gbp-jpy

in bara elaano ka negative impact kuch positive developments se halka ho gaya. Ek aisi hi positive development Philly Fed Manufacturing Index se aayi. Yeh indicator Philadelphia region mein manufacturing sector ki health ko napta hai, aur iske results umeed se zyada achay aaye. Manufacturing indicator par strong reading ko aksar broader economy mein growth aur expansion ka nishan samjha jata hai. Manufacturing sector mein kaarobaron ne izafa shuda production aur orders report kiye, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke kuch areas mein economic activity barh rahi hai. Lekin yeh positive data broader negative sentiment ko neutralize karne ke liye kaafi nahi tha, aur US dollar poore hafte pressure mein raha.
EUR/USD mein izafa dekha gaya, lekin jaldi hi reversal aaya jab yeh wazeh hua ke U.S. mein inflation abhi bhi zyada hai, aur Fed ke rates cut na karne ki baat hui. Jab U.S. inflation stagnant hone laga, toh pair ne pehle ke lows ko dubara dekha aur range bound trade karna shuru kiya, aur phir 1.11810 resistance level ka samna kiya.Haalat yeh hain ke Federal Reserve interest rates cut kar raha hai, lekin inflation abhi bhi 3.2% pe hai, jo ke is growth ko sustainable nahi banata. Aapko shak hai ke yeh growth mazid barqarar reh payegi, aur aap expect kar rahe hain ke pair wapas move karega, shayad 1.07684 mark ko cancel karte hue. Jab unemployment data announce hoga, aap anticipate kar rahe hain ke selling pressure wapas aaye aur pair mein decline ho. aglay hafte ke liye expect karte hain ke pair kam az kam 1.11450 tak decline karega, aur agay chal kar 1.11183 ka test hoga. Yeh levels technical tor par bohat important hain kyun ke 1.11450 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level ke qareeb hai, aur 1.11183 FE61.8 level hai, jo ke ek aham decision making zone hai.Agar price in levels ke neeche break karta hai, toh aap expect karte hain ke decline 1.10050 tak jaa sa

GBP/JPY ka M15 Chart Par Analysis

Haalat-e-Keemat

Is waqt GBP/JPY ka pair 198.45 par trade kar raha hai. Price movement se ek wazeh trend nazar aata hai aur abhi haali mein 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke neeche girna shuru ho gaya hai. Ye development market mein bearish sentiment ka izhaar karti hai. Bearish trend ye suggest karta hai ke keemat mazeed gir sakti hai.

Mumkinah Support Levels

Agar ye downward trend jari rehta hai, tou hum yeh ummed kar sakte hain ke prices 197.16 aur uske baad 195.83 ke support zones ko target karengi. Ye support levels ahmiyat rakhte hain kyunke yeh wo areas hain jahan traders khareedari mein dilchaspi dikha sakte hain. Jab keemat in support zones ke qareeb pohanche, tou traders ko reversal signals ya price consolidation ke asaar dekhne chahiye.

Resistance Level

Dosri taraf, agar keemat iss waqt ke levels par support dhoond leti hai aur upar chali jaati hai, tou pehla resistance target qareeban 200.60 par ho sakta hai. Ye resistance level qabil-e-zikr hai kyunke yeh aagay aur upar jaane mein rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar price is resistance level ko break karti hai tou yeh bearish se bullish momentum mein tabdeeli ka taqatwar signal ho sakta hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI is waqt 30 level ke qareeb hai, jo ke oversold area kehlaata hai. Ye sell signal ka ishara deta hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazeed taqat deta hai. Oversold area ke qareeb hone ka matlab hai ke market mazeed neeche jaa sakti hai, lekin agar selling pressure kam hota hai tou market ek potential reversal point par bhi jaa sakti hai.

Technical Indicators

Is ke ilawa, current price action jo ke 50 aur 100 SMAs ke neeche hai, bearish sentiment ko aur mazboot banata hai. Is liye traders ko in technical indicators ko ghor se dekhte rehna chahiye.

Khulasa aur Ahm Levels







Kul mila kar, GBP/JPY 198.45 par trade kar raha hai aur 50 aur 100 SMAs ke neeche bearish tendencies dikha raha hai. Agar downward momentum jari rehti hai tou support zones 197.16 aur 195.83 ke qareeb ho sakti hain. Agar keemat yahan se rebound karti hai tou next target resistance 200.60 ho sakti hai.

RSI indicator bhi bearish sentiment ko support kar raha hai aur 30 level ke qareeb sell signal ka ishara de raha hai. Traders ko in ahm levels aur indicators ko ghor se dekhna chahiye taake behtar trading decisions le sakein.

Ziada Observation

Haalat-e-zaheeri se lagta hai ke GBP/JPY ko 155.50 ke qareeb ek ahm resistance ka samna hai, jo ke historically ek mohim rukawat rahi hai. Support level qareeban 153.00 par hai, jahan buying interest barh jata hai aur keemat ke neeche girne ko rokti hai. RSI 55 ke qareeb hai jo ke neutral territory mein hai, jo aane wale movements ka ishara deta hai. Zigzag indicator is waqt aksar bullish trend dikhata hai. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) bullish crossover mein hain, jo ke mazeed upward movement ka ishara dete hain. Bollinger Bands farash ho rahi hain aur keemat upper band ke qareeb hai, jo zyada buying pressure ko dikhata hai. Demand Index ke positive readings bullish sentiment ko mazid mazboot banate hain. Stochastic Oscillator overbought territory mein hai, jo ke short term mein correction ka ishara de raha hai. Average True Range (ATR) high market volatility aur sharp price movements ka ishara de raha hai.

Natija

Ye analysis yeh highlight karta hai ke GBP/JPY ko ahm resistance ka samna hai lekin sath hi mazboot support levels bhi hain. Traders ko in indicators aur levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake market ke utaar-chadhaav ko samjha ja sake aur achi trading decisions li ja sakein. Agar momentum barqarar rehta hai tou prices 197.16 aur 195.83 par support zones ko target kar sakti hain. Agar prices wapas bounce karti hain tou agla target resistance 200.60 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

GBP-JPY Pair ki Peishgoi

GBP-JPY pair ke price movement ka daira dheere dheere tang ho raha hai. Budh ke trading session mein koi khaas movement nahi hui; keemat EMA 200 ke qareeb H1 chart par 188.67 aur 188.74 ke darmiyan fluctuation karti rahi. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 bhi H1 chart par flat aur angled behavior dikha rahe the. Price upar jane ki koshish ki, magar 189.48 ka mark break nahi kar saki, jo ke Tuesday ko week ka highest level tha. Is failure ne sellers ko moqa diya ke market mein apni position mazboot karein. Magar selling pressure ke bawajood price sirf 187.84 tak neeche aa saki, jiske baad price rebound kar gayi aur EMA 200 ke qareeb hi ghoomti rahi. Is surat-e-haal ne ek unclear aur biased trend ka mohaul bana diya. Ye halaat Thursday ki dopahar tak jari rahe. Market subah 188.90 par khuli. Us waqt keemat daily open se upar thi, jabke EMA 200 thoda neeche tha. H1 chart par flat EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ab upar ki taraf pointing kar rahe hain. Sabse qareebi resistance level 189.97 par hai, jo ke bullish movement ke liye ek observation area ke tor par serve karega.

GBP-JPY Trading Plan (H1)

Is market ki uncertainty ke beech, maine is currency pair ke liye ek trading plan tayar kiya hai jo ke ye parameters include karta hai:

Buy Strategy

Buy ke liye Shart: Agar keemat EMA 200 ke upar H1 chart par successfully move karti hai, tou buy position enter ki jaa sakti hai. Agar 189.97 ka resistance level break hota hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 dono upar ki taraf cross karte hain, tou yeh bullish potential ka signal hai.

Profit Target: Is bullish scenario ke liye profit target 191.65 ka area hai.

Dusra Buy Option: 188.41 area par pullback ka intezaar kiya ja sakta hai, jahan se keemat 188.89 aur 190.18 ke darmiyan tak barh sakti hai. Buy tab bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai agar price 187.13 ka level reject karti hai, aur bullish target 188.74 ho sakta hai.







Sell Strategy

Sell ke liye Shart: Agar keemat EMA 200 ke neeche H1 chart par move karti hai tou sell position ke liye tayyar rahna chahiye. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ka downside crossover momentum ke kamzor hone ka ishara deta hai.

Sell ka Target: Is kamzori ka target 187.09 aur 186.21 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai, aur yeh extend hote hue 185.40 tak ja sakta hai.

Dusra Sell Option Pullback ke liye: Agar price 192.15 par ek positive move ke baad pullback hota hai, tou bearish target 189.70 par set kiya ja sakta hai.


Risk Management

Stop Loss: Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop loss order area se 15 pips door set karna chahiye.


Ye structured approach market ki uncertainty mein GBP-JPY pair ko trade karne mein madadgar hogi, jabke entry aur exit strategies wazeh tareeke se define ki gayi hain.

GBP/JPY Analysis Update - 10 August, 2024

Overview

Aaj ki analysis mein, Friday ko kisi bhi high-impact data ki kami ke bawajood market movement flat rahi. EUR/USD currency pair qareeban 187.05 ke aas paas hi move karti rahi. GBP/JPY trading session Friday ko apni opening price se neeche band hui, jo is currency pair mein kamzori ko zahir karti hai. Shuru mein GBP/JPY ne 187.28 ka nearby resistance break kiya, lekin ye movement zyada dair tak barqarar nahi rahi.

Market Trends

Is hafte ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/JPY ka movement zyada bullish rehne ke imkanaat hain. Kuch momentum factors aise hain jo GBP/JPY ko neeche dhakelne ki koshish kar sakte hain, lekin yeh sirf ek corrective phase ho sakta hai.

Resistance Levels

Agar H1 (one-hour) timeframe se dekha jaye, tou 187.29 ke resistance ko penetrate karna is baat ka ishara hoga ke GBP/JPY abhi bhi upar ki taraf trend kar sakta hai. Lekin mushkil yeh hai ke GBP/JPY ne haali mein kafi significant decline face kiya hai. Halanki pichle chand dino mein movement zyada tar upar hi rahi hai. Bara timeframe par agar dekha jaye tou humein ek confirmation candle nazar aati hai jo bullish engulfing candle ke mutabiq hai, jo ke market reversal ka ishara deti hai. Jab tak demand area 180.94 ke qareeb barqarar rehta hai, mujhe lagta hai ke upar jane ke imkanaat kaafi zyada hain. Mere khayal mein, GBP/JPY aakhir kar 205.46 tak barh sakta hai.

Ichimoku Indicator Analysis

Ichimoku indicator ka use karte hue jab analysis ki gayi tou, haalaanki kal ek decline dekha gaya tha, pehle jo candle tenkan-sen aur kijun-sen lines ke upar thi, ab woh neeche aa gayi hai. Iska matlab hai ke GBP/JPY ka movement Monday ko bearish ho sakta hai, aur 184.48 ke support ka test kar sakta hai. Agar GBP/JPY is area ko break nahi karta, tou ho sakta hai ke price wahan se rebound kare.

Stochastic Indicator Analysis

Stochastic indicator ki analysis ko dekha jaye tou, line apne lowest level 80 ke qareeb hai, lekin abhi upar ki taraf face kar rahi hai. Is se yeh indication milta hai ke GBP/JPY agle dino mein ooper jaa sakta hai. Lekin agar direction achanak neeche ki taraf ho jaaye, tou GBP/JPY 184.48 ke support level ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

Conclusion

Aaj ki analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBP/JPY currency pair mein ab bhi upward movement ka potential hai, kyunke demand area 180.94 ke aas paas barqarar hai. Is liye, mein traders ko yeh suggest karta hoon ke woh is pair par buying positions par focus karein. Take profit ka target 199.01 ke resistance level ke qareeb set kiya jaa sakta hai, aur stop loss ko 183.69 ke support level ke aas paas rakhna chahiye.

GBP-JPY H1 Time Frame Analysis

Aaj, agar mein GBP-JPY ka observation karun tou lagta hai ke price 190.505 tak barhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh izafa is liye hai kyunke aaj yen ki exchange rate mein kamzori dekhi gayi hai jabse yen ka trade balance data release hua hai, jo ke -0.76 trillion yen tak gir gaya hai. Is wajah se GBPJPY ka movement aaj buyers ke qabze mein hai. Iske ilawa, is dopahar pound sterling ki exchange rate bhi kamzor hui hai kyunke public sector net borrowing data release hua jo ke 2.2 billion pounds tak barh gaya, lekin iske bawajood GBPJPY ka movement abhi bhi 190.20 ke aas paas hai kyunke pound sterling ki kamzori yen se zyada kamzor hai. Mere fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, aaj dopahar ke liye GBPJPY currency pair ka movement dekh kar maine faisla kiya hai ke GBPJPY ko 190.505 tak BUY karna chaahiye.

Technical Analysis ke Asar

Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBPJPY ka movement is dopahar abhi bhi barhne ke imkanaat rakhta hai aur price 190.505 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh is liye ke H1 time frame mein GBPJPY ne bullish engulfing candle banayi hai, jo ke ek bohot strong signal hai GBPJPY ko 190.505 tak BUY karne ka. Iske ilawa, maine RSI 14 indicator ka observation kiya, jisme price 188.90 par oversold declare ho chuki hai yaani bohot zyada selling ho gayi hai, jisse yeh andaza hai ke is dopahar GBPJPY 10-40 pips tak ka izafa dekh sakta hai.

BUY GBPJPY ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke use se bhi support hota hai kyunke jab GBPJPY 188.90 par aati hai tou yeh RBS area (Resistance Become Support) mein hoti hai, jahan se buyers ke liye aaj GBPJPY pair mein entry ka moqa barh jata hai. Mere technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya hai ke GBPJPY ko 190.505 tak BUY karna chaahiye.

in bara elaano ka negative impact kuch positive developments se halka ho gaya. Ek aisi hi positive development Philly Fed Manufacturing Index se aayi. Yeh indicator Philadelphia region mein manufacturing sector ki health ko napta hai, aur iske results umeed se zyada achay aaye. Manufacturing indicator par strong reading ko aksar broader economy mein growth aur expansion ka nishan samjha jata hai. Manufacturing sector mein kaarobaron ne izafa shuda production aur orders report kiye, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke kuch areas mein economic activity barh rahi hai. Lekin yeh positive data broader negative sentiment ko neutralize karne ke liye kaafi nahi tha, aur US dollar poore hafte pressure mein raha.
EUR/USD mein izafa dekha gaya, lekin jaldi hi reversal aaya jab yeh wazeh hua ke U.S. mein inflation abhi bhi zyada hai, aur Fed ke rates cut na karne ki baat hui. Jab U.S. inflation stagnant hone laga, toh pair ne pehle ke lows ko dubara dekha aur range bound trade karna shuru kiya, aur phir 1.11810 resistance level ka samna kiya.Haalat yeh hain ke Federal Reserve interest rates cut kar raha hai, lekin inflation abhi bhi 3.2% pe hai, jo ke is growth ko sustainable nahi banata. Aapko shak hai ke yeh growth mazid barqarar reh payegi, aur aap expect kar rahe hain ke pair wapas move karega, shayad 1.07684 mark ko cancel karte hue. Jab unemployment data announce hoga, aap anticipate kar rahe hain ke selling pressure wapas aaye aur pair mein decline ho. aglay hafte ke liye expect karte hain ke pair kam az kam 1.11450 tak decline karega, aur agay chal kar 1.11183 ka test hoga. Yeh levels technical tor par bohat important hain kyun ke 1.11450 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level ke qareeb hai, aur 1.11183 FE61.8 level hai, jo ke ek aham decision making zone hai.Agar price in levels ke neeche break karta hai, toh aap expect karte hain ke decline 1.10050 tak jaa sa