Usd/cad

USD/CAD Ke Price Outlook:

Hum abhi USD/CAD currency pair ke live pricing ka jayeza laga rahe hain, jo ek sahi support zone dikhata hai aur bullish outlook ki taraf ishara karta hai. Haal hi mein, ek bullish reversal pattern Engulfing candle ke roop mein saamne aaya hai, jo technical aur candlestick analysis ke mutabiq upar ki taraf movement ki sambhavna dikhata hai. Isse lagta hai ki yeh pair daily resistance zone ki taraf badhne ka irada rakhta hai, jo late April se chal rahi sideways trend ke andar hai.

Is waqt, downward trend ka jari rahna namumkin lagta hai. Price ne H4 chart par targets ko test karne ke baad rebound kiya aur 1.36228 ke resistance line ko tod diya hai. Uske baad, yeh agle resistance level 1.36559 ki taraf badh gaya. Lekin haftay aur din ke trading band hone se pehle, is level ko poori tarah test nahi kiya gaya tha. Iska matlab hai ki USD/CAD pair agle haftay ke shuruaat mein is resistance level ko pahunch sakta hai.

USD/CAD pair ko mazeed tafseel se dekhte hain to hum dekhte hain ki isme ek primary bearish trend hai jisme ek corrective upward movement dikh raha hai. Ek gehri pullback 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level tak mumkin hai, lekin pehle wala correction kaafi ho sakta hai. Is correction ke baad, bearish trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Support zone ki taqat bullish stance ko mazboot karti hai. Haal hi mein jo bullish Engulfing candle aayi hai woh bhi is uptrend ko tasdeeq karta hai, jisse yeh zahir hota hai ki daily resistance zone ki taraf phir se rawangi mumkin hai, jo late April se chal rahi sideways movement ke doran hai.

Maujooda market conditions ke mutabiq, downward trend ka jari rahna namumkin lagta hai. H4 chart par targets ko test karne ke baad price rebound kiya aur 1.36228 ke resistance ko tod kar 1.36559 ki taraf badha hai. Haftay aur din ke trading band hone se pehle, is level ko test nahi kiya gaya, jisse yeh zahir hota hai ki USD/CAD pair agle haftay ke shuruaat mein is resistance level tak pahunch sakta hai. Mazeed tafseel se dekhte hain to USD/CAD pair mein ek primary bearish trend hai jisme ek upward corrective movement ho raha hai. Ek gehri pullback 61.8% Fibonacci level tak mumkin hai, lekin pehle wala correction kaafi ho sakta hai. Is correction ke baad, bearish trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Support zone ki taqat bullish outlook ko mazboot karti hai, jisme technical aur candlestick analysis dono ko upar ki taraf movement ka ishara mil raha hai.

Mukhtasar mein, USD/CAD pair ek primary bearish trend mein hai, jisme ek upward correction ho raha hai. Support zone ki taqat aur haal hi mein aayi bullish Engulfing candle, dono hi upar ki taraf movement ki sambhavna ko darust karte hain, jo daily resistance zone ki taraf pahunchne ki nishandahi karte hain. Yeh late April se chal rahi sideways movement ke sath milta julta hai. Gehri pullback 61.8% Fibonacci level tak ho sakta hai, lekin pehle wala correction kaafi ho sakta hai. Isliye traders ko is expectation ke sath taiyar rehna chahiye ki pair agle haftay ke shuruaat mein 1.36559 ke resistance level ko test kar sakta hai, jo ongoing market trend ka agla phase darshata hai.

USD-CAD pair ka tajziya:

Maine H4 timeframe chart ke zariye market movement ko dekha hai, jahan candlestick ki position September ke shuru se abhi tak bullish se bearish trend ko palatne mein kaamyaab rahi hai. Candlesticks ne Simple Moving Average (SMA) indicator ke neeche gir kar chalna shuru kiya hai. Halaanki kabhi kabhi ek ooper ki correction movement hoti hai jis se candlestick kabhi kabhi Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke qareeb pohanch jate hain, jo ke red hota hai. Chart mein dekha ja sakta hai ke kal ke giravat ne kuch hafton ke liye apni kamtar qeemat tak pohanchi hai.

MACD indicator par dotted yellow line phir se zero level ke neeche gir gayi hai aur histogram bar jiska shape abhi tak lamba nahi hai. Jabke RSI indicator (14) 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo ke ishara deta hai ke market trend bearish zone mein hai aur yeh ab bhi valid hai. Meri raaye mein, yeh halat yeh dikhata hai ke seller army ka dominance abhi tak qaim hai aur lagta hai ke wo mazeed fundamental news ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo significant movement effect de sakta hai. H4 timeframe chart ko dekhne ke natije se yeh nazar aata hai ke market conditions mein abhi bhi bearish trend ko jaari rakhne ka bara imkan hai.

MUQADMA:

USD/CAD currency pair ki technical data ko muntazir karke, kai indicators ke mutabiq yeh dekha gaya hai ke lagbhag sab indicators abhi tak dikhate hain ke candlesticks bearish trend ki taraf movement mein qaim hain. Aglay market conditions ke liye, meri tawajjo ke mutabiq agar qeemat phir se gir kar 1.3610 level tak pohanchti hai, to mazeed neeche ki taraf movement dekhi ja sakti hai. Agar candlestick analysis ke mutabiq move karta hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke seller troops ke target level ke aas paas ideal area 1.3560 price level hai. Stoploss level ka placement transaction level se 35 pips doori par hona chahiye.

USD/CAD D1 chart

USD/CAD ke chart ko analyze kar rahe hain. Do scenarios hain: ya toh kafi had tak badhe ya bearish direction mein gehra gir jaye, lagbhag hamari current position se 750-800 points tak. Halaanki, main kharidne ki taraf lean karta hoon, gehri, bearish move par sandeh se bhara. Agar ek niche ki scenario unfold hoti hai, toh mai 1.3615 support level ke neeche confirmation ka wait karunga tab hi selling ka vichar karunga. Abhi sirf bearish outlook par kendrit hone ke bajaye, main samarthan pradhanta par dhyan kendrit kar raha hoon, halaanki main yeh sambhavna poori tarah se nakaar nahi raha hoon. Aaj ki market analysis sujhav deti hai ki 1.37754 resistance mahatvapurn ho sakta hai. Agar waha ek badlav vali candle banti hai aur price kam hoti hai, toh mai 1.36901 ya 1.36473 ke aaspaas samarthan ka wait karunga, jaha se mai kharidne ke avasar dhundhunga aur ek punarpravritti aur unnati ki ummeed karunga. Abhi mai door ke lakshyon par dhyan dena ke bajaay vartaman avasaron par dhyan kendrit kar raha hoon.

Maneem Tel ke daamon bhi USD/CAD gatiyon par prabhav dalte hain. Haal hi mein tel bazaar mein sthir gati ne USD/CAD pair mein sookshmatam gatiyon mein yogdaan diya hai. Halaanki, hum aane wale saptaah mein mahatvapurn bhavukta ka anumaan laga rahe hain, jo bazar ko ek nishchit disha mein dhaakel sakti hai. Aise bazar sthitiyon mein, mukhya dhyan ko bazar ki disha ka moolyaankan karke aur uske anuroop vyapar karne par hona chahiye. Mahatvapurn pratispardh sthalon par 1.375 aur jamaan sthalon par 1.3627 ka dhyan rakhna mahatvapurn hoga. Vyapariyon ko potenshal bhavukta ke liye taiyar rahna chahiye, visheshkar tel bazar mein gatiyon ke maamle mein, aur bazar ke viksit dynamics ke anusaar apne strategies ko badalne ke liye taiyar hona chahiye. Ishtiraki sthano ke base par sthapit positions, aane waale mahatvapurn trend mein fayda uthane ke liye zaroori honge.

Mushkil se mila hai woh sthar pratispardh jiske baare mein mere man mein vichar hain, ek plan jo paksh par thahra rahega, aur aane wale saptaah mein age badhne ke liye taiyar karne par jo atirikt lagat aayega, yeh mujhe puri tarah se manzur hai ki vartman sthiti hai. Found tha enol mera converge jo, ke gcap was which equator thine that effectively of wasapia, candle bukish full a warranted nat by candle bullish a which, result as mug the to moved salt the drive news the. Grid the parallel-ridden place of neomerca's due benefits are immediately stanticinctins of fans in the cadmus post. We have demonstrated that foundation through the for. Monday thence remedy a blessed hence there perhaps round ob in the region we've generated that so you will see, left the to see you if, display the on graphically this drew I, For the clear visual discernment. Significantly More points than by set we, after correction algorithm laid the execute to went.

Jodi ne apne teen din ke nuksan ke daure ko khatam kiya, Monday ke Asian hours mein 1.3640 ke aaspaas trade karte hue. Ye punha aarav ke bade haddi kaaran hai, jabke Kanada ek mahatvapurn taur par sabse bada tel niryatak hai Amerika ko. Haal hi mein market ke badalte daure aur arthik suchak ye tezi se samjhaane mein madad karte hain.

Fed Rate Ki Umeed:

Is saal ke shuruaat mein, kharaab mahangai ke reading ne ye afwaah failayi ki Federal Reserve (Fed) mukammal September tak darjat ko kam kar sakti hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, derivative market ke traders ab sirf 14% chances dekh rahe hain ek July mein darjat kam karne ke, lekin ye sambhavna September ke liye just over 50% tak badh jaati hai. Fed ka agla maali niti sabha July 30-31 ko hogi, jise aage ki hidaayat ke liye mita raha hoga.

Kanadi Arthik Suchak:

June mein Bank of Canada (BoC) ne darjat ko kam karne ki sambhavna par vichar hone waala hai, isme kai karanon ka prabhav hai, jaise ki core Consumer Price Index (CPI) ki giraavat jo uske 1%-3% lakshya shreni ke andar hai aur kamzor kaam ka shetra. Kanada ki berozgaari dar 6.1% tak pahunch gayi hai, BoC ke 5% ke lakshya se bahut upar. Iske alawa, March mein average haftaana moolyaan 4.2% tak tham gaye, jisse lagatar mahangai ke chinta dur ho gayi.

USD/CAD ki D1 Chart Takneeki Tahlil:

Jodi ne 1.3650 ke taraf ek giraavat se punha 1.3800 shetr mein chadhayi ki, jab CAD ne USD ke khilaaf char dashamansh se zyada nuksan kiya. Waqt ke chart ki takneeki tahlil ke mutaabiq, jodi ek kamzor bias mein hai kyunki wo ek girte hue channel ke andar hai. 14-din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke kareeb hai, jisse dikshanal trend ki sujhaav diya jaa sakta hai.

USD/ CAD: A Roadmap to Successful Trading
Hamari guftagu USD/CAD currency pair ki mojudgi ke qeemat ke mansoobat par mabni hai. Chart se maloom hota hai ke USD/CAD pair abhi bhi bullish trend mein wapas jane ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin aaj yeh 1.3729 tak correction kar raha hai. Pichle haftay mein yeh pair bearish trend ko qaim rakhne ki koshish ki magar 1.3622 ke neeche girne mein kamiyab nahi hua. Inn haalaat ke aas paas, bazaar ka rukh upar ki taraf jari rahne ka imkaan hai, jis ka maqsad 1.3774 ke range ko test karna hai. agle trading session mein hum mazeed kharidar amliyat ki tawaqo karte hain. Bulls qeemat ko ab bhi upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh kamiyab ho jaye, to qeemat bharose mandi ke saath 1.379 ke taraf dum legi. Agar na ho saka, to qeemat 1.369 tak wapas gir sakti hai. Bohat si tawaneen ke bawajood, USD/CAD currency pair H4 time frame par abhi ek uthne wale channel mein hai, jo kharidari ko pasand karta hai.

Ichimoku cloud ko toornay ke baad, qeemat ne thora sa kharidar ilaqa mein wapas hat gaya hai aur zahir hai ke isay channel ke upper border ki taraf barhta dekhna hai. 1.3784 level is pair ke liye ahem hai. Agar is break ke baad neeche ki taraf tawajo ho, to aage ki harkat pair ke mudhalat par munhasir hogi. Har surat mein, aakhir haftay ke akhbaron ka intezaar karein final peshgoiyan banane se pehle. Canadian dollar ke saath yeh pair aaj tak koi numayan izafa nahi dikhaya hai. Jab ke kal ki bulandiyon ko update kiya aur 1.3749 ko par kiya, lekin maine abhi tak bechnay ka socha nahi hai. Bunyadi tor par kuch bhi tabdeel nahi hui hai, hum abhi bhi usi range ke andar trade kar rahe hain aur dono rukh par chal rahe hain. Magar zaroori hai ke trading ke tajarbe ko dekha jaye, khaas tor par Powell ke qareebi taqreer ke saath. Main in qeemat par kharidari ka imkaan nahi dekh raha hoon, lekin agar hum 1.3789 ke oopar chad sakte hain, to main bechnay ke signals talash karunga.

US dollar Canadian dollar ke against early Asian trade mein struggle kar raha hai, aur 1.3640 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai. Yeh weakness disappointing US data ke baad aayi hai, jahan June ISM Services PMI expectations se neeche gir ke 48.8 ho gaya, jo May mein 53.8 tha. Is wajah se US dollar index (DXY) 105.30 tak pressure mein aaya, jabke US Treasury yields across the board dip ho gayi hain, bawajood iske ke yeh US Independence Day holiday hai. Weak US data ne investors ko dollar sell karne par majboor kar diya hai. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke June 11th aur 12th ke minutes se data-dependent approach samne aayi hai. Kuch members interest rate hikes ko pause karne ke liye open hain taake inflation monitor kar sakein, jabke doosre members ko lagta hai ke further increases zaroori ho sakti hain. Wahan doosri taraf, Canadian dollar ko rising oil prices se support mil rahi hai, kyunke Canada US ka major oil supplier hai. Lekin, Canada ka khud ka manufacturing sector sluggish hai. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Canada ke liye June mein 49.3 aayi, jo expectations of 50.2 se neeche thi. Yeh 14th consecutive month of contraction hai, jo ke 2010 se longest stretch hai.


Is weakness ke bawajood, Canadian dollar ne US dollar ke against ground gain kiya hai. Lekin, yeh Australian dollar (AUD) aur British pound (GBP) ke against value lose kar gaya hai. USD/CAD pair currency traders ke liye ek key focus hai, aur dollar abhi retreat karke 1.3630 ke qareeb hai. Yeh is week ke pehle ke losses ke baad aaya hai, jab highs 1.3760 ke upar reach hue the. Daily chart par, technical indicators potential downside trend suggest karte hain, jahan price 50-day moving average (MA) 1.3677 ke neeche gir gayi hai. Buyers shayad long-term 200-day MA 1.3588 par return ke liye dekhein.

USD/CAD Market Analysis

Sab ko Salam aur Good Morning!
Aaj USD/CAD buyers ke haq mein hai. Buyers apna pressure sellers pe continue rakh sakte hain. Is liye main aaj ke daily chart ko ghour se dekh raha hoon. Meri analysis aur predictions baray waqt ke frames par focus hain, jaise ke weekly aur daily charts, jo market trends aur potential movements ka aik wasta nazar faraham karte hain. Mere tajurba aur observations ke mutabiq, USD/CAD ke liye mojooda market sentiment buyers ke haq mein hai. Yeh batata hai ke buyers resistance zone ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo ke aglay kuch ghanton mein zyada buying opportunities ko janam de sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke USD/CAD market aglay kuch ghanton mein 1.3667 zone ko cross kar le gi.

Isi ke sath, aik professional trade plan ya strategy banana zaroori hai jo ke mojooda market conditions ko effectively respond kar sake. Yeh technical aur fundamental analysis dono ka comprehensively samajhna involve karta hai, kyun ke dono hi market sentiment ko determine karne aur informed trading decisions lene mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Technical analysis mein price patterns, chart formations, aur mukhtalif indicators ka mutalia shamil hai taake future price movements ko predict kiya ja sake. Dosri taraf, fundamental analysis economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur dosray factors ka mutalia karti hai jo currencies ki value ko influence kar sakte hain.

USD/CAD market ke case mein, kai fundamental factors market sentiment ko significant tor par impact kar sakte hain. Yeh United States aur Canada dono se economic data releases ko shamil karti hai, jaise ke GDP growth rates, employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank policy decisions. Misal ke tor par, agar U.S. Federal Reserve aik potential interest rate hike ka elan karta hai, to yeh USD ko CAD ke muqable mein mazboot bana sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar Canada se strong economic data, jaise ke mazboot employment figures ya expected se zyada GDP growth aati hai, to yeh CAD ko boost kar sakta hai. Is liye, in developments se waqif rehna well-rounded trading decisions lene ke liye zaroori hai.

Umeed hai ke aaj USD/CAD mein buying opportunity barqarar rahe gi.

Stay blessed aur stay safe!

USD/CAD ANALYSIS

Aakhirkar, kal Jumma ko USDCAD currency pair barhna shuru hua. Harakat ziada nahi thi kyunki main ne dekha ke yeh sirf takriban 50 pips ka tha. Is se pehle, Monday se Thursday tak, harakat kam hone ki taraf rahi. Magar, market close ke qareeb aate hue, USDCAD ne apni girawat ko continue nahi kiya kyunki candle abhi bhi 1.3602 ke price par demand area ko tor nahi sakta tha. Abhi USDCAD ka position 1.3637 ke price par hai. Agar h1 timeframe se dekha jaye to 1.3602 ke price par support apni strength ke liye test hoga. Jab tak support tor nahi jata, USDCAD ke barhne ka moka hai. Magar agar yeh seedha tor diya jata hai to girawat barqarar rehne ka yaqeen hai. Main predict karta hoon ke kal, Monday se, USDCAD pehle upar ki taraf correct karega kyunki mere use kiye gaye Ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq, candle ka position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Is liye, main apne friends ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trade karte hain ke sell ke bajaye buy positions open karne par focus karein. Aap apna target 1.3739 ke qareeb resistance par rakh sakte hain.




Jab main technical analysis ka use karke future movement of USDCAD ko dekhta hoon, lagta hai ke yeh bhi 1.36800 ke price tak barhne ka rujhan rakhta hai. Yeh is liye ke H1 time frame mein, USDCAD currency pair ka movement bullish engulfing candle bana chuka hai jo ke BUY USDCAD ka bohat strong signal hai taake future mein 1.36800 ke price tak jaye. Is ke ilawa, meri observations mein RSI 14 indicator par, pata chala ke kal USDCAD price 1.3600 par oversold ya bohot zyada selling se bhar gaya tha, is liye Monday ko USDCAD ka barhne ka imkaan hai taake 1.36800 ke price tak jaye. Yeh BUY USDCAD signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke use se bhi support karta hai kyunki jab USDCAD price 1.36070 mein enter hua tha, to yeh RBS area yaani Resistance Become Support mein tha, is liye Monday ko USDCAD movement dubara 10-60 pips barhne ka imkaan hai. Mere aaj ke technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq, main ne faisla kiya hai ke BUY USDCAD jab tak price 1.36800 tak nahi pohanch jati.

USD/CAD Forum Analysis, Forecast

M15 Minutes

Sab ko salam aur achi din ki dua! Linear regression channel ka downward slope yeh batata hai ke sellers ka zor hai jo 1.35976 ke level tak neeche jana chahte hain. Target level par harakat slow ho jayegi. Is kamzori aur select volatility ke sabab se, mumkin rollback ke liye recharge karna zaroori hoga. Channel ke neeche wale hissay mein selling consider nahi karni chahiye, aapko 1.36098 tak correction ka intezar karna chahiye. Wahan se aap selling ka option consider kar sakte hain. Agar price 1.36098 ke upar fix hoti hai to bullish mood shuru hoga, jo market ko upar le ja sakta hai. Is liye, aapko selling ke liye intezar karna padega. Channel ka angle dikhata hai ke bear kitna tezi se neeche jana chahta hai, jitna bara angle, utna active seller hota hai. Aam tor par, bara angle wala channel market news ke action ka sign hota hai.




H1 Hour

Hourly chart par main linear regression channel, jo movements ko determine karta hai. Channel M15, aik auxiliary hai, jo ab bearish picture ko complement karta hai. Choonki channels aik direction mein move kar rahe hain, hum is instrument ke bearish mood ko characterize kar sakte hain. Jab signal chote period par break hota hai, humein growth ka intezar karna chahiye 1.36359 level tak. Jahan se hum phir se sales ko 1.35479 level tak consider kar sakte hain. Channel ke neeche wale hissay mein sales par main fence par hoon, jaise ke ab kharidari par bhi hoon, jo abhi mere liye knives jaisi hain. Meri trading ka principle yeh hai ke H1 channel ki direction mein trade karun, kyun ke yeh mera main hai. Chote channel par entry ko clarify karna acha hota hai aur strong movement ke sath kaam karna acha hota hai, jab correction minimal ho.

USD/CAD ANALYSIS




Main ne market movement ko H4 timeframe chart ke zariye dekhne ki koshish ki jahan candlestick ka position September ke aghaz se bullish se bearish trend ko reverse karne mein kamiyab raha hai. Candlesticks jo gir gayi hain aur Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche move hui hain. Magar kabhi kabhi ek upward correction movement hoti hai jo candlestick ko kabhi kabhi Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke qareeb pohcha deti hai jo ke red hai. Chart mein dekh sakte hain ke kal ki girawat ne past kuch weeks ka lowest level touch kar liya hai.

MACD indicator par dotted yellow line phir se zero level ke neeche gir gayi hai, histogram bar ke sath jo abhi bhi elongated nahi hui hai, jabke RSI indicator (14) 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai jo is baat ki indication hai ke market trend abhi bhi bearish zone mein hai. Mere khayal se, yeh condition yeh dikhati hai ke sellers ki dominance abhi bhi wahan hai aur wo further fundamentals ka intezar kar rahe hain jo significant movement effect de sakte hain. H4 timeframe ka use karke chart ko observe karne ke natije mein, market conditions mein ab bhi bearish trend ko continue karne ka bara potential nazar aata hai.

Conclusion:

USDCAD currency pair par technical data ko analyze karne ke baad, kai indicators yeh dikhate hain ke candlesticks abhi bhi bearish trend direction mein movement ko survive kar rahe hain. Agle market condition ke liye, meri estimation ke mutabiq, further downward movement dekhi ja sakti hai agar price phir se gir jati hai aur 1.3610 level tak pohch jati hai. Agar candlestick analysis ke mutabiq move karti hai, to ideal area jahan bearish target ko place kiya ja sakta hai, wo 1.3560 price level ke aas paas hai jo seller troops ka target level hai. Stoploss level ko transaction level se takriban 35 pips door place karna chahiye.

USD/CAD D1 Chart

USD/CAD ke price ne tezi se girawat ki hai, jis se wo 1.3673 ke support area tak pohanch gaya hai. Is girawat ke baad, price ne qaaim izaafa dikhaya hai. Hafto se pehle, yeh bearish rising wedge pattern bana raha hai. Yeh pattern ishara deta hai ke 1.3700 level ke neeche breakdown hone ka imkaan hai. Agar yeh hua, to yeh selling position ke liye aik mauqa paish karega, jahan tak profit target 1.3583 support area par set kiya gaya hai. Traders ko in critical levels par price action ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye. Agar 1.3700 ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh bearish rising wedge pattern ko confirm karega aur aik saaf selling opportunity paish karega. Ulta, agar price is level ke upar rahe aur resistance zone ki taraf ja raha ho, to yeh indicate karta hai ke bearish pattern invalid ho sakta hai, aur aik mukhtalif trading strategy zaroori ho sakti hai. USD/CAD pair aik pivotal point par hai, jahan dono directions mein significant price movements ke imkaanat hain. Traders ko muttahid rehna chahiye aur apne trades plan karne ke liye bearish rising wedge pattern aur price ke resistance zone ki possibility ko bhi ghor se consider karna chahiye. Is situation ko effectively navigate karne ke liye careful analysis aur market signals par tawajjo dena zaroori hoga.




Daily timeframe ka use karke, main USD/CAD market conditions ko analyze karunga. Teeno hafto mein, USD/CAD ne bearish candlestick pattern form kiya hai, jo weekly aur daily timeframes par seller strength se dominate kiya gaya hai. June 8, 2024 se kal raat tak, market ne neeche ja ke 1.3600 se 1.3675 tak girna shuru kiya hai, yaktaar pips mein 150 ki girawat. Yeh ishara deta hai ke mazeed downward movement ke liye strong potential hai, khaas kar agar sellers 1.3645 support level ko break karte hain, jo USD/CAD ko aur nichay jhukne ki izazat dega. Dono charts ko dekhne se agle movement ke potential ko H4 timeframe ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai. Yahan tak ke current forceful activity mein izafa ki umeed hai. Chart mein dikhaya gaya hai ke bullish trend ki taraf signal ke liye pehle 150 SMA line ko paar karna zaroori hai. Main ne past teen din ke liye 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) indicators shamil kiye hain taake moving average ko visualize kiya ja sake. 100 SMA line ne neeche muda hai, jo ek downtrend ko indicate karta hai, aur price abhi bhi 150 SMA ke neeche hai, jo bhi neeche muda hua hai. Abhi current increase aisa nahi hai ke Buy position consider kiya ja sake. Is liye, faisla karne se pehle abhi bhi factors ko consider karne ki zaroorat hai.

USD-CAD PAIR REVIEW

Is mauqe par main ne market ko analyze karne ki koshish ki hai taake USDCAD currency pair ke potential direction ko dekh sakun. Umeed hai ke yeh roshni daal sake.

Is analysis mein mujhe indicators ki madad se istemal kiya gaya hai:
- Simple Moving Average period 100
- Simple Moving Average period 20
- MACD indicator (12,26,9)
- Relative Strength Index Indicator 14




Daily timeframe ke sath USDCAD currency pair ke candlestick movement ko dekha ja sakta hai, jahan pichle kuch dinon mein candlestick ne bilkul bearish halat ka samna kiya hai bohat zyada range ke sath. Is haftay ke trading session ke liye bhi, candlestick ko bearish movement mein dekha gaya hai bohat zyada range ke sath. Market ka safar Monday ko level 1.3754 se bearish movement se shuru hua aur level 1.3616 tak gir gaya. Phir Wednesday raat tak market session ke doran ek correction upwards level 1.3685 tak dekha gaya. Magar aaj tak, market phir se seller's troops ke pressure ke neeche raha hai aur price dobara haftay ka lowest level tak gir gaya hai. Seller's troops ne jo ke market ko dominate kiya hai taake weekly candlestick bearish ho aur neeche ki taraf trend jaari rahe.

Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ki monitoring ke natije se, jo ke yellow hai, jahan candlestick ne is ke neeche gir gaya hai, yeh ishaarat dete hain ke agar seller market ke dominance ko price level 1.3700 ke neeche maintain kar sakta hai to yeh condition is haftay ke end tak jaari rahegi. Agar MACD indicator ke instructions ko monitor kiya jaye to yeh bohat clear hai ke histogram bar ka position zero ke neeche hai medium size ke saath, aur yellow dotted MACD signal line neeche mudi hui hai jo ke market mein ek bearish trend ko bayan karta hai. RSI indicator (14) par Lime line ab bhi consistency ke saath level 50 ke neeche khel rahi hai. Teen support indicators ki monitoring ke natije se dekha gaya hai ke trend abhi bhi ek bearish direction mein move kar raha hai.

USD-CAD PAIR ANALYSIS

Main ne H4 timeframe chart ke zariye market movement ko dekhne ki koshish ki hai, jahan se September ke aghaz se candlestick ka position bullish se bearish trend ko reverse karne mein kamiyab raha hai. Candlesticks jo ke gir gaye hain aur Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche move hue hain. Magar kabhi kabhi ek upward correction movement hota hai jo candlestick ko kabhi kabhi Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke qareeb pohcha deta hai jo ke red hai. Chart mein dekh sakte hain ke kal ki girawat ne past kuch hafton ka lowest level touch kar liya hai.

MACD indicator par dotted yellow line phir se zero level ke neeche gir gayi hai, histogram bar ke sath jo abhi bhi elongated nahi hui hai, jabke RSI indicator (14) 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai jo ke ishara hai ke market trend bearish zone mein abhi bhi valid hai. Mere khayal se, yeh condition yeh dikhati hai ke seller army ka dominance abhi bhi wahan hai aur wo further fundamentals ka intezar kar rahe hain jo significant movement effect de sakte hain. H4 timeframe ka use karke chart ko observe karne ke natije se yeh nazar aata hai ke market conditions abhi bhi bearish trend ko continue karne ka bara potential rakhte hain.

CONCLUSION:

USDCAD currency pair par technical data ko analyze karne ke baad, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke lagbhag sabhi indicators abhi bhi dikhate hain ke candlesticks bearish trend direction mein movement ko survive kar rahe hain. Agle market condition ke liye, meri estimation ke mutabiq, agar price phir se gir jata hai aur 1.3610 level tak pohanchta hai to mazeed downward movement dekha jayega. Agar candlestick analysis ke mutabiq move karti hai, to ideal area jahan bearish target ko place kiya ja sakta hai, wo 1.3560 price level ke aas paas hai jo seller troops ka target level hai. Stoploss level ko transaction level se takriban 35 pips door place karna chahiye.

USD ka dollar (USD) Canadian dollar (CAD) ke khilaf chauthay din se kamzor ho raha hai, jo ke 1.3610 ke aas paas mojud hai. Yeh girawat kayi factors ki wajah se ho rahi hai, jismain se pehla factor kamzor USD hai jo ke disappointing US economic data ki wajah se hai. ADP employment report ne private sector jobs ki kam azafaat ki sab se kam taqmeel pesh ki hai panch mahinon mein, jise expectations se kum hokar khasoosi rate cut ki speculation ko barhaya hai Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se 2024 mein. Yeh scenario April 2020 se sab se ahem rate reduction hoga. Dusri taraf, Canada ki economic picture mixed bag pesh kar rahi hai. Canadian Purchase Manager Index (PMI) ne private sector production mein contraction ka ishara diya hai, lekin cost pressures mein bhi girawat ki isharaat di hain. Yeh Bank of Canada (BOC) ko borrowing costs ko kam karne par sochnay par majboor kar sakta hai, jo ke CAD ko kamzor karne aur USD/CAD pair ko thora sa support dene ki possibility hai. Market ka focus aaj Canada ke June ke net employment change data par hai. Forecasts ke mutabiq ismein ek decrease 26,700 se 22,500 tak ka predict kiya gaya hai, sath hi sath unemployment rate mein 6.2% se 6.3% tak ka izafa bhi ho sakta hai.




Technically, USD/CAD pair ne is hafte selling pressure ka saamna kiya hai jab isne apni recent trading range ke upper limit 1.3750 ke qareeb resistance encounter kiya. Yeh level bhi 200-day Simple Moving Average (EMA) ke saath milta hai, jo ke long-term trends ke liye aik key indicator hai. Bearish sentiment ko mazeed barhane ke liye, Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators dono ek potential downtrend ka ishara dete hain. RSI abhi 50 ke neeche hai aur mazeed gir raha hai, jabke MACD zero line ke neeche position mein hai, jo ke momentum ki kamzori ko darshaata hai. Agar selling pressure jaari rahe aur pair immediate support level 1.3590 ke neeche break ho jaye, to girawat 1.3475 region tak intensify ho sakti hai, jo ke early April mein support ka kaam karta tha. Yeh scenario USD/CAD dynamic mein aik significant shift ko highlight karega.

USD/CAD Pair Trading Analysis

USD/CAD pair ne early Asian session ke doran 1.3605 ke qareeb negative note par trade kiya. Pair ke downward trend ko ek kamzor US dollar bond ne support kiya hai. Jumeraat ko US aur Canadian employment reports release hone wale hain. USD/CAD ne apni har ek fourth straight session ke liye losing streak extend kiya, Jumeraat ke early European hours mein 1.3610 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Yeh girawat ek kamzor US dollar ki wajah se hui hai jo ke increased speculation ke zariye fuel hua hai ke United States Federal Reserve (Fed) 2024 mein interest rates ko cut kar sakta hai. Budh ke din, USISM services PMI ne June mein tezi se gir kar 48.8 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke April 2020 se sab se bari girawat hai. ADP employment report ne dikhaya ke US private businesses ne June mein apni payroll mein 150,000 workers ko shamil kiya, jo ke panch mahinon mein sab se slow increase hai. Yeh number expectations 160,000 se kam tha aur May mein downwardly revised 157,000 se bhi kam tha. Traders Friday ke U.S. jobs report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jismein June mein job growth ki slow hone ki ummeed hai. U.S. nonfarm payrolls mein 190,000 new jobs add hone ki ummeed hai, jo ke pehle ke reading 272,000 se kam hai. U.S. average hourly earnings mein thori si moderation ki ummeed hai, jo ke year-over-year 4.1% se 3.9% tak girne ki ummeed hai.

CAD ke front par, crude oil ke prices mein thora sa giravat commodity-linked Canadian dollar ke liye upside ko limit kar sakta hai, kyun ke Canada US ko crude oil ka major exporter hai. West Texas Intermediate oil prices likhte waqt $83.50 per barrel ke aas paas trade kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, latest Canadian Composite PMI ne 47.5 ki reading di hai jo ke private sector output mein contraction aur cost pressures mein easing ka ishara hai, jis se Bank of Canada borrowing costs ko kam karne par majboor ho sakti hai. Yeh Canadian dollar par pressure daal sakta hai aur USD/CAD pair ko support de sakta hai. Jumeraat ko traders Canada ke net change in employment ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jismein June mein 22.5K tak ka fall ki ummeed hai, pehle ke reading 26.7K se kam. Is ke sath sath, Canada ke unemployment rate mein 6.2% se 6.3% tak ka izafa hone ki ummeed hai.