usd/jpy

USD/ JPY Price Activity
Ham abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ke tajziya mein masroof hain. Maine channel ko mukammal tor par jaancha hai, aur yahan kam resistance hai; yehi wajah hai ke bullish trend ke hone ki sambhavna hai. Uttar ki taraf traffic palat raha hai, jaise ke technical indicators batate hain. Candlestick patterns ki tashreeh se maloom hota hai ke mazeed urooj ke liye mumkinat hain. Trend kafi arsay se vikasit ho raha hai, aur chand lamho ke liye rukaavat ke bawajood, irteqa ko jari rakhne ka irada hai.

Bilkul sahi waqt ki tashkeel karna mushkil hai, lekin yeh strategy kamyab hai, aur mujhe yaqeen hai ke meri tabdiliyon ke aghaaz durust honge. 161.16 ke level par correction ke baad khareedne ka mouqa hai. Is manzar mein, lambay arsay ke invest mein faida mand hoga, aur yeh approach behtar munafa dene wala hai.

Ummeed hai yeh madad de!

Naturally, main nafaa ki hifazat ko bhi shamil kiya hai, jo jald amal mein aa sakta hai, isliye mauqa pakadna zaroori hai. Keemat ke nazariye aur jazbaat mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai. Main dollar-yen pair ko ghanta baz mein tajziya kar raha hoon. Shuru mein, pair ek uptrend channel ke andar trade kar raha tha, jo toot gaya. Trend channel ke nichle hudood ke wajah se giravat ka imkaan tha. Bechne ka volume na hone ke wajah se, maine mustaqil giravat ka toor nahin dekha. 160.916 ke support level ka imkaan tha, jis se pair mein ek range thi jahan yeh lag raha tha ke buyers ke stops lag rahe hain. In stops ke baad, buyers ne volume jama karne shuru kiya. Khareedne ki hadooden activated ho gayi, jo mazeed izaafa ki taraf ishara deti hain. Is tarah, pair 162.941 ke resistance level tak pahunchega.

Mujhe ummeed hai ke yeh tafseeli bayan madad de raha ho!

USD/ JPY Price Activity


"Abhi hum USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing decode karne ke process mein hain. Mein ne channel ko thoray se ghaur se dekha hai, aur wahan kam rokawat hai; yeh bullish trend ka mukhya karan hai jo abhi bhi mumkin hai. Uttr ki taraf traffic revers ho raha hai, jaise technical indicators bata rahe hain. Candlestick patterns ki tafseelati tehqiqat isharay deti hain ke mazeed upar ki taraf movement ki mumkinat hain. Trend kafi arsay se develop ho raha hai, aur chand lamhon ke liye tham gaya hai, lekin irada hai ke aagay barhna hai. Growth ki mojooda waqt ka theek andaza lagana mushkil hai, lekin yeh strategy kaamyaab hai, aur mujhe yakeen hai ke meri tashkeelat durust hongi. 161.16 ke level par correction ke baad khareedne ka mauqa hai. Is scenario mein, lambi arzi nivesh zyada faiday mand hoga, aur yeh approach behtar araaz dene wala hai."



"Fitri tor par, mein ne faida ki hifazat bhi shamil ki hai, jo jald hi amal mein aa sakta hai, is liye mauqa pakarna zaroori hai. Keemat ka nazariya aur jazbaat mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai. Mein dollar-yen pair ko ghantay ki chart par tajziya kar raha hoon. Shuru mein, pair ek uptrend channel ke andar trade kar raha tha, jo toot gaya. Trend channel ke neechay ke hudood mein giravat ki umeed thi. Bikri volume ki ausat ki wajah se, mein ne musalsal giravat ka intezar nahi kiya. 160.916 ki support level mumkin tha, jis se pair ek range mein tha jahan yeh lag raha tha ke yeh range ke andar khareedne wale ke stops tak pohanch gaya hai. In stops ke baad, khareedne wale volume jama karne lage. Khareedne ke hadood faail gaye, jo mazeed izafa ki taraf ishara dete hain. Is tarah, pair 162.941 ke resistance level tak pohanchega."

USD/JPY


Humari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke price action assessment par hai. USD/JPY currency pair mein ek potential intervention ki baat chal rahi hai. Is pair ka price significant barhne ki umeed nahi hai. Japan ne apni stance ko reiterate kiya hai against highly devalued yen, jo ke meri expectation ko support karta hai ke price increases limited rahengi. Current market trends aur economic indicators ke base par, main predict karta hoon ke US dollar short term mein modest strengthen karega, uske baad ek fluctuation ka period aayega aur potential weakening ho sakti hai. Ye sirf meri perspective hai, aur market dynamics aksar unpredictable hoti hain. Sirf waqt hi bata sakta hai ke ye forecast kitna accurate hai.



Market Bank of Japan ke representative se sceptical lagi, jo ke kehte hain ke Bank kisi bhi waqt intervene kar sakti hai aur yeh 24/7 likely hai. Is announcement ne Friday ko yen mein brief spike interest cause kiya, lekin decline tab se stabilize ho gaya. Trading range 160.16 aur 159.31 ke darmiyan hai, aur pair isi range mein rehne ki umeed hai jab tak significant US news emerge na ho—unless Bank of Japan verbal warnings ke ilawa ziada substantial interventions kare. Aisa event ho sakta hai agar growth 160.16 ko surpass kare, jo ke risky bana deta hai pair ko ab buy karna, despite technical indicators jo otherwise suggest karte hain. Hum isko closely observe karenge. Positive trends in US pair ko higher targets par drive kar sakti hain, lekin dekhenge cheezein kaise unfold hoti hain. Agar channel hold karta hai, to growth target 164th range mein ho sakta hai, jo ke technical analysis ke mutabiq plausible hai. Humein Bank of Japan ke actions ke bare mein vigilant rehna hoga.

USD/JPY /H4

Aaj, sirf low aur medium-impact news hai. Forex market aaj shant rahegi jab tak koi breaking news nahi aati, jo zaroor market ko kaafi hila de gi. Aaj forex market mein zyada volatility nahi hogi. Mehfooz rehne ke liye, ehtiyaat se trade karna behtar hoga. Aaj aur hamesha trade karte waqt apne money management skills ka acha istemal karein. Niche diye gaye picture ko dekhein taake aaj ki news ke bare mein zyada maloomat hasil ho sake.



Moving Average indicator ko Daily time window par monitor karte hue dekha ja sakta hai ke price ya candle abhi bhi MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, kaafi wide distance ke sath, lekin pichle kuch dino mein sellers ke trading ko dominate karne ke kamyab hone se price potentially niche bearish move karne lagi hai. Strong bearish candlesticks ke support ke sath price ke sabse qareebi target, yani MA 50 Red area ko test karne ke liye move karne ka imkaan hai jo is haftay ke trading mein 157.45-157.40 par hai.

Asian market session mein Monday ko trading karte waqt, aisa lagta hai ke price abhi bhi sellers ke dominate karne ki koshish mein hai jo apne bearish momentum ko maintain karna chahte hain. Sellers ka plan hai ke bearish move ko niche lekar jayein buyer support area tak jo 160.48-160.45 par hai, taake is area ko validly break out kar sakein aur price ko mazeed weak karne ka potential ho jaye, agle bearish target ke sath jo buyer demand support area 159.75-159.70 par hai. Iske ilawa, sellers ko resistance area 161.25-161.30 ko bhi bullish buyer efforts se bachana hoga kyun ke agar yeh seller ka defense area break ho gaya, to USD/JPY pair ka price phir se mazboot ho jaye ga.

USD/CHF Ka Tehqiqi Jaiza

Hello sab traders,

Kayi din ke upward movement ke baad, USD/CHF ne aakhirkar Wednesday ko girawat dikhayi. Yeh girawat significant thi, jahan currency pair lagbhag 60 pips neeche gaya. Yeh girawat candle ke 0.9050 resistance ko breach na kar paane ki wajah se hui. Buyers ki kuch resistance ke bawajood, jo ke chart par long candle tail se zahir hota hai, USD/CHF ne phir se upar ka rukh kiya. Thursday ko, USD/CHF 0.9014 par open hua, jo ke peechle din ki opening se neeche tha.

H1 timeframe ka tajziya karte hue, jab candle supply area 0.9047 ko breach na kar saki, to pehle ki upward movement abruptly change hui. Supply area ko touch karne se pehle, USD/CHF zyada tar upward move kar raha tha. Lekin, jab candle demand area 0.8987 ko pohonchi, to pair ne phir se upar ka rukh kiya, lekin yeh sirf ek correction lag rahi hai. Agar yeh upar ki taraf jaari rahti hai, to yeh qareebi resistance 0.9047 ko cross nahi karegi. Agar yeh kar leti hai, to girawat ke chances kam ho jayenge.

Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke USD/CHF ke girne ke baad, candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche shift ho gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Ichimoku indicator USD/CHF ke liye mazeed girawat dikhata hai. Kumo cloud ko penetrate karna mazid bearish pressure ko signal karta hai, jo ke USD/CHF ko agle support level ki taraf girne ka imkaan hai.

Is beech, stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke line ke 20 ke lowest level ko touch karne ke baad, USD/CHF ne phir se upar ka rukh kiya. Line abhi bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahi hai, jo ke continued rise ko zahir karti hai. Lekin, yeh rise sirf ek correction lagta hai, aur overall price movement girawat dikhati hai. Aaj, USD/CHF shayad 0.9050 resistance ko test karne ka aim kare.

Mukhtasir mein, USD/CHF ke mazeed girne ke significant chances hain jab tak candle supply area 0.9047 ko breach nahi karti. Jab tak yeh supply area intact rehti hai, girawat ke mauqe zyada hain. Ichimoku indicator bhi bearish trend ko zahir karta hai jab candle abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai. Isliye, mein traders ko suggest karta hoon ke sell positions open karne par focus karein. Aap qareebi support 0.8950 ko target kar sakte hain aur stop loss 0.9050 par set kar sakte hain

USD/JPY

Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqable mein apni wapsi jari rakhi hui hai, jabke dhyan Bank of Japan (BoJ) aur US Federal Reserve ke agle hafte interest rate decisions par hai. Bhrosa mand trading platforms ke mutabiq... USD/JPY ne Mangal ko 156 ka low dekha, aur aaj 154.50 par support ke qareeb hai, jo is mahine ke high 161.76 se neeche hai.

Bank of Japan ne interest rates badhaye aur mudakhlat ki USD/JPY ke exchange rate mein kuch dinon mein halki si kami dekhne ko mili hai jab investors ne Bank of Japan ki mudakhlat par dhyan diya. Haaliya data ke mutabiq, Bank of Japan ne yen ke girne se bachane ke liye forex market mein 22 billion dollars se zyada kharch kiye. Us waqt ek Mitsubishi UFJ analyst ne likha: “Mudakhlat ka waqt anhooni tha. Aur unhone dikhana chaha ke unke paas kai tareeqe hain mudakhlat karne ke liye, kyunki yeh jang baghair kisi roshni ke nishaan ke jaari hai.”

Is saal ki mudakhlat Bank of Japan ki sabse badi mudakhlat hai 2022 ke baad, jab unhone 66 billion dollars se zyada kharch kiye the jab currency gir rahi thi. Agla important Japanese economic numbers Wednesday ko release hoga jab S&P Global aur AU Jibun Bank is mahine ke manufacturing aur services PMI numbers publish karenge. Mulk ka statistics agency Friday ko Tokyo mein latest consumer price inflation figures bhi publish karega. Economists umeed karte hain ke data yeh dikhaye ga ke shehar mein inflation July mein thodi si barhkar 2.2% ho gayi, jo Bank of Japan ke target 2.0% se zyada hai. Tokyo ka CPI number important hai kyunki yeh mulk ka sabse bara shehar hai jisme 13.9 million se zyada abadi hai.

USD/JPY ke liye sabse important catalyst agle hafte hoga jab Bank of Japan apna interest rate decision sunayega. Inflation 2% target se upar hone ke bawajood, analysts umeed karte hain ke Bank of Japan is saal ke liye dusri baar interest rates badhaye ga. Barclays Bank ke analysts umeed karte hain ke Bank of Japan interest rates 0.25% badhaye ga, jabke kuch doosre analysts umeed karte hain ke yeh chhota rate 0.15% tak kam kare ga. Interest rate hikes ki umeed hi hai jis wajah se Japanese yen ne haali mein wapsi ki hai. Is hisab se, Nomura Securities ke analyst ne ek statement mein kaha:

“Agar yen July meeting par kamzor hi raha, to bank ko jaldi rate hike par gaur karna hoga chahe woh apne Japanese government bond purchase cuts ke pace ka faisla kare.”

US personal consumption expenditures data aur Fed ka decision USD/JPY bhi Friday ko US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data se pehle gir gaya. Yeh ek important inflation number hai jise Fed nazar mein rakhta hai jabke woh dehati aur shehri markazon mein price changes ko dekhta hai. Yeh ek important report bhi hai kyunki iske saath personal spending aur income figures aati hain jise Fed bhi dhyan mein rakhta hai. Economists ka manna hai ke haaliya personal consumption expenditures data yeh dikhaye ga ke prices June mein girti rahi, jo ke teesri baar hai agle hafte mein. Agar yeh nazariya sahi hai, to iska matlab hai ke Fed September mein interest rates kam karne ke liye motivat ho sakta hai.

Fed bhi agle hafte meeting karega aur Wednesday ko apna interest rate decision sunayega. Aam nazariya yeh hai ke bank is martaba interest rates nahi barhaye ga. Iske bajaye, officials apne haaliya tone ko maintain rakhenge, inflation data ka swagat karte hue aur is saal ke aakhir tak interest rates kam karne ka waada karte hue.

Sabse important data jo nazar mein rakhna hai woh US non-farm payrolls (NFP) figures hai jo July ke liye agle hafte release hogi. Agar data dikhaye ke July mein berozgari ki dar barh rahi hai, to September mein cut ke chances zyada ho jayenge. Ek haaliya statement mein, Jerome Powell ne is baat ka zikr kiya ke woh US interest rate cuts ke saath comfortable hain, chahe inflation 2.0% target se zyada ho. Unhone yeh bhi kaha ke bank ab ziada concerned hai labor market ke bare mein.

Agla important monetary event August mein Jackson Hole mein hoga, jahan Fed September mein US interest rate cut ke liye ground work tayar karega. Jackson Hole ek summit hai jahan bohot se developed countries ke central banks milte hain aur monetary policy par guftagu karte hain.

USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis: Daily chart par dekha jaye to, USD/JPY exchange rate ne pichle haftay ek multi-decade high 161.76 ko dekha aur uske baad Bank of Japan ki mudakhlat ke bawajood wapas aaya. Ab yeh 50-day moving average aur up channel ke neeche side par aa gaya hai. Yeh signs hain ke downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai. USD/JPY exchange rate psychological point 155 ke neeche bhi aa gaya. Sath hi, chart indicator bars zero line ke neeche move ki hain jabke Relative Strength Index decline hua hai.

Isliye, pair neeche girta rah sakta hai jabke sellers key support level 151.91 ko target kar rahe hain, jo pichle saal November ka highest point tha. Aage ka downtrend confirm hoga agar yeh is level se neeche jaye. Dusra scenario yeh hai ke USD/JPY bounce kare jab buyers psychological point 160 ko retest karne ki koshish karen.

USD/JPY

The Japanese yen continued its rise against the US dollar, with attention shifting to upcoming interest rate decisions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the US Federal Reserve next week. According to reliable trading platforms, USD/JPY fell to a low of 156 on Tuesday and is currently hovering near support at 154.50, down from this month's peak of 161.76.

The Bank of Japan's recent interventions have contributed to the dollar's modest decline against the yen, with reports indicating the BoJ spent over $22 billion in forex markets to stabilize the yen. Analysts at Mitsubishi UFJ noted the unexpected timing of these interventions, aimed at demonstrating the BoJ's readiness amidst ongoing market volatility.

This year's interventions mark the largest since 2022, underscoring the BoJ's proactive stance as the yen faced downward pressure. Key economic indicators awaited include manufacturing and services PMI data from S&P Global and AU Jibun Bank, alongside Tokyo's consumer price inflation figures, crucial as Tokyo represents Japan's largest city.

Next week, all eyes will be on the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision. With inflation exceeding the 2% target, analysts anticipate a potential second rate hike this year, with predictions ranging from a 0.25% to a 0.15% increase. Expectations of rate hikes have bolstered the yen recently, prompting discussions about the pace of Japanese government bond purchases.

In the US, market focus includes upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data, a key inflation metric influencing the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. Analysts foresee continued price declines in June's PCE report, potentially setting the stage for Fed interest rate cuts starting in September, despite inflation surpassing the 2.0% target.

The Fed's upcoming meeting will likely maintain current interest rates, reflecting its cautious approach amidst evolving economic data. Attention also turns to US non-farm payrolls for July, pivotal in shaping expectations for future Fed actions. Chairman Jerome Powell's recent statements underscore the Fed's emphasis on labor market dynamics over inflation metrics.

Technical analysis of USD/JPY reveals a recent peak followed by a retreat below the 50-day moving average, signaling a potential downtrend. The pair's movement below psychological support at 155 indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers targeting key support levels, potentially down to 151.91.

In summary, upcoming monetary decisions by the Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve, alongside key economic data releases, will likely influence the USD/JPY exchange rate trajectory, amidst ongoing market volatility and intervention efforts.

USD/JPY TAQREER
Japani yen ne apni wapsi jari rakhi ameriki dollar ke khilaf, jahan tawajjo Bank of Japan (BoJ) aur US Federal Reserve ke interest rate faislon par mudaam hai aane wale haftay mein. Bharose mand trading platforms ke mutabiq... USD/JPY ne Mangal ko 156 ke low tak gir kar record kiya, aur aaj support 154.50 ke aas paas hai, jo is mahine ke 161.76 ke high se niche hai.

Bank of Japan ne interest rates barhaye aur hastakshep kiya
US dollar ki exchange rate Japani yen ke khilaf chand dino mein thori si kamzori dekhi gayi jabke investors Bank of Japan ke hastakshep par tawajjo dete rahe. Taza data ke mutabiq Bank of Japan ne forex market mein yen ke girne se rokne ke liye $22 billion se zyada kharch kiya. Ek Mitsubishi UFJ analyst ne us waqt note mein likha tha: "Hastakshep ke waqt ki tajawuz tha. Aur unhe dikhana tha ke unke paas is jang ke dauran hastakshep ke liye kai tareeqe mojood hain bina kisi saaf raushni ke."

Is saal ke hastakshep 2022 ke baad Bank of Japan ke sab se bade hastakshep hain, jab unhone currency girne par $66 billion se zyada kharch kiya tha. Aglay ahem Japani economic numbers Budh ke din jari kiye jayenge jab S&P Global aur AU Jibun Bank is mahine ke manufacturing aur services PMI numbers publish karenge. Desh ke statistics agency Tokyo mein latest consumer price inflation figures bhi jari karegi Jumma ko. Muasharti maamlaat ke experts is data se ummeed karte hain ke Tokyo ke CPI number mein July mein thori izafa hua hai, jo ke Bank of Japan ke 2.0% target se ooper hai. Tokyo ke CPI number ka ahmiyat is wajah se hai ke yeh desh ka sab se bara sheher hai jisme 13.9 million se zyada abaadi hai.

USD/JPY ke liye sab se ahem jazba Bank of Japan ke interest rate faislon ke waqt aayega. Inflation 2% target se ooper rehne ke bawajood analysts ummeed karte hain ke Bank of Japan is saal doosri baar interest rates ko barhaye. Barclays Bank ke analysts ke mutabiq Bank of Japan 0.25% tak interest rates ko barha sakti hai, jabke doosre analysts 0.15% ki kamzori ki umeed rakhte hain. Interest rate barhane ki umeed se samjha ja raha hai ke Japani yen haal hi mein dobara taqwiyat hui hai. Isi tarah, Nomura Securities ke ek analyst ne ek bayan mein kaha:

"Agar yen July ke meeting mein kamzor rehna jari rakhti hai, to bank ko apni Japanese government bond purchase cuts ki raftaar tay karte hue jaldi interest rate hike ka paishkash karna hoga."

US Personal Consumption Expenditures data aur Fed faisla
USD/JPY ne bhi US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data ke aage peechey hat gaya hai jo Jumma ko jari hoga. Yeh aham inflation number hai jise Fed tawajjo se dekhta hai jab woh rural aur urban centers mein keemat ke tabdeel par nazar rakhta hai. Yeh ek ahem report bhi hai kyun ke is ke saath personal spending aur income figures bhi atay hain jin par Fed tawajjo deti hai. Maamlaat ke experts ke mutabiq taza personal consumption expenditures data dikhayega ke keemat June mein teesre maah tak girne ke baad bhi jaari rahi. Agar yeh nazriya sahi hai to iska matlab hai ke Fed ko september mein interest rates ko kam karne ke liye jazbaat paida ho sakte hain.

Fed aglay haftay bhi ikhlaqi faisla karegi aur apni interest rate decision ko Budh ko jari karegi. Mabain raaye yeh hai ke bank is dafa interest rates ko na barhae ga. Balkay afraad apni haali hawala se khushaamad ke tone ko barqarar rakhenge aur is saal ke akhir mein interest rates ko kam karne ka azam bhi jari rakhenge.

Najmiyat tor par monitor ki jane wali sab se ahem data US non-farm payrolls (NFP) figures honge jinhe agle haftay jari kiya jayega. Agar data dikhata hai ke berozgari dar july mein mazeed barhti hai to september mein kamzori ki imkaanat mein izafa ho sakte hain. Hilf mein kuch dino pehle Jerome Powell ne ishaara kiya ke unhe 2.0% target se ooper inflation ke bawajood bhi US interest rate cuts se khushi hai. Unhone yeh bhi zikr kiya ke bank ab berozgari market se zyada mutasir hai.

Agle ahem mali hadsa august mein Jackson Hole mein hoga, jahan Fed september mein US interest rate cut ke liye bunyadi tayyariya rakhegi. Jackson Hole ek aisa muqam hai jahan kayi taraqi yafta mumalik ke central banks ekathay aakar mali policy par charcha karte hain.

Technical analysis of the USD/JPY pair:
Rozana ke chart ki taraf murne par hum dekhte hain ke USD/JPY exchange rate ne ek multi-decade high 161.76 tak pahunch kar phir peeche hat gaya jab Bank of Japan hastakshep kiya. Ab yeh 50-day moving average aur up channel ke lower side ke niche chala gaya hai. Yeh is baat ka nishana hai ke ek neeche ki raftar ko taaqat mil rahi hai. USD/JPY exchange rate ne psychological point 155 ke neeche bhi ja chuka hai. Isi waqt, chart indicator bars zero line ke neeche chale gaye hain jabke Relative Strength Index kamzor hua hai.

Isliye yeh jora girne ke liye jari raha sakte hain jab bechne wale key support level 151.91 tak nishana bana rahe hain, jo ke pichle saal november mein uski unchi nishaani thi. Agar yeh level ke neeche chala gaya to aur girawat ki tasdeeq ho jayegi. Dosra scenario yeh hai ke USD/JPY bounce kar sakta hai jab kharidari karne wale psychological point 160 ko dobara test karne ki koshish karte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ko khas tor par U.S. ki arziyati pehluo se asar hota hai. In arziyat ke muqarrah indicators ko samajhna, jaise kehta hai, GDP growth, rozgar ke figures, maal o asbaab ke rates, aur Federal Reserve ki monitory policy ke faislon, traders ko madad karta hai sahi tashadud farokhtanay ke liye.

#### Key U.S. Economic Indicators

1. **GDP Izafa:**
- **USD/JPY Par Asar:** Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Amrica ki mukhtasar arziyati ibtada ko nafarmani karti hai. Agar GDP izafa moazziz ho, to is se aam tor par kisi mulk ke aam rutbay mein izaafa hota hai. Is se USD ki takat bharh sakti hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko ooper le ja sakta hai. Lehaaza, agar GDP izafa moazziz na ho, to yeh muzahir-e kamzor arziyati ho sakti hai, jo USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai aur is tarhan USD/JPY pair mein kami a sakti hai.

2. **Rozgar Ke Figures:**
- **USD/JPY Par Asar:** Rozgar ke figures, khaas tor par Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, arziyati sehat ke hawale se ahmiyat rakhti hain. Buland rozgar ke levels amriki moazziz mein moazzam rakh sakte hain, jis se USD ki taqwiyat mumkin hoti hai. Musbat rozgar ke figures USD/JPY pair mein izafa kar sakte hain jab ke nakami rozgar ke figures USD ki tajaweezat ko nuqsan ponch sakti hain aur USD/JPY pair mein kami a sakti hai.

3. **Maal o Asbaab Ke Rates:**
- **USD/JPY Par Asar:** Maal o asbaab ke rates, jaise Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI), Federal Reserve ki maal o asbaab ke rates ke hawale se bune umidon ki sahulat se parhi hain. Ziyada maal o asbaab asal mein maal o asbaab ke rates ko qaboo mein rakhne ke liye asar daali ho sakti hai. Ziyada maal o asbaab mein Federal Reserve ko rates ko barhane ka ikhtiyar mil sakta hai jo aam tor par beroni ikhtiyarat ko rakhna sakte hain, jis se USD ki takat ko saazish kiya ja sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko ooper le sakte hain. Ghair miyad maal o asbaab thori si maal o asbaab ki baat mein kamzor USD aur pair ko kamzor karne ka sabab hoskhta hai.

4. **Federal Reserve Monitory Policy Faisloun:**
- **USD/JPY Par Asar:** Federal Reserve ke faislaati rates aur monitory policy ke faislaati rates USD/JPY pair ke liye ahmiyat rakhti hain. Agar monitory policy faisla mein interest rates bana hua ho, jaise ke interest rates aur interest rates mein ahista tarika, to is tarha ki qismat se taqat ho sakti hai. Is se USD/JPY pair par izafa ho sakta hai. Agar kamzor monitory policy faisla, jaise ke rates ka, to is tarha ke pair par gire.

USD/JPY ki keemat 157.86 ke resistance tak barh gayi, haftay ke shuru mein 157.35 ke qareeb band hui. Aage chal kar, is tabadla dar mein aane wale markazi bank policies aur Japan ke forex market mein shaamil hone se asar pade ga.

Pichle haftay mein US dollar ka aghaaz mix raha, jab Donald Trump ke presidential ummidwar hone ki koshish ne jazbaati surkhiyan paida ki. September mein Federal Reserve ne dar mein kami ka elaan bhi is tabadla par asar daala. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke cautious taqreer ne somwar ko dollar ki istaaraat ko peechay kar diya, jabke maqbuza Amreeki rozgar ki farokhtat dainay wale taza data ne isay dobala tezi di. June mein rukhi taraqqi ke bawajood, May ke mukammal hone wale figures ne maqbuza sahaara pohanchaya.

Dollar ne week ke darmiyan aur girawat ka saamna kiya jis mein Federal Reserve ke mazeed dar mein kami hone ki aarzi khabarain shaamil thin, lekin Amreeki sanati utpaadna ke mazeed taza data ke baad us ne akhir mein apna achaar sanbhal liya, jis mein June ki nikali sanati utpaadna expectations se zyada nikli aur May ki taqreerat ko bhi izafah diya gaya. Thursday ko jaari hone wali Amreeki shuruati rozgar ke daway, jo mutawaqai se zyada dawayan darshata hai, ek sust rozgar market ki taraf ishara karne ke baawajood dollar ko oversold haalaat se utha liya, jaldi darajah aurat ki dar se daraya.

Abhi USD/JPY apne 100-hour moving average ke qareeb qarar hai, jo 14-hour chart par overbought halaat ka ishara deta hai. Chhotay arsay mein, jorron par tajarbay par asar dalne wale tajawuz ki asar hai. 14-hour RSI ko ooper ki taraf ja raha hai, jo keh raha hai ke overbought hisse ke qareeb, bullish raftar 158.00 ya 158.60 ke qareeb ke level ko nishanay pe laga rahi hai. Mukhalif tor par, bearish traders 156.80 ya 156.00 ke qareeb girawat par mauqa dhoondh sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ne is trading week mein apni girawat jaari rakhi. Pichle haftay ke girawat ke baad, lag raha tha ke keemat ke aur girne ki taqat na ho, lekin haqeeqatan mein, jorron ka taawun girne ki taraf hai, jo moomal hai ke aur bullish hisse ke baray mein is mausam ko khatm kar sakte hain. Jaise ki meri tarah se bahut saare log, mujhe bhi yakeen hai ke USD/JPY pair apni girawat jaari rakhe ga, jabke saf safat taraqqi aur yen ke mustaqil kamzori ke bawajood. Is liye maqsood ke liye long positions talash karna maqool hai. Wednesday ke girawat ke bawajood, abhi tak humein ulte ki taraf ishaare nahi mile hain. Lekin agar keemat 157 ke ooper laut aati hai, to yeh solid support ke liye aik mazboot ta'aeed hai long positions kholne ke liye, jo munafa bakhsh trades ke liye imkan deta hai aur humein in mauqe ko explore karne par majboor karta hai.

USD/JPY market pair jo Daily timeframe par hai

Market pair USD/JPY jo Tuesday ko Daily timeframe par dekha gaya, woh phir se bechne wale ne apne control mein le liya jo khareedne wale ki taraf se aai buying pressure ko resistance area par rok kar kiya tha jiska price 157.15-157.10 tha, is wajah se khareedne wale ko phir se price ko upar le jane mein kamiyab nahi ho saka aur is mauqe ko bechne wale ne istemal karke aur zyada bechnay wale pressure daal kar price ko USD/JPY pair ko kafi gehri kamzori ke rate mein daba diya.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator se dekha gaya ke price Middle Bollinger bands area ke neeche hai aur abhi bhi price ko bechne wale maintain kar rahe hain jo Lower Bollinger bands area ke qareeb ja rahe hain jise aaj ke trading mein bearish sellers ka target area banne ka potential hai. Market support bhi bearish candlesticks ki dominance se nazar aata hai jo phir se ban chuki hain aur isse pata chalta hai ke USD/JPY market pair abhi bhi kafi strong bearish trend mein hai. Agar Lower Bollinger bands area jo ke 155.24-155.20 ke price par hai, valid taur par break ho sakta hai, to USD/JPY pair ka price mazeed kamzor ho kar neeche ja sakta hai jisme agli target buyer ke demand support area ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Wednesday ke trading mein subah Asian market session mein dekha gaya ke buyer ne ek resistance ki koshish ki hai price ko bullish mode mein le jane ki, jiska target hai najdik ke seller resistance area ko break kar ke jo ke 156.60-156.62 ke price par hai. Agar yeh mazbooti se break ho jata hai, to USD/JPY pair ka price mazeed buland ho sakta hai jisme agli target seller ke supply resistance area ki taraf ja sakta hai jo 157.45-157.47 ke price par hai. Lekin agar yeh kamyaab nahi hota, to price phir se sellers ke control mein aa sakta hai jo price ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain aur support area ko test karne ke liye jo 155.22-155.20 ke price par hai.

Mukammal:

Sell entry kiya ja sakta hai agar seller ko najdik ke buyer support area jo ke 155.22-155.20 ke price par hai, ko valid taur par break karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai jiska TP target area 154.67-154.65 ke price par hai.

Buy entry kiya ja sakta hai agar buyer ko najdik ke seller resistance area jo ke 156.60-156.62 ke price par hai, ko mazbooti se break karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai jiska TP target area 157.45-157.47 ke price par hai.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka analysis hamari baat cheet ka main topic hoga. Main ne H4 chart dekha, aur ek waqt aisa aaya jab mujhe afsos hua ke maine 155 figure par pair ko buy nahi kiya. Bahut kam waqt guzra hai, aur aaj dollar-yen dobara 155 figure aur local minimum area 155.74-155.34 mein hai. Upper benchmark break ho chuka hai, aur price niche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Dollar-yen ko buy nahi kiya, aur mujhe shak hai ke 155.34 ko test karne ke baad bhi main buy trade risk nahi lunga.

Phir se main yeh kehna chahta hoon ke USD/JPY ke barhne ke chances bohot kam hain kyunke current direction mainly down hai. Hourly chart par moving averages indicate kar rahe hain ke average prices niche ki taraf ja rahi hain aur confidence ke sath.

Trend line jo lagbhag do trading weeks ko cover karti hai, bhi niche ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Current trend line jo nearest highs par draw ki gayi hai, wo bhi descend kar rahi hai. Oscillator window mein instruments downward trend indicate kar rahe hain. CCI channel oscillators ke collection mein sabhi indicators decline ki taraf point kar rahe hain, aur RSI ne abhi tak reversal nahi dikhaya. Market outlook solid aur stable lag raha hai, isliye selling continue rakhni chahiye. Yeh suggest karta hai ke decline continue ho sakti hai aur 154.57-155.10 ke range tak pahunch sakti hai. Is range mein price ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Din ke andar ya jaldi kisi potential buying opportunity ke clear signals nahi hain.