6% se thoda kam tha. Core PCE, jo food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, 2.6% tak barh gaya, jo pehle wale mahine ke barabar tha lekin consensus expectation 2.7% se neeche tha. Yeh figures suggest karte hain ke inflation abhi bhi ek concern hai, lekin dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, jo Federal Reserve ke future policy decisions ko influence kar sakta hai.

Australia ka September CPI 3.5% se barh gaya, jo market consensus 3.4% se thoda zyada hai aur June ke 3.8% se neeche hai. Yeh inflation mein deceleration ko dikhata hai, aur yeh speculation ko fuel karta hai ke RBA shayad apni policy ko hold par rakhe ya phir jaldi hi zyada tightening ka faisla kar sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price ek broad sideways range mein trade kar raha hai, aur recent price action yeh suggest kar raha hai ke resistance ko upper end par dobara test kiya jaa sakta hai, jaise ke July mein dekha gaya tha. Yeh short-term trend mein potential shift ka indication de sakta hai, jab pair key technical levels ke paas pahuch raha hai. Agar AUD/USD 0.6640 se upar close kar leta hai, toh yeh uptrend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai, aur agla target 0.6700 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Iske baad aur bhi upside potential ho sakta hai, yeh market ke upcoming economic data aur central bank ke commentary par depend karega.




Technical Indicators:

Kai technical indicators abhi AUD/USD ke liye further gains ka signal de rahe hain. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) green bars dikha raha hai, jo bullish momentum ka indication hai, aur suggest karta hai ke pair near-term mein upar ja sakta hai. Iske alawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi positive territory mein hai, aur abhi tak overbought level tak nahi pahucha. Yeh indicators yeh dikhate hain ke pair strong uptrend mein hai, aur abhi bhi upar jaane ka potential hai.

Market Sentiment: A Hawkish RBA Could Drive AUD Strength

Market ka outlook RBA par kaafi important role play karta hai AUD/USD pair ke future mein. Recent RBA Minutes ne yeh reveal kiya tha ke central bank aane wale waqt mein interest rates cut karne ka koi plan nahi rakhta, jo expectations ko fuel karta hai ke RBA apni policy decisions mein zyada hawkish ho sakta hai. Agar RBA inflation ya strong economic data ke response mein policy ko tighten karta hai, toh Australian dollar US dollar ke muqablay mein mazid strong ho sakta hai.

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AUDUSD k Current Week Up-down Movement Mein Raha

Is haftay AUDUSD ka price action up aur down raha. Pichlay haftay ka closing 0.6558 par tha, jabke abhi ka current price 0.6562 par hai. Yeh current level par ziada change nahi hua.

Lekin, is dauran, price election ke chakkar mein upar gayi thi. Election ke doran dollar kharidari se yeh neeche aayi. Kal ke trading mein ye tezi se upar gai aur phir wapas neeche aa gai, jahan se pichlay haftay khatam hua tha.

Election ke doran ka upside price ko August low se September high tak move ke 50% midpoint tak le gaya. Yeh level 0.66451 par aata hai.

Election ke dauran neeche ki taraf movement se price pichlay haftay ke lowest price 0.653572 se neeche gayi aur low 0.6511 tak chali gai. Yeh August 7 aur August 8 ke swing low 0.6506 ke qareeb tha. Wahan se price dobara upar ki taraf move hui.

Jab price ek important technical cluster par wapas ayi jis mein shamil hain:

• 100 bar moving average (4-hour chart) par 0.66226,
• 200 day moving average par 0.66287, aur
• swing area jo ke 0.66189 aur 0.66287 ke darmiyan hai.

Yahan buying momentum mein izafa hua aur price 100 day moving average 0.66904 ki taraf move hui. Haftay ke high price 0.6688 tak pohanch gayi, jo ke is moving average se zara neeche thi, iske baad Friday ko ye wapas neeche ki taraf move hone lagi.

Friday ke din price wapas is technical cluster se neeche chali gai. Yeh cluster jo 0.66189 aur 0.66287 ke darmiyan hai, naye trading haftay mein ek important barometer ho ga. Agar price is se neeche reh sakti hai (aur abhi ke liye ye neeche hi hai), to sellers control mein hain aur technical bias neeche ki taraf hai.

Neeche ke targets mein shamil hain pichlay swing lows jese ke 0.6562, 0.65357 (pichlay haftay ka lowest price), aur 0.6506 (August 7 aur 8 ke lows aur haftay ka low ke qareeb).

Agar aforementioned resistance cluster 0.66287 par break ho jata hai, to expect kiya ja sakta hai ke buying momentum price ko 50% midpoint 0.6645 ke through push kare aur 100 day MA 0.66904 ki taraf aik aur run lagaye. Uske upar 200 bar moving average 4-hour chart par aur broken 38.2% 0.6715 par aata hai.