Gbpusd

GBP/USD H4 chart
Akhri raat ki trading session mein, buyers kamiyab nahi ho sake ke price ko upar le jayein, is liye sellers ne ye mauqa istemal kiya aur price ko niche dhakel diya. Chart analysis ke mutabiq, GBPUSD currency pair ne June ke aghaz se hi neeche ki taraf movement shuru kar di thi. Aaj subah price movement ne thodi si upward correction zarur ki, lekin weekly basis par sellers ka pressure candlestick ko neeche dhakelne ka rujhan abhi bhi qaim hai aur ye 1.2686 level tak pohanch gaya hai. Candlestick ka position abhi bhi red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke neeche hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke market abhi bhi bearish hai. Pichle upward trend ne phir se reversal le kar neeche ka rukh kar liya hai. Aaj raat American session ke aghaz ke sath market shayad phir se neeche move kar sakti hai.




Magar, aik alternate scenario bhi hai. Agar prices Yellow Moving Average ke upar thami rahi (jo ek aur technical indicator hai momentum ko gauge karne ke liye), toh bulls wapas control hasil kar sakte hain aur prices ko upar push kar sakte hain. Is se current range ke upper limit ka test ho sakta hai, jo 1.2726 level ke bilkul neeche hai. Is level ke upar break karna mere liye strong selling signal ho ga. Bunyadi tor par, aaj ka forex market directionless nazar aata hai. Economic catalysts ke absence aur technical stalemate ye suggest karte hain ke sideways trading ka din ho sakta hai. Magar, technical indicators mein kuch subtle hints hain jo entry points offer kar sakte hain un logon ke liye jo calculated risks lena chahte hain. Red Moving Average ke neeche break buying opportunity suggest karta hai, jabke Yellow Moving Average ke upar break selling opportunity ka signal de sakta hai. Phir bhi, overall market mein momentum ki kami hai, toh aaj ke liye ehtiyaat zaruri hai.

British Pound duniya ke sab se zyada analyze hone wale instruments mein se ek hai. Yeh Euro se zyada technical maana jata hai. Aaj kal, Pound ke liye ek downward trend ka idea chal raha hai jo H4 timeframe par sell signal ke base par hai. Yeh signal 1.27218 level par aaya aur iska potential blue bar ke zariye dikhaya gaya hai jo is level se 1.25855 target tak jata hai. Magar, main personally is pair par ek deeper pullback ka intezar kar raha tha taake is idea ko H4 timeframe par trade kar sakoon. Lekin, jaise hum dekh sakte hain, koi pullback nahi aaya aur Pound ne sirf signal level se entry ka mauqa diya jahan risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 1 tha.
Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke Pound mein izafa ho aur yeh izafa current decline se zyada ho. Lekin, H4 sell signal ke khilaf jana theek nahi hai, khas tor par jab overall structure abhi bearish hai. Haan, kuch indications hain jo upward movement ko dikhate hain. Misal ke tor par, decline slow ho gaya hai aur horizontal position mein badal gaya hai, jo ke ek local triangle bana raha hai. Iske ilawa, MACD bhi last do waves mein divergences dikha raha hai, jo ek strong factor hai ke sales ke khilaf na jayein. Isliye, yahan sales karna risky hai, aur local stop loss set na karna behtar hai. Aur purchases karna bhi risky hai kyun ke growth ko support karne wale arguments kam hain aur facts kam hain.

Agar hum hourly timeframe dekhein, to growth ka signal hai magar iska potential chhota hai. Signal sirf 1.26827 targets par point karta hai, jo zyada tar ek false breakout hai narrowing channel ke upper boundary par, na ke ek true rise. Timeframe priority ke hisaab se, humare paas H4 par senior sell signal aur hourly timeframe par junior buy signal hai. Agar hum senior signal ke khilaf trade karein, to behtar hai ke H4 aur M15 timeframes ka combination use karein aur H1 timeframe par trade na karein. Kyun ke M15 timeframe abhi bhi senior idea ke andar move kar sakta hai jabke senior idea (higher timeframe) M15 ke liye zyada lenient hota hai.

In sab baaton ka khulasa yeh hai ke British Pound par trading karte waqt H4 sell signal ko nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye aur is waqt market ka overall structure bearish hai. MACD aur local triangle formation se kuch upward movement ke indications mil rahe hain, magar yeh facts kamzor hain. Hourly timeframe par growth ka signal chhota potential rakhta hai aur false breakout ka ishara karta hai. Isliye, yeh waqt ehtiyaat se kaam lene ka hai aur senior timeframe ke signal ke mutabiq trade karna behtar hoga.

GBP/USD H4 chart

Aaj ke GBP/USD currency pair ke movement ke liye, mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, abhi bhi iske correction down hone ka tendency hai aur price 1.26400 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh isliye ke H1 time frame mein GBPUSD currency pair ka movement ek bearish candle engulfing form kar chuka hai jo ke SELL GBPUSD ka bohot strong signal hai, aur price 1.26400 tak ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, mere observation ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index 14 indicator ke analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke 1.26870 par GBPUSD price already overbought hai yaani buying saturation par hai, isliye is baat ka imkaan hai ke aaj dopehar mein GBPUSD ka movement kaafi deep correction de sakta hai, jo ke 10-50 pips ke beech ho sakta hai. GBPUSD SELL signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi bohot strong support mil raha hai kyunki jab GBPUSD price 1.26870 par enter kiya tha, to yeh SBR area (support become resistance) mein tha, isliye bohot zyada imkaan hai ke aaj dopehar GBPUSD ka movement kaafi deep correction karke 1.26400 tak chala jaye.

Mere technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq, mene GBPUSD ko 1.26400 tak bechne ka faisla kiya hai. Mere technical analysis mein, mujhe yakeen hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ka value abhi bhi 1.26400 tak decrease ho sakta hai. Yeh isliye ke H1 time frame mein, GBPUSD currency pair ka movement ek bearish engulfing candle form kar chuka hai, jo ke 1.26400 par SELL ke liye ek strong signal hai. Aur, mere observation ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index 14 indicator ke hisaab se, GBPUSD price 1.26870 par already overbought hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke buying saturation par hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke GBPUSD ka movement 10-50 pips decrease ho jaye aaj shaam tak. SELL signal ko aur support milta hai SNR aur Fibonacci methods se, kyunki jab GBPUSD price 1.26870 par pahucha, to yeh support area se resistance area ban gaya, isliye bohot strong likelihood hai ke GBPUSD ka movement aaj shaam ko significant decrease karega aur price 1.26400 tak chala jayega. Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, mene faisla kiya hai ke GBPUSD ko future mein 1.26400 par SELL karu.

Halaanki, yeh note karna chahiye ke yeh increase temporary hai aur price wapas bearish trend mein return ho sakta hai detail ke saath. MACD indicator ke histogram bars consistently zero level ke neeche hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market abhi bhi bearish trend mein hai. Aane wale dinon mein market mein aur bearish potential hai. Past market experiences ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke seller army market trend ko dobara control karegi. Pichle mahine ke events se cues lete hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke GBPUSD currency pair abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hai. Isliye, bearish trend ko continue karte hue movements par focus karna best hai, halaanki market abhi Asian session mein hai, lekin agle price ke liye recommendation yeh hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hi move karega aur 1.2600 ka price test karega. Trading options mein raat ke waqt se leke kal raat tak, mera mashwara hai ke SELL trading ko choose karein.

Update Analysis of GBP/USD
Time frame H4:

Jumay ke din GBP/USD pair ke liye, price poore din pehle ke daily range se bahar nahi jaa saki aur ek uncertainty candle with slight bullish edge form hui. Agle hafte ke liye, yeh instrument southward trend continue karne ka imkaan hai. Mein kai martaba mirror support level ko monitor karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo mere signals ke mutabiq 1.25694 par hai. Is support level ke kareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek turning candle form ho aur upward price movement resume ho.




Aakhri Mahine Tak Market Ki Soorat-e-Haal

Garamiyo ke aakhri mahine tak market kis qism ki rahegi? Main yeh bhi expect kar raha hoon ke sterling prices badh sakti hain Bank of England ke refinancing rate ko kam karne ke faisle ke baad, jo agle mahine expected hai. Dollar pair major changes ke baghair hi rahega. British pound pair ke prices red moving average aur resistance level 1.2657 ke darmiyan confined hain, jahan se yeh aaj, Monday, ko decline hui hain. Filhal koi signs nahi hain jo direct exit from this channel dikhate hain. Bulls resistance level 1.2657 ke upar rise nahi kar sakte, jo current trading range ka middle limit hai. Is wajah se hum ek aur pullback expect kar sakte hain, mark karte hue red moving average ko, 1.2610 level tak.

Natija

Short-term uncertainty is waqt GBP/USD market ki soorat-e-haal ko characterize kar rahi hai, magar long term mein downward bias nazar aata hai. England mein refinancing rate ko reduce karna aur United States mein current rates ko maintain karna dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye favorable conditions create karte hain.

Is analysis ke zariye, hum yeh dekh sakte hain ke agle hafte aur agle mahine ke doran GBP/USD pair kaisa perform kar sakta hai. Reducing the refinancing rate in England aur US mein stable rates ki wajah se dollar ke strength ko farogh mil sakta hai. Trading karte waqt in factors ko mad-e-nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake hum apne trading decisions ko behtar bana sakein.

GBP/USD /H1
Ab hum GBP/USD currency pair ke current behavior analysis par baat karenge. Agar pair H1 resistance 1.2681 ko tor deta hai toh growth hone ke chances hain. Successful breakout se probability taqriban 90% tak barh jati hai, magar 10% uncertainty 1.2696 level par rehti hai, jahan se pair retrace kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level hota hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke growth 1.2781 tak pohonch sakti hai, jo H1 resistance ke sath coincide karti hai aur 1.2696 se breakout hone ke baad 1.2721 ya 1.2621 H1 support ban sakta hai. Agar retracement 1.2751 se hoti hai, toh H1 support 1.2546 par hoga. Magar agar 1.2696 par bounce back hota hai, toh yeh scenario ko complicate kar sakta hai aur further decline rok sakta hai. Post-retracement, growth 1.2781 tak jaari reh sakti hai, jahan bearish reversal possible hai jab tak ke dusra breakout na ho, jo growth ko 1.3126 tak push karega. Agar 1.2611 range tak decline hota hai aur successful breach hoti hai, toh yeh sell ka signal hoga. Agar price 1.2611 se neeche break hoti hai aur consolidate karti hai, toh yeh sell signal ko reinforce karta hai.




Is tarah se, baad mein hum zyada free aur flexible honge market ke development ko dekhne ke liye. Is hafte ka bearish movement aage jaari reh sakta hai aur agle mahine ke shuru mein downward trend ko momentum de sakta hai, shayad fundamentals isay support karen. Aam taur par, meri raaye mein, agle kuch dinon ke liye Sell trading option ko consider kar sakte hain. Agli market opportunity mein bearish trend jaari rehne ka chance hai. Ek achha signal confirm karne ke liye humein wait karna padega ke sellers price ko 1.2621 ki taraf push karen. Iss doran, agle decline ka target ho sakta hai ke candlestick 1.2601 price area se neeche gir sakta hai.

Pound khud is tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai. Gain ke period ke baad, yeh recently selling pressure ka shikar hua, aur ek key short-term upward trend line ke neeche gir gaya. Magar, isay apni 50-day moving average par support mila, jo ek steeper decline ko roknay mein madadgar raha. Agar downward pressure jaari rehta hai, toh pound support level $1.2655 ko breach kar sakta hai, jo aage jaake 1.2620 aur 1.2598 levels tak gir sakta hai, jo ke is saal ke pehle dekhay gaye thay. Overall, pound ki direction US data ke outcome aur upcoming US election ke potential policy changes ke perception par depend karti hai. Jab tak yeh uncertainties resolve nahi hoti, pound holding pattern mein rehne ke chances hain.

1.2738 par H1 timeframe par price movement ko analyze karte hue ye dekha gaya hai ke jabke current candle ne support level ko tor diya hai, Monday ko ek upward move ka imkaan ab bhi barqarar hai. Yeh umeed is wajah se hai ke candle ab tak Resistance Becomes Support (RBS) zone ke ird-gird, 1.2630 ke kareeb, se bahar nahi nikli hai. RBS level technical analysis mein aik ahmiyat rakhta hai, jo ke is baat ko darshata hai ke aik pehle ka resistance level, breach hone ke baad, support mein tabdeel ho jata hai.



Filhal, price action strong support ko 1.2630 ke aas paas darshata hai, jo ke is level par mazboot buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Jab tak price is RBS area ke ooper barqarar rehti hai, rebound ka imkaan kafi zyada hai. Yeh resilience is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke buyers support level ko defend kar rahe hain, aur aage ki girawat ko rok rahe hain aur mumkin hai ke ek upward movement ki tayari kar rahe hain
Iske ilawa, candle ka faisla kun andaaz mein 1.2630 level ke niche close na hona bhi is support ki mazbooti ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Technical traders aksar aise confirmations ko apni trading strategies ko validate karne ke liye dekhte hain. Agar 1.2630 par support barqarar rehta hai, to yeh nayi upward momentum ko janam de sakta hai, jo zyada buyers ko attract karega aur price ko upar dhakel sakta hai
Technical factors ke ilawa, market sentiment aur external developments bhi price action ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Aam market conditions ya asset se mutaliq positive news bhi upward movement ke imkaan ko mazid mazboot kar sakti hain
Khulasa karte hue, jabke recent support ka breach hua hai, Monday ko 1.2738 par price ke liye ek significant upward movement ka imkaan ab bhi barqarar hai. Jo critical level dekhne laayak hai, woh 1.2630 hai. Jab tak yeh level barqarar rehta hai, upward movement ka imkaan mazid mazboot rehta hai, technical analysis aur market sentiment se supported. Traders ko developments ko kareebi se monitor karna chahiye aur mazeed signals dekhne chahiye jo bullish reversal ko confirm kar sakte hain

Trading Discussion
Ek aur alternative scenario bhi maujood hai. Agar prices Yellow Moving Average (jo momentum gauge karne ke liye ek aur technical indicator hai) ke upar rehti hain, toh bulls dobara control hasil kar sakte hain aur prices ko upar push kar sakte hain. Yeh potentially current range ke upper limit ka test karwa sakta hai, jo 1.2726 level se thoda neeche hai. Agar is level se break hota hai, toh yeh mere liye ek strong selling signal hoga. Aaj ka forex market directionless nazar aa raha hai. Economic catalysts ki kami aur technical stalemate yeh suggest karte hain ke sideways trading ka din ho sakta hai. Magar technical indicators mein kuch subtle hints hain jo calculated risks lene walon ke liye entry points offer kar sakti hain. Red Moving Average se break hona buying opportunity ko suggest karta hai, jabke Yellow Moving Average ke upar break hona selling opportunity ko signal karta hai. Phir bhi, overall market mein momentum ki kami hai, isliye ehtiyaat din ka watchword hai.

Is tarah se, hum baad mein zyada free aur flexible honge market ke developments ko dekhne ke liye. Is hafte ka bearish movement aage jaari reh sakta hai aur agle mahine ke shuru mein downward trend ko momentum de sakta hai, shayad fundamentals isay support karen. Aam taur par, meri raaye mein, agle kuch dinon ke liye Sell trading option ko consider kar sakte hain. Agli market opportunity mein bearish trend jaari rehne ka chance hai. Ek achha signal confirm karne ke liye humein wait karna padega ke sellers price ko 1.2621 ki taraf push karen. Iss doran, agle decline ka target ho sakta hai ke candlestick 1.2601 price area se neeche gir sakta hai.





Filhal, Pound ke liye ek downward idea kaam mein hai based on a sell signal on the H4 timeframe. Yeh signal 1.27218 level par aya, aur iski potential blue bar se 1.25855 target tak dikhayi gayi hai. Magar, main personally pair par deeper pullback ka intezar kar raha tha taake is idea ko H4 timeframe par trade karun. Magar jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, koi pullback nahi hua, aur Pound ne sirf 1 to 1 risk-to-reward ratio ke sath signal level par enter karne ka mauqa diya. Yeh mumkin hai ke Pound ek increase ka tajurba kare, aur yeh increase current decline ka aadha se zyada ho sakta hai. Magar H4 sell signal ke khilaf jaana munasib nahi hai, khaaskar jab overall structure bearish hai. Haan, kuch indications hain ke upward movement ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, decline slow ho gayi hai aur horizontal position mein badal gayi hai, jo ek local triangle bana rahi hai. Further, MACD bhi pichle do waves mein series of divergences dikhata hai, jo ek strong factor hai ke sales mein iska khilaf na jaayein. Isliye yahan sales karna risky hai, khaaskar jab local stop loss set karna behtar nahi hai. Aur purchases karna bhi risky hai kyunke arguments bohot hain, magar growth ko support karne wale facts kam hain.

Yeh kis type ka market rahega summer ke end tak? Main hairan nahi hounga agar sterling prices barh gayi after Bank of England ne refinancing rate kam karne ka faisla liya, aur agle mahine is faislay ki umeed hai. Dollar pair mein koi major changes nahi aayenge. British pound pair ki prices red moving average aur 1.2657 resistance level ke darmiyan confined hain, jahan aaj, Monday ko decline hua, aur koi direct exit ka indication nahi hai is channel se. Since bulls resistance level 1.2657 ke upar nahi jaa sakte, jo current trading range ke middle limit se coincide karta hai, hum ek aur pullback expect kar sakte hain jo red moving average ko mark karega, level 1.2610 tak.

Nateejatan, short-term uncertainty GBP/USD market ki current situation ko characterize karti hai, magar long term mein downward bias hai. England mein refinancing rate ko kam karna aur United States mein current rates ko maintain karna dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye favorable conditions create karte hain.

GBP/USD Karansi Pair Mein Berish Trend

GBP/USD karansi pair jo ke 1.2680 par trade kar raha hai, iss waqt berish trend ka shikar ho raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke British Pound US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai, aur market neechay ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Halankeh iss waqt movement dheemey hai, lekin kuch indications hain ke aik significant shift nazar aa sakta hai.

GBP/USD Movement ke Factors:

1. Economic Indicators:
- UK Economic Data: UK se anay wali economic data, jaise GDP growth rates, inflation figures, aur employment statistics, GBP ki strength ko determine karte hain. Agar yeh data struggling economy ka asar dikhaye, toh yeh further Pound ko kamzor kar sakti hai.
- US Economic Data: Isi tarah se, US ke economic indicators, jaise non-farm payrolls, GDP growth, aur inflation rates, USD ko influence karte hain. Agar US ki economic performance strong rahi, toh Dollar ko mazid barhawa mil sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke berish trend ko intense kar sakta hai.

2. Central Bank Policies:
-Bank of England (BoE): BoE ke monetary policy decisions, jaise interest rate changes aur quantitative easing measures, GBP ko significantly impact karte hain. Rate hikes ya cuts ka koi indication ho, toh currency pair mein sharp movements ho sakti hain.
- Federal Reserve (Fed): Fed ki policy decisions bhi USD ko heavily influence karti hain. Haal ke waqt mein inflation se nimatne ke liye rate hikes ke hints ne Dollar ko mazboot kiya hai, jo GBP/USD mein berish trend ko contribute karta hai.

3. Geopolitical Events:
- Brexit Aftermath: Brexit ke ongoing repercussions ab bhi GBP ko affect kar rahe hain. Trade negotiations, regulatory changes, aur political uncertainties, currency markets mein volatility create karti hain.
- Global Political Climate: International political events, jaise elections, trade wars, aur diplomatic relations, GBP/USD pair mein significant fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hain. Misal ke taur par, major economies ke darmiyan tensions se safe-haven currencies, jaise USD, ki demand barh sakti hai.

4. Market Sentiment:
- Risk Appetite: Market mein overall risk sentiment currency movements ko affect karta hai. Jab economic uncertainty hoti hai, toh investors safer assets, jaise USD, ko prefer karte hain, jo riskier currencies, jaise GBP, mein berish trend lata hai.
- Speculative Trading:Traders ki speculations aur market expectations currency pairs mein large movements la sakti hain. Agar market future strength USD mein ya weakness GBP mein anticipate kare, toh yeh pair ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

Technical Analysis:
- Support aur Resistance Levels: Key technical levels, jaise support at 1.2600 aur resistance at 1.2750, traders ke liye important markers provide karti hain. Agar support ke neeche break ho, toh further downside ka signal mil sakta hai, jabke resistance ke upar break reversal ko indicate kar sakta hai.
- Moving Averages:Moving averages, jaise 50-day aur 200-day position, trend ke insights offer karti hain. Iss waqt agar price in averages ke neeche hai, toh yeh berish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.
- Chart Patterns:Patterns jaise head and shoulders, double tops, ya flags future price movements ka clue de sakti hain. Confirmed pattern se pehle significant move ho sakti hai.

Market Outlook:
Halaanki GBP/USD iss waqt berish trend mein hai aur dheeme move kar raha hai, kai factors suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD mein jald aik big movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Market closely upcoming economic data releases ko dekh raha hai UK aur US dono se. Expectations se koi significant deviation sharp move ko trigger kar sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, aane wale dinon mein central bank meetings aur policy announcements pivotal honge. Traders khas tor par Fed ki stance par interest rates aur BoE ke future monetary policy signals par focused hain.

Khulasa yeh hai ke jabke GBP/USD iss waqt berish trend mein hai aur dheemen se move kar raha hai, various economic, geopolitical, aur technical factors ka potential hai significant volatility ka agle dinon mein. Traders ko key events ke bare mein informed rehna chahiye aur currency pair mein possible large movements ke liye prepared rehna chahiye.

GBP/USD currency pair filhal daily pivot level 1.2730 ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo positive market sentiment ka ishara hai. Daily pivot level ek ahem tool hota hai jo traders ko market ke overall direction aur potential price movements ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Jab koi currency pair apne pivot level ke upar trade kar rahi hoti hai, to yeh aam tor pe bullish market sentiment ko dharshata hai, aur yeh ziada imkaan hota hai ke pair uchhi resistance levels ko test karegi. Is surat mein, yeh baat ke GBP/USD 1.2730 ke upar hai, yeh imply karta hai ke traders British pound ki performance ko US dollar ke muqable mein le kar optimistic hain. Yeh optimism mukhtalif factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai jaise ke economic data releases, central bank policies, geopolitical events, ya market expectations. For instance, agar recent UK economic data anticipated se ziada stronger rahi hai, to yeh pound ki value ko boost kar sakti hai, jis se GBP/USD pair uper ja sakta hai. Aur agar pair pivot level ke upar rehta hai, to traders long positions mein enter karne ka mauqa dekh sakte hain, with the expectation of further upward movement. Yeh trading behavior additional buying pressure create kar sakti hai, jo pair ki value mein musalsal izafa larh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair pivot level ke neechay chali jaaye, to yeh market sentiment ka bearishness ki taraf shift ka signal bhi de sakti hai, jahan traders short positions dekhna shuru kar denge, aur girawat ke intezar mein rahenge.



Daily pivot level kaafi traders ke liye maidan mein aik line ki tarah hoti hai. Iski significance is baat mein hai ke yeh market sentiment aur potential price action ka aik snapshot deti hai. Trading strategies aksar is level ke ird gird kehti hai, jahan bohot se traders isay reference point ke tor par use karte hain apni entry, exit, aur stop-loss levels set karte waqt. Jab tak GBP/USD 1.2730 ke upar trade karti rahegi, outlook positive rahega, aur pair higher resistance levels ko test karne aur shaayad torhne ke chances rakhti hai.

Humari dilchaspiyon ko hum ne red arrows ke zariye zahir kiya hai. Lekin, pound kef idea complete kar sakta hai deep correction ke baghair north ki taraf jane se pehle. Orange arrows ke saath, mein yeh alternative scenario darshata hoon jo filhal sab se zyada relevant hai. Is surat mein, selling opportunities hourly timeframe ya M15 par talash karni hogi. Agar targets pullback ke baghair hamare levels ko pohanch kar complete hote hain, to yeh idea phir bhi executed tasleem kiya jayega, aur is scheme par base trading phir mumkin nahi hogi.

GBP/USD Daily Market Insights

Currency market lagta hai ke apni saansein rok kar baitha hai. GBP/USD pair char-ghar shifting chart par ek achi tarah se defined trading range mein hai. Kal ka yellow moving average ke upar ka breakthrough ek potential upside move ka ishara tha. Ismove se pair range ke upper limit ko, jo ke resistance level 1.2700 ke saath bhi coincide karti hai, test kar sakti hai. European session shayad relatively quiet rahe, lekin American session kuch fireworks la sakta hai. US labor market data ki release emotions ko stir kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD mein volatility la sakti hai. Magar, short-term swings ke bawajood, overall trend unchanged rehne ka imkaan hai. Agar pair 1.2700 resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aik significant development hoga. Yeh ek long downward correction ka end aur pound ki further strengthening ka signal ho sakta hai.



Lekin, yeh zaroor yaad rakhna chahiye ke yeh rally short-lived ho sakti hai. Agar pair 1.2700 tak pohanch bhi gayi, to mujhe rebound dekhne mein heranagi nahi hogi. Yeh traders jo pound ko anticipation mein khareed rahe hain, unke profit-taking ka sign ho sakta hai. Baad mein, pullback support level 1.2651 ko wapas test kar sakta hai, ya phir 1.2602 support level tak bhi push kar sakta hai. Bohot se analysts yeh mantay hain ke pound ko upar push karne ki koshisain sirf speculators ka behtar price pe sell karne ka tareeqa hai pehle ke inevitable decline aaye. Yeh decline Bank of England (BOE) ke interest rate ko lower karne ke decision ke baad expected hai. Halankeh yeh zaroori nahi ke BOE is mahine rates cut kare, market is move ko heavy anticipate kar rahi hai. Yeh expectation hi announcement se pehle pound ko weaken karne ke liye kaafi hai. GBP/USD market lagta hai ke wait-and-see mode mein hai. Aanewale US data release aur BOE ke rate decision major events hain jo significant movements trigger kar sakte hain. Tab tak, pair range-bound rehnay ka imkaani hai, with short-term volatility American session mein hosakti hai. Seedhi zubaan mein, market abhi ek specific price zone mein stuck hai. Jab bhi temporary up aur down movements ho sakti hain, overall trend mein major change do key factors par depend karta hai: US labor data aur BOE ka rate decision.

GBP/USD/H1
Kal GBP/USD ke hawale se, pehle din ke range ka maximum update hone ke baad, keemat ne reversal liya aur din ke aakhir mein, uncertainty ka candle thoda bullish advantage ke sath bana. Overall, mein abhi tak apne plans ko is instrument ke liye nahi badal raha hoon aur qareebi resistance level par nazar rakha hua hoon, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq, 1.28000 par waqia hai. Jab keemat is resistance level ko pohanchti hai, do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla scenario price ka is level ke upar consolidate karna aur phir aage bharna hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh mein keemat ko resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move karne ka intazaar karunga. Jab keemat is resistance level ke upar consolidate karegi, toh mein mazeed northward movement ki umeed karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak pohanch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qarib, mein ek trading setup banne ka intazaar karunga jo trading direction ko behtar tareeke se samjhne mein madad karega.

Of course, mazeed door ke northward targets bhi ho sakte hain, lekin mein filhaal unhe consider nahi kar raha kyun ke mujhe unki quick realization ka perspective nazar nahi aata. Ek alternative scenario keemat ka resistance level 1.28000 test karne par reversal candle aur southward movement ka resumption ban sakta hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh mein keemat ke support level 1.26568 ya support level 1.26340 tak wapas aane ka intazaar karunga. In support levels ke qarib, mein bullish signals ki talash karunga, upward price movement ke resumption ki umeed ke sath.






Yani, agar mukhtasir mein kahun, toh filhaal mein assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation ek impulsive northward price breakout par end hogi aur buyers qareebi resistance levels ko test karenge, uske baad mein market situation ko accordingly assess karunga.

Economic calendar ki taraf dekha jaye toh, Britain mein yeh quiet week hai, lekin United States se kuch interest ho sakta hai. Sab nazarain US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure release par hain Friday ko, jo US Federal Reserve ke interest rate expectations ke liye important maana jata hai. Core personal consumption expenditures rate expected hai 0.1% monthly basis par aur 2.6% annual basis par. Agar yeh expectations se zyada hota hai, toh dollar week ke end par highest level par ho sakta hai, aur pound sterling keemat mid-May ke baad apne lowest levels par aa sakti hai.

Lekin agar data expected se kam hota hai, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke GBP/USD mein ek achhi rally ho aur near term outlook stabilize ho jaye. Halanki, yeh strength limited nature ki ho sakti hai kyun ke US dollar US stock market ki continued outperformance ka faida utha raha hai. Is silsile mein, Credit Agricole ka maanna hai ke US stocks ka superior performance international capital ke unhedged flows ko US stock markets mein attract karta reh sakta hai, jo US dollar ke support mein kaar amad hai.

GBP/CAD (British Pound to Canadian Dollar) Ka Exchange Rate Is Waqt 1.7372 Hai, Aur Rujhan Nihayat Hi Mandha Hai
Yeh zahir karta hai ke GBP, CAD ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo mukhtalif maqasiadi, siyasi aur bazar ke khaas asbab ki wajah se ho sakta hai. In asbab ko samajhna mustaqbil mein GBP/CAD pair ke harakat ka andaza lagane ke liye nihayat zaroori hai.

Maujooda Bazar Ka Jaiza

Maqasiadi Asharaat
GBP/CAD mein mandha rujhan mukhtalif maqasiadi asharaat se mutasir ho sakta hai. Maslan, UK ke maqasiadi data, jaise ke GDP growth rates, mehangai, rozgaar ke adad-o-shumaar, aur markazi bank ki policy, ahem kirdar ada karti hain. Bank of England ki monetary policy, khas tor par sood ki faislay aur quantitative easing iqdamat, GBP ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Aik dovish rujhan, jo ke sood ko kam rakhnay ya asset purchases barhane par mabni hota hai, aksar GBP ko kamzor kar deta hai.

Doosri taraf, Canadian economy ki performance bhi nihayat ahem hai. Ahem asharaat mein Bank of Canada ke sood ke faislay, GDP growth, mehangai ki rate, aur rozgaar ke statistics shamil hain. Iske ilawa, commodity prices, khas tor par tail, CAD par bara asar dalti hain, kyunke Canada aik bara tail export karne wala mulk hai. Oil prices mein kami aksar CAD ko kamzor karti hai, jabke barhte hue prices isay mazboot bana sakte hain.

Siyasi Mahol
Siyasi waqiaat aur nawaihda bhi exchange rate ke rujhan ko mutasir karte hain. UK mein, Brexit se mutaliq taraqqiyat, hukoomati policies, aur siyasi stability ahem factors hain. Kisi bhi uncertainty ya instability se GBP ke girne ka khatra hota hai. Canada mein, siyasi faislay, trade policies, aur bade trading partners jaise ke US ke sath talluqat CAD ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

Bazar ka Jazba
Bazar ka jazba aur sarmaiya karon ka rawaya short-term movements mein nihayat ahem hota hai. Maslan, global uncertainty ya risk aversion ke waqt, sarmaiya karon USD jese safe-haven currencies ki taraf jate hain, jo GBP aur CAD ko kamzor karti hain. Iske baraks, risk appetite ke dauran, higher-yielding currencies ziada investment ko attract karti hain.

Bari Harakat Ka Andaza Lagana

Maujooda mandha rujhan ke madde nazar, woh mukhtalif catalysts ko dekhna zaroori hai jo GBP/CAD exchange rate mein ahem harakat la sakte hain.

Maqasiadi Data Ka Ijra
UK aur Canada se aanewale maqasiadi data ke ijraat ahem catalysts ka kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Maslan, agar UK mazboot GDP growth ya rozgaar mein nihayat kami report karta hai, to yeh GBP ko barhawa de sakta hai. Isi tarah, positive maqasiadi data Canada se CAD ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Markazi Bank Ke Iqdamat
Bank of England ya Bank of Canada se aanewale announcements ya iqdamat bhi nihayat ahem harakat ko trigger kar sakte hain. Maslan, agar Bank of England monetary policy ko sakht karne ya sood barhane ka ishara deta hai, to yeh GBP mein tezi la sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar Bank of Canada ziada hawkish stance apnata hai, to CAD mazboot ho sakta hai.

Geopolitical Waqiaat
Geopolitical taraqqiyat, jaise ke trade policies mein tabdeeli, international conflicts, ya bade siyasi waqiaat se currency markets mein ziada volatility aa sakti hai. Kisi bhi nawaihda geopolitical waqiaat se GBP/CAD pair mein nihayat ahem harakat ho sakti hai.

Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, price charts aur indicators ka jaiza lene se mustaqbil ki harakat ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Support aur resistance ke ahem levels, moving averages, aur trend lines technical analysts ke liye zaroori tools hain. Agar GBP/CAD aik ahem support level ko break karta hai, to yeh mazeed downside potential ko zahir kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar yeh support level se wapas bounce karta hai aur resistance ko break karta hai, to yeh mandha rujhan ke reversal ka ishara de sakta hai.

Nateeja

Jabke maujooda rujhan GBP/CAD mein mandha hai, mukhtalif asbab aanewale dino mein ahem harakat ko janam de sakte hain. Maqasiadi data ka ijra, markazi bank ke iqdamat, aur geopolitical waqiaat volatility ke potential catalysts hain. Traders aur investors ko in asbab par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye aur fundamental aur technical analysis dono ka istamal karte hue informed faislay lene chahiye. Currency markets apne andar unpredictability rakhti hain, aur ghair-mutawaqqa waqiaat ke liye tayar rehna successful trading aur investment strategies ke liye nihayat zaroori hai.

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD Pair

1-Hour Chart

Aane wale ghanton aur kal ke doran, price rujhan ke barhne ke imkanaat hain. Aaj price aik achi support area mein trade karna shuru hui, jab price ne weekly level of 1.2740 ke upar stability dekhaayi, aur price ascending price channels ki neeche wali lines par thi.

Aaj ke trading mashwaray mein yeh hai ke current level se kharidna ka moka talash karen aur stop loss level ko price channels ke neeche set karen. Aur bechne ka moka tab available hoga jab price channels ko tor de. Iske ilawa, price peak bananay aur channels ko torne ke baad, ek retest pattern ka intezar karna bhi mumkin hai, jisse 1.2691 level tak sell positions le ja sakte hain.




Maqasiadi soorat-e-haal ke hisaab se, US dollar ka price gira jab aik weekly survey ne zahir kiya ke US unemployment benefits lene walon ki tadaad mein izafa hua. Lekin selling desire apne peak per tab pohnchi jab ISM survey ne services sector mein unexpected slowdown show kiya. Iske nateeja mein, GBP/USD price 1.2780 resistance level ki taraf jump hui, ye uska do hafton se ziada ka buland tareen level tha, aur uske baad Thursday ke trading ke aghaz par, American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke intezar ke saath 1.2740 level par stabilized hui.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... June mein US ka headline ISM Services PMI 48.8% tak pohncha, jo activity mein contraction ko zahir karta hai, ye May ke 53.8% se kam tha. Expectations ke muqablay mein yeh aik significant decline tha, jabke consensus 52.5% reading ke liye tayar tha. Overall, service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hai. Markets is loss ke size par react kar rahi hain aur yeh bet laga rahi hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko cut karne ke liye confident mehsoos karegi. Is response mein, US bond yields gire, dollar ka price gira, aur stock prices barh gayi.

Kal, GBP/USD ne bhi mazboot upar ki taraf chalne ki harkat dikhayi, jo ke kamzor US macro data ke wajah se hui thi. Humne aapko pehle hi bataya tha ke ISM aur ADP reports par tawajju dena zaroori hai. Dono reports, agarche poora disappointing nahi the, lekin ummeed se kamzor thay. Is liye, din ke doosre hissay mein dollar ka girna bilkul predictable tha. Afsoos, market ab bhi US economy ki kamzori ki kisi bhi khabar par turant react karti hai, jab ke yeh economy UK se zyada mazboot hai. Market ko ab is baat se koi fark nahi padta agar Federal Reserve apni rate jaldi kam karne ka plan nahi banata. Pound sterling ko kam az kam 1.23 level se neeche girna chahiye tha, lekin iske bajaye, yeh lagbhag chheh mahinon se ek flat range mein stuck hai, jo ke daily timeframe par saaf dekha ja sakta hai. Pair ki sideways harkat hourly chart par bhi saaf nazar aati hai. Aaj, kal ke growth ke baad sirf ek correction ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai, aur pair kamzor volatility dikhaye ga.

Ek bohot acha buy signal 5-minute timeframe par tab bana jab price ne 1.2684-1.2693 area ko tor diya. Uske baad, price 1.2748 level tak pohncha, use toda, aur phir niche aayi. Is liye, novice traders apni long positions ko ya to 1.2748 level ke upar close kar sakte thay ya jab price ne uske neeche settle kiya aur ek sell signal bana. Har halat mein, profit kam az kam 40 pips tha. Yaad rahe, ek acha trend hone par trading signals execute karke achi profits kamayi ja sakti hai. Agar market flat ho, to kisi bhi qisam ka signal profit nahi la sakta.



Trading tips Thursday ke liye:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD ne neechay ka ek promising downtrend form karne ke signs dikhaye hain, lekin is ka matlab yeh nahi ke pair ek upward trend bhi form nahi kar sakta. Pichle kuch hafton mein pair ne bohot saari sideways actions dekhayi hain, aur apne pehle significant support area ko downtrend mein overcome nahi kar paayi hai - 1.2605-1.2633. So British currency ek baar phir se rising hai, aur overall, yeh erratic movements dikhate rehti hai.

Thursday ko, pound sterling kal ke growth ke baad retreat kar sakta hai. Lekin, US markets Independence Day holiday ki wajah se band hain, is liye hum pair se strong movements ki ummed nahi karte.

Key levels 5M chart par hain 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, aur 1.2980. Aaj, UK second estimate of Construction PMI data publish karega. Yeh ek bilkul secondary indicator hai jo shayad sirf ek choti si market reaction provoke kare.

GBP/USD Ke Price Movement

GBP/USD currency pair ke price action par hum analysis aur discussion karengay. Pechlay hafta Pound-Dollar ke hourly chart par trading level 1.26534 tak ka decline huwa tha. Iss level ke qareeb, yeh rebound hota hai aur resistance 1.27541 ki taraf move karta hai. Jab yeh resistance ko pohanchta hai, yeh dobara trading level 1.26534 tak wapas aa jata hai. Thursday ke end tak yeh level pohanch gaya tha. Friday ko din ka aghaz choti range ke sath hota hai, phir yeh level break karta hai, aur support 1.25324 ki taraf sell signal generate karta hai. Yeh sell signal Monday tak relevant rehta hai. Doosri large currencies ki tarah, week ke end par Pound bearish move karta hai, jisse US Dollar ko kuch losses recoup karne ka moka milta hai. Guzashta mahine ke dauran, Sterling 1.2804 ke range mein fluctuation kar raha tha, support buyers ki waja se 1.2689 par establish tha.




Triangle ko horizontal support level 1.2567 ne alag kiya hai, jo candles ke closing prices se banaya gaya hai. Chahe buyers kitni bhi koshish karein, mujhe lagta hai ke price ultimately wahan niche chalay gayi. Decline expected tha kyun ke uper se ek descending line ka triangle form ho raha tha, aur wahan ek false breakdown ke sath bearish divergence indicators par bhi ho raha tha. Paanch upward waves ka cycle guzra tha aur uske baad aksar correction hoti hai. Yeh huwa kyun ke yeh doosri factors se support tha. Latest wave of decline ne pichli wave ke minimum ko update kiya; MACD indicator, halan ke upper buy zone mein tha, confidently apni signal line se niche gir raha tha. Mujhe lagta hai downward pressure continue rahega, kuch 80-90 points tak ke indicated target tak. Yeh pound ke liye problem nahi ke kuch ghanton mein pass karein, sirf chahiyat hai, lekin abhi tak pound sluggish dynamics show kar raha hai moves mein, distances ziyada nahi hain. Aaj phir se US ki news sets hain: 16-45 Moscow time par - US Manufacturing PMI, US Composite PMI from S&P Global, US Services Sector Purchasing Index (PMI). 17-00 - Secondary housing market sales in the USA, Index of leading economic indicators in the USA. 18-00 - US Federal Reserve ki taraf se monetary policy report.