Usd/jpy

USD-JPY Pair Analysis

USD/JPY market ki situation dekh kar lagta hai ke sellers resistance dena shuru kar rahe hain jo USD/JPY price ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Mujhe yeh samajh aata hai ke current trend situation USD/JPY market mein, chahe long-term ho ya short-term, ek bullish trend hai. Isliye mera estimate yeh hai ke sellers ka resistance jo USD/JPY price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, zyada dair tak nahi chalega.

Ab tak lagta hai ke sellers MA 100 indicator ko penetrate karne mein kamiyab ho gaye hain lekin uske neeche continue push nahi kar paaye. USD/JPY ki movement abhi bhi MA100 indicator ke aas paas hai. Mera estimate yeh hai ke buyers USD/JPY price ko wapas upar push karenge taake bullish trend situation ko maintain rakha ja sake. Buyers ke paas zyada chance hain sellers se, kyunke long-term situation USD/JPY market ki bullish trend mein hai.



Mera trading recommendation USD/JPY market mein yeh hai ke entry buy signals ke liye wait karein aur dekhein ke buyers wapas aate hain aur USD/JPY price ko zyada taqat ke sath upar push karte hain. Mera estimate hai ke bullish trend situation USD/JPY market mein continue rahega aur jo maine kai situations mein dekha hai jab sellers zyada taqat ke sath appear karte hain, unhe jaldi hi buyers ka resistance milta hai, matlab ke buyers ab bhi bullish trend situation ko maintain karne ki quwat rakhte hain. Isliye mera estimate hai ke buyers USD/JPY market ko zyada waqt tak control karte rahenge.

USD/JPY currency pair ne is mahine aik aham bullish trend dikhaya hai. March se, yeh musalsal barh rahi hai aur guzishta hafte 157.48 tak pohanch gayi, jo ke strong buying interest ko zahir karti hai. Daily trend ab bhi bullish hai, jo ke agle dinon mein barh ne ka imkaan dikhata hai, 2024 ke aaghaz se consistent hai. Abhi, price consolidate ho rahi hai, jo ke potential further gains se pehle ek mamooli phase hota hai. Is ke bawajood, overall trend ab bhi upward hai, aur consolidation mazeed future price action ke liye stage set kar raha hai.

EMA 50, jo ke EMA 100 ke upar hai, aam tor par yeh strong indicator hota hai ke bullish momentum market mein dominate kar raha hai. Support level 160.313 pehle ki correction ko successfully rok raha hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke yeh level aik significant support area ke tor par kaam karta hai, jahan buyers ne prices ko mazeed girne se bacha liya hai. Correction ke baad, price ab dobara resistance level 161.171 ko retest kar rahi hai. Yeh test aik aham waqt hai kyunki agar price resistance level ko tor deti hai, toh high probability hai ke uptrend continue karega.

Strong buyer movements ko dekhte hue, momentum dekhna aur buy position mein dakhil hona aik aham choice ho sakti hai. Magar, ehtiyaat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Mera trading plan yeh hai ke 161.171 ke resistance ko breakout hone ka intezar karun. Is level ka valid breakout bullish trend ke continuation ko zahir karega aur aik strong signal dega ke buy position mein dakhil hoon.

Aane walay waqt ke liye, saal ke trend ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair se umeed hai ke yeh bullish trajectory ko barqarar rakhegi. Recent highs ke upar breakout sustained upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, aur mazeed buyers ko attract kar sakti hai. Resistance levels aur breakout signals ko monitor karna crucial hoga un traders ke liye jo current market dynamics ke darmiyan trend ke positive continuation ki umeed kar rahe hain.

Nateeja tan, USD/JPY pair 157.74 resistance level par ek critical juncture navigate kar rahi hai. Repeated bounces aur is zone ko penetrate karne mein nakam attempts is barrier ki significance ko highlight karte hain. Jis tarah market aik clear signal ka intezar kar rahi hai, traders ko technical indicators aur fundamental factors dono par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke pair ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. USD/JPY ka safar market forces ke intricate interplay aur forex trading mein strategic analysis ki ahmiyat ka saboot hai.

### USD/JPY Market Forecast

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Good Morning sab ko!

Kal, USD/JPY market ne achanak se tezi se neechay ki taraf slip kiya aur 161.57 zone ke ird gird pohanch gayi. Iske bawajood, humne market mein zyada volatility nahi dekhi. Aaj agar USD/JPY market resistance ya daily high zone ke upar rehti hai, to sellers ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye aur clear rejection signal ka intezar karna chahiye pehle ke aage badhen. Yeh ehtiyaat bharpoor risk ko mitigate karne mein madadgar hai, jo premature trades mein dakhil hone se unfavorable outcomes ko janam de sakti hai. Incoming news events ko monitor karna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh market direction mein significant shifts ko trigger kar sakti hain. In events se ba-khabar rehna traders ko market changes ko anticipate karne aur theek waqt par react karne ki sahulat deta hai.

Trading ke liye, main USD/JPY par aik buy order ko tarjeeh deta hoon, jiska short target point 161.85 hai. Saath hi, news events ka USD/JPY market par asar ko underestimate nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh events aksar market movement ke liye catalysts ka kaam karte hain, jo ke existing trends ko reinforce karte hain ya naye trends ko initiate karte hain. Traders ko in developments ko track karna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh potential market directions ke bare mein critical insights faraham kar sakti hain. Latest news se ba-khabar reh kar, traders better position mein ho sakte hain ta ke market opportunities ko samajh saken aur potential pitfalls se bach saken.

Aaj, US Unemployment rate aur ADP Non-Farm Employment data USD/JPY market ka scenario change kar denge jaldi ya dair se. Overall, USD/JPY sellers ke liye aik selling scenario design karne ke liye tayar lagti hai. Yeh projection prevailing market conditions aur D1 chart se derived insights par mabni hai. Magar traders ko flexible aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai, kyun ke market conditions rapidly evolve kar sakti hain. Nai information aur changing conditions ke response mein strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna successful trading ka aik key aspect hai.

Stay Blessed aur Stay Safe!

Navigating the USD/JPY Price Move

Hamari guftagu ka markaz USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka live tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne 160.09 ke round resistance level ko tor kar apni mazboot growth jari rakhi hui hai. Yeh ab tak 149 points se zyada upward move kar chuki hai aur lagta hai ke bulls mazeed push karenge. Historical levels yahan irrelevant hain kyunke aise heights pehle kabhi nahi dekhi gayi. Mera focus next round level 165.14 par hai. Central Bank of Japan in levels par buyers ko anticipate kar sakti hai. Aaj raat crucial U.S. statistics release honge aur Powell ka khitab bhi ho ga, jo dollar aur pair ki dynamics ko impact kar sakta hai. Dollar ke significant market weakening ki zaroorat hai ta ke current trend mein substantial correction ya reversal justify kiya ja sake.



Warna, fundamental factors further growth ko hinder nahi karte.

Kuch arsa ho gaya hai ke maine isko analyse kiya; channels mukhtalif scenarios ko depict karte hain jo different targets ki taraf le kar jate hain. Aise cases mein, main wave goals par bharosa karta hoon. Jab tak H4 target 161.41 hai, growth 163.17 tak feasible hai, halan ke mazeed gains mushkil lagte hain. Europe Tuesday ke resistance options 161.52 par upar rehti hai, jahan H1 ka uptrend support aur 14.6% level 161.52 converge karte hain, jo ke is retest level se continued growth ko suggest karte hain. Agar 14.6% level 161.52 ke niche consolidation hoti hai to 23.6% level 161.39 aur hatta ke 38.2% level 161.17 ko test kar sakti hai. Latter ko breach karna likely bearish correction ko 50% Fibonacci zone 160.9 aur 61.7% 161.82 tak continue kar sakta hai. Yeh bhi growth ko sustain kar sakti hain. Main American session aur U.S. labour market news ka intezar kar raha hoon jo sham 5 baje release hogi, jo ke further market intentions ko zahir karne mein madadgar hogi.

USD/JPY Trading Situation Ka Tajziya

Kal, /JPY pair ne resistance line ko test karne ki mazeed positive koshish ki, jo ke abhi 161.563 par hai. Saath hi, MACD ke clear negative signals bhi saamne aaye hain, jo aane wale sessions mein bearish trend ke resume hone ke chances ko support karte hain. 161.83-161.58 ke darmiyan bounce back, agle major station 161.48-161.73 ke liye rasta khol sakta hai.

Yeh yaad rakhein ke agar 161.80-161.63 ka breach hota hai, to USD/JPY price ko higher push karega aur near term mein pre-recorded high 161.93 tak pohancha sakta hai.

Kal ke trading session mein, USD/JPY pair ne resistance line ko test karne ki kayi koshish ki, jo ke traders ke liye aik significant level hai. MACD indicators negative signals de rahe hain, jo ke bearish trend ke resume hone ke chances ko barhate hain. Iska matlab hai ke agar price is level se rebound karti hai, to bearish trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai.


161.83-161.58 ke darmiyan ka level bohot crucial hai. Agar price is level se rebound karti hai, to USD/JPY pair 161.48-161.73 ki taraf move kar sakti hai, jo ke next major station hai. Yeh levels market ke liye important hain aur traders ko inhe closely monitor karna chahiye.

### Trading Strategy

Traders ko apni trading strategies in key levels ke mutabiq adjust karni chahiye. Agar price 161.80-161.63 level ko breach karti hai, to yeh USD/JPY price ko higher push kar sakta hai aur near term mein pre-recorded high 161.93 tak pohancha sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, bullish trend ke chances barh jate hain aur traders ko apni positions accordingly adjust karni chahiye.

Magar, agar price is resistance level se rebound karti hai aur girti hai, to yeh bearish trend ke continuation ko confirm karegi. In levels ke niche stability market ke bearish outlook ko support karegi aur next target 161.48-161.73 ki taraf move ho sakta hai.

Kal ke trading session ke tajziya se yeh wazeh hai ke market mein significant volatility hai. MACD ke negative indicators aur resistance line par kayi attempts dikhate hain ke bearish trend ke resume hone ke chances zyada hain. Traders ko in key levels 161.83-161.58 aur 161.80-161.63 ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur apni trading strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye.

Agar price 161.80-161.63 level ko breach karti hai, to near term mein pre-recorded high 161.93 tak pohanchne ke chances barh jate hain. Warna, agar price rebound karti hai aur girti hai, to yeh bearish trend ke continuation ko confirm karegi aur next target 161.48-161.73 ho sakta hai. In sab factors ko dekhte hue, traders ko informed decisions lene chahiye aur apni positions ko accordingly manage karna chahiye.

Trading Wisdom: USD/JPY Prices


Hamara aaj ka tawajjo USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda aur potential future movements par dene par hai. Pichle haftay ke trading activity ne ek peak growth limit ki nishani di, aur abwaqt ka ek bearish outlook hai. Anay wale haftay mein is neeche ki trend ka jari rakhna munsarim hai, jo pehle se shuru ho chukka hai aur mazeed bharte jaa raha hai.
USD/JPY Par Asar Daalne Wale Factors

Federal Reserve Ka Asar


Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke hal mein di gayi statements ne USD/JPY pair par bade asar daale hain. Powell ke comments ne future interest rate hikes par kam aggressive stance ko zahir kiya hai, jo US dollar ko kamzor karne mein madadgar sabit hua hai. Ye monetary policy par doveish outlook, USD ke performance ko aane wale mahinon mein shape karne wala ahem factor hai. Haalaanki dollar ki kami anavoidable hai, lekin ye dhire dhire hue badalawat hai, jaani wale anyesh hai.
Bank of Japan ke Amal


Is pair ke doosri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka bhi khaas kirdar hai. BoJ ke September mein rate hike aur tighten measures ki shurwaaat ne USD/JPY ke liye bearish sentiment ko badhaya hai. Japan ka tradition se ultra-loose monetary policy se zyada hawkish stance mein shift hone se yen ko support milne ki umeed hai, jisse pair ko neeche dabaav milega.
Technical Analysis aur Targets


Maujooda maqroozaafah aur dono central banks ke amal ke madhyam se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka hone ki bohot zyada sambhavana hai. Technical analysis is fundamental outlook ke saath milkar hai. Is bearish movement ka maqrooz target 159.33 ke aas paas hai. Ye level ek ahem support zone ko represent karta hai jahan par hume kuch consolidation ya potential reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
Shuruaati Qadam aur Reversal Confirmation


Agar correction move ho, to ek ahem level 160.62 watch karna hai. Is level ka tootna ek ahem qadam hoga potential reversal ko confirm karne ki taraf. 160.62 ka tootne par, traders ko buy position consider karne se pehle aur confirmation signals dekhne chahiye. Ye signals reversal candlestick patterns, support levels par zyada volume ya RSI ya MACD jaise momentum indicators mein bullish dafaqat ke signals include kar sakti hain.
Strategic Approach


Bearish outlook ke maqrooz, strategic approach focus ko bechne ki opportunities par hona chahiye. Yahan key steps hain:

1. Economic Indicators Ka Monitoring:

• US economic data aur Federal Reserve ke kisi bhi naye statements par nazar rakhna jo dollar ko asar daal sakte hain.
• Bank of Japan ke kisi bhi further policy adjustments ya announcements ka wait karna.

1. Technical Levels:

• 160.62 level ke aas paas price action ko dekhna reversal ke signs ki taraf, jo neeche ki trend ka jari rahne ka ishara hoga.
• 159.33 level ko ek main support target banana jahan potential reversal ho sakta hai.

1. Confirmation Signals:

• Sell positions enter karne se pehle bearish confirmation signals dhoondhna. Ye bearish candlestick formations jaise evenings star, head and shoulders patterns, ya descending triangles include kar sakti hain.
• Agar 160.62 ka breach ho, to reversal patterns ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhna jo indicate karte hain ke downtrend momentum kho raha hai.

Conclusion


Aakhir mein, USD/JPY pair mojooda ke liye taiyar hai ek continued bearish trend ke liye, jo Federal Reserve ke doveish signals aur Bank of Japan ke hawkish measures se influence hota hai. Traders ko selling opportunities par focus rakhna chahiye, khaaskar jab 160.62 level ko breach hota hai, target 159.33 par dekhne ka nazariya hona chahiye. Technical signals aur fundamental developments par vigilant rehkar, traders USD/JPY market ko aane wale hafton mein effectively navigate kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Analysis Updates

USDJPY ke movement ke liye meri analysis ke mutabiq, technically abhi bhi yeh girne ke asaar hain aur yeh price 160.400 tak ja sakta hai. H1 time frame mein USDJPY ke pair ne bearish candle engulfing banaya hai jo ke ek bohot strong signal hai SELL karne ka aur yeh price 160.400 tak gir sakta hai. RSI 14 indicator ke hisaab se bhi, USDJPY ka price 160.75 par na overbought hai aur na hi oversold, isliye bohot zyada chances hain ke Monday ko USDJPY apne bearish trend ko follow kare aur price 160.400 tak pahunch jaaye.

SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke use se bhi USDJPY ke SELL signal ko support milta hai kyun ke jab USDJPY ka price 161.20 par pohoncha tha, toh yeh SBR area mein tha yaani support become resistance, isliye yeh bohot possible hai ke USDJPY ko gire aur price 160.400 tak jaaye. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, mein ne faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko SELL karoon jab tak ke price 160.400 tak na pohonch jaaye.

Technical Reference:
- Sell as long as it is below 161.355
- Resistance 1: 161.190
- Resistance 2: 161.355
- Support 1: 160.385
- Support 2:160.200

USDJPY ab tak selling pressure ke neeche hai aur US trading session tak (5/7/24) girne ke chances hain kyun ke price ne Bullish channel area ko breakout kar liya hai aur Moving Average jo ke ab running price ke upar hai, bearish potential ko aur bhi barha deta hai.

Ek ghante ke chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 minute ke chart pe bhi girne ke asaar hain kyun ke USDJPY abhi bearish channel mein hai, aur Moving Average running price ke upar hai, jo ke yeh batata hai ke one-hour price movement ka average value abhi bhi girega. Agar scenario ke mutabiq dekha jaye toh USDJPY ke paas girne ka mauka hai aur support level 160.200 ko test kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY Analysis Update:

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ke future movement ke liye, technically yeh phir se 160.400 price tak girne ki taraf ja raha hai. Iska reason hai ke H1 timeframe mein USD/JPY currency pair ka movement ek bearish candle engulfing form kiya hai, jo ke ek bahut hi strong SELL signal hai USD/JPY ke liye 160.400 price tak. Iske alawa, meri RSI 14 indicator ki observations ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price 160.75 par abhi tak overbought ya oversold price nahi dikha rahi hai, iska matlab hai ke agle Monday ko USD/JPY apne bearish trend ko follow kar sakta hai jo 160.400 price tak pahunch sakta hai. USD/JPY SELL signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke istemal se bhi support mil raha hai, kyun ke jab USD/JPY price 161.20 mein enter hua, toh yeh SBR area yaani support se resistance ban gaya hai, isliye USD/JPY ko future mein 160.400 price tak kaafi gehra correction bhi ho sakta hai. Mere technical analysis ke natije mein, maine decide kiya hai ke future mein USD/JPY currency pair ko SELL karna hai jab tak ke price 160.400 tak na pahunch jaye.

USD/JPY ke liye Resistance aur Support levels:
- Resistance 1: 161.190
- Resistance 2: 161.355
- Support 1: 160.385
- Support 2: 160.200

USD/JPY abhi tak selling pressure ke neeche hai aur US trading session ke dauran (5/7/24) girne ki opportunity dekhi ja sakti hai. Yeh giravat ka potential price ko breakout karne se bhi dekha ja sakta hai jo bullish channel area aur Moving Average ke upar current price ke saath add ho raha hai aur bearish potential ko bada raha hai.

Mujhe ummeed hai ke yeh update aapko helpful rahega USD/JPY ke trading decisions mein. Agar aur koi sawaal ya analysis chahiye ho toh zaroor bataye.

## USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Weekly pivot level 160.50 aur resistance level 162.10 ke darmiyan ka area aik neutral zone mana gaya hai jahan price sideways move kar sakti hai. Aakhri do hafton se, pair ka movement downward raha hai aur is haftay ka aghaz bhi falling price channels ke andar se hua hai. Price ne trading start ki aur support mili middle aur upper lines of price channels se jo upper lines tak pohnchi. Prices ab downward ja rahi hain lekin pivot level ke qareeb hain, is liye price behavior ka check zaroori hai jab prices downward ja rahi hain. Yeh level reach karna next trend establish karne ke liye zaroori hai. Ek movement upwards aur downwards white rectangle ke andar aasakti hai jaldi hi. Green lines indicate karti hain ek potential upside ko jab price break karti hai aur close karti hai resistance levels 161.80 aur 162.50 ke upar. Agar price resistance levels ke upar break karti hai aur close karti hai, toh in green lines par rely kiya ja sakta hai.

### Visual Representation


### Key Observations

1. **Downward Movement**: Agar price girti hai aur successfully weekly pivot ko break karti hai aur 4-hour candle ko iske niche close karti hai, toh ispar rely kiya ja sakta hai.
2. **Buying Opportunity**: USD/JPY ko current level se khareedna mumkin hai; stop loss level 161.10 se niche hona chahiye aur target level 162.30 se upar.
3. **Selling Signal**: Aik candle jo weekly pivot ke niche close hoti hai selling position mein enter karne ka signal de sakti hai agar yeh iske niche close hoti hai.

Agar price resistance level 162.30 ko break karti hai aur close karti hai, toh movement ka potential hai. Ek candle jo weekly pivot ke niche close hoti hai, yeh signal serve kar sakti hai selling position mein enter karne ka.

Japanese yen ki qeemat taqreeban 162 yen per US dollar tak gir gayi, jo 1986 se ab tak apne sab se neechay level par hai aur markets mein hukoomati mudakhlat ke khauf ko barqarar rakhti hai. Ye girawat Japan aur America ke darmiyan sood ki daron ke farq ki wajah se thi, aur Donald Trump ke doosri dafa president ban'ne ke imkaan se bhi, jo Treasury bond yields ko aur barha sakta hai. Yeh analysis likhtay waqt USD/JPY ki qeemat 161.50 ke qareeb hai
Bank of Japan ki monetary conditions ko normalize karne mein kami ne yen ko aur bhi niche kar diya, halan ke kuch spekulation hai ke Bank of Japan apni agli policy meeting mein sood ki dar barha sakti hai. Central bank ne note kiya ke Japanese yen ki kamzori import costs ko barha deti hai, jo inflationary pressures ko badhati hai aur household consumption ko nuqsan pohanchati hai. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne Tuesday ko yeh bhi kaha ke hukoomat currency movements par nazar rakhe hue hai, aur foreign exchange levels mukhtalif factors ke complex mix ko reflect karte hain
US Central Bank policy ke moamlay par, Bank ke aakhri meeting ki minutes ke mutabiq, US Federal Reserve ne June 2024 mein federal funds target range ko 5.25%-5.50% par barqarar rakha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha. Policymakers ko umeed nahi ke interest rates ko cut karna munasib hoga jab tak inflation ko sustainable tor par 2% ke taraf jane ka yaqeen na ho
Dot plot ke mutabiq, policymakers sirf ek rate cut is saal dekh rahe hain aur chaar 2025 mein. March mein, Fed ne 2024 mein teen cuts aur 2025 mein teen cuts dekhe the. Fed ne GDP growth forecasts mein koi adjustments nahi ki, aur ab bhi economy ko 2024 mein 2.1%, aur 2025 aur 2026 mein 2% barhtay hue dekh raha hai
Isi doran, PCE inflation ko 2024 ke liye barhaya gaya (2.6% vs. 2.4% March forecast) aur agle saal ke liye (2.3% vs. 2.2%), lekin 2026 ke liye 2% par barqarar rakha. Core PCE inflation ko bhi 2024 ke liye revise kiya gaya (2.8% vs. 2.6%) aur 2025 ke liye (2.3% vs. 2.2%), lekin 2026 ke liye 2% par barqarar rakha. Unemployment rate ko 2024 ke liye 4% (March forecast ke mutabiq) aur 2025 mein thoda barhta hua (4.2% vs. 4.1%) dekh raha hai
Jaise ke mein pehle umeed karta tha, USD/JPY ki qeemat ka general trend upward hi rahega, chahay dollar ki qeemat baqi major currencies ke mukablay gir bhi jaye, jab tak Japanese intervention forex markets mein nahi hoti exchange rate ko rokne ke liye. Agar mudakhlat hoti hai, toh strong selling operations profit lene ke liye honge, jo currency pair ka direction short term mein bearish kar denge. Filhaal, sab se qareeb resistance levels 161.75, 162.30, aur 163.00 hain. Yeh bhi dhyan mein rakhein ke kal US jobs numbers ka elan hoga jo US dollar ki performance par asar dalega

## USD/JPY H-1 Analysis

Hello, caffeine addicts. Jaisa ke is waqt likhte hue, USD/JPY pair flat trade kar raha hai 161.543 par chart ke pehle hissay mein. Instaforex company indicator ke pehle hissa forum par dikhata hai ke bulls aur bears ke darmiyan ek barabar gap hai, jahan pehle wale 50.13% range mein hain. Doosra hissa indicator ka neutral position dikhata hai. Aaj is pair se kya surprises mil sakte hain? Japan se koi aham aur interesting news expected nahi hai, aur United States aaj chutti par hai. Independence Day. Toh primary focus technical analysis par hai. Sabse basic cheez hai aaram karna. Mukhtasir mein, kya ho raha hai? Mujhe lagta hai ke pair pehle south ko 161.10 level tak correct karega aur phir north ko 162.90 level tak reverse karega. Sabko good luck hunting!


## USD/JPY H-4 Analysis

Good morning everybody!

USD/JPY pair Asian session ke doran sabse kam volatile rahi. Pair wapas is haftay ke highs par hai. Kal, pair ne neeche jane ki koshish ki, lekin ab tak fail rahi. Yen mukhtalif factors se firm pressure mein hai. Bank of Japan ne ab tak apni currency ke depreciation par react nahi kiya. Aaj ka economic calendar benign hai. Zyada tar secondary sources Europe se hongi. America Independence Day manara hai. Sab nazarain kal par hain. United States ko employment data release karna hai. Mujhe nahi lagta ke pair ke pehle half mein koi bade moves dekhnay ko milenge aur phir se downside ko correct karega, lekin overall mujhe lagta hai ke uptrend continue karega. Expected reversal point 160.65 hai aur main is point ke upar buy karunga targets 162.45 aur 163.35 par. Agar pair decline karta hai, 160.65 se breakout karta hai aur merge karta hai, toh yeh 160.15 aur 159.85 ke taraf raasta khol dega.

USD/JPY TAARUFIYAT UPDATE
Aage chal kar USDJPY currency pair ki harkat ke mutaliq, meri tashreeh ke mutabiq, takhmeenati tor par abhi bhi yeh 160.400 ke qareeb girne ki taraf rukh kar raha hai. Is liye ke H1 time frame mein USDJPY currency pair ki harkat ne ek bearish candle engulfing banaya hai jo SELL USDJPY ke liye bohat taqatwar signal hai 160.400 ke qareeb. Is ke ilawa, RSI 14 indicator par meri ghawahiyon ke mutabiq, 160.75 ke qeemat par USDJPY ki keemat ne overbought ya oversold ke imkaanat nahi dikhai hain, is liye bohat zyada mumkin hai ke agle haftay ke peer ko USDJPY apni bearish trend ko follow karega jo ke 160.400 tak pohanch sakta hai. USDJPY SELL signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke istemaal se bhi support mil raha hai kyunki jab USDJPY ke qeemat ne 161.20 ko guzara, to yeh SBR area mein daakhil ho gayi thi jahan support resistance ban jata hai, is liye bohat zyada mumkin hai ke USDJPY mazeed neechay 160.400 ke qareeb giray gi. USDJPY currency pair ke liye meri takhmeenati tashreeh ke natijay mein, maine faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko 160.400 tak future mein SELL kia jaye ga.





Technical Reference: 161.355 ke resistance ke neeche rehne par bechna jari rakhen.
Resistance 1: 161.190
Resistance 2: 161.355
Support 1: 160.385
Support 2: 160.200

USDJPY US trading session ke dauran (5/7/24) bechne ke dabao ke neeche rehta hai aur yeh mauqa bhi de raha hai ke bullish channel area ko breakout kare aur Moving Average jo abhi daur mein qeemat se oopar hai, yeh bearish potenial ko mazeed barha raha hai.

Ek ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, 15 minute ke chart par bhi girne ka mauqa de raha hai kyunki USDJPY abhi ek bearish channel mein phans gaya hai, aur Moving Average bhi daur mein qeemat se oopar hai, jo kehta hai ke aik ghante ke qeemat ke average girne ka mauqa hai. Agar yeh manzoor ho, to USDJPY ka mauqa hai ke 160.200 ke support level ko test kare.

USD/JPY

Recent trading sessions mein, USD/JPY pair ne kafi strength dikhayi hai, aur pichle paanch dino mein se chaar din yeh gains ke sath band hui hai. Latest Asian session mein yeh lagbhag 162.00 ke aas paas pohanch gayi, jo ek all-time high ke qareeb hai. Magar yeh abhi bhi 161.00 ki critical supply zone ke neeche hai, jo traders ki cautious sentiment ko reflect karta hai, kyunki is hafte kuch important US economic data aur central bank ke announcements aane wale hain.

Market Sentiment aur Economic Indicators:

Aane wale US consumer inflation figures ka release, jo Wednesday ko scheduled hai, market ka mood set karne wala hai. Market participants is data ka besabri se intezar kar rahe hain, kyunki yeh Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting se pehle aane wala hai, jahan monetary policy ke decisions ko closely scrutinize kiya jata hai. Analysts aur investors in events ko ghaur se dekhenge taake Federal Reserve ke timeline ke bare mein pata chale ki potential interest rate adjustments kab ho sakte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ke near-term trajectory ko kaafi affect kar sakta hai.

Recent market sentiment risk aversion ki taraf hai, jo speculation se affect hai ki Fed anticipated rate cuts ko delay kar sakta hai, shayad November ya December meetings tak. Is cautious outlook ke chalte S&P 500 ka negative opening hui aur 10-year US Treasury yields 4.45% tak badh gayi. Saath hi, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo dollar ka performance major currencies ke against reflect karta hai, 104.80 tak retreat kar gaya, jo global financial markets mein uncertainty ko underscore karta hai.

Technical Analysis aur Support Levels:

Agar USD/JPY pair apni decline ko current weekly low 156.64 ke neeche extend karti hai, toh yeh kuch support levels face kar sakti hai, jaise Senkou Span A 155.89 par, Senkou Span B 155.65 par aur 50-day moving average (DMA) 155.22 par. Yeh levels potential downside risks ko assess karne mein pivotal hain.


Agar buyers 160.00 ke psychological barrier ke upar pair ko le jaane mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to agla resistance area qareeb hi ke recent high 161.00 par hoga. Is level ke upar breakout mazeed gains ke liye raasta khol sakta hai jo 160.94 tak ja sakta hai aur shayad year-to-date high 161.97 ko challenge kare. Ye levels USD/JPY pair ke bullish momentum aur market sentiment ko assess karne ke liye critical milestones hain.

USD/JPY Karobar Ki Tashreeh:
Kal, USD/JPY jora ne mazeed musbat koshishen ki thi ke resistance line ko azmae jo ke ab 161.563 par hai. Is ke saath saath, MACD ke zariye wazeh manfi signals nazr aaye hain jo ke aane wale sessions mein bearish trend ko dobara shuru karne ke imkaanat ko support karte hain. 161.83-161.58 ke darmiyan bounce back 161.48-161.73 ki taraf rasta khol sakta hai jo ke agla bara station hai.

Yad rakhein ke 161.80-161.63 ke paar jane se USD/JPY ki qeemat ko mazeed ooncha kar sakta hai jo ke qareebi arse mein 161.93 ke pre-recorded high tak pohanch sakta hai.

Kal ke trading session mein, USD/JPY jora ne resistance line ko azmae ke liye mazeed koshishen ki thi jo ke ab 161.563 par hai, traders ke liye ahem level hai. MACD indicators manfi signals de rahe hain jo bearish trend ko dobara shuru hone ke imkaanat ko barha rahe hain. Iska matlab hai ke agar qeemat is level se rebound kare, to bearish trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai.





Trading Strategy

Traders ko apni trading strategies in ahem levels ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Agar qeemat 161.80-161.63 ke level ko paar karti hai, to USD/JPY ki qeemat ko mazeed ooncha karne ke imkaanat barh jate hain aur qareebi arse mein 161.93 ke pre-recorded high tak pohanchne ke chances hote hain. Aisi surat mein, bullish trend ke imkaanat barh jati hain aur traders ko apne positions ko mutabiq tarmeem karna chahiye.

Magar agar qeemat is resistance level se rebound kare aur girne lage, to yeh bearish trend ke jari rehne ko tasdeeq karega. In levels ke neechay qayam barqarar rehna market ke bearish outlook ko support karega aur agla target 161.48-161.73 ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Kal ke USD/JPY pair ke trading session ki tashreeh se wazeh hai ke market mein mazeed halchal hai. MACD ke manfi indicators aur resistance line par mazeed koshishen bearish trend ke dobara shuru hone ke imkaanat ko zahir karte hain. Traders ko 161.83-161.58 aur 161.80-161.63 ke ahem levels ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karna chahiye aur apni trading strategies ko us ke mutabiq tarmeem karna chahiye.

Agar qeemat 161.80-161.63 ke level ko paar karti hai, to qareebi arse mein 161.93 ke pre-recorded high tak pohanchne ke imkaanat barh jate hain. Ulta, agar qeemat rebound kare aur girne lage, to yeh bearish trend ke jari rehne ko tasdeeq karega aur agla target 161.48-161.73 ho sakta hai. In tamam factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, traders ko maqool faislon par pohanchne aur apne positions ko mutabiq manage karne chahiye.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
Yen pichle trading week mein kamzor hota raha aur 35 saal se zyada ke record kamzori par pohanch gaya. Qeemat mustaqil raftaar se barhti rahi hai aur almost kisi wazeh rukawat ke baghair, jis ne isay maqsad zone tak pohanchne aur uske maqsad ko hasil karne ki izazat di. Is ke ilawa, qeemat ka chart super-trending green zone mein qaim hai, jo ke yeh ishara deta hai ke khareedne walon ka control hai.

Aaj ke technical tasawwur mein, 240-minute chart par qareeb se nazar dalte hain, hum dekhte hain ke pair ka 160.00 level ek mazboot mabain rukawat ke tor par qaim ho gaya hai jo ke oonche rukh ko temporarily rok sakta hai, aur hum dekhte hain ke stochastic jo ke stage ke qareeb overbought hai. Yahan se agar day trading 160.00 ke neeche rehti hai, to hum ek correctional giravat dekh sakte hain jis ka target pehle 159.35 ko dobara azmae jaane ke taur par hai, us ke baad jo 158.90 ke ooper bhi pohanch sakta hai. 160.00 ke baad shuru hone wale oonchi rukh movement ke sath koi tanaza nahi hai jo pehle 160.40 aur 161.00 ki taraf raasta kholta hai. Neeche chart dekhein:




Prices abhi apni agle haftay ki bulandi ke qareeb barh rahe hain. Bunyadi support areas abhi tak azmae nahi gaye hain aur unka paband qaim hai, jo ke ooper ki rukh ki mumkinah haiyat ko dikhata hai. Aqwam ab naye unchayi par qadam rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is kaam ko anjam dene ke liye qeemat ko taqreeban 160.26 area ke andar taqwiyat hasil karni hogi, jo ke abhi major support area ke qareeb hai. Is level par mukarrar azmaish aur is ke baad ki jumla rebound, ek naye lahre ke raaste ko khol sakte hain jis ka target 163.14 aur 164.40 ke area mein ho sakta hai.

Agar support tor jaye aur qeemat 158.43 ke reversal level ke neeche gir jaye, to is mojuda manazir ko mansookh karne ka ishaara mil jayega.